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Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water District Anna Sturrock, U.C. Davis Rachel Johnson, NOAA Fisheries Peter Weber, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter-Run Chinook Salmon

Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

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Page 1: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water DistrictAnna Sturrock, U.C. DavisRachel Johnson, NOAA FisheriesPeter Weber, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter-Run ChinookSalmon

Page 2: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

10-year winter-run otolith study spanning hydroclimatic regimes

Page 3: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

1. Where do the successful winter-run rear as juveniles?

2. Are both fry and parr migrants represented in the adult population (based on otolith size)?

• Where do fry rear?

3. Are there differences in size at freshwater exit associated with juvenile rearing habitat?

• Or escapement year?

3 Research questions

Page 4: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Q1: Where do the successful winter-run rear as juveniles?

I’m a winner!!

Page 5: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Q1: Where do the successful winter-run rear as juveniles?

I’m a winner!!

What do I have to do to be like that guy?

Page 6: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Federal Register Vol. 58, No.114: Designation of ESA critical habitat for Sacramento River winter-run Chinook, 6/16/1993

Our conceptual models assume juvenile rear in the Sacramento and Delta

Hendrix et al., Life cycle monitoring framework for Sacramento River winter-run Chinook salmon, 2014

Narrative model Life-Cycle Model

Page 7: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Is rearing in the Delta a viable strategy?

And if not the Delta, where?

Q1: Where do the successful winter-run rear as juveniles?

Page 8: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Most juveniles begin moving downstream as fry

Proportion of total catch

Fork length (mm) of winter-run juveniles at RBDD RST

fry (<55)

Min. size for acoustic tag (> ~85)

parr (>55)

Page 9: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Most juveniles begin moving downstream as fry

Proportion of total catch

Fork length (mm) of winter-run juveniles at RBDD RST

fry (<55)

Where do these fry go to rear?

Page 10: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Sr isotopes discriminate habitats

· ·. r in the otoliths record outmigration

., Sr provides geographic data

., North-south gradient ~ 87Srf86Sr otolith = 87SrJB6Sr water

''What's in th1e water is in the otolith''

D Upper Sac. R .

D Lower Sac. R. & Delta

15] SF Bay Estuary

Pacific Ocean

San Francisco

Bay

Page 11: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water
Page 12: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

• 188 otoliths (2007-2009 n = 29, 91, 68)

• Individuals assigned to 1 of 5 habitats:• Sacramento River (Keswick to Freeport)• American River• Northern Tributaries (e.g. Mill, Deer, Battle Creeks)• Delta or Feather River • “Habitat X”

• Detection limit for rearing in a habitat ~20 days

Individuals were assigned to juvenile rearing habitats

Page 13: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Strontium isotopes in otoliths record juvenile life-history

Page 14: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

High Sr-isotope ratio and low Sr concentration hallmark of American River rearing

{b) American River 0.7,0

______ ,.. __ Rive k Loeatia Sr oonoo tration

AmericafJ RiLr'f.Jf Gold£:

9o 0.709 Gate Bay

UJ 0.708 Chipps m - 73 95% C.l. ~ ~SIMld

Dofra

en 0.707 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -1'-- J

" ~fl-1\1.!1 t aJ J

aJ R ) "iri,;lHD b.i!Dt I

- ,75 I

0.706 r'oopor J

.... .- -- --- - -- --Sacramento River ... fR. 1'1- . I iJ 1 QLlrl·l~ 1 ,..:!-1fJ.!

0.705 - 567 ®dding .:: •.t.f].r:~ , .. i .1,-o.:ato

~---- -----------------.,.,__,_ ___ .,... ____ ..... ____ ,__

~1orthorn

0.704

200 300 400 500 SOO 700 ,BOO 000

Distance rom otolith core (~m)

Page 15: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Rearing in the Northern tribs indicated by Sr-isotope ratio lower than Sac R. minimum

(c) orth ern Trib·u tari es 0.710 Loeatia Sr oonoo trn.tion

Al11a.rica.n R · 1'

0 Gold£:

9o 0.709 Gate

UJ Bay

0.708 Chipps m 73 95% C.l. ~ ~SIMld

Dclr:a

en D.7C7' - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -1'-- J

" ~fl-1\1.!1 t aJ J

aJ R ) "iri,;lHD b.i!Dt I

175 I

D.1DI r'oopor J

.... .- -- --- - -- --... f R . 1'1- ' I iJ 1 QLlrl·l~ 1 ,..:!-1fJ.!

0.705 567 ®dding .:: •.t.f].r:~ , .. i .1,-o.:ato

D.704

200 300 400 500 SOO 700 ,BOO 000

Distance rom otolith core (~m)

Page 16: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Delta rearing is likely, but difficult to discriminate isotopically from Feather River

0.709

0.708

0.707

0.706

0.705

0.704

{d) De~ ta or Feather R~ver

i

L • • - • •

... -

Bay

Do/ra

ather Ri'WJr

Sacramento RiiiCt

200 300 400 500 SOO 700 ,BOO 000

0

73

567

Distance rom otolith core (~m)

Loeatia

Gold£: Gate

Chipps ~SIMld

®dding

Sr oonoo tration

9o 95% C.l.

" ~fl-1\1.!1 t aJ R ) "iri,;lHD b.i!Dt

---------- .......... ---

J

J

I

I

J

Page 17: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

45-65% of adults reared in non-natal habitats as juveniles

Page 18: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Q2: Are both fry and parr migrants represented in the adult population?

Spatial diversity in rearing strategies

Temporal diversity in rearing strategies?

fry (<55mm)

parr (55-75 mm)

smolt (>75 mm)

leave earlier

leave later

Page 19: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Otolith radius

Fork length

Zabel et al., 2010

Otolith radius is a suitable proxy for body length, but it varies by ESU

***Currently no established relationship for SWRC ESU***

Fork length ~ f(Otolith radius + ESU)

Page 20: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Lots of variation in migration timing between individuals

Page 21: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Body size was estimated at exit from the natal rearing habitat

Natal rearing exit size

Page 22: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Fry migrate to non-natal rearing habitats

Page 23: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Freshwaterexit size

Q3: Are there differences in size at freshwater exit associated with juvenile rearing habitat?

Page 24: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Size at freshwater exit is conserved across rearing habitats…

Page 25: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

…But freshwater exit size differs across years

Page 26: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

10-year winter-run otolith study spanning hydroclimatic regimes

Page 27: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Q1: Where do the successful winter-run rear as juveniles?

A1: Winter-run rear in the Sacramento and Delta. But they also use non-natal habitats

Q2: Are both fry and parr migrants represented in the adult population?

A2: Yes, and the non-natal habitats are used successfully by fry

Q3: Are there differences in size at freshwater exit?

A3: Freshwater exit size is conserved across rearing habitats, but can vary between years

In summary:

Page 28: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Lessons from t'h:e Ocean for Integrating Science in Policy Decisions Steve Gaines, Dean, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management at UCSB

The Scientific C allenges of Establishing Appropriate Baselines for Watershed Restoration Daniel Schindler, Harriet Bullitt Endowed Chair in Conservation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington

Page 29: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Ecosystems are not static. They are reshuffling in response to

physical and biological drivers.

Populations are resilient when there are options to reshuffle into

For winter-run, non-natal rearing habitats are some of those options

Page 30: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Incorporate non-natal rearing habitats into our conceptual models

Narrative model Life-Cycle Model

Page 31: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Non-natal habitats represent options for fish

But they also represent management options

Conservation Value

Stak

ehol

der V

alue

scenarios in critical habitat onlyscenarios that include non-natal habitat

efficiency frontier

Page 32: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Non-natal habitats represent options for fish

But they also represent management options

Conservation Value

Stak

ehol

der V

alue

scenarios in critical habitat onlyscenarios that include non-natal habitat

efficiency frontier

Page 33: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

Acknowledgements

Otolith samplesUSFWS & Livingston Stone FH staff

Otolith preparation & analysesJustin Glessner & George Whitman

FundingCALFED(!!!)

Delta Science Program MWD

Page 34: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

YearOctNovDecJanFebMarApr

MayJunJul

AugSep

1993 2016

Fremont weir overtopping event

http://www.cbr.washington.edu/sacramento/data/alert_weirs.html

Timing and duration of Yolo Bypass inundation varies year-to-year

Page 35: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water

YearOctNovDecJanFebMarApr

MayJunJul

AugSep

1993 2016

Fremont weir overtopping event

http://www.cbr.washington.edu/sacramento/data/alert_weirs.html

Yolo bypass is rarely accessible when fry need rearing habitat

2007 2008 2009

RBDD RST

Knights Landing RST

Date cumulative catch exceeded ~80% at:

Chipps Island Trawl

del Rosario et al., 2013

Page 36: Otolith Chemistry Reveals the Diverse Rearing Habitats of Winter …scienceconf2016.deltacouncil.ca.gov/sites/default/files/... · 2016. 11. 17. · Corey Phillis, Metropolitan Water