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  • Overview of the

    Offshore Supply Vessel Industry

    May 2012

  • 1

    Contents

    Macro Drivers to Offshore Support Vessel Demand Growth

    Offshore Support Vessel Industry - Overview

    Fleet Development and Age Profile

    Orderbook and Deliveries

    Demolition (Scrapping)

    Asset Values

    OSV to Rig ratio

    Regional Outlook

    US GoM

    Latin America

    West Africa

    Middle East

    North Sea

    Asia Pacific

    Market Outlook

    Disclaimer

  • 2

    Offshore Support Vessel Demand - Macro Drivers

  • 3

    Macro Drivers prompting Offshore Support Vessel Demand

    Oil Consumption vs. GDP Growth

    % growth

    Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook (Aprill 2012)

    Robust OSV Demand Increasing Offshore

    activity as onshore fields mature

    High E&P Capex High Energy demand & Oil prices

    WTI Crude Oil Prices

    Source: Bloomberg, EIA - Short Term Energy Outlook (March 2012)

    US$ /bbl

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    Jan-

    05

    Jan-

    06

    Jan-

    07

    Jan-

    08

    Jan-

    09

    Jan-

    10

    Jan-

    11

    Jan-

    12

    Jan-

    13

    -3%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    3%

    5%

    6%

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    E

    2013

    E

    GDP Growth Oil Demand Growth

  • 4

    5,000 25,000 45,000 65,000

    Petrochina

    Exxon Mobil

    Royal Dutch/Shell

    Chevron Corp.

    Petrobras

    BP plc

    Pemex

    Eni Spa

    ConocoPhillips

    Petronas

    2012E

    2011

    E&P Spend by Major Oil and Gas Companies

    Top 10 Global E&P Spenders

    Source: Company filings, Clarkson Capital Markets

    US$ million

    Top 10 E&P spenders globally accounted for nearly 44% of the total E&P spending in 2011

    All of them are expected to increase capex during 2012, by an average 29%

  • 5

    90113

    140154

    137 137155

    173195

    214

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E

    Exploration trend shifting towards offshore oil fields and away from onshore fields:

    Offshore oil production contribution expected to grow ~37% by 2018, up from 35% in 2010,

    driven by contribution from deepwater (water depths >= 600 feet)

    Offshore fields to provide increasing share in the global oil supply

    Global Offshore E&P Capex

    US$ billion 2011E

    2014E

    Source: Clarkson Capital Markets, Douglas Westwood, The World Deepwater Market Report 2011-2015 (May 2011)

    85% 15%

    Shallow water CAPEXDeepwater CAPEX

    78% 22%

    Shallow water CAPEXDeepwater CAPEX

  • 6

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E

    SURF Subsea Processing Subsea Production Pipelines Floating Platform Drilling

    Deepwater Capex to reach new highs - fuelling the demand for OSVs

    Deepwater Capex by Component

    US$ billion

    Major proportion

    constituted by drilling activity Golden Triangle

    Source: Douglas Westwood, The World Deepwater Market Report 2011-2015 (May 2011)

    Majority of Capex is directed towards Deepwater Activities:

    Global Deepwater Capex is forecasted to reach $62 billion by 2015 from ~$22 billion in 2010,

    indicating a CAGR of ~23%, driven by advancement in seismic and drilling technologies

    Deepwater activity is mainly carried out in the Golden Triangle - West Africa, the US GoM and

    Brazil

  • 7

    Country Number of Offshore Fields Average Water Depth

    (feet) Distance from Shore

    (km)

    Angola 10 4,970 156 U.S. 25 4,751 173 Brazil 30 3,514 156 Nigeria 7 2,054 63 Malaysia 8 1,171 99 Norway 18 761 141 Australia 7 499 149 United Kingdom 14 361 122 India 16 230 100 China P.R. 7 226 38 Others 39 666 83 Total 181 1,896 126

    Exploration Trend - Deeper and Deeper

    Source: Clarkson Research, The Offshore Oil Market (March 2012)

    Majority of the offshore activity is concentrated in the deepwater regions such as: Angola, U.S.,

    Brazil, Nigeria, Malaysia and Norway

  • 8 Source: SubseaIQ (division of Rigzone), Hornbeck Offshore Investor Presentation (March 2012), Clarkson Capital Markets

    Offshore Oil Field:- Prospects, Discoveries (Drilled/Appraised), Under Development Fields (2011 April 2012)

    US GoM: Big Foot, Water depth 5,330 ft, Chevron, Jack/St. Malo, Water depth 7,042 ft, Chevron Lucius, Water depth 7,168 ft, Anadarko Greater Chinook Area, Water Depth 8,877 ft, Petrobras Gunnison, Water Depth 3,138 ft, Anadarko Auger, Water Depth 2,878 ft, Marathon Oil

    South America: Marlim Leste, Water depth 6,336 ft, Petrobas Barracuda, Water depth 3,630 ft, Petrobas Tupi, Water Depth 7,161 ft, Petrobas Guara Sul, Water Depth 7,065 ft, Petrobas Espadarte, Water Depth 2,805 ft, Petrobas Zaedyus, Water Depth 6,758 ft, Shell Albacora Leste, Water depth 200 ft, BPZ Energy

    Europe - North Sea: Greater Norne Area, Water Depth 1,254 ft, Statoil Knarr (Jordbaer), Water Depth 1,320 ft, BG Esperanza, Water Depth 297 ft, BG Erne, Water Depth 5,562 ft, Antrim Ettrick, Water Depth 363 ft, Nexen

    Asia Pacific: Gajah Baru, Water Depth 271 ft, Premier Oil Chim Sao, Water Depth 380 ft, Premier Oil Benjarong, Water Depth 10,626 ft, Coastal

    Energy Laverda, Water Depth 2,640 ft, Woodside Janglau, Water Depth 10,761 ft, Lundin

    Africa: Makore, Water Depth 4,646 ft, Kosmos Energy Ten Cluster, Water Depth 3,788 ft, Tullow Narina, Water Depth 3,772 ft, African Petroleum Corp. Independence discovery , Water Depth N/A, Vanco Jupiter, Water Depth 21,335 ft, Anadarko Azul, Water Depth 3,046 ft, Maersk Oil

    Significant Hydrocarbon Discoveries in the Deepwater Regions

  • 9

    Offshore Support Vessel Industry - Overview

  • 10

    939 1,014 1,118 1,2391,409 1,609

    1,755 1,864 1,927 1,952763 798

    832 892969

    1,0261,075 1,155

    1,259 1,344

    500

    1,300

    2,100

    2,900

    3,700

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    E

    2013

    E

    2014

    E

    AHTS PSV

    Age Profile, by number of vessels, At March-end 2012

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    Under 20 years Fleet, by vessel type, At March-end 2012

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    2,115 vessels

  • 11

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    as healthy orderbook promises future fleet growth

    100% = 411 vessels

    Global Orderbook, by Yards, At March-end 2012 Annual Deliveries, by number of vessels

    Annual Orderbook, by number of vessels, At March-end 2012

    Global OSV orderbook comprised over 14%

    of the fleet at March-end 2012

    Amongst yards, Sinopacific holds the top

    position with 12% share, or 48 newbuilds on

    order placed by Bourbon and Deep Sea

    Supply, followed by ABG shipyard with 5%

    share

    107 61

    19

    123

    105

    48

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2012E 2013E 2014E

    AHTS PSV

    112 128209 198

    146

    6297

    93 87

    70

    0

    90

    180

    270

    360

    450

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011AHTS PSV

    12%

    5%

    3%3%

    2%

    74%

    Sinopacif ic ABG ShipyardEastern Shipbuilding BharatiRemontowa Others

  • 12

    Historically, the OSV sector has witnessed low scrapping, except for 2009 where the demolitions touched

    a record high with 34 vessels

    Over the forecast period, we expect the demolitions to increase, driven by:

    NOCs demand for younger vessels for long-term charters

    Competition from higher specifications vessels

    3

    15

    1 5

    34

    19

    611

    20

    31

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E

    and high scrapping reduces average fleet age

    Offshore Fleet - Demolition, by number of vessels

    Demolitions to increase in the coming years

    5 915

    231

    2

    5

    8

    2011 2012E 2013E 2014E

    AHTS Demolition PSV Demolition

    Source: Clarksons, MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

  • 13

    Asset values strengthened for newbuilds and modern 5-year old units

    Small AHTS (80t BP) Values Medium AHTS (120t BP) Values

    US$ million US$ million Median Newbuild(NB): $16.9 10yr-old: $10.0 5yr-old: $15.4 20yr-old: $5.3

    Median Newbuild(NB): $30.5 10yr-old: $14.8 5yr-old: $27.4 20yr-old: $9.5

    $18.0 $15.8 $10.0

    $ 5.0

    $31.8 $26.8

    $15.0

    $ 8.3

    In 1Q 2010, the asset values strengthened for newbuilds and modern 5-year old units, while a contrary trend

    was observed for the 10 and 20 year old vessels

    The 10 and 20 year old vessel values have either trended downwards and stayed nearly flat, indicating

    reduced relative demand for older vessels

    Source: Clarksons

    $0

    $10

    $20

    $30

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old 10-yr-old 20-yr-old

    $0

    $15

    $30

    $45

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old 10-yr-old 20-yr-old

  • 14

    $0

    $15

    $30

    $45

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old 10-yr-old 20-yr-old

    in contrast to a decline witnessed for their older counterparts

    Large AHTS (200t BP) Values

    Very Large AHTS (240t BP) Values

    US$ million

    US$ million

    Median Newbuild(NB): $62.6 10yr-old: $38.0 5yr-old: $56.4 20yr-old: $27.0

    Median Newbuild(NB): $84.8 5yr-old: $78.1

    $64.0 $56.0

    $38.0 $ 27.0

    $91.3 $79.0

    Medium PSV (3,200t dwt) Values

    Large PSV (4,000t dwt) Values

    US$ million

    US$ million

    Median Newbuild(NB): $27.3 10yr-old: $14.0 5yr-old: $25.0 20yr-old: $9.9

    Median Newbuild(NB): $44.0 10yr-old: $24.2 5yr-old: $37.0 20yr-old: $12.5

    $29.3 $24.9

    $13.5 $ 8.3

    $45.8

    $35.0 $23.0

    $ 8.8

    Source: Clarksons

    $20

    $45

    $70

    $95

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old 10-yr-old 20-yr-old

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old

    $0

    $25

    $50

    $75

    Jan-

    08

    Aug

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    May

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jul-1

    1

    NB 5-yr-old 10-yr-old 20-yr-old

  • 15

    0 20 40 60 80

    100 120 140 160

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    CCM OSV Index (31.2%) WTI Crude Oil Index (31.3%)

    Indexed Price

    Source: Bloomberg; Clarkson Capital Markets 1. CCM OSV index comprising of the four companies under our coverage -

    Tidewater, Gulfmark Offshore Inc. Bourbon and Hornbeck Offshore

    Source: ODS-Petrodata, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    Market expected to turn in favor of vessel owners

    3.0x

    3.5x

    4.0x

    4.5x

    Mar

    201

    2

    2Q 2

    012

    3Q 2

    012

    4Q 2

    012

    1Q 2

    013

    2Q 2

    013

    3Q 2

    013

    4Q 2

    013

    1Q20

    14

    2Q20

    14

    3Q20

    14

    4Q20

    14

    OSV to Rig Ratio CCM OSV Index(1) vs. WTI Crude Oil Prices

    OSV to Rig ratio is expected to fall below 3.9 by 2014 from 4.1 as of March 2012, reflecting a tilt in market

    balance in favor of vessel owners

    Correlation = 0.94x , R-Squared = 0.84x

  • 16

    Regional Markets

  • 17

    15%

    11%

    9%7%

    6%

    52%

    Edison Chouest Abdon Callais Hornbeck Tidewater Odyssea Others

    13%

    6%6%

    5%4%

    66%

    Shell BP plc Chevron Apache Anadarko Others

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    US GoM is the most actively explored

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    Potential deepwater discoveries (Jack/St. Malo

    and the Big Foot) would continue to drive E&P

    activity in the region

    Top 5 Operators: Shell, BP, Chevron, Apache

    and Anadarko

    Leading Managers: The contracting side is

    more top heavy with Seacor Marine and

    Edison Chouest constituting maximum share

    35%

    29%

    13%13%

    3%7%

    Seacor Marine Edison Chouest TidewaterHarvey Gulf KG Offshore Others

  • 18

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV

    and drilled offshore basins

    Source: Clarksons

    Utilization: Utilization for AHTS remained

    volatile while that of PSV has increased

    Dayrates: AHTS rates are highest in the

    region. The AHTS dayrates improved strongly

    in 3Q 2011, and maintained those levels

    thereafter. However, an opposite trend was

    visible in the PSV rates which declined post 3Q

    2011. For 2012, the OSV average dayrates

    would probably down

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $10,000

    $12,000

    $14,000

    $16,000

    $18,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $10,000

    $30,000

    $50,000

    $70,000

    $90,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 19

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    Latin America is one of the important OSV markets

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    Continued development of Brazils large

    offshore basins like the Campos, Santos,

    Espirito de Santos, and prospects like the

    Atlantic Margins, to support the OSV demand

    Top 5 Operators: Petrobras, Pemex, BP, OGX

    and Shell

    Leading Managers: Tidewater, Maersk Supply

    and Edison Chouest

    8%5%4%

    3%2%

    78%

    Edison Chouest Tidewater Hornbeck CBO Bourbon Others

    64%

    17%2%2%2%

    13%

    Petrobras Pemex BP plc OGX Shell Others

    15%

    10%

    7%4%

    3%

    61%

    Tidewater Maersk Supply Edison ChouestDeep Sea Bourbon Others

  • 20

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV

    given its huge growth potential over the next 10 years

    Utilization: The utilization levels in the region

    have remained fairly consistent

    Dayrates: Tend to be higher in Brazil relative

    to Mexico, as it is more expensive to work in

    Brazil. Overall, the dayrates have shown a

    gradual improvement over the last few years

    and are expected to maintain the trend in 2012

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    Source: Clarksons

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $10,000

    $15,000

    $20,000

    $25,000

    $30,000

    $35,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $10,000

    $12,000

    $14,000

    $16,000

    $18,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 21

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    West African region is both a shallow

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    The incremental demand for OSV activity is

    likely to come from deepwater projects in

    Angola, Nigeria and Ghana

    Top 5 Operators: Total, Chevron, ExxonMobil,

    ENI and Perenco

    Leading Managers: The vessels market is top

    heavy, with Tidewater, Bourbon and Sanko

    Line forming ~16 - 36% share of the market

    20%

    16%

    8%7%4%

    45%

    Tidewater Bourbon Sanko LineSwire Pacif ic Maersk Supply Others

    19%

    16%

    14%

    8%6%

    37%

    Total S.A. Chevron ExxonMobilEni Perenco Others

    10%6%

    1%1%

    1%

    81%

    Tidewater Bourbon Sanko LineSwire Pacif ic Edison Chouest Others

  • 22

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV

    and deepwater play

    Utilization: The AHTS and PSV utilization in

    the region has declined gradually from high

    levels.

    Dayrates: The AHTS dayrates have nearly

    halved over the last two years. In contrast, the

    average dayrates earned by PSV stabilized

    after declining sharply

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    Source: Clarksons

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $10,000

    $15,000

    $20,000

    $25,000

    $30,000

    $35,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $10,000

    $14,000

    $18,000

    $22,000

    $26,000

    $30,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 23

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    Middle East region is primarily

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    In the region, the jack up rig count is a more

    important driver of OSV activity and demand

    Top 5 Operators: Saudi Aramco, Iranian

    Offshore, Maersk, Qatar and Belayim

    Leading Managers: In the AHTS market,

    Zamil and Tidewater hold the majority share

    while the PSV market is significantly

    fragmented

    25%

    5%4%

    4%4%

    58%

    Saudi Aramco Iranian Of fshore Maersk Qatar PetroleumBelayim Petroleum Others

    10%9%5%

    4%4%

    68%

    Zamil Co. TidewaterWhitesea Shipping Topaz MarineHalul Of fshore Others

    2%2%1%

    0.5%0.5%

    94%

    Tidewater Topaz Marine Halul Of fshore

    Zakher Marine Intermarine Others

  • 24

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV

    a shallow water play

    Utilization: Both the PSV and AHTS

    utilization levels have decreased gradually

    from high levels over the last few years

    Dayrates: Rates in this region are among the

    lowest in the world, due to shallow waters in

    the region and Saudi Aramcos ability to

    dictate pricing

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    Source: Clarksons

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $5,000

    $6,000

    $7,000

    $8,000

    $9,000

    $10,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $5,000

    $6,000

    $7,000

    $8,000

    $9,000

    $10,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 25

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    North Sea is one of the oldest and most explored offshore...

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    Application of enhanced oil recovery

    techniques is expected to drive future demand

    for OSVs in the region

    Top 5 Operators: Statoil, BP, Peterson,

    ConocoPhilips and Shell

    Leading Managers: Gulf Offshore, a subsidiary

    of Gulfmark, Simon Offshore and Siem

    Offshore

    7%6%

    6%5%

    5%

    71%

    Simon Mokster Siem Offshore Maersk Supply

    Solstad Havila Others

    14%

    8%5%

    4%4%

    65%

    Statoil BP plc Peterson

    ConocoPhillips Shell Others

    9%4%3%

    3%3%

    78%

    Gulf Of fshore Simon Mokster Island Of fshore

    Havila Rem Maritime Others

  • 26

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV

    oil and gas basins

    Utilization: The AHTS and PSV utilization

    levels have remained volatile over the last few

    years

    Dayrates: While the average dayrates earned

    by AHTS have relatively subdued, the PSV

    dayrates have displayed consistency

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    Source: Clarksons

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $10,000

    $15,000

    $20,000

    $25,000

    $30,000

    $35,000

    $40,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $10,000

    $13,000

    $16,000

    $19,000

    $22,000

    $25,000

    $28,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 27

    Leading AHTS Players

    Source: MarineBase

    Asia Pacific region offshore production has witnessed rapid

    Leading Vessel Operators

    Leading PSV Players

    Offshore production in the region has

    witnessed rapid growth over the years, driven

    by a wide array of geographic developments

    Top 5 Operators: CNOOC, Petronas, Chevron,

    PTT and Vietsovpetro

    Leading Managers: China Oilfield and

    Tidewater hold the majority share of the AHTS

    market ,while the PSV market is fragmented

    14%

    9%

    6%3%

    2%

    66%

    CNOOC Petronas Carigali Chevron PTT Vietsovpetro Others

    7%6%4%4%

    4%

    75%

    China Oilf ield Tidewater Swire Pacif ic

    Yantai Salvage Pacif ic Richf ield Others

    2%1%1%1%

    1%

    94%

    Tidewater Farstad China Oilf ield

    Bourbon Swire Pacif ic Others

  • 28

    Utilization - AHTS and PSV Utilization: The AHTS and PSV utilization

    have declined from moderately high levels and

    stayed broadly flat over 2011. However, over

    the next 12 months rates are expected to

    remain stable or tread downwards

    Dayrates: Post 1Q 2011, the average dayrates

    have declined, however, for 2012 they are

    projected to continue sideways to down

    AHTS Average earned Dayrates PSV Average earned Dayrates

    growth over the years

    Source: Clarksons

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    AHTS PSV

    $10,000

    $14,000

    $18,000

    $22,000

    $26,000

    $30,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

    $10,000

    $12,000

    $14,000

    $16,000

    $18,000

    1Q 2

    007

    1Q 2

    008

    1Q 2

    009

    1Q 2

    010

    1Q 2

    011

    1Q 2

    012

  • 29

    Market Outlook

  • 30

    AHTS: Strong outlook for 2012

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    AHTS- Global 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E

    Supply 1,409 1,609 1,755 1,864 1,927 Growth % 14% 9% 6% 3%

    Demand 1,098 1,128 1,297 1,586 1,624 Growth % 2% 15% 22% 2%

    Utilization 78% 70% 74% 85% 84%

    AHTS Global Demand and Utilization We anticipate the AHTS

    market to tighten in favor

    of vessels in 2012

    Utilization is expected to

    reach peak levels from

    2009-10

    OUTLOOK

    1,098 1,128 1,297

    1,586 1,624

    78%

    70%74%

    85% 84%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E

    AHTS Demand Utilization

  • 31

    PSV: Robust in 2012

    Source: MarineBase, Clarkson Capital Markets estimates

    PSV- Global 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E

    Supply 969 1,026 1,075 1,155 1,259 Growth % 7% 5% 7% 9%

    Demand 703 721 776 898 937 Growth % 4% 8% 10% 6%

    Utilization 73% 70% 72% 78% 74%

    PSV Global Demand and Utilization

    Utilization to mount in

    2012 , however, the PSV

    market is expected to

    come under supply side

    pressure in 2013 703 721 776

    898 937

    73%70%

    72%

    78%74%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E

    PSV Demand Utilization

    OUTLOOK

  • 32

    THANK YOU

  • 33

    DISCLAIMER

    This Investment Research is prepared by and/or disseminated by Clarkson Capital Markets (CCM). CCM is the trading name of CIS Capital Markets LLC a member of FINRA and SIPC and/or Clarkson Investment Services Limited authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and/or Clarkson Investment Services (DIFC) Limited authorized by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. CIS Capital Markets LLC (CCM or the Firm) does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. The analyst(s) producing this Investment Research acknowledges that the views, analysis and estimates expressed in this research are the opinion of the research analyst(s) writing the report (or the research department), and may not be reflective of the opinion of the CCM or any of its associated non-research personnel. PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATION INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT General disclosures in addition to specific disclosures required by certain jurisdictions CCMs ultimate parent is Clarkson PLC (London Stock Exchange; ticker CKN:L), a Public Limited Company registered in England and Wales and domiciled in the UK. Clarkson PLC was founded in 1852 and is the worlds leading integrated shipping services group, operating from 29 offices located in 17 countries on five continents. As a result of its pre-eminent position within the shipping industry, the group has an established course of dealing, stretching in some cases over many decades, with key participants in the industry. Clarkson PLC is principally an investment holding company, whose subsidiaries are primarily involved in providing shipping related services. As a result, although Clarkson PLC, or its affiliated entities, may have concluded transactions for products or services other than investment banking services from the subject company in the past 12 months, no employee of Clarkson PLC, or its affiliates, has the ability to influence the substance of the reports prepared by CCM.

  • 34

    DISCLAIMER

    IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ON SUBJECT COMPANIES As of the end of the last calendar quarter, Clarkson is not a beneficial owner of more than 1% of any class of equity for any company covered in this report. In the next [12] months, Clarkson expects to receive or does intend to seek compensation for investment banking services from entities mentioned in this report.

    In the past [12] months, Clarkson may have received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from entities mentioned in this

    report.

    Within the last 12 months, Clarkson has either provided or currently is providing non-investment banking, securities related services to and/or in the past has entered into an agreement to provide services or currently has a client related relationship with the companies covered in this report.

    Analyst as Officer or Director: Clarkson has internal policies that prohibit its analysts, persons reporting to analysts or members of their households from serving as an officer, director, advisory board member or employee of any company in the analysts area of coverage. GENERAL This report is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject CCM and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdictions. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to Clarkson.

  • 35

    DISCLAIMER

    In this disclaimer, "connected person" means, in relation to a member of CCM its shareholders directors, officers, employees and agents, its holding company, the shareholders, subsidiaries and subsidiary undertakings of its holding company and the respective directors, officers, employees and agents of each of them. This disclaimer is governed under English law and any dispute under or in connection with it shall be subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of English Courts. United Kingdom and MiFID passport jurisdictions: Distribution of this material in the UK is governed by the FSA Rules. This Report is intended only for distribution to Professional Clients and Eligible Counterparties (as defined under the rules of the FSA) and is not directed at Retail Clients (as defined under the rules of the FSA). Investment research produced by a third party and distributed to recipients in the MiFID passport jurisdictions has been identified as investment research produced by that third party and has been approved by CISL. United States of America: Distribution of this Material in the United States or to US persons is intended to be solely for major institutional investors as defined in Rule 15a-6(a)(2) under the US Securities Act of 1934. All US persons that receive this document by their acceptance thereof represent and agree that they are a major institutional investor and understand the risks involved in executing transactions in securities. Any US recipient of this Material wanting additional information or to effect any transaction in any security of financial instrument mentioned herein, must do so by contacting a registered representative of Clarkson Capital Markets, a FINRA registered broker dealer at 212.314.0900 or 713.235.7484. Investing in non-U.S. securities: Investing in non-U.S. securities may entail certain risks. The securities of non-U.S. issuers may not be registered with, nor be subject to the reporting requirements of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. There may be limited information available on foreign securities. Offshore companies are generally not subject to uniform audit and reporting standards, practices and requirements comparable to those in the U.S. Securities of some foreign companies may be less liquid and their prices more volatile than securities of comparable US entities. In addition, exchange rate movements may have an adverse effect on the value of an investment in a foreign security and its corresponding dividend payment for U.S. investors. Net dividends to ADRs, if applicable are estimated, using withholding tax rates conventions, deemed accurate, but investors are urged to consult their tax advisor for exact dividend computations. Investors who have received this report from a member of Clarkson may be prohibited in certain states or other jurisdictions from purchasing securities mentioned in this report from a member of Clarkson. This Report may discuss numerous securities, some of which may not be qualified for sale in certain states and may therefore not be offered to investors in such states. This document should not be construed as providing investment services. Investing in non-U.S. securities including ADRs involves significant risks such as fluctuation of exchange rates that may have adverse effects on the value or price of income derived from the security. Securities of some foreign companies may be less liquid and prices more volatile than securities of U.S. companies. Securities of non-U.S. issuers may not be registered with or subject to Securities and Exchange Commission reporting requirements; therefore, information regarding such issuers may be limited. United Arab Emirates and applicable Middle East jurisdictions: Distribution of this material is governed by the DFSA rules. This information is intended for Professional Clients and market counterparties only and should not be relied upon by, retail clients. Clarkson Investment Services (DIFC) Limited has not been a party to or had any material input towards this Report. Clarkson Investment Services (DIFC) Limited aims to be transparent, fair in business dealings and adhere to DFSA conflicts of interest requirements.

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