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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report Organized by In collaboration with

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Page 1: Organized by In collaboration with Out Reach Event_Re… · The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 4 Highlight the key findings of the IPCC SREX and facilitate discussion and debate

The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report

Organized by

In collaboration with

Page 2: Organized by In collaboration with Out Reach Event_Re… · The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 4 Highlight the key findings of the IPCC SREX and facilitate discussion and debate

The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report

Contents Introduction .................................................................................................. 3

Inaugural Session .......................................................................................... 4

Panel Discussion ............................................................................................ 8

Question & Answer Session ........................................................................... 13

Way Forward ............................................................................................... 15

Annex 1: Speakers Profile ............................................................................. 16

Dr. Rajendra K. Pachauri ............................................................................ 17

Rana Muhammad Farooq Saeed Khan .......................................................... 18

Muhammed Javed Malik ............................................................................. 19

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir ................................................................................. 20

Ali Tauqeer Sheikh .................................................................................... 20

Dr. Mihir Bhatt .......................................................................................... 22

Dr. Bach Tan Sinh ..................................................................................... 22

Prof. Dr. M. Alimullah Miyan ....................................................................... 23

Dr. Mohammed Rahimi .............................................................................. 24

Annex 2: Programme Agenda ....................................................................... 25

Annex 3: Event Pictures ................................................................................ 29

Inaugural Session ..................................................................................... 30

Panel Discussion ....................................................................................... 32

Press Conference ...................................................................................... 33

Annex 4: Media Coverage ............................................................................. 34

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 3

Introduction

The SREX National Outreach Event is a part of a series of initiatives aimed at disseminating

“The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to

Advance Climate Change Adaptation” (SREX) in Pakistan and promoting dialogue among a

wide range of stakeholders on the implication of the report for the country. This includes

facilitating online dissemination and debate using LEAD Pakistan’s website and online

networks, integrating the IPCC SREX within LEAD Pakistan’s cohort training programme,

and getting national and local media coverage on SREX.

The SREX is the outcome of cross-disciplinary teamwork between scientists studying the

physical aspects of climate change, scientists with expertise in impacts, adaptation and

vulnerability as well as experts in disaster risk management. The SREX has assessed a

wealth of new studies, and new global and regional modelling results that were not available

at the time of the Fourth Assessment Report in 2007, its last major assessment of climate

change science.

In April and May 2012, the report has been presented to policy-makers in half a dozen

locations in Latin America, Asia and Africa, with the support of the Norwegian government

and the Climate & Development Knowledge Network. As many countries, including

developing countries like Pakistan, face severe challenges in coping with climate-related

disasters and this report is a rich source of knowledge for them, therefore it was very

pertinent to launch the IPCC SREX in Pakistan.

The launch event in Pakistan was managed by LEAD Pakistan, a registered NGO in Pakistan

with a focus on leadership, capacity enhancement, public policy initiatives and proactive

stakeholder engagement. LEAD Pakistan also manages various networks, including the

National Alliance for Climate Change (NACA) – a membership-based network affecting

climate change adaptation through 200 grassroots CSOs across Pakistan; and the Climate

Leaders Action Network (CLAN) which creates global reach in adaptation through various

experts and scores of LEAD Fellows spread across the world.

LEAD Pakistan is an alliance partner of the Climate Development Knowledge Network

(CDKN) and manages CDKN’s engagements in Asia. CDKN supports policy-makers to design

and deliver climate compatible development policies and programmes and has around 30

projects underway across Asia.

LEAD Pakistan forged a partnership with the National Disaster Management Authority

(NDMA), the Ministry of Climate Change and other policy and practioner partners to design

and implement the national outreach event. The event was jointly hosted by the Ministry of

Climate Change and the NDMA, thereby promoting the idea of integration of climate change

within DRM.

The goal of the event will be to increase integration and coordination between climate

change and DRM in Pakistan. It had the following objectives:

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Highlight the key findings of the IPCC SREX and facilitate discussion and debate on

the report;

Raise awareness of the urgent need for action on climate extremes and disasters;

Promote dialogue and collaboration between policy-makers and practitioners working

on climate change and DRM;

Inaugural Session

Followed by the registration of participants between 9:30 am and 10:00 am, the Opening

Session of the S-REX Outreach Event formally began with recitation from a few verses of

the Holy Quran by Omair Shabbir, followed by the Chairman NDMA, Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir,

welcoming the audience and introducing the panel.

The podium was then handed over to Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, the CEO of LEAD Pakistan who

started off with wishing LEAD Pakistan its 16th birthday. He further said that he felt honored

that Dr. Pachauri accepted his invitation to come to Pakistan for this outreach event, and

not only did he come alone, he also brought his entourage of fellow writers of the S-REX

report from the region. He said that this report has done what many struggled to do for so

many years; it brought science to the door step of policy makers, for them to make an

informed choice. This report went a step further to prove that Climate Change is not merely

a theory or a concoction, but it is a reality. The only critique of the report Mr. Sheikh could

offer was that it was dense and not very easy to read, especially by a layman or a policy

maker, but this still is evidence of good science. He next explained that the report was

produces as a result of the hard work of 220 authors from 62 countries around the world,

over the duration of three years. He stressed that the findings of this report are increasingly

important for a country like ours which has experienced a series of extreme climatic events,

which were extreme not only in their magnitude and intensity, but also intense in terms of

people’s sufferings, and economic and financial resources.

Mr. Sheikh went onto relate how he, through Climate Development and Knowledge Network

(CDKN), approached the IPCC and asked them if there was a way ordinary people with

limited scientific know-how could read the S-REX Report, so as to be able to take action in

the right direction, and also to disseminate it wider to policy makers. He gave a personal

example saying that 800 pages are too dense for a person like him with limited attention

span. He explained how delighted he was that the IPCC agreed and they were thus able to

publish the abridged version which people with non scientific back ground could understand.

He said he was delighted the after the launch of S-REX in Beijing, Bangkok and Delhi, LEAD

Pakistan, NDMA, CDKN, TERI and the IPCC could launch it in Islamabad.

Mr. Sheikh expressed his gratitude and welcomed lead authors of the S-REX report from

Vietnam, Iran, Bangladesh and India, and how they were able to constitute a regional

working group in the morning, not only to draw attention to the importance of, and

techniques of adaptation, but also to translate this into action. He said the world has less

patience now to understand vulnerability, but it has a great deal of appetite for building

capacity and taking appropriate action when it came to adaptation. The world needs to

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understand the complex interdependence of climatic events across countries. What happens

in North America in terms of Climate Change may very well affect Asia. Furthermore, Asia is

suffering from immense water issues ranging from extreme floods to extreme droughts.

Based on this foresight, the regional group is determined to meet again to explore research

areas where action could be envisioned on these themes. He went over the schedule of

meetings, stating that the second meeting of the regional working group was scheduled for

July in Vietnam, the third in August in Bangladesh, and the fourth in Indonesia. He said that

this action orientation will need support and sponsorship from the Ministry of Climate

Change, Government of Pakistan. The world is waiting for us to act and to enhance our

resilience and capabilities.

He ended his speech by expressing a great deal of concern over the fact that although

Pakistan is among those being hit the hardest by Climate Change, but there was not a

single citation or a single scientist involved in the S-REX report from Pakistan. Unless we

don’t do active research and produce evidence, unless we don’t undertake scientific

research and publish findings in internationally recognized journals, we cannot showcase our

vulnerabilities, our part of the story, to the world. He said this is a serious concern and we

need to pay more attention to it.

The Facilitator, Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir thanked Mr. Sheikh by commenting that the Asian,

reader friendly version of S-REX report has made our jobs easier to translate it into policy

orientation. He once again thanked Dr. Pachauri and other lead authors for accepting the

invitation and coming to Pakistan for this launch. He said that Mr. Sheikh has rightly pointed

out the immediate need to translate the recommendations from the report into action by the

government of Pakistan and all other stakeholders. He then handed over the podium to Mr.

Javed Malik, the Secretary of the Ministry of Climate Change, Government of Pakistan.

Mr. Javed Malik began be negating Mr. Sheikh claiming that GCISC (Global Change Impact

Studies Center) was in fact linked to the outcomes of the S-REX report. He then also

thanked all the scientists at the IPCC who had contributed to the preparation of the report.

He said the distillation of their hard work into this document which focuses on the crucial

area is of grave importance. These are the areas (global warming and Climate Change)

which are negatively affecting our growth and development very acutely, which threaten a

lot of our people, especially in low lying areas. The figures which have come forward are

rather horrifying. There was a rise of one degree centigrade in the last decade, and

projections show that the average temperatures may rise as much as by six degree

centigrade. We are all trying to keep this genie within the bottle but unfortunately it is

proving to be very hard. The scenario in Pakistan is not much different either.

We must take this opportunity and thank Mr. Chairman (Dr. Pachauri) as the fourth country

for launching this report. The complex phenomenon of Climate Change does not recognize

boundaries, rather it transcends all boundaries. The droughts Pakistan suffered from earlier

in this decade, and the recent floods are proof of how acutely we are all affected by Climate

Change. This challenge is now too big to be handled independently; we need to tackle it

collectively.

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We (the Ministry of Climate Change) recently went to Rio (Rio + 20 United Nations

Conference for Sustainable Development) to see the progress we (the world) has made in

the last twenty years, and unfortunately they weren’t upto the expectations. The outcome

document that was produced as a result of the negotiations was also innocuous since it only

relates to what has already happened and what the world is presently going through, rather

than giving concrete recommendations as to how to take appropriate actions. The original

report of the Earth Summit in 1992 at least had concrete steps and produces Agenda 21,

but this report was very casual in terms of identifying and subsequently filling up the gaps

of the last twenty years, as well as in laying down an Action Plan which we need to follow

collectively. Even CoP (Conference of Parties) Meetings in Durban, Bali, Copenhagen and

Cancun produced Action Plans, which Rio +20 lacked. We have to think together and work

together to effectively handle the challenges we are facing today.

Mr. Malik then referred to the task force on Climate Change and the NSDS which Pakistan

produced prior to Rio +20 as efforts the Government of Pakistan was taking towards this

cause. He said that we need to be diversified and mainstream climate change in all sectors-

marine eco systems, droughts, floods, desertification etc. we need to control the emissions

of Greenhouse Gases to limit ourselves to remain in our pre-determined targets. Pakistan is

badly lacking in creating awareness of Climate Change and Global Warming. When you talk

to Pakistani people about Climate Change, they think you have come from the

Meteorological department. We need to recognize the fact that population increase and

urbanization, both contribute to increasing Greenhouse Gas emissions, and Pakistan is

leading in both in the region. Forty years ago, Pakistan was a water abundant country, and

now we are water constraint; water availability per capita has decreased to one-sixth in

these forty years. To add to the problem, our forest cover is also very low.

He ended by saying that adaptation and mitigation need finances as well as technology.

Finances may be generated within the country, but we need technology. We (Pakistan)

debates on this issue on all forums and in CoP meetings. We need technology to be able to

mitigate and adapt to Climate Change in an affective manner.

The Facilitator, Dr. Zafar Iqbal thanked the Secretary, Ministry of Climate Change,

Government of Pakistan, for shedding light on the successes of the task force, as well as

sharing with the audience the problems of urbanization in Pakistan. He next handed the

floor to the Chairman IPCC, Dr. R K Pachauri.

Dr. Pachauri started off with expressing his gratitude for being in Pakistan. He said he felt

deeply privileged to be in Pakistan. He said that he always senses a high level of warmth

every time he visits the country, and this warmth has nothing to do with Climate Change,

but rather this is the enormous warmth that exists in the hearts of the Pakistani people. He

thanked the Pakistani people for their immense hospitality which was extended not only to

him, but also to his colleagues and friends and fellow writers from the region.

Dr. Pachauri then narrated a brief history of the IPCC which was established in 1988

through a United Nations Resolution so that the general public could be informed on Climate

Change, and appropriate decisions could be taken as a result. However, he pointed out that

the IPCC doesn’t recommend one action or the other, rather it comes up with a generic set

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of choices that can be adopted and adapted to specific context in countries, which he said,

is evident from the title of this report. The title clearly says it all- either adaptation or

mitigation is not an option anymore, we evidently need a combination of both. International

actors therefore need to identify the precise combination of adaptation and mitigation

needed which is in conjunction with the IPCC framework which best addresses the needs of

their country/ region. He reiterated that the S-REX report highlights the urgency of the

action that is needed in this regard. Adaptation techniques have to differ and it needs to be

carried out at the local level, but as far as mitigation is concerned, it needs to be tackled at

the global level. The difference between average temperatures from the ice age to the

present inter glacial age was a mere five degrees Celsius. Hence if we don’t act now, we are

headed towards total destruction, since the average temperatures are expected to rise from

anywhere between one and six degree Celsius at the turn of the century.

He said that changing climate leads to changing extreme weather and climatic events. Heat

waves which used to occur once in every twenty years may now increase in frequency and

may now start occurring once in every two years by the turn of the century. He gave the

example of Andra Pradesh where there was no early warning system during the heat wave

that came last year. Climate change and its impacts will be felt on food and forests which is

besides the impacts that it will have because of extreme events. He gave the example of the

whet crop saying that it is very sensitive to heat and we need to keep this in mind especially

given the world is already food insecure. This will especially have drastic impacts on small

farmers and fisher folk. We should also note that industry is closely related to Climate

Change and it is interdependent among climates of different countries. He gave the example

of how the automobile industry in Japan was negatively affected by floods in Thailand since

Japan imports a lot of its parts from Thailand. We live in an interdependent world and we

cannot ignore what happens in other countries and pretend that it won’t affect us. We

cannot escape and claim that Climate Change in one country will not affect our country.

Malnutrition will increase, as will deaths, injuries (related to Climate Change), as well as

diarrheal and cardio respiratory diseases, especially as a result of heat waves. Climate

Change will affect the vulnerable communities, and their vulnerabilities will only multiply as

a result of climate change. Without appropriate measures, climate change will likely

exacerbate the poverty situation and continue to slow down economic growth in developing

countries.

Dr. Pachauri then went on to explain the complex interdependence of Weather and Climatic

Events, Vulnerability and Exposure which increase the risks of disasters. Socioeconomic

development interacts with natural climate variations and human caused climate change to

influence disaster risk. Moreover increasing vulnerability, exposure, or severity and

frequency of Climate Events increases disaster risk. Disaster risk management and climate

change adaptation can influence the degree to which extreme events translate into impacts

and disasters. What is even more drastic is the fact that for exposed and vulnerable

communities, even non extreme weather and climate events can have extreme impacts.

Increasing exposure of people and assets has been the major cause of changes in disaster

losses. The Pakistani floods in 2010 illustrated the importance of governance and resilience

and vulnerability in terms of emergency management. This also highlights the importance of

risk communication for effective risk management and climate change adaptation. Even

though the floods in 2011 had the same intensity as those of 2010, the loss in terms of

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human lives was far less. Furthermore, fatalities are higher in developing countries.

Between 1970 and 2008, over 95% of natural disaster related deaths occurred in

developing countries.

He then said that there are strategies that can help manage disaster risk now and also help

improve people’s livelihoods and well being. He said that the most effective strategies offer

development benefits in the relatively near term and reduce vulnerability in the longer term.

But effective risk management and adaptation need to be tailored to local and regional

needs and circumstances. This is not only because changes in climatic extremes vary

greatly across regions, but also because each region has its own unique vulnerabilities and

exposure to hazards.

Dr.Zafar Iqbal Qadir then thanked Dr. Pachauri and invited Mr. Rana Muhammad Farooq

Saeed Khan, the Federal Minister of Climate Change, Government of Pakistan to the floor.

The Minister began with thanking Dr. Pachauri and other lead authors for coming to

Pakistan and their contributions to this field. He started narrating his story and saying that

the Ministry of Climate Change is a new thing for me. He said that the monsoon rains in

2010 and 2011 and subsequent floods in the country created a great deal of awareness

regarding Climate Change in Pakistan. He said that this was a difficult time for Pakistan as it

was facing a severe natural calamity. He then appreciated Dr. Pachauri saying that he has

done a great deal of work regarding Climate Change in the world and that he thinks of him

as a teacher and mentor, claiming to be a humble student of Dr. Pachauri. He further said

that when he was the Textile Minister, he knew nothing about the field and learnt from the

great masters and gurus, and was ultimately successful in making the first ever textile

policy of Pakistan, and laughed at the fact that he has become a student again at this age,

who knows nothing about theory; but he claimed to be a practical man while assuring

everyone that he will act effectively. He said that the biggest challenge for him is that the

country is going to face monsoon rains very soon again. He shared that he has started

touring the country, and is satisfied with the preparatory work the KPK and Sindh

governments have done; only Punjab is not on board even though w have written to them

many times. He promised to go in the field and survey the places himself where he has

learnt of any complaints about breaches. He emphasized that we have to work together with

an immense amount of discipline to be able to tackle these threats effectively. He also

thanked the print media since they have done a lot to create awareness, and urged them to

continue to do more. He again ended with thanking Dr. Pachauri and the lead authors,

especially his brothers from Bangladesh, and said that the Ministry has learnt a lot from the

document they have produced.

Panel Discussion

Followed by tea, the Panel Discussion started on Major Implications for the South Asian

Region- What are the implications of the IPCC S-REX for Pakistan: What needs to Change?

The session posed the following key questions:

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What have we learnt from the 2010 and 2011 floods? What can we expect in 2012?

How prepared is the nation for climate extremes and disasters? What is needed?

Who is responsible after the constitutional amendment? Are the provinces ready to

act?

What can we learn from other countries? Case studies from relevant countries.

What is the role of the private sector? Is a risk insurance programme the future?

How to prioritize the most vulnerable? Particularly women, youth and marginalized

communities.

Mr. Mihir Bhatt started the Panel discussion with presenting and discussing the ninth chapter

of the report for which he is among the three coordinating authors. This chapter, he

explained, gives examples in terms of people and places, which is a significant departure

from previous reports, but this is in no means perfect as a lot can be added in future

reports. He said that the main findings of this chapter points out that preparedness through

Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Disaster Risk Management (DRM) can help better adapt

for Climate Change.

He then went over the effort and the hard work that went into writing this particular chapter

of the S-REX Report, which had 83 different scientists involved. Like the rest of the report,

this is a well scrutinized chapter as it was reviewed by not only scientists, but also policy

makers and civil society organizations. In fact, the zero draft alone received over twelve

thousand comments. He further explained that the chapter, like the rest of the report has

been criticized for not covering more examples, and for not giving a clear and concise way

forward, but he said that this is a scientific report and policy makers and actors have to pick

and choose the option that are best suited for their respective countries.

Mr. Bhatt then went over the contents of his presentation with the case studies he was to go

over and how enabling policies and responsive institutions lead towards effective community

action. He then started off with a case study on Cyclones giving the example that despite

the fact that Cyclone Nargis in 2010 was slightly less than and affected fewer people than

Cyclone Sidr of 2007 in Bangladesh, it resulted in higher human losses, 138,000 fatalities as

compared to 3,400. He explained that this was because of significant observed differences

between the quality of governance and investments in cyclone preparedness and

reforestation efforts. He said that there was a sevenfold increase in cyclone shelters and a

twofold increase in volunteers between 1991 and 2007, with approximately three million

people being safely evacuated prior to the landfall that occurred during Sidr in 2007.

Moreover, the Sundarbans provided an effective attenuation buffer during Sidr greatly

reducing the impact of the storm surge.

He then described the case of Mumbai, a coastal megacity. With around 49% of its

population in slum areas according to the 2001 Census of India, the city received 94cm of

rain within twenty four hours in July 2005, with the storm leaving more than a thousand

people dead, mostly in slums. Presently, Mumbai is the city with the largest population

exposed to coastal flooding. Currently estimated at over 2.79 million, this figure is expected

to increase to 11 million by 2070. Therefore, the need to adapt is especially acute in

developing countries in Asia given that 14 of the top 20 urban agglomerations projected to

have the greatest exposure of assets in 2070 are in developing countries in this region.

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Mr. Bhatt then explained that small islands are also extremely vulnerable to effects of

climate change, sea level rise and extreme events. These small islands usually have small

economies highly dependent on agriculture, fisheries and tourism, making them more

susceptible to negative impacts of climate change. He quoted Mimura (2007) as saying that

under most climate change scenarios, water resources in small islands are likely to be

seriously compromised. He gave the example of the Maldives, how according to World Bank

estimates, the economic and survival challenges of the people of Maldives were

compromised as the 2004 tsunami caused equivalent to around 62% of National news. And

as of 2009, the country still faced a deficit of over $150 million for construction.

He then went over the role of insurance and other instrument in Disaster Risk Management

(DRM) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) in developing countries. Traditional methods

of financing disaster recovery have proved to be ineffective and inadequate in managing

large scale disasters as observed in recent extreme climatic events. There is however robust

evidence which suggest that risk transfer instruments may help reduce this gap, thus

enabling recovery. Moreover, experience in developed countries has demonstrated

additional ways in which insurance and other such risk transfer instruments have promoted

Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and CCA. This includes awareness raising through risk

assessments and incentivizing risk reduction with lower premiums. Insurers and other

service providers can make risk reduction a contractual stipulation, for instance, by

requiring fire safety measures as a condition for insuring a house or a business.

Mr. Bhatt then talked about education, training and public awareness raising as initiatives

for DRR and Adaptation. He quoted UNISDR studies which point out that the negative

impacts of disasters can be substantially reduced if people are well informed and motivated

to prevent risk and to build their own resilience. The 2006-07 international campaign

‘Disaster Risk Reduction Begins at Schools’ raised awareness of the importance of education

with 55 governments undertaking awareness raising activities and 22 governments

reporting success in making schools safer. It should be noted that integrating climate

change information into DRR education and subsequently integrating both into various

subject matters is simple and effective.

He ended with the synthesis of the key lessons drawn from these case studies. Firstly, there

is a need for improving international cooperation and investments in forecasting and

regional and local early warning systems. Secondly, it is important to invest in preventive-

based DRR plans, strategies, and tools for adaptation than in response to extreme events.

Moreover, legal and regulatory frameworks are beneficial in ensuring direction, coordination,

and effective use of funds. Also, risk transfer can be linked to DRR and CCA by providing

knowledge and incentives for reducing risk, reducing vulnerability, and enabling recovery.

And lastly, investing in knowledge at primary to higher education levels produces significant

DRR and DRM benefits.

Mr. Mihir Bhatt hen handed over the podium to Prof. Dr. Alimullah Miyan who started off by

saying that he has always been extremely impressed by the beauty and warm heartedness

of the people of Pakistan. He said that he contributed towards the sixth chapter of the

report, which is on National Government. He emphasized on the need for driver of action,

and on willingness to learn. He said there is a similarity between Bangladesh and Pakistan

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with their history of creating the disaster management authorities, but he said that the case

of Pakistan is better since it established its National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)

within the Prime Minister’s Secretariat. He emphasized that the state must be the prime

mover and actor in terms of saving and protecting lives of its people, and this is very critical

in terms of disaster management. There is a great need for the state to recognize its role in

various levels- in the center, provincial and district levels. The state should not be a

monolithic phenomenon but a pluralistic one. He said that there is a lack of evidence based

knowledge in Asia. The S-REX report if very much live as it recognizes the preciousness of

human lives as well as eco systems and nature. He gave the example of Bangladesh of how

it is trying to be proactive by training volunteers to work during earthquakes. Moreover,

Bangladesh although has invested a great deal in raising public awareness, but has not

invested enough in knowledge development and Research and Development.

The floor was then handed over to Dr. Bach Tan Sinh who began by thanking the

Government of Pakistan for inviting him at this forum as a lead author of the S-REX report.

After going over the contents of his presentation, he said that a changing climate leads to

changes in extreme weather and climatic events. The impacts of weather and climatic

events depend upon the nature and the severity of the event, vulnerability, and exposure.

Socioeconomic development interacts with natural climate variations and human-caused

climate change to influence disaster risk. While describing the inter linkages between the

core concepts of S- REX report, increasing vulnerability, exposure, or severity and frequency

of climate events increases disaster risk. However, disaster risk management and climate

change adaptation can influence the degree to which extreme events translate into impacts

and disasters. Both changes in vulnerability and exposure and changes in weather and

extreme climate events contribute and combine to create disaster risk. Thus, there is a need

to address both disaster risk management (DRM) and climate change adaptation (CCA) in

development processes.

Dr. Sinh next talked about effective risk management and adaptation, saying that

information on vulnerability, exposure, and changing climate extremes can together inform

adaptation and disaster risk management. Moreover, effective risk management and

adaptation need to be tailored to local and regional needs and circumstances. This is

because not only do changes in climatic extremes vary across regions, but also each region

has unique vulnerabilities and exposures to hazards, and effective risk management and

adaptation address the factors contributing to both exposure and vulnerability. He said that

managing risks of disasters in a changing climate benefits from an iterative process learning

from monitoring, evaluation, learning and innovation. Learning-by-doing and low-regrets

actions can help reduce risks now and also promote future adaptation. He said that there

are strategies that can help manage disaster risk now and also help improve people’s

livelihoods and well-being, but the most effective strategies offer development benefits in

the relatively near term and reduce vulnerability over the longer term.

He said that the key messages the S-REX report, and in particular this chapter is that

increasing exposure of people and assets has been the major cause of changes in disaster

losses. Policymakers should bear in mind that fatalities due to climate change are higher in

developing countries, which is evident from the fact that between 1970 and 2008, over 95%

of natural-disaster-related deaths occurred in developing countries. Moreover, physical

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exposure to tropical cyclones and floods is the highest in Asia, where most countries are

developing.

Dr. Sinh then went over the implications for Pakistan saying that the country needs to

reassess its vulnerability and exposure to better manage disaster risk. There is a need to

address DRM and CCA in development process. Pakistan also has a need for new and better

disaster risk assessment that takes climate change into account, which requires the

reassessment of what level of risk of being accepted. Moreover, it is important for Pakistan

to highlight changing climate related disaster risks to policy makers working in other policy

domains. The country also needs to strengthen integration of financing and programming

mechanism to support adaptation and risk management across development sectors. He

ended by going over the factors for integrating DRM, CCA and resilience building, these

factors include: the capacity to reconcile short and long term goals; the willingness to

reconcile diverse expression of risk in multi-hazard and multi-stressor contexts; the

integration of DRM and CCA into other social and economic policy processes; innovative,

reflexive and transformative leaders; adaptive, responsive and accountable governance;

greater support for flexibility, innovation and learning; the ability to identify and address the

root causes of vulnerability; and, long term commitment to managing risk and uncertainty

and promoting risk-based thinking. He ended by saying that dealing with climate change is

not about relief and charity, but rather it should be integrated within mainstream

development.

The floor was then handed to Dr. Mohammad Rahimi, who thanked LEAD Pakistan and the

NDMA, with other sponsors, for having this event in Pakistan. He then went over the

persistent and rigorous hard work than went in producing the S-REX report which took two

and a half years in preparation. He then gave an overview of the third chapter for which he

was one of the thirteen lead authors, him being the youngest. He said that this was the

biggest group of lead authors, and this is also the largest chapter of the report with over a

hundred pages. The chapter alone received over five thousand comments and has used data

from over nine hundred references. The chapter provides regional assessments of changes

in extremes of temperature, heavy precipitation, drought in tables and figures. The lead

authors tired to balance needs of policymakers for regional projections, with the need for

scientific credibility.

He said the key messages based on observations since 1950 are that there will be a Very

likely increase in warm days and nights & decrease in cold days and nights on global scale;

likely that more regions have experienced increases than decreases in heavy precipitation

events; likely that there has been an increase in extreme coastal high water related to

increases in mean sea level; medium confidence that some regions of the world have

experienced more intense and longer droughts, but in some regions droughts have become

less frequent, less intense, or shorter; and, low confidence in any observed long-term (i.e.,

40 years or more) increases in tropical cyclone activity. The uncertainties in the historical

tropical cyclone records, the incomplete understanding of the physical mechanisms linking

tropical cyclone metrics to climate change, and the degree of tropical cyclone variability

provide only low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in tropical cyclone

activity to anthropogenic influences.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 13

Evidence has shown that Asia has suffered from more temperature and precipitation

extremes since 1950 than any other continent in the world, with North Asia having suffered

from 18 such extremes, Central Asia 20, East Asia 22, South Asia 23, West Asia 19, and the

Tibetan Plateau suffered from 21 such extremes. Based on this data, the key messages with

regards to project changes in this chapter state that it is virtually certain that increases in

the frequency and magnitude of warm daily temperature extremes and decreases in cold

extremes will occur; it is likely that the frequency of heavy precipitation or the proportion of

total rainfall from heavy falls will increase over many areas; it can be said with medium

confidence that droughts will intensify in some seasons and areas; it is very likely that

mean sea level rise will contribute to upward trends in extreme coastal high water levels;

there is low confidence in projections of changes in tropical cyclone genesis, location, tracks,

duration, or areas of impact; it is likely that tropical cyclone related rainfall rates will

increase with greenhouse warming; the average tropical cyclone maximum wind speed is

likely to increase, although increases may not occur in all ocean basins; and, while it is

likely that the global frequency of tropical cyclones will either decrease or remain essentially

unchanged, it is more likely than not that the frequency of the most intense storms will

increase substantially in some ocean basins.

In his final remarks, Dr. Muhammad Rahimi said that regional and international scientists

must collaborate together for such research and for producing such reports. We should see

the natural disasters which occurred in the past as light for future in terms of learning to

minimize losses. Moreover, greenhouse gas emission responsible/ preparedness programs

should be encouraged to reduce the effects of global warming. Climate modeling should be

downscaled at national and regional levels to formulate preparedness program accordingly

suited to the local needs of the people. He also emphasized on the need for risk

management and crisis management. He said that while he has no recipe for Pakistan or

Iran to come out of this conundrum, scientists from all over the world need to work together

for a regional solution for Asia.

Question & Answer Session

The Panel discussion was followed by a question and answer session. An official from the

Pakistan Metrological Department (PMD) stressed that given that more than 90% of the

disasters in Pakistan are due to natural causes, the country must prepare a compendium of

all such disasters that have occurred in Pakistan for future research. He said that the PMD

has all relevant data available. He said that there is a need to document these disasters not

only for future research but also for disaster management. He also stressed that we must

be clear in the terminology that we use. Climate extremes are different from weather

extremes. While climate deals with the long term phenomenon, weather is short term.

An official from the NDMA also emphasized on the need for documenting local case studies

to feed into IPCC research for its future such reports. Although the S-REX Chapter on

Pakistan may be lost for now but organizations such as the NDMA may prove to be useful in

providing information on Pakistan for future reports. He also pointed out towards the need

to bring in regional researchers so that they may be able to document indigenous

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 14

knowledge the people of the country may have. The country also needs to have profound

representation in regional groups so that the points of views of Pakistan may be reflected

adequately.

Dr. Sinh reinforced the need for documentation and learning, not only to record natural

impacts, but also for regional impacts. He said that while we are facing so many disasters,

we are also suffering from short term memory as we forget the previous disaster as soon

the next one occurs.

Prof. Dr. Miyan urged everyone present not to use the term case study as loosely, even a

case study to be used by the IPCC has to be published in a peer reviewed journal. Even case

studies need to be very rigorous and scientific. He said that we do not realize the role of the

knowledge industry, even during disasters, since our activities are limited to relief and

rehabilitation. There is a gap that needs to be addressed for proper research to be

conducted.

Mr. Sheikh added that we (those present, especially Pakistani) need to understand the life

cycle of a refereed journal which may be as long as three years if not longer. He said that a

lot more scientific research needs to be done in Pakistan, but we have to keep in our minds

this life cycle to be able to get published.

Mr. Jawed Ali Khan, Director General Environment, Ministry of Climate Change, Government

of Pakistan talked about GCISC and that it has produced hard core scientific reports, and

has also worked for countries such as Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Sri Lanka. He talked

about the need for down scaling to be able to talk about regional events. He also shared

that they have submitted a proposal for GCISC to be considered as part of the SAARC

centre. He also added that the lead author for GR-5 is a Pakistani and is from GCISC. He

further elaborated on APN funded projects GCISC has worked on.

Mr. Azhar Qureshi, who runs a private environmental organization, asked whether the S-

REX report had any inbuilt action agenda to take forward, and how the information that it

presents can be translated into policy action. Mr. Mihir Bhatt answered that the S-REX

report only gives certain options, and that it does have policy messages written. He said

that we need to bear in mind that this is a scientific report and will not dictate exactly what

needs to be done. He further added that although no sector specific recommendations are

given in the report, but rather has some general recommendations.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 15

Way Forward

Mr. Mihir Bhatt, taking the lead in wrapping up the event, stated that he was excited that

the fourth launch of the S-REX report happened in Islamabad, Pakistan because of the

direct focus of the authorities, the ministers, as well as the audience, on what should be

done as the way forward for the country and the region. He said it is very positive that they

haven’t engaged in debate over definitional issues but have dived straight into extracting

actions from the report. He then commented on the Regional Working Group which was

constituted in the morning which will discuss the utilization of the S-REX report, with a

special focus on water- ranging from droughts to floods, and said that this was an open

group with other countries welcomed to join. He then remarked that the NDMA is thinking

along the right lines when they talked about producing case studies on the disasters

occurred in Pakistan, saying that there may even be potential for producing climate disaster

management case studies. He further stated that Pakistan may well be able to publish a

report like S-REX. He said such a report could also shed light to the positive stories that

have taken place, like initiatives taken be small farmers.

He also talked about how a scoping study could be done o how to operationalize the S-REX

for Pakistan, to come up with a list of the sort of concrete projects that could be taken up,

and subsequently implement these project based on their relevance with the help of various

donors and actors. Ha also talked about the need to get attention of various groups and

actors. He said that all the material is present in the report; it just needs to be simplified for

various groups of people in order to institutionalize it.

Mr. Bhatt then talked about how to make sure that the case studies Pakistan produces

actually become part of future reports. He recommended that case studies be used also as

methodologies apart from incorporating spatial data. He also pointed out towards the need

to mainstream the tools and techniques on how to write a case study focused on climate

change. He recommended that this could be a concrete contribution for Pakistan not only for

its ownself, but also regionally.

He commented that the SAARC center was a good initiative by Pakistan and strengthening

is definitely the next good logical next step. Moreover, climate modeling, in terms of

downscaling is something we all need to do for our respective countries, and provinces and

districts, but we need to be balanced in this.

Lastly he emphasized that it would be useful to have a list of participants here for a good

follow up, and also to produce a succinct report about the event that took place today, and

discuss how this is the first step in internalizing the S-REX within Pakistan, rather than

merely reporting what just happened.

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Annex 1: Speakers Profile

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 17

Dr. Rajendra K. Pachauri Director General, TERI

Dr Pachauri has been with TERI since 1982, when he joined as Director and was then

redesignated as Director-General in April 2001. Since 1998, he has also been Chancellor, TERI University.

Under Dr Pachauri's leadership, TERI today has emerged as one of the few action-oriented

interdisciplinary institutions in the world and one that firmly believes that its research and

findings must result in implementation to improve the human condition . It has developed

into a hands-on, solution oriented change agent undertaking need-responsive research, opinion creation and capacity building.

His career commenced with the Diesel Locomotive Works, Varanasi, where he held several

managerial positions. Dr Pachauri then went on to join the North Carolina State University in

Raleigh, USA, where he obtained an MS in industrial engineering in 1972, a Ph.D. in

industrial engineering and a Ph.D. in economics. He also served as Assistant Professor in

1974-75 and was later a Visiting Faculty Member in the Department of Economics and

Business. On his return to India in 1975, he joined the Administrative Staff College of India,

Hyderabad, as Member Senior Faculty and went on to become Director, Consulting and Applied Research Division.

Prominently known for his research on environmental issues, Dr Pachauri has received both

national and international acclaim for his efforts in building awareness and understanding

about man-made climate change including laying the foundation for measures required to

adapt to and mitigate these changes and their policy dimensions.

In April 2002, Dr Pachauri was elected the Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on

Climate Change, as position to which he was re-elected in September 2008. IPCC along with former Vice President Al Gore was awarded the “Nobel Peace Prize” for the year 2007.

He has been conferred with the “Padma Vibhushan”, second highest civilian award, for his

services in the field of science and engineering in January 2008 by the President of India

and received the 'Officier De La LégionD'Honneur' from the Government of France in 2006.

He has also been conferred with ‘The Order of the Rising Sun, Gold and Silver Star' by His

Majesty Akihito, Emperor of Japan, the ‘Commander of the Order of the White Rose of

Finland' by the Prime Minister of Finland and the ‘Commander of the Order of Leopold II' by

the King of the Belgians.

Dr Pachauri's wide-ranging expertise has resulted in his membership of various international

and national committees and boards. At the international level, his current positions include

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 18

Member, Advisory Board for the Clinton Climate Initiative, USA, January 2010 onwards;

Member of a High Panel on Peace and Dialogue among Cultures, UNESCO, France,

December 2009 onwards; President, Asian Energy Institute 1992 onwards. In addition, he is

also on the board of the Global Humanitarian Forum recently founded by the former UN

Secy Gen Kofi Annan. On the national level, Dr Pachauri has been on the Prime Minister's Advisory Council on Climate Change, June 2007 onwards.

He also has associations with academic and research institutes and has also authored 23

books and several papers and articles. Since 1999, he has been an appointed Member of the

Board of Directors of the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Environment

Agency, and Government of Japan. In July 2009 he was also appointed Director, Yale

Climate and Energy Institute, USA.

Rana Muhammad Farooq Saeed Khan Minister of Climate Change, Government of Pakistan

Rana Muhammad Farooq Saeed Khan was elected to National Assembly from Faisalabad in

the general elections of 2008. He is a well known politician from the Pakistan People’s Party.

Mr. Khan, has done MA from Punjab University in 1976 and LLB from Punjab University Law

College in 1979. He was president of People’s Student Federation Punjab from 1977 – 1981.

He was elected as an MPA in 1993 and served as advisor to Chief Minister Punjab during

1993 – 1996. Later, he was elected as Tehsil Nazim Sumandri (2001 – 2002). He was

District President PPP Faisalabad in 2002. Throughout, his political career, he has fought for

people’s rights and struggled for the establishment of democratic order in Pakistan.

He was elected to the Provincial and National Assemblies in the general elections of 2008.

He retained his National Assembly seat and was appointed Minister of Textile Industry in

November, 2008. It was under his leadership that the Government announced first ever

Textile Policy which was lauded by all segments of the textiles sector and business

community in general.

The Government has created Ministry of Climate Change by renaming Ministry of National

Disaster Management and appointed Rana M. Farooq Saeed Khan as its first Federal Minister

on 14th April, 2012

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 19

Muhammed Javed Malik Former Secretary, Climate Change Division, Government of Pakistan

Mr. Muhammad Javed Malik was born on 6th January, 1953. He is a civil servant of the

Central Superior Service, District Management Group and joined government service in

1978. He did his MSc in Chemistry. As a civil servant, he has a vast experience of field and

secretariat service. In field, he served as Assistant Commissioner, Jhelum; Assistant

commissioner, Isakhel; Assistant Commissioner, Hafizabad; Deputy Commissioner,

Gawadar; Deputy Commissioner, Chakwal; Deputy Commissioner, Rawalpindi;

Commissioner, Faisalabad Division, Faisalabad; Commissioner, Gujranwala Division,

Gujranwala.

He has also served in secretariat at various responsible positions such as Deputy Secretary

(Admn), Health Department, Government Of Punjab, Lahore; Addl. Secretary (Admn)

Health Department, Government Of Punjab, Lahore; Secretary, Forest, Wildlife, Fisheries &

Tourism Department, Government Of Punjab Lahore; Secretary, Population Welfare

Department, Government Of Punjab, Lahore; Secretary Finance, Government Of Azad

Jammu & Kahsmir; Secretary Health Department, Government Of Punjab, Lahore;

Secretary, Environment Protection Department, Government Of Punjab , Lahore; Addl,

Finance Secretary, (Bkg/ERU/PMSP), Finance Division, Islamabad; Additional Secretary,

Ministry Of Industries, Production and Special Initiatives, Islamabad. He also served as

Secretary, Ministry of Environment and currently serving as Secretary, Ministry of Climate

Change.

Beside this, he has accomplished various significant tasks while serving as Project Director;

Barani Area Development Project (IFAD), Jhelum; Director, Labour Welfare Punjab;

Administrator, Metropolitan Corporation, Lahore; General Manager (Admn), National

Highway Authority, Govt. Of Pakistan; Member (Judicial)/ Chief Settlement Commissioner,

Board Of Revenue, Government Of Punjab, Lahore.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 20

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir Chairman, NDMA

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir has recently joined as Chairman of the National Disaster management

Authority. He is leading the national team; responsible for managing the whole spectrum of

disaster and natural calamities in Pakistan; i.e., relief, recovery, rehabilitation and

reconstruction.

Dr. Qadir has a wide experience of project management, public administration, revenue

administration and community development. He has been directly responsible for managing

relief operations during his field deployment in the district administration. Has been pro-

actively involved in philanthropic, pro-poor and humanitarian interventions in Balochistan;

whereby he has successfully launched and nourished an NGO named "Taaleem Foundation"

– the single most significant social change agent in the tribal Balochistan.

He attained the management, law and trade related skills at the University of Connecticut

(USA), University of Manchester (UK), Asian Development Bank Institute (Philippines),

International Trade Institute (Singapore), the ACWL - Advisory Centre for WTO Laws

(Switzerland) and the ITC - International Trade Centre (Switzerland).

Dr. Zafar Qadir has a PhD degree in Development Studies; and holds three Masters

Degrees: Business Administration, Economics and Politics. Has excellent proficiency in

English, Urdu, Punjabi and Saraiki; with working knowledge of French and Pushto.

Ali Tauqeer Sheikh CEO, LEAD Pakistan &

Regional Director, CDKN

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 21

Ali’s contribution is, he has challenged the myth that leaders are born, not made – by

developing and nurturing the networks of young, energetic, dynamic and committed

leaders in various areas of sustainable development from multi-sectors – government,

business, media, academia, and civil society.

‘If you have the will, you can be a great leader. Leadership comes through an endless

process of learning, consistency, training, and experience...’ That’s what LEAD Associates,

Fellows and members have learnt from Ali. No doubt, under his stewardship, LEAD has

grown from a home-office in a car porch in 1995 to an institution in the country that is

today rated by its friends and the critics as a network of hundreds of people and

institutions that is taking practical initiatives to promote an economically sound,

environmentally responsible and socially equitable change in various areas of sustainable development.

In March 2010, LEAD forged a partnership with the UK Department for International

Development [DFID] and launched CDKN - Climate & Development Knowledge Network.

Ali is the CDKN’s Asia Director and in this capacity contributing towards making the globe

climate compatible. He also heads LEAD’s Climate Leaders Action Network [CLAN] which

gives him access to over 2,000 experts in the field.

Ali specializes in various facets of sustainable development, particularly in poverty-

environment nexus, vulnerabilities and equitable development. He thinks quickly and

makes the result oriented decisions – without fearing for making wrong decisions! ‘One

should be able to decide. Making a wrong decision is much better than living in a state of

indecisiveness!’ That’s what he shares with people around him.

Ali travels widely to represent LEAD at various national/international forums including the

top meetings from the Earth Summit to Copenhagen.

Ali has a master’s in International Relations [Australian National University, Canberra].

Another master’s in Strategic Studies [University of Miami, Florida]; has been a Fellow at

the Institute of Soviet and East European Studies (ISEES) Miami and the International

Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) in London. He set up the LEAD Program in Pakistan

while he was a Research Fellow the Rockefeller Foundation in New York.

Ali has served as advisor/consultant to a number of leading national/international

organizations such as Asian Development Bank, DFID, European Commission, IDRC,

IFAD, JICA, Packard Foundation, Rockefeller Foundation, The Asia Foundation, UNDP,

USAID, and UNESCO. He serves on the boards of several organizations; is member of

various commissions and national committees working on environment and sustainable

development including the apex environmental body in the country, Pakistan Environment

Protection Council (PEPC) chaired by the Prime Minister of Pakistan. He is also a member

of the Taskforce on Climate Change set up by the Planning Commission Pakistan, and the

Core Group constituted by the Ministry of Environment charged to advise the Government

of Pakistan on climate negotiation.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 22

Dr. Mihir Bhatt

Director, AIDMI, India

Through his work in disaster mitigation, Mihir Bhatt is introducing the component of long-

term social security among vulnerable poor communities who are subject to repeated

disasters - natural and man-made. Addressing the issue from the victim's point of view,

Mihir's aim is to integrate disaster mitigation with social development at the conceptual, policy and implementation level of programs.

He started AIDMI in 1990, today it is a community based action research, action planning

and action advocacy organization. It works towards bridging the gap between policy,

practice, and research related to disaster mitigation, in an effort to link the community to

the (inter)national level humanitarian scenario.

Its mission is to reduce disaster risk of vulnerable communities by promoting mitigation

efforts, through learning and action.

A recipient of the Russel E. Twain Fellowship as well as the Eisenhower Fellowship 2000,

Mihir is the founding member and on the board of a number of development and disaster

mitigation initiatives.

Dr. Bach Tan Sinh Director, Department of Science Policy Studies, National

Institute for Science and Technology Policy and Strategy Studies (NISTPASS), Vietnam

Dr Sinh is Director at the Department of Science Policy Studies, National

Institute for Science and Technology Policy and Strategy Studies (NISTPASS),

Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST).

After completing a Bachelor of Science degree in Precision Mechanical Engineering

at Ilmenau University, Germany, and a Master of Science in Science and Technology

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 23

Policy at Lund University, Sweden, in 1998 Dr. Sinh obtained his PhD. in

Environmental Social Science at Aalborg University, Denmark. Over the course of

his career he has also had many visiting appointments at various universities in

Europe, North America, Hong Kong and Australia.

Dr. Sinh has more than fifteen years experience in policy analysis in the field of

sustainable development, environmental protection and innovation in Vietnam,

including a good understanding and experience in analysing institutional frameworks

and capacity building in regard to sustainable development, environmental

management and community resource management. He has been a national

consultant in a number of development and environment projects in Vietnam and,

most recently, Dr. Sinh has been carrying out research on civil society in general and

on NGOs in particular in Vietnam.

He has been involved during the period 1996-1998 as the coordinator of the

Sustainable Development Planning Network of the Ministry of Planning and

Investment, established in the framework of the UNDP supported project

‘Strengthening National Capabilities to Integrate the Environment into Investment

Decisions’. Throughout the implementation of the project, he has managed the

Programme on Sustainable Development Planning- the MPI’s informal network which

provides platforms for informal discussion on institutional aspects of sustainable

development planning in Vietnam. This network has successfully played an

instrumental role in overcoming the formal administrative barriers among different

stakeholders and actors involved in development planning in Vietnam, and also led

a number of studies on institutional barriers to sustainable development planning

in Vietnam.

Prof. Dr. M. Alimullah Miyan Vice Chancellor, International University of Business, Agriculture and Technology,

Bangladesh

Prof Miyan is Vice Chancellor of IUBAT - International University of Business, Agriculture and

Technology and Founder of the South Asian Disaster Management Center (SADMC) which is

involved in training, research and publication on disaster preparedness and mitigation. He

was an invited expert to the World Conference on Disaster Reduction (WCDR) at Kobe,

Japan in January 2005.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 24

Dr. Miyan has published extensively on Family Planning, Human Resources and Business

Management, Industrial Relations, Marketing, Social Development Programs, Disaster

Management and Energy Policy. In addition, Dr. Miyan has undertaken research and

evaluation on Public Administration, Management Strategies for Small Business and

Government, as well as Training Needs for the Health and Family Planning Sectors.

Dr. Miyan has consulted widely and for many International Agencies including the EU,

UNDP, World Bank, CARE, The Aga Khan Foundation, UNICEF, Mennonite Central

Committee, World Vision, DANIDA, ILO, UNFPA, FAO, WFP, in addition to his numerous

consultancies for the Bangladesh Government and non-government institutions.

Dr. Miyan is a Founding Executive Board Member of the Association of Management

Development Institutions in South Asia (AMDISA); Member of the International Industrial

Relations Association, Geneva; Member of Society for International Development, Rome and

is affiliated with numerous development and management associations in Bangladesh. Dr.

Miyan is the Founder of IUBAT in 1991 and pioneer of non-government university

development in Bangladesh.

Dr. Mohammed Rahimi Assistant Professor, Department of Desert Studies, Semnan University, Iran

Dr. Rahimi serves as the Faulty of Desert studies in the Department of Desert Studies at the

Semnan University. His expertises are in Climatic Extremes and Impacts on Natural Physical

Environment.

He has completed his Post Doctorate in Regional Climate Modelling from Freie Universität,

Berlin. Parallel to teaching he is currently serving as Director of International affairs at

Semnan University, and the Head of Desertification Department, Faculty for Desert Studies

at Semnan University.

Dr. Rahimi has many publications to his came, with the most recent being Chapter 3 of the

SREX report titled ‘Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical

environment’. He is also the youngest Lead Author of the SREX report.

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 25

Annex 2: Programme Agenda

27 June 2012

Time (Hrs) Session Event

0930 – 1000 Arrival and Registration

1000 – 1100

Facilitator

Welcome Remarks

Opening Address

Inaugural Address

Keynote ADDRESS: What

the IPCC SREX tells us

about climate extreams and

disasters in Asia

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir,

Chairman, National Disaster Management Authority(NDMA),

Pakistan

Mr. Ali Tauqeer Sheikh

CEO, LEAD Pakistan &

Regional Director Asia, Climate and Development Knowledge

Network (CDKN)

Mr. Javed Malik

Secretary,

Ministry of Climate Change

Government of Pakistan

Mr. Rana M. Farooq Saeed Khan

Minister for Climate Change

Government of Pakistan

Dr. R K Pachauri

Chairman, IPCC

1100 – 1120 Tea Break and Group Photo

1120-1220 Panel Discussion on Major

Implications for the South

Asian Region

‘What are the implications

of the IPCC SREX for

Pakistan: What needs to

Chair:

Mr. Mihir Bhatt

Director, All India Disaster Mitigation Institute, India

Prof. Dr. M Alimuallah Miyan

Chairman South Asian Disaster Management Centre and

Founder & Vice Chancellor of IUBAT, Bangladesh

Dr. Bach Tan Sinh

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The IPCC SREX National Outreach Report 26

change?’

Director, Department of S&T Human Resource Policy and

Strategy Studies, Vietnam

Mr. Mohammed Rahimi

Assistant Professor, Semnan University, Iran

1220-1300 Q&A session

1300-1400

Press Conference

Mr. Rana M. Farooq Saeed Khan

Minister for Climate Change

Government of Pakistan

Dr. R K Pachauri

Chairman, IPCC

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir Chairman, National Disaster Management Authority Pakistan

Mr. Ali Tauqeer Sheikh

CEO, LEAD Pakistan &

Regional Director Asia, Climate and Development Knowledge

Network (CDKN)

1300-1430 Lunch

1430- 1630 Concurrent Round Table

Discussions

Round Table Discussion 1

Moderator:

Dr. R K Pachauri

Chairman, IPCC

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir Chairman, National Disaster Management Authority Pakistan

Mr. Mihir Bhatt

Director, All India Disaster Mitigation Institute, India

Mr. Mohammed Rahimi

Assistant Professor, Semnan University, Iran

Round Table Discussion 2

Moderator:

Dr. Amir Mohammad

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Vice Chairman, FAST University

Dr. Bach Tan Sinh

Director, Department of S&T Human Resource Policy and

Strategy Studies, Vietnam

Round Table Discussion 3

Moderator:

Dr. Nadeem ul Haque (tbc)

Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission of Pakistan

Mr. Javed Malik

Secretary, Ministry of Climate Change

Government of Pakistan

Prof. Dr. M Alimuallah Miyan

Chairman South Asian Disaster Management Centre and

Founder & Vice Chancellor of IUBAT, Bangladesh

1630-1700 Tea

1700- 1800

Summing up

Way Forward

Concluding Address

Vote of Thanks

Mr. Mihir Bhatt

IPCC S-REX coordinating lead author

Dr. Zafar Iqbal Qadir,

Chairman, NDMA

Mr. Javed Malik

Secretary, Ministry of Climate Change

Government of Pakistan

Mr. Ali Tauqeer Sheikh

CEO, LEAD Pakistan &

Regional Director Asia, Climate and Development Knowledge

Network (CDKN)

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Annex 3: Event Pictures

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Inaugural Session

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Panel Discussion

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Press Conference

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Annex 4: Media Coverage

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