OPTIONS - Introduction to Option Valuation

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    Introduction

    1.

    Welcome to the Knowledge Check.

    If you have prior knowledge of Options

    Introduction to Option Valuation, try the

    Knowledge Check. A perfect score is no

    guarantee that you know everything covered

    in the tutorial, but a less than perfect score

    will help you identify any knowledge gaps.

    If the subject of this tutorial is new to you,the Knowledge Check will indicate the level of

    the information that you're about to

    encounter. You may think you don't know

    much about this area, but you might surprise

    yourself!

    2.

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    Question 1 of 5

    A call option on widgets expires tomorrow. Ithas a strike price of EUR 100. The current

    market price of widgets is EUR 90.

    Assume that interest rates are zero, widgets

    are non-income producing, and there is no

    holding cost.

    Which of the following statements is true?

    The option is in the money.

    The option is at the money.

    The option is out of the

    money.

    3.

    Question 2 of 5

    An agent owns a USD 110 call option on

    widget futures. The price of the widget

    futures contract is USD 100. The option costs

    USD 3.

    What is the time value of this option?

    Zero

    USD 10

    -USD

    10

    USD 3

    4.

    Question 3 of 5

    All other things remaining equal, which of

    the following would increase the value of a

    put option on a futures contract?

    5.

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    A decrease in the maturity of the option

    An increase in the underlying price of the futures

    contract

    An increase in the volatility of the futures contract

    Question 4 of 5

    An American-style call option has a strike

    price of EUR 50, and three months to expiry.

    Interest rates for the period are 10%, and

    volatility is 5%. The current price of the

    underlying asset is EUR 75.

    Should the option be exercised early?

    Yes

    No

    6.

    Question 5 of 5

    Which of the following is the correct put-call

    parity equation?

    7.

    OBJECTIVES

    On completion of this tutorial, you will be

    able to:

    explain when an option is 'in' or 'out'of the money

    8.

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    show how an option price is brokeninto two components: intrinsic value

    and time value

    describe the major influences onoption values

    outline the upper and lowerboundaries of option prices

    and explain the factors affecting the

    exercise decision

    describe the 'put-call' parityrelationship

    Prerequisite Knowledge

    Prior to studying this tutorial, you should

    have simple familiarity with the discounting

    of future values, and a good understanding of

    the concepts outlined in the following

    tutorial:

    OptionsAn Introduction

    9.

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    10.

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    11.

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    Forward Prices

    How do forward prices affect 'moneyness'?

    Consider a one-year European call option

    struck on widgets at USD 105. The underlying

    price is currently USD 100, while the forward

    price is USD 110. The 'moneyness' of theoption can be expressed relative to the spot

    and the forward price.

    Relative to the spot

    price

    Relative to the

    forward price

    This option is 'out of

    the money' (OTM),

    because it would not

    make sense to

    exercise at USD 105when the market

    price was only USD

    100. However, this

    option is not

    exercisable now; it is

    exercisable in one

    years time.

    This option is 'in the

    money' (ITM)it

    would make sense to

    buy widgets at USD

    105 if the price wasactually USD 110.

    Different markets have different conventions;equity markets tend to relate option strike

    prices to spot prices, while interest rate

    markets tend to focus on forward prices. In

    the foreign exchange market, American-style

    options usually relate the strike to the spot FX

    rate, while European-style options usually

    relate the strike to the forward FX rate.

    Rather than attempting to use different

    practices in different markets, it is best to be

    precise; rather than referring to an at-the-

    money option, it would be better to use the

    terms 'at-the-money forward' or 'at-the-

    money spot'.

    Note that for options on futures, the debate

    is irrelevant; futures prices are already

    forward prices so 'moneyness is a simple

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    comparison between strike price and market

    price. We will sometimes take advantage of

    this by using imaginary futures contracts in

    our example.

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    Option Moneyness

    Option moneyness is summarized in the

    following table:

    13.

    Moneyness Example 1

    A call option is written on a futures contract.

    It has a three-month maturity and a strike

    price of EUR 100. Three-month interest rates

    are 4%. The current futures price is EUR 100.

    What is the option moneyness?

    In the money

    At the money

    Out of the

    money

    14.

    Moneyness Example 2

    A put option is written on an underlying

    asset. It has a one-year maturity and a strike

    price of EUR 100. The asset generates no

    income, and has no ownership or storagecosts. One-year interest rates are 5%. The

    current asset price is EUR 100.

    Which of the following statements is true?

    The option is in the money

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    forward.

    The option is at the money

    forward.

    The option is out of the money

    forward.

    Components of Option Value 16.

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    17.

    18.

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    Intrinsic Value

    A 3-month American call option on a

    hypothetical futures contract has a strike

    price of EUR 100. The current price of a

    futures contract is EUR 90. The option costs

    EUR 5.

    Assuming that interest rates are zero, what is

    the intrinsic value of this option?

    EUR 5

    -EUR

    10

    Zero

    -EUR 5

    19.

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    Factors Affecting Option Value An

    Overview

    It is comparatively easy to calculate the

    intrinsic value of an option, but much harder

    to estimate the option's time value. This is

    because time value includes the value of'optionality' (considered either as the

    additional premium required by an option

    seller to compensate for the risk, or the

    amount a buyer is willing to pay for the

    possibility of future payoffs).

    So how are fair prices for options obtained?

    Precise calculations may involve the use of a

    sophisticated pricing model. There are many

    such models, all of which will have to take

    into account the following:

    Interest rates

    Relationship between the strike price & the

    asset price

    Maturity

    Volatility of the underlying asset

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    Relationship Between theStrike Price & the

    Asset Price

    23.

    Maturity

    An increase in the maturity of an option will affect the forward prices of the underlying; these will

    generally rise as a function of interest rates and other cash flows associated with the assets. Thiswill have the effect on prices noted previously. However, a greater effect will generally be the

    fact that a longer maturity allows prices to move more. Consequently, the possible future payoffs

    from an option will increase and the option value will rise. The graph below shows the effect of

    time to maturity on put and call prices (both are at the money with a strike price of USD 5 and

    volatility of 10%).

    24.

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    The value of both options will increase as prices have 'more time' to move and hence generate a

    return to the option holder. However, because forward prices will increase over time, the value

    of the put rises less steeply than that of the call.

    Volatility of the Underlying Asset

    The amount of fluctuation of an asset price is known as its volatility the higher the volatility, the

    more a vanilla option is worth.

    To see this, assume two underlying assets, A and B, have an underlying price of USD 100.However, the price of B changes by more, on average, than that of A. Would you rather own a

    USD 100 call option on asset A, or one on asset B? The potential losses on both options are the

    samethe price might fall below USD 100, and the option would be worthless. However, the

    potential payoffs are greater for asset B than for asset A. Therefore, the call option on asset B will

    be higher.

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    Effect of a Rise in Volatility

    Returning to our simple example (3-month call optionstrike price USD 5) we can show theeffect of an increase of volatility, using our particular model, in this graph:

    A rise in volatility leads to an increase in the value of our sample call option. Note that a change

    in volatility has no effect on intrinsic value; it only influences the potential 'optionality'. Just as

    time value is at its maximum for an option that is at the money, so too any price increases due to

    higher volatility are at their maximum for ATM options.

    If volatility is zero, then we simply have a payoff diagram; there is no 'optionality' because the

    price does not change.

    It is also worth noting that the increase in volatility would give additional value to this option

    even when the underlying market is some way from the strike price. For instance, if the

    underlying market is trading at USD 4.60, then a USD 5 call is almost worthless if priced using 10%

    volatility; however, at 30% volatility, this option is worth around USD 0.13.

    26.

    Intrinsic Value

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    A 3-month call option on a fictional futures

    contract is struck at GBP 50. The contract is

    trading at a price of GBP 60. The price of the

    option is GBP 11. Interest rates are zero.

    What is the intrinsic value?

    GBP 11

    GBP 10

    Zero

    GBP 1

    28.

    Option Price Limits & Exercise Decisions

    Upper Boundary for the Price of a Call Option

    We can quickly establish simple maximum and

    income-bearing assets. For a call option, whet

    never be worth more than the current asset p

    If the price of the call option was greater than

    option, buy the stock, and invest the differenc

    deliver the stock and be left with the invested

    they would be left with the invested cash, plu

    riskless profit would be obtained.

    29.

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    30.

    Lower Boundary for the Price of a Call Option

    (American)

    An American-style call option can never sell for less than

    its intrinsic value, otherwise an option could simply be

    bought, exercised immediately, and the asset that had

    been bought through the option would then be sold into

    the market.

    For example, if a USD 100 call option cost USD 7 when

    the underlying asset had a market price of USD 110, then

    by purchasing the call, exercising it immediately, and

    then selling the asset, a riskless profit could be obtained:

    Risk-less profit = (USD 110 - USD 100) - USD 7

    = USD 3

    The option price will naturally disallow such

    'easy' money.

    Furthermore, we know that no option can have a

    negative value; at worst an option holder can simply walk

    away. The relationship is thus:

    31.

    Lower Boundary for the Price of a Call Option (European)

    For a European-style call option the relationship needs to be adjusted since the

    forward price is not equal to the spot price. To illustrate the difference, imagine

    two portfolios:

    32.

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    At expiry time T, the share is trading at a price AT. Consider portfolio 1:

    If K < AT, then the option will be exercised at the price K, using the money whichhad been previously invested. The share you have purchased is worth AT.

    If K > AT, then the option expires worthless, and the portfolio is simply worth themoney invested, which will generate the amount K. So at time T Portfolio 1

    is worth the greater of ATand K.

    Portfolio 2 will always be worth the future share price, AT; the value of Portfolio 1

    is always higher than or equal to the value of Portfolio 2.

    Using the terminology above, we get:

    Options cannot have a negative value; consequently the lower bound must be:

    Lower Boundary for the Price of a Put Option

    American options are straightforward, as once again the value can never be less than intrinsic

    value.

    To illustrate the lower bound for a European option we will once again examine a pair of

    imaginary portfolios.

    33.

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    If, at time T, AT < K, then the option would be exercised. The underlying share would be

    delivered and an amount K would be received. The portfolio would be worth K.

    If, at time T, AT > K, then the option would expire worthless and the portfolio would be worth the

    value of the stock, that is, AT.

    At expiry, Portfolio 1 is worth the greater of ATand K. Portfolio 2 is only ever worth K. The value

    of Portfolio 1 is always higher than or equal to the value of Portfolio 2;

    Options cannot have a negative value; consequently the lower bound must be:

    34.35.36.37.38.39.40.