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| | Somil Miglani a,b , Dr. Kristina Orehounig b , Prof. Dr. Jan Carmeliet a a Chair of building physics, ETH, Zürich b Urban energy systems laboratory, Empa, Dübendorf Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and districts 3/6/2018 Somil Miglani 1

Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Page 1: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Somil Miglani a,b, Dr. Kristina Orehounig b, Prof. Dr. Jan Carmeliet a

a Chair of building physics, ETH, Zürich

b Urban energy systems laboratory, Empa, Dübendorf

Optimal energy system design for residential buildings

and districts

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 1

Page 2: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Climate change

Page 3: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Electricity and heat production: 25%

Buildings: 6%

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 3

Global green house gas emission by sector

Source: IPCC 2014

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Energy transition – Long-term structural change in energy systems

Energywende, Germany

85-95% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions

60% renewable energy consumption

50% reduction in primary energy consumption

Energy strategy 2050, Switzerland

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 4

Energy transition and favorable policy

Page 5: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Question – Which path shall we take?

Page 6: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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A historical perspective on energy transition in buildings

(1500-1800)

Fig: Heating services in buildings by energy source (UK)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 6

Open

hearth

Fig: Open hearth fireplace. Source. Pinterest

Page 7: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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A historical perspective on energy transition in buildings

(1500-1800)

Fig: Heating services in buildings by energy source (UK)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 7

Open

hearth

Fig: Chimney example. Source. Pinterest

Chimney

invention

Page 8: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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A historical perspective on energy transition in buildings

(1800-1900)

Fig: Heating services in buildings by energy source (UK)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 8

Page 9: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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A historical perspective on energy transition in buildings

(1900-2000)

Fig: Heating services in buildings by energy source (UK)

Resource

scarcity

Competition

for gas in

electricity

market

Great

London

smog +

clean air act

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 9

Fig: The great smog of London (1952). Source. The Verge

Page 10: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Key diverging factors from past energy transitions

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 10

Deeper understanding of the engineering

challenges

Better research and development

infrastructure

Favorable energy policy

Wide landscape of solutions, technologies

External costs are not explicit

Lack of clear incentives to adopt new

renewable technologies

Existing energy and social infrastructure,

lock-in

Optimal design solutions unknown

Page 11: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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The Swiss context

Page 12: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Switzerland and its buildings (Energy source)

Fig: Heating services in buildings by energy source (2013)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 12

Page 13: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Switzerland and its buildings (Construction)

Fig: Distribution of construction year for Swiss buildings (2013)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 13

Page 14: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Political reform for Switzerland’s energy

transition

Voted as a energy law

Swiss energy strategy (SES) 2050

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 14

Page 15: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Utilization of renewable energy resources at building/district level

Solar energy: Solar photovoltaic (PV), solar thermal collectors

Geothermal: ground source heat pumps (GSHP)

Biomass: biomass boilers

Others: air source heat pumps (ASHP), micro combined heat and power (μ-CHP)

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 15

SES2050 – Recommended energy interventions I

Page 16: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Improved thermal insulation for higher energy

efficiency

Old technology: Bricks, concrete, quarry stones, gypsum,

air gaps, etc.

New technology: Polystyrene, polyurethane, glass wool,

etc.

Walls, roofs, floors, windows, etc.

Substantial improvements in thermal properties

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 16

SES2050 – Recommended energy interventions II

Page 17: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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CO2 emissions targets for 2020, 2030,

2040 and 2050

Projections for energy demand and floor

area for residential buildings

Swiss energy strategy 2050 – emissions targets

𝐶𝑂2 = 𝐶𝑂2𝐸𝐶

𝑥

. 𝐸𝐶

𝐴

𝑦

. 𝐴

x = carbon intensity (gCO2-eq/kWh)

y = energy consumption (kWh/m2)

A = Floor area (m2)Fig: CO2 emission targets for residential buildings in

Switzerland for 2020 through 2050

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 17

Page 18: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Performance of energy interventions

Fig: Impact of energy interventions

on carbon intensity and energy

consumption

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 18

Page 19: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Question – What are the least cost energy

interventions which meet the CO2 targets?

Page 20: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Mathematical optimization – Linear programming

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 20

Minimize: 𝑓 𝒙

Subject to: 𝑔(𝒙) ≤ 0

ℎ 𝒙 = 0

𝑥𝑚𝑖𝑛 ≤ 𝒙 ≤ 𝑥𝑚𝑎𝑥𝒙 ∊ 𝑋

𝑥1

𝑥2

𝑔(𝒙)

ℎ 𝒙

Page 21: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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High level search based optimization

Ideal for complex non-linear energy

system models

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 21

Mathematical optimization – Metaheuristic algorithms

Black-box model for

the energy system

Design

variables 𝒙 ∊ 𝑋

Design alternative

Metaheuristic

algorithm

𝑓 𝒙

Objective function value

Page 22: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Residential

neighborhood in

Zurich

170 buildings

High solar,

geothermal potential

Case study

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 22

Page 23: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy system – inputs and outputs

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 23

Building/District energy system

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Building energy demand simulation – overview

Step 1

GIS

+

Building

footprints

Building

height

3D

model

IDF

Step 2

+

Building

construction

materials

database

Building

Age

GIS

Age based

construction

archetypes

IDF

Type 1

Step 3

Schedules1. Occupancy2. Appliances3. Thermostat4. Lighting5. Ventilation

+

Other parameters-Infiltration rates,

-glazing ratios, etc.

IDF

Combining all

IDF files into one

TMY

weather file

Space cooling

DHW

Electricity

Hourly profiles for

365 days

Page 25: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – No retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Page 26: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – Window retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Page 27: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – facade retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Page 28: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – Whole building retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Page 29: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – Whole building retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Fig: Hourly energy demand for a winter day Fig: Hourly energy demand for a summer day

Page 30: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy demand simulation – results

Fig: Annual energy demand – Whole building retrofitting (kWh/m2/a)

Fig: Hourly energy demand for winter day

for different retrofit scenarios

Fig: Hourly energy demand for summer day

for different retrofit scenarios

Page 31: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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GIS based workflow

Digital elevation model (DEM)

3D building models

Atmospheric attenuation

Result: Hourly solar

irradiation on each rooftop

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 31

Incident solar irradiation modeling for building rooftops

Fig: Incident solar irradiation modelling using DEMs and GIS tools

Page 32: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Incident solar irradiation modeling – results

Fig: Annual solar irradiation per unit floor area (kWh/m2/a)

Page 33: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Incident solar irradiation modeling – results

Fig: Annual solar irradiation per unit floor area (kWh/m2/a)

Fig: Hourly solar irradiation for a winter day Fig: Hourly solar irradiation for a summer day

Page 34: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Seasonal mismatch between supply and demand

Fig: Monthly energy demand per unit floor area for all buildings (kWh/m2) Fig: Monthly solar irradiation per unit floor area for all buildings (kWh/m2)

Page 35: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Question – How can the seasonal mismatch in

demand and supply be managed?

Page 36: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Borehole heat exchanger (BHE) + heat

pump

Deep underground (~10-500m) at

constant temperature all through the year

Heat extraction + rejection

Ground acts as heat source and long-

term storage

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 36

Ground source heat pumps (GSHPs)

BHE

Heat PumpBuilding

Power

Fig: Schematic of a ground source heat pump

Figure adapted from: http://nzgeothermal.org.nz/ghanz/geothermal-heat-pumps/

Page 37: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Limitation to geothermal energy extraction

∆T

Long-term heat extraction can

cool down the local ground

Heat pump efficiency drops

due to lower source

temperature

Can be solved by

Storing excess solar energy in

summer

Constraining heat pump operation

Fig: Long-term temperature variation for BHEs

Page 38: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Energy system – inputs and outputs

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 38

Building/District energy system

Page 39: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Energy system – technologies and configuration

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 39

Page 40: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Building energy system optimization

Design variables:

Solar collector area

PV area

BHE length

HP capacity

Boiler capacity

EH capacity

Storage tank diameter

Design variables

Variable bounds

Technology parameters

Objective function

Investment costs

Objective function

evaluation

Multi Objective Genetic

Algorithm (GA)Inputs

Embodied emissions

Operation variables:

Hourly schedules for technologies

7 X MILP (Typical days)

Mixed Integer Linear

Program (MILP)

Total Costs

Total CO2

emissions

Fixed design

parameters

SH, SC, DHW demand

Electricity demand

Solar irradiation

Electricity & gas

prices

Carbon factors

Oper

atio

nal

Co

sts

Opera

tio

nal

CO

2 e

mis

sio

ns

+

+

Page 41: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Optimal energy interventions – example building

Fig: Pareto optimal energy

interventions

Page 42: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Optimal energy interventions – details

Fig: Technology sizes and building retrofitting for Pareto optimal energy interventions

Page 43: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Costs and CO2 emissions

Fig:

Embodied

emissions

Fig:

Operating

emissions

Fig:

Investment

costs

Fig:

Operating

costs

Page 44: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Question – Do they meet the CO2 targets?

Page 45: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Performance evaluation against CO2 targets

Page 46: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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District energy systems – future work

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Methods for energy system optimization for buildings using bottom-up

modeling and simulation

Seasonal storage is needed to balance mismatch in renewable energy supply

and demand, GSHPs can help

Whole building retrofitting needed in order to reach the 2040 targets

At the current investment costs of energy interventions

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 47

Summary and conclusion

Page 48: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

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Journal publications Miglani, S., Marquant, J., Orehounig, K., Carmeliet, J. (2018). Assessing the performance optimal energy interventions for buildings and districts against energy policy

targets for CO2 emissions. Energy Policy. Upcoming.

Miglani, S., Orehounig, K., Carmeliet, J. (2018). Integrating a detailed thermal model of ground source heat pumps and solar regeneration within building energy system

optimization. Applied energy. In press.

Miglani, S., Orehounig, K., Carmeliet, J. (2018). A methodology to calculate long-term shallow geothermal energy potential for an urban neighborhood. Energy and

Buildings, 159, 462 –473.

Miglani, S., Orehounig, K., & Carmeliet, J. (2017). Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

(Vol. 122, pp. 1015–1020).

Conference publications Miglani, S., Orehounig, K., & Carmeliet, J. (2017). A methodology for the optimal operation of a residential building’s heating system with focus on thermal modelling of

GSHPs. Proceedings of ECOS 2017 - The 30th international conference on efficiency, cost, optimization, simulation and environmental impact of energy systems, San

Diego, California, USA, (July)

Miglani, S. A., Orehounig, K., & Carmeliet, J. (2016). Assessment of the ground source heat potential at building level applied to an urban case study. Status-Seminar

«Forschen Für Den Bau Im Kontext von Energie Und Umwelt» Assessment, (September), 1–13.

Miglani, S. A., Orehounig, K., & Carmeliet, J. (2015). A method for generating hourly solar radiation profiles on building rooftops accounting for cloud cover variability.

Proceedings of International Conference CISBAT 2015 Future Buildings and Districts Sustainability from Nano to Urban Scale Future Buildings and Districts

Sustainability from Nano to Urban Scale, 717–722.

3/6/2018Somil Miglani 48

Publications

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Acknowledgements

Page 50: Optimal energy system design for residential buildings and ...€¦ · Design and optimization of a hybrid solar ground source heat pump with seasonal regeneration. In Energy Procedia

Contact: [email protected]

Thank you for your attention

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Optimal system operation (Heating)

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Borehole heat exchanger (BHE) operation

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Long-term operation of the BHE