Ontario Population Projections, 2013While natural increase trends evolve slowly, net migration can be more variable, mostly due to swings in interprovincial migration and variations

Ontario Population Projections, 2013–2041

Ministry of Finance, Fall 2014 - 1 -

Table of Contents

Map of Ontario Census Divisions .............................................................................................................. 2

I. Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 3

II. Highlights ................................................................................................................................................... 4

III. Projection Results ................................................................................................................................... 5

Reference, low and high-growth scenarios ................................................................................................ 5

The components of Ontario population change ...................................................................................... 6

Age structure .................................................................................................................................................. 8

Regional components of population change ........................................................................................... 11

Regional population growth ...................................................................................................................... 12

Regional age structure ................................................................................................................................. 14

IV. Methodology and Assumptions ......................................................................................................... 18

Projections methodology ........................................................................................................................... 18

Base population ........................................................................................................................................... 18

Fertility .......................................................................................................................................................... 18

Mortality ........................................................................................................................................................ 20

Immigration .................................................................................................................................................. 22

Emigration .................................................................................................................................................... 24

Non-permanent residents .......................................................................................................................... 25

Interprovincial migration ........................................................................................................................... 26

Intraprovincial migration............................................................................................................................ 28

Glossary ............................................................................................................................................................ 29

Statistical Tables ........................................................................................................................................... 31


- 2 - Ministry of Finance, Fall 2014

Map of Ontario Census Divisions

Legend

29. Bruce

30. Elgin

31. Essex

32. Grey

33. Huron

34. Chatham-Kent

35. Lambton

36. Middlesex

37. Oxford

38. Perth

39. Algoma

40. Cochrane

41. Manitoulin

42. Nipissing

43. Parry Sound

44. Greater Sudbury

45. Sudbury

46. Timiskaming

19. Ottawa

20. Frontenac

21. Hastings

22. Lanark

23. Leeds and Grenville

24. Lennox and Addington

25. Prescott and Russell

26. Prince Edward

27. Renfrew

28. Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry

East

Northeast

Southwest

Northwest

47. Kenora

48. Rainy River

49. Thunder Bay

6. Brant

7. Dufferin

8. Haldimand-Norfolk

9. Haliburton

10. Hamilton

11. Muskoka

12. Niagara

13. Northumberland

14. Peterborough

15. Simcoe

16. Kawartha Lakes

17. Waterloo

18. Wellington

Central

1. Toronto

2. Durham

3. Halton

4. Peel

5. York

GTA

23

29

49

9

13

15

21

22

24

2527

31

32

33

34

3536

37

39

4243

44

4546

48

8

7

20

41

47

30

38

40

11

16 14

2

1

54

3

18

17

610

12

26

1928



I. Introduction

This report presents population projections for Ontario and each of its 49 census divisions, by age and sex, from the new base year of 2013 to 2041. These projections are produced by the Ontario Ministry of Finance and are based on the 2011 Census.

In February 2014, Statistics Canada released the first population estimates for census divisions based on the 2011 Census. Following the release, the Ministry of Finance undertook a major review of its population projection assumptions and methodology. A new long-term projection was produced using as its base the preliminary July 1, 2013 postcensal population estimates from Statistics Canada. Upper tier municipalities, Ontario Government ministries and academic demographers were asked for comments on draft projections through a broad consultation.

The new projections include three scenarios for Ontario. The medium, or reference scenario, is considered most likely to occur. The low- and high-growth scenarios provide a reasonable forecast range based on plausible changes in the components of growth. Projections for each of the 49 census divisions are for the reference scenario only.

The projections do not represent Ontario government policy targets or desired population outcomes, nor do they incorporate explicit economic or planning assumptions. They are developed using a standard demographic methodology in which assumptions for population growth reflect recent trends in all streams of migration and the continuing evolution of long-term fertility and mortality patterns in each census division. Census division projections are summed to obtain the Ontario total.

As a result, the Ministry of Finance projections provide a reasonable population outlook for Ontario if current trends persist. However, it is worth noting that for purposes of planning and managing growth, municipalities in the Greater Golden Horseshoe are required to conform to the population forecasts approved under the Places to Grow Act.

The new projections will be updated every year to provide planners and researchers with a demographic outlook reflecting the most up-to-date trends and historical data.

The report includes a set of detailed statistical tables on the new projections. Key demographic terms are defined in a glossary.



II. Highlights

Highlights of the new 2013–2041 projections are for the reference scenario:

Ontario’s population is projected to grow by 31.3 per cent, or over 4.2 million, over the next 28 years, from an estimated 13.5 million on July 1, 2013 to almost 17.8 million by July 1, 2041.

The annual rate of growth of Ontario’s population is projected to remain close to 1.0 per cent for most of the projection period.

Net migration is projected to account for 73 per cent of all population growth in the province over the 2013–2041 period, with natural increase accounting for the remaining 27 per cent. In the second half of the projections, the contribution of natural increase will moderate as baby boomers increasingly reach senior years and the number of deaths increases more rapidly.

The number of seniors aged 65 and over is projected to more than double from almost 2.1 million, or 15.2 per cent of population, in 2013 to over 4.5 million, or 25.5 per cent, by 2041. The growth in the share and number of seniors will accelerate over the 2013–2031 period as baby boomers turn age 65. After 2031, the growth in the number of seniors will slow significantly.

The number of children aged 0–14 is projected to increase gradually over the projection period, from 2.2 million in 2013 to over 2.6 million by 2041. The children’s share of population is projected to fall gradually from 16.2 per cent in 2013 to 14.9 per cent by 2041.

The number of Ontarians aged 15–64 is projected to increase from 9.3 million in 2013 to 10.6 million by 2041. This age group is projected to decline as a share of total population, falling from 68.6 per cent in 2013 to 59.6 per cent by 2041. As baby boomers turn age 65, the growth in population aged 15-64 will slow until 2027–28 and then accelerate over the remainder of the projection.

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is projected to be the fastest growing region of the province, with its population increasing by almost 3.0 million, or 45.8 per cent, to reach over 9.4 million by 2041. The GTA’s share of provincial population is projected to rise from 47.6 per cent in 2013 to 52.9 per cent in 2041.

All regions will see a shift to an older age structure. Regions where natural increase and net migration are projected to become or remain negative will see the largest shifts in age structure. The GTA is expected to remain the region with the youngest age structure as a result of strong international migration and positive natural increase.



III. Projection Results

Reference, low and high-growth scenarios

The Ministry of Finance projections provide three reasonable growth scenarios for the population of Ontario to 2041. The medium-growth or reference scenario is considered most likely to occur. The low- and high-growth scenarios provide a forecast range based on plausible changes in the components of growth. Population is projected for each of the 49 census divisions for the reference scenario only. Charts and tables in this report are for the reference scenario, unless otherwise stated.

Under all three scenarios, Ontario’s population is projected to experience healthy growth over the 2013–2041 period. In the reference scenario, population is projected to grow 31.3 per cent, or more than 4.2 million, over the next 28 years, from an estimated 13.5 million on July 1, 2013 to almost 17.8 million on July 1, 2041.

In the low-growth scenario, population increases 15.4 per cent, or 2.1 million, to reach over 15.6 million people by 2041. In the high-growth scenario, population grows 47.3 per cent, or 6.4 million, to 19.9 million people by the end of the projection period.

The annual rate of growth of Ontario’s population in the reference scenario is projected to remain close to 1.0 per cent for most of the projection period.

In the low-growth scenario, the annual rate of population growth is projected to average 0.5 per cent over the projection period. In the high-growth scenario, the population is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.4 per cent between 2013 and 2041.

Ontario population, 1971 to 2041

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

Sources: Statistics Canada, 1971–2013 and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

ProjectedHistorical

Number of people (in millions)

High scenario

Reference scenarioLow scenario

Chart 1



The components of Ontario population change

In any given year, the contributions of natural increase and net migration to population growth vary. While natural increase trends evolve slowly, net migration can be more variable, mostly due to swings in interprovincial migration and variations in immigration. For example, over the past 10 years, the share of population growth coming from net migration has been as high as 67 per cent in 2003–04 and as low as 51 per cent in 2006–07.

Net migration levels to Ontario have averaged about 79,000 per year in the past decade, with a low of 52,000 in 2006-07 and a high of 98,000 in 2011-12. The number of births and deaths has been rising slowly and at a similar pace. As a result, natural increase has been fairly stable at about 50,000 annually over the last decade.

Over the next five years, net migration is projected to increase significantly as current net losses of population through interprovincial migration subside. Ontario’s annual net migration gain is projected to rise from 82,000 to 96,000 during the first five years of the projection. Over the rest of the projection period, net migration levels will increase more gradually to reach 128,000 by 2040–41. The share of population growth accounted for by net migration is projected to rise from 61 per cent in 2013–14 to reach over 89 per cent by 2041 as a result of lower natural increase.

Annual rate of population growth in Ontario, 1971 to 2041

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35

Sources: Statistics Canada, 1971–2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

ProjectedHistorical

Population growth rate (%)

High scenario


Chart 2

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



Future levels of natural increase will be affected by two main factors over the projection period. First will be the passage of the baby boom echo generation (children of baby boomers) through peak fertility years, which will result in an increase in the number of births through the late 2010s and early 2020s. Births are projected to increase from 144,000 in 2013–14 to over 162,000 by the mid-2020s and remain above that level until the end of the projection period.

The second major factor influencing the future path of natural increase in Ontario will be the transition of large cohorts of baby boomers into the senior age group. By 2031, all baby boomers will be 65 or older and the number of deaths will start to increase more rapidly. Over the first decade of the projections, the pace of increase in the annual number of deaths in Ontario is projected to slow as the small cohorts born during the 1930s reach their life expectancy. From 2013 to 2023, the annual number of deaths will rise from 92,000 to 108,000. Over the remaining years to 2041, the annual number of deaths will increase faster, to reach over 153,000.

Overall, natural increase is projected to edge up from 52,000 in 2013–14 to a high of 53,000 in 2019–20, followed by a steady decline to 15,000 by 2040–41. The share of population growth accounted for by natural increase is projected to decline from 39 per cent in 2013–14 to 11 per cent by 2040–41.

Chart 3

Contribution of natural increase & net migration to Ontario’s population growth,

1971 to 2041


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35

ProjectedHistorical

Number of people

Net Migration

Natural Increase

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



Age structure

By 2041, there will be more people in every age group in Ontario compared to 2013, with a sharp increase in the number of seniors. Baby boomers will have swelled the ranks of seniors; children of the baby boom echo generation will be of school-age; and the baby boom echo cohorts, along with a new generation of immigrants, will have bolstered the population aged 15–64.

The median age of Ontario’s population is projected to rise from 40 years in 2013 to 45 years in 2041. The median age for women will climb from 41 to 46 years over the projection period while for men it is projected to increase from 39 to 44 years.

The number of seniors aged 65 and over is projected to more than double from about 2.1 million, or 15.2 per cent of population in 2013, to over 4.5 million, or 25.5 per cent, by 2041. In 2015, for the first time, seniors will account for a larger share of population than children aged 0–14.

By the early 2030s, once all baby boomers have reached age 65, the pace of increase in the number and share of seniors is projected to slow significantly. The annual growth rate of the senior age group is projected to slow from an average of 3.6 per cent over 2013–31 to less than 1.2 per cent by the end of the projection period. However, this age group will still be growing much faster than the 0–14 and 15–64 age groups.

The older age groups will experience the fastest growth among seniors. The number of people aged 75 and over is projected to rise from 923,000 in 2013 to 2.7 million by 2041. The 90+ group will more than quadruple in size, from 95,000 to 412,000.

Age pyramid of Ontario’s population, 2013 and 2041

Sources: Statistics Canada, 2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Chart 4

90

85

80

75

70

65

60

55

45

50

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

95+

Age

0 20 40 60 80 100 120020406080100120 140Thousands of people

140

20132013

Males Females

2041 2041



The proportion of women among the oldest seniors is projected to remain higher than that of men but will decline slightly as male life expectancy is projected to increase faster. In 2013, there were 44 per cent more women than men in the 75+ age group. By 2041, it is projected that there will be 18 per cent more women than men in the 75+ age group.

The number of children aged 0–14 is projected to increase gradually over the projection period, from 2.2 million in 2013 to over 2.6 million by 2041. The share of children in the population is projected to fall from 16.2 per cent in 2013 to 14.9 per cent by 2041. By the late 2030s, the number of children is projected to grow at a much slower pace than other age groups reflecting the smaller number of women in their 20s and 30s.

The number of Ontarians aged 15–64 is projected to grow from 9.3 million in 2013 to 10.6 million by 2041, a slower pace of increase than the 0–14 and 65+ age groups. As a result, the 15–64 age group is projected to account for a decreasing share of total population, falling from 68.6 per cent in 2013 to 59.6 per cent by 2041.

The growth rate of the population aged 15–64 is projected to continue to trend lower until the mid-2020s. From an annual rate of growth of 0.5 per cent at the beginning of the projection, this age group is projected to grow by less than 0.2 per cent by the late 2020s. By the end of the 2020s, as the children of the baby boom echo begin to reach age 15, the pace of annual growth of the 15–64 age group is projected to improve to 0.8 per cent by 2040–41.

Proportion of population aged 0–14, 15–64 and 65+ in Ontario, 1971 to 2041

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041


ProjectedHistorical

Share of population (%)

15 to 64 years

0 to 14 years

Chart 5

65 years and over



Within the 15–64 age group, the number of youth aged 15–24 is initially projected to decline slightly, from a high of 1,837,000 in 2013 to a low of 1,709,000 by 2022. The youth population is then projected to resume growing, reaching over 2.0 million by 2041. The youth share of total population is projected to decline from 13.6 per cent in 2013 to 11.1 per cent by 2033, followed by a small rise to 11.4 per cent by 2041.

The number of people aged 25–44 is projected to increase throughout the projection period, from 3.6 million in 2013 to almost 4.3 million by 2041, while their share of population will decline from 26.8 to 23.9 per cent.

The number of people aged 45–64 is projected to continue to increase over the first decade of the projections, from 3.8 million in 2013 to almost 4 million by 2021 before declining slightly during the 2020s. This age group will resume growth during the 2030s to reach over 4.3 million by 2041. Its share of population is projected to decline gradually from 28.2 per cent in 2013 to 24.3 per cent by 2041.

Pace of growth of population age groups 0–14, 15–64 and 65+ in Ontario, 1971 to 2041

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35

Sources: Statistics Canada, 1971–2013 and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

ProjectedHistorical

Growth rate (%)

15 to 64 years

0 to 14 years

Chart 6

65 years and over

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



Regional components of population change

The main demographic determinants of regional population growth are the current age structure of the population, the pace of natural increase, and the migratory movements in and out of each of Ontario’s regions. Demographic trends vary significantly among the 49 census divisions that comprise the six geographical regions of Ontario.

The current age structure of each region has a direct impact on projected regional births and deaths. A region with a higher share of its current population in older age groups will likely experience more deaths in the future than a region of comparable size with a younger population. Similarly, a region with a large share of young adults in its population is expected to see more births than a region of comparable size with an older age structure. Also, since migration rates vary by age, the age structure of a region or census division will have an impact on the migration of its population.

The general aging of the population will result in a rising number of census divisions where deaths will exceed births (negative natural increase) over the projection period. Deaths exceeded births in 21 of Ontario’s 49 census divisions over the past five years. This number is projected to rise gradually so that 37 census divisions are projected to experience negative natural increase by 2040–41. These 37 census divisions will represent 26 per cent of Ontario’s population in 2041.

This declining trend in natural increase means that many census divisions in Ontario where natural increase previously was the main or even sole contributor to population growth have already started to see their population growth slow. This trend is projected to continue as the population ages further.

Chart 7

Evolution of natural increase by census division, 2013 to 2041

Source: Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Northern Ontario Southern OntarioNegative in 2013–14 and 2040–41

Positive in 2013–14, negative by 2030–31

Positive in 2013–14, negative by 2040–41

Positive throughout 2013–2041



Migration is the most important factor contributing to population growth for Ontario as a whole and for most regions. Net migration gains, whether from international sources, other parts of Canada or other regions of Ontario, are projected to continue to be the major source of population growth for almost all census divisions.

Large urban areas, especially the GTA, which receive most of the international migration to Ontario are projected to grow strongly. For other regions such as Central Ontario, the continuation of migration gains from other parts of the province will be a key source of growth. Some census divisions of Northern Ontario receive only a small share of international migration and have been experiencing net out-migration, mostly among youth, which reduces both current and future population growth.

Regional population growth

The GTA is projected to be the fastest growing region of the province, accounting for almost 70 per cent of Ontario’s net population growth to 2041. The GTA’s population is projected to increase from 6.5 million in 2013 to 9.4 million in 2041. The region’s share of total Ontario population is projected to rise from 47.6 per cent in 2013 to 52.9 per cent in 2041. It passes the 50 per cent mark in 2025.

Within the GTA, Toronto’s population is projected to rise from 2.77 million in 2013 to 3.64 million in 2041, an increase of 31.3 per cent, similar to the provincial growth rate. Growth in the other census divisions of the GTA (Durham, Halton, Peel and York) will be significantly faster than the

Chart 8

Sources: Statistics Canada, 2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Northwest

2013 2041

Northeast

Central

East

GTA

6.5

9.4

0.2 0.2

Population of Ontario regions, 2013 and 2041

0.6 0.5

1.6 1.7

2.93.6

1.82.3

Southwest

Population in millions



Ontario average, with the addition of almost 2.1 million people to the suburban GTA. Peel alone is projected to see its population increase by 724,000 over 2013–41, a 52.2 per cent rise. Halton is projected to be the fastest-growing census division in Ontario over the projection period, with growth of 72.7 per cent to 2041.

The population of Central Ontario is projected to grow by 699,000 or 24.0 per cent, from 2.91 million in 2013 to 3.61 million in 2041. The region’s share of provincial population will decline slightly from 21.5 to 20.3 per cent. Three census divisions surrounding the GTA will continue to experience population growth above the provincial average; they are Simcoe at 36.0 per cent, Waterloo at 33.3 per cent and Dufferin at 32.0 per cent.

The population of Eastern Ontario is projected to grow 27.1 per cent over the projection period, from 1.78 million to 2.26 million. Ottawa is projected to grow fastest (43.6 per cent) from 934,000 in 2013 to over 1.34 million in 2041. Most other Eastern Ontario census divisions will also grow, but below the provincial average, with Frontenac and Prescott & Russell growing by 23.8 and 21.4 per cent respectively. The census divisions of Hastings and Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry are projected to experience population decline over 2013–2041.

Chart 9

Population growth/decline by census division over 2013 to 2041


Northern Ontario Southern OntarioDecline

0 to 15 Per Cent Growth


Over 40 Per Cent Growth



The population of Southwestern Ontario is projected to grow from 1.60 million in 2013 to 1.74 million in 2041, an increase of 8.4 per cent. Growth rates within Southwestern Ontario will vary, with Middlesex and Elgin growing fastest (25.3 and 11.0 per cent respectively). The populations of Lambton, Huron and Chatham-Kent are projected to decline over the 2013–2041 period.

The population of Northern Ontario is projected to be relatively stable over the projection horizon, with a slight decrease of 3.4 per cent, from 803,000 in 2013 to 776,000 by 2041. Within the North, the Northeast is projected to see a population decline of 23,000 or 4.2 per cent, from 564,000 to 540,000. The Northwest is projected to experience population decline of 4,000 people, or 1.7 per cent, from 240,000 to 236,000.

In the past, Northern Ontario’s positive natural increase offset part of the losses it experienced through net migration. However, natural increase in the North as a whole is now negative and it is projected to remain so as the population ages.

Table A

Population Shares of Ontario Regions, 1991 to 2041

Share of Ontario Population (%)

1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041

GTA 42.0 44.5 47.2 49.3 51.2 52.9

Central 22.2 22.1 21.6 21.1 20.7 20.3

East 13.9 13.5 13.2 13.0 12.9 12.7

Southwest 13.7 13.0 12.0 11.1 10.4 9.8

Northeast 5.8 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.0

Northwest 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.3


Regional age structure

All regions will see a shift to an older age structure. Regions where natural increase and net migration are projected to become or remain negative will see the largest shifts in age structure. The GTA is expected to remain the region with the youngest age structure, a result of strong international migration and positive natural increase. The Northeast will remain the region with the oldest age structure.

In 2013, the share of seniors aged 65 and over in regional population ranged from a low of 13.3 per cent in the GTA to a high of 18.8 per cent in the Northeast. Among census divisions, it ranged from 11.3 per cent in Peel to 29.6 per cent in Haliburton.

By 2041, the share of seniors in regions is projected to range from 22.9 per cent in the GTA to 31.5 per cent in the Northeast. Among census divisions, it is projected to range from 22.0 per cent in Peel to 44.6 per cent in Haliburton.



Even as the share of seniors in census divisions located in and around the suburban GTA is projected to remain lower than the provincial average, the increase in the number of seniors in this area will be the most significant. The number of seniors is projected to almost triple in the suburban GTA. Conversely, the number of seniors will grow most slowly (less than 55 per cent) in Algoma, Timiskaming and Huron.

Chart 10

Share of seniors in population by census division in 2041


Northern Ontario Southern OntarioLess than 25 Per Cent

25 to 30 Per Cent

30 to 35 Per Cent

Over 35 Per Cent



The number of children aged 0–14 is projected to decline in the North and the Southwest, and to increase in the rest of Southern Ontario over the projection period. However, by 2041 the share of children in every region is projected to be slightly lower than it is today. In 2013, the highest share of children among regions was in the Northwest at 17.1 per cent; the Northeast had the lowest share at 14.6 per cent. By 2041, the Northeast will remain the region with the lowest share of children at 13.4 per cent while the highest share will be found in the Northwest at 15.5 per cent.

The suburban GTA census divisions, along with Ottawa, are projected to record the highest growth in the number of children aged 0–14 over the 2013–2041 period, with Halton seeing the most growth at 55 per cent. Conversely, the majority of rural and northern census divisions are projected to have significantly fewer children by 2041, with the largest declines in the North. However, most census divisions are projected to see only a slight decrease in the share of children in their population. In 2013, the highest share of children was found in Kenora at 22.1 per cent and the lowest share in Haliburton at 9.8 per cent. By 2041, Kenora is projected to still have the highest share of children at 20.0 per cent while Haliburton will continue to have the lowest at 9.4 per cent.

Chart 11

Growth in number of seniors by census division, 2013 to 2041


Northern Ontario Southern OntarioLess than 75 Per Cent Growth






The share of population aged 15–64, which ranged from 66.5 per cent in the Southwest to 70.1 per cent in the GTA in 2013, is projected to decline over the 2013–2041 period in every region. The share of this age group is projected range from 61.8 per cent of population in the GTA to 55.1 per cent in the Northeast by 2041.

While the share of population aged 15–64 is projected to fall in every census division of the province, the number of people in this age group is projected to increase in 14 of the 49 census divisions, mainly in the GTA, Central Ontario and urban areas of the East and the Southwest. The highest share of people aged 15–64 in 2013 was in Toronto (71.0 per cent) while the lowest was in Haliburton (60.6 per cent). By 2041, the highest shares will be found in GTA census divisions and in both Waterloo and Ottawa, with Toronto the highest (63.7 per cent). Prince Edward, Haliburton, Northumberland, Kawartha Lakes, Manitoulin and Parry Sound are projected to become the only six census divisions with shares of people aged 15–64 below 50 per cent by the end of the projection period.

Chart 12

Growth/decline in number of children aged 0–14 by census division, 2013 to 2041


Northern Ontario Southern OntarioDecline






IV. Methodology and Assumptions

Projections methodology

The methodology used in Ministry of Finance long-term population projections is the cohort-component method, essentially a demographic accounting system. The calculation starts with the base-year population (2013) distributed by age and sex.

A separate analysis and projection of each component of population growth is made for each year, starting with births. Then, projections of deaths and the five migration components (immigration, net emigration, net change in non-permanent residents, interprovincial in- and out-migration, and intraprovincial in- and out-migration) are also generated and added to the population cohorts to obtain the population of the subsequent year, by age and sex.

This methodology is followed for each of the 49 census divisions. The Ontario-level population is obtained by summing the projected census division populations.

It should be noted that the population projections are demographic, founded on assumptions about births, deaths and migration over the projection period. Assumptions are based on the analysis of the long-term and the most recent trends of these components, as well as expectations of future direction. For Ontario, the degree of uncertainty inherent in projections is represented by the range between the low- and high-growth scenarios, with the reference scenario representing the most likely outcome.

Base population

This report includes the first set of demographic projections released by the Ministry of Finance that uses population estimates based on the 2011 Census adjusted for net undercoverage. Specifically, the projections use Statistics Canada’s preliminary July 1, 2013 postcensal population estimates as a base.

As well as providing a new starting point for total population by age and sex, updating the projections to a new base alters the projected age structure and population growth in each census division. It also has an impact on many components of population growth that are projected by using age-specific rates, such as births, deaths and several of the migration streams.

Fertility

The projected number of births for any given year is obtained by applying age-specific fertility rates to cohorts of women in the reproductive age group, ages 15 to 49. The projection model relies on four parameters1 to generate the annual number of births. The first of these parameters, the total fertility rate (TFR), reflects the level of fertility while the other three parameters (the mean age at maternity, the skewness and the variance of the distribution) reflect the timing, or age, at which

1 Based on the Pearsonian approach. See Glossary.



women have their babies. All parameters used are calibrated to generate age-specific fertility rates that closely follow recent trends.

Assumptions are based on a careful analysis of past age-specific fertility trends in Ontario and a review of fertility trends elsewhere in Canada and in other countries. A general and common trend is that a growing proportion of women are postponing births to their 30s and early 40s.

The decline in the fertility rate among young women is accompanied by a rise in fertility rates among older women. Over the past 20 years, teenage girls and women in their early 20s have experienced the sharpest declines in fertility rates. Women in their late 20s had rapidly declining fertility rates over the 1990s and early 2000s, followed by a period of slower decline up to 2008. Recent data point toward a faster rate of decline over the 2008-11 period for this age group.

Fertility rates of women in their 30s and older, which were rising moderately over the 1990s and more rapidly over most of the 2000s, have shown a slower pace of increase in the most recent years. These are the same cohorts of women who postponed births during their 20s and are now having children in their 30s and early 40s.

Following about half a century of almost continuous decline, the total fertility rate in Ontario reached a low in 2002, at 1.48 children per woman. From the 2002 low, annual TFR values increased gradually, rising to 1.60 in 2008. Most recently, TFR has declined, reaching 1.55 in 2011 (latest available). This is less than half of the total fertility rate recorded during the 1960 peak of the Baby Boom when Ontario’s total fertility rate reached 3.8 children per woman with a record 159,000 births registered that year. By 1972, fertility fell below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman.

Most researchers agree that fertility rates in the future are unlikely to return to the highs observed in the 1950s and early 1960s. Rather, it is believed that relatively small fluctuations around values below the replacement level are more likely.

In the reference scenario, the TFR is assumed to increase slightly from 1.55 to 1.60 children per woman by 2030 as younger women’s fertility rates stabilize while those of older women continue to gradually increase.

In the low-growth scenario, fertility is assumed to decline gradually until the TFR reaches 1.30 children per woman at the end of the projection period. In the high-growth scenario, the TFR increases gradually to 1.90 children per woman by the end of the period.

Fertility assumptions at the census division level

The most recent data at the census division level (2011) shows that TFRs range from a high of 2.34 in Manitoulin to a low of 1.39 in Toronto. Trends in the evolution of the TFR in each census division over the past fifteen years show no convergence of TFRs by census division. For this reason, the projected parameters for fertility at the census division level are modelled to maintain the regional differences. The census division-to-province ratio for mean age at fertility in the most recent period is assumed to remain constant. The variance and skewness of fertility distributions at the census division level evolve over the projection period following the same absolute changes of these parameters at the Ontario level.



Mortality

The projected number of deaths each year is obtained by applying age-specific mortality rates to population cohorts in corresponding ages. Assumptions of future age-specific death rates are derived2 from trends observed over the 1971–2010 period related to the pace of improvement in overall life expectancy and the age patterns in mortality.

The province of Ontario has one of the highest levels of life expectancy in Canada and among the countries of the developed world. A newborn female in Ontario can expect to live 83.9 years and a newborn male 79.8 years (2010 data). Since 1994, average gains in life expectancy have been in the order of 0.18 years per annum for females and 0.28 years per annum for males.

Up to the mid-1990s, annual gains in life expectancy were getting somewhat smaller and it was expected that future improvements would continue at this slowing pace. However, over the past decade, annual gains in life expectancy have picked up and are rising in a more linear trajectory. Future gains in life expectancy concentrated at older ages and are smaller for infants.

2 Following the Lee-Carter model. See Glossary.

Total fertility rate of Ontario women, 1979 to 2041

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

1.8

1.9

2.0

2.1

1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036 2039


ProjectedHistorical

Total fertility rate (in children per women)

High scenario


Chart 13

2041



In the reference scenario, life expectancy in Ontario is projected to continue increasing linearly over the first decade of the projection, followed by a gradual slowing in the rate of increase. By 2041, life expectancy is projected to reach 86.6 years for males and 88.7 years for females. This means total life expectancy gains of 6.8 years for males and 4.8 years for females between 2010 and 2041.

For low-and high-growth scenarios, assumptions of life expectancy at birth at the end of the projection period are first developed. For intervening years, life expectancy is assumed to increase linearly. The derived set of assumptions for the three scenarios for Ontario all reflect a continuation of the gains recorded in the average duration of life.

In the low-growth scenario, life expectancy increases at a slower pace, to 85.0 and 87.4 years for males and females respectively. In the high-growth scenario, life expectancy reaches 88.0 and 89.8 years for males and females respectively.

Under the assumptions on mortality for each of the three scenarios, male life expectancy is expected to progress at a faster pace than female life expectancy. This is consistent with recent trends where males have recorded larger gains than females. Thus, the overall gap between males and females has gradually decreased, and is projected to continue to do so.

Life expectancy at birth by sex in Ontario, 1979 to 2041

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

1979 1986 1993 2000 2007 2014 2021 2028 2035


ProjectedHistorical

Life expectancy at birth (in years)

Females

Males High scenario


Chart 14

2041



Table B

Life Expectancy in Ontario, 1981 to 2041

1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041

Male At birth 72.5 75.0 77.4 80.0 82.4 84.6 86.6

At age 65 14.5 15.8 17.2 19.2 20.9 22.4 23.9

Female At birth 79.3 80.8 82.1 84.1 85.7 87.3 88.7

At age 65 19.0 19.7 20.4 22.0 23.2 24.4 25.5


Mortality assumptions at the census division level

At the census division level, the mortality assumptions were developed using a ratio methodology. The Ontario-level mortality structure was applied to each census division’s age structure over the most recent three years of comparable data and the expected number of deaths was computed. This was then compared to the actual annual number of deaths for each census division over this period to create ratios of actual-to-expected number of deaths. These ratios were then multiplied by provincial age-specific death rates to create death rates for each census division. These were then applied to the corresponding census division population to derive the number of deaths for each census division.

An analysis of the ratio of actual-to-expected deaths for each census division did not reveal a consistent pattern or movement toward a convergence or divergence among regions over time. For this reason, the recent three-year average ratio for each census division was held constant over the projection period.

Components of net migration

The following sections discuss assumptions and methodology for the components of net migration, including immigration, emigration, non-permanent residents, interprovincial migration and intraprovincial migration.

Immigration

Immigration levels in Canada are determined by federal government policy. The federal Minister of Citizenship and Immigration sets the national target range for the level of immigration to be achieved over the following year. For the calendar year 2014, the target range is set at 240,000 to 265,000 immigrants.

From 1995 to 2007, the target range was increased gradually by successive federal governments. These increases to the immigration target helped maintain a relatively stable immigration rate to Canada of about 0.75 per cent of population each year. During this period, Ontario’s immigration as



a share of population has been higher than for Canada as a whole, averaging one per cent of population.

Since 2007, federal immigration policy has changed, with a goal of spreading immigrants more evenly across the country primarily through the expansion of the provincial nominee program. As a result, Ontario’s share of total Canadian immigration has fallen from 48.5 per cent in 2006–07 to 40.2 per cent in 2012–13. Moreover, Ontario’s immigration rate declined from 0.9 per cent to less than 0.8 per cent over the same period.

In the reference scenario, the assumed long-term immigration rate is set at 0.8 per cent. This long-term immigration rate of 0.8 per cent is reached over a ten-year transition period to reflect the slightly lower rates observed in recent years.

Once the long-term immigration rate is reached, the number of immigrants increases over time as population grows. In the reference scenario, the annual immigration level is projected to increase from 102,000 in 2013–14 to 119,000 by 2022–23 to reach the long-term immigration rate assumption of 0.8 per cent of population. Over the rest of the projection period, the level of immigration is projected to increase gradually, in tandem with overall population growth, reaching 141,000 by 2040–41.

The long-term immigration rate is set at 0.6 per cent in the low-growth scenario, resulting in immigration levels rising slowly, from 88,000 in 2013–14 to 94,000 by 2040–41. In the high-growth scenario, the long-term rate of immigration is set at 1.0 per cent, resulting in immigration levels rising strongly, from 115,000 in 2013–14 to 197,000 by 2040–41.

Rate of immigration to Ontario, 1971 to 2041

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35


ProjectedHistorical

Immigration rate (as % of population)

High scenario


Chart 15

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



Immigration assumptions at the census division level

Projected immigration shares for each census division are based on the trends observed in the distribution of immigrants by census division over the recent past. These shares evolve throughout the projection period following established trends. The average age-sex distribution pattern for immigrants observed over the past five years is assumed to remain constant over the entire projection period. Over 85 per cent of immigrants coming to Ontario are aged 0–44.

Emigration

Total emigration is defined as the gross flow of international emigration, minus returning emigrants, plus the net variation in the number of Ontarians temporarily abroad. The level of total emigration from Ontario averaged 14,600 over the past three years.

The number of emigrants is difficult to estimate with a high degree of accuracy because of incomplete information. Statistics Canada publishes annual estimates of these flows based on a variety of sources, such as administrative data files and immigration statistics published by agencies of foreign countries.

In the reference scenario, the average emigration rates by age and sex for each census division observed over the past five years are used to model the projected number of people emigrating annually from each census division. The modelling is dynamic, taking into account the annual

Immigration to Ontario, 1971 to 2041

0

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

175,000

200,000

225,000

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35 2040-41

Sources: Statistics Canada, 1971-2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

ProjectedHistorical

Number of immigrants

High scenario


Chart 16

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



changes in age structure within census divisions. For Ontario as a whole, this results in the number of emigrants increasing gradually over the projection period to reach 20,600 by 2040–41.

In the low-growth scenario, emigration rates by age and sex used in the reference scenario are increased by 30 per cent, making them 130 per cent of recently-observed rates. This results in emigration levels reaching 23,600 by 2040–41.

In the high-growth scenario, emigration rates by age and sex used in the reference scenario are reduced by 30 per cent, making them equivalent to 70 per cent of recently-observed rates. This results in the number of emigrants reaching 15,900 by 2040–41.

Emigration assumptions at the census division level

The projected number of people, by age and gender, emigrating from each census division for each year of the projections is modelled using the average emigration rates by age and gender for each census division observed over the past five years.

Non-permanent residents

Statistics Canada estimates that there were about 286,000 non-permanent residents (NPRs) living in Ontario in 2013 (e.g., foreign students, temporary workers, refugee claimants). These foreign residents are included in the base population as they are counted in the Census.

Emigration from Ontario, 1971 to 2041

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35


ProjectedHistorical

Number of emigrants

High scenario


Chart 17

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



The year-to-year change in their total number must be accounted for as a component of population growth. Determining assumptions for this component is complicated by the significant annual fluctuations and the transient nature of this group.

Over the past 30 years, Ontario has gained on average 6,800 non-permanent residents annually. The reference scenario reflects long-terms trends in the annual change in the number of NPRs by setting the long-term yearly gain to 7,500. In the low- and high-growth scenarios, the long-term annual change in the stock of NPRs is set at 2,500 and 12,500 respectively. The long-term assumptions for each scenario are reached after a transition period of three years, moderating from the relatively high net gains observed recently.

Non-permanent resident assumptions at the census division level

Projected shares of non-permanent residents for each census division are based on the share held by each census division in 2013. The age-sex distribution of non-permanent residents is based on the average of the last five years. The distribution pattern is assumed to remain constant over the projection period.

Interprovincial migration

Interprovincial migration is a component of population growth that fluctuates significantly from year to year. Although Ontario remains a major province of attraction for migrants from some other

Annual change in the number of non-permanent residents living in Ontario, 1971 to 2041

-60,000

-40,000

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35


ProjectedHistorical

Change (number)

High scenario


Chart 18

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



provinces, trend analysis of the last three decades reveals a mixed pattern of several years of gains followed by several years of losses. This pattern is usually closely tied to economic cycles.

Since 2003, net interprovincial migration to Ontario has been negative, largely due to net outflows to Alberta. Over the past 30 years, net interprovincial migration into Ontario averaged 2,700 per year. However, this includes the abnormally large inflows from Quebec recorded in the years following the 1980 referendum. Excluding the extra inflows during this period, long-term net interprovincial migration to Ontario is modestly negative.

In the reference scenario, annual net interprovincial migration for Ontario reflects recent trends in the short term. It is set at -14,000 for 2013–14, gradually returning to long-term historical values by 2017–18 with a net of zero and then remaining at that level for the rest of the projection period.

In the low-growth scenario, net interprovincial migration for Ontario is assumed to improve gradually from a net outflow of 19,000 people in 2013–14 to a net outflow of 5,000 from 2017–18 onwards. In the high-growth scenario, a net annual outflow of 9,000 people is assumed for 2013–14, followed by a gradual increase to a net inflow of 5,000 annually starting in 2017–18.

The annual in-flows corresponding to the long-term net migration levels in the low-growth, reference and high-growth scenarios are 62,500, 65,000 and 67,500 respectively. The corresponding annual out-flows are 67,500, 65,000 and 62,500.

Net interprovincial migration in Ontario, 1971 to 2041

-40,000

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

1971–72 1978-79 1985-86 1992-93 1999-00 2006-07 2013-14 2020-21 2027-28 2034-35


ProjectedHistorical

Net gain/loss (number)

High scenario


Chart 19

2022-23 2031-32 2040-41



Interprovincial migration assumptions at the census division level

Each census division’s share of Ontario inflow and outflow of interprovincial migrants over the last five years is applied to projected flows for the province and held constant throughout the projection period.

Intraprovincial migration

At the census division level, intraprovincial migration, or the movement of population from one census division to another within the province, is a significant component of population growth. This component affects population growth only at the census division level.

The annual number of intraprovincial migrants in Ontario has fluctuated within the 350,000 to 430,000 range over the past 20 years. Over the projection period, the annual number of intraprovincial migrants increases gradually from 387,000 in 2013–14 to 433,000 in 2040–41. This increase over time reflects population growth and age structure changes at the census division level. In fact, even as the number of intraprovincial migrants is projected to increase, the resulting rate of intraprovincial migration in Ontario will decline slightly over the projection period, from 2.86 per cent in 2013-14 to 2.45 per cent by 2040-41.

Intraprovincial migration assumptions at the census division level

The projected number of people, by age, leaving each census division for each year of the projections, as well as their destination within the province, is modelled using the origin-destination migration rates by age for each census division over the past five years. Because migration rates by age group are different for each census division and because different age groups have different origin-destination behaviours, the methodology provides a powerful tool to project movers based on observed age and origin-destination migration patterns. The modelling is dynamic, taking into account the annual changes in age structure within census divisions.

The evolution of intraprovincial migration patterns in each census division was studied to identify specific trends and the intraprovincial migration rate assumptions were adjusted to account for these trends.



Glossary

Baby boom generation

People born during the period following World War II, 1946 to 1965, marked by an significant increase in fertility rates and in the number of births.

Baby boom echo generation

People born during the period 1972 to 1992. Children of baby boomers.

Cohort

Represents a group of persons who have experienced a specific demographic event during a given period, which can be a year. For example, the birth cohort of 1966 consists of the number of persons who were born in 1966.

GTA

The Greater Toronto Area, comprised of the census divisions of Toronto, Durham, Halton, Peel and York.

International migration

Movement of population between Ontario and a foreign country. International migration includes immigrants, emigrants and non-permanent residents. Net international migration is the difference between the number of people entering and the number of people leaving the province from foreign countries.

Interprovincial migration

Movement of population between Ontario and the rest of Canada. Net interprovincial migration is the difference between the number of people entering Ontario from the rest of Canada and the number of people leaving Ontario for elsewhere in Canada.

Intraprovincial migration

Movement of population between the 49 census divisions within Ontario. Net intraprovincial migration for a given census division is the difference between the number of people moving from the rest of Ontario to this census division and the number of people leaving for elsewhere in the province.

Lee-Carter method

A method of mortality projection proposed by Lee and Carter used to generate annual age- sex specific mortality rates. See Lee, Ronald D., and Carter, Lawrence, 1992. “Modeling and Forecasting the Time Series of U.S. Mortality,” Journal of the American Statistical Association 87, no 419 (September):659-71.

Life expectancy

A statistical measure derived from the average number of years of life remaining for a person at a specific age if that person would experience during his/her life the age-specific mortality rates observed in a given year.



Median age

The median age is the age at which exactly one half of the population is older and the other half is younger. This measure is often used to compare age structures between jurisdictions.

Natural increase

The number of births minus the number of deaths.

Net migration

Difference between the number of people entering and the number of people leaving a given area. This includes all the migration components included in net international migration, net interprovincial migration and net intraprovincial migration (for sub-provincial jurisdictions).

Non-permanent residents

Foreign citizens living in Ontario (e.g., foreign students, temporary workers or refugee claimants).

Pearsonian curve

Parametric model used to distribute estimated fertility rates by age of mothers. The Pearsonian curve has four parameters. The first of these parameters, the total fertility rate, reflects the level of fertility while the other three parameters (the mean age at fertility, the skewness and the variance of the distribution) reflect the timing, or age, at which women have their babies.

Population aging

In demographic terms, population aging refers to an increasing share of seniors (ages 65+) in the population.

Population estimates

Measures historical resident population using data from the most recent Census, in addition to administrative data on the components of demographic change (births, deaths and net migration) since the Census.

Total fertility rate

The sum of age-specific fertility rates during a given year. Indicates the average number of children that a generation of women would have if, over the course of their reproductive life, they had fertility rates identical to those of the year considered.



Statistical Tables

Table 1 Historical and projected population for Ontario under three scenarios, 2006–2041 33

Table 2 Ontario population and selected characteristics, 2006–2041 (reference, low and high scenarios) 34 – 36

Table 3 Components of demographic growth for Ontario, 2006–2041 (reference, low and high scenarios) 37 – 39

Table 4 Historical and projected population by census division, selected years — reference scenario 40

Table 5 Historical and projected share of Ontario population by census division, selected years — reference scenario 41

Table 6 Ontario population by age, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 42 – 47

Table 7 Total, male and female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 48 – 50

Table 8 Total, male and female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — low scenario 51 – 53

Table 9 Total, male and female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — high scenario 54 – 56

Tables 10 Greater Toronto Area and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 57 – 62

Tables 11 Central Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 63 – 76

Tables 12 Eastern Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 77 – 87

Tables 13 Southwestern Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 88 – 98

Tables 14 Northeastern Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 99 – 107

Tables 15 Northwestern Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 — reference scenario 108 – 111


Table 1

Historical and projected population for Ontario under three scenarios, 2006–2041

Year Estimates Reference Scenario Low Scenario High Scenario

2006 12,661,566

2007 12,764,195

2008 12,882,625

2009 12,997,687

2010 13,135,063

2011 13,263,544

2012 13,411,994

2013 13,537,994

Projections

2014 13,672,718 13,634,201 13,711,057

2015 13,809,683 13,731,189 13,889,861

2016 13,948,759 13,828,981 14,074,557

2017 14,092,196 13,927,583 14,265,291

2018 14,241,372 14,028,296 14,463,482

2019 14,392,871 14,127,649 14,665,762

2020 14,546,659 14,225,548 14,872,147

2021 14,702,643 14,321,876 15,082,610

2022 14,860,767 14,416,478 15,297,059

2023 15,020,942 14,509,146 15,515,374

2024 15,181,617 14,599,673 15,737,387

2025 15,342,512 14,687,803 15,962,879

2026 15,503,342 14,773,261 16,191,601

2027 15,663,779 14,855,771 16,423,284

2028 15,823,510 14,935,053 16,657,672

2029 15,982,251 15,010,860 16,894,531

2030 16,139,794 15,082,984 17,133,677

2031 16,295,961 15,151,258 17,374,994

2032 16,450,670 15,215,581 17,618,448

2033 16,603,838 15,275,910 17,864,098

2034 16,755,444 15,332,263 18,112,082

2035 16,905,505 15,384,677 18,362,587

2036 17,054,108 15,433,227 18,615,887

2037 17,201,371 15,477,989 18,872,266

2038 17,347,443 15,519,062 19,132,047

2039 17,492,427 15,556,521 19,395,542

2040 17,636,448 15,590,414 19,663,069

2041 17,779,636 15,620,816 19,934,967

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2006-2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Note: Population as of July 1.



Table 2

Ontario population and selected characteristics, 2006–2041 — Reference scenario

Year Total population Births Deaths Net migration4 Annual growth Median age

(Per cent) (Years) 0-14 15-64 65+

Estimates

2006-07 12,661.6 137.0 86.8 52.5 0.8 38.4 17.8 69.2 13.0

2007-08 12,764.2 140.5 87.5 65.4 0.9 38.7 17.5 69.2 13.2

2008-09 12,882.6 140.3 88.4 63.1 0.9 39.0 17.3 69.2 13.5

2009-10 12,997.7 139.8 87.6 85.2 1.1 39.3 17.1 69.2 13.7

2010-11 13,135.1 139.4 90.9 79.9 1.0 39.6 16.9 69.2 13.9

2011-12 13,263.5 140.9 90.8 98.3 1.1 39.8 16.6 69.1 14.2

2012-13 13,412.0 142.5 93.8 77.3 0.9 40.0 16.4 68.9 14.7

Projections

2013-142

13,538.0 144.1 91.6 82.2 1.0 40.3 16.2 68.6 15.2

2014-15 13,672.7 146.1 93.5 84.4 1.0 40.5 16.1 68.3 15.6

2015-16 13,809.7 148.0 95.4 86.5 1.0 40.7 16.0 68.0 16.1

2016-17 13,948.8 149.9 97.2 90.7 1.0 40.9 15.9 67.6 16.5

2017-18 14,092.2 151.9 99.0 96.3 1.1 41.0 15.9 67.2 16.9

2018-19 14,241.4 153.8 100.8 98.5 1.1 41.2 15.8 66.8 17.4

2019-20 14,392.9 155.6 102.6 100.7 1.1 41.4 15.8 66.4 17.8

2020-21 14,546.7 157.3 104.3 103.0 1.1 41.5 15.8 65.9 18.3

2021-22 14,702.6 158.9 106.1 105.3 1.1 41.6 15.8 65.4 18.8

2022-23 14,860.8 160.3 107.8 107.7 1.1 41.8 15.8 64.9 19.3

2023-24 15,020.9 161.5 109.6 108.8 1.1 41.9 15.7 64.5 19.8

2024-25 15,181.6 162.4 111.5 110.0 1.1 42.1 15.7 64.0 20.3

2025-26 15,342.5 163.1 113.4 111.1 1.0 42.2 15.7 63.4 20.9

2026-27 15,503.3 163.5 115.4 112.3 1.0 42.4 15.7 62.9 21.4

2027-28 15,663.8 163.7 117.5 113.4 1.0 42.5 15.7 62.4 21.9

2028-29 15,823.5 163.8 119.6 114.6 1.0 42.7 15.7 61.8 22.4

2029-30 15,982.3 163.7 121.9 115.8 1.0 42.9 15.7 61.3 22.9

2030-31 16,139.8 163.5 124.3 116.9 1.0 43.0 15.7 60.9 23.4

2031-32 16,296.0 163.4 126.8 118.1 0.9 43.2 15.6 60.6 23.8

2032-33 16,450.7 163.3 129.4 119.2 0.9 43.3 15.6 60.4 24.0

2033-34 16,603.8 163.3 132.0 120.3 0.9 43.5 15.5 60.2 24.3

2034-35 16,755.4 163.4 134.8 121.5 0.9 43.7 15.5 60.0 24.5

2035-36 16,905.5 163.7 137.7 122.6 0.9 43.9 15.4 59.9 24.7

2036-37 17,054.1 164.2 140.6 123.7 0.9 44.1 15.3 59.8 24.9

2037-38 17,201.4 164.9 143.6 124.8 0.8 44.3 15.2 59.7 25.1

2038-39 17,347.4 165.8 146.6 125.9 0.8 44.4 15.1 59.7 25.2

2039-40 17,492.4 166.8 149.7 126.9 0.8 44.6 15.0 59.6 25.3

2040-41 17,636.4 167.9 152.7 127.9 0.8 44.7 14.9 59.6 25.4

2041 17,779.6 – – – – 44.9 14.9 59.6 25.5


Notes: 1. Population and age structure are for the beginning of each Census year, i.e., July 1.

2. For 2013-14, population and age structure are Statistics Canada estimates for July 1, 2013.

3. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

4. For historical components of demographic growth, Statistics Canada's residual deviation is included in net migration.

(Thousands)

Age group share (%)



Table 2 – Continued

Ontario population and selected characteristics, 2006–2041 — Low scenario


(Per cent) (Years) 0-14 15-64 65+

Estimates

2006-07 12,661.6 137.0 86.8 77.2 0.8 38.4 17.8 69.2 13.0

2007-08 12,764.2 140.5 87.5 90.2 0.9 38.7 17.5 69.2 13.2

2008-09 12,882.6 140.3 88.4 87.9 0.9 39.0 17.3 69.2 13.5

2009-10 12,997.7 139.8 87.6 110.0 1.1 39.3 17.1 69.2 13.7

2010-11 13,135.1 139.4 90.9 101.1 1.0 39.6 16.9 69.2 13.9

2011-12 13,263.5 140.9 90.8 98.3 1.1 39.8 16.6 69.1 14.2

2012-13 13,412.0 142.5 93.8 77.3 0.9 40.0 16.4 68.9 14.7

Projections

2013-142

13,538.0 139.5 96.5 53.2 0.7 40.3 16.2 68.6 15.2

2014-15 13,634.2 139.8 98.5 55.6 0.7 40.5 16.1 68.3 15.6

2015-16 13,731.2 140.1 100.4 58.1 0.7 40.7 15.9 68.0 16.1

2016-17 13,829.0 140.4 102.3 60.5 0.7 41.0 15.8 67.7 16.5

2017-18 13,927.6 140.6 104.1 64.2 0.7 41.2 15.7 67.3 17.0

2018-19 14,028.3 140.8 105.9 64.4 0.7 41.4 15.7 66.9 17.4

2019-20 14,127.6 140.9 107.7 64.7 0.7 41.6 15.6 66.5 17.9

2020-21 14,225.5 140.9 109.5 64.9 0.7 41.8 15.5 66.1 18.4

2021-22 14,321.9 140.7 111.3 65.1 0.7 42.0 15.4 65.7 18.9

2022-23 14,416.5 140.4 113.1 65.4 0.6 42.2 15.3 65.2 19.5

2023-24 14,509.1 139.8 114.9 65.6 0.6 42.4 15.2 64.8 20.0

2024-25 14,599.7 139.1 116.8 65.9 0.6 42.7 15.1 64.3 20.6

2025-26 14,687.8 138.1 118.8 66.1 0.6 42.9 15.0 63.8 21.2

2026-27 14,773.3 137.0 120.8 66.3 0.6 43.1 14.9 63.3 21.8

2027-28 14,855.8 135.7 122.9 66.5 0.5 43.3 14.8 62.9 22.4

2028-29 14,935.1 134.2 125.1 66.7 0.5 43.6 14.6 62.4 23.0

2029-30 15,010.9 132.6 127.4 66.9 0.5 43.8 14.5 61.9 23.6

2030-31 15,083.0 131.0 129.8 67.0 0.5 44.0 14.4 61.5 24.1

2031-32 15,151.3 129.4 132.2 67.2 0.4 44.3 14.3 61.2 24.5

2032-33 15,215.6 127.9 134.8 67.3 0.4 44.5 14.2 61.0 24.9

2033-34 15,275.9 126.4 137.5 67.4 0.4 44.7 14.0 60.8 25.2

2034-35 15,332.3 125.2 140.2 67.4 0.3 45.0 13.9 60.6 25.5

2035-36 15,384.7 124.0 143.0 67.5 0.3 45.2 13.8 60.4 25.8

2036-37 15,433.2 123.0 145.8 67.5 0.3 45.5 13.6 60.3 26.1

2037-38 15,478.0 122.1 148.6 67.5 0.3 45.7 13.5 60.2 26.3

2038-39 15,519.1 121.4 151.4 67.5 0.2 46.0 13.3 60.1 26.5

2039-40 15,556.5 120.7 154.3 67.5 0.2 46.2 13.2 60.1 26.7

2040-41 15,590.4 120.0 157.0 67.4 0.2 46.5 13.0 60.1 26.9

2041 15,620.8 -- -- -- -- 46.7 12.9 60.0 27.1






(Thousands)

Age group share (%)




Ontario population and selected characteristics, 2006–2041 — High scenario


(Per cent) (Years) 0-14 15-64 65+

Estimates

2006-07 12,661.6 137.0 86.8 77.2 0.8 38.4 17.8 69.2 13.0

2007-08 12,764.2 140.5 87.5 90.2 0.9 38.7 17.5 69.2 13.2

2008-09 12,882.6 140.3 88.4 87.9 0.9 39.0 17.3 69.2 13.5

2009-10 12,997.7 139.8 87.6 110.0 1.1 39.3 17.1 69.2 13.7

2010-11 13,135.1 139.4 90.9 101.1 1.0 39.6 16.9 69.2 13.9

2011-12 13,263.5 140.9 90.8 98.3 1.1 39.8 16.6 69.1 14.2

2012-13 13,412.0 142.5 93.8 77.3 0.9 40.0 16.4 68.9 14.7

Projections

2013-142

13,538.0 148.8 87.0 111.3 1.3 40.3 16.2 68.6 15.2

2014-15 13,711.1 152.1 88.8 115.6 1.3 40.4 16.1 68.3 15.6

2015-16 13,889.9 155.5 90.7 119.9 1.3 40.6 16.0 67.9 16.1

2016-17 14,074.6 158.9 92.5 124.3 1.4 40.7 16.0 67.5 16.5

2017-18 14,265.3 162.4 94.2 130.0 1.4 40.9 16.0 67.1 16.9

2018-19 14,463.5 166.0 96.0 132.3 1.4 41.0 16.0 66.7 17.3

2019-20 14,665.8 169.4 97.8 134.7 1.4 41.1 16.0 66.2 17.7

2020-21 14,872.1 172.8 99.5 137.2 1.4 41.2 16.1 65.7 18.2

2021-22 15,082.6 176.0 101.2 139.7 1.4 41.3 16.1 65.2 18.7

2022-23 15,297.1 179.0 103.0 142.2 1.4 41.4 16.2 64.7 19.1

2023-24 15,515.4 181.9 104.8 144.9 1.4 41.5 16.2 64.2 19.6

2024-25 15,737.4 184.5 106.6 147.6 1.4 41.6 16.3 63.6 20.1

2025-26 15,962.9 186.8 108.5 150.4 1.4 41.7 16.4 63.1 20.6

2026-27 16,191.6 188.9 110.4 153.2 1.4 41.8 16.5 62.5 21.1

2027-28 16,423.3 190.8 112.5 156.1 1.4 41.9 16.6 61.9 21.5

2028-29 16,657.7 192.5 114.6 159.0 1.4 42.0 16.6 61.4 22.0

2029-30 16,894.5 194.0 116.9 162.0 1.4 42.1 16.7 60.9 22.4

2030-31 17,133.7 195.5 119.2 165.0 1.4 42.2 16.7 60.4 22.8

2031-32 17,375.0 197.0 121.7 168.1 1.4 42.3 16.8 60.1 23.1

2032-33 17,618.4 198.7 124.3 171.3 1.4 42.5 16.8 59.9 23.3

2033-34 17,864.1 200.6 127.1 174.5 1.4 42.6 16.8 59.7 23.5

2034-35 18,112.1 202.7 129.9 177.7 1.4 42.7 16.8 59.6 23.7

2035-36 18,362.6 205.1 132.8 181.0 1.4 42.8 16.7 59.4 23.8

2036-37 18,615.9 207.9 135.8 184.3 1.4 42.9 16.7 59.3 24.0

2037-38 18,872.3 211.0 138.9 187.7 1.4 43.0 16.7 59.2 24.1

2038-39 19,132.0 214.4 142.1 191.2 1.4 43.1 16.6 59.2 24.1

2039-40 19,395.5 218.2 145.3 194.7 1.4 43.2 16.6 59.2 24.2

2040-41 19,663.1 222.2 148.6 198.2 1.4 43.2 16.6 59.2 24.2

2041 19,935.0 – – – – 43.2 16.6 59.2 24.3






(Thousands)

Age group share (%)


On

tari

o P

op

ula

tio

n P

roje

ctio

ns,

2013–

2041

Tab

le 3

InO

ut

Net

N

o.

%

Est

imate

s

2006-0

712,6

61,5

66

136,9

80

86,8

11

50,1

69

115,4

45

20,2

18

2,0

43

97,2

70

58,7

91

78,8

38

-20,0

47

52,4

60

102,6

29

0.8

2007-0

812,7

64,1

95

140,5

47

87,5

02

53,0

45

115,0

51

20,7

96

10,7

12

104,9

67

61,7

18

76,4

68

-14,7

50

65,3

85

118,4

30

0.9

2008-0

912,8

82,6

25

140,3

26

88,3

59

51,9

67

105,4

23

18,4

25

16,4

61

103,4

59

57,4

58

73,0

59

-15,6

01

63,0

95

115,0

62

0.9

2009-1

012,9

97,6

87

139,7

71

87,6

02

52,1

69

116,5

72

14,7

35

12,7

95

114,6

32

59,7

41

64,4

03

-4,6

62

85,2

07

137,3

76

1.1

2010

-11

13,1

35,0

63

139,4

48

90,8

57

48,5

91

105,0

15

14,5

39

14,6

57

105,1

33

58,3

17

62,3

24

-4,0

07

79,8

90

128,4

81

1.0

2011

-12

13,2

63,5

44

140,9

32

90,7

71

50,1

61

101,2

87

14,6

03

22,2

16

108,9

00

60,4

59

71,0

70

-10,6

11

98,2

89

148,4

50

1.1

2012

-13

13,4

11,9

94

142,4

62

93,7

55

48,7

07

105,8

18

14,6

91

7,4

89

98,6

16

69,6

94

91,0

17

-21,3

23

77,2

93

126,0

00

0.9

Pro

jecti

on

s

2013

-14

13,5

37,9

94

144,1

46

91,6

49

52,4

97

101,8

41

17,0

47

11,4

16

96,2

10

68,0

96

82,0

74

-13,9

78

82,2

27

134,7

24

1.0

2014

-15

13,6

72,7

18

146,0

62

93,5

31

52,5

31

102,0

03

17,1

91

10,1

11

94,9

23

67,3

21

77,8

04

-10,4

83

84,4

34

136,9

65

1.0

2015

-16

13,8

09,6

83

148,0

01

95,3

91

52,6

10

102,0

03

17,3

56

8,8

05

93,4

52

66,5

48

73,5

37

-6,9

89

86,4

66

139,0

76

1.0

2016

-17

13,9

48,7

59

149,9

34

97,2

18

52,7

16

104,2

47

17,5

31

7,5

00

94,2

16

65,7

73

69,2

70

-3,4

97

90,7

21

143,4

37

1.0

2017

-18

14,0

92,1

96

151,8

67

99,0

24

52,8

43

106,5

60

17,7

28

7,5

00

96,3

32

65,0

05

65,0

00

596,3

33

149,1

76

1.1

2018

-19

14,2

41,3

72

153,7

89

100,8

06

52,9

83

108,9

36

17,9

25

7,5

00

98,5

11

65,0

05

64,9

98

798,5

16

151,4

99

1.1

2019

-20

14,3

92,8

71

155,6

09

102,5

60

53,0

49

111,3

56

18,1

22

7,5

00

100,7

34

65,0

05

65,0

02

3100,7

39

153,7

88

1.1

2020-2

114,5

46,6

59

157,2

77

104,3

09

52,9

68

113,8

23

18,3

06

7,5

00

103,0

17

65,0

05

65,0

02

3103,0

16

155,9

84

1.1

2021-

22

14,7

02,6

43

158,8

50

106,0

71

52,7

79

116,3

33

18,4

88

7,5

00

105,3

45

65,0

05

64,9

99

6105,3

45

158,1

24

1.1

2022-2

314,8

60,7

67

160,2

91

107,8

41

52,4

50

118,8

89

18,6

60

7,5

00

107,7

29

65,0

05

64,9

98

7107,7

25

160,1

75

1.1

2023-2

415,0

20,9

42

161,4

70

109,6

42

51,8

28

120,1

68

18,8

22

7,5

00

108,8

46

65,0

05

64,9

99

6108,8

47

160,6

75

1.1

2024-2

515,1

81,6

17

162,4

10

111,5

00

50,9

10

121,4

54

18,9

71

7,5

00

109,9

83

65,0

05

64,9

98

7109,9

85

160,8

95

1.1

2025-2

615,3

42,5

12

163,1

05

113,4

08

49,6

97

122,7

38

19,1

10

7,5

00

111,1

28

65,0

05

65,0

01

4111,1

33

160,8

30

1.0

2026-2

715,5

03,3

42

163,5

38

115,3

91

48,1

47

124,0

27

19,2

39

7,5

00

112,2

88

65,0

05

65,0

03

2112,2

90

160,4

37

1.0

2027-2

815,6

63,7

79

163,7

49

117,4

59

46,2

90

125,3

12

19,3

65

7,5

00

113,4

47

65,0

05

64,9

97

8113,4

41

159,7

31

1.0

2028-2

915,8

23,5

10

163,7

75

119,6

37

44,1

38

126,5

85

19,4

83

7,5

00

114,6

02

65,0

05

64,9

99

6114,6

03

158,7

41

1.0

2029-3

015,9

82,2

51

163,6

78

121,8

97

41,7

81

127,8

53

19,5

97

7,5

00

115,7

56

65,0

05

65,0

03

2115,7

62

157,5

43

1.0

2030-3

116,1

39,7

94

163,5

33

124,2

80

39,2

53

129,1

20

19,7

02

7,5

00

116,9

18

65,0

05

65,0

01

4116,9

14

156,1

67

1.0

2031-

32

16,2

95,9

61

163,4

16

126,7

61

36,6

55

130,3

70

19,8

09

7,5

00

118,0

61

65,0

05

65,0

02

3118,0

54

154,7

09

0.9

2032-3

316,4

50,6

70

163,3

21

129,3

51

33,9

70

131,6

03

19,9

06

7,5

00

119,1

97

65,0

05

64,9

99

6119,1

98

153,1

68

0.9

2033-3

416,6

03,8

38

163,3

08

132,0

37

31,2

71

132,8

32

20,0

01

7,5

00

120,3

31

65,0

05

65,0

00

5120,3

35

151,6

06

0.9

2034-3

516,7

55,4

44

163,4

30

134,8

22

28,6

08

134,0

44

20,0

87

7,5

00

121,4

57

65,0

05

65,0

00

5121,4

53

150,0

61

0.9

2035-3

616,9

05,5

05

163,7

22

137,6

89

26,0

33

135,2

44

20,1

72

7,5

00

122,5

72

65,0

05

65,0

03

2122,5

70

148,6

03

0.9

2036-3

717,0

54,1

08

164,2

14

140,6

30

23,5

84

136,4

30

20,2

54

7,5

00

123,6

76

65,0

05

64,9

97

8123,6

79

147,2

63

0.9

2037-3

817,2

01,3

71

164,8

95

143,6

02

21,2

93

137,6

10

20,3

37

7,5

00

124,7

73

65,0

05

64,9

98

7124,7

79

146,0

72

0.8

2038-3

917,3

47,4

43

165,7

57

146,6

23

19,1

34

138,7

75

20,4

29

7,5

00

125,8

46

65,0

05

65,0

00

5125,8

50

144,9

84

0.8

2039-4

017,4

92,4

27

166,7

78

149,6

64

17,1

14

139,9

36

20,5

30

7,5

00

126,9

06

65,0

05

64,9

97

8126,9

07

144,0

21

0.8

2040-4

117,6

36,4

48

167,9

35

152,6

90

15,2

45

141,0

89

20,6

43

7,5

00

127,9

46

65,0

05

64,9

95

10

127,9

43

143,1

88

0.8

2041

17,7

79,6

36

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

So

urc

es: S

tati

stic

s C

anad

a es

tim

ates

, 2006-2

013, an

d O

nta

rio

Min

istr

y o

f F

inan

ce p

roje

ctio

ns.

No

tes:

1. P

op

ula

tio

n a

ge s

truct

ure

is

for

the

beg

inn

ing

of

each

Cen

sus

year

, i.e

., Ju

ly 1

.

2. F

or

2013-1

4, p

op

ula

tio

n a

nd

age

str

uct

ure

are

Sta

tist

ics

Can

ada

esti

mat

es f

or

July

1, 2014.

3. F

or

his

tori

cal co

mp

on

ents

of

dem

ogr

aph

ic g

row

th, Sta

tist

ics

Can

ada'

s re

sid

ual

dev

iati

on

is

incl

ud

ed in

net

mig

rati

on

.

Gro

wth

Year

Net

Mig

rati

on

3P

op

ula

tio

nB

irth

sD

eath

sN

atu

ral

Incre

ase

Inte

rpro

vin

cia

l M

igra

tion

Co

mp

on

en

ts o

f d

em

og

rap

hic

gro

wth

fo

r O

nta

rio

, 2006–

2041

— R

efe

ren

ce s

cen

ari

o

Imm

igra

tio

nE

mig

rati

on

Net

ch

an

ge i

n

No

n-P

erm

an

en

t

Resi

den

ts

Net

Inte

rnati

on

al

Mig

rati

on

-

37 -

Min

istr

y o

f F

inan

ce, F

all 2014

On

tario P

op

ulatio

n P

rojectio

ns, 2

013–

2041

Tab

le 3

– C

on

tinu

ed

InO

ut

Net

No

.%

Estim

ate

s

2006-0

712,6

61,5

66

136,9

80

86,8

11

50,1

69

115,4

45

20,2

18

2,0

43

97,2

70

58,7

91

78,8

38

-20,0

47

52,4

60

102,6

29

0.8

2007-0

812,7

64,1

95

140,5

47

87,5

02

53,0

45

115,0

51

20,7

96

10,7

12

104,9

67

61,7

18

76,4

68

-14,7

50

65,3

85

118,4

30

0.9

2008-0

912,8

82,6

25

140,3

26

88,3

59

51,9

67

105,4

23

18,4

25

16,4

61

103,4

59

57,4

58

73,0

59

-15,6

01

63,0

95

115,0

62

0.9

2009-10

12,9

97,6

87

139,7

71

87,6

02

52,1

69

116,5

72

14,7

35

12,7

95

114,6

32

59,7

41

64,4

03

-4,6

62

85,2

07

137,3

76

1.1

2010

-1113,1

35,0

63

139,4

48

90,8

57

48,5

91

105,0

15

14,5

39

14,6

57

105,1

33

58,3

17

62,3

24

-4,0

07

79,8

90

128,4

81

1.0

2011-12

13,2

63,5

44

140,9

32

90,7

71

50,1

61

101,2

87

14,6

03

22,2

16

108,9

00

60,4

59

71,0

70

-10,6

11

98,2

89

148,4

50

1.1

2012

-1313,4

11,9

94

142,4

62

93,7

55

48,7

07

105,8

18

14,6

91

7,4

89

98,6

16

69,6

94

91,0

17

-21,3

23

77,2

93

126,0

00

0.9

Pro

jectio

ns

2013

-1413,5

37,9

94

139,5

32

96,5

14

43,0

18

88,3

06

22,5

51

6,4

16

72,1

71

65,5

91

84,5

75

-18,9

84

53,1

89

96,2

07

0.7

2014

-1513,6

34,2

01

139,8

02

98,4

57

41,3

45

88,6

69

22,6

53

5,1

11

71,1

27

64,8

19

80,3

05

-15,4

86

55,6

43

96,9

88

0.7

2015

-1613,7

31,1

89

140,0

87

100,3

69

39,7

18

89,0

33

22,7

71

3,8

05

70,0

67

64,0

48

76,0

35

-11,9

87

58,0

74

97,7

92

0.7

2016

-1713,8

28,9

81

140,3

63

102,2

56

38,1

07

89,3

99

22,9

07

2,5

00

68,9

92

63,2

75

71,7

66

-8,4

91

60,4

95

98,6

02

0.7

2017

-1813,9

27,5

83

140,6

08

104,1

03

36,5

05

89,7

64

23,0

55

2,5

00

69,2

09

62,4

96

67,5

02

-5,0

06

64,2

08

100,7

13

0.7

2018

-1914,0

28,2

96

140,8

30

105,9

21

34,9

09

90,1

38

23,1

99

2,5

00

69,4

39

62,4

96

67,5

01

-5,0

05

64,4

44

99,3

53

0.7

2019

-20

14,1

27,6

49

140,9

37

107,7

15

33,2

22

90,5

10

23,3

31

2,5

00

69,6

79

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

64,6

77

97,8

99

0.7

2020-2

114,2

25,5

48

140,9

16

109,4

97

31,4

19

90,8

61

23,4

53

2,5

00

69,9

08

62,4

96

67,5

01

-5,0

05

64,9

09

96,3

28

0.7

2021-2

214,3

21,8

76

140,7

36

111,2

81

29,4

55

91,1

98

23,5

56

2,5

00

70,1

42

62,4

96

67,4

97

-5,0

01

65,1

47

94,6

02

0.7

2022-2

314,4

16,4

78

140,3

76

113,0

83

27,2

93

91,5

25

23,6

46

2,5

00

70,3

79

62,4

96

67,5

00

-5,0

04

65,3

75

92,6

68

0.6

2023-2

414,5

09,1

46

139,8

37

114,9

28

24,9

09

91,8

31

23,7

15

2,5

00

70,6

16

62,4

96

67,5

01

-5,0

05

65,6

18

90,5

27

0.6

2024-2

514,5

99,6

73

139,0

94

116,8

20

22,2

74

92,1

20

23,7

68

2,5

00

70,8

52

62,4

96

67,5

03

-5,0

07

65,8

56

88,1

30

0.6

2025-2

614,6

87,8

03

138,1

37

118,7

62

19,3

75

92,3

91

23,8

03

2,5

00

71,0

88

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

66,0

83

85,4

58

0.6

2026-2

714,7

73,2

61

136,9

86

120,7

85

16,2

01

92,6

43

23,8

34

2,5

00

71,3

09

62,4

96

67,5

01

-5,0

05

66,3

09

82,5

10

0.6

2027-2

814,8

55,7

71

135,6

60

122,8

86

12,7

74

92,8

74

23,8

60

2,5

00

71,5

14

62,4

96

67,4

98

-5,0

02

66,5

08

79,2

82

0.5

2028-2

914,9

35,0

53

134,1

89

125,0

89

9,1

00

93,0

78

23,8

73

2,5

00

71,7

05

62,4

96

67,4

97

-5,0

01

66,7

07

75,8

07

0.5

2029-3

015,0

10,8

60

132,6

16

127,3

74

5,2

42

93,2

59

23,8

83

2,5

00

71,8

76

62,4

96

67,5

00

-5,0

04

66,8

82

72,1

24

0.5

2030-3

115,0

82,9

84

131,0

06

129,7

65

1,2

41

93,4

17

23,8

86

2,5

00

72,0

31

62,4

96

67,4

95

-4,9

99

67,0

33

68,2

74

0.5

2031-3

215,1

51,2

58

129,4

00

132,2

44

-2,8

44

93,5

45

23,8

85

2,5

00

72,1

60

62,4

96

67,4

97

-5,0

01

67,1

67

64,3

23

0.4

2032-3

315,2

15,5

81

127,8

65

134,8

18

-6,9

53

93,6

49

23,8

76

2,5

00

72,2

73

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

67,2

82

60,3

29

0.4

2033-3

415,2

75,9

10

126,4

42

137,4

62

-11,0

20

93,7

24

23,8

51

2,5

00

72,3

73

62,4

96

67,5

00

-5,0

04

67,3

73

56,3

53

0.4

2034-3

515,3

32,2

63

125,1

53

140,1

86

-15,0

33

93,7

73

23,8

29

2,5

00

72,4

44

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

67,4

47

52,4

14

0.3

2035-3

615,3

84,6

77

124,0

10

142,9

61

-18,9

51

93,7

97

23,7

93

2,5

00

72,5

04

62,4

96

67,4

96

-5,0

00

67,5

01

48,5

50

0.3

2036-3

715,4

33,2

27

123,0

11

145,7

81

-22,7

70

93,7

96

23,7

61

2,5

00

72,5

35

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

67,5

32

44,7

62

0.3

2037-3

815,4

77,9

89

122,1

39

148,6

09

-26,4

70

93,7

67

23,7

22

2,5

00

72,5

45

62,4

96

67,5

00

-5,0

04

67,5

43

41,0

73

0.3

2038-3

915,5

19,0

62

121,3

68

151,4

35

-30,0

67

93,7

15

23,6

93

2,5

00

72,5

22

62,4

96

67,4

99

-5,0

03

67,5

26

37,4

59

0.2

2039-4

015,5

56,5

21

120,6

67

154,2

51

-33,5

84

93,6

42

23,6

64

2,5

00

72,4

78

62,4

96

67,5

03

-5,0

07

67,4

77

33,8

93

0.2

2040-4

115,5

90,4

14

120,0

18

157,0

15

-36,9

97

93,5

44

23,6

44

2,5

00

72,4

00

62,4

96

67,5

00

-5,0

04

67,3

99

30,4

02

0.2

2041

15,6

20,8

16

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

——

—

—

So

urces: S

tatistics Can

ada estim

ates, 2006-2

013, an

d O

ntario

Min

istry of F

inan

ce pro

jection

s.

No

tes:1. P

op

ulatio

n age stru

cture is fo

r the b

eginn

ing o

f each C

ensu

s year, i.e., July 1

.

2. F

or 2

013-1

4, p

op

ulatio

n an

d age stru

cture are S

tatistics Can

ada estim

ates for Ju

ly 1, 2

014.

3. F

or h

istorical co

mp

on

ents o

f dem

ograp

hic gro

wth

, Statistics C

anad

a's residual d

eviatio

n is in

clud

ed in

net m

igration

.

Gro

wth

Year

Po

pu

latio

nB

irths

Death

sN

atu

ral

Incre

ase

Imm

igra

tion

Co

mp

on

en

ts of d

em

og

rap

hic

gro

wth

for O

nta

rio, 2

006–

2041 —

Lo

w sc

en

ario

Em

igra

tion

Net c

han

ge in

No

n-P

erm

an

en

t

Resid

en

ts

Net

Inte

rnatio

nal

Mig

ratio

n

Inte

rpro

vin

cia

l Mig

ratio

nN

et

Mig

ratio

n3

- 38 -

Min

istry of F

inan

ce, Fall 2

014

On

tari

o P

op

ula

tio

n P

roje

ctio

ns,

2013–

2041

Tab

le 3

– C

on

tin

ued

InO

ut

Net

N

o.

%

Est

imate

s

2006-0

712,6

61,5

66

136,9

80

86,8

11

50,1

69

115,4

45

20,2

18

2,0

43

97,2

70

58,7

91

78,8

38

-20,0

47

52,4

60

102,6

29

0.8

2007-0

812,7

64,1

95

140,5

47

87,5

02

53,0

45

115,0

51

20,7

96

10,7

12

104,9

67

61,7

18

76,4

68

-14,7

50

65,3

85

118,4

30

0.9

2008-0

912,8

82,6

25

140,3

26

88,3

59

51,9

67

105,4

23

18,4

25

16,4

61

103,4

59

57,4

58

73,0

59

-15,6

01

63,0

95

115,0

62

0.9

2009-1

012,9

97,6

87

139,7

71

87,6

02

52,1

69

116,5

72

14,7

35

12,7

95

114,6

32

59,7

41

64,4

03

-4,6

62

85,2

07

137,3

76

1.1

2010

-11

13,1

35,0

63

139,4

48

90,8

57

48,5

91

105,0

15

14,5

39

14,6

57

105,1

33

58,3

17

62,3

24

-4,0

07

79,8

90

128,4

81

1.0

2011

-12

13,2

63,5

44

140,9

32

90,7

71

50,1

61

101,2

87

14,6

03

22,2

16

108,9

00

60,4

59

71,0

70

-10,6

11

98,2

89

148,4

50

1.1

2012

-13

13,4

11,9

94

142,4

62

93,7

55

48,7

07

105,8

18

14,6

91

7,4

89

98,6

16

69,6

94

91,0

17

-21,3

23

77,2

93

126,0

00

0.9

Pro

jecti

on

s

2013

-14

13,5

37,9

94

148,7

57

86,9

90

61,7

67

115,3

81

11,5

17

16,4

16

120,2

80

70,5

94

79,5

74

-8,9

80

111,2

96

173,0

63

1.3

2014

-15

13,7

11,0

57

152,0

67

88,8

28

63,2

39

117,6

04

11,6

69

15,1

11

121,0

46

69,8

21

75,3

02

-5,4

81

115,5

65

178,8

04

1.3

2015

-16

13,8

89,8

61

155,4

71

90,6

55

64,8

16

119,8

96

11,8

36

13,8

05

121,8

65

69,0

48

71,0

36

-1,9

88

119,8

80

184,6

96

1.3

2016

-17

14,0

74,5

57

158,9

34

92,4

60

66,4

74

122,2

60

12,0

12

12,5

00

122,7

48

68,2

74

66,7

69

1,5

05

124,2

60

190,7

34

1.4

2017

-18

14,2

65,2

91

162,4

39

94,2

45

68,1

94

124,6

95

12,2

07

12,5

00

124,9

88

67,4

99

62,5

00

4,9

99

129,9

97

198,1

91

1.4

2018

-19

14,4

63,4

82

165,9

72

96,0

10

69,9

62

127,2

24

12,4

03

12,5

00

127,3

21

67,4

99

62,5

01

4,9

98

132,3

18

202,2

80

1.4

2019

-20

14,6

65,7

62

169,4

32

97,7

55

71,6

77

129,8

07

12,5

99

12,5

00

129,7

08

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

134,7

08

206,3

85

1.4

2020-2

114,8

72,1

47

172,7

97

99,4

90

73,3

07

132,4

45

12,7

92

12,5

00

132,1

53

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

137,1

56

210,4

63

1.4

2021-

22

15,0

82,6

10

176,0

09

101,2

24

74,7

85

135,1

45

12,9

81

12,5

00

134,6

64

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

139,6

64

214,4

49

1.4

2022-2

315,2

97,0

59

179,0

45

102,9

74

76,0

71

137,9

02

13,1

60

12,5

00

137,2

42

67,4

99

62,5

01

4,9

98

142,2

44

218,3

15

1.4

2023-2

415,5

15,3

74

181,8

77

104,7

57

77,1

20

140,7

22

13,3

34

12,5

00

139,8

88

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

144,8

93

222,0

13

1.4

2024-2

515,7

37,3

87

184,4

74

106,5

79

77,8

95

143,5

99

13,4

98

12,5

00

142,6

01

67,4

99

62,5

02

4,9

97

147,5

97

225,4

92

1.4

2025-2

615,9

62,8

79

186,8

21

108,4

64

78,3

57

146,5

26

13,6

57

12,5

00

145,3

69

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

150,3

65

228,7

22

1.4

2026-2

716,1

91,6

01

188,9

21

110,4

37

78,4

84

149,5

14

13,8

16

12,5

00

148,1

98

67,4

99

62,4

98

5,0

01

153,1

99

231,6

83

1.4

2027-2

816,4

23,2

84

190,7

88

112,4

83

78,3

05

152,5

51

13,9

70

12,5

00

151,0

81

67,4

99

62,5

02

4,9

97

156,0

83

234,3

88

1.4

2028-2

916,6

57,6

72

192,4

66

114,6

24

77,8

42

155,6

38

14,1

19

12,5

00

154,0

19

67,4

99

62,5

00

4,9

99

159,0

17

236,8

59

1.4

2029-3

016,8

94,5

31

194,0

16

116,8

80

77,1

36

158,7

75

14,2

66

12,5

00

157,0

09

67,4

99

62,4

95

5,0

04

162,0

10

239,1

46

1.4

2030-3

117,1

33,6

77

195,5

19

119,2

49

76,2

70

161,9

60

14,4

14

12,5

00

160,0

46

67,4

99

62,4

97

5,0

02

165,0

47

241,3

17

1.4

2031-

32

17,3

74,9

94

197,0

48

121,7

29

75,3

19

165,1

93

14,5

57

12,5

00

163,1

36

67,4

99

62,4

95

5,0

04

168,1

35

243,4

54

1.4

2032-3

317,6

18,4

48

198,7

08

124,3

40

74,3

68

168,4

68

14,6

96

12,5

00

166,2

72

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

171,2

82

245,6

50

1.4

2033-3

417,8

64,0

98

200,5

74

127,0

53

73,5

21

171,8

00

14,8

36

12,5

00

169,4

64

67,4

99

62,4

98

5,0

01

174,4

63

247,9

84

1.4

2034-3

518,1

12,0

82

202,6

98

129,8

92

72,8

06

175,1

74

14,9

67

12,5

00

172,7

07

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

177,6

99

250,5

05

1.4

2035-3

618,3

62,5

87

205,1

26

132,8

22

72,3

04

178,6

02

15,1

07

12,5

00

175,9

95

67,4

99

62,5

01

4,9

98

180,9

96

253,3

00

1.4

2036-3

718,6

15,8

87

207,8

86

135,8

46

72,0

40

182,0

84

15,2

43

12,5

00

179,3

41

67,4

99

62,5

01

4,9

98

184,3

39

256,3

79

1.4

2037-3

818,8

72,2

66

210,9

90

138,9

46

72,0

44

185,6

25

15,3

87

12,5

00

182,7

38

67,4

99

62,4

99

5,0

00

187,7

37

259,7

81

1.4

2038-3

919,1

32,0

47

214,4

21

142,1

06

72,3

15

189,2

24

15,5

46

12,5

00

186,1

78

67,4

99

62,4

97

5,0

02

191,1

80

263,4

95

1.4

2039-4

019,3

95,5

42

218,1

73

145,3

22

72,8

51

192,8

95

15,7

18

12,5

00

189,6

77

67,4

99

62,4

98

5,0

01

194,6

76

267,5

27

1.4

2040-4

119,6

63,0

69

222,2

39

148,5

68

73,6

71

196,6

31

15,9

03

12,5

00

193,2

28

67,4

99

62,5

01

4,9

98

198,2

27

271,8

98

1.4

2041

19,9

34,9

67

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

So

urc

es: S

tati

stic

s C

anad

a es

tim

ates

, 2006-2

013, an

d O

nta

rio

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Table 4

Historical and projected population by census division, selected years – reference scenario

(Thousands)

Region & Census Division 2006 2011 2013 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) 5,795.8 6,254.6 6,450.2 6,739.5 7,253.5 7,798.8 8,345.9 8,881.4 9,403.1Toronto 2,609.2 2,704.6 2,771.8 2,870.8 3,030.9 3,196.2 3,354.4 3,502.6 3,639.3Durham 584.3 626.8 645.0 669.5 716.8 771.5 830.8 892.4 956.3Halton 457.7 517.2 539.4 572.7 634.3 702.6 775.7 851.9 931.5Peel 1,212.8 1,340.5 1,387.9 1,457.6 1,586.1 1,721.4 1,855.6 1,986.0 2,112.1York 931.8 1,065.5 1,106.1 1,169.0 1,285.4 1,407.1 1,529.3 1,648.5 1,763.9

Central (Excluding GTA) 2,790.2 2,862.1 2,909.0 2,976.7 3,101.7 3,235.5 3,367.8 3,492.0 3,608.5Brant 135.9 139.9 141.7 144.7 150.4 156.6 162.7 168.5 174.1Dufferin 56.5 58.5 58.9 60.2 63.1 66.6 70.4 74.1 77.8Haldimand-Norfolk 112.4 111.8 110.9 110.4 110.4 110.6 110.4 109.9 108.9Haliburton 16.6 17.4 18.1 18.6 19.4 20.2 20.9 21.7 22.4Hamilton 523.6 535.6 545.6 558.8 581.6 606.4 631.5 655.3 677.6Muskoka 59.6 61.1 61.9 62.8 64.7 66.9 69.0 70.9 72.7Niagara 442.4 442.8 445.4 449.4 457.9 468.1 478.2 487.2 495.2Northumberland 83.5 84.1 85.1 86.4 88.9 91.4 93.7 95.7 97.3Peterborough 137.6 138.5 139.0 140.6 144.2 148.0 151.6 154.7 157.4Simcoe 438.3 458.9 472.2 489.0 519.1 551.0 582.8 613.2 642.3Kawartha Lakes 76.9 74.9 75.9 76.9 78.6 80.2 81.7 82.8 83.5Waterloo 498.5 523.8 534.8 552.6 584.7 618.0 650.9 682.5 712.7Wellington 208.4 214.7 219.6 226.4 238.7 251.5 263.9 275.6 286.5

Eastern 1,668.2 1,750.0 1,775.4 1,820.9 1,912.1 2,007.3 2,098.2 2,180.8 2,257.2Ottawa 845.9 912.2 934.3 972.0 1,044.8 1,121.6 1,198.0 1,271.1 1,341.2Frontenac 149.3 154.3 155.3 159.0 166.4 173.8 180.7 186.8 192.3Hastings 136.6 138.4 138.1 137.4 137.5 137.8 137.8 137.1 136.1Lanark 65.9 67.3 67.4 67.9 69.3 70.8 72.2 73.4 74.4Leeds & Grenville 102.4 101.8 101.9 102.5 104.1 105.8 107.0 107.5 107.5Lennox & Addington 41.9 42.9 44.4 45.1 46.1 47.0 47.6 48.0 48.2Prescott & Russell 83.2 87.8 89.3 91.5 95.9 100.3 103.9 106.5 108.4Prince Edward 26.2 25.8 25.4 25.6 26.4 27.0 27.6 28.0 28.2Renfrew 101.1 104.1 104.0 104.6 106.4 108.0 109.0 109.3 109.0Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry 115.6 115.6 115.4 115.2 115.2 115.2 114.5 113.3 111.7

Southwestern 1,590.7 1,589.2 1,600.2 1,612.5 1,638.6 1,667.6 1,694.2 1,716.5 1,735.2Bruce 67.4 67.8 67.8 68.3 69.2 69.9 70.2 70.2 70.2Elgin 88.6 89.8 90.4 91.4 93.6 95.9 97.7 99.1 100.3Essex 408.8 399.7 402.1 401.2 400.5 401.2 402.3 402.7 402.3Grey 95.4 94.8 95.0 95.8 98.1 100.4 102.3 103.8 104.9Huron 61.3 60.5 58.5 57.6 57.0 56.6 56.1 55.5 54.7Chatham-Kent 112.4 106.7 105.7 104.3 102.4 100.9 99.4 97.9 96.3Lambton 132.6 131.4 130.3 129.5 129.0 128.6 128.1 127.2 126.1Middlesex 440.7 452.8 461.7 473.4 494.5 516.6 538.3 558.8 578.3Oxford 106.5 108.7 110.7 112.7 115.4 117.8 119.6 120.7 121.3Perth 77.1 77.1 77.9 78.3 79.0 79.7 80.3 80.6 80.7

Northeastern 571.6 567.1 563.5 560.0 557.2 554.5 550.7 545.6 540.1Algoma 121.2 119.3 117.6 115.8 113.8 112.0 110.2 108.2 106.2Cochrane 86.9 83.3 82.3 81.1 79.4 77.9 76.3 74.7 73.1Manitoulin 13.0 13.3 13.5 13.6 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.6Nipissing 87.4 87.6 87.4 87.7 88.5 89.3 89.8 90.1 90.3Parry Sound 42.4 43.2 43.1 43.2 43.4 43.6 43.6 43.5 43.3Greater Sudbury 163.8 164.9 165.1 165.1 165.7 166.3 166.5 166.0 165.2Sudbury 22.5 21.6 21.1 20.5 19.8 19.2 18.6 17.9 17.3Timiskaming 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.1 32.6 32.3 31.9 31.5 31.2

Northwestern 245.0 240.5 239.8 239.2 239.5 239.7 239.2 237.7 235.6Kenora 68.6 69.6 70.0 70.1 70.7 71.3 71.7 72.1 72.4Rainy River 22.3 20.9 20.2 19.8 19.3 18.9 18.5 17.9 17.4Thunder Bay 154.1 150.0 149.6 149.3 149.5 149.5 149.0 147.7 145.8

Ontario 12,661.6 13,263.5 13,538.0 13,948.8 14,702.6 15,503.3 16,296.0 17,054.1 17,779.6


Notes: 1. Year as of July 1.


Historical Projected



Table 5

Historical and projected share of Ontario population by census division, selected years – reference scenario

(Per cent)

Region & Census Division 2006 2011 2013 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) 45.8 47.2 47.6 48.3 49.3 50.3 51.2 52.1 52.9Toronto 20.6 20.4 20.5 20.6 20.6 20.6 20.6 20.5 20.5Durham 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.4Halton 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.2Peel 9.6 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.8 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.9York 7.4 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.4 9.7 9.9

Central (Excluding GTA) 22.0 21.6 21.5 21.3 21.1 20.9 20.7 20.5 20.3Brant 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0Dufferin 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4Haldimand-Norfolk 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6Haliburton 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Hamilton 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8Muskoka 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4Niagara 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8Northumberland 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5Peterborough 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9Simcoe 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6Kawartha Lakes 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5Waterloo 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0Wellington 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6

Eastern 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.7Ottawa 6.7 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.5Frontenac 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1Hastings 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8Lanark 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4Leeds & Grenville 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6Lennox & Addington 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3Prescott & Russell 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6Prince Edward 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2Renfrew 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6

Southwestern 12.6 12.0 11.8 11.6 11.1 10.8 10.4 10.1 9.8Bruce 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4Elgin 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6Essex 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3Grey 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6Huron 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3Chatham-Kent 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5Lambton 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7Middlesex 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3Oxford 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7Perth 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Northeastern 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0Algoma 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6Cochrane 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4Manitoulin 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Nipissing 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5Parry Sound 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2Greater Sudbury 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9Sudbury 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Timiskaming 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

Northwestern 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3Kenora 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4Rainy River 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Thunder Bay 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8

Ontario 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0


Notes: 1. Year as of July 1.


Historical Projected



Table 6

Ontario population by age, 2013–2041 – reference scenario

Age 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

0 141,891 143,613 145,558 147,524 149,493 151,459 153,384 155,217 156,898

1 141,606 142,993 144,775 146,761 148,807 150,858 152,856 154,817 156,678

2 141,873 142,807 144,248 146,078 148,139 150,270 152,357 154,387 156,382

3 144,472 142,946 143,923 145,410 147,307 149,441 151,602 153,718 155,783

4 145,971 145,575 144,103 145,122 146,684 148,650 150,817 153,012 155,162

5 148,488 147,152 146,805 145,394 146,478 148,113 150,112 152,318 154,542

6 147,419 149,611 148,330 148,027 146,693 147,845 149,516 151,549 153,785

7 145,323 148,471 150,703 149,463 149,229 147,969 149,154 150,857 152,917

8 144,982 146,288 149,471 151,730 150,554 150,383 149,157 150,372 152,108

9 146,321 145,977 147,312 150,518 152,836 151,723 151,582 150,395 151,639

10 144,277 147,355 147,044 148,401 151,659 154,040 152,958 152,850 151,697

11 145,618 145,290 148,390 148,101 149,512 152,824 155,229 154,175 154,101

12 147,631 146,648 146,347 149,470 149,230 150,695 154,031 156,466 155,438

13 153,048 148,699 147,744 147,469 150,637 150,453 151,943 155,305 157,765

14 154,587 154,360 150,049 149,121 148,903 152,128 151,986 153,503 156,897

15 160,291 156,220 156,035 151,761 150,891 150,743 154,002 153,903 155,459

16 166,180 162,508 158,496 158,360 154,157 153,367 153,269 156,581 156,540

17 176,730 169,198 165,604 161,654 161,608 157,496 156,777 156,747 160,138

18 185,147 181,301 173,906 170,420 166,585 166,676 162,676 162,069 162,150

19 188,106 190,089 186,384 179,117 175,761 172,089 172,296 168,422 167,935

20 190,443 190,937 192,984 189,339 182,160 178,935 175,328 175,615 171,811

21 192,850 192,703 193,263 195,360 191,806 184,773 181,617 178,073 178,420

22 193,845 194,660 194,578 195,201 197,376 193,979 187,029 183,936 180,455

23 194,831 195,670 196,545 196,530 197,256 199,586 196,254 189,397 186,375

24 188,111 195,973 196,846 197,736 197,805 198,683 201,052 197,761 190,976

25 181,952 188,819 196,630 197,504 198,450 198,644 199,543 201,932 198,667

26 182,127 182,861 189,691 197,469 198,411 199,480 199,695 200,609 203,013

27 184,550 183,532 184,259 191,087 198,920 200,006 201,091 201,335 202,274

28 184,230 186,263 185,271 186,012 192,919 200,883 202,007 203,129 203,405

29 181,947 186,169 188,236 187,279 188,113 195,157 203,155 204,322 205,489

30 182,517 184,048 188,297 190,398 189,557 190,537 197,628 205,656 206,882

31 179,140 184,373 185,940 190,205 192,409 191,712 192,748 199,865 207,930

32 181,238 180,930 186,178 187,771 192,120 194,459 193,821 194,914 202,066

33 178,692 182,828 182,557 187,813 189,500 193,967 196,350 195,774 196,917

34 175,450 180,233 184,386 184,156 189,487 191,295 195,801 198,226 197,718

35 173,673 176,886 181,684 185,846 185,727 191,148 193,007 197,548 200,017

36 174,971 174,976 178,211 183,022 187,257 187,258 192,706 194,608 199,184

37 177,192 176,068 176,109 179,362 184,234 188,562 188,609 194,083 196,027

38 179,447 178,276 177,195 177,276 180,588 185,546 189,903 190,001 195,501

39 176,558 180,506 179,385 178,344 178,502 181,899 186,879 191,269 191,413

40 178,697 177,535 181,494 180,406 179,447 179,688 183,121 188,125 192,542

41 182,425 179,580 178,452 182,424 181,401 180,528 180,808 184,270 189,300

42 192,108 183,294 180,482 179,390 183,406 182,461 181,637 181,944 185,432

43 190,959 192,782 184,020 181,241 180,206 184,285 183,372 182,574 182,919

44 190,238 191,561 193,397 184,687 181,965 181,007 185,105 184,215 183,453

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Note: Year as of July 1.





Age 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

45 188,966 190,800 192,149 193,990 185,359 182,711 181,782 185,896 185,044

46 190,975 189,415 191,262 192,630 194,511 185,967 183,353 182,455 186,581

47 203,438 191,346 189,821 191,681 193,089 195,027 186,532 183,952 183,086

48 217,006 203,548 191,530 190,027 191,922 193,384 195,338 186,891 184,340

49 222,648 217,015 203,634 191,682 190,220 192,165 193,642 195,615 187,216

50 222,713 222,603 217,015 203,712 191,843 190,440 192,399 193,895 195,886

51 216,207 222,538 222,459 216,923 203,700 191,925 190,542 192,517 194,026

52 217,241 215,969 222,305 222,253 216,780 203,648 191,927 190,569 192,558

53 211,256 216,937 215,703 222,047 222,037 216,637 203,566 191,904 190,564

54 203,751 210,875 216,564 215,370 221,733 221,778 216,420 203,415 191,812

55 199,052 203,278 210,407 216,109 214,963 221,359 221,428 216,112 203,177

56 193,663 198,528 202,767 209,908 215,634 214,557 220,953 221,053 215,782

57 186,680 193,035 197,908 202,174 209,339 215,104 214,061 220,454 220,581

58 183,601 186,005 192,370 197,266 201,567 208,761 214,524 213,516 219,917

59 175,121 182,882 185,321 191,700 196,621 200,970 208,154 213,919 212,949

60 167,681 174,439 182,198 184,669 191,066 196,027 200,386 207,561 213,330

61 160,669 167,018 173,781 181,532 184,043 190,461 195,428 199,801 206,975

62 157,239 160,025 166,369 173,135 180,889 183,452 189,870 194,849 199,228

63 153,409 156,543 159,354 165,691 172,473 180,232 182,824 189,237 194,228

64 150,627 152,602 155,757 158,588 164,934 171,737 179,474 182,090 188,506

65 151,486 149,738 151,752 154,926 157,795 164,149 170,948 178,671 181,315

66 151,973 150,453 148,781 150,827 154,030 156,945 163,291 170,078 177,780

67 126,020 150,760 149,310 147,715 149,802 153,039 155,974 162,312 169,081

68 115,499 124,921 149,421 148,044 146,543 148,675 151,924 154,878 161,201

69 112,311 114,404 123,752 147,994 146,703 145,286 147,451 150,711 153,691

70 107,664 111,116 113,228 122,502 146,481 145,282 143,951 146,136 149,416

71 99,807 106,368 109,831 111,962 121,158 144,865 143,749 142,489 144,707

72 94,321 98,467 104,963 108,424 110,587 119,706 143,107 142,075 140,894

73 89,341 92,901 97,018 103,447 106,918 109,107 118,130 141,207 140,266

74 86,086 87,815 91,348 95,433 101,796 105,272 107,474 116,397 139,132

75 81,620 84,383 86,125 89,630 93,682 99,972 103,443 105,661 114,469

76 76,918 79,766 82,513 84,269 87,746 91,761 97,965 101,418 103,644

77 74,356 74,927 77,747 80,480 82,245 85,692 89,655 95,762 99,191

78 70,185 72,185 72,790 75,580 78,299 80,068 83,467 87,378 93,369

79 65,705 67,868 69,850 70,499 73,252 75,944 77,715 81,056 84,902

80 63,446 63,272 65,406 67,370 68,051 70,769 73,419 75,183 78,457

81 60,270 60,812 60,696 62,804 64,745 65,454 68,116 70,726 72,479

82 57,980 57,470 58,045 57,988 60,056 61,971 62,700 65,310 67,858

83 52,981 54,977 54,546 55,148 55,151 57,172 59,044 59,786 62,332

84 47,598 49,919 51,847 51,487 52,121 52,175 54,133 55,964 56,711

85 43,871 44,536 46,753 48,610 48,322 48,968 49,071 50,959 52,734

86 39,285 40,728 41,385 43,490 45,264 45,045 45,696 45,842 47,649

87 35,623 36,146 37,523 38,162 40,158 41,833 41,668 42,324 42,502

88 31,288 32,468 32,980 34,277 34,897 36,770 38,345 38,225 38,878

89 27,303 28,210 29,314 29,800 31,015 31,614 33,349 34,818 34,741

90+ 94,962 104,143 112,768 121,045 128,471 135,796 142,513 149,748 157,258







Age 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

0 158,478 159,932 161,112 162,063 162,768 163,215 163,432 163,471 163,383 163,247

1 158,393 160,010 161,478 162,685 163,654 164,380 164,843 165,078 165,142 165,077

2 158,277 160,031 161,668 163,155 164,385 165,376 166,119 166,604 166,859 166,942

3 157,812 159,742 161,519 163,170 164,675 165,917 166,929 167,692 168,192 168,463

4 157,258 159,319 161,267 163,061 164,731 166,253 167,514 168,547 169,329 169,846

5 156,725 158,856 160,936 162,904 164,722 166,407 167,950 169,232 170,284 171,085

6 156,040 158,259 160,403 162,505 164,491 166,326 168,027 169,593 170,894 171,961

7 155,182 157,471 159,708 161,871 163,985 165,989 167,839 169,558 171,133 172,449

8 154,191 156,484 158,781 161,034 163,217 165,339 167,355 169,219 170,953 172,543

9 153,404 155,510 157,818 160,132 162,398 164,593 166,727 168,761 170,640 172,383

10 152,967 154,769 156,886 159,206 161,531 163,810 166,023 168,172 170,224 172,111

11 152,980 154,278 156,098 158,226 160,558 162,896 165,189 167,417 169,578 171,642

12 155,398 154,315 155,623 157,453 159,600 161,944 164,298 166,602 168,842 171,015

13 156,775 156,767 155,700 157,022 158,867 161,027 163,383 165,755 168,076 170,329

14 159,389 158,439 158,460 157,410 158,748 160,615 162,791 165,171 167,560 169,902

15 158,899 161,435 160,510 160,559 159,541 160,907 162,799 165,002 167,408 169,821

16 158,147 161,646 164,220 163,334 163,429 162,451 163,858 165,795 168,039 170,487

17 160,161 161,847 165,407 168,046 167,220 167,371 166,454 167,916 169,921 172,220

18 165,651 165,790 167,573 171,231 173,972 173,245 173,488 172,677 174,233 176,337

19 168,142 171,757 172,003 173,894 177,666 180,512 179,894 180,244 179,540 181,205

20 171,402 171,676 175,338 175,644 177,589 181,418 184,314 183,760 184,158 183,515

21 174,685 174,344 174,668 178,362 178,711 180,708 184,580 187,512 187,008 187,449

22 180,858 177,194 176,886 177,260 180,974 181,364 183,402 187,302 190,263 189,793

23 182,957 183,421 179,818 179,553 179,966 183,709 184,139 186,213 190,145 193,145

24 188,004 184,639 185,123 181,549 181,304 181,742 185,492 185,938 188,028 191,973

25 191,936 189,001 185,641 186,121 182,556 182,309 182,752 186,491 186,938 189,019

26 199,777 193,102 190,168 186,809 187,284 183,724 183,475 183,916 187,643 188,085

27 204,717 201,518 194,861 191,931 188,582 189,062 185,513 185,264 185,714 189,427

28 204,384 206,865 203,672 197,035 194,120 190,786 191,266 187,739 187,488 187,954

29 205,816 206,836 209,328 206,155 199,542 196,644 193,336 193,825 190,322 190,086

30 208,104 208,495 209,526 212,037 208,888 202,324 199,450 196,174 196,681 193,209

31 209,216 210,493 210,901 211,948 214,467 211,355 204,832 201,986 198,739 199,262

32 210,161 211,504 212,797 213,229 214,294 216,827 213,743 207,274 204,461 201,245

33 204,097 212,224 213,583 214,890 215,345 216,427 218,973 215,930 209,507 206,731

34 198,904 206,116 214,242 215,626 216,953 217,431 218,533 221,092 218,083 211,710

35 199,571 200,802 208,015 216,131 217,536 218,884 219,382 220,503 223,077 220,107

36 201,695 201,306 202,551 209,763 217,875 219,299 220,666 221,188 222,322 224,902

37 200,631 203,183 202,820 204,077 211,284 219,387 220,827 222,212 222,753 223,897

38 197,485 202,121 204,685 204,342 205,626 212,825 220,916 222,379 223,782 224,341

39 196,942 198,965 203,614 206,188 205,866 207,175 214,365 222,460 223,934 225,356

40 192,730 198,281 200,318 204,976 207,561 207,264 208,594 215,777 223,864 225,356

41 193,739 193,966 199,520 201,572 206,236 208,829 208,552 209,896 217,076 225,164

42 190,489 194,957 195,203 200,760 202,834 207,496 210,105 209,846 211,204 218,380

43 186,433 191,513 195,985 196,251 201,808 203,888 208,555 211,172 210,934 212,302

44 183,832 187,371 192,451 196,929 197,210 202,766 204,855 209,527 212,154 211,929







Age 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

45 184,312 184,721 188,269 193,348 197,837 198,132 203,687 205,791 210,457 213,099

46 185,759 185,059 185,481 189,032 194,110 198,608 198,914 204,470 206,586 211,254

47 187,228 186,438 185,752 186,188 189,744 194,820 199,322 199,645 205,205 207,327

48 183,503 187,659 186,882 186,209 186,657 190,213 195,286 199,781 200,121 205,682

49 184,699 183,888 188,044 187,281 186,625 187,080 190,640 195,712 200,209 200,559

50 187,538 185,048 184,259 188,413 187,658 187,023 187,488 191,049 196,116 200,624

51 196,037 187,732 185,265 184,488 188,647 187,902 187,281 187,757 191,317 196,385

52 194,087 196,111 187,843 185,399 184,637 188,793 188,065 187,456 187,939 191,499

53 192,574 194,124 196,144 187,920 185,492 184,748 188,901 188,189 187,596 188,085

54 190,500 192,521 194,079 196,113 187,922 185,514 184,785 188,943 188,243 187,664

55 191,640 190,356 192,386 193,953 195,993 187,845 185,457 184,744 188,906 188,219

56 202,926 191,454 190,198 192,233 193,804 195,864 187,759 185,395 184,695 188,861

57 215,362 202,584 191,188 189,949 191,992 193,574 195,650 187,589 185,249 184,570

58 220,071 214,900 202,206 190,891 189,673 191,719 193,319 195,401 187,387 185,076

59 219,353 219,536 214,418 201,797 190,562 189,370 191,427 193,041 195,134 187,175

60 212,402 218,809 219,020 213,955 201,421 190,260 189,102 191,171 192,798 194,907

61 212,747 211,866 218,263 218,506 213,505 201,057 189,973 188,845 190,932 192,578

62 206,400 212,179 211,332 217,733 218,008 213,058 200,709 189,715 188,619 190,717

63 198,615 205,800 211,572 210,767 217,163 217,475 212,586 200,337 189,428 188,373

64 193,500 197,899 205,084 210,851 210,086 216,484 216,827 212,006 199,855 189,045

65 187,731 192,730 197,138 204,310 210,081 209,364 215,762 216,139 211,384 199,340

66 180,457 186,865 191,868 196,281 203,446 209,216 208,550 214,948 215,363 210,680

67 176,767 179,468 185,867 190,864 195,292 202,448 208,221 207,596 213,991 214,453

68 167,956 175,618 178,335 184,726 189,722 194,154 201,299 207,067 206,492 212,885

69 159,993 166,733 174,367 177,103 183,482 188,475 192,916 200,042 205,809 205,290

70 152,417 158,695 165,417 173,013 175,775 182,140 187,134 191,579 198,695 204,457

71 147,998 151,022 157,272 163,969 171,530 174,320 180,666 185,663 190,117 197,213

72 143,143 146,452 149,494 155,714 162,382 169,913 172,722 179,055 184,050 188,507

73 139,170 141,451 144,766 147,820 154,010 160,646 168,147 170,974 177,275 182,276

74 138,274 137,265 139,565 142,895 145,960 152,116 158,723 166,169 169,025 175,301

75 136,829 136,058 135,139 137,465 140,795 143,870 149,985 156,555 163,953 166,830

76 112,329 134,285 133,600 132,766 135,115 138,450 141,524 147,591 154,119 161,457

77 101,424 109,975 131,487 130,891 130,153 132,508 135,842 138,920 144,931 151,402

78 96,769 99,004 107,401 128,435 127,928 127,277 129,652 132,973 136,049 142,000

79 90,770 94,133 96,365 104,589 125,111 124,694 124,139 126,518 129,820 132,894

80 82,233 87,967 91,285 93,506 101,541 121,513 121,182 120,726 123,105 126,384

81 75,684 79,373 84,954 88,222 90,434 98,258 117,635 117,394 117,031 119,416

82 69,594 72,726 76,315 81,727 84,946 87,134 94,736 113,470 113,324 113,060

83 64,821 66,530 69,572 73,058 78,295 81,443 83,599 90,961 109,009 108,948

84 59,181 61,600 63,278 66,218 69,584 74,631 77,700 79,819 86,909 104,214

85 53,489 55,870 58,201 59,841 62,667 65,908 70,745 73,717 75,791 82,582

86 49,356 50,113 52,384 54,631 56,219 58,919 62,014 66,623 69,479 71,499

87 44,219 45,854 46,598 48,761 50,903 52,433 55,001 57,930 62,291 65,024

88 39,091 40,704 42,261 42,990 45,028 47,056 48,522 50,936 53,697 57,785

89 35,387 35,621 37,132 38,603 39,308 41,217 43,122 44,510 46,770 49,346

90+ 163,598 169,596 174,987 180,989 187,530 193,921 201,265 209,457 218,015 227,617







Age 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041

0 163,144 163,058 163,047 163,181 163,483 163,973 164,663 165,529 166,552 167,712

1 164,965 164,880 164,817 164,825 164,977 165,293 165,805 166,514 167,400 168,443

2 166,903 166,807 166,747 166,706 166,741 166,913 167,247 167,782 168,509 169,414

3 168,564 168,543 168,469 168,429 168,403 168,454 168,647 168,999 169,556 170,301

4 170,134 170,252 170,252 170,195 170,173 170,167 170,236 170,447 170,817 171,395

5 171,619 171,931 172,069 172,093 172,054 172,054 172,065 172,157 172,388 172,776

6 172,787 173,335 173,668 173,824 173,868 173,846 173,864 173,898 174,007 174,258

7 173,534 174,380 174,945 175,295 175,468 175,526 175,520 175,557 175,609 175,734

8 173,872 174,974 175,836 176,412 176,776 176,963 177,035 177,040 177,093 177,160

9 173,988 175,332 176,448 177,327 177,915 178,291 178,491 178,582 178,601 178,671

10 173,873 175,492 176,850 177,978 178,873 179,474 179,863 180,082 180,184 180,222

11 173,542 175,314 176,950 178,319 179,459 180,372 180,985 181,386 181,618 181,735

12 173,095 175,007 176,796 178,440 179,821 180,979 181,902 182,528 182,942 183,189

13 172,518 174,606 176,534 178,332 179,989 181,382 182,556 183,495 184,134 184,562

14 172,178 174,386 176,490 178,444 180,264 181,936 183,348 184,540 185,504 186,157

15 172,192 174,494 176,728 178,859 180,839 182,684 184,383 185,821 187,034 188,025

16 172,942 175,355 177,698 179,971 182,139 184,162 186,044 187,785 189,263 190,517

17 174,727 177,243 179,715 182,119 184,448 186,671 188,757 190,699 192,497 194,031

18 178,732 181,340 183,948 186,519 189,024 191,453 193,768 195,956 197,998 199,890

19 183,420 185,927 188,638 191,345 194,024 196,634 199,177 201,594 203,885 206,030

20 185,232 187,500 190,061 192,825 195,586 198,318 200,978 203,579 206,049 208,390

21 186,853 188,614 190,927 193,528 196,337 199,136 201,906 204,609 207,254 209,763

22 190,274 189,714 191,517 193,861 196,495 199,337 202,172 204,971 207,699 210,376

23 192,706 193,223 192,706 194,550 196,920 199,593 202,464 205,335 208,169 210,925

24 194,983 194,554 195,085 194,585 196,453 198,830 201,521 204,401 207,279 210,126

25 192,955 195,951 195,521 196,046 195,542 197,412 199,776 202,461 205,333 208,201

26 190,153 194,077 197,057 196,618 197,142 196,633 198,500 200,848 203,525 206,391

27 189,871 191,937 195,858 198,836 198,399 198,919 198,411 200,280 202,627 205,302

28 191,671 192,118 194,184 198,109 201,089 200,664 201,194 200,685 202,558 204,909

29 190,566 194,287 194,742 196,817 200,745 203,742 203,332 203,875 203,380 205,264

30 192,993 193,501 197,230 197,697 199,796 203,734 206,744 206,356 206,924 206,444

31 195,825 195,627 196,153 199,885 200,369 202,484 206,428 209,452 209,084 209,669

32 201,785 198,385 198,204 198,751 202,490 203,002 205,126 209,078 212,111 211,771

33 203,549 204,104 200,736 200,580 201,142 204,888 205,418 207,553 211,515 214,556

34 208,967 205,824 206,397 203,063 202,939 203,516 207,269 207,820 209,972 213,944

35 213,776 211,069 207,959 208,548 205,253 205,151 205,743 209,511 210,079 212,247

36 221,969 215,684 213,014 209,927 210,540 207,283 207,206 207,812 211,585 212,175

37 226,492 223,592 217,345 214,704 211,644 212,274 209,049 208,996 209,618 213,393

38 225,498 228,106 225,228 219,033 216,422 213,393 214,041 210,852 210,818 211,457

39 225,930 227,107 229,723 226,876 220,724 218,141 215,147 215,813 212,651 212,640

40 226,793 227,376 228,569 231,196 228,372 222,259 219,703 216,733 217,415 214,280

41 226,664 228,116 228,711 229,915 232,545 229,755 223,671 221,135 218,193 218,884

42 226,464 227,982 229,440 230,050 231,261 233,901 231,131 225,083 222,564 219,642

43 219,470 227,552 229,083 230,543 231,165 232,385 235,028 232,272 226,257 223,750

44 213,308 220,472 228,544 230,091 231,556 232,191 233,419 236,063 233,325 227,332







Age 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041

45 212,893 214,276 221,437 229,501 231,057 232,534 233,184 234,413 237,068 234,344

46 213,901 213,713 215,101 222,254 230,312 231,876 233,364 234,020 235,262 237,915

47 211,996 214,654 214,480 215,878 223,017 231,074 232,643 234,140 234,807 236,063

48 207,806 212,475 215,140 214,975 216,380 223,512 231,560 233,133 234,636 235,307

49 206,115 208,246 212,913 215,586 215,431 216,843 223,965 232,010 233,589 235,095

50 200,985 206,539 208,675 213,346 216,023 215,880 217,302 224,407 232,455 234,042

51 200,890 201,268 206,823 208,957 213,626 216,308 216,176 217,600 224,707 232,745

52 196,565 201,068 201,459 207,011 209,148 213,818 216,503 216,385 217,818 224,917

53 191,648 196,712 201,216 201,613 207,168 209,310 213,978 216,663 216,561 218,004

54 188,161 191,726 196,784 201,299 201,704 207,253 209,404 214,071 216,756 216,666

55 187,655 188,159 191,730 196,781 201,298 201,711 207,256 209,413 214,079 216,773

56 188,194 187,642 188,156 191,735 196,777 201,301 201,720 207,264 209,427 214,092

57 188,730 188,084 187,546 188,075 191,654 196,692 201,223 201,651 207,192 209,362

58 184,417 188,576 187,945 187,430 187,972 191,554 196,588 201,120 201,561 207,104

59 184,890 184,253 188,409 187,797 187,306 187,859 191,445 196,474 201,012 201,470

60 186,998 184,739 184,128 188,289 187,696 187,227 187,798 191,388 196,416 200,952

61 194,699 186,845 184,616 184,032 188,196 187,626 187,180 187,765 191,360 196,393

62 192,385 194,519 186,726 184,531 183,972 188,141 187,597 187,176 187,782 191,382

63 190,481 192,169 194,320 186,591 184,435 183,894 188,076 187,553 187,161 187,784

64 188,024 190,144 191,853 194,026 186,349 184,231 183,722 187,912 187,419 187,051

65 188,638 187,652 189,785 191,517 193,710 186,102 184,023 183,548 187,743 187,280

66 198,753 188,158 187,212 189,360 191,118 193,330 185,791 183,759 183,316 187,517

67 209,845 198,038 187,565 186,657 188,826 190,601 192,827 185,370 183,384 182,979

68 213,395 208,863 197,188 186,825 185,962 188,154 189,950 192,200 184,821 182,879

69 211,676 212,233 207,788 196,244 186,007 185,193 187,408 189,223 191,497 184,198

70 203,994 210,377 210,976 206,620 195,223 185,121 184,349 186,588 188,427 190,718

71 202,977 202,573 208,950 209,598 205,335 194,090 184,116 183,396 185,664 187,530

72 195,584 201,342 201,004 207,372 208,064 203,904 192,823 182,991 182,318 184,612

73 186,739 193,798 199,549 199,274 205,636 206,382 202,323 191,404 181,732 181,110

74 180,295 184,763 191,799 197,545 197,334 203,688 204,486 200,539 189,791 180,281

75 173,063 178,056 182,530 189,531 195,265 195,125 201,467 202,323 198,486 187,929

76 164,349 170,547 175,530 180,006 186,966 192,682 192,618 198,938 199,847 196,129

77 158,666 161,577 167,728 172,690 177,166 184,084 189,772 189,782 196,072 197,038

78 148,397 155,583 158,506 164,608 169,541 173,997 180,867 186,526 186,608 192,865

79 138,771 145,086 152,179 155,109 161,148 166,048 170,489 177,295 182,913 183,068

80 129,444 135,238 141,460 148,450 151,382 157,355 162,212 166,624 173,357 178,929

81 122,657 125,708 131,403 137,525 144,396 147,324 153,209 158,018 162,395 169,046

82 115,437 118,636 121,666 127,249 133,253 139,992 142,917 148,699 153,449 157,787

83 108,777 111,141 114,295 117,288 122,746 128,618 135,206 138,117 143,783 148,460

84 104,239 104,159 106,503 109,601 112,545 117,854 123,589 129,999 132,884 138,414

85 99,090 99,187 99,200 101,513 104,539 107,425 112,569 118,138 124,343 127,191

86 77,968 93,624 93,794 93,888 96,160 99,090 101,908 106,871 112,236 118,217

87 66,973 73,100 87,840 88,079 88,249 90,456 93,288 96,020 100,776 105,916

88 60,388 62,259 68,015 81,789 82,090 82,333 84,464 87,181 89,811 94,338

89 53,153 55,614 57,394 62,763 75,533 75,892 76,190 78,241 80,829 83,345

90+ 238,493 251,591 265,489 279,450 296,729 323,719 348,165 370,115 391,323 412,346





Table 7

Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – reference scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 715,813 732,533 745,161 876,454 960,080 914,806 897,037 881,841 934,427 1,023,033

2014 717,934 737,499 742,352 859,316 969,943 927,644 912,412 886,712 924,752 992,124

2015 722,607 742,621 739,574 840,425 974,216 944,087 927,358 892,584 917,845 968,396

2016 730,895 745,132 742,562 821,312 974,166 959,351 940,343 903,850 908,148 960,010

2017 740,430 745,790 749,941 809,002 966,403 976,813 953,073 916,308 906,425 955,101

2018 750,678 746,033 760,140 800,371 955,956 994,170 961,970 934,413 907,969 949,254

2019 761,016 749,521 766,147 799,020 941,280 1,005,491 976,348 951,104 914,043 940,647

2020 771,151 755,491 772,299 797,722 924,782 1,011,327 994,435 967,509 921,128 934,809

2021 780,903 764,991 775,898 802,222 908,037 1,012,848 1,011,513 982,142 933,646 926,267

2022 790,218 775,542 777,509 811,000 897,906 1,006,630 1,030,482 996,324 947,223 925,501

2023 799,034 786,580 778,568 822,475 891,274 997,322 1,048,832 1,006,377 966,088 927,765

2024 807,044 797,646 782,767 829,713 891,833 983,670 1,061,049 1,021,685 983,477 934,428

2025 814,134 808,446 789,317 837,064 892,368 968,051 1,067,730 1,040,501 1,000,488 942,058

2026 820,213 818,813 799,304 841,828 898,544 952,084 1,069,947 1,058,187 1,015,649 954,973

2027 825,141 828,654 810,292 844,486 908,941 942,525 1,064,364 1,077,570 1,030,243 968,853

2028 828,837 837,898 821,684 846,493 921,927 936,342 1,055,531 1,096,156 1,040,661 987,849

2029 831,392 846,363 833,117 851,634 930,725 937,235 1,042,456 1,108,742 1,056,218 1,005,399

2030 832,905 853,904 844,280 859,141 939,602 938,105 1,027,471 1,115,868 1,075,232 1,022,578

2031 833,575 860,421 854,999 870,070 945,875 944,571 1,012,157 1,118,603 1,093,131 1,037,921

2032 833,710 865,800 865,206 882,013 950,048 955,216 1,003,119 1,113,665 1,112,699 1,052,711

2033 833,540 869,952 874,805 894,359 953,605 968,370 997,441 1,105,558 1,131,498 1,063,364

2034 833,332 872,966 883,620 906,727 960,296 977,362 998,720 1,093,269 1,144,347 1,079,071

2035 833,336 874,951 891,513 918,813 969,349 986,426 999,976 1,079,088 1,151,795 1,098,194

2036 833,777 876,081 898,406 930,474 981,791 992,917 1,006,736 1,064,583 1,154,899 1,116,197

2037 834,800 876,680 904,143 941,604 995,214 997,370 1,017,624 1,056,242 1,150,491 1,135,839

2038 836,598 876,975 908,654 952,129 1,009,041 1,001,213 1,030,985 1,051,186 1,142,952 1,154,716

2039 839,271 877,234 912,031 961,855 1,022,895 1,008,149 1,040,259 1,052,984 1,131,286 1,167,716

2040 842,834 877,698 914,382 970,677 1,036,450 1,017,423 1,049,606 1,054,751 1,117,754 1,175,362

2041 847,265 878,599 915,865 978,493 1,049,580 1,030,067 1,056,384 1,061,912 1,103,888 1,178,724

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,071,168 938,117 789,625 657,289 477,219 368,784 282,275 177,370 94,962 13,537,994

2014 1,088,922 963,728 810,627 690,276 496,667 379,129 286,450 182,088 104,143 13,672,718

2015 1,094,046 988,773 837,459 723,016 516,388 389,025 290,540 187,955 112,768 13,809,683

2016 1,080,305 1,017,157 863,615 749,506 541,768 400,458 294,797 194,339 121,045 13,948,759

2017 1,056,093 1,038,124 893,405 754,873 586,940 415,224 300,124 199,656 128,471 14,092,196

2018 1,024,428 1,060,751 921,909 768,094 624,232 433,437 307,541 204,230 135,796 14,241,372

2019 994,854 1,079,120 947,982 789,588 656,411 452,245 317,412 208,129 142,513 14,392,871

2020 972,300 1,085,054 973,538 816,650 688,304 471,275 326,969 212,168 149,748 14,546,659

2021 964,846 1,072,406 1,002,267 843,068 714,415 495,575 337,837 216,504 157,258 14,702,643

2022 960,736 1,049,352 1,023,664 872,904 721,002 538,121 351,513 221,542 163,598 14,860,767

2023 955,536 1,018,830 1,046,553 901,414 734,885 573,455 368,196 228,162 169,596 15,020,942

2024 947,590 990,396 1,065,271 927,575 756,514 603,992 385,404 236,576 174,987 15,181,617

2025 942,333 968,823 1,071,812 953,284 783,411 634,146 402,731 244,826 180,989 15,342,512

2026 934,356 962,024 1,060,183 982,023 809,657 659,102 424,800 254,125 187,530 15,503,342

2027 933,980 958,372 1,038,334 1,003,657 839,135 666,799 462,979 265,533 193,921 15,663,779

2028 936,520 953,612 1,009,197 1,026,748 867,392 681,142 494,852 279,404 201,265 15,823,510

2029 943,394 946,170 982,074 1,045,792 893,440 702,557 522,370 293,716 209,457 15,982,251

2030 951,211 941,371 961,632 1,053,039 919,162 728,872 549,378 308,028 218,015 16,139,794

2031 964,257 933,901 955,620 1,042,648 947,754 754,583 572,022 326,236 227,617 16,295,961

2032 978,249 933,886 952,587 1,022,307 969,589 783,246 580,554 357,572 238,493 16,450,670

2033 997,313 936,714 948,416 994,944 992,853 810,849 594,882 383,784 251,591 16,603,838

2034 1,014,957 943,786 941,643 969,538 1,012,278 836,473 615,327 406,243 265,489 16,755,444

2035 1,032,226 951,818 937,469 950,603 1,020,409 861,944 640,113 428,032 279,450 16,905,505

2036 1,047,669 965,007 930,648 945,623 1,011,592 890,086 664,322 446,571 296,729 17,054,108

2037 1,062,569 979,117 931,119 943,380 993,185 911,936 691,143 455,196 323,719 17,201,371

2038 1,073,363 998,232 934,373 939,999 968,097 935,213 717,133 468,419 348,165 17,347,443

2039 1,089,126 1,015,922 941,794 934,100 944,918 954,864 741,457 486,451 370,115 17,492,427

2040 1,108,297 1,033,271 950,138 930,761 927,932 963,926 765,868 507,995 391,323 17,636,448

2041 1,126,374 1,048,801 963,562 924,853 924,251 957,029 792,636 529,007 412,346 17,779,636


Notes: 1. Population as of July 1.




Table 7

Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – reference scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 366,763 375,282 382,971 450,717 486,814 451,985 436,590 429,717 460,355 510,170

2014 367,980 377,521 381,691 442,161 493,357 458,942 444,139 431,367 454,417 493,050

2015 370,771 379,781 379,814 432,686 497,648 467,372 451,375 434,099 449,842 479,885

2016 375,050 381,239 380,949 423,126 499,027 475,880 457,555 439,265 444,185 473,867

2017 379,954 381,910 384,427 416,804 496,476 485,362 464,346 444,754 442,214 470,832

2018 385,238 382,261 389,464 412,342 492,010 495,406 468,702 453,466 441,979 467,221

2019 390,544 384,197 392,258 411,836 484,781 502,588 476,294 461,688 444,261 461,883

2020 395,752 387,654 395,076 410,758 476,618 507,532 485,406 469,650 447,613 457,909

2021 400,754 392,549 397,107 412,711 468,361 509,584 494,661 476,640 453,428 452,888

2022 405,540 397,980 398,275 416,944 463,224 507,724 504,746 484,132 459,487 451,464

2023 410,073 403,673 399,053 422,663 459,866 503,721 515,106 489,042 468,577 451,631

2024 414,192 409,360 401,369 426,113 460,395 496,935 522,595 497,049 477,144 454,238

2025 417,822 414,921 405,119 429,578 460,333 489,150 527,813 506,475 485,415 457,881

2026 420,940 420,252 410,267 432,233 463,216 481,213 530,091 515,998 492,661 463,916

2027 423,463 425,307 415,922 433,968 468,336 476,311 528,441 526,231 500,332 470,164

2028 425,356 430,049 421,808 435,266 474,884 473,114 524,594 536,646 505,437 479,325

2029 426,664 434,396 427,684 438,093 479,206 473,736 518,022 544,277 513,543 487,981

2030 427,445 438,253 433,437 442,348 483,515 473,770 510,490 549,660 523,056 496,342

2031 427,789 441,598 438,944 448,009 487,011 476,716 502,813 552,157 532,659 503,686

2032 427,864 444,354 444,197 454,178 489,584 481,856 498,102 550,800 542,961 511,460

2033 427,781 446,490 449,127 460,584 491,737 488,374 495,084 547,293 553,460 516,683

2034 427,684 448,029 453,660 466,966 495,426 492,696 495,800 541,111 561,201 524,868

2035 427,688 449,054 457,704 473,223 500,533 497,016 495,943 533,999 566,709 534,439

2036 427,917 449,636 461,242 479,233 507,022 500,532 498,935 526,741 569,369 544,092

2037 428,443 449,950 464,184 484,979 513,999 503,157 504,099 522,381 568,281 554,425

2038 429,367 450,112 466,502 490,403 521,213 505,368 510,620 519,666 565,093 564,949

2039 430,737 450,262 468,228 495,421 528,404 509,086 514,982 520,628 559,251 572,765

2040 432,570 450,506 469,443 499,973 535,458 514,196 519,351 521,015 552,479 578,378

2041 434,850 450,978 470,220 504,013 542,277 520,673 522,923 524,200 545,550 581,181

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 534,694 461,149 383,287 315,689 222,674 167,388 119,843 64,938 26,723 6,647,749

2014 544,080 475,092 393,056 331,508 232,411 172,005 122,609 68,074 30,109 6,713,569

2015 546,606 488,469 406,177 346,999 242,391 176,410 125,136 71,803 33,311 6,780,575

2016 540,056 503,332 418,819 359,796 255,008 181,816 127,545 75,640 36,541 6,848,696

2017 526,734 514,421 433,982 362,067 277,006 188,792 130,507 78,687 39,770 6,919,045

2018 509,414 526,462 449,018 368,105 294,986 197,562 134,244 81,433 43,036 6,992,349

2019 493,099 536,154 463,122 378,175 310,378 206,929 138,649 83,805 46,169 7,066,810

2020 480,624 539,118 476,726 391,410 325,435 216,498 142,938 86,120 49,580 7,142,417

2021 475,151 533,179 491,705 404,202 338,050 228,502 148,062 88,422 53,140 7,219,096

2022 472,570 520,543 502,989 419,369 341,092 249,023 154,484 91,064 56,224 7,296,874

2023 469,334 503,917 515,130 434,376 347,578 265,938 162,439 94,264 59,205 7,375,586

2024 464,383 488,289 524,991 448,497 357,797 280,459 170,892 97,906 61,943 7,454,547

2025 460,765 476,409 528,287 462,163 370,995 294,633 179,472 101,521 64,878 7,533,630

2026 456,085 471,351 522,937 477,139 383,759 306,676 190,209 105,776 67,937 7,612,656

2027 454,891 469,039 511,025 488,571 398,749 310,441 208,303 110,990 70,987 7,691,471

2028 455,233 466,063 495,249 500,831 413,619 317,276 223,349 117,414 74,391 7,769,904

2029 457,979 461,411 480,414 510,892 427,690 327,467 236,258 124,199 77,933 7,847,845

2030 461,734 458,065 469,206 514,640 441,371 340,402 248,797 131,038 81,627 7,925,196

2031 467,843 453,682 464,631 510,021 456,287 352,960 259,637 139,596 85,833 8,001,872

2032 474,156 452,711 462,668 499,025 467,865 367,544 263,902 153,967 90,622 8,077,816

2033 483,353 453,225 460,038 484,327 480,266 382,058 270,801 165,945 96,394 8,153,020

2034 492,052 456,092 455,778 470,528 490,585 395,868 280,537 176,130 102,479 8,227,490

2035 500,454 459,966 452,796 460,205 494,888 409,419 292,663 185,934 108,628 8,301,261

2036 507,847 466,159 448,791 456,279 491,186 424,093 304,470 194,583 116,226 8,374,353

2037 515,673 472,527 448,113 454,777 481,366 435,705 318,032 198,845 127,949 8,446,885

2038 520,981 481,736 448,875 452,622 468,025 448,147 331,610 205,105 138,521 8,518,915

2039 529,189 490,447 451,932 448,883 455,566 458,630 344,609 213,506 147,985 8,590,511

2040 538,778 498,880 455,968 446,396 446,406 463,508 357,490 223,810 157,138 8,661,743

2041 548,452 506,325 462,275 442,915 443,294 460,902 371,363 233,859 166,428 8,732,678






Table 7

Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – reference scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 349,050 357,251 362,190 425,737 473,266 462,821 460,447 452,124 474,072 512,863

2014 349,954 359,978 360,661 417,155 476,586 468,702 468,273 455,345 470,335 499,074

2015 351,836 362,840 359,760 407,739 476,568 476,715 475,983 458,485 468,003 488,511

2016 355,845 363,893 361,613 398,186 475,139 483,471 482,788 464,585 463,963 486,143

2017 360,476 363,880 365,514 392,198 469,927 491,451 488,727 471,554 464,211 484,269

2018 365,440 363,772 370,676 388,029 463,946 498,764 493,268 480,947 465,990 482,033

2019 370,472 365,324 373,889 387,184 456,499 502,903 500,054 489,416 469,782 478,764

2020 375,399 367,837 377,223 386,964 448,164 503,795 509,029 497,859 473,515 476,900

2021 380,149 372,442 378,791 389,511 439,676 503,264 516,852 505,502 480,218 473,379

2022 384,678 377,562 379,234 394,056 434,682 498,906 525,736 512,192 487,736 474,037

2023 388,961 382,907 379,515 399,812 431,408 493,601 533,726 517,335 497,511 476,134

2024 392,852 388,286 381,398 403,600 431,438 486,735 538,454 524,636 506,333 480,190

2025 396,312 393,525 384,198 407,486 432,035 478,901 539,917 534,026 515,073 484,177

2026 399,273 398,561 389,037 409,595 435,328 470,871 539,856 542,189 522,988 491,057

2027 401,678 403,347 394,370 410,518 440,605 466,214 535,923 551,339 529,911 498,689

2028 403,481 407,849 399,876 411,227 447,043 463,228 530,937 559,510 535,224 508,524

2029 404,728 411,967 405,433 413,541 451,519 463,499 524,434 564,465 542,675 517,418

2030 405,460 415,651 410,843 416,793 456,087 464,335 516,981 566,208 552,176 526,236

2031 405,786 418,823 416,055 422,061 458,864 467,855 509,344 566,446 560,472 534,235

2032 405,846 421,446 421,009 427,835 460,464 473,360 505,017 562,865 569,738 541,251

2033 405,759 423,462 425,678 433,775 461,868 479,996 502,357 558,265 578,038 546,681

2034 405,648 424,937 429,960 439,761 464,870 484,666 502,920 552,158 583,146 554,203

2035 405,648 425,897 433,809 445,590 468,816 489,410 504,033 545,089 585,086 563,755

2036 405,860 426,445 437,164 451,241 474,769 492,385 507,801 537,842 585,530 572,105

2037 406,357 426,730 439,959 456,625 481,215 494,213 513,525 533,861 582,210 581,414

2038 407,231 426,863 442,152 461,726 487,828 495,845 520,365 531,520 577,859 589,767

2039 408,534 426,972 443,803 466,434 494,491 499,063 525,277 532,356 572,035 594,951

2040 410,264 427,192 444,939 470,704 500,992 503,227 530,255 533,736 565,275 596,984

2041 412,415 427,621 445,645 474,480 507,303 509,394 533,461 537,712 558,338 597,543

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 536,474 476,968 406,338 341,600 254,545 201,396 162,432 112,432 68,239 6,890,245

2014 544,842 488,636 417,571 358,768 264,256 207,124 163,841 114,014 74,034 6,959,149

2015 547,440 500,304 431,282 376,017 273,997 212,615 165,404 116,152 79,457 7,029,108

2016 540,249 513,825 444,796 389,710 286,760 218,642 167,252 118,699 84,504 7,100,063

2017 529,359 523,703 459,423 392,806 309,934 226,432 169,617 120,969 88,701 7,173,151

2018 515,014 534,289 472,891 399,989 329,246 235,875 173,297 122,797 92,760 7,249,023

2019 501,755 542,966 484,860 411,413 346,033 245,316 178,763 124,324 96,344 7,326,061

2020 491,676 545,936 496,812 425,240 362,869 254,777 184,031 126,048 100,168 7,404,242

2021 489,695 539,227 510,562 438,866 376,365 267,073 189,775 128,082 104,118 7,483,547

2022 488,166 528,809 520,675 453,535 379,910 289,098 197,029 130,478 107,374 7,563,893

2023 486,202 514,913 531,423 467,038 387,307 307,517 205,757 133,898 110,391 7,645,356

2024 483,207 502,107 540,280 479,078 398,717 323,533 214,512 138,670 113,044 7,727,070

2025 481,568 492,414 543,525 491,121 412,416 339,513 223,259 143,305 116,111 7,808,882

2026 478,271 490,673 537,246 504,884 425,898 352,426 234,591 148,349 119,593 7,890,686

2027 479,089 489,333 527,309 515,086 440,386 356,358 254,676 154,543 122,934 7,972,308

2028 481,287 487,549 513,948 525,917 453,773 363,866 271,503 161,990 126,874 8,053,606

2029 485,415 484,759 501,660 534,900 465,750 375,090 286,112 169,517 131,524 8,134,406

2030 489,477 483,306 492,426 538,399 477,791 388,470 300,581 176,990 136,388 8,214,598

2031 496,414 480,219 490,989 532,627 491,467 401,623 312,385 186,640 141,784 8,294,089

2032 504,093 481,175 489,919 523,282 501,724 415,702 316,652 203,605 147,871 8,372,854

2033 513,960 483,489 488,378 510,617 512,587 428,791 324,081 217,839 155,197 8,450,818

2034 522,905 487,694 485,865 499,010 521,693 440,605 334,790 230,113 163,010 8,527,954

2035 531,772 491,852 484,673 490,398 525,521 452,525 347,450 242,098 170,822 8,604,244

2036 539,822 498,848 481,857 489,344 520,406 465,993 359,852 251,988 180,503 8,679,755

2037 546,896 506,590 483,006 488,603 511,819 476,231 373,111 256,351 195,770 8,754,486

2038 552,382 516,496 485,498 487,377 500,072 487,066 385,523 263,314 209,644 8,828,528

2039 559,937 525,475 489,862 485,217 489,352 496,234 396,848 272,945 222,130 8,901,916

2040 569,519 534,391 494,170 484,365 481,526 500,418 408,378 284,185 234,185 8,974,705

2041 577,922 542,476 501,287 481,938 480,957 496,127 421,273 295,148 245,918 9,046,958






Table 8

Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – low scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 715,813 732,533 745,161 876,454 960,080 914,806 897,037 881,841 934,427 1,023,033

2014 711,719 735,855 740,978 857,700 966,901 923,332 908,342 883,450 922,349 990,398

2015 708,917 739,280 736,788 837,220 968,347 935,807 919,116 885,955 912,952 964,863

2016 708,478 740,064 738,341 816,535 965,705 947,440 927,915 893,784 900,625 954,605

2017 707,883 738,858 744,073 802,536 955,321 961,353 936,156 902,454 895,987 947,624

2018 706,623 737,062 752,461 792,019 942,240 975,192 940,450 916,415 894,282 939,483

2019 708,389 734,042 756,487 788,617 924,891 983,029 950,071 928,580 896,789 928,357

2020 709,830 732,062 760,502 785,073 905,635 985,440 963,370 940,066 900,015 919,714

2021 710,838 732,199 761,782 787,160 885,981 983,568 975,654 949,425 908,307 908,085

2022 711,349 731,958 760,886 793,312 872,778 973,928 989,847 958,050 917,311 903,871

2023 711,222 730,838 759,207 801,969 862,849 961,155 1,003,391 962,425 931,144 902,380

2024 710,336 732,700 756,305 806,290 860,017 944,176 1,011,056 971,971 943,208 905,017

2025 708,605 734,250 754,454 810,600 857,051 925,317 1,013,447 985,072 954,624 908,343

2026 705,954 735,366 754,684 812,165 859,621 906,081 1,011,613 997,148 963,941 916,664

2027 702,340 735,981 754,543 811,563 866,226 893,145 1,002,160 1,011,105 972,528 925,655

2028 697,756 735,992 753,505 810,175 875,258 883,458 989,633 1,024,425 976,975 939,397

2029 692,251 735,231 755,440 807,574 880,012 880,704 972,988 1,032,001 986,449 951,407

2030 685,909 733,643 757,072 805,994 884,693 877,800 954,520 1,034,414 999,371 962,751

2031 678,918 731,126 758,265 806,475 886,636 880,332 935,681 1,032,665 1,011,326 972,021

2032 671,465 727,656 758,945 806,576 886,457 886,788 922,991 1,023,478 1,025,070 980,588

2033 663,812 723,206 759,025 805,794 885,511 895,601 913,487 1,011,313 1,038,167 985,064

2034 656,191 717,841 758,328 807,984 883,347 900,169 910,736 995,127 1,045,636 994,433

2035 648,856 711,620 756,799 809,837 882,224 904,644 907,832 977,119 1,047,989 1,007,202

2036 641,982 704,753 754,323 811,257 883,136 906,428 910,194 958,748 1,046,279 1,018,984

2037 635,699 697,427 750,899 812,151 883,639 906,157 916,373 946,354 1,037,309 1,032,548

2038 630,068 689,900 746,487 812,440 883,282 905,116 924,837 937,045 1,025,418 1,045,465

2039 625,081 682,405 741,160 811,947 885,798 902,912 929,151 934,293 1,009,580 1,052,811

2040 620,693 675,184 734,974 810,607 888,003 901,701 933,358 931,374 991,927 1,055,118

2041 616,777 668,415 728,158 808,324 889,764 902,486 934,896 933,571 973,911 1,053,422

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,071,168 938,117 789,625 657,289 477,219 368,784 282,275 177,370 94,962 13,537,994

2014 1,087,539 962,620 809,628 689,278 495,778 378,288 285,575 181,240 103,231 13,634,201

2015 1,091,249 986,521 835,433 720,952 514,547 387,322 288,813 186,254 110,853 13,731,189

2016 1,076,044 1,013,704 860,566 746,332 538,925 397,835 292,209 191,790 118,084 13,828,981

2017 1,050,324 1,033,389 889,197 750,636 582,871 411,632 296,651 196,258 124,380 13,927,583

2018 1,017,047 1,054,592 916,435 762,715 618,872 428,760 303,144 199,978 130,526 14,028,296

2019 985,753 1,071,423 941,151 782,935 649,671 446,380 312,028 203,009 136,047 14,127,649

2020 961,253 1,075,764 965,239 808,615 680,101 464,119 320,566 206,196 141,988 14,225,548

2021 951,670 1,061,418 992,389 833,560 704,648 487,030 330,329 209,688 148,145 14,321,876

2022 945,159 1,036,661 1,012,161 861,753 709,841 527,813 342,766 213,830 153,204 14,416,478

2023 937,332 1,004,414 1,033,242 888,538 722,190 561,364 358,089 219,487 157,910 14,509,146

2024 926,572 974,128 1,050,076 912,939 742,153 590,070 373,846 226,847 161,966 14,599,673

2025 918,246 950,499 1,054,766 936,796 767,236 618,287 389,629 234,000 166,581 14,687,803

2026 907,015 941,440 1,041,295 963,593 791,664 641,246 409,970 242,107 171,694 14,773,261

2027 903,064 935,315 1,017,699 983,320 819,113 647,350 445,868 252,158 176,638 14,855,771

2028 901,756 927,888 986,843 1,004,308 845,292 659,950 475,515 264,492 182,435 14,935,053

2029 904,497 917,577 957,900 1,021,217 869,264 679,416 500,778 277,177 188,977 15,010,860

2030 907,907 909,687 935,418 1,026,452 892,814 703,579 525,420 289,749 195,791 15,082,984

2031 916,248 898,936 927,059 1,014,138 919,132 727,084 545,697 306,030 203,489 15,151,258

2032 925,251 895,275 921,450 991,991 938,770 753,359 552,528 334,649 212,294 15,215,581

2033 938,885 894,169 914,576 962,911 959,650 778,518 564,917 358,267 223,037 15,275,910

2034 950,803 897,058 904,862 935,725 976,656 801,707 583,111 378,168 234,381 15,332,263

2035 962,067 900,613 897,521 914,759 982,574 824,665 605,355 397,307 245,694 15,384,677

2036 971,270 908,983 887,367 907,367 971,793 850,151 627,008 413,279 259,925 15,433,227

2037 979,780 917,991 884,087 902,507 951,586 869,463 651,026 420,138 282,855 15,477,989

2038 984,262 931,534 883,306 896,345 924,911 890,031 674,151 431,282 303,182 15,519,062

2039 993,554 943,407 886,425 887,424 900,088 906,994 695,669 446,808 321,014 15,556,521

2040 1,006,201 954,635 890,196 880,827 881,161 913,707 717,210 465,506 338,032 15,590,414

2041 1,017,863 963,853 898,670 871,522 875,080 904,868 740,902 483,648 354,686 15,620,816






Table 8

Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – low scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 366,763 375,282 382,971 450,717 486,814 451,985 436,590 429,717 460,355 510,170

2014 364,791 376,679 380,976 441,315 491,840 456,869 442,142 429,682 453,152 492,111

2015 363,743 378,073 378,381 431,008 494,673 463,390 447,356 430,685 447,282 477,968

2016 363,531 378,642 378,789 420,617 494,701 470,146 451,532 434,103 440,255 470,952

2017 363,235 378,354 381,415 413,402 490,777 477,913 456,186 437,698 436,769 466,825

2018 362,612 377,646 385,514 407,964 484,914 486,251 458,372 444,366 434,860 462,000

2019 363,521 376,233 387,291 406,386 476,260 491,751 463,734 450,369 435,305 455,346

2020 364,262 375,599 388,996 404,139 466,641 495,032 470,615 455,943 436,690 449,906

2021 364,781 375,685 389,830 404,831 456,847 495,426 477,647 460,404 440,353 443,289

2022 365,045 375,572 389,705 407,681 450,094 491,897 485,487 465,235 444,146 440,067

2023 364,982 375,031 389,070 411,924 445,013 486,198 493,601 467,460 450,746 438,311

2024 364,532 375,996 387,712 413,861 443,759 477,767 498,975 472,740 456,700 438,855

2025 363,647 376,797 387,144 415,732 441,848 468,381 502,174 479,501 462,233 440,306

2026 362,284 377,375 387,286 416,709 442,813 458,826 502,540 486,400 466,681 444,001

2027 360,426 377,694 387,220 416,751 445,920 452,225 499,065 494,082 471,473 447,814

2028 358,078 377,699 386,721 416,267 450,385 447,279 493,454 502,023 473,725 454,375

2029 355,253 377,315 387,723 415,077 452,580 446,048 485,198 507,293 478,949 460,298

2030 351,999 376,505 388,568 414,666 454,663 444,166 476,020 510,429 485,609 465,792

2031 348,419 375,211 389,184 414,948 455,864 445,105 466,667 510,795 492,421 470,213

2032 344,597 373,426 389,542 415,012 456,149 448,109 460,193 507,439 499,959 474,996

2033 340,656 371,149 389,588 414,658 455,926 452,438 455,332 502,013 507,751 477,273

2034 336,754 368,390 389,240 415,806 454,981 454,521 454,080 494,006 512,935 482,432

2035 332,990 365,193 388,462 416,773 454,828 456,486 452,187 485,093 515,996 489,008

2036 329,459 361,674 387,187 417,515 455,370 457,591 453,027 475,994 516,367 495,711

2037 326,238 357,911 385,425 417,990 455,678 457,814 455,873 469,690 513,117 503,141

2038 323,356 354,040 383,165 418,154 455,579 457,534 459,995 464,940 507,836 510,815

2039 320,803 350,203 380,420 417,921 456,921 456,571 461,941 463,682 500,036 515,926

2040 318,559 346,502 377,243 417,249 458,098 456,369 463,762 461,802 491,324 518,948

2041 316,556 343,031 373,752 416,079 459,043 456,833 464,719 462,570 482,426 519,333

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 534,694 461,149 383,287 315,689 222,674 167,388 119,843 64,938 26,723 6,647,749

2014 543,327 474,507 392,557 330,991 231,949 171,563 122,187 67,729 29,849 6,694,216

2015 545,075 487,283 405,158 345,939 241,434 175,529 124,298 71,102 32,751 6,741,128

2016 537,706 501,515 417,283 358,151 253,510 180,453 126,284 74,559 35,656 6,788,385

2017 523,554 511,915 431,853 359,884 274,854 186,913 128,783 77,224 38,509 6,836,063

2018 505,350 523,192 446,238 365,345 292,142 195,103 132,040 79,565 41,353 6,884,827

2019 488,103 532,043 459,657 374,779 306,796 203,829 135,941 81,511 44,038 6,932,893

2020 474,596 534,137 472,493 387,323 321,091 212,701 139,692 83,398 46,945 6,980,199

2021 468,006 527,269 486,664 399,382 332,904 223,944 144,228 85,270 49,941 7,026,701

2022 464,164 513,720 497,088 413,721 335,226 243,520 149,986 87,465 52,489 7,072,308

2023 459,543 496,176 508,304 427,846 340,935 259,472 157,227 90,187 54,925 7,116,951

2024 453,136 479,582 517,168 441,070 350,301 273,020 164,884 93,317 57,086 7,160,461

2025 447,920 466,636 519,475 453,778 362,575 286,158 172,643 96,364 59,414 7,202,726

2026 441,560 460,387 513,147 467,765 374,418 297,153 182,437 100,005 61,834 7,243,621

2027 438,515 456,794 500,325 478,194 388,376 300,076 199,302 104,531 64,209 7,282,992

2028 436,890 452,429 483,648 489,378 402,159 306,012 213,138 110,161 66,882 7,320,703

2029 437,518 446,305 467,888 498,308 415,139 315,187 224,853 116,091 69,688 7,356,711

2030 439,038 441,371 455,644 500,978 427,678 327,003 236,129 122,021 72,569 7,390,848

2031 442,756 435,317 449,865 495,352 441,425 338,412 245,721 129,564 75,872 7,423,111

2032 446,589 432,475 446,603 483,443 451,838 351,736 249,092 142,513 79,689 7,453,400

2033 453,085 431,000 442,590 467,881 462,985 364,946 254,976 153,125 84,346 7,481,718

2034 458,960 431,742 436,858 453,214 472,021 377,448 263,513 161,999 89,218 7,508,118

2035 464,427 433,346 432,280 441,917 475,138 389,640 274,306 170,432 94,109 7,532,611

2036 468,820 437,092 426,601 436,785 470,430 402,909 284,745 177,761 100,234 7,555,272

2037 473,564 440,944 424,014 433,988 459,717 413,164 296,802 181,081 109,991 7,576,142

2038 475,849 447,412 422,768 430,435 445,618 424,166 308,812 186,262 118,581 7,595,317

2039 480,946 453,262 423,671 425,218 432,398 433,203 320,271 193,359 126,081 7,612,833

2040 487,452 458,713 425,416 421,121 422,339 436,821 331,581 202,194 133,226 7,628,719

2041 494,081 463,127 429,232 415,981 418,051 433,224 343,793 210,727 140,427 7,642,985






Table 8

Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – low scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 349,050 357,251 362,190 425,737 473,266 462,821 460,447 452,124 474,072 512,863

2014 346,928 359,176 360,002 416,385 475,061 466,463 466,200 453,768 469,197 498,287

2015 345,174 361,207 358,407 406,212 473,674 472,417 471,760 455,270 465,670 486,895

2016 344,947 361,422 359,552 395,918 471,004 477,294 476,383 459,681 460,370 483,653

2017 344,648 360,504 362,658 389,134 464,544 483,440 479,970 464,756 459,218 480,799

2018 344,011 359,416 366,947 384,055 457,326 488,941 482,078 472,049 459,422 477,483

2019 344,868 357,809 369,196 382,231 448,631 491,278 486,337 478,211 461,484 473,011

2020 345,568 356,463 371,506 380,934 438,994 490,408 492,755 484,123 463,325 469,808

2021 346,057 356,514 371,952 382,329 429,134 488,142 498,007 489,021 467,954 464,796

2022 346,304 356,386 371,181 385,631 422,684 482,031 504,360 492,815 473,165 463,804

2023 346,240 355,807 370,137 390,045 417,836 474,957 509,790 494,965 480,398 464,069

2024 345,804 356,704 368,593 392,429 416,258 466,409 512,081 499,231 486,508 466,162

2025 344,958 357,453 367,310 394,868 415,203 456,936 511,273 505,571 492,391 468,037

2026 343,670 357,991 367,398 395,456 416,808 447,255 509,073 510,748 497,260 472,663

2027 341,914 358,287 367,323 394,812 420,306 440,920 503,095 517,023 501,055 477,841

2028 339,678 358,293 366,784 393,908 424,873 436,179 496,179 522,402 503,250 485,022

2029 336,998 357,916 367,717 392,497 427,432 434,656 487,790 524,708 507,500 491,109

2030 333,910 357,138 368,504 391,328 430,030 433,634 478,500 523,985 513,762 496,959

2031 330,499 355,915 369,081 391,527 430,772 435,227 469,014 521,870 518,905 501,808

2032 326,868 354,230 369,403 391,564 430,308 438,679 462,798 516,039 525,111 505,592

2033 323,156 352,057 369,437 391,136 429,585 443,163 458,155 509,300 530,416 507,791

2034 319,437 349,451 369,088 392,178 428,366 445,648 456,656 501,121 532,701 512,001

2035 315,866 346,427 368,337 393,064 427,396 448,158 455,645 492,026 531,993 518,194

2036 312,523 343,079 367,136 393,742 427,766 448,837 457,167 482,754 529,912 523,273

2037 309,461 339,516 365,474 394,161 427,961 448,343 460,500 476,664 524,192 529,407

2038 306,712 335,860 363,322 394,286 427,703 447,582 464,842 472,105 517,582 534,650

2039 304,278 332,202 360,740 394,026 428,877 446,341 467,210 470,611 509,544 536,885

2040 302,134 328,682 357,731 393,358 429,905 445,332 469,596 469,572 500,603 536,170

2041 300,221 325,384 354,406 392,245 430,721 445,653 470,177 471,001 491,485 534,089

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 536,474 476,968 406,338 341,600 254,545 201,396 162,432 112,432 68,239 6,890,245

2014 544,212 488,113 417,071 358,287 263,829 206,725 163,388 113,511 73,382 6,939,985

2015 546,174 499,238 430,275 375,013 273,113 211,793 164,515 115,152 78,102 6,990,061

2016 538,338 512,189 443,283 388,181 285,415 217,382 165,925 117,231 82,428 7,040,596

2017 526,770 521,474 457,344 390,752 308,017 224,719 167,868 119,034 85,871 7,091,520

2018 511,697 531,400 470,197 397,370 326,730 233,657 171,104 120,413 89,173 7,143,469

2019 497,650 539,380 481,494 408,156 342,875 242,551 176,087 121,498 92,009 7,194,756

2020 486,657 541,627 492,746 421,292 359,010 251,418 180,874 122,798 95,043 7,245,349

2021 483,664 534,149 505,725 434,178 371,744 263,086 186,101 124,418 98,204 7,295,175

2022 480,995 522,941 515,073 448,032 374,615 284,293 192,780 126,365 100,715 7,344,170

2023 477,789 508,238 524,938 460,692 381,255 301,892 200,862 129,300 102,985 7,392,195

2024 473,436 494,546 532,908 471,869 391,852 317,050 208,962 133,530 104,880 7,439,212

2025 470,326 483,863 535,291 483,018 404,661 332,129 216,986 137,636 107,167 7,485,077

2026 465,455 481,053 528,148 495,828 417,246 344,093 227,533 142,102 109,860 7,529,640

2027 464,549 478,521 517,374 505,126 430,737 347,274 246,566 147,627 112,429 7,572,779

2028 464,866 475,459 503,195 514,930 443,133 353,938 262,377 154,331 115,553 7,614,350

2029 466,979 471,272 490,012 522,909 454,125 364,229 275,925 161,086 119,289 7,654,149

2030 468,869 468,316 479,774 525,474 465,136 376,576 289,291 167,728 123,222 7,692,136

2031 473,492 463,619 477,194 518,786 477,707 388,672 299,976 176,466 127,617 7,728,147

2032 478,662 462,800 474,847 508,548 486,932 401,623 303,436 192,136 132,605 7,762,181

2033 485,800 463,169 471,986 495,030 496,665 413,572 309,941 205,142 138,691 7,794,192

2034 491,843 465,316 468,004 482,511 504,635 424,259 319,598 216,169 145,163 7,824,145

2035 497,640 467,267 465,241 472,842 507,436 435,025 331,049 226,875 151,585 7,852,066

2036 502,450 471,891 460,766 470,582 501,363 447,242 342,263 235,518 159,691 7,877,955

2037 506,216 477,047 460,073 468,519 491,869 456,299 354,224 239,057 172,864 7,901,847

2038 508,413 484,122 460,538 465,910 479,293 465,865 365,339 245,020 184,601 7,923,745

2039 512,608 490,145 462,754 462,206 467,690 473,791 375,398 253,449 194,933 7,943,688

2040 518,749 495,922 464,780 459,706 458,822 476,886 385,629 263,312 204,806 7,961,695

2041 523,782 500,726 469,438 455,541 457,029 471,644 397,109 272,921 214,259 7,977,831






Table 9

Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – high scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 715,813 732,533 745,161 876,454 960,080 914,806 897,037 881,841 934,427 1,023,033

2014 724,140 739,153 743,749 860,949 972,978 931,951 916,527 889,970 927,146 993,867

2015 736,173 746,105 742,535 843,775 980,225 952,705 935,995 899,448 922,953 972,033

2016 753,039 750,647 747,284 826,517 983,142 972,196 953,901 914,768 916,262 965,804

2017 772,270 753,403 756,474 816,117 978,177 993,567 971,567 931,442 917,726 963,175

2018 793,365 755,796 768,554 809,456 970,411 1,014,474 985,338 953,972 922,669 959,747

2019 811,378 765,812 776,521 810,145 958,366 1,029,026 1,004,413 975,256 932,325 953,685

2020 829,395 779,356 784,703 810,940 944,446 1,037,836 1,026,950 996,412 943,237 950,596

2021 847,257 797,539 790,387 817,588 930,289 1,042,142 1,048,089 1,015,892 959,791 944,937

2022 864,778 817,904 794,146 828,621 922,827 1,038,469 1,070,844 1,034,981 977,574 947,260

2023 881,823 839,924 797,364 842,433 918,906 1,031,605 1,092,638 1,049,829 1,000,869 952,869

2024 898,181 858,900 808,207 852,153 922,370 1,020,487 1,108,098 1,069,986 1,022,978 963,163

2025 913,692 877,872 822,595 862,151 925,994 1,007,479 1,117,928 1,093,601 1,044,968 974,710

2026 928,204 896,707 841,618 869,665 935,431 994,335 1,123,282 1,115,869 1,065,350 991,870

2027 941,599 915,262 862,852 875,215 949,292 987,872 1,120,760 1,139,761 1,085,369 1,010,286

2028 953,841 933,369 885,750 880,258 965,931 984,966 1,115,097 1,162,708 1,101,241 1,034,183

2029 964,938 950,783 905,636 892,958 978,498 989,418 1,105,301 1,179,436 1,122,382 1,056,913

2030 974,977 967,377 925,535 909,203 991,343 994,044 1,093,688 1,190,639 1,146,944 1,079,574

2031 984,188 982,989 945,303 930,129 1,001,710 1,004,513 1,081,998 1,197,420 1,170,189 1,100,645

2032 992,825 997,498 964,812 953,268 1,010,174 1,019,406 1,076,975 1,196,438 1,195,065 1,121,332

2033 1,001,263 1,010,853 983,892 978,087 1,018,145 1,037,069 1,075,536 1,192,432 1,219,041 1,137,937

2034 1,009,905 1,023,063 1,002,307 999,895 1,033,798 1,050,713 1,081,467 1,184,337 1,236,842 1,159,757

2035 1,019,139 1,034,235 1,019,905 1,021,743 1,053,026 1,064,654 1,087,606 1,174,492 1,249,162 1,185,025

2036 1,029,289 1,044,623 1,036,498 1,043,470 1,076,932 1,076,174 1,099,567 1,164,589 1,257,131 1,208,998

2037 1,040,676 1,054,451 1,052,011 1,064,955 1,103,020 1,085,855 1,115,987 1,161,315 1,257,440 1,234,593

2038 1,053,502 1,064,107 1,066,410 1,086,013 1,130,787 1,095,061 1,135,212 1,161,628 1,254,811 1,259,274

2039 1,067,895 1,074,013 1,079,686 1,106,421 1,155,580 1,111,936 1,150,493 1,169,258 1,248,147 1,277,871

2040 1,083,909 1,084,505 1,091,963 1,126,030 1,180,441 1,132,406 1,166,101 1,177,165 1,239,771 1,291,029

2041 1,101,578 1,095,937 1,103,473 1,144,662 1,205,209 1,157,549 1,179,354 1,190,852 1,231,364 1,299,897

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,071,168 938,117 789,625 657,289 477,219 368,784 282,275 177,370 94,962 13,537,994

2014 1,090,283 964,812 811,600 691,293 497,536 379,935 287,286 182,912 104,970 13,711,057

2015 1,096,903 991,068 839,502 725,136 518,220 390,706 292,244 189,593 114,542 13,889,861

2016 1,084,776 1,020,784 866,841 752,796 544,705 403,053 297,360 196,819 123,863 14,074,557

2017 1,062,249 1,043,150 897,836 759,335 591,091 418,809 303,524 202,968 132,411 14,265,291

2018 1,032,276 1,067,206 927,594 773,744 629,672 438,086 311,828 208,377 140,917 14,463,482

2019 1,004,482 1,087,090 955,000 796,421 663,210 458,024 322,638 213,095 148,875 14,665,762

2020 983,770 1,094,593 981,903 824,745 696,529 478,230 333,181 217,954 157,371 14,872,147

2021 978,393 1,083,470 1,012,068 852,460 724,042 503,852 345,089 223,113 166,212 15,082,610

2022 976,467 1,061,957 1,034,939 883,654 731,821 548,018 359,884 229,008 173,907 15,297,059

2023 973,596 1,032,994 1,059,345 913,565 746,999 584,987 377,828 236,539 181,261 15,515,374

2024 968,143 1,006,228 1,079,649 941,260 770,008 617,194 396,404 245,979 187,999 15,737,387

2025 965,638 986,443 1,087,876 968,545 798,419 649,114 415,169 255,271 195,414 15,962,879

2026 960,601 981,762 1,077,847 998,985 826,275 675,772 438,841 265,704 203,483 16,191,601

2027 963,458 980,434 1,057,588 1,022,388 857,442 684,829 479,108 278,381 211,388 16,423,284

2028 969,595 978,131 1,030,056 1,047,312 887,451 700,711 513,072 293,668 220,332 16,657,672

2029 980,366 973,318 1,004,708 1,068,264 915,386 723,811 542,635 309,514 230,266 16,894,531

2030 992,402 971,430 986,177 1,077,445 943,040 751,989 571,824 325,432 240,614 17,133,677

2031 1,010,003 967,070 982,435 1,068,824 973,726 779,634 596,519 345,508 252,191 17,374,994

2032 1,028,861 970,461 981,918 1,050,186 997,655 810,390 606,559 379,397 265,228 17,618,448

2033 1,053,150 977,077 980,431 1,024,515 1,023,110 840,121 622,614 408,080 280,745 17,864,098

2034 1,076,326 988,271 976,479 1,000,952 1,044,757 868,003 645,027 432,940 297,243 18,112,082

2035 1,099,416 1,000,767 975,386 984,059 1,055,046 895,758 672,042 457,205 313,921 18,362,587

2036 1,120,953 1,018,762 971,875 981,555 1,048,126 926,375 698,562 478,068 334,340 18,615,887

2037 1,142,130 1,037,997 975,977 982,085 1,031,487 950,633 727,887 488,290 365,477 18,872,266

2038 1,159,259 1,062,638 983,239 981,650 1,008,106 976,412 756,364 503,464 394,110 19,132,047

2039 1,181,596 1,086,160 995,031 978,779 986,794 998,561 783,301 523,740 420,280 19,395,542

2040 1,207,359 1,109,614 1,008,132 978,742 971,905 1,009,996 810,334 547,819 445,848 19,663,069

2041 1,231,843 1,131,552 1,026,671 976,338 970,856 1,005,027 839,964 571,494 471,347 19,934,967






Table 9

Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 – high scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 366,763 375,282 382,971 450,717 486,814 451,985 436,590 429,717 460,355 510,170

2014 371,178 378,373 382,415 443,006 494,880 461,003 446,156 433,052 455,674 494,004

2015 377,753 381,576 381,348 434,441 500,664 471,479 455,578 437,627 452,518 481,865

2016 386,439 384,079 383,401 425,855 503,553 482,003 464,105 444,853 448,418 476,994

2017 396,335 385,827 387,812 420,532 502,463 493,346 473,220 452,455 448,092 475,166

2018 407,191 387,298 393,810 417,120 499,414 505,095 479,840 463,358 449,614 472,828

2019 416,433 392,599 397,615 417,694 493,604 513,839 489,620 473,820 453,755 468,818

2020 425,686 399,965 401,475 417,706 486,850 520,259 500,798 484,066 459,072 466,275

2021 434,846 409,325 404,584 420,786 479,992 523,714 511,959 493,363 466,923 462,748

2022 443,835 419,795 406,856 426,197 476,300 523,165 523,807 503,168 475,089 462,902

2023 452,580 431,130 408,763 433,117 474,429 520,441 535,798 510,291 486,370 464,806

2024 460,972 440,873 414,482 437,867 476,533 514,981 544,824 520,548 497,232 469,293

2025 468,936 450,606 422,287 442,701 478,098 508,569 551,565 532,218 507,886 474,952

2026 476,392 460,272 432,087 446,793 482,704 502,084 555,373 543,889 517,623 483,142

2027 483,276 469,796 443,018 450,036 489,648 498,749 555,222 556,252 527,880 491,657

2028 489,560 479,095 454,810 452,928 498,112 497,223 552,927 568,764 535,521 503,255

2029 495,257 488,029 465,041 459,652 504,405 499,632 547,954 578,385 546,255 514,454

2030 500,411 496,550 475,257 468,461 510,777 501,519 542,074 585,745 558,392 525,465

2031 505,138 504,575 485,402 479,279 516,424 506,440 536,137 590,220 570,540 535,555

2032 509,569 512,035 495,424 491,229 521,241 513,692 533,347 590,785 583,387 546,159

2033 513,902 518,893 505,228 504,041 525,724 522,447 532,371 589,280 596,392 554,179

2034 518,340 525,163 514,680 515,305 534,050 529,069 535,320 585,136 606,534 565,257

2035 523,079 530,908 523,734 526,565 544,451 535,784 537,770 580,121 614,429 577,767

2036 528,287 536,243 532,274 537,762 556,867 541,803 543,232 575,052 619,492 590,292

2037 534,131 541,288 540,263 548,827 570,380 547,021 551,037 573,116 620,703 603,509

2038 540,717 546,251 547,661 559,693 584,760 551,921 560,350 573,000 619,895 616,872

2039 548,107 551,344 554,472 570,231 597,613 560,623 567,576 576,760 616,486 627,426

2040 556,327 556,732 560,793 580,361 610,473 571,401 574,914 580,064 612,229 635,751

2041 565,397 562,608 566,720 589,993 623,283 584,174 581,587 586,354 607,916 641,290

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 534,694 461,149 383,287 315,689 222,674 167,388 119,843 64,938 26,723 6,647,749

2014 544,843 475,663 393,555 332,045 232,882 172,448 123,043 68,440 30,394 6,733,054

2015 548,202 489,687 407,218 348,105 243,379 177,334 126,025 72,557 33,917 6,821,273

2016 542,546 505,261 420,455 361,499 256,583 183,240 128,885 76,811 37,525 6,912,505

2017 530,140 517,107 436,228 364,356 279,242 190,742 132,295 80,269 41,176 7,006,803

2018 513,740 529,937 451,912 370,994 297,903 200,088 136,515 83,423 44,891 7,104,971

2019 498,378 540,465 466,722 381,655 314,017 210,078 141,426 86,215 48,513 7,205,266

2020 486,889 544,303 481,018 395,546 329,836 220,295 146,235 88,942 52,461 7,307,677

2021 482,525 539,206 496,782 409,008 343,183 233,019 151,925 91,650 56,587 7,412,125

2022 481,102 527,403 508,859 424,886 346,813 254,440 158,941 94,751 60,262 7,518,571

2023 479,077 511,605 521,842 440,626 353,962 272,244 167,582 98,445 63,848 7,626,956

2024 475,422 496,856 532,575 455,548 364,890 287,666 176,787 102,624 67,228 7,737,201

2025 473,213 485,909 536,799 470,029 378,877 302,789 186,164 106,767 70,814 7,849,179

2026 470,045 481,945 532,297 485,913 392,484 315,727 197,778 111,619 74,594 7,962,761

2027 470,507 480,841 521,217 498,280 408,375 320,161 217,046 117,496 78,363 8,077,820

2028 472,703 479,131 506,239 511,546 424,175 327,798 233,220 124,670 82,532 8,194,209

2029 477,449 475,834 492,284 522,637 439,226 338,871 247,241 132,277 86,934 8,311,817

2030 483,373 473,958 482,034 527,404 453,911 352,801 260,947 139,996 91,476 8,430,551

2031 491,804 471,153 478,594 523,682 469,950 366,375 272,884 149,558 96,625 8,550,335

2032 500,562 471,898 477,908 513,534 482,637 382,072 277,914 165,313 102,488 8,671,194

2033 512,362 474,350 476,627 499,622 496,213 397,742 285,716 178,595 109,472 8,793,156

2034 523,776 479,301 473,779 486,698 507,718 412,757 296,478 190,062 116,849 8,916,272

2035 535,003 485,445 472,317 477,355 513,134 427,510 309,809 201,167 124,344 9,040,692

2036 545,339 494,048 469,950 474,603 510,389 443,524 322,836 211,041 133,512 9,166,546

2037 556,186 502,980 471,044 474,484 501,400 456,419 337,756 216,102 147,336 9,293,982

2038 564,487 514,938 473,809 473,760 488,829 470,200 352,694 223,377 160,014 9,423,228

2039 575,831 526,513 479,035 471,509 477,194 482,019 367,110 232,948 171,593 9,554,390

2040 588,592 537,904 485,439 470,614 468,999 488,132 381,418 244,613 182,894 9,687,650

2041 601,367 548,427 494,292 468,827 467,126 486,483 396,866 256,055 194,418 9,823,183






Table 9

Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2013-2041 –high scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 349,050 357,251 362,190 425,737 473,266 462,821 460,447 452,124 474,072 512,863

2014 352,962 360,780 361,334 417,943 478,098 470,948 470,371 456,918 471,472 499,863

2015 358,420 364,529 361,187 409,334 479,561 481,226 480,417 461,821 470,435 490,168

2016 366,600 366,568 363,883 400,662 479,589 490,193 489,796 469,915 467,844 488,810

2017 375,935 367,576 368,662 395,585 475,714 500,221 498,347 478,987 469,634 488,009

2018 386,174 368,498 374,744 392,336 470,997 509,379 505,498 490,614 473,055 486,919

2019 394,945 373,213 378,906 392,451 464,762 515,187 514,793 501,436 478,570 484,867

2020 403,709 379,391 383,228 393,234 457,596 517,577 526,152 512,346 484,165 484,321

2021 412,411 388,214 385,803 396,802 450,297 518,428 536,130 522,529 492,868 482,189

2022 420,943 398,109 387,290 402,424 446,527 515,304 547,037 531,813 502,485 484,358

2023 429,243 408,794 388,601 409,316 444,477 511,164 556,840 539,538 514,499 488,063

2024 437,209 418,027 393,725 414,286 445,837 505,506 563,274 549,438 525,746 493,870

2025 444,756 427,266 400,308 419,450 447,896 498,910 566,363 561,383 537,082 499,758

2026 451,812 436,435 409,531 422,872 452,727 492,251 567,909 571,980 547,727 508,728

2027 458,323 445,466 419,834 425,179 459,644 489,123 565,538 583,509 557,489 518,629

2028 464,281 454,274 430,940 427,330 467,819 487,743 562,170 593,944 565,720 530,928

2029 469,681 462,754 440,595 433,306 474,093 489,786 557,347 601,051 576,127 542,459

2030 474,566 470,827 450,278 440,742 480,566 492,525 551,614 604,894 588,552 554,109

2031 479,050 478,414 459,901 450,850 485,286 498,073 545,861 607,200 599,649 565,090

2032 483,256 485,463 469,388 462,039 488,933 505,714 543,628 605,653 611,678 575,173

2033 487,361 491,960 478,664 474,046 492,421 514,622 543,165 603,152 622,649 583,758

2034 491,565 497,900 487,627 484,590 499,748 521,644 546,147 599,201 630,308 594,500

2035 496,060 503,327 496,171 495,178 508,575 528,870 549,836 594,371 634,733 607,258

2036 501,002 508,380 504,224 505,708 520,065 534,371 556,335 589,537 637,639 618,706

2037 506,545 513,163 511,748 516,128 532,640 538,834 564,950 588,199 636,737 631,084

2038 512,785 517,856 518,749 526,320 546,027 543,140 574,862 588,628 634,916 642,402

2039 519,788 522,669 525,214 536,190 557,967 551,313 582,917 592,498 631,661 650,445

2040 527,582 527,773 531,170 545,669 569,968 561,005 591,187 597,101 627,542 655,278

2041 536,181 533,329 536,753 554,669 581,926 573,375 597,767 604,498 623,448 658,607

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 536,474 476,968 406,338 341,600 254,545 201,396 162,432 112,432 68,239 6,890,245

2014 545,440 489,149 418,045 359,248 264,654 207,487 164,243 114,472 74,576 6,978,003

2015 548,701 501,381 432,284 377,031 274,841 213,372 166,219 117,036 80,625 7,068,588

2016 542,230 515,523 446,386 391,297 288,122 219,813 168,475 120,008 86,338 7,162,052

2017 532,109 526,043 461,608 394,979 311,849 228,067 171,229 122,699 91,235 7,258,488

2018 518,536 537,269 475,682 402,750 331,769 237,998 175,313 124,954 96,026 7,358,511

2019 506,104 546,625 488,278 414,766 349,193 247,946 181,212 126,880 100,362 7,460,496

2020 496,881 550,290 500,885 429,199 366,693 257,935 186,946 129,012 104,910 7,564,470

2021 495,868 544,264 515,286 443,452 380,859 270,833 193,164 131,463 109,625 7,670,485

2022 495,365 534,554 526,080 458,768 385,008 293,578 200,943 134,257 113,645 7,778,488

2023 494,519 521,389 537,503 472,939 393,037 312,743 210,246 138,094 117,413 7,888,418

2024 492,721 509,372 547,074 485,712 405,118 329,528 219,617 143,355 120,771 8,000,186

2025 492,425 500,534 551,077 498,516 419,542 346,325 229,005 148,504 124,600 8,113,700

2026 490,556 499,817 545,550 513,072 433,791 360,045 241,063 154,085 128,889 8,228,840

2027 492,951 499,593 536,371 524,108 449,067 364,668 262,062 160,885 133,025 8,345,464

2028 496,892 499,000 523,817 535,766 463,276 372,913 279,852 168,998 137,800 8,463,463

2029 502,917 497,484 512,424 545,627 476,160 384,940 295,394 177,237 143,332 8,582,714

2030 509,029 497,472 504,143 550,041 489,129 399,188 310,877 185,436 149,138 8,703,126

2031 518,199 495,917 503,841 545,142 503,776 413,259 323,635 195,950 155,566 8,824,659

2032 528,299 498,563 504,010 536,652 515,018 428,318 328,645 214,084 162,740 8,947,254

2033 540,788 502,727 503,804 524,893 526,897 442,379 336,898 229,485 171,273 9,070,942

2034 552,550 508,970 502,700 514,254 537,039 455,246 348,549 242,878 180,394 9,195,810

2035 564,413 515,322 503,069 506,704 541,912 468,248 362,233 256,038 189,577 9,321,895

2036 575,614 524,714 501,925 506,952 537,737 482,851 375,726 267,027 200,828 9,449,341

2037 585,944 535,017 504,933 507,601 530,087 494,214 390,131 272,188 218,141 9,578,284

2038 594,772 547,700 509,430 507,890 519,277 506,212 403,670 280,087 234,096 9,708,819

2039 605,765 559,647 515,996 507,270 509,600 516,542 416,191 290,792 248,687 9,841,152

2040 618,767 571,710 522,693 508,128 502,906 521,864 428,916 303,206 262,954 9,975,419

2041 630,476 583,125 532,379 507,511 503,730 518,544 443,098 315,439 276,929 10,111,784






Table 10

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 351,788 359,541 359,685 420,849 461,770 467,060 470,544 461,377 481,868 504,886

2014 354,922 362,838 360,888 415,492 470,418 473,197 480,099 466,408 479,415 496,887

2015 359,802 365,290 361,571 409,486 477,769 480,262 489,170 471,382 478,909 491,246

2016 366,349 366,348 364,938 402,958 483,603 486,667 495,935 479,655 477,014 491,165

2017 372,394 367,821 370,501 398,962 485,581 494,253 502,998 488,389 478,709 491,920

2018 379,048 369,066 376,889 396,985 484,826 503,416 508,239 499,626 481,852 490,786

2019 385,389 372,865 380,715 398,965 480,481 512,071 515,165 509,527 487,248 488,639

2020 391,687 378,385 383,814 400,519 475,533 519,430 523,358 519,225 492,799 488,529

2021 397,885 385,583 385,641 404,819 470,236 525,296 531,139 527,042 501,688 487,263

2022 404,003 392,246 387,780 411,265 467,507 527,358 539,963 535,031 511,038 489,488

2023 410,030 399,384 389,622 418,506 466,705 526,735 549,829 541,105 522,740 493,046

2024 415,811 406,159 393,874 423,211 469,750 522,556 558,777 548,863 533,100 498,754

2025 421,290 412,827 399,731 427,200 472,357 517,697 566,202 557,785 543,179 504,633

2026 426,408 419,337 407,176 429,888 477,678 512,454 571,911 566,167 551,395 513,665

2027 431,075 425,701 414,073 432,758 485,112 509,733 573,741 575,404 559,653 523,059

2028 435,217 431,899 421,368 435,266 493,335 508,835 572,962 585,361 565,921 534,680

2029 438,823 437,856 428,316 440,123 499,089 511,730 568,864 594,273 573,901 544,998

2030 441,894 443,502 435,159 446,542 504,178 514,276 564,128 601,620 583,028 555,068

2031 444,479 448,787 441,846 454,535 507,990 519,557 559,036 607,254 591,633 563,352

2032 446,673 453,637 448,382 462,029 511,910 526,939 556,479 609,127 601,083 571,611

2033 448,559 457,974 454,747 469,907 515,459 535,174 555,690 608,567 611,158 577,938

2034 450,259 461,788 460,872 477,441 521,295 541,006 558,600 604,886 620,073 585,991

2035 451,893 465,083 466,684 484,873 528,632 546,261 561,215 600,566 627,374 595,220

2036 453,597 467,907 472,136 492,151 537,549 550,253 566,507 595,901 632,990 603,922

2037 455,470 470,358 477,161 499,265 546,044 554,260 573,865 593,745 634,959 613,408

2038 457,646 472,516 481,676 506,208 554,892 557,918 582,108 593,278 634,610 623,422

2039 460,197 474,507 485,675 512,900 563,425 563,747 588,058 596,385 631,261 632,238

2040 463,165 476,440 489,174 519,285 571,838 571,010 593,496 599,228 627,235 639,464

2041 466,569 478,441 492,209 525,310 580,093 579,854 597,682 604,668 622,873 645,019

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 496,524 416,911 339,924 274,097 196,667 155,863 117,843 73,796 39,204 6,450,197

2014 508,686 431,609 349,988 290,409 204,584 160,491 120,606 76,324 43,258 6,546,519

2015 514,514 445,961 363,185 306,450 213,258 165,112 122,954 79,630 47,040 6,642,991

2016 513,301 461,120 376,789 319,219 225,605 169,655 125,350 83,009 50,824 6,739,504

2017 508,257 473,340 391,983 323,856 245,835 174,846 128,651 85,564 54,257 6,838,117

2018 500,129 487,234 407,302 331,297 263,319 181,662 132,197 88,052 57,858 6,939,783

2019 492,700 499,361 421,835 341,442 279,050 189,342 136,547 90,423 61,140 7,042,905

2020 487,602 505,411 436,079 354,574 294,546 197,705 140,913 92,573 64,809 7,147,491

2021 487,965 504,649 451,106 368,106 307,058 209,413 145,233 94,840 68,560 7,253,522

2022 489,136 500,089 463,278 383,074 311,997 228,375 150,128 97,716 71,546 7,361,018

2023 488,456 492,490 476,976 398,102 319,525 244,797 156,442 100,834 74,672 7,469,996

2024 486,748 485,574 488,968 412,366 329,611 259,565 163,508 104,567 77,576 7,579,338

2025 486,937 480,901 495,124 426,374 342,496 274,076 171,138 108,332 80,682 7,688,961

2026 485,977 481,498 494,689 441,123 355,726 285,911 181,674 112,075 84,006 7,798,758

2027 488,370 482,820 490,538 453,130 370,268 291,011 198,596 116,275 87,281 7,908,598

2028 492,009 482,352 483,462 466,573 384,847 298,486 213,271 121,636 90,873 8,018,353

2029 497,708 480,883 477,053 478,390 398,730 308,324 226,450 127,610 94,767 8,127,888

2030 503,592 481,243 472,811 484,652 412,414 320,763 239,365 134,017 98,845 8,237,097

2031 512,498 480,508 473,637 484,581 426,825 333,512 250,030 142,762 103,058 8,345,880

2032 521,765 483,021 475,147 480,907 438,644 347,427 255,101 156,728 107,558 8,454,168

2033 533,195 486,718 474,958 474,454 451,825 361,395 262,265 168,834 113,075 8,561,892

2034 543,369 492,408 473,809 468,627 463,473 374,743 271,516 179,658 119,203 8,669,017

2035 553,302 498,301 474,402 464,885 469,865 387,993 283,094 190,200 125,679 8,775,522

2036 561,520 507,103 473,946 466,014 470,187 401,940 294,928 199,025 133,848 8,881,424

2037 569,705 516,258 476,624 467,768 467,030 413,464 307,761 203,731 145,871 8,986,747

2038 576,015 527,508 480,439 467,929 461,253 426,281 320,662 210,153 156,994 9,091,508

2039 584,025 537,549 486,177 467,165 456,074 437,672 333,045 218,281 167,389 9,195,770

2040 593,177 547,354 492,133 468,066 452,892 444,171 345,474 228,343 177,653 9,299,598

2041 601,815 555,515 500,882 467,960 454,373 444,942 358,534 238,593 187,730 9,403,062




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario GREATER TORONTO AREA



Table 10.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 143,923 132,488 126,474 157,639 200,830 234,097 235,319 206,097 202,921 205,195

2014 146,320 134,317 125,574 154,605 202,651 234,304 241,029 211,052 202,362 202,244

2015 149,167 135,758 124,682 151,065 204,881 234,236 245,207 215,991 202,718 200,493

2016 152,425 136,437 125,060 147,989 206,319 233,626 247,061 222,002 202,837 200,767

2017 155,084 137,306 126,884 145,184 206,852 233,955 248,253 227,259 205,125 201,258

2018 157,710 138,135 128,976 143,176 205,937 235,698 247,816 233,364 207,705 201,049

2019 159,733 140,120 130,454 142,599 203,268 237,645 248,491 237,819 211,449 200,084

2020 161,522 142,595 131,701 142,079 200,139 239,809 249,530 241,449 215,382 200,106

2021 163,104 145,537 132,404 142,820 197,484 241,233 250,375 243,561 220,517 200,008

2022 164,542 148,014 133,290 144,886 195,395 241,545 251,998 245,360 225,249 201,907

2023 165,880 150,476 134,151 147,252 194,127 240,520 254,579 245,908 230,818 204,157

2024 167,087 152,443 135,953 149,028 194,290 237,766 256,992 247,368 235,052 207,431

2025 168,163 154,201 138,161 150,583 194,460 234,550 259,259 249,159 238,614 210,886

2026 169,112 155,766 140,770 151,625 195,902 231,585 260,651 250,675 240,878 215,436

2027 169,917 157,187 142,974 152,739 198,569 229,400 260,640 252,718 242,873 219,672

2028 170,563 158,490 145,152 153,770 201,548 228,042 259,383 255,359 243,718 224,675

2029 171,056 159,675 146,931 155,651 203,877 228,230 256,578 257,695 245,377 228,548

2030 171,397 160,742 148,538 157,925 206,015 228,423 253,464 259,737 247,366 231,879

2031 171,606 161,686 149,988 160,614 207,642 229,913 250,479 260,976 249,096 234,081

2032 171,712 162,499 151,308 162,952 209,252 232,546 248,384 260,855 251,271 236,040

2033 171,735 163,163 152,527 165,281 210,721 235,511 247,091 259,674 253,887 236,963

2034 171,709 163,682 153,638 167,265 213,037 237,691 247,318 257,140 256,116 238,642

2035 171,671 164,063 154,642 169,099 215,773 239,661 247,531 254,330 257,966 240,668

2036 171,661 164,317 155,532 170,793 218,998 241,088 248,916 251,578 259,080 242,438

2037 171,707 164,476 156,299 172,369 221,926 242,450 251,314 249,708 258,909 244,568

2038 171,853 164,556 156,932 173,850 224,859 243,660 254,040 248,551 257,786 247,032

2039 172,128 164,594 157,428 175,226 227,495 245,736 255,931 248,782 255,436 249,091

2040 172,545 164,617 157,800 176,495 229,993 248,280 257,594 248,971 252,805 250,759

2041 173,113 164,661 158,053 177,655 232,353 251,377 258,713 250,200 250,202 251,735

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 202,570 175,880 146,477 117,404 87,040 75,032 60,557 39,880 21,947 2,771,770

2014 206,376 180,758 150,017 124,116 88,953 75,846 60,838 40,762 24,032 2,806,156

2015 207,181 185,716 154,674 130,720 91,490 76,481 60,883 41,914 25,919 2,839,176

2016 205,956 190,153 159,905 135,810 95,775 77,009 60,903 42,978 27,754 2,870,766

2017 203,161 193,357 165,180 137,785 103,342 77,699 61,537 43,443 29,394 2,902,058

2018 199,196 197,614 170,538 140,386 110,316 78,891 62,123 43,899 31,117 2,933,646

2019 196,205 201,296 175,284 143,900 116,668 80,851 63,034 44,261 32,528 2,965,689

2020 194,382 202,218 180,120 148,473 122,922 83,355 63,823 44,488 34,035 2,998,128

2021 194,577 201,155 184,584 153,556 127,821 87,416 64,535 44,737 35,489 3,030,913

2022 195,094 198,591 187,883 158,706 129,848 94,440 65,403 45,409 36,459 3,064,019

2023 194,935 194,890 192,129 163,923 132,455 100,886 66,720 46,097 37,529 3,097,432

2024 194,063 192,042 195,796 168,575 135,915 106,758 68,661 47,012 38,388 3,130,620

2025 194,051 190,273 196,871 173,282 140,353 112,526 71,032 47,837 39,289 3,163,550

2026 193,855 190,448 195,951 177,692 145,215 117,088 74,721 48,603 40,224 3,196,197

2027 195,478 190,911 193,572 181,003 150,152 119,102 80,975 49,495 41,161 3,228,538

2028 197,438 190,702 190,116 185,151 155,136 121,673 86,667 50,753 42,216 3,260,552

2029 200,323 189,834 187,427 188,743 159,619 125,026 91,841 52,476 43,316 3,292,223

2030 203,370 189,765 185,739 189,928 164,156 129,282 96,886 54,511 44,406 3,323,529

2031 207,443 189,499 185,913 189,174 168,462 133,899 100,920 57,568 45,490 3,354,449

2032 211,304 190,918 186,340 187,026 171,753 138,599 102,874 62,668 46,667 3,384,968

2033 215,895 192,679 186,117 183,881 175,791 143,342 105,338 67,275 48,191 3,415,062

2034 219,493 195,304 185,297 181,421 179,302 147,655 108,498 71,451 50,048 3,444,707

2035 222,614 198,084 185,224 179,884 180,607 152,017 112,465 75,497 52,091 3,473,887

2036 224,712 201,857 184,945 180,104 180,045 156,214 116,721 78,777 54,817 3,502,593

2037 226,610 205,469 186,219 180,543 178,165 159,483 121,048 80,542 59,021 3,530,826

2038 227,553 209,782 187,830 180,366 175,369 163,418 125,410 82,741 63,003 3,558,591

2039 229,186 213,200 190,253 179,646 173,181 166,861 129,417 85,505 66,811 3,585,907

2040 231,138 216,191 192,834 179,625 171,832 168,299 133,506 88,937 70,578 3,612,799

2041 232,851 218,243 196,368 179,392 172,135 167,969 137,479 92,579 74,215 3,639,293




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario TORONTO



Table 10.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 35,305 38,000 40,339 47,147 46,838 39,165 39,757 42,289 45,568 52,818

2014 35,479 38,101 40,152 46,180 47,792 40,238 40,173 42,379 45,315 50,452

2015 35,685 38,455 39,959 45,134 48,090 41,521 40,845 42,543 45,151 48,795

2016 36,196 38,696 40,107 43,874 48,246 42,779 41,662 42,976 44,721 47,904

2017 36,866 38,662 40,419 43,277 47,760 44,226 42,498 43,466 44,702 47,334

2018 37,612 38,649 41,005 42,811 46,972 45,632 43,257 44,198 44,717 47,218

2019 38,291 38,949 41,230 42,721 46,153 46,624 44,367 44,925 45,006 47,024

2020 38,992 39,308 41,668 42,620 45,263 47,089 45,633 45,820 45,366 46,936

2021 39,697 39,965 41,982 42,867 44,188 47,409 46,875 46,777 46,018 46,608

2022 40,396 40,752 42,048 43,303 43,705 47,162 48,300 47,720 46,712 46,700

2023 41,083 41,609 42,127 43,992 43,342 46,625 49,718 48,520 47,649 46,833

2024 41,742 42,393 42,530 44,324 43,373 45,986 50,791 49,661 48,546 47,246

2025 42,361 43,189 43,009 44,842 43,383 45,254 51,421 50,959 49,562 47,729

2026 42,928 43,984 43,781 45,225 43,716 44,371 51,891 52,235 50,599 48,518

2027 43,429 44,768 44,661 45,386 44,271 44,002 51,823 53,689 51,614 49,343

2028 43,856 45,536 45,609 45,553 45,048 43,755 51,457 55,159 52,461 50,420

2029 44,208 46,274 46,479 46,050 45,501 43,908 50,912 56,318 53,644 51,432

2030 44,492 46,966 47,356 46,635 46,100 44,030 50,267 57,080 54,982 52,542

2031 44,712 47,610 48,226 47,505 46,562 44,467 49,503 57,662 56,296 53,643

2032 44,890 48,189 49,085 48,470 46,835 45,150 49,210 57,701 57,793 54,714

2033 45,040 48,693 49,922 49,503 47,111 46,028 49,066 57,439 59,318 55,609

2034 45,185 49,123 50,731 50,454 47,704 46,620 49,330 56,950 60,548 56,836

2035 45,341 49,482 51,490 51,412 48,397 47,322 49,575 56,365 61,408 58,221

2036 45,532 49,782 52,201 52,361 49,350 47,890 50,153 55,680 62,071 59,582

2037 45,768 50,034 52,850 53,294 50,386 48,293 50,989 55,444 62,198 61,125

2038 46,064 50,263 53,419 54,206 51,483 48,687 52,015 55,385 62,024 62,700

2039 46,428 50,484 53,911 55,087 52,514 49,379 52,766 55,747 61,594 63,992

2040 46,861 50,719 54,333 55,922 53,546 50,184 53,596 56,098 61,069 64,927

2041 47,368 50,983 54,696 56,704 54,569 51,240 54,291 56,796 60,455 65,658

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 55,238 44,425 34,933 28,101 19,356 14,515 10,915 6,850 3,484 645,043

2014 56,644 46,302 36,345 29,809 20,392 14,974 11,290 6,977 3,894 652,888

2015 57,090 48,173 38,039 31,467 21,627 15,435 11,596 7,174 4,252 661,031

2016 56,344 50,393 39,606 32,903 23,099 16,097 11,797 7,483 4,594 669,477

2017 54,971 51,971 41,646 33,323 25,539 16,843 12,158 7,705 4,913 678,279

2018 52,847 53,806 43,337 34,338 27,375 18,092 12,438 7,994 5,175 687,473

2019 50,699 55,217 45,204 35,753 29,071 19,106 12,895 8,285 5,436 696,956

2020 49,215 55,713 47,066 37,453 30,722 20,283 13,348 8,535 5,710 706,740

2021 48,479 55,087 49,239 39,047 32,158 21,697 13,959 8,733 6,044 716,829

2022 48,020 53,860 50,820 41,065 32,637 24,023 14,648 9,044 6,312 727,227

2023 47,951 51,941 52,642 42,776 33,663 25,815 15,746 9,301 6,594 737,927

2024 47,804 50,006 54,083 44,636 35,070 27,457 16,668 9,690 6,882 748,888

2025 47,776 48,692 54,648 46,496 36,761 29,054 17,719 10,073 7,160 760,088

2026 47,524 48,095 54,148 48,646 38,369 30,448 18,999 10,574 7,451 771,502

2027 47,691 47,745 53,069 50,245 40,362 30,983 21,100 11,140 7,777 783,098

2028 47,906 47,732 51,338 52,075 42,087 32,013 22,750 12,009 8,084 794,848

2029 48,398 47,639 49,591 53,552 43,942 33,397 24,239 12,760 8,482 806,726

2030 48,966 47,668 48,425 54,187 45,803 35,057 25,685 13,601 8,871 818,713

2031 49,846 47,484 47,951 53,799 47,933 36,651 26,957 14,639 9,345 830,791

2032 50,757 47,715 47,710 52,843 49,551 38,587 27,530 16,341 9,882 842,953

2033 51,919 48,000 47,750 51,270 51,393 40,299 28,532 17,696 10,603 855,191

2034 53,008 48,557 47,710 49,678 52,907 42,124 29,837 18,899 11,303 867,504

2035 54,180 49,190 47,795 48,634 53,612 43,962 31,396 20,064 12,045 879,891

2036 55,328 50,133 47,676 48,271 53,330 46,046 32,905 21,099 12,972 892,362

2037 56,443 51,108 47,970 48,121 52,492 47,667 34,705 21,651 14,387 904,925

2038 57,376 52,336 48,326 48,215 51,072 49,499 36,329 22,535 15,659 917,593

2039 58,638 53,486 48,951 48,227 49,642 51,031 38,048 23,656 16,795 930,376

2040 60,065 54,708 49,649 48,368 48,736 51,802 39,796 24,986 17,917 943,282

2041 61,464 55,895 50,657 48,313 48,489 51,640 41,758 26,282 19,062 956,320




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario DURHAM



Table 10.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 32,049 35,622 34,413 36,517 33,762 30,274 33,323 39,389 43,217 44,014

2014 31,897 36,071 35,358 36,930 35,128 30,948 33,703 39,335 43,464 43,573

2015 32,011 36,456 36,141 37,215 36,160 32,018 34,341 39,029 43,633 43,620

2016 32,199 36,653 37,240 37,167 37,306 33,146 35,059 39,269 43,218 44,248

2017 32,558 36,687 38,215 37,583 38,009 34,277 36,204 39,395 43,179 44,776

2018 33,084 36,533 39,271 38,147 38,570 35,569 37,219 39,835 43,366 45,069

2019 33,757 36,571 39,820 39,113 38,942 36,829 38,189 40,566 43,591 45,334

2020 34,503 36,878 40,283 39,922 39,225 37,791 39,442 41,483 43,594 45,575

2021 35,310 37,274 40,551 41,053 39,241 38,801 40,710 42,409 44,104 45,321

2022 36,173 37,799 40,684 42,097 39,671 39,409 41,996 43,632 44,518 45,413

2023 37,077 38,473 40,628 43,220 40,242 39,885 43,351 44,711 45,216 45,704

2024 38,002 39,268 40,791 43,847 41,206 40,149 44,632 45,824 46,123 46,068

2025 38,938 40,121 41,230 44,383 42,021 40,320 45,623 47,196 47,186 46,242

2026 39,865 41,024 41,775 44,724 43,132 40,297 46,581 48,569 48,225 46,892

2027 40,768 41,972 42,422 44,953 44,200 40,639 47,139 49,985 49,505 47,465

2028 41,628 42,948 43,211 45,009 45,350 41,109 47,546 51,444 50,638 48,312

2029 42,433 43,941 44,103 45,295 46,049 41,947 47,714 52,810 51,849 49,324

2030 43,177 44,933 45,048 45,855 46,643 42,651 47,798 53,894 53,310 50,472

2031 43,858 45,911 46,036 46,535 47,073 43,645 47,734 54,898 54,764 51,579

2032 44,477 46,859 47,061 47,306 47,424 44,672 47,998 55,485 56,275 52,891

2033 45,044 47,762 48,111 48,210 47,644 45,799 48,405 55,905 57,826 54,054

2034 45,574 48,608 49,170 49,208 48,081 46,551 49,197 56,061 59,264 55,323

2035 46,082 49,390 50,226 50,250 48,766 47,222 49,904 56,144 60,421 56,839

2036 46,591 50,109 51,261 51,332 49,577 47,763 50,915 56,092 61,479 58,339

2037 47,112 50,772 52,264 52,446 50,469 48,241 52,015 56,371 62,104 59,905

2038 47,664 51,387 53,218 53,581 51,479 48,619 53,226 56,803 62,551 61,502

2039 48,256 51,970 54,114 54,721 52,567 49,195 54,108 57,647 62,722 62,981

2040 48,891 52,535 54,947 55,857 53,691 49,996 54,932 58,424 62,825 64,189

2041 49,573 53,104 55,717 56,968 54,854 50,949 55,620 59,518 62,804 65,282

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 41,838 33,709 27,145 23,893 17,409 13,127 10,367 6,258 3,097 539,423

2014 43,150 35,261 27,892 24,857 18,423 13,649 10,577 6,526 3,493 550,235

2015 44,120 36,720 28,907 25,904 19,363 14,167 10,755 6,924 3,835 561,319

2016 44,277 38,572 29,906 26,732 20,528 14,692 10,951 7,318 4,194 572,675

2017 44,463 39,979 31,330 26,618 22,328 15,414 11,143 7,712 4,511 584,381

2018 44,398 41,370 32,743 27,032 23,696 16,272 11,526 7,933 4,865 596,498

2019 44,018 42,710 34,253 27,833 24,738 17,230 12,024 8,121 5,201 608,840

2020 44,067 43,697 35,687 28,900 25,844 18,129 12,523 8,305 5,583 621,431

2021 44,687 43,893 37,469 29,956 26,740 19,250 13,026 8,518 5,975 634,288

2022 45,223 44,052 38,853 31,395 26,760 20,986 13,702 8,722 6,341 647,426

2023 45,533 43,961 40,237 32,827 27,263 22,335 14,505 9,060 6,632 660,860

2024 45,808 43,615 41,560 34,337 28,134 23,393 15,396 9,488 6,891 674,532

2025 46,083 43,662 42,534 35,777 29,275 24,505 16,233 9,924 7,182 688,435

2026 45,927 44,265 42,760 37,538 30,396 25,426 17,278 10,364 7,515 702,553

2027 46,098 44,793 42,914 38,934 31,861 25,560 18,898 10,936 7,825 716,867

2028 46,455 45,108 42,829 40,340 33,319 26,125 20,179 11,623 8,182 731,355

2029 46,902 45,384 42,532 41,680 34,841 27,025 21,205 12,380 8,582 745,996

2030 47,179 45,692 42,589 42,669 36,306 28,180 22,271 13,095 9,014 760,776

2031 47,908 45,618 43,176 42,937 38,069 29,317 23,171 13,985 9,472 775,686

2032 48,571 45,863 43,707 43,107 39,479 30,754 23,396 15,375 10,014 790,714

2033 49,508 46,273 44,045 43,031 40,910 32,194 23,994 16,482 10,656 805,853

2034 50,577 46,780 44,348 42,761 42,271 33,682 24,891 17,378 11,377 821,102

2035 51,769 47,144 44,696 42,813 43,275 35,130 26,026 18,288 12,079 836,464

2036 52,911 47,932 44,706 43,391 43,569 36,844 27,144 19,075 12,917 851,947

2037 54,233 48,667 45,019 43,941 43,723 38,236 28,519 19,358 14,165 867,560

2038 55,412 49,669 45,485 44,317 43,639 39,658 29,903 19,942 15,255 883,310

2039 56,712 50,775 46,057 44,652 43,394 41,016 31,324 20,768 16,228 899,207

2040 58,251 51,997 46,503 45,036 43,463 42,019 32,724 21,798 17,182 915,260

2041 59,771 53,159 47,342 45,111 44,054 42,346 34,358 22,810 18,137 931,477




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HALTON



Table 10.4

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 80,252 87,055 89,155 101,359 103,037 95,086 96,039 99,695 104,368 110,949

2014 80,511 87,144 89,505 100,302 105,788 97,113 97,597 100,425 103,580 109,636

2015 81,620 86,819 89,522 99,412 107,818 99,742 99,373 100,712 103,608 108,066

2016 83,261 86,148 90,202 98,064 109,583 102,336 100,797 101,486 103,819 107,764

2017 84,599 86,114 91,368 97,013 110,238 105,359 102,445 102,923 104,173 107,789

2018 86,151 86,118 92,714 96,447 110,447 108,255 104,308 104,901 104,709 107,346

2019 87,744 86,764 93,184 97,055 109,747 110,928 106,449 106,823 105,774 106,862

2020 89,360 88,156 93,286 97,364 109,152 112,977 109,065 108,908 106,508 107,118

2021 90,984 90,040 93,035 98,331 108,164 114,763 111,623 110,658 107,739 107,513

2022 92,611 91,612 93,290 99,759 107,470 115,560 114,470 112,526 109,481 108,117

2023 94,234 93,326 93,537 101,334 107,201 115,865 117,215 114,379 111,734 108,872

2024 95,803 95,028 94,395 102,072 108,013 115,319 119,710 116,514 113,851 110,119

2025 97,300 96,723 95,923 102,463 108,557 114,798 121,681 119,029 116,054 111,091

2026 98,707 98,394 97,902 102,495 109,731 113,966 123,355 121,445 117,882 112,544

2027 100,000 100,043 99,575 102,952 111,329 113,444 124,128 124,082 119,770 114,395

2028 101,162 101,661 101,358 103,379 113,062 113,300 124,418 126,651 121,532 116,718

2029 102,190 103,226 103,111 104,397 114,031 114,132 123,960 128,989 123,589 118,874

2030 103,087 104,721 104,850 106,031 114,687 114,761 123,467 130,886 125,984 121,091

2031 103,869 106,126 106,559 108,092 115,000 115,980 122,749 132,473 128,287 122,934

2032 104,562 107,425 108,241 109,878 115,677 117,570 122,393 133,231 130,800 124,813

2033 105,188 108,598 109,885 111,762 116,320 119,302 122,383 133,531 133,290 126,529

2034 105,769 109,644 111,477 113,607 117,525 120,372 123,227 133,150 135,546 128,547

2035 106,331 110,564 112,996 115,434 119,276 121,179 123,907 132,711 137,393 130,892

2036 106,896 111,374 114,427 117,226 121,430 121,682 125,140 132,098 138,930 133,142

2037 107,488 112,100 115,752 118,987 123,348 122,474 126,743 131,864 139,693 135,582

2038 108,133 112,760 116,952 120,711 125,354 123,231 128,498 131,956 140,018 138,016

2039 108,842 113,379 118,029 122,377 127,318 124,480 129,688 132,831 139,700 140,210

2040 109,626 113,983 118,985 123,973 129,261 126,168 130,679 133,580 139,292 142,024

2041 110,491 114,593 119,833 125,480 131,168 128,210 131,391 134,856 138,734 143,523

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 106,489 87,336 70,240 55,984 38,975 27,628 18,144 10,673 5,403 1,387,867

2014 109,495 90,655 72,682 59,310 41,396 29,277 19,078 11,286 5,930 1,410,710

2015 111,382 94,073 75,940 62,626 43,601 31,046 20,107 11,954 6,552 1,433,973

2016 111,699 97,858 78,903 65,463 46,455 32,735 21,221 12,575 7,232 1,457,601

2017 111,089 101,199 82,325 66,871 50,589 34,587 22,408 13,192 7,828 1,482,109

2018 109,987 104,737 85,922 68,735 54,011 36,814 23,749 13,831 8,455 1,507,637

2019 108,887 107,766 89,275 71,168 57,168 39,095 25,180 14,562 9,041 1,533,472

2020 107,611 109,695 92,698 74,360 60,335 41,211 26,717 15,373 9,730 1,559,624

2021 107,547 110,104 96,436 77,313 63,066 43,916 28,191 16,246 10,425 1,586,094

2022 107,747 109,606 99,702 80,655 64,458 47,820 29,793 17,163 11,053 1,612,893

2023 107,490 108,592 103,131 84,119 66,282 51,085 31,716 18,198 11,719 1,640,029

2024 107,164 107,589 106,087 87,356 68,637 54,084 33,695 19,315 12,424 1,667,175

2025 107,499 106,475 107,975 90,667 71,671 57,075 35,561 20,522 13,254 1,694,318

2026 107,917 106,515 108,409 94,248 74,509 59,659 37,938 21,684 14,137 1,721,437

2027 108,592 106,790 107,973 97,359 77,697 61,036 41,387 22,949 15,001 1,748,502

2028 109,414 106,623 107,031 100,636 80,990 62,813 44,292 24,475 15,969 1,775,484

2029 110,699 106,373 106,114 103,475 84,082 65,087 46,947 26,056 17,017 1,802,349

2030 111,748 106,734 105,147 105,305 87,233 67,985 49,583 27,569 18,208 1,829,077

2031 113,266 107,148 105,282 105,759 90,632 70,724 51,880 29,491 19,397 1,855,648

2032 115,127 107,852 105,626 105,391 93,593 73,772 53,177 32,287 20,640 1,882,055

2033 117,444 108,701 105,557 104,551 96,723 76,910 54,830 34,656 22,129 1,908,289

2034 119,584 109,996 105,391 103,757 99,458 79,870 56,917 36,815 23,702 1,934,354

2035 121,772 111,084 105,786 102,963 101,242 82,906 59,554 38,956 25,303 1,960,249

2036 123,593 112,638 106,204 103,207 101,744 86,164 62,059 40,838 27,185 1,985,977

2037 125,441 114,496 106,944 103,620 101,486 88,999 64,822 41,974 29,725 2,011,538

2038 127,104 116,790 107,831 103,646 100,771 92,005 67,661 43,402 32,087 2,036,926

2039 129,073 118,908 109,139 103,574 100,095 94,649 70,353 45,187 34,313 2,062,145

2040 131,346 121,058 110,274 104,024 99,441 96,407 73,147 47,412 36,521 2,087,201

2041 133,526 122,856 111,866 104,483 99,768 96,953 76,123 49,538 38,714 2,112,106




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PEEL



Table 10.5

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 60,259 66,376 69,304 78,187 77,303 68,438 66,106 73,907 85,794 91,910

2014 60,715 67,205 70,299 77,475 79,059 70,594 67,597 73,217 84,694 90,982

2015 61,319 67,802 71,267 76,660 80,820 72,745 69,404 73,107 83,799 90,272

2016 62,268 68,414 72,329 75,864 82,149 74,780 71,356 73,922 82,419 90,482

2017 63,287 69,052 73,615 75,905 82,722 76,436 73,598 75,346 81,530 90,763

2018 64,491 69,631 74,923 76,404 82,900 78,262 75,639 77,328 81,355 90,104

2019 65,864 70,461 76,027 77,477 82,371 80,045 77,669 79,394 81,428 89,335

2020 67,310 71,448 76,876 78,534 81,754 81,764 79,688 81,565 81,949 88,794

2021 68,790 72,767 77,669 79,748 81,159 83,090 81,556 83,637 83,310 87,813

2022 70,281 74,069 78,468 81,220 81,266 83,682 83,199 85,793 85,078 87,351

2023 71,756 75,500 79,179 82,708 81,793 83,840 84,966 87,587 87,323 87,480

2024 73,177 77,027 80,205 83,940 82,868 83,336 86,652 89,496 89,528 87,890

2025 74,528 78,593 81,408 84,929 83,936 82,775 88,218 91,442 91,763 88,685

2026 75,796 80,169 82,948 85,819 85,197 82,235 89,433 93,243 93,811 90,275

2027 76,961 81,731 84,441 86,728 86,743 82,248 90,011 94,930 95,891 92,184

2028 78,008 83,264 86,038 87,555 88,327 82,629 90,158 96,748 97,572 94,555

2029 78,936 84,740 87,692 88,730 89,631 83,513 89,700 98,461 99,442 96,820

2030 79,741 86,140 89,367 90,096 90,733 84,411 89,132 100,023 101,386 99,084

2031 80,434 87,454 91,037 91,789 91,713 85,552 88,571 101,245 103,190 101,115

2032 81,032 88,665 92,687 93,423 92,722 87,001 88,494 101,855 104,944 103,153

2033 81,552 89,758 94,302 95,151 93,663 88,534 88,745 102,018 106,837 104,783

2034 82,022 90,731 95,856 96,907 94,948 89,772 89,528 101,585 108,599 106,643

2035 82,468 91,584 97,330 98,678 96,420 90,877 90,298 101,016 110,186 108,600

2036 82,917 92,325 98,715 100,439 98,194 91,830 91,383 100,453 111,430 110,421

2037 83,395 92,976 99,996 102,169 99,915 92,802 92,804 100,358 112,055 112,228

2038 83,932 93,550 101,155 103,860 101,717 93,721 94,329 100,583 112,231 114,172

2039 84,543 94,080 102,193 105,489 103,531 94,957 95,565 101,378 111,809 115,964

2040 85,242 94,586 103,109 107,038 105,347 96,382 96,695 102,155 111,244 117,565

2041 86,024 95,100 103,910 108,503 107,149 98,078 97,667 103,298 110,678 118,821

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 90,389 75,561 61,129 48,715 33,887 25,561 17,860 10,135 5,273 1,106,094

2014 93,021 78,633 63,052 52,317 35,420 26,745 18,823 10,773 5,909 1,126,530

2015 94,741 81,279 65,625 55,733 37,177 27,983 19,613 11,664 6,482 1,147,492

2016 95,025 84,144 68,469 58,311 39,748 29,122 20,478 12,655 7,050 1,168,985

2017 94,573 86,834 71,502 59,259 44,037 30,303 21,405 13,512 7,611 1,191,290

2018 93,701 89,707 74,762 60,806 47,921 31,593 22,361 14,395 8,246 1,214,529

2019 92,891 92,372 77,819 62,788 51,405 33,060 23,414 15,194 8,934 1,237,948

2020 92,327 94,088 80,508 65,388 54,723 34,727 24,502 15,872 9,751 1,261,568

2021 92,675 94,410 83,378 68,234 57,273 37,134 25,522 16,606 10,627 1,285,398

2022 93,052 93,980 86,020 71,253 58,294 41,106 26,582 17,378 11,381 1,309,453

2023 92,547 93,106 88,837 74,457 59,862 44,676 27,755 18,178 12,198 1,333,748

2024 91,909 92,322 91,442 77,462 61,855 47,873 29,088 19,062 12,991 1,358,123

2025 91,528 91,799 93,096 80,152 64,436 50,916 30,593 19,976 13,797 1,382,570

2026 90,754 92,175 93,421 82,999 67,237 53,290 32,738 20,850 14,679 1,407,069

2027 90,511 92,581 93,010 85,589 70,196 54,330 36,236 21,755 15,517 1,431,593

2028 90,796 92,187 92,148 88,371 73,315 55,862 39,383 22,776 16,422 1,456,114

2029 91,386 91,653 91,389 90,940 76,246 57,789 42,218 23,938 17,370 1,480,594

2030 92,329 91,384 90,911 92,563 78,916 60,259 44,940 25,241 18,346 1,505,002

2031 94,035 90,759 91,315 92,912 81,729 62,921 47,102 27,079 19,354 1,529,306

2032 96,006 90,673 91,764 92,540 84,268 65,715 48,124 30,057 20,355 1,553,478

2033 98,429 91,065 91,489 91,721 87,008 68,650 49,571 32,725 21,496 1,577,497

2034 100,707 91,771 91,063 91,010 89,535 71,412 51,373 35,115 22,773 1,601,350

2035 102,967 92,799 90,901 90,591 91,129 73,978 53,653 37,395 24,161 1,625,031

2036 104,976 94,543 90,415 91,041 91,499 76,672 56,099 39,236 25,957 1,648,545

2037 106,978 96,518 90,472 91,543 91,164 79,079 58,667 40,206 28,573 1,671,898

2038 108,570 98,931 90,967 91,385 90,402 81,701 61,359 41,533 30,990 1,695,088

2039 110,416 101,180 91,777 91,066 89,762 84,115 63,903 43,165 33,242 1,718,135

2040 112,377 103,400 92,873 91,013 89,420 85,644 66,301 45,210 35,455 1,741,056

2041 114,203 105,362 94,649 90,661 89,927 86,034 68,816 47,384 37,602 1,763,866




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario YORK



Table 11

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 148,681 153,719 160,162 189,112 205,373 183,835 175,148 173,649 187,741 215,590

2014 148,710 154,338 158,484 184,518 206,530 186,843 178,349 173,814 185,064 206,931

2015 149,011 155,419 157,088 179,708 205,578 190,901 181,284 174,681 182,542 200,202

2016 150,298 155,859 157,117 174,500 203,665 194,661 184,351 176,455 179,427 197,184

2017 152,174 155,700 157,650 171,257 199,829 199,121 186,911 178,655 178,535 194,756

2018 154,129 155,393 159,111 168,579 196,358 202,613 188,504 181,924 178,291 192,870

2019 156,073 155,609 159,917 167,155 192,291 204,257 191,589 185,313 178,742 190,405

2020 157,930 156,127 161,106 165,991 187,925 203,977 195,693 188,483 179,766 188,121

2021 159,666 157,589 161,662 166,245 183,162 202,794 199,533 191,687 181,759 185,172

2022 161,251 159,590 161,608 167,029 180,277 199,710 204,035 194,437 184,094 184,426

2023 162,679 161,656 161,388 168,711 177,936 196,696 207,760 196,185 187,466 184,308

2024 163,878 163,712 161,703 169,688 176,890 193,071 209,763 199,307 190,912 184,904

2025 164,826 165,692 162,332 171,008 176,074 189,069 209,956 203,431 194,162 185,994

2026 165,517 167,561 163,882 171,690 176,615 184,686 209,262 207,292 197,379 188,095

2027 165,931 169,265 165,952 171,766 177,714 182,091 206,670 211,775 200,170 190,530

2028 166,052 170,802 168,083 171,647 179,682 180,025 203,965 215,596 201,992 193,997

2029 165,923 172,132 170,209 172,082 180,891 179,280 200,578 217,789 205,109 197,516

2030 165,569 173,216 172,263 172,874 182,395 178,705 196,798 218,261 209,221 200,846

2031 165,054 174,036 174,208 174,569 183,249 179,435 192,679 217,850 213,064 204,101

2032 164,460 174,578 175,999 176,776 183,493 180,740 190,269 215,545 217,511 206,979

2033 163,841 174,830 177,623 179,039 183,569 182,845 188,413 213,030 221,392 208,881

2034 163,264 174,826 179,031 181,304 184,204 184,159 187,881 209,790 223,703 212,036

2035 162,781 174,600 180,197 183,489 185,242 185,689 187,481 206,149 224,358 216,144

2036 162,438 174,199 181,114 185,569 187,130 186,575 188,358 202,200 224,128 220,003

2037 162,250 173,716 181,745 187,488 189,485 186,883 189,844 199,902 222,016 224,474

2038 162,250 173,202 182,078 189,253 191,889 187,033 192,085 198,176 219,635 228,437

2039 162,456 172,715 182,165 190,799 194,322 187,739 193,501 197,810 216,509 230,861

2040 162,866 172,319 182,020 192,110 196,666 188,878 195,068 197,541 213,005 231,651

2041 163,463 172,054 181,683 193,177 198,907 190,830 196,015 198,553 209,205 231,562

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 234,057 209,675 180,163 155,339 114,190 87,347 68,732 43,512 22,946 2,908,971

2014 237,807 214,898 185,167 161,641 119,473 89,414 69,259 44,669 25,125 2,931,034

2015 239,061 219,907 191,316 167,982 124,289 91,572 70,091 45,781 27,201 2,953,614

2016 235,428 226,121 197,166 173,348 129,624 94,460 70,816 47,055 29,170 2,976,705

2017 228,860 230,873 203,156 173,868 139,941 98,500 71,516 48,228 30,954 3,000,484

2018 220,414 235,405 208,881 176,446 147,985 103,544 72,948 49,109 32,611 3,025,115

2019 211,976 239,299 214,283 181,523 154,274 108,551 75,014 49,718 34,210 3,050,199

2020 205,448 240,670 219,493 187,734 160,582 113,175 77,164 50,593 35,750 3,075,728

2021 202,622 237,228 225,868 193,679 165,930 118,363 79,925 51,418 37,372 3,101,674

2022 200,359 230,909 230,774 199,825 166,801 128,185 83,634 52,230 38,839 3,128,013

2023 198,540 222,711 235,495 205,715 169,641 135,952 88,224 53,569 40,073 3,154,705

2024 196,160 214,520 239,564 211,271 174,800 142,105 92,773 55,372 41,182 3,181,575

2025 194,008 208,223 241,095 216,648 181,048 148,248 97,009 57,254 42,459 3,208,536

2026 191,184 205,560 237,884 223,131 187,045 153,478 101,822 59,619 43,806 3,235,508

2027 190,524 203,472 231,852 228,158 193,295 154,722 110,763 62,681 45,073 3,262,404

2028 190,499 201,751 223,973 233,064 199,295 157,783 117,927 66,443 46,575 3,289,151

2029 191,213 199,472 216,121 237,315 204,980 162,935 123,645 70,164 48,323 3,315,677

2030 192,393 197,446 210,118 239,047 210,510 169,103 129,298 73,632 50,225 3,341,920

2031 194,628 194,743 207,687 236,152 217,072 175,045 134,147 77,616 52,503 3,367,838

2032 197,168 194,180 205,809 230,519 222,212 181,274 135,737 84,983 55,180 3,393,412

2033 200,768 194,253 204,212 223,075 227,281 187,280 138,922 90,925 58,435 3,418,614

2034 204,392 195,082 202,080 215,665 231,708 192,997 143,892 95,631 61,793 3,443,438

2035 207,834 196,349 200,234 210,050 233,671 198,589 149,776 100,202 65,058 3,467,893

2036 211,154 198,695 197,707 207,923 231,171 205,135 155,442 104,158 68,900 3,491,999

2037 214,118 201,338 197,270 206,305 226,030 210,337 161,422 105,934 75,231 3,515,788

2038 216,104 205,045 197,469 204,909 219,147 215,523 167,221 108,978 80,884 3,539,318

2039 219,316 208,742 198,436 202,981 212,339 220,089 172,770 113,372 85,672 3,562,594

2040 223,498 212,271 199,815 201,366 207,267 222,306 178,240 118,486 90,266 3,585,639

2041 227,423 215,653 202,294 199,074 205,532 220,311 184,558 123,384 94,786 3,608,464




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario CENTRAL ONTARIO



Table 11.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 8,014 8,107 8,516 9,453 9,413 8,789 8,714 8,841 9,047 10,300

2014 7,943 8,215 8,402 9,283 9,570 8,839 8,745 8,921 8,954 9,848

2015 7,913 8,265 8,343 9,087 9,664 8,919 8,848 8,881 8,996 9,518

2016 7,938 8,372 8,281 8,878 9,717 9,007 8,975 8,858 8,956 9,400

2017 8,010 8,366 8,311 8,757 9,590 9,291 9,047 8,847 8,995 9,250

2018 8,074 8,372 8,385 8,742 9,417 9,486 9,108 8,890 9,029 9,150

2019 8,168 8,337 8,506 8,643 9,268 9,658 9,207 8,944 9,115 9,051

2020 8,254 8,335 8,574 8,597 9,097 9,749 9,342 9,048 9,106 9,069

2021 8,333 8,382 8,685 8,555 8,908 9,791 9,480 9,175 9,115 9,020

2022 8,406 8,469 8,691 8,596 8,801 9,681 9,757 9,267 9,132 9,053

2023 8,473 8,541 8,701 8,683 8,783 9,523 9,953 9,337 9,200 9,087

2024 8,525 8,641 8,677 8,802 8,707 9,381 10,111 9,448 9,276 9,173

2025 8,564 8,737 8,683 8,878 8,679 9,211 10,192 9,594 9,394 9,180

2026 8,590 8,829 8,736 8,987 8,662 9,020 10,222 9,743 9,528 9,206

2027 8,603 8,910 8,827 9,002 8,717 8,915 10,113 10,013 9,629 9,241

2028 8,601 8,984 8,906 9,019 8,815 8,881 9,963 10,217 9,706 9,327

2029 8,591 9,043 9,013 9,008 8,935 8,817 9,817 10,373 9,825 9,420

2030 8,572 9,091 9,118 9,025 9,025 8,792 9,648 10,451 9,986 9,545

2031 8,548 9,125 9,218 9,087 9,128 8,799 9,458 10,483 10,147 9,687

2032 8,525 9,145 9,305 9,189 9,154 8,862 9,355 10,381 10,414 9,798

2033 8,507 9,151 9,385 9,278 9,182 8,969 9,313 10,245 10,622 9,882

2034 8,491 9,148 9,449 9,394 9,192 9,079 9,269 10,104 10,778 10,009

2035 8,483 9,135 9,501 9,509 9,228 9,173 9,251 9,936 10,857 10,174

2036 8,484 9,116 9,541 9,618 9,301 9,271 9,277 9,752 10,886 10,342

2037 8,493 9,097 9,568 9,711 9,413 9,301 9,350 9,653 10,787 10,606

2038 8,512 9,080 9,582 9,796 9,515 9,331 9,467 9,611 10,656 10,817

2039 8,543 9,065 9,584 9,869 9,640 9,353 9,574 9,577 10,513 10,972

2040 8,584 9,057 9,573 9,933 9,762 9,396 9,670 9,565 10,345 11,052

2041 8,635 9,059 9,557 9,984 9,877 9,480 9,761 9,604 10,162 11,081

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 10,933 10,319 8,784 7,225 5,158 3,933 3,037 2,027 1,076 141,686

2014 11,080 10,423 9,183 7,473 5,417 4,036 3,092 2,033 1,172 142,629

2015 11,070 10,517 9,552 7,829 5,620 4,121 3,165 2,047 1,264 143,619

2016 10,844 10,666 9,832 8,248 5,796 4,267 3,182 2,091 1,346 144,654

2017 10,586 10,702 10,162 8,357 6,266 4,431 3,207 2,118 1,445 145,738

2018 10,208 10,808 10,360 8,571 6,680 4,652 3,289 2,150 1,507 146,878

2019 9,778 10,953 10,499 8,967 6,914 4,891 3,392 2,200 1,554 148,045

2020 9,466 10,949 10,624 9,344 7,239 5,089 3,482 2,263 1,609 149,236

2021 9,355 10,738 10,799 9,636 7,622 5,266 3,621 2,289 1,676 150,446

2022 9,219 10,491 10,860 9,971 7,734 5,706 3,776 2,322 1,739 151,671

2023 9,126 10,124 10,985 10,186 7,948 6,097 3,980 2,394 1,786 152,907

2024 9,031 9,711 11,143 10,343 8,322 6,334 4,202 2,483 1,837 154,147

2025 9,044 9,411 11,150 10,489 8,683 6,649 4,385 2,562 1,904 155,389

2026 8,995 9,309 10,950 10,685 8,970 7,008 4,557 2,678 1,952 156,627

2027 9,024 9,186 10,706 10,770 9,298 7,128 4,963 2,806 2,008 157,859

2028 9,061 9,104 10,344 10,914 9,524 7,340 5,323 2,975 2,079 159,083

2029 9,146 9,016 9,939 11,085 9,698 7,697 5,549 3,158 2,167 160,297

2030 9,165 9,020 9,644 11,106 9,863 8,048 5,836 3,310 2,254 161,499

2031 9,205 8,967 9,544 10,918 10,074 8,334 6,156 3,456 2,356 162,690

2032 9,256 8,997 9,431 10,678 10,182 8,657 6,283 3,789 2,470 163,871

2033 9,356 9,037 9,354 10,332 10,342 8,891 6,495 4,085 2,617 165,043

2034 9,459 9,126 9,270 9,948 10,523 9,080 6,831 4,273 2,782 166,205

2035 9,592 9,154 9,273 9,674 10,563 9,264 7,160 4,504 2,928 167,359

2036 9,736 9,206 9,220 9,590 10,403 9,490 7,435 4,759 3,078 168,505

2037 9,854 9,269 9,251 9,488 10,193 9,626 7,739 4,883 3,360 169,642

2038 9,941 9,380 9,294 9,419 9,881 9,801 7,979 5,079 3,634 170,775

2039 10,073 9,493 9,387 9,342 9,540 9,993 8,177 5,359 3,848 171,902

2040 10,247 9,634 9,422 9,352 9,296 10,056 8,371 5,640 4,069 173,024

2041 10,421 9,781 9,486 9,307 9,229 9,932 8,603 5,876 4,308 174,143




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario BRANT



Table 11.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,203 3,428 3,885 4,690 4,094 3,254 3,201 3,677 4,386 5,006

2014 3,154 3,474 3,813 4,567 4,217 3,298 3,270 3,577 4,282 4,814

2015 3,150 3,509 3,722 4,416 4,308 3,375 3,343 3,515 4,132 4,685

2016 3,184 3,530 3,687 4,198 4,367 3,468 3,435 3,528 3,920 4,655

2017 3,232 3,534 3,666 4,095 4,325 3,567 3,552 3,517 3,841 4,578

2018 3,281 3,541 3,674 3,971 4,263 3,710 3,661 3,549 3,735 4,537

2019 3,346 3,515 3,722 3,915 4,156 3,811 3,737 3,635 3,658 4,448

2020 3,416 3,529 3,758 3,841 4,035 3,881 3,833 3,729 3,606 4,319

2021 3,486 3,578 3,780 3,819 3,866 3,931 3,932 3,831 3,623 4,133

2022 3,555 3,636 3,788 3,813 3,783 3,906 4,039 3,945 3,629 4,065

2023 3,623 3,692 3,796 3,831 3,694 3,868 4,170 4,042 3,675 3,980

2024 3,685 3,763 3,780 3,878 3,659 3,792 4,272 4,122 3,757 3,921

2025 3,742 3,837 3,802 3,912 3,613 3,706 4,342 4,224 3,845 3,884

2026 3,791 3,911 3,855 3,934 3,606 3,588 4,389 4,328 3,937 3,910

2027 3,831 3,984 3,915 3,942 3,614 3,529 4,380 4,438 4,041 3,926

2028 3,861 4,054 3,976 3,952 3,644 3,471 4,351 4,565 4,129 3,983

2029 3,884 4,119 4,049 3,949 3,690 3,453 4,289 4,664 4,209 4,067

2030 3,897 4,178 4,125 3,979 3,723 3,426 4,211 4,732 4,310 4,155

2031 3,903 4,229 4,200 4,038 3,744 3,433 4,108 4,779 4,410 4,246

2032 3,902 4,272 4,275 4,101 3,754 3,455 4,057 4,771 4,515 4,349

2033 3,898 4,304 4,347 4,164 3,769 3,496 4,005 4,742 4,637 4,437

2034 3,893 4,328 4,412 4,239 3,777 3,539 3,995 4,681 4,733 4,519

2035 3,888 4,345 4,471 4,315 3,812 3,570 3,978 4,608 4,801 4,620

2036 3,884 4,354 4,524 4,390 3,869 3,589 3,995 4,516 4,849 4,720

2037 3,883 4,357 4,568 4,465 3,932 3,602 4,029 4,467 4,844 4,826

2038 3,886 4,357 4,601 4,536 3,994 3,618 4,078 4,423 4,820 4,950

2039 3,895 4,356 4,626 4,600 4,066 3,634 4,122 4,421 4,766 5,051

2040 3,910 4,356 4,644 4,660 4,135 3,671 4,158 4,412 4,704 5,118

2041 3,930 4,357 4,654 4,713 4,204 3,727 4,182 4,441 4,623 5,163

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 5,066 3,859 3,308 2,809 1,827 1,372 956 560 332 58,913

2014 5,203 4,053 3,388 2,920 1,900 1,451 1,017 568 355 59,321

2015 5,310 4,215 3,458 3,039 2,064 1,482 1,058 616 364 59,761

2016 5,289 4,411 3,532 3,168 2,205 1,515 1,109 653 380 60,234

2017 5,185 4,597 3,608 3,187 2,432 1,596 1,164 662 405 60,743

2018 5,016 4,788 3,700 3,234 2,606 1,692 1,233 676 427 61,294

2019 4,850 4,918 3,878 3,325 2,721 1,764 1,312 717 441 61,869

2020 4,740 5,018 4,030 3,411 2,843 1,912 1,352 750 466 62,469

2021 4,718 5,001 4,212 3,501 2,967 2,042 1,395 790 492 63,097

2022 4,653 4,905 4,381 3,595 2,996 2,250 1,474 832 508 63,753

2023 4,614 4,753 4,564 3,696 3,049 2,417 1,567 881 526 64,438

2024 4,535 4,607 4,692 3,867 3,142 2,534 1,644 942 556 65,148

2025 4,428 4,510 4,788 4,019 3,235 2,658 1,778 974 584 65,881

2026 4,266 4,496 4,775 4,198 3,329 2,783 1,902 1,011 621 66,630

2027 4,212 4,445 4,697 4,363 3,431 2,814 2,100 1,075 652 67,389

2028 4,142 4,413 4,563 4,540 3,540 2,871 2,259 1,148 692 68,154

2029 4,096 4,349 4,432 4,671 3,703 2,966 2,377 1,213 740 68,920

2030 4,074 4,261 4,343 4,765 3,851 3,066 2,498 1,315 774 69,683

2031 4,108 4,128 4,332 4,756 4,021 3,166 2,618 1,407 814 70,440

2032 4,135 4,088 4,297 4,685 4,173 3,273 2,657 1,565 866 71,190

2033 4,198 4,036 4,274 4,560 4,341 3,386 2,721 1,692 928 71,935

2034 4,287 4,007 4,221 4,441 4,467 3,542 2,815 1,783 994 72,673

2035 4,379 3,996 4,150 4,362 4,556 3,685 2,923 1,875 1,071 73,405

2036 4,472 4,033 4,042 4,356 4,551 3,852 3,029 1,964 1,145 74,134

2037 4,571 4,070 4,011 4,331 4,487 4,001 3,143 2,004 1,271 74,862

2038 4,655 4,139 3,972 4,313 4,378 4,161 3,263 2,065 1,380 75,589

2039 4,736 4,226 3,957 4,266 4,276 4,286 3,417 2,147 1,467 76,315

2040 4,841 4,315 3,956 4,207 4,211 4,377 3,562 2,242 1,561 77,040

2041 4,945 4,405 4,000 4,112 4,214 4,380 3,727 2,335 1,652 77,764




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario DUFFERIN



Table 11.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,418 5,546 6,266 7,514 7,059 5,762 5,416 5,483 6,571 7,936

2014 5,424 5,487 6,024 7,293 7,110 5,761 5,488 5,355 6,241 7,449

2015 5,395 5,514 5,832 7,037 7,099 5,801 5,516 5,343 5,863 7,108

2016 5,392 5,469 5,815 6,716 7,023 5,873 5,591 5,287 5,570 6,843

2017 5,366 5,531 5,697 6,494 6,898 5,941 5,694 5,322 5,353 6,578

2018 5,330 5,593 5,642 6,349 6,675 6,015 5,768 5,402 5,199 6,356

2019 5,360 5,612 5,604 6,139 6,503 6,071 5,822 5,506 5,113 6,076

2020 5,389 5,599 5,633 5,971 6,295 6,065 5,907 5,565 5,119 5,752

2021 5,415 5,608 5,599 5,957 6,030 6,007 6,000 5,651 5,091 5,492

2022 5,433 5,597 5,649 5,860 5,852 5,901 6,090 5,747 5,124 5,311

2023 5,444 5,573 5,696 5,819 5,726 5,729 6,169 5,802 5,198 5,181

2024 5,445 5,606 5,708 5,791 5,567 5,585 6,217 5,853 5,288 5,110

2025 5,434 5,637 5,695 5,821 5,437 5,411 6,209 5,936 5,342 5,112

2026 5,410 5,666 5,702 5,798 5,426 5,201 6,154 6,025 5,417 5,090

2027 5,373 5,689 5,699 5,837 5,358 5,064 6,046 6,116 5,495 5,122

2028 5,324 5,702 5,685 5,873 5,338 4,964 5,889 6,195 5,537 5,192

2029 5,267 5,705 5,718 5,878 5,321 4,850 5,746 6,241 5,584 5,273

2030 5,203 5,696 5,750 5,865 5,347 4,757 5,579 6,231 5,665 5,326

2031 5,137 5,673 5,780 5,871 5,335 4,750 5,391 6,179 5,745 5,395

2032 5,069 5,639 5,802 5,874 5,361 4,707 5,267 6,074 5,829 5,468

2033 5,004 5,594 5,817 5,867 5,382 4,704 5,176 5,926 5,903 5,503

2034 4,944 5,542 5,820 5,902 5,375 4,697 5,083 5,789 5,944 5,547

2035 4,891 5,482 5,814 5,934 5,361 4,717 5,005 5,632 5,936 5,621

2036 4,846 5,419 5,793 5,964 5,368 4,708 4,998 5,458 5,887 5,698

2037 4,807 5,356 5,761 5,988 5,374 4,717 4,973 5,343 5,787 5,783

2038 4,775 5,295 5,718 6,003 5,375 4,722 4,984 5,257 5,653 5,858

2039 4,753 5,238 5,669 6,009 5,404 4,706 4,984 5,180 5,524 5,902

2040 4,736 5,188 5,612 6,005 5,432 4,693 5,002 5,115 5,381 5,893

2041 4,726 5,144 5,552 5,987 5,458 4,698 4,996 5,109 5,226 5,849

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 9,635 9,184 8,164 6,870 5,026 3,639 2,877 1,699 875 110,940

2014 9,641 9,285 8,432 7,097 5,265 3,730 2,890 1,753 956 110,681

2015 9,492 9,426 8,662 7,321 5,476 3,873 2,882 1,814 1,033 110,487

2016 9,197 9,596 8,847 7,538 5,700 4,031 2,875 1,888 1,105 110,356

2017 8,772 9,743 8,957 7,583 6,141 4,238 2,890 1,920 1,174 110,292

2018 8,272 9,810 9,059 7,798 6,410 4,497 2,923 1,969 1,226 110,293

2019 7,793 9,834 9,169 8,057 6,639 4,725 3,008 1,986 1,289 110,306

2020 7,452 9,707 9,311 8,290 6,865 4,928 3,134 1,995 1,353 110,330

2021 7,197 9,426 9,483 8,479 7,081 5,145 3,274 2,002 1,426 110,363

2022 6,951 9,015 9,633 8,601 7,132 5,562 3,452 2,023 1,470 110,403

2023 6,744 8,524 9,711 8,719 7,335 5,827 3,673 2,058 1,519 110,447

2024 6,484 8,054 9,749 8,841 7,585 6,051 3,865 2,131 1,561 110,491

2025 6,186 7,720 9,642 8,987 7,821 6,265 4,043 2,232 1,598 110,528

2026 5,938 7,478 9,377 9,167 8,016 6,472 4,233 2,345 1,640 110,555

2027 5,774 7,246 8,986 9,315 8,159 6,537 4,597 2,482 1,673 110,568

2028 5,656 7,050 8,518 9,402 8,292 6,739 4,836 2,652 1,720 110,564

2029 5,594 6,805 8,069 9,455 8,428 6,985 5,039 2,799 1,784 110,541

2030 5,594 6,528 7,751 9,368 8,585 7,219 5,233 2,938 1,865 110,500

2031 5,580 6,292 7,533 9,123 8,769 7,418 5,419 3,089 1,958 110,437

2032 5,615 6,141 7,323 8,764 8,919 7,575 5,493 3,376 2,059 110,355

2033 5,690 6,033 7,143 8,331 9,019 7,722 5,679 3,569 2,192 110,254

2034 5,777 5,976 6,915 7,916 9,088 7,872 5,899 3,729 2,320 110,135

2035 5,834 5,981 6,660 7,626 9,026 8,035 6,119 3,880 2,447 110,001

2036 5,905 5,976 6,441 7,431 8,812 8,226 6,305 4,025 2,592 109,852

2037 5,984 6,014 6,305 7,238 8,489 8,378 6,463 4,105 2,827 109,692

2038 6,022 6,095 6,206 7,075 8,093 8,494 6,613 4,265 3,017 109,520

2039 6,071 6,186 6,159 6,867 7,712 8,579 6,765 4,451 3,179 109,338

2040 6,153 6,253 6,169 6,638 7,445 8,539 6,922 4,634 3,337 109,147

2041 6,234 6,330 6,173 6,442 7,273 8,354 7,107 4,789 3,501 108,948




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HALDIMAND-NORFORK



Table 11.4

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 560 582 628 842 928 704 626 646 773 1,207

2014 564 583 642 797 923 726 647 627 741 1,133

2015 582 584 637 763 888 772 663 618 727 1,059

2016 596 594 635 743 850 782 695 616 703 1,003

2017 606 612 639 718 814 801 708 623 704 967

2018 616 621 641 688 799 816 722 638 689 946

2019 626 625 642 703 757 816 744 649 678 918

2020 635 639 644 700 730 792 783 666 671 906

2021 642 650 653 698 709 771 799 693 670 881

2022 646 660 667 701 688 746 821 705 677 881

2023 650 670 675 705 666 735 835 717 691 868

2024 653 680 679 708 674 703 839 737 706 860

2025 652 689 691 712 671 682 823 765 725 854

2026 651 697 700 723 671 663 812 780 749 854

2027 649 702 711 734 676 646 792 802 761 866

2028 646 707 721 739 683 630 778 817 775 883

2029 641 712 731 743 689 635 752 823 793 901

2030 638 716 740 755 696 630 734 816 818 924

2031 635 716 750 765 705 631 717 809 832 950

2032 632 715 757 777 712 639 702 793 854 964

2033 630 714 763 787 717 647 689 782 869 982

2034 629 711 770 798 719 653 690 760 879 1,001

2035 628 708 774 807 728 660 686 743 875 1,026

2036 628 705 774 817 738 666 688 724 871 1,040

2037 629 702 776 824 750 671 695 710 854 1,064

2038 631 700 775 833 760 675 706 699 840 1,080

2039 634 699 773 840 772 679 714 699 818 1,091

2040 638 698 772 845 782 688 720 697 801 1,087

2041 643 698 770 847 793 699 726 700 783 1,084

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,640 1,747 1,839 1,785 1,320 1,035 701 353 155 18,071

2014 1,636 1,821 1,848 1,857 1,388 1,028 749 374 170 18,254

2015 1,645 1,870 1,860 1,891 1,438 1,053 766 416 196 18,428

2016 1,630 1,918 1,898 1,908 1,473 1,083 790 452 225 18,594

2017 1,587 1,924 1,941 1,897 1,557 1,111 823 474 249 18,755

2018 1,533 1,923 1,979 1,885 1,643 1,168 831 505 268 18,911

2019 1,445 1,924 2,052 1,899 1,707 1,228 829 538 290 19,070

2020 1,363 1,930 2,105 1,919 1,741 1,273 853 553 328 19,231

2021 1,306 1,908 2,160 1,961 1,760 1,313 878 575 366 19,393

2022 1,270 1,861 2,177 2,012 1,756 1,395 905 599 388 19,555

2023 1,251 1,797 2,188 2,059 1,756 1,476 957 608 412 19,716

2024 1,223 1,705 2,197 2,138 1,778 1,539 1,007 610 440 19,876

2025 1,207 1,627 2,207 2,195 1,807 1,578 1,050 632 467 20,034

2026 1,181 1,571 2,187 2,254 1,853 1,603 1,090 656 495 20,190

2027 1,179 1,536 2,137 2,275 1,906 1,608 1,165 682 518 20,345

2028 1,168 1,513 2,068 2,298 1,956 1,616 1,240 727 533 20,498

2029 1,164 1,482 1,973 2,318 2,032 1,645 1,301 765 549 20,649

2030 1,161 1,465 1,891 2,329 2,089 1,678 1,339 805 576 20,800

2031 1,169 1,438 1,835 2,306 2,151 1,725 1,368 840 607 20,949

2032 1,185 1,435 1,801 2,254 2,175 1,781 1,380 902 638 21,096

2033 1,210 1,426 1,776 2,180 2,206 1,833 1,393 967 672 21,243

2034 1,234 1,425 1,745 2,087 2,233 1,908 1,423 1,021 704 21,390

2035 1,262 1,427 1,727 2,010 2,246 1,967 1,459 1,058 746 21,537

2036 1,291 1,441 1,700 1,962 2,227 2,029 1,508 1,083 791 21,683

2037 1,309 1,461 1,698 1,930 2,182 2,061 1,565 1,095 852 21,828

2038 1,328 1,488 1,691 1,906 2,117 2,098 1,617 1,112 916 21,972

2039 1,347 1,513 1,693 1,877 2,036 2,129 1,687 1,146 968 22,115

2040 1,374 1,543 1,696 1,862 1,969 2,146 1,742 1,181 1,017 22,258

2041 1,391 1,576 1,710 1,839 1,928 2,134 1,801 1,226 1,051 22,399




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HALIBURTON



Table 11.5

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 28,170 28,650 29,552 35,430 41,358 37,934 35,255 33,242 35,359 40,098

2014 28,374 28,796 29,384 34,302 41,550 38,814 35,983 33,630 34,883 38,698

2015 28,551 29,107 29,233 33,279 41,361 39,586 36,721 34,086 34,581 37,625

2016 28,859 29,384 29,277 32,401 40,664 40,295 37,375 34,743 34,243 37,171

2017 29,292 29,451 29,388 31,863 39,575 41,243 37,967 35,231 34,461 36,650

2018 29,762 29,359 29,728 31,372 38,614 42,066 38,205 36,003 34,680 36,380

2019 30,131 29,493 29,857 31,229 37,630 42,330 38,886 36,656 35,034 35,924

2020 30,475 29,635 30,140 31,110 36,710 42,245 39,582 37,334 35,442 35,640

2021 30,792 29,926 30,393 31,198 35,885 41,767 40,248 37,949 36,067 35,305

2022 31,077 30,346 30,459 31,359 35,407 40,921 41,140 38,549 36,557 35,500

2023 31,332 30,820 30,390 31,742 35,000 40,137 41,951 38,847 37,319 35,707

2024 31,546 31,206 30,533 31,912 34,920 39,302 42,310 39,514 37,983 36,050

2025 31,720 31,571 30,692 32,216 34,860 38,485 42,358 40,218 38,665 36,436

2026 31,851 31,911 30,996 32,481 35,014 37,698 42,090 40,886 39,281 37,041

2027 31,939 32,217 31,417 32,574 35,245 37,259 41,448 41,744 39,889 37,529

2028 31,976 32,496 31,883 32,534 35,683 36,901 40,814 42,542 40,215 38,278

2029 31,969 32,737 32,279 32,693 35,912 36,858 40,099 42,949 40,868 38,941

2030 31,924 32,937 32,654 32,880 36,259 36,826 39,376 43,065 41,580 39,620

2031 31,848 33,096 33,004 33,207 36,544 37,009 38,661 42,904 42,254 40,234

2032 31,758 33,209 33,326 33,647 36,669 37,276 38,266 42,375 43,103 40,843

2033 31,662 33,270 33,619 34,132 36,668 37,732 37,965 41,827 43,900 41,181

2034 31,568 33,291 33,873 34,553 36,858 37,981 37,954 41,184 44,338 41,823

2035 31,490 33,272 34,087 34,955 37,095 38,313 37,946 40,521 44,489 42,540

2036 31,434 33,221 34,265 35,333 37,472 38,555 38,157 39,854 44,386 43,218

2037 31,407 33,155 34,392 35,682 37,951 38,655 38,453 39,487 43,916 44,058

2038 31,415 33,079 34,469 36,007 38,465 38,654 38,907 39,215 43,410 44,851

2039 31,457 33,005 34,508 36,293 38,934 38,831 39,159 39,221 42,797 45,302

2040 31,537 32,944 34,505 36,539 39,385 39,078 39,463 39,228 42,158 45,478

2041 31,651 32,905 34,467 36,751 39,814 39,463 39,673 39,458 41,509 45,406

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 42,777 38,525 31,793 26,203 19,560 15,620 12,800 8,721 4,542 545,589

2014 43,291 39,617 32,560 27,643 20,116 15,844 12,729 8,856 4,975 550,045

2015 43,360 40,289 33,960 28,897 20,650 16,094 12,773 8,877 5,423 554,453

2016 42,603 41,123 35,230 29,909 21,578 16,427 12,741 8,918 5,873 558,814

2017 41,483 41,680 36,508 30,238 23,319 16,858 12,768 9,010 6,213 563,198

2018 40,043 42,185 37,784 30,757 24,695 17,547 12,934 9,090 6,448 567,652

2019 38,696 42,708 38,877 31,549 26,087 18,118 13,190 9,092 6,713 572,200

2020 37,678 42,798 39,597 32,913 27,306 18,668 13,470 9,178 6,925 576,846

2021 37,268 42,097 40,479 34,158 28,306 19,563 13,812 9,217 7,159 581,589

2022 36,797 41,048 41,083 35,420 28,665 21,201 14,245 9,288 7,368 586,430

2023 36,543 39,688 41,640 36,676 29,208 22,508 14,888 9,464 7,505 591,365

2024 36,115 38,405 42,202 37,766 30,013 23,799 15,435 9,706 7,633 596,350

2025 35,853 37,441 42,340 38,524 31,331 24,939 15,963 9,965 7,793 601,370

2026 35,529 37,068 41,702 39,435 32,541 25,891 16,785 10,268 7,947 606,415

2027 35,705 36,645 40,719 40,079 33,774 26,269 18,264 10,648 8,105 611,469

2028 35,903 36,411 39,437 40,678 34,998 26,827 19,456 11,188 8,299 616,519

2029 36,234 36,013 38,223 41,274 36,073 27,628 20,609 11,653 8,539 621,551

2030 36,602 35,768 37,321 41,457 36,853 28,882 21,628 12,108 8,809 626,549

2031 37,189 35,456 36,993 40,892 37,786 30,036 22,498 12,788 9,103 631,502

2032 37,670 35,617 36,619 39,991 38,461 31,223 22,890 14,006 9,452 636,401

2033 38,404 35,810 36,406 38,798 39,099 32,399 23,449 14,995 9,921 641,237

2034 39,063 36,132 36,041 37,667 39,725 33,447 24,225 15,918 10,363 646,004

2035 39,733 36,487 35,819 36,834 39,954 34,243 25,383 16,716 10,820 650,697

2036 40,336 37,056 35,526 36,557 39,464 35,181 26,456 17,416 11,432 655,319

2037 40,938 37,532 35,684 36,237 38,655 35,880 27,568 17,793 12,432 659,875

2038 41,284 38,252 35,879 36,054 37,569 36,551 28,664 18,311 13,340 664,376

2039 41,918 38,906 36,200 35,729 36,542 37,203 29,656 18,999 14,163 668,823

2040 42,633 39,570 36,553 35,538 35,799 37,481 30,443 19,981 14,906 673,219

2041 43,310 40,171 37,118 35,271 35,580 37,090 31,358 20,893 15,676 677,564




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HAMILTON



Table 11.6

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 2,496 2,625 2,846 3,557 3,540 3,159 3,027 3,049 3,466 4,445

2014 2,504 2,616 2,788 3,444 3,626 3,118 3,094 3,035 3,357 4,174

2015 2,480 2,645 2,701 3,370 3,668 3,137 3,111 3,061 3,224 3,945

2016 2,486 2,647 2,663 3,269 3,651 3,182 3,185 3,042 3,128 3,815

2017 2,515 2,619 2,662 3,174 3,643 3,224 3,193 3,086 3,114 3,708

2018 2,546 2,589 2,693 3,083 3,576 3,282 3,207 3,174 3,088 3,580

2019 2,579 2,599 2,692 3,038 3,477 3,350 3,203 3,249 3,091 3,488

2020 2,611 2,585 2,723 2,962 3,411 3,379 3,241 3,282 3,126 3,378

2021 2,639 2,597 2,729 2,933 3,319 3,365 3,293 3,360 3,123 3,290

2022 2,664 2,628 2,706 2,939 3,239 3,350 3,347 3,381 3,167 3,277

2023 2,684 2,660 2,681 2,975 3,160 3,292 3,410 3,395 3,251 3,256

2024 2,702 2,693 2,693 2,979 3,121 3,213 3,472 3,401 3,321 3,263

2025 2,717 2,725 2,682 3,012 3,064 3,148 3,498 3,451 3,360 3,293

2026 2,727 2,754 2,694 3,023 3,050 3,067 3,487 3,507 3,433 3,295

2027 2,732 2,780 2,726 3,005 3,068 3,000 3,467 3,568 3,459 3,339

2028 2,733 2,801 2,757 2,982 3,110 2,937 3,409 3,634 3,474 3,420

2029 2,727 2,820 2,791 2,994 3,116 2,912 3,334 3,696 3,489 3,490

2030 2,715 2,836 2,824 2,986 3,150 2,875 3,268 3,721 3,543 3,535

2031 2,701 2,847 2,854 3,001 3,162 2,870 3,192 3,713 3,603 3,608

2032 2,686 2,854 2,881 3,036 3,149 2,890 3,129 3,691 3,664 3,642

2033 2,670 2,857 2,905 3,071 3,135 2,928 3,075 3,635 3,733 3,662

2034 2,656 2,854 2,925 3,109 3,147 2,940 3,053 3,560 3,792 3,687

2035 2,642 2,847 2,942 3,145 3,152 2,970 3,022 3,489 3,816 3,742

2036 2,630 2,837 2,956 3,176 3,177 2,984 3,019 3,408 3,809 3,802

2037 2,619 2,825 2,965 3,205 3,213 2,979 3,040 3,346 3,782 3,869

2038 2,613 2,811 2,968 3,232 3,251 2,971 3,080 3,296 3,726 3,940

2039 2,610 2,797 2,966 3,253 3,291 2,984 3,097 3,277 3,654 4,000

2040 2,611 2,784 2,961 3,272 3,328 2,991 3,128 3,249 3,587 4,023

2041 2,616 2,772 2,952 3,289 3,362 3,015 3,143 3,252 3,510 4,020

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 5,365 5,265 4,868 4,428 3,315 2,651 1,961 1,214 582 61,859

2014 5,449 5,253 5,024 4,548 3,488 2,695 1,992 1,267 654 62,126

2015 5,469 5,310 5,184 4,688 3,635 2,705 2,047 1,310 736 62,426

2016 5,336 5,472 5,326 4,770 3,781 2,760 2,078 1,372 797 62,760

2017 5,078 5,587 5,463 4,795 3,992 2,864 2,123 1,428 851 63,119

2018 4,861 5,686 5,515 4,925 4,127 2,999 2,207 1,445 923 63,506

2019 4,594 5,784 5,530 5,096 4,257 3,159 2,255 1,477 983 63,901

2020 4,366 5,813 5,607 5,269 4,402 3,298 2,276 1,526 1,049 64,304

2021 4,242 5,686 5,781 5,419 4,496 3,439 2,335 1,558 1,110 64,714

2022 4,142 5,438 5,906 5,570 4,528 3,656 2,430 1,598 1,165 65,131

2023 4,020 5,221 6,019 5,643 4,654 3,803 2,559 1,665 1,207 65,555

2024 3,933 4,954 6,131 5,683 4,819 3,938 2,704 1,712 1,254 65,986

2025 3,829 4,732 6,168 5,778 4,989 4,087 2,829 1,742 1,317 66,421

2026 3,742 4,613 6,052 5,961 5,137 4,188 2,961 1,795 1,371 66,857

2027 3,728 4,518 5,818 6,096 5,292 4,228 3,165 1,878 1,425 67,292

2028 3,710 4,405 5,602 6,223 5,383 4,352 3,313 1,990 1,488 67,723

2029 3,720 4,317 5,337 6,344 5,444 4,514 3,448 2,110 1,543 68,146

2030 3,752 4,219 5,114 6,389 5,553 4,679 3,595 2,218 1,590 68,562

2031 3,763 4,133 5,000 6,277 5,737 4,827 3,699 2,330 1,654 68,971

2032 3,813 4,123 4,911 6,051 5,877 4,985 3,744 2,507 1,741 69,374

2033 3,902 4,107 4,805 5,836 6,008 5,092 3,858 2,642 1,848 69,769

2034 3,979 4,119 4,723 5,579 6,134 5,173 4,010 2,762 1,957 70,159

2035 4,035 4,154 4,629 5,369 6,187 5,293 4,168 2,888 2,053 70,543

2036 4,112 4,174 4,544 5,267 6,095 5,475 4,314 2,979 2,164 70,922

2037 4,154 4,230 4,532 5,186 5,897 5,618 4,471 3,030 2,333 71,294

2038 4,181 4,327 4,517 5,088 5,704 5,754 4,585 3,133 2,486 71,663

2039 4,215 4,409 4,533 5,008 5,474 5,886 4,679 3,266 2,627 72,026

2040 4,280 4,474 4,570 4,924 5,286 5,947 4,804 3,408 2,759 72,386

2041 4,346 4,553 4,599 4,847 5,199 5,875 4,980 3,542 2,872 72,744




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario MUSKOKA



Table 11.7

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 20,690 21,767 23,315 27,964 30,342 26,122 24,199 24,734 27,556 32,440

2014 20,505 21,806 22,846 27,301 30,371 26,571 24,460 24,600 26,876 30,999

2015 20,434 21,793 22,608 26,437 30,111 27,127 24,796 24,386 26,184 29,884

2016 20,517 21,662 22,447 25,569 29,873 27,518 25,235 24,422 25,390 29,014

2017 20,714 21,492 22,378 25,029 29,181 28,063 25,619 24,485 24,893 28,461

2018 20,910 21,341 22,387 24,599 28,593 28,438 25,809 24,700 24,776 27,811

2019 21,094 21,196 22,444 24,177 28,020 28,541 26,231 25,022 24,704 27,187

2020 21,268 21,158 22,458 23,968 27,252 28,390 26,753 25,406 24,557 26,549

2021 21,425 21,270 22,357 23,845 26,487 28,229 27,151 25,867 24,642 25,809

2022 21,566 21,485 22,212 23,812 26,002 27,667 27,692 26,270 24,741 25,366

2023 21,682 21,703 22,074 23,857 25,616 27,157 28,108 26,474 24,986 25,267

2024 21,768 21,904 21,953 23,936 25,273 26,647 28,262 26,898 25,324 25,220

2025 21,817 22,100 21,930 23,979 25,108 25,971 28,174 27,422 25,717 25,098

2026 21,833 22,278 22,060 23,905 25,042 25,296 28,052 27,835 26,171 25,210

2027 21,808 22,437 22,289 23,786 25,059 24,869 27,570 28,381 26,570 25,336

2028 21,747 22,568 22,518 23,668 25,160 24,535 27,117 28,817 26,783 25,608

2029 21,651 22,677 22,732 23,574 25,274 24,271 26,638 29,001 27,202 25,964

2030 21,526 22,747 22,941 23,581 25,361 24,141 26,023 28,951 27,724 26,361

2031 21,381 22,780 23,133 23,733 25,332 24,126 25,396 28,851 28,143 26,812

2032 21,226 22,778 23,306 23,983 25,250 24,183 25,011 28,410 28,683 27,221

2033 21,070 22,736 23,451 24,239 25,169 24,322 24,710 27,984 29,127 27,445

2034 20,918 22,660 23,572 24,478 25,127 24,448 24,497 27,519 29,332 27,866

2035 20,782 22,552 23,657 24,709 25,181 24,554 24,394 26,931 29,308 28,385

2036 20,668 22,423 23,706 24,924 25,370 24,555 24,406 26,324 29,227 28,808

2037 20,573 22,286 23,714 25,122 25,643 24,505 24,494 25,955 28,817 29,355

2038 20,504 22,147 23,683 25,291 25,923 24,450 24,667 25,668 28,411 29,821

2039 20,464 22,008 23,622 25,435 26,190 24,439 24,802 25,487 27,961 30,045

2040 20,450 21,889 23,527 25,543 26,451 24,513 24,923 25,401 27,398 30,043

2041 20,463 21,787 23,406 25,614 26,697 24,709 24,951 25,435 26,817 29,977

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 35,849 33,423 29,528 26,831 20,070 15,493 12,585 8,154 4,289 445,351

2014 36,099 33,970 30,278 27,649 20,951 15,786 12,531 8,308 4,720 446,627

2015 36,179 34,472 31,082 28,528 21,737 16,069 12,631 8,409 5,100 447,967

2016 35,727 35,103 31,972 29,101 22,576 16,597 12,607 8,613 5,428 449,371

2017 34,569 35,683 32,801 28,743 24,432 17,279 12,613 8,714 5,735 450,884

2018 33,040 36,221 33,523 28,997 25,703 18,154 12,775 8,755 6,000 452,532

2019 31,608 36,504 34,131 29,755 26,551 18,989 13,073 8,757 6,274 454,258

2020 30,507 36,597 34,693 30,580 27,445 19,744 13,374 8,871 6,491 456,061

2021 29,683 36,150 35,382 31,489 28,050 20,564 13,877 8,911 6,746 457,934

2022 29,157 35,027 36,002 32,354 27,796 22,325 14,500 8,965 6,937 459,876

2023 28,544 33,536 36,580 33,118 28,119 23,557 15,289 9,131 7,081 461,879

2024 27,946 32,133 36,910 33,773 28,902 24,411 16,042 9,399 7,217 463,918

2025 27,340 31,054 37,031 34,382 29,764 25,292 16,728 9,679 7,395 465,981

2026 26,634 30,267 36,597 35,114 30,695 25,911 17,488 10,103 7,565 468,056

2027 26,224 29,772 35,502 35,771 31,594 25,775 19,075 10,605 7,706 470,129

2028 26,140 29,195 34,047 36,390 32,403 26,161 20,207 11,235 7,890 472,189

2029 26,115 28,625 32,681 36,771 33,110 26,955 21,007 11,837 8,140 474,225

2030 26,023 28,046 31,641 36,931 33,770 27,831 21,816 12,387 8,425 476,226

2031 26,164 27,363 30,907 36,535 34,553 28,759 22,407 13,011 8,798 478,184

2032 26,316 26,979 30,443 35,503 35,248 29,668 22,397 14,291 9,201 480,097

2033 26,615 26,910 29,894 34,117 35,912 30,501 22,829 15,213 9,713 481,957

2034 26,991 26,906 29,347 32,808 36,349 31,242 23,598 15,864 10,242 483,764

2035 27,410 26,836 28,801 31,816 36,553 31,939 24,449 16,507 10,754 485,518

2036 27,871 27,002 28,149 31,142 36,202 32,753 25,330 16,993 11,371 487,224

2037 28,290 27,177 27,798 30,722 35,237 33,474 26,205 17,092 12,427 488,886

2038 28,525 27,502 27,748 30,221 33,932 34,174 27,022 17,529 13,297 490,515

2039 28,960 27,898 27,765 29,715 32,700 34,663 27,760 18,202 13,996 492,112

2040 29,492 28,334 27,724 29,213 31,787 34,915 28,464 18,941 14,667 493,675

2041 29,931 28,808 27,917 28,602 31,196 34,630 29,276 19,689 15,302 495,207




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario NIAGARA



Table 11.8

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,271 3,655 4,175 5,122 4,900 3,878 3,721 3,925 4,597 6,186

2014 3,255 3,632 4,120 4,888 4,973 3,931 3,725 3,812 4,518 5,729

2015 3,266 3,580 4,080 4,705 4,984 4,019 3,735 3,726 4,396 5,394

2016 3,296 3,572 4,020 4,486 4,948 4,087 3,823 3,676 4,187 5,262

2017 3,351 3,540 3,929 4,406 4,767 4,221 3,914 3,646 4,066 5,133

2018 3,398 3,494 3,915 4,326 4,607 4,328 3,921 3,696 3,958 5,016

2019 3,429 3,485 3,907 4,276 4,409 4,388 3,986 3,717 3,875 4,940

2020 3,461 3,502 3,868 4,241 4,250 4,397 4,082 3,744 3,811 4,826

2021 3,489 3,535 3,868 4,188 4,072 4,369 4,160 3,820 3,784 4,630

2022 3,514 3,588 3,840 4,120 4,002 4,236 4,278 3,897 3,770 4,524

2023 3,531 3,636 3,798 4,118 3,934 4,108 4,375 3,912 3,823 4,430

2024 3,539 3,672 3,788 4,119 3,890 3,953 4,427 3,971 3,855 4,364

2025 3,538 3,709 3,803 4,089 3,861 3,820 4,435 4,057 3,890 4,314

2026 3,529 3,740 3,836 4,092 3,818 3,671 4,408 4,130 3,963 4,303

2027 3,512 3,765 3,891 4,066 3,777 3,601 4,294 4,237 4,037 4,304

2028 3,487 3,784 3,941 4,028 3,789 3,539 4,179 4,327 4,054 4,367

2029 3,456 3,793 3,980 4,024 3,794 3,501 4,040 4,380 4,109 4,415

2030 3,420 3,794 4,019 4,040 3,780 3,473 3,914 4,392 4,193 4,464

2031 3,383 3,787 4,053 4,077 3,785 3,444 3,778 4,370 4,262 4,540

2032 3,346 3,772 4,081 4,131 3,766 3,426 3,705 4,271 4,367 4,617

2033 3,309 3,751 4,102 4,181 3,740 3,445 3,645 4,167 4,460 4,640

2034 3,274 3,725 4,113 4,222 3,742 3,458 3,609 4,042 4,512 4,702

2035 3,243 3,694 4,117 4,263 3,760 3,457 3,584 3,923 4,528 4,787

2036 3,215 3,660 4,113 4,298 3,794 3,463 3,568 3,798 4,508 4,864

2037 3,194 3,623 4,100 4,328 3,843 3,450 3,566 3,727 4,417 4,973

2038 3,178 3,586 4,080 4,350 3,886 3,434 3,591 3,672 4,315 5,074

2039 3,168 3,550 4,056 4,363 3,929 3,435 3,608 3,646 4,195 5,129

2040 3,162 3,519 4,025 4,369 3,967 3,453 3,613 3,624 4,080 5,146

2041 3,163 3,492 3,991 4,367 4,000 3,483 3,622 3,614 3,957 5,128

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 7,651 7,032 6,831 6,457 4,870 3,675 2,743 1,504 891 85,084

2014 7,799 7,281 6,839 6,700 5,076 3,873 2,820 1,607 942 85,520

2015 7,819 7,497 6,939 6,882 5,281 4,074 2,899 1,685 1,003 85,964

2016 7,600 7,755 7,075 7,039 5,535 4,189 3,016 1,800 1,054 86,420

2017 7,209 8,010 7,242 6,927 5,971 4,412 3,120 1,933 1,091 86,888

2018 6,839 8,191 7,435 6,869 6,349 4,622 3,230 1,996 1,180 87,370

2019 6,381 8,347 7,695 6,892 6,591 4,822 3,410 2,054 1,259 87,863

2020 6,044 8,371 7,924 7,009 6,783 5,025 3,585 2,114 1,329 88,366

2021 5,909 8,153 8,198 7,159 6,949 5,276 3,699 2,204 1,414 88,876

2022 5,779 7,768 8,460 7,342 6,866 5,711 3,903 2,293 1,498 89,389

2023 5,662 7,391 8,653 7,546 6,838 6,088 4,104 2,381 1,574 89,902

2024 5,577 6,931 8,819 7,807 6,894 6,342 4,299 2,523 1,641 90,411

2025 5,467 6,592 8,844 8,042 7,035 6,556 4,495 2,657 1,711 90,915

2026 5,278 6,451 8,627 8,323 7,204 6,738 4,735 2,756 1,807 91,409

2027 5,184 6,324 8,246 8,583 7,407 6,684 5,155 2,923 1,902 91,892

2028 5,104 6,208 7,862 8,786 7,628 6,689 5,512 3,084 1,996 92,364

2029 5,051 6,120 7,410 8,960 7,894 6,774 5,760 3,246 2,117 92,824

2030 5,014 6,011 7,077 8,993 8,137 6,938 5,970 3,411 2,232 93,272

2031 5,023 5,826 6,941 8,790 8,425 7,126 6,145 3,608 2,342 93,705

2032 5,039 5,737 6,818 8,429 8,686 7,345 6,129 3,962 2,497 94,124

2033 5,117 5,665 6,704 8,059 8,898 7,578 6,166 4,251 2,651 94,529

2034 5,179 5,623 6,611 7,630 9,082 7,848 6,273 4,457 2,817 94,919

2035 5,241 5,597 6,506 7,311 9,126 8,099 6,452 4,627 2,980 95,295

2036 5,325 5,616 6,329 7,183 8,940 8,395 6,653 4,774 3,159 95,655

2037 5,407 5,646 6,248 7,068 8,604 8,661 6,882 4,792 3,473 96,002

2038 5,437 5,739 6,184 6,962 8,250 8,887 7,123 4,851 3,738 96,337

2039 5,505 5,812 6,155 6,875 7,841 9,087 7,389 4,963 3,954 96,660

2040 5,600 5,887 6,141 6,776 7,542 9,149 7,640 5,131 4,144 96,968

2041 5,686 5,978 6,173 6,614 7,427 8,986 7,934 5,314 4,332 97,261




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario NORTHUMBERLAND



Table 11.9

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 6,250 6,305 6,389 8,162 10,244 9,032 7,456 6,966 7,464 9,221

2014 6,244 6,403 6,288 7,790 10,053 9,128 7,816 7,020 7,334 8,789

2015 6,238 6,509 6,226 7,477 9,750 9,292 7,998 7,149 7,229 8,431

2016 6,310 6,546 6,228 7,201 9,407 9,476 8,148 7,324 7,139 8,186

2017 6,399 6,501 6,417 6,908 9,059 9,640 8,249 7,584 7,092 8,001

2018 6,489 6,472 6,567 6,739 8,781 9,636 8,337 7,817 7,131 7,903

2019 6,552 6,484 6,681 6,655 8,454 9,557 8,422 8,162 7,197 7,783

2020 6,602 6,496 6,799 6,602 8,160 9,375 8,563 8,357 7,320 7,680

2021 6,637 6,575 6,845 6,617 7,885 9,148 8,725 8,522 7,487 7,580

2022 6,657 6,668 6,810 6,793 7,610 8,867 8,895 8,635 7,723 7,536

2023 6,667 6,756 6,788 6,937 7,440 8,614 8,949 8,718 7,943 7,567

2024 6,663 6,820 6,800 7,051 7,358 8,315 8,926 8,811 8,253 7,631

2025 6,644 6,874 6,817 7,164 7,303 8,047 8,806 8,961 8,441 7,740

2026 6,611 6,916 6,898 7,211 7,317 7,786 8,641 9,128 8,604 7,897

2027 6,564 6,944 6,991 7,187 7,473 7,547 8,412 9,306 8,719 8,121

2028 6,506 6,959 7,082 7,166 7,612 7,394 8,202 9,383 8,801 8,341

2029 6,440 6,963 7,149 7,179 7,718 7,328 7,948 9,384 8,896 8,634

2030 6,364 6,955 7,206 7,203 7,823 7,281 7,708 9,289 9,045 8,825

2031 6,286 6,934 7,252 7,287 7,874 7,294 7,471 9,147 9,209 8,990

2032 6,211 6,897 7,286 7,382 7,860 7,419 7,273 8,930 9,390 9,107

2033 6,140 6,847 7,308 7,476 7,843 7,545 7,139 8,726 9,481 9,188

2034 6,077 6,786 7,318 7,548 7,864 7,635 7,081 8,475 9,497 9,291

2035 6,025 6,719 7,315 7,611 7,902 7,721 7,034 8,239 9,420 9,443

2036 5,983 6,648 7,299 7,666 7,990 7,761 7,042 8,005 9,299 9,609

2037 5,953 6,579 7,268 7,708 8,086 7,752 7,145 7,815 9,104 9,794

2038 5,935 6,514 7,223 7,740 8,183 7,746 7,253 7,684 8,910 9,900

2039 5,929 6,456 7,165 7,758 8,267 7,772 7,333 7,629 8,672 9,933

2040 5,932 6,408 7,100 7,762 8,340 7,817 7,412 7,583 8,445 9,874

2041 5,947 6,367 7,032 7,753 8,405 7,901 7,457 7,596 8,218 9,769

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 11,230 11,109 10,050 9,113 6,502 5,053 4,117 2,738 1,591 138,992

2014 11,157 11,186 10,263 9,375 6,872 5,148 4,088 2,803 1,698 139,455

2015 11,049 11,286 10,502 9,691 7,202 5,192 4,142 2,800 1,826 139,989

2016 10,759 11,356 10,796 9,943 7,461 5,315 4,247 2,839 1,909 140,590

2017 10,348 11,503 10,960 9,880 8,009 5,540 4,226 2,951 1,988 141,255

2018 9,861 11,571 11,159 9,884 8,488 5,793 4,279 2,992 2,085 141,984

2019 9,425 11,536 11,274 10,116 8,757 6,128 4,385 2,989 2,164 142,721

2020 9,068 11,449 11,405 10,378 9,070 6,431 4,444 3,047 2,217 143,463

2021 8,833 11,171 11,512 10,683 9,320 6,685 4,571 3,141 2,275 144,212

2022 8,652 10,763 11,680 10,875 9,287 7,203 4,785 3,152 2,376 144,967

2023 8,545 10,276 11,779 11,093 9,321 7,653 5,022 3,213 2,447 145,728

2024 8,422 9,832 11,777 11,237 9,558 7,924 5,324 3,304 2,487 146,493

2025 8,312 9,476 11,708 11,396 9,826 8,230 5,602 3,366 2,543 147,256

2026 8,207 9,246 11,444 11,537 10,131 8,477 5,847 3,487 2,631 148,016

2027 8,162 9,071 11,047 11,719 10,338 8,474 6,331 3,670 2,693 148,769

2028 8,188 8,961 10,570 11,843 10,569 8,535 6,747 3,877 2,773 149,509

2029 8,255 8,834 10,127 11,870 10,737 8,772 7,015 4,128 2,854 150,231

2030 8,361 8,726 9,773 11,820 10,921 9,045 7,310 4,348 2,932 150,935

2031 8,519 8,617 9,552 11,572 11,093 9,345 7,553 4,557 3,065 151,617

2032 8,740 8,579 9,386 11,192 11,289 9,569 7,576 4,973 3,216 152,275

2033 8,966 8,604 9,279 10,731 11,439 9,811 7,664 5,326 3,396 152,909

2034 9,253 8,675 9,156 10,299 11,500 9,998 7,905 5,559 3,601 153,518

2035 9,448 8,780 9,053 9,959 11,477 10,200 8,178 5,799 3,783 154,106

2036 9,618 8,943 8,943 9,758 11,260 10,396 8,469 5,996 3,992 154,677

2037 9,742 9,160 8,908 9,603 10,915 10,603 8,705 6,046 4,351 155,237

2038 9,828 9,389 8,937 9,501 10,486 10,775 8,954 6,154 4,679 155,791

2039 9,939 9,669 9,011 9,384 10,083 10,867 9,156 6,379 4,936 156,338

2040 10,098 9,866 9,118 9,289 9,775 10,874 9,371 6,630 5,186 156,880

2041 10,269 10,039 9,280 9,187 9,601 10,694 9,589 6,889 5,423 157,416




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PETERBOROUGH



Table 11.10

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 23,694 25,410 26,965 31,977 32,001 27,189 27,609 28,601 31,701 37,464

2014 23,808 25,333 26,755 31,229 32,795 27,780 28,174 28,533 31,277 35,751

2015 23,940 25,497 26,478 30,460 33,006 28,693 28,793 28,651 30,743 34,508

2016 24,269 25,573 26,440 29,559 32,920 29,735 29,407 28,890 30,241 33,854

2017 24,734 25,582 26,490 28,850 32,589 30,783 30,043 29,279 29,901 33,470

2018 25,224 25,568 26,661 28,378 31,953 31,916 30,433 29,927 29,696 33,098

2019 25,693 25,734 26,642 28,177 31,241 32,710 31,140 30,551 29,661 32,690

2020 26,160 25,919 26,831 27,917 30,512 32,982 32,106 31,221 29,798 32,188

2021 26,621 26,287 26,932 27,902 29,668 32,982 33,143 31,865 30,083 31,683

2022 27,062 26,774 26,964 27,993 29,036 32,727 34,181 32,519 30,503 31,384

2023 27,476 27,281 26,968 28,214 28,616 32,204 35,261 32,940 31,176 31,220

2024 27,850 27,769 27,147 28,243 28,480 31,572 36,039 33,650 31,820 31,230

2025 28,174 28,255 27,357 28,461 28,281 30,894 36,358 34,595 32,503 31,396

2026 28,442 28,735 27,743 28,582 28,312 30,119 36,419 35,591 33,156 31,720

2027 28,646 29,193 28,242 28,633 28,455 29,567 36,191 36,600 33,809 32,174

2028 28,782 29,622 28,768 28,656 28,731 29,194 35,709 37,645 34,241 32,880

2029 28,854 30,015 29,269 28,855 28,827 29,100 35,079 38,411 34,944 33,559

2030 28,868 30,359 29,766 29,095 29,073 28,952 34,404 38,764 35,865 34,267

2031 28,834 30,648 30,256 29,507 29,222 29,037 33,648 38,869 36,822 34,933

2032 28,769 30,872 30,728 30,025 29,299 29,247 33,125 38,667 37,802 35,604

2033 28,686 31,030 31,171 30,565 29,357 29,580 32,780 38,223 38,813 36,054

2034 28,603 31,126 31,575 31,087 29,579 29,744 32,726 37,614 39,568 36,761

2035 28,530 31,164 31,933 31,602 29,853 30,025 32,632 36,962 39,941 37,670

2036 28,481 31,153 32,238 32,113 30,283 30,209 32,777 36,236 40,072 38,608

2037 28,461 31,111 32,479 32,599 30,803 30,314 33,061 35,748 39,896 39,584

2038 28,479 31,050 32,652 33,058 31,342 30,393 33,466 35,430 39,489 40,591

2039 28,538 30,990 32,763 33,480 31,869 30,627 33,695 35,413 38,912 41,352

2040 28,640 30,937 32,819 33,855 32,389 30,917 34,009 35,357 38,294 41,744

2041 28,780 30,909 32,823 34,177 32,902 31,367 34,220 35,541 37,606 41,906

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 39,957 33,580 28,385 25,197 18,736 13,897 10,520 6,088 3,237 472,208

2014 41,237 34,885 29,278 26,177 19,725 14,321 10,754 6,314 3,559 477,685

2015 41,888 36,327 30,301 27,158 20,592 14,814 10,945 6,679 3,813 483,286

2016 41,545 38,021 31,355 28,037 21,537 15,398 11,122 6,995 4,113 489,011

2017 40,575 39,357 32,656 27,982 23,364 16,221 11,316 7,240 4,388 494,820

2018 39,177 40,753 34,015 28,324 24,605 17,189 11,643 7,544 4,632 500,736

2019 37,524 42,020 35,319 29,213 25,623 18,123 12,043 7,743 4,905 506,752

2020 36,323 42,663 36,747 30,250 26,637 18,955 12,508 7,925 5,226 512,868

2021 35,726 42,330 38,421 31,323 27,533 19,887 13,043 8,098 5,549 519,076

2022 35,371 41,392 39,752 32,632 27,571 21,645 13,764 8,285 5,814 525,369

2023 35,007 40,044 41,144 34,001 27,989 22,889 14,629 8,575 6,098 531,732

2024 34,602 38,467 42,405 35,316 28,910 23,919 15,463 8,917 6,343 538,142

2025 34,127 37,323 43,055 36,739 29,981 24,938 16,223 9,308 6,609 544,577

2026 33,641 36,781 42,749 38,393 31,086 25,834 17,088 9,751 6,879 551,021

2027 33,378 36,466 41,854 39,720 32,411 25,974 18,686 10,327 7,129 557,455

2028 33,251 36,127 40,572 41,115 33,779 26,454 19,855 11,025 7,457 563,863

2029 33,305 35,740 39,092 42,375 35,106 27,382 20,821 11,699 7,800 570,233

2030 33,509 35,303 38,025 43,042 36,527 28,457 21,770 12,317 8,189 576,552

2031 33,883 34,845 37,549 42,784 38,164 29,563 22,602 13,034 8,616 582,816

2032 34,382 34,619 37,278 41,962 39,488 30,868 22,833 14,340 9,113 589,021

2033 35,135 34,528 36,972 40,762 40,883 32,210 23,355 15,319 9,739 595,162

2034 35,855 34,619 36,613 39,384 42,142 33,516 24,252 16,124 10,355 601,243

2035 36,598 34,854 36,224 38,394 42,826 34,906 25,282 16,909 10,957 607,262

2036 37,293 35,270 35,805 37,985 42,621 36,492 26,333 17,600 11,654 613,223

2037 37,981 35,808 35,625 37,776 41,864 37,788 27,559 17,880 12,792 619,129

2038 38,456 36,596 35,579 37,517 40,756 39,156 28,818 18,381 13,780 624,989

2039 39,180 37,347 35,713 37,199 39,498 40,395 30,046 19,168 14,622 630,807

2040 40,108 38,115 35,987 36,862 38,607 41,097 31,351 20,066 15,434 636,588

2041 41,059 38,828 36,448 36,488 38,287 40,961 32,822 20,977 16,236 642,337




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario SIMCOE



Table 11.11

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,170 3,283 3,573 4,622 4,364 3,584 3,540 3,548 3,894 5,382

2014 3,159 3,358 3,470 4,396 4,446 3,606 3,557 3,552 3,788 4,972

2015 3,177 3,443 3,334 4,220 4,421 3,650 3,615 3,539 3,682 4,726

2016 3,168 3,511 3,332 3,982 4,398 3,708 3,665 3,514 3,592 4,529

2017 3,163 3,545 3,391 3,790 4,262 3,826 3,663 3,509 3,589 4,358

2018 3,165 3,547 3,495 3,609 4,147 3,901 3,652 3,535 3,589 4,244

2019 3,186 3,548 3,570 3,513 3,953 3,961 3,687 3,565 3,594 4,146

2020 3,203 3,573 3,651 3,391 3,799 3,942 3,738 3,622 3,588 4,045

2021 3,217 3,576 3,708 3,390 3,599 3,915 3,796 3,675 3,576 3,951

2022 3,226 3,583 3,733 3,443 3,443 3,809 3,892 3,688 3,580 3,942

2023 3,229 3,593 3,729 3,531 3,306 3,715 3,957 3,685 3,612 3,937

2024 3,226 3,617 3,732 3,591 3,235 3,568 4,004 3,719 3,651 3,940

2025 3,216 3,637 3,754 3,656 3,145 3,439 3,987 3,771 3,706 3,940

2026 3,200 3,655 3,763 3,703 3,146 3,280 3,961 3,824 3,762 3,937

2027 3,180 3,668 3,773 3,723 3,188 3,162 3,868 3,909 3,777 3,950

2028 3,154 3,675 3,788 3,714 3,260 3,060 3,777 3,972 3,778 3,991

2029 3,122 3,678 3,814 3,713 3,307 3,004 3,646 4,017 3,812 4,040

2030 3,085 3,676 3,836 3,735 3,346 2,942 3,527 4,005 3,865 4,097

2031 3,046 3,665 3,857 3,748 3,377 2,939 3,389 3,979 3,921 4,156

2032 3,009 3,646 3,875 3,764 3,385 2,968 3,287 3,900 3,998 4,181

2033 2,973 3,621 3,885 3,783 3,378 3,016 3,200 3,817 4,059 4,190

2034 2,940 3,589 3,890 3,809 3,378 3,044 3,153 3,702 4,098 4,227

2035 2,910 3,552 3,890 3,831 3,391 3,072 3,105 3,587 4,088 4,280

2036 2,886 3,513 3,880 3,853 3,407 3,092 3,099 3,463 4,065 4,336

2037 2,866 3,474 3,862 3,870 3,426 3,092 3,123 3,368 3,991 4,416

2038 2,850 3,436 3,838 3,882 3,446 3,081 3,165 3,290 3,910 4,482

2039 2,840 3,401 3,808 3,888 3,468 3,080 3,186 3,250 3,802 4,524

2040 2,835 3,370 3,773 3,889 3,487 3,088 3,210 3,209 3,693 4,519

2041 2,833 3,343 3,735 3,881 3,505 3,103 3,223 3,204 3,575 4,498

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 6,662 6,521 6,054 5,743 4,123 3,146 2,452 1,495 762 75,918

2014 6,809 6,642 6,151 5,900 4,370 3,175 2,493 1,551 840 76,235

2015 6,725 6,780 6,388 5,964 4,642 3,221 2,497 1,609 923 76,556

2016 6,593 6,965 6,499 6,065 4,869 3,315 2,531 1,652 993 76,881

2017 6,411 7,088 6,575 6,008 5,254 3,459 2,583 1,700 1,036 77,210

2018 6,128 7,218 6,696 5,998 5,450 3,719 2,601 1,734 1,115 77,543

2019 5,720 7,374 6,827 6,102 5,609 3,940 2,639 1,770 1,177 77,881

2020 5,466 7,309 6,974 6,330 5,692 4,180 2,689 1,783 1,246 78,221

2021 5,272 7,177 7,167 6,452 5,800 4,393 2,778 1,817 1,304 78,563

2022 5,101 6,983 7,297 6,552 5,761 4,754 2,908 1,864 1,346 78,905

2023 4,985 6,683 7,437 6,690 5,774 4,958 3,132 1,891 1,403 79,247

2024 4,882 6,276 7,593 6,835 5,888 5,125 3,322 1,931 1,451 79,586

2025 4,778 6,016 7,542 6,991 6,114 5,230 3,525 1,979 1,494 79,920

2026 4,679 5,825 7,412 7,190 6,247 5,349 3,715 2,056 1,543 80,247

2027 4,667 5,659 7,215 7,327 6,369 5,337 4,040 2,158 1,593 80,563

2028 4,658 5,546 6,916 7,475 6,520 5,369 4,241 2,334 1,639 80,867

2029 4,663 5,439 6,528 7,633 6,674 5,490 4,403 2,483 1,692 81,158

2030 4,668 5,335 6,276 7,597 6,842 5,705 4,513 2,641 1,742 81,433

2031 4,677 5,233 6,098 7,476 7,044 5,847 4,627 2,794 1,819 81,692

2032 4,701 5,216 5,944 7,282 7,187 5,986 4,640 3,054 1,913 81,936

2033 4,756 5,208 5,834 6,995 7,339 6,144 4,691 3,227 2,049 82,165

2034 4,817 5,215 5,730 6,630 7,498 6,305 4,817 3,363 2,175 82,380

2035 4,884 5,223 5,635 6,390 7,481 6,477 5,018 3,460 2,306 82,580

2036 4,951 5,243 5,533 6,229 7,370 6,682 5,160 3,561 2,444 82,767

2037 4,988 5,278 5,515 6,090 7,190 6,826 5,305 3,593 2,669 82,942

2038 5,002 5,345 5,509 5,992 6,918 6,987 5,462 3,652 2,858 83,105

2039 5,046 5,416 5,518 5,894 6,588 7,146 5,621 3,772 3,009 83,257

2040 5,108 5,491 5,532 5,804 6,370 7,144 5,795 3,943 3,139 83,399

2041 5,173 5,564 5,563 5,710 6,232 7,049 5,993 4,070 3,275 83,529




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario KAWARTHA LAKES



Table 11.12

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 31,363 31,577 31,090 35,193 40,898 39,467 38,386 37,080 37,794 39,819

2014 31,332 31,818 31,064 34,770 40,717 40,007 39,165 37,328 37,808 39,000

2015 31,331 32,135 31,078 34,155 40,337 40,884 39,675 37,878 37,907 38,151

2016 31,517 32,231 31,453 33,423 40,019 41,573 40,061 38,618 37,769 38,166

2017 31,837 32,225 31,698 33,268 39,481 42,258 40,350 39,351 38,090 38,095

2018 32,181 32,180 32,207 33,003 39,311 42,709 40,528 40,193 38,316 38,235

2019 32,579 32,202 32,465 33,008 38,938 42,723 41,077 41,016 38,620 38,250

2020 32,958 32,265 32,792 33,049 38,360 42,535 41,941 41,614 39,182 38,363

2021 33,315 32,506 32,915 33,444 37,655 42,357 42,662 42,099 39,941 38,245

2022 33,646 32,870 32,939 33,737 37,501 41,890 43,431 42,477 40,692 38,561

2023 33,955 33,250 32,925 34,282 37,254 41,666 44,013 42,735 41,556 38,799

2024 34,228 33,679 32,983 34,577 37,291 41,254 44,182 43,319 42,389 39,119

2025 34,464 34,086 33,083 34,938 37,361 40,666 44,110 44,209 43,025 39,672

2026 34,663 34,470 33,354 35,101 37,778 39,958 44,011 44,971 43,550 40,421

2027 34,822 34,825 33,740 35,162 38,136 39,753 43,611 45,787 43,969 41,164

2028 34,934 35,158 34,134 35,182 38,736 39,496 43,379 46,431 44,269 42,024

2029 35,010 35,456 34,577 35,272 39,087 39,543 42,964 46,679 44,871 42,848

2030 35,051 35,715 35,000 35,414 39,501 39,614 42,384 46,677 45,766 43,495

2031 35,066 35,938 35,400 35,727 39,724 40,013 41,702 46,624 46,543 44,039

2032 35,069 36,118 35,771 36,150 39,831 40,406 41,475 46,263 47,382 44,480

2033 35,063 36,255 36,118 36,580 39,899 41,015 41,237 46,024 48,068 44,803

2034 35,069 36,348 36,433 37,056 40,042 41,386 41,297 45,602 48,366 45,413

2035 35,087 36,411 36,707 37,514 40,251 41,804 41,371 45,029 48,416 46,307

2036 35,128 36,443 36,947 37,947 40,629 42,045 41,759 44,362 48,398 47,092

2037 35,197 36,462 37,145 38,351 41,115 42,163 42,177 44,126 48,067 47,939

2038 35,293 36,478 37,297 38,733 41,607 42,251 42,790 43,899 47,833 48,641

2039 35,422 36,500 37,408 39,080 42,145 42,420 43,180 43,972 47,412 48,972

2040 35,586 36,534 37,486 39,388 42,662 42,671 43,605 44,058 46,848 49,057

2041 35,777 36,593 37,531 39,664 43,155 43,091 43,861 44,452 46,196 49,066

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 40,043 34,239 28,081 22,367 16,332 12,123 9,476 6,181 3,253 534,762

2014 40,864 35,149 29,102 23,441 17,160 12,501 9,501 6,331 3,575 540,633

2015 41,329 36,142 30,153 24,722 17,820 12,907 9,647 6,463 3,881 546,595

2016 40,936 37,370 31,159 25,816 18,598 13,385 9,796 6,571 4,180 552,641

2017 40,281 38,286 32,150 26,336 19,979 14,063 9,872 6,744 4,463 558,827

2018 39,268 39,227 33,088 26,927 21,375 14,781 10,072 6,886 4,708 565,195

2019 38,481 40,065 34,001 27,911 22,437 15,565 10,418 6,940 4,933 571,629

2020 37,686 40,542 34,998 28,933 23,681 16,208 10,791 7,087 5,143 578,128

2021 37,720 40,188 36,214 29,923 24,741 16,957 11,232 7,229 5,343 584,686

2022 37,676 39,563 37,126 30,908 25,266 18,272 11,840 7,327 5,580 591,302

2023 37,814 38,594 38,052 31,848 25,874 19,582 12,486 7,516 5,771 597,972

2024 37,828 37,828 38,884 32,758 26,846 20,592 13,188 7,800 5,906 604,651

2025 37,941 37,070 39,362 33,743 27,863 21,750 13,776 8,116 6,097 611,332

2026 37,833 37,110 39,039 34,933 28,844 22,738 14,460 8,488 6,283 618,005

2027 38,135 37,086 38,446 35,834 29,833 23,259 15,641 8,990 6,470 624,663

2028 38,376 37,220 37,529 36,753 30,774 23,871 16,807 9,526 6,697 631,296

2029 38,700 37,234 36,806 37,582 31,688 24,807 17,716 10,102 6,949 637,891

2030 39,241 37,344 36,110 38,069 32,674 25,794 18,743 10,589 7,258 644,439

2031 39,972 37,241 36,170 37,795 33,848 26,745 19,624 11,156 7,607 650,934

2032 40,697 37,537 36,165 37,258 34,750 27,711 20,123 12,142 8,041 657,369

2033 41,546 37,779 36,302 36,410 35,667 28,638 20,716 13,101 8,517 663,738

2034 42,358 38,110 36,325 35,734 36,499 29,539 21,584 13,847 9,032 670,040

2035 43,009 38,639 36,442 35,091 36,999 30,509 22,499 14,677 9,516 676,278

2036 43,562 39,356 36,360 35,164 36,769 31,646 23,381 15,388 10,081 682,457

2037 44,018 40,073 36,652 35,190 36,273 32,530 24,289 15,835 10,980 688,582

2038 44,356 40,914 36,901 35,342 35,484 33,434 25,165 16,372 11,872 694,662

2039 44,965 41,717 37,241 35,384 34,855 34,259 26,019 17,121 12,628 700,700

2040 45,849 42,372 37,765 35,515 34,276 34,768 26,938 17,913 13,412 706,703

2041 46,629 42,931 38,475 35,449 34,376 34,593 28,004 18,671 14,161 712,675




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario WATERLOO



Table 11.13

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 12,382 12,784 12,962 14,586 16,232 14,961 13,998 13,857 15,133 16,086

2014 12,444 12,817 12,888 14,458 16,179 15,264 14,225 13,824 15,005 15,575

2015 12,554 12,838 12,816 14,302 15,981 15,646 14,470 13,848 14,878 15,168

2016 12,766 12,768 12,839 14,075 15,828 15,957 14,756 13,937 14,589 15,286

2017 12,955 12,702 12,984 13,905 15,645 16,263 14,912 14,175 14,436 15,507

2018 13,153 12,716 13,116 13,720 15,622 16,310 15,153 14,400 14,405 15,614

2019 13,330 12,779 13,185 13,682 15,485 16,341 15,447 14,641 14,402 15,504

2020 13,498 12,892 13,235 13,642 15,314 16,245 15,822 14,895 14,440 15,406

2021 13,655 13,099 13,198 13,699 15,079 16,162 16,144 15,180 14,557 15,153

2022 13,799 13,286 13,150 13,863 14,913 16,009 16,472 15,357 14,799 15,026

2023 13,933 13,481 13,167 14,017 14,741 15,948 16,609 15,581 15,036 15,009

2024 14,048 13,662 13,230 14,101 14,715 15,786 16,702 15,864 15,289 15,023

2025 14,144 13,835 13,343 14,170 14,691 15,589 16,664 16,228 15,549 15,075

2026 14,219 13,999 13,545 14,150 14,773 15,339 16,616 16,544 15,828 15,211

2027 14,272 14,151 13,731 14,115 14,948 15,179 16,478 16,874 16,015 15,458

2028 14,301 14,292 13,924 14,134 15,121 15,023 16,398 17,051 16,230 15,703

2029 14,311 14,414 14,107 14,200 15,221 15,008 16,226 17,171 16,507 15,964

2030 14,306 14,516 14,284 14,316 15,311 14,996 16,022 17,167 16,861 16,232

2031 14,286 14,598 14,451 14,521 15,317 15,090 15,768 17,143 17,173 16,511

2032 14,258 14,661 14,606 14,717 15,303 15,262 15,617 17,019 17,510 16,705

2033 14,229 14,700 14,752 14,916 15,330 15,446 15,479 16,932 17,720 16,914

2034 14,202 14,718 14,881 15,109 15,404 15,555 15,474 16,758 17,866 17,190

2035 14,182 14,719 14,989 15,294 15,528 15,653 15,473 16,549 17,883 17,549

2036 14,171 14,707 15,078 15,470 15,732 15,677 15,573 16,300 17,871 17,866

2037 14,168 14,689 15,147 15,635 15,936 15,682 15,738 16,157 17,754 18,207

2038 14,179 14,669 15,192 15,792 16,142 15,707 15,931 16,032 17,662 18,432

2039 14,203 14,650 15,217 15,931 16,347 15,779 16,047 16,038 17,483 18,588

2040 14,245 14,635 15,223 16,050 16,546 15,902 16,155 16,043 17,271 18,617

2041 14,299 14,628 15,213 16,150 16,735 16,094 16,200 16,147 17,023 18,615

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 17,249 14,872 12,478 10,311 7,351 5,710 4,507 2,778 1,361 219,598

2014 17,542 15,333 12,821 10,861 7,745 5,826 4,603 2,904 1,509 221,823

2015 17,726 15,776 13,275 11,372 8,132 5,967 4,639 3,056 1,639 224,083

2016 17,369 16,365 13,645 11,806 8,515 6,178 4,722 3,211 1,767 226,379

2017 16,776 16,713 14,133 11,935 9,225 6,428 4,811 3,334 1,916 228,755

2018 16,168 17,024 14,568 12,277 9,854 6,731 4,931 3,367 2,092 231,221

2019 15,681 17,332 15,031 12,641 10,381 7,099 5,060 3,455 2,228 233,704

2020 15,289 17,524 15,478 13,108 10,878 7,464 5,206 3,501 2,368 236,205

2021 15,393 17,203 16,060 13,496 11,305 7,833 5,410 3,587 2,512 238,725

2022 15,591 16,655 16,417 13,993 11,443 8,505 5,652 3,682 2,650 241,262

2023 15,685 16,080 16,743 14,440 11,776 9,097 5,938 3,792 2,744 243,817

2024 15,582 15,617 17,062 14,907 12,143 9,597 6,278 3,914 2,856 246,376

2025 15,496 15,251 17,258 15,363 12,599 10,076 6,612 4,042 2,947 248,932

2026 15,261 15,345 16,973 15,941 12,992 10,486 6,961 4,225 3,072 251,480

2027 15,152 15,518 16,479 16,306 13,483 10,635 7,581 4,437 3,199 254,011

2028 15,142 15,598 15,945 16,647 13,929 10,959 8,131 4,682 3,312 256,522

2029 15,170 15,498 15,504 16,977 14,393 11,320 8,600 4,971 3,449 259,011

2030 15,229 15,420 15,152 17,181 14,845 11,761 9,047 5,245 3,579 261,470

2031 15,376 15,204 15,233 16,928 15,407 12,154 9,431 5,546 3,764 263,901

2032 15,619 15,112 15,393 16,470 15,777 12,633 9,592 6,076 3,973 266,303

2033 15,873 15,110 15,469 15,964 16,128 13,075 9,906 6,538 4,192 268,673

2034 16,140 15,149 15,383 15,542 16,468 13,527 10,260 6,931 4,451 271,008

2035 16,409 15,221 15,315 15,214 16,677 13,972 10,686 7,302 4,697 273,312

2036 16,682 15,379 15,115 15,299 16,457 14,518 11,069 7,620 4,997 275,581

2037 16,882 15,620 15,043 15,446 16,044 14,891 11,528 7,786 5,464 277,817

2038 17,089 15,879 15,052 15,519 15,579 15,251 11,956 8,074 5,887 280,024

2039 17,361 16,150 15,104 15,441 15,194 15,596 12,398 8,399 6,275 282,201

2040 17,715 16,417 15,182 15,386 14,904 15,813 12,837 8,776 6,635 284,352

2041 18,029 16,689 15,352 15,206 14,990 15,633 13,364 9,113 6,997 286,477




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario WELLINGTON



Table 12

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 90,363 91,622 93,110 110,542 128,093 118,049 111,485 109,441 116,480 131,923

2014 90,456 92,331 92,580 107,705 127,832 121,002 113,775 109,607 115,050 126,230

2015 90,864 93,244 92,254 104,328 126,994 124,355 116,253 110,177 113,937 121,729

2016 91,811 94,090 92,325 101,617 124,898 127,876 118,866 111,289 112,658 119,977

2017 93,153 94,322 93,341 99,750 122,270 130,986 121,608 112,615 112,344 119,133

2018 94,651 94,374 94,637 98,583 119,653 133,611 123,702 115,319 112,327 118,463

2019 96,270 94,750 95,535 98,286 117,212 133,909 127,033 118,028 112,814 117,293

2020 97,867 95,377 96,603 98,141 114,173 133,438 130,698 120,793 113,635 116,370

2021 99,411 96,492 97,534 98,389 111,665 131,664 134,378 123,594 114,952 115,203

2022 100,853 97,959 97,829 99,534 109,974 129,229 137,638 126,417 116,439 114,961

2023 102,171 99,525 97,929 100,941 108,937 126,704 140,301 128,515 119,187 114,984

2024 103,308 101,209 98,368 101,928 108,786 124,253 140,749 131,815 121,925 115,515

2025 104,241 102,863 99,037 103,102 108,790 121,203 140,400 135,467 124,709 116,380

2026 104,945 104,458 100,199 104,122 109,217 118,639 138,766 139,121 127,516 117,738

2027 105,400 105,946 101,714 104,498 110,505 116,924 136,415 142,401 130,337 119,268

2028 105,594 107,307 103,324 104,680 112,076 115,860 133,926 145,116 132,419 122,031

2029 105,546 108,491 105,045 105,205 113,217 115,717 131,453 145,698 135,698 124,781

2030 105,296 109,474 106,733 105,968 114,549 115,709 128,412 145,455 139,352 127,559

2031 104,882 110,221 108,360 107,239 115,692 116,184 125,812 143,968 142,981 130,365

2032 104,374 110,715 109,882 108,861 116,203 117,513 124,091 141,726 146,275 133,195

2033 103,843 110,935 111,275 110,579 116,522 119,125 123,015 139,335 149,016 135,277

2034 103,327 110,919 112,485 112,396 117,194 120,277 122,905 136,901 149,676 138,545

2035 102,876 110,706 113,498 114,176 118,097 121,642 122,895 133,923 149,511 142,200

2036 102,526 110,332 114,280 115,893 119,530 122,781 123,411 131,356 148,125 145,814

2037 102,302 109,865 114,805 117,504 121,310 123,295 124,776 129,666 145,978 149,115

2038 102,230 109,363 115,065 118,982 123,198 123,610 126,447 128,615 143,665 151,876

2039 102,329 108,878 115,078 120,286 125,175 124,306 127,633 128,546 141,273 152,609

2040 102,585 108,457 114,896 121,391 127,112 125,241 129,033 128,575 138,354 152,509

2041 102,988 108,142 114,551 122,267 128,983 126,736 130,171 129,141 135,828 151,211

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 145,273 129,188 110,854 94,487 67,753 50,447 38,037 24,162 14,046 1,775,355

2014 147,236 131,957 113,416 98,856 70,912 52,049 38,639 24,614 15,135 1,789,382

2015 147,370 135,046 116,677 103,365 73,761 53,607 39,146 25,292 16,166 1,804,565

2016 144,196 138,741 119,826 106,901 77,374 55,437 39,831 26,025 17,135 1,820,873

2017 139,222 141,570 123,574 106,951 83,919 58,005 40,619 26,728 17,957 1,838,067

2018 133,179 144,528 127,127 108,094 89,101 61,009 41,785 27,315 18,819 1,856,277

2019 127,713 146,711 130,125 110,827 93,420 64,061 43,307 27,878 19,530 1,874,702

2020 123,382 147,036 133,393 114,216 97,824 66,811 44,799 28,399 20,377 1,893,332

2021 121,738 144,033 137,202 117,478 101,323 70,274 46,508 29,068 21,238 1,912,144

2022 120,964 139,209 140,125 121,298 101,616 76,432 48,848 29,787 22,005 1,931,117

2023 120,324 133,276 143,146 124,900 102,906 81,359 51,564 30,801 22,751 1,950,221

2024 119,187 127,941 145,405 127,975 105,686 85,463 54,327 32,071 23,415 1,969,326

2025 118,299 123,734 145,834 131,311 109,099 89,618 56,811 33,326 24,146 1,988,370

2026 117,158 122,176 143,003 135,164 112,386 92,977 59,943 34,759 25,014 2,007,301

2027 116,934 121,435 138,379 138,158 116,194 93,517 65,477 36,676 25,875 2,026,053

2028 116,968 120,828 132,647 141,251 119,804 94,958 69,937 38,907 26,927 2,044,560

2029 117,527 119,737 127,465 143,585 122,925 97,758 73,657 41,187 28,083 2,062,775

2030 118,409 118,895 123,395 144,121 126,301 101,143 77,378 43,219 29,301 2,080,669

2031 119,803 117,794 121,938 141,456 130,167 104,406 80,443 45,785 30,716 2,098,212

2032 121,362 117,594 121,271 137,038 133,197 108,147 81,206 50,328 32,425 2,115,403

2033 124,146 117,666 120,727 131,545 136,314 111,704 82,760 54,002 34,460 2,132,246

2034 126,915 118,252 119,705 126,603 138,713 114,829 85,480 57,047 36,582 2,148,751

2035 129,706 119,164 118,932 122,762 139,394 118,197 88,710 60,022 38,532 2,164,943

2036 132,523 120,595 117,888 121,443 137,000 122,023 91,816 62,538 40,972 2,180,846

2037 135,362 122,182 117,745 120,872 132,922 125,073 95,349 63,447 44,933 2,196,501

2038 137,448 124,981 117,875 120,411 127,820 128,203 98,729 64,963 48,457 2,211,938

2039 140,708 127,759 118,517 119,489 123,248 130,654 101,754 67,390 51,551 2,227,183

2040 144,369 130,570 119,462 118,826 119,730 131,498 105,012 70,233 54,414 2,242,267

2041 147,986 133,390 120,932 117,895 118,619 129,448 108,680 72,953 57,291 2,257,212




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario EASTERN ONTARIO



Table 12.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 50,253 50,274 49,951 58,507 73,631 70,518 65,427 63,325 65,875 69,844

2014 50,441 50,678 50,101 57,688 73,313 73,045 66,985 63,815 65,978 67,940

2015 50,828 51,277 50,400 56,449 72,653 75,646 68,687 64,693 66,213 66,485

2016 51,634 51,848 50,765 55,557 71,558 78,169 70,547 65,687 66,185 66,503

2017 52,641 52,091 51,579 54,931 70,577 80,302 72,526 66,884 66,581 66,995

2018 53,867 52,226 52,316 54,877 69,856 81,736 74,223 68,738 67,213 67,463

2019 55,106 52,602 52,846 55,177 69,149 81,840 76,841 70,537 67,918 67,655

2020 56,351 53,127 53,555 55,584 67,941 81,483 79,543 72,396 68,937 67,970

2021 57,587 54,028 54,207 56,058 67,035 80,543 82,126 74,357 70,065 68,005

2022 58,789 55,103 54,514 56,973 66,441 79,519 84,340 76,395 71,359 68,429

2023 59,941 56,358 54,693 57,823 66,376 78,618 85,887 78,075 73,277 69,044

2024 61,006 57,622 55,114 58,448 66,730 77,687 86,147 80,627 75,139 69,756

2025 61,960 58,890 55,673 59,260 67,170 76,300 85,941 83,279 77,047 70,777

2026 62,784 60,142 56,606 59,999 67,738 75,207 85,117 85,829 79,044 71,932

2027 63,458 61,355 57,706 60,388 68,781 74,487 84,112 88,066 81,100 73,235

2028 63,967 62,515 58,976 60,635 69,812 74,288 83,180 89,713 82,765 75,161

2029 64,311 63,592 60,258 61,136 70,591 74,590 82,189 90,104 85,293 77,030

2030 64,504 64,556 61,541 61,771 71,575 74,973 80,788 90,007 87,946 78,948

2031 64,567 65,394 62,806 62,783 72,461 75,550 79,662 89,284 90,504 80,948

2032 64,531 66,086 64,034 63,967 72,979 76,632 78,935 88,329 92,785 82,985

2033 64,434 66,614 65,209 65,306 73,335 77,762 78,706 87,415 94,511 84,627

2034 64,310 66,981 66,295 66,663 73,960 78,604 79,009 86,422 94,982 87,128

2035 64,195 67,205 67,272 68,021 74,715 79,648 79,379 85,031 94,950 89,778

2036 64,121 67,300 68,127 69,360 75,867 80,546 79,983 83,898 94,275 92,330

2037 64,111 67,304 68,833 70,660 77,208 81,067 81,096 83,183 93,327 94,614

2038 64,190 67,246 69,380 71,904 78,690 81,441 82,291 82,946 92,395 96,360

2039 64,370 67,166 69,766 73,060 80,201 82,100 83,179 83,258 91,364 96,877

2040 64,651 67,097 70,010 74,107 81,709 82,899 84,257 83,642 89,947 96,901

2041 65,029 67,070 70,129 75,032 83,196 84,107 85,177 84,281 88,782 96,283

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 73,261 62,715 51,606 42,511 29,599 22,327 16,988 10,920 6,768 934,300

2014 74,259 64,315 52,870 44,834 31,220 22,973 17,244 11,176 7,250 946,125

2015 74,504 66,087 54,637 47,093 32,674 23,705 17,481 11,529 7,654 958,695

2016 73,281 68,005 56,350 48,947 34,665 24,503 17,809 11,881 8,079 971,973

2017 71,273 69,367 58,310 49,385 37,770 25,690 18,260 12,209 8,444 985,815

2018 68,827 70,994 60,167 50,082 40,533 27,078 18,734 12,556 8,845 1,000,331

2019 67,072 72,120 61,871 51,429 42,816 28,645 19,364 12,811 9,205 1,015,004

2020 65,729 72,486 63,709 53,242 45,028 30,048 20,060 13,055 9,595 1,029,839

2021 65,780 71,396 65,666 54,989 46,865 31,937 20,816 13,372 10,004 1,044,836

2022 66,280 69,508 67,081 56,968 47,374 34,882 21,906 13,772 10,359 1,059,992

2023 66,738 67,177 68,712 58,836 48,133 37,487 23,168 14,204 10,757 1,075,304

2024 66,926 65,504 69,874 60,549 49,506 39,645 24,578 14,747 11,080 1,090,685

2025 67,240 64,238 70,298 62,392 51,313 41,726 25,838 15,341 11,428 1,106,111

2026 67,278 64,306 69,319 64,352 53,063 43,479 27,530 15,989 11,844 1,121,558

2027 67,700 64,787 67,571 65,797 55,031 44,053 30,173 16,905 12,290 1,136,995

2028 68,303 65,227 65,375 67,441 56,897 44,869 32,505 17,962 12,796 1,152,387

2029 69,018 65,411 63,782 68,635 58,611 46,252 34,444 19,130 13,324 1,167,701

2030 70,020 65,726 62,579 69,115 60,449 48,030 36,306 20,168 13,905 1,182,907

2031 71,166 65,783 62,655 68,228 62,416 49,752 37,901 21,559 14,563 1,197,982

2032 72,458 66,203 63,138 66,585 63,893 51,681 38,521 23,755 15,415 1,212,912

2033 74,362 66,800 63,590 64,501 65,553 53,517 39,362 25,678 16,404 1,227,686

2034 76,212 67,517 63,789 62,986 66,788 55,214 40,699 27,274 17,467 1,242,300

2035 78,106 68,512 64,112 61,858 67,333 57,033 42,379 28,783 18,452 1,256,762

2036 80,078 69,657 64,190 61,964 66,553 58,984 44,010 30,111 19,729 1,271,083

2037 82,083 70,935 64,623 62,463 65,034 60,475 45,830 30,732 21,703 1,285,281

2038 83,703 72,811 65,229 62,932 63,088 62,135 47,570 31,534 23,524 1,299,369

2039 86,155 74,638 65,958 63,155 61,674 63,394 49,189 32,737 25,131 1,313,372

2040 88,760 76,511 66,950 63,502 60,636 64,004 50,930 34,212 26,587 1,327,312

2041 91,274 78,456 68,092 63,613 60,785 63,351 52,797 35,644 28,111 1,341,209




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario OTTAWA



Table 12.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 7,341 7,177 7,350 9,003 12,987 11,788 10,276 9,103 9,399 10,897

2014 7,395 7,312 7,148 8,792 12,578 12,237 10,582 9,281 9,226 10,318

2015 7,503 7,394 7,037 8,478 12,117 12,801 10,873 9,463 9,115 9,934

2016 7,644 7,445 7,041 8,205 11,582 13,275 11,124 9,801 8,987 9,798

2017 7,823 7,466 7,058 8,089 11,165 13,453 11,428 10,090 9,123 9,582

2018 8,003 7,513 7,139 7,914 10,907 13,501 11,720 10,378 9,307 9,483

2019 8,154 7,581 7,277 7,762 10,711 13,297 12,102 10,690 9,482 9,327

2020 8,288 7,694 7,366 7,673 10,407 13,020 12,590 10,982 9,656 9,216

2021 8,408 7,831 7,422 7,689 10,124 12,634 13,018 11,221 9,967 9,091

2022 8,510 8,001 7,444 7,721 9,987 12,273 13,241 11,498 10,236 9,198

2023 8,592 8,169 7,491 7,815 9,809 11,988 13,368 11,751 10,510 9,344

2024 8,651 8,316 7,552 7,953 9,681 11,751 13,253 12,089 10,802 9,498

2025 8,688 8,448 7,659 8,048 9,605 11,431 13,062 12,526 11,081 9,655

2026 8,704 8,568 7,785 8,116 9,631 11,137 12,756 12,924 11,306 9,930

2027 8,698 8,672 7,948 8,141 9,695 10,977 12,437 13,158 11,565 10,172

2028 8,670 8,756 8,107 8,187 9,818 10,803 12,163 13,318 11,794 10,434

2029 8,625 8,821 8,251 8,245 9,966 10,699 11,928 13,256 12,107 10,710

2030 8,565 8,867 8,382 8,352 10,074 10,633 11,626 13,112 12,513 10,974

2031 8,494 8,888 8,501 8,478 10,157 10,667 11,345 12,860 12,888 11,190

2032 8,420 8,889 8,603 8,643 10,190 10,752 11,184 12,580 13,128 11,434

2033 8,351 8,865 8,688 8,806 10,237 10,886 11,024 12,323 13,306 11,647

2034 8,288 8,825 8,754 8,957 10,295 11,029 10,945 12,094 13,276 11,938

2035 8,232 8,776 8,801 9,094 10,413 11,132 10,889 11,804 13,165 12,316

2036 8,191 8,718 8,825 9,219 10,551 11,212 10,924 11,532 12,949 12,671

2037 8,163 8,654 8,832 9,328 10,727 11,241 11,014 11,376 12,693 12,912

2038 8,151 8,590 8,818 9,418 10,904 11,280 11,153 11,227 12,449 13,102

2039 8,155 8,531 8,786 9,492 11,075 11,338 11,288 11,160 12,228 13,094

2040 8,173 8,481 8,742 9,548 11,231 11,450 11,392 11,113 11,946 13,011

2041 8,205 8,445 8,689 9,583 11,373 11,589 11,473 11,150 11,685 12,828

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 12,221 11,007 9,604 8,569 6,291 4,855 3,910 2,272 1,268 155,318

2014 12,394 11,184 9,895 8,849 6,618 4,961 3,947 2,336 1,374 156,427

2015 12,279 11,438 10,214 9,235 6,863 5,024 3,956 2,464 1,468 157,656

2016 11,941 11,715 10,508 9,535 7,158 5,151 3,960 2,559 1,567 158,996

2017 11,471 11,956 10,845 9,493 7,720 5,365 3,982 2,675 1,626 160,410

2018 10,841 12,251 11,077 9,571 8,182 5,641 4,041 2,744 1,692 161,905

2019 10,292 12,445 11,291 9,875 8,471 5,947 4,149 2,782 1,770 163,405

2020 9,931 12,362 11,565 10,212 8,848 6,183 4,224 2,813 1,877 164,907

2021 9,803 12,044 11,864 10,522 9,145 6,461 4,354 2,836 1,975 166,409

2022 9,612 11,591 12,124 10,872 9,126 6,989 4,556 2,874 2,058 167,911

2023 9,519 10,982 12,432 11,120 9,221 7,427 4,810 2,939 2,126 169,413

2024 9,367 10,446 12,642 11,352 9,523 7,713 5,092 3,036 2,187 170,904

2025 9,252 10,090 12,584 11,638 9,859 8,069 5,310 3,116 2,259 172,380

2026 9,132 9,964 12,285 11,956 10,169 8,354 5,563 3,236 2,323 173,839

2027 9,223 9,783 11,844 12,234 10,521 8,361 6,043 3,408 2,396 175,276

2028 9,349 9,698 11,250 12,558 10,777 8,475 6,444 3,615 2,470 176,686

2029 9,490 9,548 10,718 12,784 11,025 8,772 6,717 3,844 2,560 178,066

2030 9,636 9,433 10,364 12,748 11,322 9,098 7,046 4,020 2,649 179,414

2031 9,891 9,315 10,237 12,462 11,652 9,401 7,312 4,227 2,760 180,725

2032 10,121 9,395 10,070 12,033 11,937 9,745 7,341 4,629 2,906 182,000

2033 10,376 9,512 9,988 11,451 12,266 10,004 7,469 4,961 3,080 183,240

2034 10,647 9,646 9,844 10,931 12,502 10,258 7,752 5,188 3,276 184,445

2035 10,905 9,782 9,733 10,589 12,487 10,559 8,060 5,445 3,436 185,618

2036 11,114 10,029 9,614 10,470 12,223 10,891 8,349 5,655 3,627 186,764

2037 11,349 10,251 9,688 10,315 11,819 11,180 8,678 5,705 3,965 187,890

2038 11,552 10,504 9,798 10,234 11,277 11,503 8,933 5,839 4,271 189,003

2039 11,832 10,768 9,928 10,097 10,792 11,744 9,187 6,088 4,521 190,104

2040 12,193 11,029 10,061 9,994 10,475 11,757 9,480 6,357 4,762 191,195

2041 12,534 11,238 10,302 9,883 10,372 11,529 9,805 6,603 4,991 192,277




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario FRONTENAC



Table 12.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 6,797 6,947 7,172 8,573 8,523 7,560 7,672 7,503 8,217 10,000

2014 6,676 7,060 6,986 8,244 8,505 7,496 7,731 7,589 7,847 9,308

2015 6,615 7,051 6,879 7,875 8,524 7,449 7,870 7,600 7,513 8,753

2016 6,560 7,082 6,747 7,531 8,495 7,479 7,927 7,728 7,229 8,415

2017 6,543 7,083 6,778 7,250 8,247 7,632 7,943 7,736 7,154 8,199

2018 6,514 7,029 6,870 7,045 7,871 7,823 7,951 7,897 7,075 7,925

2019 6,539 6,948 6,979 6,884 7,588 7,850 7,973 7,995 7,145 7,610

2020 6,558 6,923 6,974 6,786 7,284 7,872 8,008 8,149 7,161 7,311

2021 6,569 6,900 7,004 6,674 7,004 7,838 8,087 8,230 7,275 7,047

2022 6,568 6,907 7,005 6,700 6,769 7,629 8,255 8,268 7,293 6,968

2023 6,560 6,895 6,956 6,787 6,590 7,327 8,431 8,284 7,434 6,897

2024 6,543 6,926 6,889 6,881 6,455 7,085 8,469 8,324 7,526 6,953

2025 6,516 6,953 6,874 6,879 6,379 6,816 8,482 8,386 7,661 6,962

2026 6,476 6,974 6,861 6,906 6,304 6,559 8,434 8,480 7,740 7,059

2027 6,425 6,982 6,875 6,904 6,325 6,362 8,234 8,647 7,779 7,084

2028 6,365 6,982 6,875 6,862 6,404 6,207 7,948 8,817 7,797 7,214

2029 6,296 6,971 6,912 6,804 6,480 6,101 7,709 8,855 7,841 7,305

2030 6,223 6,948 6,945 6,796 6,480 6,030 7,437 8,861 7,914 7,427

2031 6,144 6,914 6,968 6,795 6,497 5,972 7,172 8,809 8,008 7,505

2032 6,067 6,868 6,982 6,816 6,487 5,993 6,980 8,610 8,161 7,559

2033 5,994 6,811 6,986 6,827 6,457 6,054 6,823 8,338 8,313 7,582

2034 5,928 6,744 6,980 6,868 6,417 6,109 6,726 8,097 8,346 7,633

2035 5,869 6,671 6,964 6,903 6,415 6,113 6,651 7,831 8,348 7,710

2036 5,818 6,594 6,935 6,930 6,424 6,130 6,600 7,570 8,296 7,800

2037 5,777 6,518 6,892 6,948 6,451 6,120 6,623 7,385 8,115 7,940

2038 5,744 6,444 6,839 6,956 6,470 6,092 6,683 7,232 7,874 8,079

2039 5,719 6,377 6,775 6,955 6,509 6,058 6,737 7,141 7,654 8,117

2040 5,702 6,316 6,707 6,941 6,545 6,061 6,747 7,073 7,415 8,119

2041 5,692 6,264 6,633 6,917 6,574 6,075 6,764 7,031 7,182 8,071

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 11,692 10,836 9,660 8,597 6,267 4,935 3,519 2,343 1,237 138,050

2014 11,844 11,014 9,758 8,935 6,457 5,006 3,637 2,287 1,350 137,730

2015 11,782 11,219 9,960 9,287 6,600 5,076 3,700 2,283 1,470 137,506

2016 11,403 11,494 10,144 9,481 6,894 5,151 3,722 2,348 1,546 137,376

2017 10,804 11,625 10,448 9,342 7,503 5,224 3,824 2,377 1,609 137,321

2018 10,234 11,794 10,710 9,300 7,894 5,412 3,923 2,387 1,686 137,340

2019 9,576 11,967 10,915 9,415 8,219 5,596 4,005 2,472 1,700 137,376

2020 9,048 11,927 11,140 9,631 8,549 5,739 4,086 2,531 1,749 137,426

2021 8,735 11,573 11,427 9,826 8,742 6,010 4,166 2,568 1,814 137,489

2022 8,532 11,002 11,577 10,132 8,639 6,560 4,254 2,650 1,851 137,559

2023 8,273 10,439 11,759 10,394 8,626 6,922 4,430 2,733 1,898 137,635

2024 7,976 9,803 11,938 10,609 8,755 7,221 4,599 2,811 1,945 137,708

2025 7,697 9,291 11,909 10,844 8,974 7,521 4,740 2,886 2,007 137,777

2026 7,443 8,994 11,575 11,136 9,174 7,709 4,979 2,962 2,066 137,831

2027 7,362 8,800 11,031 11,299 9,471 7,647 5,457 3,044 2,138 137,866

2028 7,293 8,554 10,488 11,491 9,727 7,665 5,781 3,192 2,216 137,878

2029 7,343 8,272 9,879 11,672 9,947 7,802 6,048 3,335 2,292 137,864

2030 7,358 8,009 9,394 11,657 10,183 8,019 6,313 3,457 2,373 137,824

2031 7,455 7,766 9,121 11,346 10,475 8,216 6,490 3,647 2,456 137,756

2032 7,487 7,686 8,940 10,840 10,648 8,499 6,467 4,023 2,549 137,662

2033 7,622 7,621 8,711 10,330 10,843 8,748 6,512 4,284 2,687 137,543

2034 7,720 7,669 8,445 9,762 11,024 8,966 6,655 4,494 2,819 137,402

2035 7,845 7,689 8,201 9,312 11,025 9,199 6,865 4,691 2,942 137,244

2036 7,934 7,784 7,973 9,064 10,748 9,479 7,057 4,831 3,104 137,071

2037 7,996 7,828 7,899 8,898 10,292 9,655 7,321 4,843 3,390 136,891

2038 8,027 7,966 7,844 8,690 9,829 9,851 7,554 4,907 3,626 136,707

2039 8,084 8,069 7,892 8,447 9,319 10,033 7,764 5,042 3,830 136,522

2040 8,169 8,198 7,913 8,228 8,922 10,052 7,986 5,228 4,013 136,335

2041 8,264 8,290 8,009 8,020 8,708 9,819 8,254 5,393 4,188 136,148




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HASTINGS



Table 12.4

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,144 3,302 3,504 4,283 3,758 3,173 3,196 3,394 4,037 5,119

2014 3,145 3,230 3,545 4,090 3,827 3,169 3,264 3,228 3,925 4,751

2015 3,131 3,244 3,515 3,866 3,904 3,217 3,348 3,080 3,762 4,515

2016 3,129 3,286 3,474 3,729 3,821 3,317 3,439 2,998 3,592 4,382

2017 3,143 3,268 3,491 3,598 3,749 3,396 3,528 2,996 3,399 4,264

2018 3,150 3,286 3,494 3,508 3,622 3,541 3,508 3,080 3,248 4,194

2019 3,180 3,286 3,439 3,541 3,473 3,616 3,542 3,153 3,117 4,092

2020 3,211 3,279 3,455 3,514 3,305 3,680 3,619 3,236 2,999 3,948

2021 3,237 3,286 3,494 3,481 3,195 3,624 3,729 3,323 2,940 3,792

2022 3,263 3,307 3,477 3,501 3,097 3,563 3,817 3,403 2,945 3,625

2023 3,286 3,320 3,494 3,509 3,029 3,461 3,942 3,403 3,018 3,500

2024 3,302 3,355 3,497 3,471 3,052 3,347 3,997 3,450 3,088 3,390

2025 3,314 3,390 3,492 3,493 3,033 3,206 4,034 3,530 3,169 3,291

2026 3,317 3,422 3,503 3,526 3,013 3,106 3,975 3,634 3,252 3,247

2027 3,311 3,453 3,529 3,516 3,038 3,022 3,905 3,719 3,330 3,255

2028 3,295 3,483 3,548 3,534 3,053 2,963 3,808 3,823 3,340 3,330

2029 3,274 3,504 3,587 3,539 3,038 2,971 3,696 3,867 3,390 3,405

2030 3,249 3,522 3,625 3,540 3,064 2,953 3,563 3,893 3,467 3,490

2031 3,219 3,529 3,663 3,556 3,094 2,943 3,462 3,841 3,563 3,572

2032 3,189 3,526 3,697 3,587 3,093 2,969 3,379 3,775 3,647 3,656

2033 3,162 3,512 3,729 3,612 3,108 2,991 3,320 3,689 3,743 3,677

2034 3,137 3,492 3,751 3,654 3,115 2,987 3,323 3,590 3,783 3,734

2035 3,115 3,467 3,770 3,695 3,122 3,015 3,305 3,472 3,805 3,818

2036 3,098 3,437 3,778 3,735 3,141 3,047 3,301 3,380 3,760 3,917

2037 3,084 3,407 3,776 3,772 3,174 3,048 3,329 3,306 3,698 4,003

2038 3,074 3,379 3,763 3,805 3,203 3,058 3,361 3,254 3,618 4,101

2039 3,069 3,354 3,743 3,829 3,247 3,065 3,364 3,257 3,528 4,142

2040 3,069 3,330 3,718 3,849 3,288 3,071 3,394 3,243 3,418 4,159

2041 3,073 3,312 3,687 3,858 3,327 3,094 3,419 3,241 3,334 4,111

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 6,120 5,767 5,290 4,459 3,136 2,181 1,689 1,132 672 67,356

2014 6,250 5,855 5,381 4,701 3,286 2,301 1,689 1,164 711 67,512

2015 6,306 5,922 5,508 4,925 3,440 2,388 1,683 1,185 756 67,695

2016 6,136 6,041 5,625 5,108 3,599 2,517 1,707 1,205 804 67,909

2017 5,892 6,180 5,765 5,040 3,958 2,649 1,765 1,217 845 68,143

2018 5,500 6,358 5,834 5,133 4,144 2,865 1,821 1,228 885 68,399

2019 5,129 6,484 5,917 5,229 4,373 3,018 1,929 1,237 917 68,672

2020 4,884 6,529 5,990 5,355 4,587 3,169 2,008 1,240 951 68,959

2021 4,751 6,355 6,109 5,478 4,763 3,329 2,122 1,266 983 69,257

2022 4,638 6,107 6,245 5,620 4,717 3,668 2,241 1,317 1,012 69,563

2023 4,571 5,721 6,421 5,704 4,808 3,858 2,428 1,364 1,037 69,874

2024 4,470 5,364 6,545 5,797 4,909 4,078 2,567 1,449 1,059 70,187

2025 4,337 5,127 6,593 5,880 5,041 4,283 2,698 1,511 1,077 70,499

2026 4,191 5,002 6,429 6,009 5,170 4,449 2,848 1,602 1,112 70,807

2027 4,042 4,895 6,190 6,150 5,318 4,425 3,149 1,701 1,159 71,107

2028 3,926 4,830 5,822 6,324 5,418 4,520 3,326 1,852 1,202 71,397

2029 3,829 4,735 5,480 6,451 5,520 4,632 3,526 1,965 1,267 71,676

2030 3,742 4,610 5,251 6,495 5,615 4,772 3,709 2,070 1,316 71,946

2031 3,708 4,473 5,139 6,337 5,749 4,907 3,859 2,196 1,396 72,206

2032 3,722 4,337 5,043 6,106 5,888 5,059 3,857 2,442 1,485 72,457

2033 3,801 4,234 4,984 5,760 6,057 5,169 3,953 2,594 1,608 72,703

2034 3,884 4,147 4,896 5,444 6,182 5,280 4,068 2,758 1,720 72,945

2035 3,974 4,073 4,780 5,233 6,234 5,386 4,202 2,904 1,812 73,182

2036 4,064 4,049 4,651 5,133 6,097 5,528 4,337 3,025 1,935 73,413

2037 4,155 4,068 4,528 5,050 5,890 5,672 4,485 3,045 2,147 73,637

2038 4,182 4,153 4,440 4,993 5,577 5,840 4,600 3,131 2,319 73,851

2039 4,247 4,243 4,368 4,910 5,289 5,968 4,713 3,239 2,479 74,054

2040 4,343 4,338 4,305 4,806 5,095 6,020 4,824 3,364 2,613 74,247

2041 4,452 4,431 4,287 4,693 5,008 5,895 4,970 3,487 2,752 74,431




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario LANARK



Table 12.5

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,232 4,798 5,287 6,345 5,857 4,564 4,619 5,299 6,218 7,771

2014 4,191 4,781 5,148 6,163 5,996 4,567 4,693 5,085 6,027 7,317

2015 4,195 4,748 4,976 5,972 6,057 4,656 4,774 4,959 5,736 6,982

2016 4,215 4,682 4,952 5,745 5,996 4,802 4,824 4,905 5,519 6,716

2017 4,226 4,657 4,963 5,526 5,838 5,001 4,902 4,839 5,348 6,450

2018 4,217 4,666 4,982 5,327 5,629 5,222 4,985 4,862 5,160 6,277

2019 4,267 4,637 4,973 5,208 5,456 5,321 5,044 4,962 4,986 6,103

2020 4,317 4,648 4,950 5,064 5,288 5,352 5,164 5,064 4,884 5,841

2021 4,363 4,677 4,894 5,046 5,091 5,288 5,323 5,135 4,848 5,641

2022 4,404 4,700 4,866 5,062 4,912 5,154 5,503 5,224 4,803 5,490

2023 4,439 4,702 4,870 5,085 4,756 4,985 5,684 5,301 4,837 5,327

2024 4,464 4,756 4,845 5,082 4,669 4,842 5,755 5,373 4,934 5,180

2025 4,476 4,809 4,859 5,067 4,568 4,686 5,766 5,498 5,036 5,093

2026 4,477 4,859 4,890 5,023 4,558 4,522 5,690 5,652 5,109 5,064

2027 4,465 4,903 4,919 4,996 4,575 4,379 5,553 5,818 5,195 5,033

2028 4,440 4,941 4,930 4,998 4,600 4,258 5,384 5,981 5,264 5,081

2029 4,403 4,967 4,984 4,979 4,601 4,192 5,235 6,038 5,339 5,180

2030 4,356 4,981 5,037 4,991 4,593 4,114 5,068 6,041 5,460 5,280

2031 4,301 4,982 5,089 5,021 4,565 4,106 4,903 5,961 5,604 5,356

2032 4,243 4,969 5,133 5,054 4,545 4,122 4,768 5,823 5,756 5,450

2033 4,188 4,940 5,171 5,072 4,548 4,148 4,655 5,658 5,900 5,522

2034 4,135 4,901 5,198 5,125 4,537 4,151 4,595 5,507 5,947 5,601

2035 4,089 4,849 5,213 5,178 4,547 4,156 4,525 5,335 5,949 5,721

2036 4,047 4,791 5,215 5,229 4,573 4,147 4,516 5,169 5,872 5,862

2037 4,012 4,731 5,202 5,274 4,606 4,131 4,537 5,037 5,740 6,011

2038 3,983 4,674 5,172 5,312 4,630 4,129 4,569 4,928 5,583 6,151

2039 3,964 4,618 5,131 5,339 4,679 4,119 4,575 4,876 5,435 6,195

2040 3,951 4,569 5,078 5,354 4,727 4,127 4,587 4,813 5,269 6,192

2041 3,944 4,525 5,019 5,355 4,770 4,151 4,584 4,805 5,113 6,113

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 9,019 8,602 7,825 7,058 5,226 3,750 2,762 1,729 912 101,873

2014 9,123 8,722 8,025 7,286 5,451 3,915 2,801 1,789 976 102,056

2015 9,143 8,867 8,235 7,518 5,680 4,053 2,824 1,814 1,076 102,265

2016 8,919 9,046 8,442 7,737 5,916 4,199 2,882 1,865 1,144 102,506

2017 8,633 9,245 8,661 7,666 6,333 4,471 2,918 1,879 1,223 102,779

2018 8,207 9,426 8,871 7,731 6,605 4,705 3,036 1,882 1,300 103,090

2019 7,751 9,541 9,013 7,939 6,831 4,925 3,181 1,920 1,356 103,414

2020 7,410 9,566 9,180 8,156 7,059 5,142 3,304 1,947 1,414 103,750

2021 7,157 9,334 9,377 8,375 7,273 5,371 3,436 2,000 1,466 104,095

2022 6,904 9,037 9,582 8,605 7,220 5,773 3,666 2,033 1,508 104,446

2023 6,737 8,598 9,772 8,816 7,294 6,047 3,877 2,122 1,547 104,796

2024 6,568 8,132 9,897 8,969 7,499 6,274 4,075 2,233 1,595 105,142

2025 6,320 7,786 9,920 9,144 7,720 6,502 4,260 2,328 1,638 105,476

2026 6,128 7,541 9,688 9,351 7,935 6,714 4,461 2,433 1,699 105,794

2027 5,984 7,301 9,380 9,561 8,166 6,684 4,833 2,603 1,742 106,090

2028 5,833 7,141 8,933 9,756 8,382 6,769 5,087 2,765 1,817 106,360

2029 5,698 6,978 8,466 9,887 8,545 6,974 5,294 2,928 1,913 106,601

2030 5,623 6,742 8,121 9,916 8,725 7,196 5,498 3,071 1,998 106,811

2031 5,608 6,549 7,890 9,685 8,939 7,416 5,689 3,228 2,100 106,992

2032 5,587 6,413 7,662 9,378 9,148 7,648 5,689 3,525 2,231 107,144

2033 5,648 6,273 7,509 8,943 9,342 7,864 5,784 3,731 2,374 107,270

2034 5,755 6,150 7,350 8,497 9,481 8,036 5,978 3,900 2,528 107,372

2035 5,863 6,083 7,124 8,167 9,517 8,224 6,189 4,061 2,663 107,453

2036 5,948 6,075 6,937 7,952 9,306 8,445 6,396 4,213 2,821 107,514

2037 6,050 6,065 6,811 7,739 9,022 8,655 6,614 4,235 3,084 107,556

2038 6,124 6,140 6,678 7,595 8,617 8,851 6,816 4,327 3,300 107,579

2039 6,216 6,253 6,566 7,445 8,206 8,998 6,986 4,491 3,491 107,583

2040 6,346 6,368 6,506 7,237 7,902 9,046 7,169 4,670 3,659 107,570

2041 6,495 6,462 6,508 7,061 7,710 8,861 7,381 4,846 3,836 107,539




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario LEEDS and GRENVILLE



Table 12.6

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 2,065 2,253 2,340 2,717 2,572 2,212 2,376 2,641 2,800 3,306

2014 2,036 2,265 2,392 2,641 2,617 2,168 2,364 2,592 2,775 3,171

2015 2,043 2,259 2,396 2,551 2,634 2,188 2,335 2,544 2,740 3,084

2016 2,025 2,262 2,407 2,494 2,599 2,228 2,302 2,486 2,750 3,044

2017 2,023 2,230 2,441 2,448 2,528 2,257 2,298 2,469 2,730 3,042

2018 2,028 2,207 2,485 2,421 2,404 2,321 2,273 2,456 2,702 3,011

2019 2,031 2,178 2,503 2,446 2,321 2,315 2,262 2,460 2,671 2,977

2020 2,035 2,186 2,500 2,442 2,234 2,295 2,291 2,449 2,641 2,937

2021 2,039 2,173 2,500 2,451 2,172 2,244 2,333 2,438 2,606 2,931

2022 2,039 2,177 2,472 2,485 2,131 2,175 2,357 2,446 2,602 2,915

2023 2,039 2,185 2,455 2,521 2,098 2,086 2,401 2,438 2,609 2,893

2024 2,034 2,195 2,431 2,542 2,106 2,020 2,392 2,445 2,624 2,876

2025 2,025 2,205 2,443 2,536 2,098 1,949 2,365 2,483 2,630 2,858

2026 2,012 2,217 2,437 2,537 2,102 1,893 2,312 2,530 2,629 2,841

2027 1,997 2,223 2,449 2,515 2,121 1,855 2,244 2,559 2,644 2,848

2028 1,978 2,225 2,465 2,501 2,146 1,821 2,165 2,600 2,645 2,865

2029 1,957 2,223 2,480 2,481 2,166 1,813 2,105 2,591 2,661 2,892

2030 1,932 2,217 2,494 2,492 2,164 1,798 2,032 2,564 2,709 2,910

2031 1,907 2,207 2,508 2,494 2,168 1,797 1,971 2,508 2,762 2,918

2032 1,882 2,193 2,515 2,510 2,154 1,809 1,931 2,437 2,795 2,940

2033 1,860 2,175 2,517 2,531 2,141 1,826 1,895 2,361 2,837 2,948

2034 1,839 2,153 2,516 2,551 2,129 1,842 1,877 2,299 2,830 2,975

2035 1,821 2,128 2,510 2,567 2,137 1,842 1,859 2,223 2,802 3,031

2036 1,805 2,102 2,499 2,582 2,141 1,842 1,855 2,156 2,746 3,090

2037 1,790 2,075 2,485 2,591 2,158 1,832 1,863 2,110 2,675 3,131

2038 1,779 2,050 2,467 2,594 2,178 1,825 1,880 2,068 2,596 3,179

2039 1,773 2,026 2,445 2,594 2,196 1,819 1,893 2,050 2,527 3,176

2040 1,769 2,006 2,420 2,589 2,211 1,827 1,896 2,032 2,445 3,147

2041 1,766 1,989 2,394 2,578 2,225 1,835 1,897 2,028 2,372 3,088

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 3,875 3,489 3,326 2,969 2,140 1,395 993 529 353 44,351

2014 3,976 3,601 3,336 3,041 2,261 1,482 988 551 377 44,634

2015 4,034 3,668 3,382 3,143 2,329 1,585 1,004 576 394 44,889

2016 3,957 3,816 3,423 3,173 2,395 1,710 1,035 609 405 45,120

2017 3,804 3,981 3,464 3,102 2,562 1,824 1,076 633 420 45,332

2018 3,661 4,122 3,500 3,095 2,692 1,930 1,135 651 435 45,529

2019 3,505 4,220 3,602 3,105 2,767 2,046 1,207 653 456 45,725

2020 3,404 4,265 3,671 3,147 2,864 2,119 1,293 667 480 45,920

2021 3,359 4,180 3,813 3,187 2,903 2,192 1,399 687 505 46,112

2022 3,345 4,021 3,962 3,232 2,852 2,352 1,496 714 527 46,300

2023 3,308 3,860 4,096 3,274 2,853 2,482 1,585 754 544 46,481

2024 3,264 3,694 4,185 3,371 2,873 2,563 1,679 802 558 46,654

2025 3,219 3,586 4,220 3,439 2,920 2,663 1,743 860 575 46,817

2026 3,205 3,538 4,129 3,570 2,967 2,712 1,813 930 598 46,972

2027 3,189 3,517 3,972 3,703 3,019 2,678 1,963 997 625 47,118

2028 3,171 3,478 3,813 3,826 3,065 2,689 2,083 1,058 657 47,251

2029 3,161 3,431 3,651 3,909 3,158 2,719 2,158 1,125 692 47,373

2030 3,148 3,383 3,546 3,937 3,229 2,774 2,241 1,176 738 47,484

2031 3,144 3,362 3,499 3,855 3,350 2,828 2,288 1,229 791 47,586

2032 3,158 3,346 3,473 3,713 3,472 2,891 2,273 1,341 846 47,679

2033 3,184 3,333 3,434 3,565 3,585 2,945 2,297 1,429 903 47,766

2034 3,216 3,328 3,387 3,415 3,666 3,037 2,335 1,489 963 47,847

2035 3,244 3,316 3,345 3,319 3,695 3,110 2,396 1,558 1,018 47,921

2036 3,263 3,322 3,321 3,277 3,624 3,228 2,450 1,599 1,087 47,989

2037 3,294 3,341 3,308 3,252 3,497 3,349 2,510 1,597 1,192 48,050

2038 3,308 3,376 3,297 3,218 3,363 3,461 2,567 1,622 1,277 48,105

2039 3,340 3,415 3,297 3,175 3,222 3,543 2,656 1,658 1,348 48,153

2040 3,403 3,451 3,292 3,138 3,135 3,574 2,733 1,709 1,416 48,193

2041 3,470 3,473 3,307 3,115 3,095 3,513 2,845 1,757 1,478 48,225




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario LENNOX and ADDINGTON



Table 12.7

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,693 4,849 4,919 6,153 5,633 4,535 4,965 5,419 6,072 7,522

2014 4,745 4,940 4,897 5,860 5,767 4,601 5,012 5,410 5,863 7,095

2015 4,756 5,062 4,911 5,591 5,795 4,776 5,031 5,276 5,789 6,665

2016 4,782 5,176 4,959 5,387 5,702 4,874 5,174 5,215 5,678 6,342

2017 4,833 5,244 5,068 5,219 5,547 5,015 5,304 5,162 5,550 6,183

2018 4,874 5,298 5,221 5,074 5,367 5,213 5,346 5,236 5,442 6,045

2019 4,938 5,357 5,322 5,053 5,127 5,318 5,468 5,323 5,437 5,859

2020 5,006 5,371 5,451 5,066 4,909 5,326 5,670 5,383 5,335 5,784

2021 5,075 5,402 5,561 5,114 4,742 5,241 5,800 5,535 5,294 5,675

2022 5,138 5,459 5,622 5,215 4,611 5,110 5,951 5,670 5,263 5,555

2023 5,188 5,509 5,667 5,357 4,503 4,966 6,126 5,723 5,345 5,460

2024 5,223 5,584 5,723 5,447 4,494 4,775 6,203 5,852 5,438 5,461

2025 5,242 5,660 5,740 5,567 4,511 4,589 6,191 6,052 5,506 5,378

2026 5,247 5,733 5,775 5,671 4,553 4,443 6,092 6,189 5,652 5,351

2027 5,232 5,799 5,838 5,724 4,641 4,333 5,944 6,341 5,786 5,334

2028 5,199 5,853 5,893 5,763 4,759 4,245 5,786 6,510 5,842 5,418

2029 5,152 5,891 5,973 5,812 4,836 4,231 5,592 6,574 5,975 5,513

2030 5,098 5,914 6,055 5,831 4,936 4,236 5,398 6,556 6,171 5,587

2031 5,040 5,921 6,131 5,872 5,018 4,265 5,239 6,454 6,313 5,732

2032 4,986 5,908 6,201 5,938 5,059 4,333 5,121 6,305 6,463 5,863

2033 4,938 5,873 6,258 6,000 5,092 4,424 5,028 6,147 6,621 5,922

2034 4,899 5,823 6,299 6,081 5,134 4,479 5,008 5,956 6,674 6,054

2035 4,871 5,766 6,323 6,163 5,153 4,561 5,004 5,760 6,653 6,244

2036 4,853 5,703 6,330 6,239 5,192 4,629 5,023 5,598 6,552 6,386

2037 4,846 5,643 6,316 6,307 5,253 4,661 5,084 5,476 6,404 6,533

2038 4,850 5,589 6,280 6,364 5,313 4,680 5,165 5,384 6,248 6,683

2039 4,863 5,544 6,229 6,403 5,387 4,713 5,213 5,360 6,063 6,731

2040 4,883 5,509 6,172 6,429 5,459 4,725 5,289 5,346 5,871 6,712

2041 4,908 5,484 6,108 6,439 5,527 4,762 5,347 5,358 5,709 6,614

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 8,233 7,149 5,767 4,741 3,327 2,237 1,587 955 567 89,323

2014 8,342 7,380 6,070 4,904 3,544 2,360 1,617 994 607 90,008

2015 8,443 7,616 6,339 5,145 3,704 2,491 1,672 1,020 663 90,745

2016 8,373 7,867 6,615 5,402 3,898 2,597 1,751 1,042 704 91,538

2017 8,085 8,123 6,876 5,558 4,174 2,814 1,772 1,106 731 92,364

2018 7,670 8,322 7,230 5,682 4,431 3,019 1,855 1,138 765 93,228

2019 7,250 8,437 7,468 5,985 4,610 3,229 1,962 1,161 804 94,108

2020 6,832 8,534 7,710 6,254 4,856 3,387 2,080 1,202 845 95,001

2021 6,527 8,453 7,964 6,529 5,105 3,574 2,177 1,260 873 95,901

2022 6,376 8,167 8,216 6,788 5,256 3,843 2,359 1,281 924 96,804

2023 6,248 7,757 8,416 7,129 5,378 4,090 2,537 1,347 956 97,702

2024 6,074 7,346 8,536 7,365 5,663 4,264 2,717 1,429 992 98,586

2025 6,000 6,942 8,629 7,610 5,918 4,500 2,856 1,521 1,036 99,448

2026 5,892 6,658 8,545 7,860 6,182 4,734 3,018 1,598 1,089 100,282

2027 5,780 6,519 8,262 8,110 6,435 4,877 3,263 1,736 1,125 101,079

2028 5,692 6,402 7,859 8,312 6,760 4,998 3,489 1,870 1,188 101,838

2029 5,698 6,240 7,461 8,434 6,991 5,265 3,652 2,010 1,254 102,554

2030 5,626 6,171 7,068 8,527 7,227 5,512 3,858 2,121 1,336 103,228

2031 5,608 6,064 6,800 8,440 7,471 5,767 4,061 2,253 1,412 103,861

2032 5,599 5,957 6,669 8,163 7,713 6,009 4,194 2,453 1,520 104,454

2033 5,691 5,875 6,558 7,775 7,910 6,315 4,313 2,632 1,637 105,009

2034 5,791 5,881 6,404 7,392 8,032 6,541 4,552 2,767 1,764 105,531

2035 5,871 5,818 6,339 7,020 8,122 6,772 4,775 2,930 1,878 106,023

2036 6,011 5,808 6,235 6,773 8,044 7,009 5,002 3,095 2,002 106,484

2037 6,145 5,806 6,134 6,653 7,789 7,241 5,225 3,209 2,193 106,918

2038 6,207 5,904 6,061 6,550 7,429 7,434 5,498 3,312 2,376 107,327

2039 6,344 6,008 6,071 6,406 7,076 7,558 5,706 3,508 2,529 107,712

2040 6,536 6,090 6,016 6,346 6,737 7,652 5,919 3,691 2,693 108,075

2041 6,680 6,232 6,011 6,254 6,520 7,584 6,138 3,878 2,863 108,416




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PRESCOTT and RUSSELL



Table 12.8

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 895 953 1,058 1,444 1,347 976 986 1,005 1,255 1,719

2014 874 970 1,037 1,371 1,396 1,006 976 998 1,191 1,596

2015 903 937 1,023 1,289 1,419 1,043 963 1,004 1,143 1,529

2016 909 943 1,002 1,219 1,429 1,088 958 990 1,099 1,510

2017 900 950 1,008 1,183 1,391 1,138 957 978 1,067 1,483

2018 894 962 1,017 1,133 1,355 1,185 970 980 1,049 1,436

2019 904 948 1,036 1,112 1,297 1,223 994 976 1,049 1,378

2020 914 977 1,011 1,094 1,236 1,244 1,019 970 1,056 1,333

2021 923 985 1,018 1,076 1,180 1,249 1,053 971 1,048 1,283

2022 931 982 1,025 1,083 1,144 1,217 1,092 972 1,041 1,255

2023 936 978 1,034 1,093 1,104 1,183 1,126 982 1,049 1,240

2024 939 988 1,022 1,111 1,083 1,140 1,151 999 1,051 1,241

2025 939 997 1,043 1,095 1,070 1,089 1,161 1,019 1,050 1,249

2026 935 1,005 1,050 1,101 1,059 1,044 1,161 1,045 1,054 1,249

2027 929 1,012 1,048 1,106 1,065 1,016 1,136 1,077 1,057 1,246

2028 921 1,016 1,044 1,114 1,076 984 1,104 1,104 1,066 1,260

2029 911 1,018 1,054 1,102 1,094 968 1,068 1,125 1,082 1,267

2030 901 1,017 1,063 1,117 1,083 959 1,026 1,134 1,099 1,271

2031 890 1,014 1,071 1,123 1,085 950 987 1,134 1,123 1,277

2032 878 1,009 1,078 1,124 1,089 955 961 1,112 1,154 1,284

2033 868 1,002 1,082 1,123 1,095 964 936 1,082 1,182 1,293

2034 859 993 1,084 1,133 1,085 977 924 1,048 1,201 1,309

2035 853 983 1,083 1,143 1,095 970 915 1,012 1,208 1,327

2036 847 972 1,080 1,152 1,101 972 909 977 1,206 1,352

2037 842 961 1,075 1,159 1,103 976 913 951 1,185 1,387

2038 838 951 1,068 1,163 1,106 976 921 930 1,155 1,418

2039 836 941 1,059 1,166 1,114 969 932 919 1,120 1,438

2040 834 934 1,049 1,165 1,123 977 927 911 1,083 1,443

2041 834 926 1,038 1,162 1,131 982 929 905 1,048 1,440

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 2,209 2,290 2,364 2,286 1,693 1,189 869 566 248 25,352

2014 2,218 2,347 2,335 2,383 1,741 1,242 896 562 291 25,430

2015 2,192 2,386 2,370 2,407 1,819 1,286 926 574 314 25,527

2016 2,139 2,434 2,365 2,443 1,908 1,345 932 595 334 25,642

2017 2,090 2,438 2,428 2,367 2,082 1,423 928 592 373 25,776

2018 2,010 2,452 2,470 2,387 2,165 1,503 962 595 406 25,931

2019 1,895 2,477 2,538 2,377 2,270 1,555 1,011 618 424 26,082

2020 1,827 2,462 2,590 2,422 2,309 1,632 1,053 641 441 26,231

2021 1,809 2,410 2,652 2,431 2,353 1,720 1,102 649 463 26,375

2022 1,781 2,351 2,668 2,499 2,292 1,884 1,167 651 482 26,517

2023 1,732 2,260 2,693 2,547 2,316 1,969 1,233 682 498 26,655

2024 1,674 2,139 2,723 2,619 2,319 2,064 1,286 722 519 26,790

2025 1,627 2,065 2,712 2,677 2,372 2,107 1,353 755 539 26,919

2026 1,576 2,044 2,656 2,742 2,392 2,153 1,432 790 554 27,042

2027 1,551 2,011 2,591 2,767 2,463 2,111 1,574 836 566 27,162

2028 1,536 1,961 2,493 2,803 2,516 2,140 1,653 890 594 27,275

2029 1,541 1,904 2,364 2,840 2,589 2,156 1,737 936 626 27,382

2030 1,549 1,859 2,282 2,830 2,652 2,212 1,780 990 660 27,484

2031 1,553 1,807 2,263 2,774 2,721 2,240 1,824 1,051 692 27,579

2032 1,555 1,783 2,231 2,705 2,754 2,311 1,800 1,159 727 27,669

2033 1,574 1,769 2,183 2,605 2,795 2,368 1,834 1,225 774 27,754

2034 1,587 1,774 2,127 2,482 2,838 2,442 1,859 1,288 823 27,833

2035 1,596 1,786 2,080 2,403 2,834 2,507 1,915 1,326 871 27,907

2036 1,606 1,794 2,025 2,384 2,779 2,579 1,949 1,364 928 27,976

2037 1,616 1,796 2,005 2,351 2,715 2,618 2,016 1,356 1,015 28,040

2038 1,628 1,818 1,993 2,304 2,621 2,664 2,072 1,389 1,084 28,099

2039 1,648 1,834 2,001 2,247 2,505 2,712 2,144 1,418 1,149 28,152

2040 1,674 1,850 2,013 2,202 2,429 2,711 2,210 1,467 1,199 28,201

2041 1,704 1,866 2,025 2,149 2,410 2,664 2,278 1,503 1,251 28,245




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PRINCE EDWARD



Table 12.9

Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,230 5,161 5,374 6,088 6,584 6,850 6,225 5,743 6,011 7,232

2014 5,247 5,152 5,244 5,872 6,577 6,802 6,317 5,795 5,794 6,746

2015 5,250 5,205 5,166 5,606 6,610 6,661 6,513 5,796 5,636 6,311

2016 5,283 5,284 5,018 5,437 6,556 6,655 6,620 5,797 5,523 6,089

2017 5,371 5,268 4,955 5,360 6,393 6,666 6,731 5,822 5,448 5,979

2018 5,450 5,211 4,999 5,240 6,194 6,739 6,741 5,975 5,381 5,873

2019 5,496 5,239 5,004 5,129 6,006 6,748 6,766 6,099 5,429 5,696

2020 5,537 5,252 5,061 5,062 5,764 6,766 6,714 6,297 5,438 5,560

2021 5,572 5,292 5,134 4,934 5,598 6,702 6,749 6,416 5,449 5,455

2022 5,596 5,379 5,120 4,886 5,505 6,544 6,790 6,525 5,478 5,387

2023 5,609 5,456 5,069 4,929 5,389 6,353 6,864 6,543 5,615 5,324

2024 5,610 5,503 5,094 4,935 5,290 6,167 6,867 6,581 5,723 5,364

2025 5,600 5,545 5,105 4,988 5,224 5,934 6,872 6,566 5,896 5,373

2026 5,578 5,580 5,141 5,058 5,119 5,762 6,801 6,618 6,003 5,386

2027 5,544 5,606 5,221 5,045 5,088 5,656 6,651 6,667 6,101 5,419

2028 5,497 5,621 5,292 4,996 5,135 5,543 6,465 6,740 6,122 5,545

2029 5,438 5,625 5,336 5,017 5,146 5,457 6,282 6,745 6,164 5,646

2030 5,373 5,617 5,375 5,027 5,197 5,396 6,059 6,740 6,169 5,802

2031 5,305 5,596 5,408 5,060 5,253 5,314 5,885 6,668 6,226 5,901

2032 5,237 5,562 5,433 5,134 5,235 5,298 5,775 6,525 6,277 5,998

2033 5,173 5,515 5,448 5,198 5,195 5,344 5,664 6,350 6,347 6,022

2034 5,116 5,461 5,452 5,242 5,210 5,354 5,584 6,173 6,352 6,069

2035 5,064 5,399 5,446 5,281 5,220 5,395 5,527 5,964 6,343 6,086

2036 5,018 5,334 5,430 5,314 5,254 5,438 5,460 5,800 6,272 6,147

2037 4,980 5,267 5,401 5,339 5,319 5,421 5,451 5,692 6,141 6,204

2038 4,950 5,203 5,361 5,354 5,378 5,381 5,493 5,587 5,983 6,273

2039 4,929 5,145 5,309 5,361 5,424 5,387 5,505 5,516 5,823 6,278

2040 4,917 5,092 5,250 5,358 5,465 5,394 5,539 5,461 5,639 6,263

2041 4,912 5,047 5,187 5,343 5,500 5,427 5,570 5,404 5,484 6,194

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 8,494 8,061 7,220 6,037 4,705 3,559 2,715 1,736 988 104,013

2014 8,650 8,095 7,372 6,400 4,793 3,663 2,764 1,762 1,076 104,121

2015 8,639 8,205 7,515 6,749 4,945 3,702 2,830 1,806 1,168 104,313

2016 8,350 8,408 7,679 7,008 5,048 3,827 2,903 1,858 1,244 104,587

2017 7,880 8,560 7,896 7,031 5,419 4,002 2,910 1,923 1,306 104,920

2018 7,402 8,685 8,119 7,095 5,730 4,178 2,937 2,006 1,352 105,307

2019 6,933 8,856 8,188 7,264 6,083 4,270 3,032 2,052 1,401 105,691

2020 6,515 8,857 8,325 7,426 6,422 4,415 3,079 2,109 1,468 106,067

2021 6,303 8,580 8,542 7,602 6,676 4,528 3,191 2,175 1,536 106,434

2022 6,200 8,119 8,702 7,830 6,711 4,878 3,350 2,187 1,600 106,787

2023 6,099 7,639 8,834 8,057 6,783 5,172 3,506 2,220 1,665 107,126

2024 5,931 7,176 9,006 8,140 6,954 5,496 3,597 2,300 1,713 107,447

2025 5,797 6,766 9,010 8,285 7,124 5,803 3,731 2,347 1,781 107,747

2026 5,688 6,559 8,740 8,508 7,304 6,037 3,845 2,446 1,852 108,025

2027 5,619 6,458 8,289 8,672 7,531 6,082 4,159 2,578 1,891 108,277

2028 5,560 6,360 7,813 8,815 7,755 6,159 4,424 2,708 1,950 108,500

2029 5,595 6,198 7,354 8,985 7,847 6,329 4,709 2,791 2,028 108,692

2030 5,603 6,066 6,954 8,993 8,002 6,500 4,981 2,903 2,098 108,855

2031 5,623 5,957 6,756 8,732 8,226 6,676 5,190 3,006 2,205 108,987

2032 5,661 5,890 6,661 8,291 8,393 6,895 5,241 3,276 2,309 109,091

2033 5,788 5,833 6,564 7,828 8,541 7,107 5,323 3,503 2,425 109,168

2034 5,890 5,866 6,407 7,382 8,709 7,207 5,485 3,736 2,524 109,219

2035 6,042 5,875 6,281 7,004 8,720 7,362 5,653 3,950 2,633 109,245

2036 6,143 5,898 6,173 6,817 8,476 7,579 5,818 4,121 2,758 109,250

2037 6,242 5,939 6,107 6,725 8,063 7,747 6,021 4,179 2,997 109,235

2038 6,270 6,069 6,052 6,635 7,627 7,895 6,221 4,262 3,210 109,204

2039 6,322 6,174 6,084 6,487 7,211 8,054 6,327 4,408 3,412 109,156

2040 6,348 6,326 6,095 6,368 6,860 8,069 6,481 4,565 3,603 109,093

2041 6,415 6,429 6,124 6,265 6,691 7,854 6,684 4,714 3,774 109,018




RENFREW



Table 12.10

Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario STORMONT, DUNDAS & GLENGARRY

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,713 5,908 6,155 7,429 7,201 5,873 5,743 6,009 6,596 8,513

2014 5,706 5,943 6,082 6,984 7,256 5,911 5,851 5,814 6,424 7,988

2015 5,640 6,067 5,951 6,651 7,281 5,918 5,859 5,762 6,290 7,471

2016 5,630 6,082 5,960 6,313 7,160 5,989 5,951 5,682 6,096 7,178

2017 5,650 6,065 6,000 6,146 6,835 6,126 5,991 5,639 5,944 6,956

2018 5,654 5,976 6,114 6,044 6,448 6,330 5,985 5,717 5,750 6,756

2019 5,655 5,974 6,156 5,974 6,084 6,381 6,041 5,833 5,580 6,596

2020 5,650 5,920 6,280 5,856 5,805 6,400 6,080 5,867 5,528 6,470

2021 5,638 5,918 6,300 5,866 5,524 6,301 6,160 5,968 5,460 6,283

2022 5,615 5,944 6,284 5,908 5,377 6,045 6,292 6,016 5,419 6,139

2023 5,581 5,953 6,200 6,022 5,283 5,737 6,472 6,015 5,493 5,955

2024 5,536 5,964 6,201 6,058 5,226 5,439 6,515 6,075 5,600 5,796

2025 5,481 5,966 6,149 6,169 5,132 5,203 6,526 6,128 5,633 5,744

2026 5,415 5,958 6,151 6,185 5,140 4,966 6,428 6,220 5,727 5,679

2027 5,341 5,941 6,181 6,163 5,176 4,837 6,199 6,349 5,780 5,642

2028 5,262 5,915 6,194 6,090 5,273 4,748 5,923 6,510 5,784 5,723

2029 5,179 5,879 6,210 6,090 5,299 4,695 5,649 6,543 5,846 5,833

2030 5,095 5,835 6,216 6,051 5,383 4,617 5,415 6,547 5,904 5,870

2031 5,015 5,776 6,215 6,057 5,394 4,620 5,186 6,449 5,990 5,966

2032 4,941 5,705 6,206 6,088 5,372 4,650 5,057 6,230 6,109 6,026

2033 4,875 5,628 6,187 6,104 5,314 4,726 4,964 5,972 6,256 6,037

2034 4,816 5,546 6,156 6,122 5,312 4,745 4,914 5,715 6,285 6,104

2035 4,767 5,462 6,116 6,131 5,280 4,810 4,841 5,491 6,288 6,169

2036 4,728 5,381 6,061 6,133 5,286 4,818 4,840 5,276 6,197 6,259

2037 4,697 5,305 5,993 6,126 5,311 4,798 4,866 5,150 6,000 6,380

2038 4,671 5,237 5,917 6,112 5,326 4,748 4,931 5,059 5,764 6,530

2039 4,651 5,176 5,835 6,087 5,343 4,738 4,947 5,009 5,531 6,561

2040 4,636 5,123 5,750 6,051 5,354 4,710 5,005 4,941 5,321 6,562

2041 4,625 5,080 5,667 6,000 5,360 4,714 5,011 4,938 5,119 6,469

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 10,149 9,272 8,192 7,260 5,369 4,019 3,005 1,980 1,033 115,419

2014 10,180 9,444 8,374 7,523 5,541 4,146 3,056 1,993 1,123 115,339

2015 10,048 9,638 8,517 7,863 5,707 4,297 3,070 2,041 1,203 115,274

2016 9,697 9,915 8,675 8,067 5,893 4,437 3,130 2,063 1,308 115,226

2017 9,290 10,095 8,881 7,967 6,398 4,543 3,184 2,117 1,380 115,207

2018 8,827 10,124 9,149 8,018 6,725 4,678 3,341 2,128 1,453 115,217

2019 8,310 10,164 9,322 8,209 6,980 4,830 3,467 2,172 1,497 115,225

2020 7,802 10,048 9,513 8,371 7,302 4,977 3,612 2,194 1,557 115,232

2021 7,514 9,708 9,788 8,539 7,498 5,152 3,745 2,255 1,619 115,236

2022 7,296 9,306 9,968 8,752 7,429 5,603 3,853 2,308 1,684 115,238

2023 7,099 8,843 10,011 9,023 7,494 5,905 3,990 2,436 1,723 115,235

2024 6,937 8,337 10,059 9,204 7,685 6,145 4,137 2,542 1,767 115,223

2025 6,810 7,843 9,959 9,402 7,858 6,444 4,282 2,661 1,806 115,196

2026 6,625 7,570 9,637 9,680 8,030 6,636 4,454 2,773 1,877 115,151

2027 6,484 7,364 9,249 9,865 8,239 6,599 4,863 2,868 1,943 115,083

2028 6,305 7,177 8,801 9,925 8,507 6,674 5,145 2,995 2,037 114,988

2029 6,154 7,020 8,310 9,988 8,692 6,857 5,372 3,123 2,127 114,866

2030 6,104 6,896 7,836 9,903 8,897 7,030 5,646 3,243 2,228 114,716

2031 6,047 6,718 7,578 9,597 9,168 7,203 5,829 3,389 2,341 114,538

2032 6,014 6,584 7,384 9,224 9,351 7,409 5,823 3,725 2,437 114,335

2033 6,100 6,416 7,206 8,787 9,422 7,667 5,913 3,965 2,568 114,107

2034 6,213 6,274 7,056 8,312 9,491 7,848 6,097 4,153 2,698 113,857

2035 6,260 6,230 6,937 7,857 9,427 8,045 6,276 4,374 2,827 113,588

2036 6,362 6,179 6,769 7,609 9,150 8,301 6,448 4,524 2,981 113,302

2037 6,432 6,153 6,642 7,426 8,801 8,481 6,649 4,546 3,247 113,003

2038 6,447 6,240 6,483 7,260 8,392 8,569 6,898 4,640 3,470 112,694

2039 6,520 6,357 6,352 7,120 7,954 8,650 7,082 4,801 3,661 112,375

2040 6,597 6,409 6,311 7,005 7,539 8,613 7,280 4,970 3,869 112,046

2041 6,698 6,513 6,267 6,842 7,320 8,378 7,528 5,128 4,047 111,704






Table 13

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 84,537 87,406 89,707 105,651 112,022 98,703 94,525 92,977 99,308 113,482

2014 83,694 87,528 88,892 102,883 112,475 99,376 94,760 92,796 97,312 108,180

2015 83,190 87,631 88,029 99,891 111,970 100,897 95,182 92,292 95,693 103,978

2016 82,881 87,643 87,930 96,866 110,841 102,309 95,588 92,205 93,729 101,747

2017 83,043 86,941 88,175 95,028 108,912 104,085 95,796 92,309 92,476 100,135

2018 83,179 86,277 88,939 93,360 106,743 105,680 95,751 93,041 91,773 98,590

2019 83,615 85,559 89,128 92,643 104,315 106,339 96,547 93,496 91,710 96,763

2020 84,026 85,182 89,316 91,882 101,701 106,118 98,102 94,106 91,371 95,285

2021 84,382 85,021 89,401 91,895 99,005 105,305 99,563 94,702 91,449 93,472

2022 84,675 85,281 88,794 92,238 97,408 103,687 101,350 95,101 91,707 92,361

2023 84,887 85,513 88,207 93,077 95,974 101,806 102,917 95,186 92,545 91,756

2024 85,008 86,019 87,577 93,349 95,441 99,652 103,627 96,028 93,128 91,758

2025 85,021 86,504 87,261 93,620 94,851 97,332 103,500 97,566 93,832 91,509

2026 84,919 86,938 87,177 93,774 94,975 94,893 102,844 98,997 94,508 91,678

2027 84,694 87,305 87,498 93,247 95,449 93,459 101,418 100,749 94,988 92,030

2028 84,350 87,592 87,788 92,745 96,352 92,197 99,730 102,291 95,147 92,930

2029 83,910 87,785 88,355 92,212 96,743 91,738 97,782 103,033 96,011 93,597

2030 83,394 87,863 88,895 91,991 97,119 91,232 95,654 102,989 97,526 94,367

2031 82,833 87,827 89,371 92,021 97,349 91,398 93,424 102,453 98,947 95,090

2032 82,283 87,665 89,784 92,439 96,964 91,899 92,105 101,164 100,683 95,630

2033 81,754 87,381 90,111 92,835 96,613 92,786 90,972 99,634 102,217 95,857

2034 81,267 86,999 90,353 93,483 96,268 93,195 90,581 97,826 102,995 96,746

2035 80,847 86,540 90,478 94,099 96,217 93,616 90,155 95,837 103,016 98,257

2036 80,508 86,028 90,492 94,662 96,436 93,875 90,371 93,750 102,557 99,665

2037 80,243 85,524 90,373 95,165 96,998 93,594 90,912 92,533 101,362 101,391

2038 80,071 85,035 90,136 95,583 97,548 93,339 91,806 91,495 99,930 102,936

2039 79,981 84,590 89,795 95,913 98,313 93,114 92,257 91,168 98,227 103,749

2040 79,963 84,210 89,373 96,125 99,055 93,169 92,729 90,811 96,348 103,816

2041 80,013 83,913 88,898 96,219 99,744 93,497 93,022 91,074 94,368 103,415

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 127,004 117,493 102,302 86,915 63,947 48,778 37,972 24,302 13,120 1,600,151

2014 127,547 119,548 104,586 90,727 66,416 50,236 38,139 24,636 14,407 1,604,138

2015 126,674 121,516 107,335 94,387 69,157 51,338 38,361 25,154 15,579 1,608,254

2016 123,596 123,684 109,883 97,543 72,057 52,991 38,603 25,786 16,621 1,612,503

2017 119,146 124,789 113,077 97,616 77,473 55,258 39,066 26,284 17,529 1,617,138

2018 113,712 126,142 115,566 98,975 81,859 57,618 40,060 26,707 18,294 1,622,266

2019 108,576 126,820 117,728 101,337 85,589 60,019 41,419 26,923 19,043 1,627,569

2020 104,505 126,100 119,819 104,146 89,177 62,642 42,496 27,224 19,834 1,633,032

2021 102,389 123,166 122,111 106,759 92,301 65,443 44,041 27,565 20,674 1,638,644

2022 100,881 118,869 123,349 109,990 92,573 70,592 46,113 28,039 21,371 1,644,379

2023 99,419 113,589 124,819 112,540 94,036 74,787 48,281 28,914 21,960 1,650,213

2024 97,671 108,615 125,621 114,793 96,453 78,366 50,474 30,049 22,416 1,656,045

2025 96,261 104,671 125,040 116,974 99,301 81,804 52,819 30,979 23,000 1,661,845

2026 94,513 102,668 122,273 119,375 101,951 84,811 55,362 32,271 23,652 1,667,579

2027 93,476 101,237 118,157 120,743 105,181 85,303 60,003 33,955 24,319 1,673,211

2028 92,926 99,846 113,070 122,321 107,813 86,870 63,800 35,742 25,195 1,678,705

2029 92,972 98,178 108,282 123,260 110,141 89,311 67,029 37,536 26,166 1,684,041

2030 92,782 96,842 104,499 122,842 112,422 92,172 70,107 39,416 27,095 1,689,207

2031 93,024 95,167 102,634 120,278 114,916 94,842 72,830 41,484 28,306 1,694,194

2032 93,446 94,201 101,300 116,399 116,434 98,037 73,526 45,261 29,780 1,699,000

2033 94,398 93,711 100,000 111,582 118,150 100,704 75,140 48,352 31,432 1,703,629

2034 95,140 93,790 98,428 107,053 119,263 103,094 77,512 50,947 33,145 1,708,085

2035 95,973 93,664 97,179 103,486 119,054 105,462 80,244 53,400 34,845 1,712,369

2036 96,759 93,970 95,580 101,798 116,759 108,031 82,810 55,598 36,847 1,716,496

2037 97,370 94,454 94,700 100,592 113,193 109,687 85,822 56,403 40,163 1,720,479

2038 97,642 95,477 94,284 99,408 108,727 111,531 88,401 57,915 43,072 1,724,336

2039 98,562 96,291 94,426 97,954 104,540 112,797 90,752 60,016 45,632 1,728,077

2040 100,088 97,194 94,372 96,813 101,272 112,815 93,101 62,389 48,060 1,731,703

2041 101,527 98,031 94,757 95,345 99,792 110,848 95,627 64,626 50,515 1,735,231




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO



Table 13.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,627 3,410 3,232 3,967 4,028 3,760 3,802 3,196 3,278 4,285

2014 3,637 3,537 3,194 3,816 4,031 3,709 3,840 3,240 3,256 3,984

2015 3,623 3,642 3,243 3,649 3,975 3,688 3,850 3,297 3,246 3,716

2016 3,567 3,791 3,320 3,480 3,906 3,607 3,894 3,400 3,133 3,612

2017 3,558 3,861 3,395 3,394 3,793 3,615 3,864 3,505 3,056 3,510

2018 3,545 3,875 3,568 3,304 3,612 3,679 3,810 3,597 3,034 3,426

2019 3,547 3,884 3,684 3,265 3,485 3,698 3,782 3,631 3,061 3,402

2020 3,548 3,874 3,783 3,299 3,345 3,662 3,787 3,646 3,096 3,383

2021 3,545 3,828 3,918 3,365 3,205 3,611 3,750 3,686 3,173 3,275

2022 3,538 3,825 3,979 3,432 3,132 3,523 3,777 3,669 3,258 3,203

2023 3,526 3,818 3,990 3,582 3,055 3,386 3,839 3,631 3,336 3,180

2024 3,512 3,825 3,998 3,680 3,024 3,281 3,859 3,620 3,372 3,201

2025 3,496 3,830 3,989 3,765 3,047 3,161 3,830 3,641 3,392 3,231

2026 3,476 3,830 3,952 3,878 3,092 3,040 3,784 3,628 3,427 3,298

2027 3,448 3,829 3,952 3,928 3,146 2,972 3,702 3,662 3,416 3,377

2028 3,418 3,823 3,948 3,940 3,258 2,905 3,580 3,716 3,391 3,450

2029 3,384 3,816 3,963 3,946 3,328 2,873 3,480 3,737 3,388 3,488

2030 3,347 3,805 3,974 3,940 3,394 2,875 3,367 3,716 3,413 3,514

2031 3,312 3,788 3,980 3,912 3,477 2,904 3,255 3,677 3,411 3,550

2032 3,281 3,764 3,984 3,918 3,510 2,940 3,185 3,603 3,448 3,549

2033 3,255 3,736 3,982 3,919 3,521 3,019 3,118 3,501 3,499 3,532

2034 3,233 3,703 3,979 3,935 3,525 3,068 3,085 3,409 3,524 3,535

2035 3,217 3,667 3,972 3,948 3,524 3,116 3,079 3,307 3,510 3,565

2036 3,208 3,632 3,956 3,960 3,510 3,174 3,100 3,202 3,475 3,574

2037 3,205 3,599 3,932 3,969 3,519 3,193 3,133 3,136 3,411 3,617

2038 3,207 3,570 3,904 3,971 3,525 3,199 3,198 3,076 3,319 3,673

2039 3,213 3,546 3,871 3,971 3,543 3,199 3,237 3,048 3,237 3,701

2040 3,219 3,529 3,837 3,967 3,559 3,199 3,276 3,039 3,146 3,687

2041 3,227 3,518 3,802 3,954 3,574 3,193 3,320 3,055 3,055 3,654

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 5,559 5,908 5,517 4,716 3,461 2,600 1,893 1,054 548 67,841

2014 5,450 5,865 5,654 4,915 3,566 2,705 1,897 1,094 604 67,994

2015 5,311 5,807 5,751 5,140 3,720 2,757 1,924 1,145 661 68,145

2016 5,103 5,769 5,864 5,250 3,896 2,825 1,944 1,235 701 68,297

2017 4,853 5,699 6,043 5,207 4,150 2,937 1,965 1,304 748 68,457

2018 4,556 5,676 6,088 5,343 4,290 3,047 2,028 1,353 797 68,628

2019 4,268 5,593 6,076 5,485 4,477 3,153 2,110 1,358 845 68,804

2020 4,018 5,475 6,048 5,600 4,689 3,292 2,154 1,382 900 68,981

2021 3,924 5,275 6,041 5,720 4,801 3,455 2,212 1,401 970 69,155

2022 3,833 5,036 5,991 5,896 4,768 3,698 2,309 1,426 1,030 69,323

2023 3,752 4,745 5,985 5,951 4,895 3,840 2,405 1,480 1,084 69,480

2024 3,719 4,464 5,923 5,954 5,033 4,011 2,497 1,544 1,106 69,623

2025 3,691 4,223 5,818 5,945 5,147 4,206 2,612 1,583 1,145 69,752

2026 3,588 4,132 5,623 5,960 5,269 4,313 2,751 1,635 1,191 69,867

2027 3,525 4,044 5,385 5,930 5,437 4,302 2,959 1,716 1,235 69,965

2028 3,503 3,968 5,090 5,942 5,506 4,425 3,086 1,800 1,296 70,045

2029 3,524 3,936 4,805 5,896 5,530 4,561 3,231 1,880 1,343 70,109

2030 3,551 3,908 4,567 5,806 5,541 4,681 3,399 1,971 1,386 70,155

2031 3,617 3,806 4,477 5,619 5,574 4,804 3,497 2,083 1,443 70,186

2032 3,694 3,749 4,395 5,388 5,567 4,958 3,500 2,253 1,518 70,204

2033 3,768 3,728 4,323 5,112 5,592 5,035 3,606 2,365 1,603 70,214

2034 3,813 3,745 4,290 4,842 5,572 5,071 3,728 2,481 1,680 70,218

2035 3,842 3,772 4,258 4,621 5,506 5,101 3,839 2,615 1,759 70,218

2036 3,880 3,835 4,157 4,546 5,343 5,150 3,951 2,699 1,865 70,217

2037 3,885 3,908 4,103 4,472 5,141 5,163 4,089 2,716 2,022 70,213

2038 3,874 3,984 4,084 4,410 4,894 5,202 4,166 2,808 2,144 70,208

2039 3,887 4,031 4,105 4,372 4,653 5,197 4,214 2,916 2,258 70,199

2040 3,924 4,068 4,133 4,340 4,455 5,150 4,257 3,017 2,385 70,187

2041 3,944 4,108 4,196 4,249 4,388 5,009 4,317 3,116 2,496 70,175




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario BRUCE



Table 13.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,578 5,668 5,648 6,316 5,633 4,789 5,061 5,382 5,777 6,610

2014 5,498 5,728 5,631 6,185 5,749 4,771 5,039 5,309 5,675 6,284

2015 5,429 5,795 5,639 6,052 5,780 4,834 5,006 5,200 5,619 6,006

2016 5,347 5,865 5,728 5,849 5,757 4,975 5,027 5,083 5,555 5,814

2017 5,309 5,842 5,854 5,733 5,698 5,098 5,088 5,057 5,400 5,710

2018 5,290 5,803 5,986 5,654 5,574 5,273 5,153 5,031 5,290 5,586

2019 5,324 5,743 6,058 5,630 5,451 5,385 5,189 5,034 5,239 5,490

2020 5,361 5,688 6,135 5,631 5,325 5,411 5,291 5,026 5,161 5,439

2021 5,400 5,623 6,205 5,711 5,150 5,388 5,441 5,055 5,080 5,381

2022 5,435 5,594 6,187 5,826 5,056 5,328 5,571 5,113 5,073 5,254

2023 5,462 5,584 6,153 5,947 4,995 5,225 5,713 5,173 5,071 5,165

2024 5,479 5,623 6,098 6,014 4,983 5,116 5,798 5,213 5,086 5,127

2025 5,488 5,665 6,051 6,086 4,983 4,997 5,809 5,312 5,090 5,073

2026 5,487 5,708 5,997 6,151 5,045 4,844 5,776 5,440 5,124 5,018

2027 5,475 5,745 5,980 6,134 5,140 4,757 5,706 5,563 5,182 5,023

2028 5,455 5,773 5,980 6,107 5,240 4,697 5,599 5,691 5,237 5,034

2029 5,427 5,793 6,023 6,061 5,299 4,678 5,481 5,767 5,281 5,061

2030 5,396 5,804 6,069 6,024 5,357 4,664 5,361 5,777 5,380 5,080

2031 5,364 5,805 6,113 5,987 5,410 4,711 5,208 5,747 5,503 5,117

2032 5,334 5,796 6,152 5,983 5,401 4,777 5,121 5,680 5,623 5,173

2033 5,309 5,778 6,182 5,994 5,384 4,860 5,053 5,581 5,743 5,224

2034 5,289 5,752 6,203 6,041 5,355 4,903 5,032 5,467 5,814 5,270

2035 5,274 5,721 6,214 6,088 5,335 4,958 5,012 5,352 5,824 5,368

2036 5,268 5,687 6,215 6,133 5,320 5,007 5,049 5,208 5,793 5,485

2037 5,267 5,655 6,206 6,172 5,331 5,002 5,111 5,125 5,724 5,602

2038 5,270 5,627 6,188 6,204 5,351 4,988 5,189 5,061 5,629 5,717

2039 5,279 5,602 6,161 6,227 5,394 4,969 5,233 5,040 5,521 5,782

2040 5,291 5,583 6,129 6,240 5,439 4,958 5,284 5,023 5,409 5,792

2041 5,303 5,573 6,093 6,243 5,482 4,955 5,324 5,057 5,271 5,764

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 7,137 6,325 5,675 4,989 3,665 2,461 1,891 1,175 612 90,392

2014 7,214 6,514 5,764 5,205 3,768 2,581 1,918 1,189 681 90,703

2015 7,248 6,694 5,887 5,349 3,925 2,703 1,917 1,224 737 91,044

2016 7,090 6,927 6,016 5,517 4,037 2,870 1,928 1,244 785 91,414

2017 6,828 7,148 6,124 5,503 4,340 3,019 1,960 1,280 829 91,820

2018 6,585 7,266 6,293 5,507 4,601 3,167 2,017 1,323 867 92,266

2019 6,268 7,360 6,484 5,608 4,809 3,266 2,127 1,351 906 92,722

2020 6,000 7,400 6,665 5,743 4,957 3,407 2,232 1,359 952 93,183

2021 5,818 7,249 6,897 5,879 5,119 3,518 2,375 1,373 986 93,648

2022 5,716 6,988 7,112 6,000 5,124 3,794 2,511 1,403 1,027 94,112

2023 5,605 6,735 7,235 6,170 5,145 4,032 2,642 1,455 1,066 94,573

2024 5,515 6,421 7,332 6,362 5,253 4,226 2,739 1,545 1,095 95,025

2025 5,459 6,155 7,370 6,540 5,393 4,371 2,868 1,627 1,128 95,465

2026 5,405 5,982 7,222 6,768 5,533 4,526 2,974 1,735 1,152 95,887

2027 5,298 5,882 6,969 6,978 5,660 4,545 3,220 1,841 1,192 96,290

2028 5,226 5,774 6,719 7,102 5,829 4,580 3,438 1,943 1,249 96,673

2029 5,196 5,688 6,414 7,203 6,013 4,689 3,615 2,027 1,322 97,038

2030 5,150 5,634 6,161 7,243 6,191 4,829 3,751 2,128 1,385 97,384

2031 5,109 5,581 6,000 7,106 6,409 4,966 3,891 2,219 1,468 97,714

2032 5,125 5,484 5,907 6,864 6,611 5,096 3,925 2,422 1,553 98,027

2033 5,152 5,417 5,808 6,622 6,739 5,258 3,973 2,601 1,647 98,325

2034 5,187 5,389 5,727 6,334 6,842 5,438 4,086 2,741 1,741 98,611

2035 5,213 5,348 5,677 6,097 6,881 5,609 4,221 2,854 1,839 98,885

2036 5,255 5,318 5,625 5,949 6,757 5,818 4,355 2,968 1,938 99,148

2037 5,311 5,344 5,537 5,866 6,534 6,006 4,485 3,010 2,113 99,401

2038 5,363 5,382 5,479 5,776 6,308 6,132 4,640 3,066 2,276 99,646

2039 5,411 5,426 5,460 5,703 6,047 6,237 4,811 3,168 2,412 99,883

2040 5,507 5,460 5,429 5,656 5,837 6,281 4,975 3,286 2,533 100,112

2041 5,620 5,505 5,412 5,609 5,714 6,179 5,169 3,405 2,657 100,335




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario ELGIN



Table 13.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 20,605 22,856 23,953 27,754 28,545 23,624 22,893 24,964 27,705 30,406

2014 20,144 22,454 23,737 27,182 28,750 23,923 22,469 24,503 26,899 29,297

2015 19,794 21,975 23,382 26,501 28,865 24,395 22,205 23,756 26,161 28,434

2016 19,555 21,475 23,118 25,884 28,848 24,775 22,067 23,031 25,306 27,726

2017 19,427 20,933 22,898 25,504 28,618 25,202 21,980 22,365 24,551 27,198

2018 19,279 20,497 22,659 25,150 28,256 25,655 21,868 22,046 23,925 26,677

2019 19,265 20,073 22,274 24,949 27,763 25,840 22,116 21,721 23,527 25,931

2020 19,273 19,769 21,834 24,623 27,210 25,959 22,527 21,541 22,892 25,248

2021 19,292 19,581 21,390 24,400 26,691 25,968 22,890 21,480 22,301 24,471

2022 19,320 19,494 20,909 24,227 26,371 25,778 23,299 21,461 21,765 23,801

2023 19,351 19,394 20,522 24,044 26,073 25,473 23,714 21,396 21,533 23,257

2024 19,378 19,409 20,150 23,716 25,925 25,062 23,897 21,630 21,289 22,922

2025 19,397 19,442 19,890 23,330 25,679 24,607 24,001 22,005 21,165 22,367

2026 19,401 19,484 19,735 22,941 25,525 24,162 24,014 22,345 21,141 21,858

2027 19,386 19,531 19,673 22,509 25,416 23,883 23,861 22,729 21,151 21,401

2028 19,354 19,576 19,597 22,162 25,306 23,631 23,601 23,116 21,106 21,221

2029 19,298 19,619 19,630 21,833 25,060 23,516 23,252 23,295 21,330 21,024

2030 19,224 19,651 19,678 21,610 24,767 23,323 22,855 23,390 21,680 20,930

2031 19,131 19,669 19,731 21,491 24,459 23,218 22,465 23,409 22,002 20,924

2032 19,032 19,665 19,789 21,461 24,113 23,157 22,225 23,277 22,368 20,953

2033 18,922 19,642 19,846 21,419 23,847 23,102 22,011 23,051 22,731 20,924

2034 18,805 19,601 19,897 21,482 23,598 22,930 21,923 22,739 22,907 21,136

2035 18,687 19,540 19,937 21,559 23,450 22,724 21,771 22,377 23,001 21,463

2036 18,572 19,460 19,966 21,639 23,393 22,506 21,703 22,023 23,024 21,768

2037 18,460 19,376 19,971 21,726 23,414 22,250 21,678 21,811 22,903 22,124

2038 18,355 19,282 19,957 21,808 23,432 22,057 21,670 21,620 22,697 22,478

2039 18,258 19,183 19,927 21,884 23,541 21,875 21,560 21,551 22,413 22,655

2040 18,171 19,084 19,878 21,948 23,658 21,780 21,421 21,424 22,082 22,747

2041 18,098 18,989 19,809 21,998 23,779 21,763 21,270 21,384 21,755 22,771

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 31,627 28,433 24,471 20,550 14,831 11,311 8,779 5,811 2,942 402,060

2014 31,962 29,014 24,875 21,611 15,511 11,583 8,907 5,788 3,276 401,885

2015 31,910 29,628 25,476 22,610 16,196 11,942 8,923 5,856 3,579 401,588

2016 31,644 30,201 26,084 23,379 16,977 12,346 8,957 5,954 3,857 401,184

2017 30,936 30,417 26,929 23,382 18,498 12,827 9,047 6,067 4,079 400,858

2018 29,795 30,769 27,695 23,688 19,623 13,407 9,286 6,139 4,238 400,652

2019 28,709 31,087 28,275 24,105 20,668 14,052 9,551 6,243 4,368 400,517

2020 27,874 31,043 28,892 24,715 21,649 14,707 9,881 6,283 4,531 400,451

2021 27,217 30,782 29,478 25,333 22,414 15,456 10,254 6,346 4,712 400,456

2022 26,730 30,108 29,719 26,179 22,468 16,886 10,692 6,451 4,872 400,530

2023 26,248 29,021 30,091 26,944 22,802 17,952 11,215 6,660 4,980 400,670

2024 25,551 27,990 30,423 27,539 23,245 18,942 11,793 6,886 5,093 400,840

2025 24,917 27,194 30,402 28,166 23,874 19,865 12,377 7,158 5,198 401,034

2026 24,191 26,580 30,156 28,766 24,506 20,594 13,046 7,468 5,331 401,244

2027 23,573 26,128 29,510 29,035 25,354 20,701 14,312 7,821 5,489 401,463

2028 23,069 25,681 28,469 29,426 26,129 21,055 15,263 8,245 5,676 401,683

2029 22,763 25,031 27,483 29,777 26,737 21,517 16,144 8,706 5,882 401,897

2030 22,257 24,438 26,727 29,790 27,376 22,152 16,962 9,171 6,116 402,097

2031 21,802 23,753 26,158 29,570 27,996 22,789 17,611 9,708 6,390 402,276

2032 21,395 23,175 25,740 28,964 28,302 23,620 17,765 10,721 6,707 402,429

2033 21,247 22,709 25,325 27,979 28,723 24,384 18,127 11,484 7,078 402,551

2034 21,081 22,436 24,712 27,044 29,102 24,996 18,581 12,182 7,484 402,636

2035 21,014 21,971 24,156 26,328 29,151 25,637 19,196 12,814 7,908 402,684

2036 21,025 21,557 23,511 25,805 28,958 26,262 19,800 13,320 8,403 402,695

2037 21,068 21,190 22,972 25,427 28,395 26,600 20,579 13,504 9,225 402,673

2038 21,047 21,075 22,542 25,047 27,468 27,046 21,295 13,839 9,909 402,624

2039 21,257 20,939 22,296 24,479 26,591 27,447 21,879 14,247 10,564 402,546

2040 21,585 20,893 21,871 23,961 25,931 27,542 22,497 14,788 11,177 402,438

2041 21,890 20,919 21,502 23,360 25,462 27,394 23,100 15,306 11,753 402,302




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario ESSEX



Table 13.4

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,368 4,500 4,837 5,834 5,862 4,719 4,610 4,463 5,125 6,474

2014 4,403 4,502 4,726 5,615 5,911 4,835 4,617 4,441 5,022 5,998

2015 4,459 4,514 4,631 5,421 5,854 4,969 4,672 4,460 4,860 5,704

2016 4,459 4,590 4,610 5,252 5,711 5,159 4,659 4,535 4,689 5,582

2017 4,485 4,649 4,609 5,093 5,581 5,321 4,669 4,604 4,600 5,464

2018 4,503 4,703 4,687 4,909 5,445 5,419 4,749 4,638 4,559 5,372

2019 4,559 4,754 4,708 4,812 5,260 5,485 4,864 4,667 4,553 5,283

2020 4,608 4,818 4,735 4,734 5,085 5,455 5,001 4,725 4,582 5,143

2021 4,648 4,831 4,813 4,721 4,926 5,354 5,163 4,733 4,660 4,980

2022 4,677 4,865 4,868 4,727 4,788 5,246 5,309 4,750 4,733 4,897

2023 4,696 4,886 4,912 4,806 4,636 5,124 5,401 4,809 4,778 4,858

2024 4,704 4,942 4,956 4,833 4,558 4,965 5,458 4,902 4,819 4,854

2025 4,700 4,991 5,009 4,866 4,499 4,807 5,433 5,017 4,876 4,879

2026 4,686 5,032 5,024 4,938 4,494 4,656 5,356 5,150 4,898 4,953

2027 4,661 5,063 5,058 4,987 4,510 4,537 5,253 5,280 4,917 5,029

2028 4,626 5,084 5,083 5,022 4,586 4,412 5,137 5,371 4,965 5,088

2029 4,583 5,096 5,139 5,057 4,615 4,351 4,992 5,425 5,048 5,136

2030 4,535 5,098 5,188 5,101 4,648 4,305 4,844 5,408 5,155 5,197

2031 4,485 5,089 5,229 5,116 4,708 4,307 4,700 5,345 5,275 5,228

2032 4,438 5,070 5,260 5,150 4,742 4,325 4,591 5,253 5,396 5,253

2033 4,395 5,039 5,281 5,178 4,765 4,390 4,485 5,147 5,487 5,301

2034 4,358 4,998 5,297 5,232 4,787 4,418 4,433 5,012 5,541 5,379

2035 4,329 4,954 5,302 5,280 4,817 4,448 4,396 4,874 5,528 5,482

2036 4,307 4,906 5,297 5,321 4,834 4,492 4,401 4,739 5,472 5,593

2037 4,294 4,861 5,283 5,353 4,869 4,514 4,422 4,641 5,385 5,712

2038 4,288 4,820 5,258 5,375 4,897 4,525 4,483 4,543 5,283 5,805

2039 4,288 4,783 5,222 5,393 4,945 4,537 4,511 4,498 5,154 5,865

2040 4,294 4,754 5,181 5,399 4,988 4,560 4,543 4,466 5,019 5,858

2041 4,304 4,732 5,134 5,399 5,026 4,580 4,577 4,471 4,886 5,811

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 7,782 7,949 7,415 6,630 4,961 3,837 2,949 1,727 939 94,981

2014 7,835 8,007 7,530 6,855 5,194 3,947 2,965 1,795 1,009 95,207

2015 7,799 8,017 7,655 7,138 5,406 3,988 2,993 1,886 1,068 95,494

2016 7,499 8,078 7,852 7,353 5,583 4,110 3,001 1,985 1,134 95,841

2017 7,227 8,049 8,055 7,271 5,922 4,319 3,082 2,001 1,238 96,239

2018 6,908 8,066 8,142 7,338 6,218 4,507 3,173 2,035 1,320 96,691

2019 6,463 8,138 8,234 7,477 6,448 4,729 3,277 2,053 1,389 97,153

2020 6,179 8,117 8,283 7,621 6,727 4,938 3,328 2,083 1,459 97,621

2021 6,066 7,839 8,375 7,831 6,943 5,119 3,444 2,101 1,546 98,093

2022 5,959 7,572 8,376 8,047 6,891 5,452 3,639 2,164 1,606 98,566

2023 5,869 7,253 8,417 8,155 6,972 5,743 3,815 2,240 1,665 99,035

2024 5,777 6,822 8,501 8,264 7,121 5,977 4,016 2,324 1,703 99,496

2025 5,646 6,539 8,491 8,337 7,279 6,253 4,197 2,372 1,756 99,947

2026 5,486 6,430 8,228 8,454 7,489 6,464 4,365 2,468 1,813 100,384

2027 5,406 6,329 7,965 8,479 7,710 6,438 4,681 2,622 1,880 100,805

2028 5,367 6,239 7,646 8,540 7,832 6,536 4,952 2,765 1,957 101,208

2029 5,368 6,148 7,226 8,638 7,955 6,694 5,171 2,920 2,028 101,590

2030 5,393 6,024 6,945 8,637 8,048 6,863 5,414 3,061 2,089 101,953

2031 5,473 5,870 6,842 8,391 8,181 7,075 5,604 3,197 2,182 102,297

2032 5,554 5,795 6,745 8,132 8,230 7,300 5,609 3,454 2,327 102,624

2033 5,622 5,760 6,661 7,817 8,311 7,439 5,720 3,671 2,464 102,933

2034 5,682 5,764 6,572 7,421 8,420 7,577 5,881 3,847 2,609 103,228

2035 5,751 5,793 6,454 7,154 8,430 7,691 6,055 4,040 2,730 103,508

2036 5,795 5,874 6,302 7,062 8,212 7,844 6,259 4,193 2,870 103,773

2037 5,831 5,956 6,231 6,973 7,973 7,915 6,470 4,220 3,121 104,024

2038 5,880 6,035 6,199 6,890 7,682 8,017 6,617 4,325 3,340 104,262

2039 5,958 6,104 6,208 6,806 7,320 8,139 6,761 4,469 3,528 104,489

2040 6,064 6,184 6,239 6,700 7,075 8,164 6,884 4,622 3,711 104,705

2041 6,178 6,236 6,324 6,559 6,995 7,979 7,045 4,793 3,882 104,911




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario GREY



Table 13.5

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 3,095 3,249 3,312 3,992 3,541 2,844 2,933 2,903 3,080 3,696

2014 3,029 3,282 3,216 3,888 3,606 2,738 2,876 2,900 2,982 3,472

2015 3,001 3,311 3,175 3,693 3,599 2,749 2,827 2,836 2,870 3,332

2016 3,010 3,215 3,211 3,544 3,584 2,765 2,795 2,794 2,779 3,221

2017 3,034 3,154 3,266 3,376 3,512 2,854 2,729 2,757 2,772 3,101

2018 3,036 3,144 3,275 3,308 3,411 2,904 2,674 2,757 2,742 3,018

2019 3,033 3,094 3,313 3,232 3,330 2,968 2,625 2,731 2,753 2,939

2020 3,031 3,073 3,350 3,198 3,176 2,972 2,653 2,710 2,714 2,842

2021 3,027 3,084 3,273 3,240 3,056 2,962 2,678 2,699 2,691 2,759

2022 3,022 3,107 3,221 3,292 2,926 2,904 2,748 2,657 2,670 2,750

2023 3,013 3,107 3,209 3,306 2,869 2,824 2,789 2,614 2,676 2,728

2024 3,001 3,109 3,159 3,340 2,817 2,754 2,832 2,579 2,660 2,739

2025 2,983 3,112 3,135 3,373 2,787 2,639 2,828 2,605 2,646 2,709

2026 2,960 3,113 3,144 3,309 2,825 2,542 2,812 2,624 2,642 2,694

2027 2,933 3,112 3,168 3,260 2,864 2,449 2,759 2,683 2,611 2,682

2028 2,898 3,108 3,171 3,246 2,875 2,406 2,689 2,723 2,574 2,695

2029 2,860 3,098 3,175 3,206 2,903 2,368 2,628 2,758 2,547 2,687

2030 2,821 3,083 3,179 3,187 2,924 2,344 2,530 2,753 2,574 2,682

2031 2,783 3,063 3,181 3,194 2,880 2,363 2,447 2,739 2,595 2,681

2032 2,746 3,038 3,181 3,214 2,841 2,388 2,370 2,691 2,649 2,660

2033 2,713 3,004 3,178 3,220 2,827 2,400 2,330 2,628 2,685 2,633

2034 2,683 2,967 3,171 3,224 2,799 2,418 2,296 2,568 2,715 2,616

2035 2,658 2,929 3,158 3,228 2,786 2,436 2,274 2,478 2,710 2,642

2036 2,637 2,892 3,140 3,231 2,790 2,412 2,288 2,399 2,692 2,660

2037 2,619 2,855 3,117 3,232 2,804 2,384 2,308 2,332 2,646 2,707

2038 2,607 2,821 3,085 3,230 2,810 2,372 2,323 2,293 2,585 2,741

2039 2,598 2,791 3,049 3,225 2,815 2,350 2,339 2,262 2,524 2,772

2040 2,590 2,766 3,013 3,215 2,820 2,340 2,353 2,244 2,441 2,767

2041 2,584 2,745 2,977 3,199 2,823 2,343 2,337 2,254 2,368 2,750

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 4,647 4,529 4,392 3,757 2,996 2,179 1,728 1,027 577 58,477

2014 4,564 4,519 4,438 3,914 3,064 2,229 1,699 1,093 610 58,119

2015 4,487 4,565 4,438 4,105 3,093 2,275 1,672 1,119 675 57,822

2016 4,334 4,649 4,437 4,198 3,124 2,371 1,669 1,171 716 57,587

2017 4,109 4,690 4,474 4,173 3,297 2,481 1,693 1,195 745 57,412

2018 3,885 4,723 4,495 4,180 3,446 2,593 1,727 1,198 782 57,298

2019 3,683 4,670 4,506 4,247 3,604 2,670 1,780 1,186 827 57,191

2020 3,550 4,613 4,571 4,268 3,788 2,711 1,828 1,174 870 57,092

2021 3,449 4,472 4,663 4,282 3,891 2,755 1,916 1,181 922 57,000

2022 3,344 4,255 4,713 4,333 3,882 2,925 2,012 1,205 947 56,913

2023 3,263 4,030 4,752 4,365 3,899 3,071 2,110 1,236 967 56,828

2024 3,188 3,826 4,714 4,393 3,974 3,218 2,179 1,281 981 56,744

2025 3,098 3,690 4,660 4,460 4,014 3,383 2,221 1,319 998 56,660

2026 3,017 3,596 4,524 4,554 4,045 3,480 2,272 1,392 1,028 56,573

2027 3,005 3,498 4,315 4,607 4,105 3,485 2,426 1,468 1,053 56,483

2028 2,985 3,422 4,095 4,650 4,150 3,516 2,558 1,547 1,080 56,388

2029 2,999 3,350 3,894 4,624 4,190 3,595 2,686 1,603 1,116 56,287

2030 2,975 3,266 3,758 4,578 4,260 3,649 2,826 1,643 1,150 56,182

2031 2,967 3,188 3,672 4,452 4,354 3,692 2,918 1,691 1,212 56,072

2032 2,964 3,173 3,580 4,259 4,411 3,761 2,934 1,822 1,275 55,957

2033 2,981 3,155 3,508 4,053 4,460 3,814 2,972 1,932 1,344 55,837

2034 2,981 3,168 3,441 3,860 4,453 3,864 3,052 2,036 1,401 55,713

2035 2,984 3,147 3,364 3,729 4,422 3,938 3,111 2,143 1,447 55,584

2036 2,990 3,144 3,289 3,652 4,310 4,031 3,164 2,215 1,515 55,451

2037 2,977 3,147 3,275 3,569 4,135 4,094 3,233 2,239 1,642 55,315

2038 2,954 3,170 3,260 3,504 3,946 4,147 3,292 2,283 1,753 55,176

2039 2,941 3,177 3,275 3,442 3,767 4,153 3,349 2,357 1,849 55,035

2040 2,972 3,186 3,259 3,374 3,644 4,133 3,423 2,414 1,938 54,892

2041 2,996 3,197 3,261 3,309 3,576 4,034 3,511 2,466 2,018 54,748




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario HURON



Table 13.6

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,501 5,826 6,043 6,972 6,462 5,785 5,773 5,494 6,202 7,455

2014 5,372 5,786 5,954 6,817 6,479 5,620 5,727 5,402 5,983 7,020

2015 5,304 5,703 5,859 6,612 6,463 5,544 5,679 5,337 5,782 6,600

2016 5,190 5,652 5,849 6,359 6,405 5,501 5,649 5,305 5,540 6,417

2017 5,116 5,591 5,836 6,175 6,305 5,474 5,586 5,309 5,335 6,283

2018 5,036 5,523 5,885 5,971 6,166 5,552 5,436 5,377 5,198 6,105

2019 5,011 5,419 5,857 5,886 6,031 5,591 5,343 5,347 5,117 5,907

2020 4,988 5,372 5,789 5,802 5,861 5,594 5,318 5,319 5,057 5,723

2021 4,965 5,282 5,747 5,795 5,655 5,557 5,309 5,308 5,030 5,500

2022 4,941 5,222 5,690 5,788 5,508 5,477 5,314 5,269 5,035 5,314

2023 4,915 5,157 5,628 5,834 5,349 5,365 5,391 5,153 5,096 5,191

2024 4,886 5,140 5,531 5,812 5,289 5,250 5,430 5,092 5,078 5,117

2025 4,854 5,125 5,484 5,753 5,230 5,106 5,431 5,087 5,064 5,058

2026 4,816 5,110 5,407 5,718 5,230 4,938 5,395 5,092 5,063 5,037

2027 4,775 5,092 5,357 5,668 5,230 4,827 5,318 5,111 5,037 5,042

2028 4,729 5,073 5,298 5,615 5,268 4,705 5,213 5,181 4,947 5,101

2029 4,682 5,049 5,288 5,529 5,255 4,656 5,106 5,221 4,903 5,093

2030 4,631 5,021 5,278 5,489 5,213 4,609 4,974 5,223 4,908 5,091

2031 4,579 4,988 5,267 5,424 5,193 4,607 4,825 5,194 4,922 5,096

2032 4,531 4,952 5,254 5,384 5,157 4,608 4,728 5,124 4,950 5,078

2033 4,485 4,911 5,239 5,339 5,118 4,646 4,623 5,030 5,020 5,003

2034 4,443 4,868 5,221 5,334 5,052 4,639 4,584 4,931 5,062 4,973

2035 4,403 4,821 5,198 5,332 5,018 4,614 4,540 4,811 5,067 4,989

2036 4,369 4,772 5,170 5,328 4,973 4,602 4,539 4,677 5,043 5,008

2037 4,338 4,725 5,136 5,321 4,951 4,572 4,547 4,593 4,978 5,044

2038 4,311 4,680 5,099 5,312 4,926 4,541 4,584 4,502 4,890 5,118

2039 4,286 4,640 5,057 5,302 4,929 4,495 4,580 4,471 4,797 5,161

2040 4,264 4,602 5,010 5,284 4,938 4,473 4,564 4,432 4,688 5,167

2041 4,246 4,570 4,963 5,262 4,944 4,445 4,554 4,432 4,565 5,144

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 8,772 8,308 7,218 6,192 4,596 3,626 2,674 1,797 1,026 105,722

2014 8,728 8,465 7,337 6,463 4,738 3,734 2,653 1,836 1,112 105,226

2015 8,726 8,541 7,491 6,615 4,947 3,799 2,698 1,855 1,188 104,743

2016 8,457 8,604 7,564 6,859 5,141 3,890 2,754 1,871 1,267 104,274

2017 8,059 8,612 7,791 6,826 5,481 4,019 2,850 1,868 1,324 103,840

2018 7,572 8,665 7,999 6,866 5,744 4,168 2,952 1,851 1,378 103,444

2019 7,148 8,637 8,148 6,987 5,999 4,311 3,045 1,844 1,439 103,067

2020 6,742 8,638 8,227 7,145 6,147 4,515 3,108 1,886 1,478 102,709

2021 6,568 8,377 8,298 7,233 6,378 4,708 3,199 1,939 1,521 102,369

2022 6,441 7,993 8,316 7,460 6,358 5,039 3,322 2,014 1,543 102,044

2023 6,270 7,526 8,379 7,663 6,410 5,297 3,458 2,093 1,559 101,734

2024 6,081 7,120 8,362 7,815 6,539 5,544 3,594 2,168 1,586 101,434

2025 5,904 6,739 8,368 7,904 6,704 5,698 3,777 2,225 1,630 101,141

2026 5,687 6,572 8,132 7,988 6,802 5,922 3,953 2,301 1,690 100,853

2027 5,508 6,451 7,775 8,022 7,025 5,920 4,256 2,406 1,745 100,565

2028 5,393 6,286 7,339 8,093 7,229 5,987 4,493 2,518 1,809 100,277

2029 5,326 6,104 6,957 8,092 7,381 6,125 4,717 2,630 1,870 99,984

2030 5,270 5,939 6,598 8,101 7,482 6,292 4,860 2,776 1,935 99,690

2031 5,251 5,735 6,443 7,882 7,579 6,405 5,059 2,924 2,020 99,393

2032 5,258 5,568 6,331 7,548 7,624 6,630 5,079 3,169 2,121 99,094

2033 5,317 5,461 6,177 7,141 7,708 6,835 5,154 3,359 2,229 98,795

2034 5,315 5,400 6,009 6,783 7,725 6,993 5,293 3,535 2,338 98,498

2035 5,319 5,350 5,858 6,451 7,748 7,105 5,456 3,652 2,467 98,199

2036 5,333 5,337 5,666 6,312 7,554 7,214 5,575 3,816 2,611 97,899

2037 5,324 5,346 5,516 6,209 7,254 7,276 5,785 3,850 2,830 97,595

2038 5,259 5,403 5,422 6,073 6,878 7,375 5,977 3,924 3,013 97,287

2039 5,237 5,407 5,369 5,918 6,549 7,408 6,134 4,050 3,185 96,975

2040 5,260 5,420 5,323 5,777 6,246 7,440 6,249 4,192 3,328 96,657

2041 5,285 5,440 5,313 5,601 6,120 7,267 6,367 4,306 3,512 96,336




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario CHATHAM-KENT



Table 13.7

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 6,510 6,621 6,836 8,126 8,579 7,450 7,047 6,875 7,249 8,508

2014 6,427 6,638 6,778 7,795 8,473 7,521 7,041 6,839 7,062 8,071

2015 6,356 6,654 6,815 7,410 8,348 7,559 7,103 6,794 6,934 7,610

2016 6,303 6,729 6,753 7,148 8,183 7,542 7,206 6,753 6,733 7,430

2017 6,329 6,670 6,764 7,042 7,851 7,699 7,196 6,710 6,697 7,280

2018 6,335 6,645 6,801 6,929 7,582 7,774 7,162 6,775 6,650 7,083

2019 6,344 6,578 6,827 6,884 7,314 7,736 7,243 6,809 6,636 6,916

2020 6,344 6,527 6,849 6,920 6,995 7,663 7,302 6,890 6,609 6,800

2021 6,337 6,491 6,924 6,871 6,771 7,544 7,313 6,994 6,586 6,614

2022 6,321 6,525 6,871 6,888 6,676 7,285 7,460 7,002 6,562 6,579

2023 6,299 6,535 6,847 6,930 6,580 7,065 7,540 6,978 6,633 6,536

2024 6,270 6,549 6,783 6,963 6,551 6,838 7,523 7,052 6,671 6,527

2025 6,232 6,555 6,736 6,990 6,579 6,573 7,466 7,117 6,751 6,507

2026 6,185 6,556 6,703 7,064 6,543 6,372 7,368 7,138 6,850 6,496

2027 6,131 6,549 6,738 7,016 6,570 6,281 7,150 7,279 6,861 6,485

2028 6,068 6,539 6,752 6,993 6,620 6,194 6,956 7,365 6,845 6,554

2029 6,002 6,520 6,773 6,935 6,661 6,164 6,748 7,360 6,916 6,597

2030 5,935 6,486 6,789 6,896 6,694 6,178 6,511 7,313 6,985 6,675

2031 5,867 6,444 6,796 6,875 6,756 6,156 6,323 7,228 7,016 6,769

2032 5,803 6,394 6,795 6,915 6,717 6,185 6,233 7,030 7,154 6,787

2033 5,746 6,336 6,787 6,934 6,698 6,236 6,149 6,853 7,239 6,778

2034 5,696 6,275 6,770 6,960 6,656 6,274 6,121 6,664 7,240 6,850

2035 5,653 6,214 6,738 6,980 6,634 6,306 6,128 6,445 7,201 6,923

2036 5,621 6,150 6,700 6,992 6,627 6,359 6,113 6,266 7,128 6,960

2037 5,596 6,090 6,656 6,995 6,666 6,330 6,146 6,178 6,949 7,092

2038 5,581 6,035 6,602 6,996 6,693 6,312 6,201 6,096 6,785 7,182

2039 5,572 5,989 6,542 6,988 6,726 6,279 6,237 6,068 6,608 7,191

2040 5,568 5,950 6,483 6,962 6,757 6,268 6,271 6,069 6,404 7,158

2041 5,568 5,919 6,423 6,930 6,779 6,271 6,317 6,061 6,233 7,092

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 10,693 10,726 9,532 8,202 5,928 4,478 3,638 2,176 1,123 130,297

2014 10,429 10,794 9,773 8,503 6,129 4,584 3,627 2,231 1,242 129,957

2015 10,161 10,837 10,043 8,754 6,360 4,655 3,637 2,302 1,357 129,689

2016 9,672 10,876 10,214 9,049 6,680 4,749 3,630 2,397 1,443 129,490

2017 9,149 10,727 10,446 9,111 7,122 4,978 3,599 2,462 1,504 129,336

2018 8,592 10,690 10,524 9,218 7,561 5,202 3,630 2,485 1,592 129,230

2019 8,169 10,457 10,607 9,469 7,854 5,395 3,734 2,487 1,677 129,136

2020 7,727 10,213 10,665 9,740 8,105 5,611 3,816 2,511 1,767 129,054

2021 7,551 9,744 10,720 9,921 8,396 5,905 3,917 2,525 1,857 128,981

2022 7,409 9,233 10,598 10,161 8,470 6,316 4,123 2,515 1,921 128,915

2023 7,218 8,688 10,579 10,257 8,592 6,721 4,327 2,556 1,972 128,853

2024 7,055 8,270 10,376 10,355 8,842 7,003 4,504 2,650 2,009 128,791

2025 6,941 7,840 10,156 10,430 9,105 7,250 4,701 2,726 2,068 128,723

2026 6,760 7,670 9,716 10,506 9,291 7,531 4,962 2,814 2,124 128,649

2027 6,726 7,529 9,226 10,412 9,535 7,616 5,332 2,975 2,153 128,564

2028 6,690 7,345 8,698 10,414 9,648 7,746 5,693 3,138 2,206 128,464

2029 6,684 7,188 8,288 10,239 9,762 7,994 5,948 3,282 2,287 128,348

2030 6,668 7,077 7,872 10,041 9,855 8,252 6,177 3,439 2,374 128,217

2031 6,662 6,901 7,710 9,630 9,950 8,444 6,434 3,643 2,467 128,071

2032 6,660 6,866 7,576 9,163 9,893 8,686 6,526 3,942 2,585 127,910

2033 6,736 6,833 7,400 8,659 9,919 8,815 6,668 4,230 2,720 127,736

2034 6,784 6,829 7,251 8,263 9,782 8,942 6,906 4,433 2,855 127,551

2035 6,866 6,819 7,144 7,865 9,617 9,056 7,146 4,617 3,003 127,355

2036 6,959 6,823 6,974 7,713 9,246 9,171 7,337 4,828 3,184 127,151

2037 6,984 6,828 6,943 7,586 8,813 9,151 7,572 4,919 3,447 126,941

2038 6,979 6,909 6,914 7,421 8,350 9,199 7,711 5,055 3,705 126,726

2039 7,051 6,963 6,917 7,280 7,983 9,102 7,848 5,259 3,907 126,510

2040 7,128 7,046 6,914 7,182 7,622 8,975 7,974 5,460 4,100 126,291

2041 7,174 7,140 6,925 7,023 7,493 8,658 8,102 5,631 4,331 126,070




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario LAMBTON



Table 13.8

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 24,427 24,211 24,360 29,970 37,088 34,745 31,158 28,729 29,138 32,723

2014 24,464 24,482 24,202 29,021 37,100 35,467 31,888 29,150 28,814 31,393

2015 24,559 24,880 23,863 28,292 36,696 36,261 32,603 29,633 28,701 30,457

2016 24,864 25,063 23,944 27,435 36,079 36,992 33,109 30,261 28,768 30,014

2017 25,219 24,987 24,142 26,909 35,407 37,698 33,564 30,937 29,013 29,671

2018 25,614 24,885 24,539 26,461 34,813 38,115 33,949 31,657 29,399 29,444

2019 25,979 24,920 24,809 26,354 33,995 38,264 34,555 32,358 29,820 29,162

2020 26,311 25,021 25,196 26,083 33,312 38,047 35,281 33,044 30,282 29,081

2021 26,604 25,323 25,393 26,214 32,481 37,622 35,976 33,560 30,883 29,143

2022 26,858 25,682 25,344 26,457 32,006 37,053 36,690 34,025 31,532 29,373

2023 27,070 26,079 25,275 26,896 31,601 36,480 37,191 34,404 32,236 29,727

2024 27,240 26,450 25,330 27,201 31,521 35,719 37,431 34,992 32,922 30,128

2025 27,361 26,795 25,446 27,618 31,318 35,045 37,334 35,715 33,587 30,564

2026 27,438 27,102 25,748 27,854 31,502 34,237 37,041 36,406 34,102 31,136

2027 27,471 27,368 26,109 27,845 31,826 33,793 36,568 37,124 34,565 31,757

2028 27,456 27,596 26,502 27,811 32,339 33,417 36,075 37,659 34,937 32,442

2029 27,405 27,784 26,874 27,887 32,705 33,361 35,420 37,942 35,509 33,104

2030 27,321 27,928 27,223 28,030 33,159 33,223 34,805 37,911 36,222 33,749

2031 27,219 28,031 27,535 28,347 33,439 33,427 34,085 37,694 36,902 34,262

2032 27,110 28,088 27,812 28,733 33,483 33,784 33,691 37,279 37,623 34,720

2033 27,001 28,103 28,051 29,146 33,499 34,305 33,373 36,830 38,190 35,085

2034 26,903 28,081 28,255 29,549 33,614 34,673 33,347 36,231 38,509 35,647

2035 26,828 28,027 28,416 29,926 33,806 35,101 33,260 35,652 38,522 36,357

2036 26,779 27,953 28,534 30,273 34,165 35,371 33,485 34,980 38,354 37,035

2037 26,759 27,874 28,608 30,584 34,603 35,428 33,842 34,617 37,977 37,757

2038 26,778 27,794 28,643 30,859 35,058 35,469 34,350 34,335 37,560 38,333

2039 26,835 27,726 28,642 31,096 35,519 35,594 34,714 34,334 37,000 38,665

2040 26,927 27,677 28,605 31,295 35,959 35,802 35,130 34,283 36,446 38,708

2041 27,054 27,655 28,554 31,446 36,369 36,165 35,409 34,525 35,805 38,573

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 35,839 31,770 26,642 22,269 16,208 12,274 9,930 6,556 3,700 461,737

2014 36,227 32,568 27,348 23,181 16,994 12,688 9,896 6,584 4,078 465,545

2015 35,928 33,302 28,324 24,166 17,784 12,977 9,935 6,678 4,386 469,425

2016 35,022 34,074 29,144 25,155 18,576 13,458 9,990 6,743 4,675 473,366

2017 33,771 34,714 30,123 25,280 20,082 14,127 9,976 6,909 4,887 477,416

2018 32,310 35,314 30,985 25,702 21,230 14,906 10,207 7,068 5,020 481,618

2019 31,020 35,727 31,799 26,417 22,142 15,669 10,597 7,074 5,205 485,866

2020 30,106 35,485 32,555 27,380 23,120 16,435 10,883 7,142 5,396 490,160

2021 29,687 34,641 33,350 28,205 24,091 17,208 11,330 7,222 5,567 494,500

2022 29,377 33,446 34,007 29,180 24,254 18,651 11,931 7,255 5,763 498,884

2023 29,168 32,043 34,623 30,042 24,695 19,772 12,633 7,466 5,910 503,311

2024 28,907 30,801 35,052 30,855 25,422 20,667 13,317 7,789 6,002 507,746

2025 28,831 29,918 34,862 31,624 26,378 21,609 13,998 8,037 6,143 512,183

2026 28,876 29,526 34,077 32,435 27,206 22,539 14,695 8,409 6,287 516,616

2027 29,084 29,240 32,945 33,099 28,177 22,751 15,993 8,893 6,424 521,032

2028 29,413 29,047 31,607 33,728 29,042 23,223 17,017 9,465 6,644 525,420

2029 29,802 28,798 30,429 34,179 29,858 23,955 17,834 10,017 6,909 529,772

2030 30,220 28,727 29,589 34,045 30,638 24,897 18,679 10,559 7,156 534,081

2031 30,770 28,761 29,231 33,327 31,466 25,723 19,514 11,121 7,486 538,340

2032 31,368 28,963 28,975 32,275 32,147 26,682 19,764 12,172 7,879 542,548

2033 32,033 29,282 28,799 31,023 32,801 27,545 20,242 13,014 8,381 546,703

2034 32,684 29,661 28,571 29,918 33,279 28,361 20,943 13,683 8,894 550,803

2035 33,320 30,069 28,512 29,130 33,209 29,157 21,825 14,360 9,373 554,850

2036 33,829 30,610 28,543 28,812 32,568 30,001 22,611 15,031 9,915 558,849

2037 34,286 31,201 28,739 28,595 31,598 30,697 23,511 15,293 10,836 562,805

2038 34,649 31,864 29,051 28,447 30,431 31,371 24,332 15,736 11,665 566,725

2039 35,205 32,509 29,429 28,248 29,400 31,872 25,110 16,351 12,367 570,616

2040 35,902 33,140 29,835 28,207 28,669 31,864 25,885 17,104 13,043 574,481

2041 36,572 33,649 30,372 28,244 28,394 31,302 26,699 17,786 13,754 578,327




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario MIDDLESEX



Table 13.9

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 6,358 6,414 6,705 7,465 7,009 6,408 6,700 6,585 7,078 7,945

2014 6,320 6,437 6,707 7,395 7,128 6,236 6,791 6,529 7,063 7,569

2015 6,322 6,467 6,667 7,249 7,174 6,289 6,763 6,557 6,979 7,291

2016 6,300 6,530 6,668 7,062 7,183 6,392 6,687 6,593 6,820 7,182

2017 6,305 6,556 6,648 6,982 7,133 6,468 6,651 6,592 6,746 7,211

2018 6,303 6,569 6,723 6,905 6,976 6,609 6,524 6,684 6,681 7,230

2019 6,323 6,520 6,749 6,897 6,868 6,682 6,410 6,763 6,638 7,194

2020 6,340 6,512 6,784 6,857 6,714 6,692 6,465 6,755 6,665 7,106

2021 6,354 6,492 6,841 6,862 6,533 6,666 6,558 6,712 6,703 6,952

2022 6,364 6,496 6,862 6,852 6,452 6,591 6,639 6,694 6,713 6,881

2023 6,368 6,498 6,868 6,928 6,370 6,450 6,752 6,602 6,804 6,818

2024 6,366 6,521 6,820 6,955 6,358 6,337 6,808 6,523 6,882 6,783

2025 6,356 6,542 6,810 6,989 6,316 6,188 6,801 6,582 6,889 6,806

2026 6,336 6,561 6,793 7,040 6,317 6,015 6,763 6,670 6,865 6,843

2027 6,306 6,576 6,800 7,052 6,315 5,926 6,674 6,756 6,860 6,862

2028 6,267 6,585 6,805 7,053 6,378 5,843 6,537 6,863 6,784 6,952

2029 6,222 6,584 6,836 7,008 6,409 5,814 6,415 6,915 6,726 7,032

2030 6,171 6,575 6,861 6,999 6,440 5,765 6,262 6,904 6,791 7,049

2031 6,115 6,556 6,883 6,986 6,482 5,766 6,089 6,859 6,881 7,039

2032 6,063 6,526 6,902 6,997 6,484 5,769 5,991 6,766 6,971 7,041

2033 6,012 6,487 6,913 7,008 6,477 5,821 5,908 6,634 7,077 6,982

2034 5,966 6,440 6,914 7,044 6,440 5,844 5,869 6,510 7,125 6,939

2035 5,928 6,387 6,907 7,073 6,432 5,871 5,818 6,355 7,111 7,011

2036 5,895 6,331 6,890 7,097 6,425 5,899 5,819 6,182 7,066 7,099

2037 5,868 6,278 6,860 7,118 6,441 5,892 5,826 6,083 6,969 7,193

2038 5,850 6,226 6,821 7,131 6,454 5,876 5,874 6,002 6,838 7,297

2039 5,837 6,179 6,774 7,132 6,489 5,843 5,893 5,958 6,709 7,348

2040 5,829 6,139 6,721 7,125 6,516 5,831 5,919 5,909 6,554 7,336

2041 5,824 6,106 6,665 7,108 6,539 5,831 5,936 5,911 6,380 7,290

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 8,734 7,802 6,571 5,791 4,305 3,627 2,649 1,694 885 110,725

2014 8,906 7,969 6,791 6,041 4,452 3,702 2,723 1,705 982 111,446

2015 8,949 8,162 7,046 6,246 4,636 3,736 2,772 1,737 1,071 112,113

2016 8,830 8,436 7,259 6,356 4,872 3,810 2,811 1,797 1,138 112,726

2017 8,505 8,575 7,550 6,318 5,224 3,899 2,905 1,830 1,201 113,299

2018 8,084 8,750 7,749 6,423 5,546 3,934 2,973 1,890 1,282 113,835

2019 7,703 8,903 7,913 6,637 5,780 4,074 3,038 1,944 1,329 114,365

2020 7,420 8,935 8,102 6,882 5,976 4,240 3,075 1,983 1,387 114,890

2021 7,301 8,806 8,366 7,090 6,095 4,455 3,145 2,023 1,452 115,406

2022 7,310 8,488 8,506 7,369 6,073 4,791 3,236 2,093 1,500 115,910

2023 7,316 8,079 8,678 7,566 6,185 5,096 3,293 2,152 1,578 116,401

2024 7,272 7,707 8,825 7,733 6,398 5,322 3,424 2,209 1,631 116,874

2025 7,186 7,426 8,859 7,921 6,638 5,515 3,574 2,249 1,681 117,328

2026 7,038 7,309 8,729 8,180 6,845 5,639 3,767 2,314 1,736 117,760

2027 6,967 7,309 8,421 8,324 7,111 5,640 4,073 2,398 1,800 118,170

2028 6,909 7,308 8,029 8,495 7,309 5,757 4,342 2,460 1,879 118,555

2029 6,879 7,259 7,669 8,641 7,479 5,965 4,544 2,574 1,943 118,914

2030 6,904 7,175 7,396 8,676 7,670 6,201 4,717 2,695 1,996 119,247

2031 6,944 7,033 7,285 8,550 7,921 6,407 4,839 2,851 2,069 119,555

2032 6,969 6,963 7,278 8,260 8,069 6,662 4,862 3,102 2,162 119,837

2033 7,058 6,913 7,271 7,885 8,239 6,858 4,982 3,318 2,252 120,095

2034 7,142 6,888 7,220 7,542 8,385 7,030 5,180 3,483 2,365 120,326

2035 7,165 6,915 7,142 7,282 8,423 7,220 5,396 3,626 2,471 120,533

2036 7,165 6,958 7,008 7,182 8,301 7,467 5,585 3,732 2,615 120,716

2037 7,176 6,988 6,945 7,171 8,029 7,617 5,817 3,765 2,840 120,876

2038 7,127 7,081 6,900 7,159 7,682 7,788 6,002 3,875 3,030 121,013

2039 7,094 7,165 6,882 7,107 7,364 7,934 6,171 4,050 3,199 121,128

2040 7,169 7,195 6,908 7,038 7,121 7,979 6,353 4,235 3,343 121,220

2041 7,262 7,203 6,955 6,912 7,030 7,871 6,582 4,396 3,491 121,292




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario OXFORD



Table 13.10

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,468 4,651 4,781 5,255 5,275 4,579 4,548 4,386 4,676 5,380

2014 4,400 4,682 4,747 5,169 5,248 4,556 4,472 4,483 4,556 5,092

2015 4,343 4,690 4,755 5,012 5,216 4,609 4,474 4,422 4,541 4,828

2016 4,286 4,733 4,729 4,853 5,185 4,601 4,495 4,450 4,406 4,749

2017 4,261 4,698 4,763 4,820 5,014 4,656 4,469 4,473 4,306 4,707

2018 4,238 4,633 4,816 4,769 4,908 4,700 4,426 4,479 4,295 4,649

2019 4,230 4,574 4,849 4,734 4,818 4,690 4,420 4,435 4,366 4,539

2020 4,222 4,528 4,861 4,735 4,678 4,663 4,477 4,450 4,313 4,520

2021 4,210 4,486 4,897 4,716 4,537 4,633 4,485 4,475 4,342 4,397

2022 4,199 4,471 4,863 4,749 4,493 4,502 4,543 4,461 4,366 4,309

2023 4,187 4,455 4,803 4,804 4,446 4,414 4,587 4,426 4,382 4,296

2024 4,172 4,451 4,752 4,835 4,415 4,330 4,591 4,425 4,349 4,360

2025 4,154 4,447 4,711 4,850 4,413 4,209 4,567 4,485 4,372 4,315

2026 4,134 4,442 4,674 4,881 4,402 4,087 4,535 4,504 4,396 4,345

2027 4,108 4,440 4,663 4,848 4,432 4,034 4,427 4,562 4,388 4,372

2028 4,079 4,435 4,652 4,796 4,482 3,987 4,343 4,606 4,361 4,393

2029 4,047 4,426 4,654 4,750 4,508 3,957 4,260 4,613 4,363 4,375

2030 4,013 4,412 4,656 4,715 4,523 3,946 4,145 4,594 4,418 4,400

2031 3,978 4,394 4,656 4,689 4,545 3,939 4,027 4,561 4,440 4,424

2032 3,945 4,372 4,655 4,684 4,516 3,966 3,970 4,461 4,501 4,416

2033 3,916 4,345 4,652 4,678 4,477 4,007 3,922 4,379 4,546 4,395

2034 3,891 4,314 4,646 4,682 4,442 4,028 3,891 4,295 4,558 4,401

2035 3,870 4,280 4,636 4,685 4,415 4,042 3,877 4,186 4,542 4,457

2036 3,852 4,245 4,624 4,688 4,399 4,053 3,874 4,074 4,510 4,483

2037 3,837 4,211 4,604 4,695 4,400 4,029 3,899 4,017 4,420 4,543

2038 3,824 4,180 4,579 4,697 4,402 4,000 3,934 3,967 4,344 4,592

2039 3,815 4,151 4,550 4,695 4,412 3,973 3,953 3,938 4,264 4,609

2040 3,810 4,126 4,516 4,690 4,421 3,958 3,968 3,922 4,159 4,596

2041 3,805 4,106 4,478 4,680 4,429 3,951 3,978 3,924 4,050 4,566

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 6,214 5,743 4,869 3,819 2,996 2,385 1,841 1,285 768 77,919

2014 6,232 5,833 5,076 4,039 3,000 2,483 1,854 1,321 813 78,056

2015 6,155 5,963 5,224 4,264 3,090 2,506 1,890 1,352 857 78,191

2016 5,945 6,070 5,449 4,427 3,171 2,562 1,919 1,389 905 78,324

2017 5,709 6,158 5,542 4,545 3,357 2,652 1,989 1,368 974 78,461

2018 5,425 6,223 5,596 4,710 3,600 2,687 2,067 1,365 1,018 78,604

2019 5,145 6,248 5,686 4,905 3,808 2,700 2,160 1,383 1,058 78,748

2020 4,889 6,181 5,811 5,052 4,019 2,786 2,191 1,421 1,094 78,891

2021 4,808 5,981 5,923 5,265 4,173 2,864 2,249 1,454 1,141 79,036

2022 4,762 5,750 6,011 5,365 4,285 3,040 2,338 1,513 1,162 79,182

2023 4,710 5,469 6,080 5,427 4,441 3,263 2,383 1,576 1,179 79,328

2024 4,606 5,194 6,113 5,523 4,626 3,456 2,411 1,653 1,210 79,472

2025 4,588 4,947 6,054 5,647 4,769 3,654 2,494 1,683 1,253 79,612

2026 4,465 4,871 5,866 5,764 4,965 3,803 2,577 1,735 1,300 79,746

2027 4,384 4,827 5,646 5,857 5,067 3,905 2,751 1,815 1,348 79,874

2028 4,371 4,776 5,378 5,931 5,139 4,045 2,958 1,861 1,399 79,992

2029 4,431 4,676 5,117 5,971 5,236 4,216 3,139 1,897 1,466 80,102

2030 4,394 4,654 4,886 5,925 5,361 4,356 3,322 1,973 1,508 80,201

2031 4,429 4,539 4,816 5,751 5,486 4,537 3,463 2,047 1,569 80,290

2032 4,459 4,465 4,773 5,546 5,580 4,642 3,562 2,204 1,653 80,370

2033 4,484 4,453 4,728 5,291 5,658 4,721 3,696 2,378 1,714 80,440

2034 4,471 4,510 4,635 5,046 5,703 4,822 3,862 2,526 1,778 80,501

2035 4,499 4,480 4,614 4,829 5,667 4,948 3,999 2,679 1,848 80,553

2036 4,528 4,514 4,505 4,765 5,510 5,073 4,173 2,796 1,931 80,597

2037 4,528 4,546 4,439 4,724 5,321 5,168 4,281 2,887 2,087 80,636

2038 4,510 4,574 4,433 4,681 5,088 5,254 4,369 3,004 2,237 80,669

2039 4,521 4,570 4,485 4,599 4,866 5,308 4,475 3,149 2,363 80,696

2040 4,577 4,602 4,461 4,578 4,672 5,287 4,604 3,271 2,502 80,720

2041 4,606 4,634 4,497 4,479 4,620 5,155 4,735 3,421 2,621 80,735




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PERTH



Table 14

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 26,713 26,951 28,590 34,344 36,135 32,433 31,452 30,945 34,242 40,499

2014 26,520 27,132 27,939 33,138 36,089 32,341 31,538 30,736 33,421 38,060

2015 26,258 27,547 27,314 31,911 35,494 32,604 31,628 30,757 32,522 35,999

2016 26,251 27,518 27,076 30,746 34,892 32,692 31,715 31,002 31,521 34,934

2017 26,357 27,373 27,108 29,786 33,872 33,091 31,723 31,040 30,874 34,458

2018 26,382 27,238 27,401 28,873 32,882 33,439 31,641 31,152 30,480 33,985

2019 26,364 27,116 27,629 28,287 31,806 33,517 31,706 31,352 30,348 33,252

2020 26,330 26,920 28,066 27,728 30,696 33,093 32,062 31,535 30,413 32,431

2021 26,255 26,961 28,071 27,538 29,646 32,613 32,257 31,686 30,685 31,493

2022 26,148 27,106 27,942 27,600 28,787 31,756 32,696 31,756 30,766 30,890

2023 26,015 27,159 27,815 27,897 27,988 30,889 33,082 31,712 30,915 30,520

2024 25,844 27,179 27,701 28,132 27,505 29,939 33,189 31,827 31,133 30,405

2025 25,636 27,179 27,524 28,557 27,035 28,944 32,836 32,200 31,336 30,479

2026 25,396 27,139 27,582 28,583 26,901 28,002 32,415 32,433 31,510 30,754

2027 25,117 27,068 27,747 28,474 26,992 27,242 31,637 32,902 31,604 30,857

2028 24,819 26,960 27,821 28,360 27,296 26,554 30,828 33,310 31,597 31,037

2029 24,508 26,816 27,863 28,266 27,529 26,144 29,942 33,449 31,745 31,283

2030 24,195 26,637 27,883 28,121 27,931 25,738 29,011 33,139 32,146 31,512

2031 23,896 26,421 27,863 28,191 27,976 25,640 28,111 32,754 32,415 31,707

2032 23,613 26,171 27,815 28,366 27,885 25,742 27,394 32,025 32,892 31,842

2033 23,349 25,906 27,730 28,461 27,806 26,025 26,763 31,254 33,308 31,862

2034 23,121 25,619 27,610 28,531 27,746 26,239 26,384 30,397 33,466 32,038

2035 22,931 25,326 27,452 28,582 27,657 26,579 26,022 29,492 33,191 32,449

2036 22,773 25,039 27,257 28,597 27,746 26,633 25,952 28,612 32,829 32,731

2037 22,652 24,760 27,023 28,583 27,944 26,563 26,062 27,922 32,140 33,221

2038 22,561 24,509 26,769 28,527 28,070 26,500 26,334 27,328 31,395 33,661

2039 22,501 24,291 26,493 28,430 28,177 26,468 26,533 26,983 30,566 33,845

2040 22,469 24,102 26,207 28,298 28,268 26,413 26,860 26,651 29,701 33,591

2041 22,457 23,948 25,927 28,122 28,326 26,521 26,920 26,591 28,855 33,258

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 48,606 46,213 40,483 33,974 25,840 19,545 14,519 8,211 3,853 563,548

2014 48,280 46,782 41,112 35,486 26,246 19,980 14,593 8,461 4,278 562,132

2015 47,580 47,197 42,151 36,907 26,596 20,326 14,762 8,740 4,652 560,945

2016 45,713 47,950 42,911 37,947 27,365 20,713 14,949 9,081 5,012 559,988

2017 43,291 48,128 44,047 37,918 29,113 21,251 15,007 9,388 5,403 559,228

2018 40,681 48,164 45,048 38,277 30,559 21,962 15,204 9,560 5,752 558,680

2019 38,357 47,946 45,705 38,988 32,016 22,412 15,625 9,660 6,069 558,155

2020 36,396 47,331 46,214 40,058 33,378 22,804 15,979 9,826 6,389 557,649

2021 35,390 45,561 47,036 40,861 34,406 23,554 16,377 10,020 6,742 557,152

2022 34,939 43,232 47,281 42,013 34,478 25,166 16,887 10,130 7,086 556,659

2023 34,471 40,695 47,382 43,034 34,894 26,502 17,535 10,325 7,333 556,163

2024 33,751 38,434 47,242 43,720 35,629 27,834 17,969 10,671 7,539 555,643

2025 32,967 36,532 46,690 44,283 36,692 29,078 18,346 10,990 7,786 555,090

2026 32,059 35,569 45,008 45,132 37,507 30,054 19,045 11,340 8,064 554,493

2027 31,482 35,130 42,777 45,433 38,643 30,218 20,461 11,757 8,307 553,848

2028 31,141 34,679 40,345 45,595 39,658 30,678 21,646 12,277 8,548 553,149

2029 31,046 33,987 38,175 45,529 40,360 31,428 22,807 12,643 8,866 552,386

2030 31,133 33,235 36,357 45,066 40,954 32,461 23,879 12,965 9,198 551,561

2031 31,418 32,357 35,463 43,520 41,815 33,278 24,747 13,541 9,566 550,679

2032 31,548 31,815 35,058 41,430 42,174 34,371 24,988 14,661 9,957 549,747

2033 31,770 31,500 34,631 39,151 42,410 35,356 25,481 15,596 10,410 548,769

2034 32,047 31,435 33,964 37,131 42,434 36,072 26,215 16,491 10,811 547,751

2035 32,308 31,537 33,254 35,448 42,089 36,696 27,175 17,306 11,203 546,697

2036 32,528 31,843 32,425 34,643 40,724 37,561 27,952 17,985 11,783 545,613

2037 32,681 32,006 31,919 34,278 38,851 37,975 28,962 18,256 12,711 544,509

2038 32,725 32,258 31,634 33,884 36,796 38,290 29,893 18,708 13,559 543,401

2039 32,918 32,555 31,599 33,265 34,982 38,403 30,591 19,349 14,338 542,287

2040 33,356 32,843 31,717 32,618 33,480 38,176 31,227 20,159 15,036 541,172

2041 33,671 33,085 32,051 31,848 32,786 37,026 32,061 20,837 15,774 540,064




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO



Table 14.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,361 5,328 5,559 6,882 7,342 6,315 5,960 5,791 6,633 7,983

2014 5,309 5,313 5,483 6,557 7,336 6,283 5,930 5,789 6,408 7,494

2015 5,222 5,401 5,408 6,200 7,217 6,281 5,912 5,914 6,117 7,016

2016 5,106 5,492 5,364 5,954 7,051 6,290 5,880 5,966 5,911 6,802

2017 5,032 5,527 5,379 5,758 6,825 6,344 5,858 5,912 5,828 6,649

2018 4,951 5,527 5,458 5,603 6,567 6,416 5,830 5,936 5,725 6,507

2019 4,927 5,503 5,467 5,537 6,292 6,433 5,834 5,947 5,742 6,314

2020 4,902 5,437 5,567 5,469 5,984 6,354 5,853 5,958 5,867 6,060

2021 4,868 5,344 5,661 5,433 5,766 6,230 5,879 5,949 5,931 5,870

2022 4,831 5,286 5,696 5,451 5,595 6,051 5,943 5,946 5,895 5,796

2023 4,789 5,216 5,697 5,531 5,457 5,842 6,020 5,925 5,924 5,700

2024 4,740 5,202 5,674 5,544 5,403 5,614 6,046 5,938 5,941 5,715

2025 4,688 5,182 5,614 5,642 5,341 5,363 5,983 5,967 5,959 5,826

2026 4,634 5,156 5,530 5,732 5,315 5,179 5,885 5,999 5,956 5,888

2027 4,574 5,129 5,482 5,765 5,338 5,034 5,734 6,071 5,956 5,861

2028 4,511 5,096 5,421 5,768 5,418 4,919 5,552 6,152 5,940 5,898

2029 4,447 5,055 5,412 5,749 5,435 4,874 5,357 6,183 5,959 5,924

2030 4,384 5,010 5,398 5,694 5,529 4,818 5,139 6,126 5,998 5,946

2031 4,328 4,959 5,376 5,622 5,610 4,802 4,967 6,037 6,041 5,947

2032 4,274 4,900 5,355 5,585 5,639 4,825 4,837 5,894 6,119 5,955

2033 4,225 4,841 5,326 5,537 5,642 4,895 4,735 5,722 6,200 5,946

2034 4,181 4,782 5,290 5,534 5,623 4,914 4,694 5,531 6,234 5,971

2035 4,144 4,722 5,250 5,528 5,577 4,990 4,644 5,323 6,180 6,017

2036 4,113 4,667 5,203 5,516 5,525 5,050 4,633 5,154 6,096 6,062

2037 4,089 4,614 5,147 5,503 5,505 5,069 4,656 5,029 5,959 6,142

2038 4,071 4,566 5,091 5,479 5,478 5,070 4,716 4,928 5,796 6,227

2039 4,058 4,523 5,034 5,448 5,485 5,055 4,738 4,886 5,613 6,264

2040 4,050 4,485 4,975 5,417 5,487 5,022 4,806 4,837 5,416 6,214

2041 4,045 4,454 4,920 5,377 5,484 4,992 4,852 4,827 5,252 6,139

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 10,124 10,069 8,894 7,831 6,034 4,831 3,735 1,986 942 117,600

2014 9,870 10,170 9,057 8,132 6,040 4,916 3,717 2,107 1,022 116,933

2015 9,641 10,273 9,277 8,312 6,126 4,977 3,716 2,211 1,122 116,343

2016 9,097 10,400 9,469 8,479 6,277 4,994 3,729 2,354 1,213 115,828

2017 8,575 10,328 9,714 8,442 6,682 5,030 3,745 2,426 1,318 115,372

2018 8,060 10,198 9,927 8,454 7,033 5,105 3,792 2,474 1,413 114,976

2019 7,596 9,978 10,055 8,633 7,330 5,136 3,877 2,473 1,512 114,586

2020 7,137 9,773 10,179 8,865 7,512 5,234 3,950 2,488 1,614 114,203

2021 6,933 9,255 10,327 9,068 7,686 5,382 3,988 2,520 1,735 113,825

2022 6,787 8,745 10,277 9,320 7,673 5,754 4,039 2,549 1,822 113,456

2023 6,649 8,235 10,168 9,541 7,712 6,077 4,124 2,595 1,890 113,092

2024 6,467 7,771 9,975 9,678 7,895 6,352 4,174 2,666 1,937 112,732

2025 6,229 7,318 9,786 9,813 8,126 6,533 4,275 2,734 1,996 112,375

2026 6,046 7,118 9,289 9,972 8,330 6,704 4,424 2,783 2,076 112,016

2027 5,967 6,980 8,794 9,944 8,578 6,716 4,759 2,837 2,136 111,655

2028 5,875 6,849 8,297 9,859 8,800 6,772 5,047 2,918 2,197 111,289

2029 5,889 6,672 7,843 9,695 8,943 6,954 5,291 2,971 2,264 110,917

2030 5,997 6,441 7,408 9,530 9,084 7,178 5,456 3,060 2,342 110,538

2031 6,060 6,259 7,219 9,072 9,251 7,381 5,614 3,189 2,419 110,153

2032 6,040 6,181 7,090 8,608 9,247 7,622 5,649 3,457 2,485 109,762

2033 6,087 6,092 6,966 8,137 9,193 7,835 5,727 3,685 2,575 109,366

2034 6,121 6,110 6,793 7,710 9,068 7,985 5,905 3,876 2,645 108,967

2035 6,148 6,216 6,573 7,305 8,936 8,133 6,117 4,012 2,751 108,566

2036 6,157 6,285 6,396 7,133 8,535 8,306 6,310 4,140 2,884 108,165

2037 6,172 6,275 6,321 7,014 8,120 8,330 6,537 4,190 3,094 107,766

2038 6,169 6,327 6,238 6,900 7,696 8,313 6,741 4,272 3,295 107,373

2039 6,199 6,365 6,262 6,737 7,311 8,228 6,895 4,425 3,459 106,985

2040 6,252 6,400 6,364 6,535 6,952 8,136 7,048 4,605 3,602 106,603

2041 6,305 6,416 6,437 6,370 6,805 7,799 7,223 4,774 3,756 106,227




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario ALGOMA



Table 14.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,488 4,447 4,597 5,366 5,150 4,778 4,862 4,776 5,311 6,077

2014 4,488 4,436 4,479 5,250 5,182 4,591 4,912 4,702 5,154 5,678

2015 4,463 4,467 4,389 5,067 5,152 4,559 4,841 4,688 4,970 5,456

2016 4,472 4,403 4,363 4,922 5,082 4,523 4,771 4,734 4,769 5,343

2017 4,459 4,385 4,394 4,727 4,957 4,507 4,749 4,722 4,632 5,273

2018 4,419 4,371 4,446 4,613 4,767 4,549 4,703 4,641 4,611 5,142

2019 4,383 4,370 4,446 4,508 4,656 4,577 4,567 4,692 4,553 5,002

2020 4,341 4,350 4,481 4,428 4,500 4,546 4,560 4,643 4,546 4,832

2021 4,296 4,357 4,428 4,412 4,374 4,486 4,547 4,592 4,594 4,645

2022 4,246 4,355 4,410 4,444 4,213 4,382 4,550 4,578 4,587 4,522

2023 4,196 4,326 4,396 4,493 4,113 4,232 4,596 4,543 4,523 4,500

2024 4,145 4,297 4,400 4,496 4,032 4,135 4,622 4,441 4,572 4,450

2025 4,091 4,265 4,381 4,536 3,969 4,000 4,595 4,445 4,535 4,447

2026 4,039 4,232 4,389 4,494 3,964 3,886 4,538 4,445 4,499 4,494

2027 3,983 4,195 4,390 4,482 3,991 3,759 4,437 4,458 4,491 4,493

2028 3,927 4,153 4,368 4,472 4,037 3,676 4,299 4,507 4,464 4,441

2029 3,873 4,109 4,347 4,476 4,047 3,609 4,199 4,532 4,384 4,491

2030 3,824 4,065 4,322 4,462 4,085 3,554 4,073 4,505 4,397 4,465

2031 3,781 4,019 4,294 4,470 4,059 3,547 3,960 4,455 4,403 4,436

2032 3,744 3,971 4,263 4,472 4,050 3,569 3,841 4,359 4,424 4,435

2033 3,712 3,924 4,227 4,456 4,049 3,611 3,761 4,233 4,471 4,415

2034 3,687 3,873 4,192 4,444 4,052 3,625 3,699 4,136 4,498 4,349

2035 3,667 3,827 4,152 4,424 4,044 3,661 3,647 4,016 4,475 4,369

2036 3,651 3,787 4,109 4,402 4,053 3,646 3,642 3,907 4,427 4,379

2037 3,640 3,750 4,062 4,376 4,063 3,642 3,665 3,797 4,336 4,405

2038 3,632 3,718 4,015 4,344 4,057 3,639 3,705 3,721 4,217 4,454

2039 3,626 3,692 3,964 4,313 4,051 3,644 3,722 3,664 4,122 4,483

2040 3,621 3,672 3,918 4,275 4,043 3,638 3,760 3,618 4,008 4,458

2041 3,618 3,656 3,878 4,233 4,032 3,649 3,752 3,611 3,902 4,413

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 7,161 6,773 5,519 4,215 3,029 2,486 1,807 986 461 82,289

2014 7,099 6,867 5,621 4,458 3,135 2,479 1,820 996 518 81,865

2015 6,835 6,970 5,788 4,689 3,196 2,487 1,858 1,032 554 81,461

2016 6,552 6,954 5,963 4,852 3,353 2,466 1,877 1,078 600 81,077

2017 6,152 6,910 6,171 4,953 3,553 2,514 1,885 1,127 645 80,715

2018 5,810 6,789 6,411 5,077 3,700 2,592 1,911 1,147 681 80,380

2019 5,446 6,738 6,517 5,186 3,926 2,694 1,918 1,164 710 80,053

2020 5,247 6,503 6,627 5,351 4,143 2,759 1,938 1,196 743 79,734

2021 5,143 6,245 6,628 5,523 4,299 2,904 1,938 1,218 792 79,421

2022 5,078 5,876 6,599 5,726 4,397 3,089 1,989 1,232 840 79,113

2023 4,956 5,555 6,497 5,956 4,513 3,229 2,062 1,257 866 78,809

2024 4,824 5,213 6,458 6,061 4,616 3,437 2,148 1,271 887 78,505

2025 4,670 5,024 6,247 6,169 4,774 3,637 2,202 1,294 919 78,200

2026 4,499 4,927 6,006 6,182 4,938 3,782 2,325 1,302 952 77,893

2027 4,384 4,867 5,662 6,166 5,128 3,877 2,491 1,344 986 77,584

2028 4,364 4,757 5,359 6,085 5,342 3,984 2,621 1,401 1,014 77,271

2029 4,322 4,636 5,039 6,055 5,447 4,087 2,803 1,462 1,036 76,954

2030 4,320 4,495 4,858 5,870 5,554 4,243 2,968 1,507 1,067 76,634

2031 4,368 4,337 4,769 5,650 5,578 4,400 3,093 1,601 1,092 76,312

2032 4,372 4,232 4,714 5,333 5,575 4,581 3,185 1,731 1,137 75,988

2033 4,329 4,213 4,615 5,054 5,514 4,781 3,284 1,830 1,186 75,665

2034 4,379 4,177 4,505 4,763 5,499 4,884 3,382 1,966 1,234 75,344

2035 4,360 4,177 4,374 4,602 5,343 4,990 3,526 2,089 1,279 75,022

2036 4,341 4,223 4,228 4,524 5,150 5,027 3,666 2,182 1,355 74,699

2037 4,340 4,231 4,129 4,475 4,873 5,039 3,831 2,259 1,461 74,374

2038 4,327 4,197 4,112 4,385 4,626 5,000 4,008 2,339 1,554 74,050

2039 4,268 4,248 4,082 4,282 4,368 4,997 4,105 2,423 1,668 73,722

2040 4,291 4,234 4,083 4,167 4,226 4,868 4,208 2,539 1,766 73,393

2041 4,307 4,220 4,129 4,032 4,160 4,705 4,251 2,653 1,864 73,065




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario COCHRANE



Table 14.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 725 737 737 894 735 529 581 647 762 951

2014 707 732 738 869 778 521 585 627 736 912

2015 692 737 726 836 807 539 582 612 704 878

2016 679 731 731 823 796 565 582 588 693 847

2017 679 722 744 801 787 578 575 576 659 826

2018 678 717 739 771 787 609 547 577 649 816

2019 677 700 731 774 766 635 542 581 633 793

2020 677 685 735 764 740 652 557 579 621 761

2021 677 675 727 768 727 643 579 579 600 748

2022 677 676 719 779 704 632 592 577 588 713

2023 677 677 717 770 685 629 617 555 589 702

2024 676 679 700 767 685 611 635 554 594 687

2025 675 681 686 773 677 587 644 567 595 679

2026 673 681 679 768 678 576 636 581 598 663

2027 670 681 681 760 683 561 625 594 595 653

2028 666 681 682 756 679 546 617 615 579 652

2029 662 680 684 739 682 544 600 630 578 656

2030 658 679 686 727 687 537 577 636 589 658

2031 654 677 686 721 683 538 563 629 602 663

2032 650 674 686 723 675 541 550 619 613 665

2033 645 670 686 724 671 539 539 608 631 652

2034 641 665 685 726 659 539 536 590 644 652

2035 637 661 684 728 651 544 527 570 649 663

2036 632 655 682 728 647 541 528 556 642 676

2037 629 648 678 728 650 536 529 543 632 688

2038 627 641 674 728 652 533 529 531 619 708

2039 624 637 669 727 654 525 530 527 602 721

2040 621 634 662 726 656 521 533 520 583 722

2041 620 629 656 724 656 520 529 519 568 716

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,136 1,128 1,036 1,027 771 490 364 192 96 13,538

2014 1,147 1,132 1,038 1,095 774 520 354 206 106 13,577

2015 1,143 1,146 1,070 1,098 816 532 354 219 121 13,612

2016 1,115 1,180 1,087 1,100 829 578 366 232 120 13,642

2017 1,109 1,201 1,137 1,042 875 621 365 247 124 13,668

2018 1,048 1,232 1,178 1,015 924 648 377 241 139 13,692

2019 1,004 1,239 1,189 1,022 983 654 403 237 151 13,714

2020 966 1,235 1,207 1,055 991 690 414 240 166 13,735

2021 934 1,205 1,243 1,073 999 702 453 249 173 13,754

2022 917 1,187 1,265 1,122 952 748 485 254 182 13,769

2023 905 1,121 1,294 1,163 932 792 509 263 186 13,783

2024 880 1,072 1,301 1,178 945 844 513 283 189 13,793

2025 847 1,030 1,294 1,198 978 855 541 294 199 13,800

2026 833 996 1,261 1,235 998 865 553 324 206 13,804

2027 802 976 1,238 1,255 1,045 832 595 344 215 13,805

2028 792 965 1,172 1,280 1,084 821 633 360 223 13,803

2029 778 942 1,120 1,289 1,099 835 677 365 236 13,796

2030 769 914 1,077 1,285 1,118 868 687 387 248 13,787

2031 756 893 1,047 1,254 1,153 889 699 399 269 13,775

2032 747 862 1,029 1,228 1,176 929 678 432 285 13,762

2033 748 853 1,016 1,166 1,201 964 674 461 298 13,746

2034 753 841 992 1,118 1,209 981 694 494 310 13,729

2035 758 834 964 1,076 1,206 1,002 721 507 328 13,710

2036 761 828 942 1,048 1,179 1,035 740 522 348 13,690

2037 763 824 913 1,031 1,157 1,055 774 509 380 13,667

2038 752 830 903 1,019 1,099 1,080 805 508 405 13,643

2039 753 840 892 997 1,057 1,088 822 525 428 13,618

2040 767 847 887 971 1,018 1,088 841 549 447 13,593

2041 780 849 887 950 993 1,065 873 567 465 13,566




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario MANITOULIN



Table 14.4

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 4,113 4,101 4,447 5,168 6,180 5,584 4,931 4,797 5,233 6,282

2014 4,140 4,141 4,313 5,029 6,075 5,716 4,970 4,808 5,156 5,833

2015 4,157 4,219 4,184 4,900 5,872 5,815 5,115 4,839 5,006 5,495

2016 4,221 4,216 4,107 4,762 5,733 5,834 5,288 4,846 4,895 5,323

2017 4,291 4,239 4,060 4,679 5,507 5,921 5,288 4,931 4,867 5,269

2018 4,341 4,235 4,127 4,554 5,350 5,938 5,341 4,981 4,852 5,239

2019 4,367 4,263 4,166 4,435 5,215 5,892 5,453 5,034 4,871 5,169

2020 4,383 4,283 4,240 4,322 5,076 5,760 5,551 5,168 4,904 5,035

2021 4,388 4,347 4,240 4,261 4,937 5,655 5,588 5,323 4,922 4,926

2022 4,385 4,419 4,258 4,230 4,842 5,470 5,678 5,336 5,001 4,892

2023 4,373 4,468 4,252 4,297 4,718 5,327 5,716 5,387 5,054 4,871

2024 4,352 4,497 4,274 4,340 4,615 5,193 5,695 5,488 5,109 4,885

2025 4,322 4,517 4,292 4,410 4,519 5,055 5,599 5,580 5,229 4,915

2026 4,285 4,525 4,353 4,417 4,475 4,912 5,516 5,624 5,371 4,937

2027 4,242 4,524 4,420 4,430 4,463 4,811 5,361 5,719 5,391 5,009

2028 4,195 4,513 4,467 4,425 4,530 4,698 5,231 5,774 5,441 5,063

2029 4,146 4,497 4,496 4,441 4,575 4,616 5,102 5,771 5,536 5,120

2030 4,094 4,473 4,518 4,456 4,642 4,537 4,970 5,692 5,631 5,235

2031 4,041 4,445 4,530 4,510 4,654 4,510 4,834 5,618 5,684 5,366

2032 3,992 4,410 4,534 4,574 4,661 4,512 4,738 5,479 5,780 5,393

2033 3,948 4,370 4,528 4,622 4,659 4,575 4,638 5,359 5,839 5,442

2034 3,911 4,326 4,512 4,658 4,672 4,618 4,568 5,236 5,844 5,532

2035 3,880 4,277 4,491 4,687 4,688 4,679 4,503 5,101 5,779 5,625

2036 3,857 4,227 4,467 4,703 4,737 4,694 4,486 4,962 5,713 5,678

2037 3,839 4,182 4,439 4,709 4,801 4,696 4,499 4,866 5,582 5,778

2038 3,827 4,143 4,405 4,709 4,848 4,692 4,557 4,774 5,462 5,846

2039 3,821 4,110 4,369 4,700 4,887 4,703 4,597 4,713 5,337 5,861

2040 3,822 4,081 4,327 4,684 4,922 4,718 4,654 4,655 5,206 5,805

2041 3,826 4,060 4,281 4,663 4,946 4,763 4,672 4,642 5,073 5,745

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 7,690 6,867 5,921 4,993 4,003 3,035 2,130 1,268 619 87,362

2014 7,689 7,033 5,986 5,221 4,086 3,112 2,161 1,289 685 87,443

2015 7,581 7,198 6,151 5,466 4,094 3,151 2,235 1,324 743 87,545

2016 7,260 7,399 6,294 5,626 4,208 3,190 2,334 1,344 788 87,668

2017 6,866 7,464 6,485 5,596 4,462 3,295 2,369 1,387 841 87,817

2018 6,332 7,561 6,702 5,660 4,625 3,436 2,408 1,424 887 87,993

2019 5,901 7,571 6,870 5,734 4,850 3,517 2,485 1,451 926 88,170

2020 5,581 7,478 7,035 5,898 5,082 3,542 2,531 1,507 970 88,346

2021 5,420 7,180 7,240 6,039 5,241 3,651 2,581 1,578 1,002 88,519

2022 5,367 6,809 7,315 6,228 5,230 3,889 2,677 1,611 1,051 88,688

2023 5,332 6,307 7,420 6,437 5,300 4,048 2,805 1,648 1,091 88,851

2024 5,258 5,898 7,442 6,604 5,386 4,255 2,883 1,710 1,122 89,006

2025 5,131 5,588 7,364 6,765 5,552 4,468 2,916 1,753 1,178 89,153

2026 5,020 5,434 7,088 6,966 5,695 4,621 3,020 1,802 1,230 89,291

2027 4,984 5,380 6,734 7,051 5,881 4,628 3,234 1,882 1,277 89,421

2028 4,964 5,343 6,263 7,163 6,083 4,700 3,387 1,984 1,319 89,543

2029 4,978 5,271 5,877 7,199 6,241 4,795 3,572 2,049 1,373 89,655

2030 5,010 5,150 5,585 7,138 6,402 4,953 3,758 2,081 1,430 89,755

2031 5,034 5,043 5,443 6,890 6,599 5,093 3,897 2,163 1,489 89,843

2032 5,102 5,006 5,391 6,569 6,688 5,270 3,922 2,339 1,561 89,921

2033 5,159 4,990 5,350 6,132 6,809 5,459 3,998 2,466 1,644 89,987

2034 5,219 5,005 5,280 5,770 6,853 5,615 4,095 2,612 1,714 90,040

2035 5,333 5,035 5,169 5,495 6,811 5,767 4,244 2,751 1,767 90,082

2036 5,462 5,063 5,068 5,362 6,591 5,957 4,374 2,860 1,853 90,114

2037 5,493 5,129 5,037 5,315 6,293 6,049 4,541 2,893 2,002 90,143

2038 5,540 5,190 5,022 5,278 5,898 6,173 4,715 2,963 2,128 90,170

2039 5,629 5,254 5,036 5,214 5,570 6,232 4,859 3,052 2,253 90,197

2040 5,725 5,365 5,066 5,114 5,322 6,210 5,005 3,182 2,361 90,224

2041 5,783 5,490 5,102 5,020 5,206 6,027 5,182 3,294 2,475 90,250




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario NIPISSING



Table 14.5

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 1,624 1,837 1,973 2,330 2,069 1,854 1,871 1,996 2,285 3,199

2014 1,561 1,851 1,960 2,251 2,112 1,815 1,860 1,960 2,228 3,004

2015 1,526 1,856 1,945 2,147 2,130 1,816 1,864 1,918 2,180 2,810

2016 1,497 1,863 1,936 2,061 2,120 1,813 1,886 1,889 2,087 2,731

2017 1,486 1,822 1,968 2,020 2,063 1,834 1,901 1,846 2,031 2,620

2018 1,479 1,777 2,015 1,961 2,006 1,857 1,903 1,833 1,971 2,542

2019 1,472 1,728 2,039 1,946 1,937 1,887 1,895 1,828 1,941 2,490

2020 1,468 1,700 2,055 1,925 1,859 1,887 1,911 1,836 1,909 2,439

2021 1,465 1,677 2,065 1,915 1,788 1,873 1,919 1,858 1,888 2,350

2022 1,463 1,671 2,028 1,940 1,749 1,829 1,944 1,870 1,861 2,298

2023 1,461 1,671 1,981 1,980 1,703 1,784 1,965 1,876 1,855 2,244

2024 1,458 1,670 1,935 2,003 1,690 1,729 1,983 1,877 1,853 2,218

2025 1,452 1,670 1,913 2,016 1,671 1,667 1,975 1,894 1,864 2,190

2026 1,444 1,669 1,899 2,018 1,662 1,609 1,957 1,905 1,887 2,174

2027 1,432 1,668 1,902 1,986 1,680 1,573 1,914 1,930 1,900 2,157

2028 1,420 1,666 1,905 1,947 1,711 1,535 1,870 1,949 1,908 2,161

2029 1,407 1,663 1,907 1,912 1,725 1,521 1,818 1,966 1,914 2,168

2030 1,393 1,657 1,910 1,896 1,734 1,501 1,762 1,957 1,935 2,187

2031 1,380 1,649 1,911 1,890 1,733 1,491 1,706 1,942 1,946 2,216

2032 1,368 1,639 1,911 1,895 1,709 1,501 1,670 1,902 1,972 2,234

2033 1,353 1,629 1,911 1,899 1,684 1,519 1,633 1,860 1,994 2,246

2034 1,339 1,616 1,909 1,903 1,664 1,528 1,613 1,810 2,009 2,260

2035 1,327 1,603 1,903 1,908 1,655 1,532 1,592 1,756 2,000 2,283

2036 1,316 1,590 1,895 1,911 1,651 1,533 1,584 1,703 1,983 2,296

2037 1,307 1,575 1,884 1,915 1,657 1,519 1,590 1,667 1,944 2,327

2038 1,299 1,559 1,873 1,915 1,663 1,501 1,606 1,634 1,903 2,353

2039 1,292 1,544 1,858 1,911 1,670 1,489 1,612 1,616 1,854 2,370

2040 1,286 1,530 1,841 1,905 1,677 1,483 1,618 1,598 1,802 2,360

2041 1,282 1,517 1,823 1,898 1,682 1,482 1,617 1,592 1,748 2,342

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 3,820 3,896 3,954 3,542 2,623 1,867 1,271 732 334 43,077

2014 3,889 3,908 3,932 3,688 2,691 1,940 1,296 773 374 43,093

2015 3,947 3,907 3,966 3,824 2,763 1,978 1,328 814 402 43,121

2016 3,877 3,984 3,977 3,900 2,837 2,074 1,347 835 449 43,163

2017 3,797 4,061 4,017 3,831 3,043 2,103 1,409 873 490 43,215

2018 3,662 4,175 4,011 3,809 3,190 2,216 1,441 889 538 43,275

2019 3,463 4,260 4,037 3,807 3,329 2,284 1,502 910 578 43,333

2020 3,272 4,320 4,055 3,854 3,461 2,349 1,535 938 615 43,388

2021 3,192 4,245 4,145 3,879 3,541 2,421 1,612 956 649 43,438

2022 3,089 4,149 4,226 3,930 3,493 2,609 1,646 1,001 688 43,484

2023 3,009 3,994 4,336 3,944 3,485 2,747 1,741 1,028 720 43,524

2024 2,952 3,787 4,422 3,981 3,497 2,871 1,803 1,077 750 43,556

2025 2,896 3,595 4,473 4,016 3,552 2,986 1,858 1,110 784 43,582

2026 2,804 3,515 4,393 4,111 3,586 3,064 1,924 1,170 809 43,600

2027 2,753 3,415 4,286 4,190 3,649 3,035 2,083 1,205 853 43,611

2028 2,703 3,336 4,125 4,296 3,679 3,041 2,202 1,279 884 43,617

2029 2,681 3,276 3,920 4,375 3,726 3,068 2,307 1,331 932 43,617

2030 2,656 3,217 3,736 4,421 3,767 3,128 2,409 1,377 968 43,611

2031 2,647 3,126 3,662 4,346 3,861 3,169 2,478 1,434 1,013 43,600

2032 2,643 3,075 3,570 4,237 3,940 3,235 2,465 1,560 1,060 43,586

2033 2,658 3,028 3,498 4,080 4,038 3,275 2,481 1,659 1,122 43,567

2034 2,675 3,010 3,436 3,888 4,118 3,329 2,515 1,744 1,180 43,546

2035 2,702 2,994 3,379 3,716 4,164 3,378 2,577 1,824 1,229 43,522

2036 2,737 2,992 3,293 3,648 4,095 3,471 2,623 1,881 1,294 43,496

2037 2,758 2,997 3,246 3,570 3,992 3,547 2,687 1,883 1,401 43,466

2038 2,775 3,018 3,206 3,502 3,847 3,639 2,735 1,906 1,500 43,434

2039 2,792 3,040 3,192 3,446 3,676 3,713 2,791 1,945 1,588 43,399

2040 2,825 3,073 3,180 3,392 3,525 3,754 2,845 2,004 1,663 43,361

2041 2,846 3,115 3,185 3,312 3,468 3,693 2,932 2,051 1,736 43,321




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario PARRY SOUND



Table 14.6

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 7,867 8,107 8,391 10,319 11,708 10,864 10,525 10,171 10,838 12,086

2014 7,779 8,220 8,244 9,919 11,668 10,935 10,600 10,161 10,620 11,464

2015 7,703 8,343 8,110 9,562 11,448 11,125 10,624 10,187 10,520 10,866

2016 7,809 8,257 8,077 9,165 11,276 11,258 10,603 10,361 10,283 10,586

2017 7,957 8,111 8,095 8,870 10,965 11,453 10,704 10,434 10,080 10,585

2018 8,089 8,001 8,136 8,616 10,711 11,565 10,704 10,555 9,997 10,541

2019 8,122 7,927 8,247 8,481 10,343 11,587 10,803 10,657 9,994 10,343

2020 8,149 7,859 8,374 8,352 10,006 11,428 11,004 10,716 10,020 10,247

2021 8,164 7,960 8,301 8,319 9,638 11,285 11,152 10,722 10,185 10,024

2022 8,167 8,095 8,175 8,342 9,361 11,001 11,350 10,826 10,262 9,833

2023 8,158 8,214 8,077 8,390 9,117 10,743 11,486 10,828 10,384 9,755

2024 8,134 8,251 8,009 8,497 8,984 10,397 11,526 10,927 10,486 9,751

2025 8,094 8,284 7,944 8,626 8,850 10,072 11,393 11,129 10,553 9,776

2026 8,035 8,308 8,038 8,568 8,817 9,729 11,262 11,280 10,571 9,932

2027 7,960 8,319 8,169 8,457 8,846 9,466 10,998 11,482 10,671 10,009

2028 7,876 8,315 8,285 8,367 8,909 9,232 10,752 11,628 10,679 10,127

2029 7,782 8,296 8,325 8,313 9,015 9,102 10,431 11,677 10,777 10,231

2030 7,683 8,261 8,359 8,260 9,151 8,974 10,118 11,563 10,975 10,302

2031 7,584 8,208 8,386 8,351 9,108 8,948 9,794 11,439 11,127 10,332

2032 7,484 8,141 8,401 8,478 9,017 8,985 9,543 11,189 11,325 10,431

2033 7,390 8,066 8,402 8,588 8,947 9,057 9,322 10,948 11,473 10,442

2034 7,307 7,981 8,388 8,631 8,915 9,152 9,200 10,641 11,529 10,544

2035 7,238 7,890 8,359 8,670 8,882 9,276 9,085 10,336 11,431 10,734

2036 7,180 7,797 8,312 8,705 8,969 9,251 9,063 10,020 11,318 10,884

2037 7,134 7,703 8,251 8,728 9,089 9,179 9,101 9,777 11,086 11,078

2038 7,099 7,617 8,179 8,736 9,190 9,126 9,178 9,567 10,857 11,225

2039 7,075 7,541 8,097 8,728 9,243 9,105 9,264 9,453 10,565 11,288

2040 7,064 7,474 8,012 8,705 9,291 9,082 9,384 9,342 10,273 11,203

2041 7,061 7,418 7,927 8,661 9,334 9,159 9,374 9,325 9,974 11,099

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 13,639 12,535 10,556 8,667 6,636 4,972 3,880 2,251 1,075 165,087

2014 13,675 12,673 10,848 8,972 6,811 5,064 3,899 2,276 1,188 165,016

2015 13,670 12,673 11,197 9,383 6,902 5,169 3,937 2,313 1,276 165,008

2016 13,284 12,895 11,356 9,740 7,086 5,308 3,936 2,411 1,370 165,061

2017 12,511 13,067 11,668 9,800 7,513 5,523 3,869 2,484 1,465 165,154

2018 11,768 13,113 11,902 9,992 7,903 5,736 3,906 2,522 1,537 165,294

2019 11,177 13,156 12,050 10,290 8,208 5,906 4,004 2,546 1,595 165,436

2020 10,612 13,148 12,072 10,642 8,603 6,005 4,108 2,579 1,652 165,576

2021 10,344 12,785 12,297 10,818 8,944 6,192 4,241 2,600 1,744 165,715

2022 10,340 12,059 12,470 11,131 9,020 6,591 4,429 2,572 1,829 165,853

2023 10,297 11,353 12,530 11,372 9,215 6,953 4,620 2,613 1,883 165,988

2024 10,113 10,795 12,578 11,530 9,502 7,243 4,769 2,697 1,926 166,115

2025 10,017 10,267 12,577 11,575 9,844 7,606 4,865 2,784 1,972 166,228

2026 9,798 10,020 12,242 11,805 10,027 7,926 5,044 2,892 2,032 166,326

2027 9,616 10,016 11,572 11,981 10,337 8,014 5,394 3,035 2,063 166,405

2028 9,546 9,972 10,913 12,052 10,582 8,209 5,714 3,184 2,116 166,458

2029 9,545 9,798 10,386 12,113 10,749 8,483 5,974 3,301 2,188 166,486

2030 9,572 9,705 9,889 12,119 10,814 8,807 6,288 3,378 2,269 166,487

2031 9,718 9,501 9,658 11,805 11,048 8,999 6,567 3,523 2,367 166,463

2032 9,796 9,335 9,658 11,175 11,229 9,299 6,662 3,796 2,471 166,415

2033 9,915 9,273 9,618 10,557 11,313 9,545 6,852 4,045 2,592 166,345

2034 10,021 9,276 9,457 10,062 11,383 9,716 7,103 4,245 2,702 166,253

2035 10,099 9,304 9,373 9,600 11,401 9,799 7,399 4,473 2,793 166,142

2036 10,135 9,447 9,184 9,392 11,114 10,037 7,587 4,685 2,933 166,013

2037 10,234 9,527 9,031 9,391 10,545 10,220 7,864 4,774 3,159 165,871

2038 10,250 9,647 8,978 9,357 9,980 10,319 8,098 4,937 3,380 165,720

2039 10,349 9,751 8,988 9,209 9,529 10,401 8,270 5,144 3,561 165,561

2040 10,535 9,837 9,018 9,132 9,109 10,435 8,369 5,385 3,745 165,395

2041 10,685 9,879 9,159 8,955 8,928 10,187 8,597 5,549 3,954 165,225




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario GREATER SUDBURY



Table 14.7

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 918 871 1,109 1,275 1,033 799 916 1,033 1,233 1,595

2014 900 858 1,063 1,211 1,042 772 879 976 1,228 1,485

2015 862 884 990 1,178 1,018 764 876 897 1,208 1,408

2016 854 868 941 1,144 1,000 763 848 890 1,134 1,329

2017 839 863 916 1,103 967 776 846 870 1,055 1,311

2018 821 864 904 1,057 923 812 825 854 1,023 1,286

2019 817 852 900 1,016 881 827 822 835 986 1,282

2020 816 827 923 961 852 819 830 839 927 1,266

2021 813 827 913 926 825 807 838 822 925 1,204

2022 809 821 904 911 796 785 850 825 911 1,139

2023 805 811 903 906 763 755 872 810 900 1,110

2024 799 808 892 905 738 728 879 808 886 1,078

2025 791 807 871 925 707 702 871 815 889 1,032

2026 781 804 873 915 689 678 859 822 876 1,029

2027 769 800 870 908 683 655 837 835 879 1,018

2028 757 796 863 905 682 632 811 852 869 1,014

2029 744 790 860 896 683 613 785 858 871 1,003

2030 731 782 859 878 695 593 758 850 880 1,009

2031 719 772 856 877 687 583 732 839 888 1,000

2032 709 762 852 876 679 581 708 820 900 1,004

2033 698 752 848 872 674 582 686 798 916 994

2034 688 742 842 869 666 583 670 772 921 996

2035 679 731 834 868 659 587 655 746 913 1,005

2036 671 720 825 865 657 584 649 721 901 1,013

2037 665 709 815 861 658 580 648 698 881 1,026

2038 659 700 805 858 656 577 650 679 857 1,043

2039 655 691 795 853 655 572 651 667 829 1,048

2040 651 683 784 847 654 567 656 654 801 1,038

2041 647 677 773 839 653 567 653 649 774 1,027

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 2,164 2,102 1,939 1,558 1,085 677 444 246 89 21,086

2014 2,068 2,166 1,920 1,651 1,074 748 445 252 112 20,850

2015 1,992 2,153 1,969 1,751 1,082 776 446 258 129 20,641

2016 1,899 2,200 2,017 1,786 1,129 792 458 267 142 20,461

2017 1,769 2,204 2,084 1,781 1,215 822 449 287 152 20,309

2018 1,655 2,189 2,108 1,778 1,307 847 467 291 174 20,185

2019 1,553 2,112 2,175 1,769 1,393 849 514 294 189 20,066

2020 1,478 2,047 2,172 1,818 1,481 860 533 298 203 19,950

2021 1,410 1,956 2,223 1,862 1,515 901 547 306 217 19,837

2022 1,391 1,831 2,232 1,925 1,516 972 572 301 232 19,723

2023 1,368 1,718 2,224 1,949 1,517 1,049 592 316 240 19,608

2024 1,356 1,616 2,162 2,008 1,514 1,120 599 345 250 19,491

2025 1,339 1,541 2,102 2,010 1,559 1,185 607 363 255 19,371

2026 1,283 1,476 2,013 2,058 1,598 1,214 637 374 267 19,246

2027 1,224 1,456 1,890 2,070 1,654 1,217 691 392 270 19,118

2028 1,196 1,433 1,775 2,064 1,677 1,224 748 408 283 18,989

2029 1,168 1,418 1,675 2,014 1,727 1,228 801 417 305 18,856

2030 1,130 1,400 1,599 1,963 1,731 1,270 851 423 319 18,721

2031 1,132 1,345 1,539 1,883 1,775 1,303 875 447 334 18,586

2032 1,126 1,293 1,519 1,771 1,787 1,350 879 486 348 18,450

2033 1,128 1,267 1,497 1,666 1,786 1,372 888 527 364 18,315

2034 1,121 1,245 1,480 1,576 1,750 1,414 897 567 381 18,180

2035 1,129 1,211 1,460 1,509 1,710 1,422 932 604 392 18,046

2036 1,121 1,215 1,409 1,459 1,647 1,459 958 623 416 17,913

2037 1,125 1,211 1,361 1,442 1,553 1,474 993 630 451 17,781

2038 1,115 1,214 1,336 1,421 1,462 1,477 1,014 641 485 17,649

2039 1,118 1,208 1,318 1,403 1,387 1,450 1,046 652 519 17,517

2040 1,129 1,216 1,290 1,384 1,330 1,418 1,056 681 547 17,386

2041 1,138 1,210 1,296 1,337 1,289 1,368 1,087 703 571 17,258




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario SUDBURY



Table 14.8

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 1,617 1,523 1,777 2,110 1,918 1,710 1,806 1,734 1,947 2,326

2014 1,636 1,581 1,659 2,052 1,896 1,708 1,802 1,713 1,891 2,190

2015 1,633 1,640 1,562 2,021 1,850 1,705 1,814 1,702 1,817 2,070

2016 1,613 1,688 1,557 1,915 1,834 1,646 1,857 1,728 1,749 1,973

2017 1,614 1,704 1,552 1,828 1,801 1,678 1,802 1,749 1,722 1,925

2018 1,604 1,746 1,576 1,698 1,771 1,693 1,788 1,775 1,652 1,912

2019 1,599 1,773 1,633 1,590 1,716 1,679 1,790 1,778 1,628 1,859

2020 1,594 1,779 1,691 1,507 1,679 1,647 1,796 1,796 1,619 1,791

2021 1,584 1,774 1,736 1,504 1,591 1,634 1,755 1,841 1,640 1,726

2022 1,570 1,783 1,752 1,503 1,527 1,606 1,789 1,798 1,661 1,697

2023 1,556 1,776 1,792 1,530 1,432 1,577 1,810 1,788 1,686 1,638

2024 1,540 1,775 1,817 1,580 1,358 1,532 1,803 1,794 1,692 1,621

2025 1,523 1,773 1,823 1,629 1,301 1,498 1,776 1,803 1,712 1,614

2026 1,505 1,764 1,821 1,671 1,301 1,433 1,762 1,777 1,752 1,637

2027 1,487 1,752 1,833 1,686 1,308 1,383 1,731 1,813 1,721 1,657

2028 1,467 1,740 1,830 1,720 1,330 1,316 1,696 1,833 1,717 1,681

2029 1,447 1,726 1,832 1,740 1,367 1,265 1,650 1,832 1,726 1,690

2030 1,428 1,710 1,831 1,748 1,408 1,224 1,614 1,810 1,741 1,710

2031 1,409 1,692 1,824 1,750 1,442 1,221 1,555 1,795 1,724 1,747

2032 1,392 1,674 1,813 1,763 1,455 1,228 1,507 1,763 1,759 1,725

2033 1,378 1,654 1,802 1,763 1,480 1,247 1,449 1,726 1,784 1,725

2034 1,367 1,634 1,792 1,766 1,495 1,280 1,404 1,681 1,787 1,734

2035 1,359 1,615 1,779 1,769 1,501 1,310 1,369 1,644 1,764 1,753

2036 1,353 1,596 1,764 1,767 1,507 1,334 1,367 1,589 1,749 1,743

2037 1,349 1,579 1,747 1,763 1,521 1,342 1,374 1,545 1,720 1,777

2038 1,347 1,565 1,727 1,758 1,526 1,362 1,393 1,494 1,684 1,805

2039 1,350 1,553 1,707 1,750 1,532 1,375 1,419 1,457 1,644 1,810

2040 1,354 1,543 1,688 1,739 1,538 1,382 1,449 1,427 1,612 1,791

2041 1,358 1,537 1,669 1,727 1,539 1,389 1,471 1,426 1,564 1,777

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 2,872 2,843 2,664 2,141 1,659 1,187 888 550 237 33,509

2014 2,843 2,833 2,710 2,269 1,635 1,201 901 562 273 33,355

2015 2,771 2,877 2,733 2,384 1,617 1,256 888 569 305 33,214

2016 2,629 2,938 2,748 2,464 1,646 1,311 902 560 330 33,088

2017 2,512 2,893 2,771 2,473 1,770 1,343 916 557 368 32,978

2018 2,346 2,907 2,809 2,492 1,877 1,382 902 572 383 32,885

2019 2,217 2,892 2,812 2,547 1,997 1,372 922 585 408 32,797

2020 2,103 2,827 2,867 2,575 2,105 1,365 970 580 426 32,717

2021 2,014 2,690 2,933 2,599 2,181 1,401 1,017 593 430 32,643

2022 1,970 2,576 2,897 2,631 2,197 1,514 1,050 610 442 32,573

2023 1,955 2,412 2,913 2,672 2,220 1,607 1,082 605 457 32,508

2024 1,901 2,282 2,904 2,680 2,274 1,712 1,080 622 478 32,445

2025 1,838 2,169 2,847 2,737 2,307 1,808 1,082 658 483 32,381

2026 1,776 2,083 2,716 2,803 2,335 1,878 1,118 693 492 32,317

2027 1,752 2,040 2,601 2,776 2,371 1,899 1,214 718 507 32,249

2028 1,701 2,024 2,441 2,796 2,411 1,927 1,294 743 512 32,179

2029 1,685 1,974 2,315 2,789 2,428 1,978 1,382 747 532 32,105

2030 1,679 1,913 2,205 2,740 2,484 2,014 1,462 752 555 32,028

2031 1,703 1,853 2,126 2,620 2,550 2,044 1,524 785 583 31,947

2032 1,722 1,831 2,087 2,509 2,532 2,085 1,548 860 610 31,863

2033 1,746 1,784 2,071 2,359 2,556 2,125 1,577 923 629 31,778

2034 1,758 1,771 2,021 2,244 2,554 2,148 1,624 987 645 31,692

2035 1,779 1,766 1,962 2,145 2,518 2,205 1,659 1,046 664 31,607

2036 1,814 1,790 1,905 2,077 2,413 2,269 1,694 1,092 700 31,523

2037 1,796 1,812 1,881 2,040 2,318 2,261 1,735 1,118 763 31,441

2038 1,797 1,835 1,839 2,022 2,188 2,289 1,777 1,142 812 31,362

2039 1,810 1,849 1,829 1,977 2,084 2,294 1,803 1,183 862 31,288

2040 1,832 1,871 1,829 1,923 1,998 2,267 1,855 1,214 905 31,217

2041 1,827 1,906 1,856 1,872 1,937 2,182 1,916 1,246 953 31,152




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario TIMISKAMING



Table 15

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 13,731 13,294 13,907 15,956 16,687 14,726 13,883 13,452 14,788 16,653

2014 13,632 13,332 13,569 15,580 16,599 14,885 13,891 13,351 14,490 15,836

2015 13,482 13,490 13,318 15,101 16,411 15,068 13,841 13,295 14,242 15,242

2016 13,305 13,674 13,176 14,625 16,267 15,146 13,888 13,244 13,799 15,003

2017 13,309 13,633 13,166 14,219 15,939 15,277 14,037 13,300 13,487 14,699

2018 13,289 13,685 13,163 13,991 15,494 15,411 14,133 13,351 13,246 14,560

2019 13,305 13,622 13,223 13,684 15,175 15,398 14,308 13,388 13,181 14,295

2020 13,311 13,500 13,394 13,461 14,754 15,271 14,522 13,367 13,144 14,073

2021 13,304 13,345 13,589 13,336 14,323 15,176 14,643 13,431 13,113 13,664

2022 13,288 13,360 13,556 13,334 13,953 14,890 14,800 13,582 13,179 13,375

2023 13,252 13,343 13,607 13,343 13,734 14,492 14,943 13,674 13,235 13,151

2024 13,195 13,368 13,544 13,405 13,461 14,199 14,944 13,845 13,279 13,092

2025 13,120 13,381 13,432 13,577 13,261 13,806 14,836 14,052 13,270 13,063

2026 13,028 13,380 13,288 13,771 13,158 13,410 14,749 14,177 13,341 13,043

2027 12,924 13,369 13,308 13,743 13,169 13,076 14,483 14,339 13,491 13,109

2028 12,805 13,338 13,300 13,795 13,186 12,871 14,120 14,482 13,585 13,174

2029 12,682 13,283 13,329 13,746 13,256 12,626 13,837 14,500 13,754 13,224

2030 12,557 13,212 13,347 13,645 13,430 12,445 13,468 14,404 13,959 13,226

2031 12,431 13,129 13,351 13,515 13,619 12,357 13,095 14,324 14,091 13,306

2032 12,307 13,034 13,344 13,542 13,593 12,383 12,781 14,078 14,255 13,454

2033 12,194 12,926 13,319 13,538 13,636 12,415 12,588 13,738 14,407 13,549

2034 12,094 12,815 13,269 13,572 13,589 12,486 12,369 13,469 14,434 13,715

2035 12,008 12,696 13,204 13,594 13,504 12,639 12,208 13,121 14,345 13,924

2036 11,935 12,576 13,127 13,602 13,400 12,800 12,137 12,764 14,270 14,062

2037 11,883 12,457 13,036 13,599 13,433 12,775 12,165 12,474 14,036 14,230

2038 11,840 12,350 12,930 13,576 13,444 12,813 12,205 12,294 13,717 14,384

2039 11,807 12,253 12,825 13,527 13,483 12,775 12,277 12,092 13,450 14,414

2040 11,786 12,170 12,712 13,468 13,511 12,712 12,420 11,945 13,111 14,331

2041 11,775 12,101 12,597 13,398 13,527 12,629 12,574 11,885 12,759 14,259

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 19,704 18,637 15,899 12,477 8,822 6,804 5,172 3,387 1,793 239,772

2014 19,366 18,934 16,358 13,157 9,036 6,959 5,214 3,384 1,940 239,513

2015 18,847 19,146 16,795 13,925 9,327 7,070 5,226 3,358 2,130 239,314

2016 18,071 19,541 17,040 14,548 9,743 7,202 5,248 3,383 2,283 239,186

2017 17,317 19,424 17,568 14,664 10,659 7,364 5,265 3,464 2,371 239,162

2018 16,313 19,278 17,985 15,005 11,409 7,642 5,347 3,487 2,462 239,251

2019 15,532 18,983 18,306 15,471 12,062 7,860 5,500 3,527 2,521 239,341

2020 14,967 18,506 18,540 15,922 12,797 8,138 5,618 3,553 2,589 239,427

2021 14,742 17,769 18,944 16,185 13,397 8,528 5,753 3,593 2,672 239,507

2022 14,457 17,044 18,857 16,704 13,537 9,371 5,903 3,640 2,751 239,581

2023 14,326 16,069 18,735 17,123 13,883 10,058 6,150 3,719 2,807 239,644

2024 14,073 15,312 18,471 17,450 14,335 10,659 6,353 3,846 2,859 239,690

2025 13,861 14,762 18,029 17,694 14,775 11,322 6,608 3,945 2,916 239,710

2026 13,465 14,553 17,326 18,098 15,042 11,871 6,954 4,061 2,988 239,703

2027 13,194 14,278 16,631 18,035 15,554 12,028 7,679 4,189 3,066 239,665

2028 12,977 14,156 15,700 17,944 15,975 12,367 8,271 4,399 3,147 239,592

2029 12,928 13,913 14,978 17,713 16,304 12,801 8,782 4,576 3,252 239,484

2030 12,902 13,710 14,452 17,311 16,561 13,230 9,351 4,779 3,351 239,340

2031 12,886 13,332 14,261 16,661 16,959 13,500 9,825 5,048 3,468 239,158

2032 12,960 13,075 14,002 16,014 16,928 13,990 9,996 5,611 3,593 238,940

2033 13,036 12,866 13,888 15,137 16,873 14,410 10,314 6,075 3,779 238,688

2034 13,094 12,819 13,657 14,459 16,687 14,738 10,712 6,469 3,955 238,402

2035 13,103 12,803 13,468 13,972 16,336 15,007 11,114 6,902 4,133 238,081

2036 13,185 12,801 13,102 13,802 15,751 15,396 11,374 7,267 4,379 237,730

2037 13,333 12,879 12,861 13,565 15,159 15,400 11,827 7,425 4,810 237,347

2038 13,429 12,963 12,672 13,458 14,354 15,385 12,227 7,702 5,199 236,942

2039 13,597 13,026 12,639 13,246 13,735 15,249 12,545 8,043 5,533 236,516

2040 13,809 13,039 12,639 13,072 13,291 14,960 12,814 8,385 5,894 236,069

2041 13,952 13,127 12,646 12,731 13,149 14,454 13,176 8,614 6,250 235,603




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO



Table 15.1

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 5,448 5,008 5,040 5,401 5,143 4,355 4,276 3,970 4,167 4,624

2014 5,370 5,068 4,941 5,302 5,189 4,430 4,141 4,005 4,085 4,405

2015 5,289 5,155 4,864 5,209 5,153 4,525 4,074 3,989 4,023 4,264

2016 5,137 5,335 4,765 5,091 5,172 4,576 4,067 3,973 3,970 4,147

2017 5,137 5,260 4,801 5,008 5,143 4,628 4,108 3,952 3,911 4,073

2018 5,131 5,230 4,812 4,964 5,069 4,708 4,131 3,918 3,874 4,039

2019 5,136 5,172 4,874 4,880 4,997 4,776 4,216 3,803 3,912 3,969

2020 5,136 5,109 4,959 4,817 4,921 4,764 4,325 3,743 3,904 3,916

2021 5,133 4,979 5,129 4,734 4,826 4,788 4,395 3,731 3,895 3,871

2022 5,131 4,986 5,066 4,769 4,753 4,759 4,461 3,766 3,882 3,818

2023 5,123 4,984 5,044 4,782 4,713 4,689 4,535 3,789 3,856 3,783

2024 5,106 4,995 4,994 4,842 4,637 4,623 4,593 3,869 3,760 3,819

2025 5,085 5,001 4,940 4,927 4,580 4,547 4,583 3,970 3,711 3,813

2026 5,061 5,003 4,826 5,084 4,513 4,454 4,600 4,036 3,704 3,808

2027 5,035 5,004 4,837 5,029 4,554 4,381 4,566 4,103 3,741 3,800

2028 5,009 4,998 4,841 5,014 4,574 4,340 4,495 4,175 3,766 3,780

2029 4,985 4,982 4,856 4,974 4,632 4,271 4,430 4,235 3,843 3,697

2030 4,963 4,964 4,866 4,929 4,712 4,222 4,354 4,229 3,938 3,654

2031 4,944 4,945 4,871 4,831 4,854 4,170 4,265 4,245 4,006 3,651

2032 4,927 4,925 4,875 4,846 4,809 4,210 4,194 4,217 4,072 3,689

2033 4,916 4,904 4,873 4,853 4,797 4,233 4,155 4,153 4,146 3,714

2034 4,908 4,886 4,861 4,870 4,765 4,285 4,096 4,097 4,202 3,790

2035 4,904 4,866 4,847 4,882 4,731 4,355 4,052 4,030 4,200 3,883

2036 4,902 4,848 4,832 4,890 4,656 4,474 4,011 3,949 4,212 3,951

2037 4,905 4,832 4,814 4,896 4,675 4,442 4,052 3,886 4,185 4,019

2038 4,908 4,822 4,793 4,895 4,688 4,441 4,078 3,853 4,124 4,090

2039 4,913 4,814 4,777 4,883 4,709 4,421 4,130 3,803 4,065 4,143

2040 4,919 4,811 4,760 4,869 4,725 4,399 4,195 3,770 3,999 4,141

2041 4,927 4,811 4,744 4,856 4,736 4,339 4,302 3,741 3,918 4,154

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 5,256 4,649 3,839 3,075 2,096 1,653 1,024 601 377 70,002

2014 5,231 4,798 3,896 3,265 2,116 1,689 1,059 613 394 69,997

2015 5,140 4,881 4,011 3,411 2,184 1,723 1,117 602 410 70,024

2016 4,957 5,050 4,099 3,522 2,295 1,724 1,181 598 426 70,085

2017 4,755 5,100 4,267 3,499 2,549 1,724 1,205 631 430 70,181

2018 4,504 5,114 4,433 3,542 2,739 1,774 1,250 641 443 70,316

2019 4,298 5,100 4,587 3,603 2,919 1,801 1,283 671 455 70,452

2020 4,169 5,019 4,676 3,719 3,060 1,869 1,314 712 455 70,587

2021 4,061 4,849 4,841 3,810 3,168 1,970 1,320 760 459 70,719

2022 3,994 4,657 4,894 3,972 3,157 2,197 1,324 785 477 70,848

2023 3,962 4,414 4,913 4,133 3,205 2,370 1,371 818 487 70,971

2024 3,894 4,217 4,903 4,281 3,269 2,532 1,399 841 514 71,088

2025 3,844 4,092 4,828 4,372 3,382 2,658 1,462 864 537 71,196

2026 3,801 3,993 4,669 4,530 3,470 2,759 1,548 871 569 71,299

2027 3,750 3,928 4,488 4,584 3,627 2,759 1,736 877 597 71,396

2028 3,715 3,899 4,261 4,608 3,781 2,811 1,880 917 622 71,486

2029 3,749 3,833 4,078 4,606 3,920 2,878 2,013 941 648 71,571

2030 3,746 3,786 3,960 4,543 4,009 2,984 2,123 993 676 71,651

2031 3,745 3,741 3,870 4,399 4,160 3,070 2,207 1,058 696 71,728

2032 3,743 3,695 3,807 4,235 4,216 3,218 2,218 1,194 712 71,802

2033 3,730 3,661 3,780 4,024 4,248 3,364 2,270 1,303 750 71,874

2034 3,656 3,694 3,718 3,860 4,251 3,494 2,334 1,397 780 71,944

2035 3,620 3,695 3,678 3,754 4,200 3,583 2,431 1,478 825 72,014

2036 3,621 3,699 3,635 3,672 4,077 3,725 2,511 1,540 879 72,084

2037 3,659 3,701 3,595 3,616 3,928 3,784 2,642 1,553 968 72,152

2038 3,685 3,694 3,567 3,593 3,739 3,823 2,775 1,602 1,051 72,221

2039 3,763 3,625 3,604 3,540 3,592 3,833 2,894 1,659 1,121 72,289

2040 3,857 3,593 3,609 3,504 3,498 3,794 2,977 1,742 1,193 72,355

2041 3,925 3,596 3,614 3,467 3,430 3,692 3,101 1,806 1,260 72,419




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario KENORA



Table 15.2

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 1,110 1,172 1,210 1,455 1,205 959 956 1,116 1,196 1,387

2014 1,102 1,120 1,202 1,422 1,226 917 967 1,062 1,184 1,316

2015 1,079 1,095 1,171 1,385 1,267 892 967 997 1,183 1,235

2016 1,048 1,082 1,167 1,352 1,263 883 973 963 1,137 1,221

2017 1,029 1,093 1,158 1,275 1,260 907 979 906 1,140 1,178

2018 1,002 1,105 1,152 1,226 1,249 940 966 896 1,073 1,183

2019 1,001 1,103 1,112 1,220 1,223 965 936 908 1,027 1,176

2020 1,000 1,084 1,094 1,196 1,199 1,000 922 908 972 1,171

2021 1,000 1,056 1,087 1,194 1,168 1,007 919 916 940 1,126

2022 1,000 1,039 1,097 1,189 1,104 1,005 942 927 890 1,129

2023 999 1,013 1,109 1,184 1,066 994 970 917 881 1,070

2024 997 1,013 1,105 1,149 1,064 973 989 891 893 1,027

2025 994 1,012 1,088 1,135 1,050 948 1,016 880 894 975

2026 989 1,012 1,062 1,131 1,053 923 1,019 877 901 946

2027 984 1,012 1,047 1,142 1,044 878 1,012 896 911 900

2028 975 1,011 1,023 1,154 1,038 853 997 918 903 893

2029 965 1,008 1,023 1,152 1,012 847 976 934 881 903

2030 955 1,005 1,022 1,136 1,005 831 951 956 873 904

2031 944 1,001 1,022 1,110 1,008 828 929 957 869 912

2032 931 995 1,022 1,095 1,015 827 888 949 887 922

2033 919 986 1,021 1,071 1,025 826 862 933 908 915

2034 907 977 1,018 1,071 1,015 809 856 914 922 894

2035 895 967 1,015 1,070 999 801 845 891 939 888

2036 884 956 1,011 1,070 979 799 844 867 940 885

2037 875 943 1,005 1,070 967 801 840 832 931 902

2038 866 931 996 1,069 951 807 836 809 918 922

2039 857 919 987 1,066 950 801 820 800 900 936

2040 848 907 977 1,064 949 791 816 787 876 953

2041 839 896 966 1,060 949 778 817 785 852 953

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 1,685 1,670 1,409 1,117 809 632 535 344 199 20,166

2014 1,635 1,687 1,448 1,171 834 650 519 350 207 20,019

2015 1,607 1,690 1,474 1,227 888 638 508 355 225 19,883

2016 1,517 1,718 1,475 1,302 900 661 501 363 235 19,761

2017 1,437 1,697 1,530 1,315 959 683 491 369 248 19,654

2018 1,379 1,630 1,596 1,324 1,023 701 497 359 262 19,563

2019 1,311 1,584 1,616 1,364 1,076 721 517 345 269 19,474

2020 1,237 1,560 1,619 1,396 1,133 764 514 340 277 19,386

2021 1,227 1,474 1,647 1,401 1,202 779 537 337 283 19,300

2022 1,186 1,396 1,631 1,452 1,214 835 555 335 292 19,218

2023 1,190 1,337 1,569 1,515 1,227 893 566 344 294 19,138

2024 1,181 1,273 1,525 1,535 1,267 942 583 360 292 19,059

2025 1,177 1,202 1,504 1,536 1,296 992 622 358 300 18,979

2026 1,131 1,193 1,420 1,566 1,303 1,054 638 378 302 18,898

2027 1,132 1,153 1,346 1,551 1,353 1,068 687 394 305 18,815

2028 1,075 1,158 1,288 1,495 1,412 1,081 738 406 311 18,729

2029 1,038 1,151 1,225 1,454 1,432 1,118 780 424 318 18,641

2030 989 1,148 1,156 1,436 1,437 1,149 823 452 323 18,551

2031 963 1,106 1,149 1,360 1,465 1,157 875 462 340 18,457

2032 921 1,107 1,114 1,291 1,453 1,204 890 499 350 18,360

2033 914 1,053 1,120 1,236 1,407 1,261 904 537 362 18,260

2034 925 1,017 1,113 1,175 1,373 1,283 938 572 377 18,156

2035 926 973 1,109 1,113 1,357 1,289 968 607 397 18,049

2036 934 951 1,068 1,108 1,286 1,318 977 650 413 17,940

2037 945 914 1,067 1,075 1,222 1,310 1,022 660 446 17,827

2038 938 908 1,020 1,079 1,172 1,270 1,076 670 475 17,713

2039 918 920 989 1,072 1,118 1,244 1,096 702 504 17,599

2040 912 921 953 1,067 1,060 1,231 1,107 727 535 17,481

2041 909 929 935 1,027 1,056 1,170 1,132 739 570 17,362




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario RAINY RIVER



Table 15.3

Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

2013 7,173 7,114 7,657 9,100 10,339 9,412 8,651 8,366 9,425 10,642

2014 7,160 7,144 7,426 8,856 10,184 9,538 8,783 8,284 9,221 10,115

2015 7,114 7,240 7,283 8,507 9,991 9,651 8,800 8,309 9,036 9,743

2016 7,120 7,257 7,244 8,182 9,832 9,687 8,848 8,308 8,692 9,635

2017 7,143 7,280 7,207 7,936 9,536 9,742 8,950 8,442 8,436 9,448

2018 7,156 7,350 7,199 7,801 9,176 9,763 9,036 8,537 8,299 9,338

2019 7,168 7,347 7,237 7,584 8,955 9,657 9,156 8,677 8,242 9,150

2020 7,175 7,307 7,341 7,448 8,634 9,507 9,275 8,716 8,268 8,986

2021 7,171 7,310 7,373 7,408 8,329 9,381 9,329 8,784 8,278 8,667

2022 7,157 7,335 7,393 7,376 8,096 9,126 9,397 8,889 8,407 8,428

2023 7,130 7,346 7,454 7,377 7,955 8,809 9,438 8,968 8,498 8,298

2024 7,092 7,360 7,445 7,414 7,760 8,603 9,362 9,085 8,626 8,246

2025 7,041 7,368 7,404 7,515 7,631 8,311 9,237 9,202 8,665 8,275

2026 6,978 7,365 7,400 7,556 7,592 8,033 9,130 9,264 8,736 8,289

2027 6,905 7,353 7,424 7,572 7,571 7,817 8,905 9,340 8,839 8,409

2028 6,821 7,329 7,436 7,627 7,574 7,678 8,628 9,389 8,916 8,501

2029 6,732 7,293 7,450 7,620 7,612 7,508 8,431 9,331 9,030 8,624

2030 6,639 7,243 7,459 7,580 7,713 7,392 8,163 9,219 9,148 8,668

2031 6,543 7,183 7,458 7,574 7,757 7,359 7,901 9,122 9,216 8,743

2032 6,449 7,114 7,447 7,601 7,769 7,346 7,699 8,912 9,296 8,843

2033 6,359 7,036 7,425 7,614 7,814 7,356 7,571 8,652 9,353 8,920

2034 6,279 6,952 7,390 7,631 7,809 7,392 7,417 8,458 9,310 9,031

2035 6,209 6,863 7,342 7,642 7,774 7,483 7,311 8,200 9,206 9,153

2036 6,149 6,772 7,284 7,642 7,765 7,527 7,282 7,948 9,118 9,226

2037 6,103 6,682 7,217 7,633 7,791 7,532 7,273 7,756 8,920 9,309

2038 6,066 6,597 7,141 7,612 7,805 7,565 7,291 7,632 8,675 9,372

2039 6,037 6,520 7,061 7,578 7,824 7,553 7,327 7,489 8,485 9,335

2040 6,019 6,452 6,975 7,535 7,837 7,522 7,409 7,388 8,236 9,237

2041 6,009 6,394 6,887 7,482 7,842 7,512 7,455 7,359 7,989 9,152

Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total

2013 12,763 12,318 10,651 8,285 5,917 4,519 3,613 2,442 1,217 149,604

2014 12,500 12,449 11,014 8,721 6,086 4,620 3,636 2,421 1,339 149,497

2015 12,100 12,575 11,310 9,287 6,255 4,709 3,601 2,401 1,495 149,407

2016 11,597 12,773 11,466 9,724 6,548 4,817 3,566 2,422 1,622 149,340

2017 11,125 12,627 11,771 9,850 7,151 4,957 3,569 2,464 1,693 149,327

2018 10,430 12,534 11,956 10,139 7,647 5,167 3,600 2,487 1,757 149,372

2019 9,923 12,299 12,103 10,504 8,067 5,338 3,700 2,511 1,797 149,415

2020 9,561 11,927 12,245 10,807 8,604 5,505 3,790 2,501 1,857 149,454

2021 9,454 11,446 12,456 10,974 9,027 5,779 3,896 2,496 1,930 149,488

2022 9,277 10,991 12,332 11,280 9,166 6,339 4,024 2,520 1,982 149,515

2023 9,174 10,318 12,253 11,475 9,451 6,795 4,213 2,557 2,026 149,535

2024 8,998 9,822 12,043 11,634 9,799 7,185 4,371 2,645 2,053 149,543

2025 8,840 9,468 11,697 11,786 10,097 7,672 4,524 2,723 2,079 149,535

2026 8,533 9,367 11,237 12,002 10,269 8,058 4,768 2,812 2,117 149,506

2027 8,312 9,197 10,797 11,900 10,574 8,201 5,256 2,918 2,164 149,454

2028 8,187 9,099 10,151 11,841 10,782 8,475 5,653 3,076 2,214 149,377

2029 8,141 8,929 9,675 11,653 10,952 8,805 5,989 3,211 2,286 149,272

2030 8,167 8,776 9,336 11,332 11,115 9,097 6,405 3,334 2,352 149,138

2031 8,178 8,485 9,242 10,902 11,334 9,273 6,743 3,528 2,432 148,973

2032 8,296 8,273 9,081 10,488 11,259 9,568 6,888 3,918 2,531 148,778

2033 8,392 8,152 8,988 9,877 11,218 9,785 7,140 4,235 2,667 148,554

2034 8,513 8,108 8,826 9,424 11,063 9,961 7,440 4,500 2,798 148,302

2035 8,557 8,135 8,681 9,105 10,779 10,135 7,715 4,817 2,911 148,018

2036 8,630 8,151 8,399 9,022 10,388 10,353 7,886 5,077 3,087 147,706

2037 8,729 8,264 8,199 8,874 10,009 10,306 8,163 5,212 3,396 147,368

2038 8,806 8,361 8,085 8,786 9,443 10,292 8,376 5,430 3,673 147,008

2039 8,916 8,481 8,046 8,634 9,025 10,172 8,555 5,682 3,908 146,628

2040 9,040 8,525 8,077 8,501 8,733 9,935 8,730 5,916 4,166 146,233

2041 9,118 8,602 8,097 8,237 8,663 9,592 8,943 6,069 4,420 145,822




Population by five-year age group, 2013–2041 – reference scenario THUNDER BAY


Documents

Ontario Population Projections, 2013While natural increase trends evolve slowly, net migration can be more variable, mostly due to swings in interprovincial migration and variations