5
One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronic disease risk and outcome than body mass index STANLEY J. ULIJASZEK 1 , MACIEJ HENNEBERG 2 , & C.J.K. HENRY 3 1 Unit for Biocultural Variation and Obesity, Institute of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Oxford, 51 Banbury Road, Oxford OX2 6PF, UK, 2 Biological Anthropology and Comparative Anatomy Research Unit, University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5005, Australia, and 3 Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Oxford Brookes University, Gipsy Lane, Oxford, UK Abstract The waist-to-height ratio (wtHR) has been proposed as an alternative to body mass index (BMI) as a simple anthropometric measure of body fatness. Both measures retain residual correlations with height, which causes them to over- or under-adjust for height (and thus misestimate nutritional state) when relating these measures to chronic disease risk, morbidity or mortality. The possibility that BMI has greater misadjustment than wtHR relative to waist/height p and weight/height p (where p is the optimal exponent for each population and sex group) is examined here. Analysis of anthropometric data for groups in Thailand, Papua New Guinea and Australia shows that this is the case, especially over-adjustment. This may contribute to the weaker relationships of chronic disease markers and outcomes with BMI than with wtHR. Keywords: obesity, nutritional assessment, height exponents overweight Introduction The waist-to-height ratio (wtHR) has been proposed as an alternative to body mass index (BMI) simple anthropometric measure of body fatness, largely because of the simplicity of its conceptualization and use (Ashwell and Hsieh 2005; McCarthy and Ashwell 2006; Browning et al. 2010). It has been shown to have similar or stronger relationships than BMI to metabolic markers of cardiovascular disease risk among both adults (Lin et al. 2002; Bosy-Westphal et al. 2006; Hsieh and Muto 2006; Liu et al. 2011) and children and adolescents (Savva et al. 2000; Hara et al. 2002; Kahn et al. 2005; Freedman et al. 2007; Weili et al. 2007; Garnett et al. 2008). It is more strongly associated with blood pressure (Savva et al. 2000; Khan et al. 2008; Liu et al. 2011), and a far better predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality (Schneider et al. 2010) than BMI. It is also a better predictor of type 2 diabetes risk (Hadaegh et al. 2006; Lorenzo et al. 2007; MacKay et al. 2009; Liu et al. 2011) and metabolic syndrome (Hsieh and Muto 2006). Waist circumference (WC) alone is a better predictor of cardiovascular disease and diabetes outcomes than is BMI, although it can over- and under-evaluate risk for tall and short people with similar WC (Browning et al. 2010). Browning et al. (2010) estimated mean values for area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves for 147 individual AUROC analyses of wtHR, WC and BMI in relation to chronic disease risk and physiological markers for such risk in 31 published articles. They found AUROC values to be higher for wtHR than for BMI for risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease, and for measures of insulin resistance, hypertension, dyslipidaemia and metabolic syndrome in both men and women. AUROC values for WC were in all cases lower than those for wtHR but higher than those for BMI. ISSN 0963-7486 print/ISSN 1465-3478 online q 2012 Informa UK, Ltd. DOI: 10.3109/09637486.2012.734291 Correspondence: S. Ulijaszek, Unit for Biocultural Variation and Obesity, Institute of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Oxford, 51 Banbury Road, Oxford OX2 6PE, UK. Tel: 01865 274692. Fax: 01865 274630. E-mail: [email protected] International Journal of Food Sciences and Nutrition, May 2013; 64(3): 269–273 Int J Food Sci Nutr Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by Nyu Medical Center on 11/26/14 For personal use only.

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Page 1: One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronic disease risk and outcome than body mass index

One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronicdisease risk and outcome than body mass index

STANLEY J. ULIJASZEK1, MACIEJ HENNEBERG2, & C.J.K. HENRY3

1Unit for Biocultural Variation and Obesity, Institute of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Oxford, 51 Banbury

Road, Oxford OX2 6PF, UK, 2Biological Anthropology and Comparative Anatomy Research Unit, University of Adelaide,

Adelaide SA 5005, Australia, and 3Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Oxford Brookes University, Gipsy Lane,

Oxford, UK

AbstractThe waist-to-height ratio (wtHR) has been proposed as an alternative to body mass index (BMI) as a simple anthropometricmeasure of body fatness. Both measures retain residual correlations with height, which causes them to over- or under-adjust forheight (and thus misestimate nutritional state) when relating these measures to chronic disease risk, morbidity or mortality. Thepossibility that BMI has greater misadjustment than wtHR relative to waist/heightp and weight/heightp (where p is the optimalexponent for each population and sex group) is examined here. Analysis of anthropometric data for groups in Thailand, PapuaNew Guinea and Australia shows that this is the case, especially over-adjustment. This may contribute to the weakerrelationships of chronic disease markers and outcomes with BMI than with wtHR.

Keywords: obesity, nutritional assessment, height exponents overweight

Introduction

The waist-to-height ratio (wtHR) has been proposed

as an alternative to body mass index (BMI) simple

anthropometric measure of body fatness, largely

because of the simplicity of its conceptualization and

use (Ashwell and Hsieh 2005; McCarthy and Ashwell

2006; Browning et al. 2010). It has been shown to have

similar or stronger relationships than BMI to

metabolic markers of cardiovascular disease risk

among both adults (Lin et al. 2002; Bosy-Westphal

et al. 2006; Hsieh and Muto 2006; Liu et al. 2011) and

children and adolescents (Savva et al. 2000; Hara et al.

2002; Kahn et al. 2005; Freedman et al. 2007; Weili

et al. 2007; Garnett et al. 2008). It is more strongly

associated with blood pressure (Savva et al. 2000;

Khan et al. 2008; Liu et al. 2011), and a far better

predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality

(Schneider et al. 2010) than BMI. It is also a better

predictor of type 2 diabetes risk (Hadaegh et al. 2006;

Lorenzo et al. 2007; MacKay et al. 2009; Liu et al.

2011) and metabolic syndrome (Hsieh and Muto

2006). Waist circumference (WC) alone is a better

predictor of cardiovascular disease and diabetes

outcomes than is BMI, although it can over- and

under-evaluate risk for tall and short people with

similar WC (Browning et al. 2010). Browning et al.

(2010) estimated mean values for area under receiver

operating characteristic (AUROC) curves for 147

individual AUROC analyses of wtHR, WC and BMI

in relation to chronic disease risk and physiological

markers for such risk in 31 published articles. They

found AUROC values to be higher for wtHR than for

BMI for risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease,

and for measures of insulin resistance, hypertension,

dyslipidaemia and metabolic syndrome in both men

and women. AUROC values for WC were in all cases

lower than those for wtHR but higher than those

for BMI.

ISSN 0963-7486 print/ISSN 1465-3478 online q 2012 Informa UK, Ltd.

DOI: 10.3109/09637486.2012.734291

Correspondence: S. Ulijaszek, Unit for Biocultural Variation and Obesity, Institute of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Oxford,51 Banbury Road, Oxford OX2 6PE, UK. Tel: 01865 274692. Fax: 01865 274630. E-mail: [email protected]

International Journal of Food Sciences and Nutrition,

May 2013; 64(3): 269–273

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Page 2: One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronic disease risk and outcome than body mass index

Despite adjusting for stature, both wtHR and BMI

retain residual correlation with height (Tybor et al.

2008). This causes both measures to over- or under-

adjust for the effect of height when relating these

measures to chronic disease risk, morbidity or

mortality. The extent of such misadjustment influ-

ences the extent to which under- and over-nutrition

are estimated. It may be that one reason why wtHR

gives stronger relationships with chronic disease risk,

morbidity and mortality is that it has lower height-

related misadjustment than does BMI. Using anthro-

pometric data for three populations, in Thailand,

Papua New Guinea (PNG) and Australia, the differing

extents to which wtHR and BMI give over- and under-

adjusted estimates of nutritional state are examined.

Methods

The three samples of adults, in Thailand, PNG and

Australia, are described in detail elsewhere (Henry

et al. 2001; Ulijaszek 2003; Henneberg and Veitch

2005). In brief, the Thai sample is a composite one of

elderly people living in a residential home in

south Bangkok, and elderly living with their relatives

in north Bangkok. The non-residential subjects were

slightly taller, with greater skin folds, than their

residential counterparts, but did not differ in weight

or WC (Henry et al. 2001). The PNG sample of

adults is a rural one, based in the Purari delta of south

Coast New Guinea. The Australian sample comes

from the National Size and Shape Survey of

Australia, carried out in 2002 in the cities of Adelaide,

Brisbane, Canberra, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney.

These volunteers were overwhelmingly middle-class

Australians of European descent. Since the survey

was organized by the garment industry company,

SHARP Dummies Pty Ltd, Belair, South Australia

SA 5052, Australia and aimed at improvement in

apparel sizing standards, the majority of the volunteers

were adult females.

The extent to which wtHR and BMI are indepen-

dent of height was estimated by measuring residual

correlations with height. Within each population and

sex group, a log-log regression of WC on height, and

Table I. Sample characteristics.

Male Female Two-way analysis of variance: p (n.s.)

N Mean SD N Mean SD Population Sex Population £ sex

Thailand

Age (years) 164 71.9 7.2 273 71.8 7.5 ,0.001 n.s. n.s.

Height (cm) 164 160.1 5.7 273 150.2 6.3 ,0.001 ,0.001 ,0.01

Weight (kg) 164 53.6 8.8 273 50.7 10.8 ,0.001 ,0.001 ,0.05

Waist circumference (cm) 164 78.6 9.2 273 78.4 12.2 ,0.001 ,0.01 ,0.01

Papua New Guinea

Age (years) 142 36.5 14.2 144 35.8 14.2

Height (cm) 142 163.5 6.4 144 153.3 5.6

Weight (kg) 142 60.4 8.8 144 54.0 11.0

Waist circumference (cm) 142 77.1 5.0 144 78.2 10.2

Australia

Age (years) 52 50.6 13.9 1187 48.9 14.0

Height (cm) 52 176.0 7.3 1187 162.5 6.6

Weight (kg) 52 82.4 12.0 1187 73.6 16.2

Waist circumference (cm) 52 96.2 7.8 1187 87.4 13.3

Note: n.s., not significant.

Table II. Residual correlation between waist-to-height ratio and height, and body mass index and height.

WC/Htp Wt/Htp

CorrelationExponent

CorrelationExponent

WC/Ht-v-Ht Optimal p SE F p BMI-v-Ht Optimal p SE F p

Male

Thailand 20.10 0.65 0.25 7.0 ,0.01 0.04 2.17 0.31 48.9 ,0.001

Papua New Guinea 20.20* 0.69 0.13 28.3 ,0.001 0.02 2.15 0.26 65.8 ,0.001

Australia 20.21 0.61 0.27 5.0 ,0.05 0.01 2.03 0.40 25.5 ,0.001

Female

Thailand 20.06 0.73 0.21 11.8 ,0.001 0.15* 2.61 0.26 104.4 ,0.001

Papua New Guinea 20.08 0.73 0.28 6.9 ,0.01 0.14 2.71 0.38 49.8 ,0.001

Australia 20.17** 0.55 0.11 10.5 ,0.001 20.06 1.70 0.14 180.0 ,0.001

*p , 0.05; **p , 0.01.

S. J. Ulijaszek et al.270

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Page 3: One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronic disease risk and outcome than body mass index

weight on height, was fitted. The regression coefficient

for height from the regression model was identified

as the optimal exponent for height in the ratios

waist/heightp and weight/heightp, respectively. This is

the power that ensures that the log of the ratios is

uncorrelated with the log of height (Tybor et al. 2008).

An estimate was then obtained of the proportions of

subjects for whom wtHR was over- and under-

estimated by more or less than 10%, respectively,

relative to wtHR calculated using the optimal

exponent for height for each sex and population

group. The same procedure was carried out for

BMI. A comparison of the proportion of subjects for

whom wtHR and BMI were misadjusted by plus

and minus 10% was carried out using Chi-square

analysis. All analyses were carried out using SPSS

for PC, version 15.

Results

Mean age and anthropometric characters of the

three samples are given in Table I. Two-way analysis

of variance shows there to be great variation between

populations in age, stature, weight and WC, and

between sexes in height, weight and WC. The

populations differ significantly in age (F ¼ 677.0;

p , 0.001; two degrees of freedom), height

(F ¼ 327.0; p , 0.001; two degrees of freedom),

weight (F ¼ 230.7; p , 0.001; two degrees of freedom)

and WC (F ¼ 99.5; p , 0.001; two degrees of free-

dom). There are also significant sex differences in

height (F ¼ 628.5; p , 0.001; one degree of freedom),

weight (F ¼ 37.7; p , 0.001; one degree of freedom)

and WC (F ¼ 9.7; p , 0.01; one degree of freedom).

There is significant population by sex interaction for

WC (F ¼ 11.3; p , 0.001; two degrees of freedom),

stature (F ¼ 5.8; p , 0.01; two degrees of freedom)

and weight (F ¼ 3.2; p , 0.05; two degrees of

freedom), due mainly to large male–female differences

in WC and stature in the Australian population, and

weight differences between the sexes which are largest

for the Australian population, and smallest for the

Thai population. Table II gives the residual corre-

lations between wtHR and height, and between BMI

and height, as well as showing the optimal exponents

for both WC and weight in their relationship with

height. Correlations with height are small for both

wtHR and BMI. The optimal exponent for WC in

relation to height to attain the best height indepen-

dence ranges between 0.55 and 0.73, while the optimal

exponent for weight in relation to height to attain the

best height independence ranges between 1.70 and

2.71. There is no systematic difference in optimal

exponent for either WC or weight between the sexes,

although the optimal exponents for both Australian

males and females are lower than the other two

populations.

Table III gives the proportion of subjects for whom

wtHR and BMI give either under- or over-adjustmentTable

III.

Pro

port

ion

ofsu

bje

cts

for

whom

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itio

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of10%

or

more

,re

lati

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tow

ais

t/h

eigh

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dw

eight/

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gh

tp,w

her

ep

isth

e

opti

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expon

ent

for

each

popu

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an

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(n.s

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ot

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ifica

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.

Th

ailan

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ap

ua

New

Gu

inea

Au

stra

lia

wtH

RB

MI

wtH

RB

MI

wtH

RB

MI

N%

N%

Ch

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wtH

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N%

N%

Ch

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,

wtH

R-v

-BM

I,p

N%

N%

Ch

i-sq

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,

wtH

R-v

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I,p

Male

s

.10%

over

-ad

just

men

t29

17.7

44

26.8

,0.0

16

4.2

26

18.3

,0.0

01

11.9

13

25.0

,0.0

01

Est

imate

wit

hin

^10%

92

56.1

83

50.6

n.s

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88.8

88

62.0

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42

80.8

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51.9

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5

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un

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26.2

37

22.6

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.10

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28

19.7

,0.0

01

917.3

12

23.1

n.s

.

Tota

l164

100

164

100

,0.0

5142

100

142

100

,0.0

01

52

100

52

100

,0.0

01

Fem

ale

s

.10%

over

-ad

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21.6

79

28.9

,0.0

122

15.3

41

28.5

,0.0

01

261

22.0

428

36.1

,0.0

01

Est

imate

wit

hin

^10%

132

48.4

129

47.3

n.s

.88

61.1

72

50.0

n.s

.561

47.3

437

36.8

,0.0

01

.10%

un

der

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t82

30.0

65

23.8

,0.0

534

23.6

31

21.5

n.s

.365

30.7

322

27.1

,0.0

1

Tota

l273

100

273

100

,0.0

1144

100

144

100

,0.0

11187

100

1187

100

,0.0

01

Why waist-to-height ratio is better 271

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Page 4: One reason why waist-to-height ratio is usually better related to chronic disease risk and outcome than body mass index

of 10% or more, relative to waist/heightp and

weight/heightp, where p is the optimal exponent for

each population and sex group, as given in Table II.

This shows both wtHR and BMI to give high degrees

of both over- and under-adjustment of nutritional

state relative to the use of the optimal exponent,

in both sexes of all three populations. The BMI over-

adjusts for height significantly more than does wtHR

among both sexes of all three populations, and under-

adjusts for height more among PNG males, and

less among Thai and Australian females.

Discussion

The wtHR is easier to measure and calculate than

BMI, and is a better identifier of subjects at

increased risk of cardiovascular disease, hyperten-

sion, diabetes and the metabolic syndrome. Both

measures adjust for stature, both far from perfectly.

This misadjustment is a source of error that may

weaken relationships among risk markers for chronic

disease and nutritional state as estimated by these

measures. The BMI gives significantly more mis-

adjustment, especially over-adjustment, than wtHR,

and this may well contribute to its weaker

relationships with diabetes, cardiovascular disease,

insulin resistance, dyslipidaemia and metabolic

syndrome (Browning et al. 2010). The extent of

this misadjustment may vary from population to

population, and a larger study of adults is needed to

estimate it more precisely. Misadjustment is also

expected when these measures are used to predict

chronic disease risk among children and adolescents,

but needs to be demonstrated. A further problem

with BMI may be that exponential functions may

give better measures of relative weight for height

than allometric functions (Henneberg et al. 1989).

As a linear function, wtHR does not have that

problem, and this may be another reason why wtHR

may be a more appropriate measure of body size

than BMI, particularly in the assessment of over-

weight and obesity.

Conclusions

Both BMI and wtHR are simple stature-corrected

proxies for nutritional state used in the assess-

ments of health risk associated with overweight and

obesity. This correction for stature is imperfect,

and more so for BMI than for wtHR. Misadjustment

for stature is likely to be one reason for the lower

associations between chronic disease and its markers

and BMI than between chronic disease and its

markers and wtHR.

Acknowledgements

We thank Ms Daisy Veitch of SHARP Dummies

Pty Ltd.

Declaration of interest: The authors report no

conflicts of interest. The authors alone are responsible

for the content and writing of the paper.

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