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Forecasting Income Statement Step 1: Analyze the historical ratios. Step 2: Forecast the income statement
Sales = the prior year’s sales * (1 + g) EBIT = Sales – Costs – Depreciation
where Costs = the prior years’ ratios * Current year’s Costs
where Depreciation = the prior year’s ratio * Current year’s Net Plant
Interest Expense = Int. rate for ST debt * Notes Payables – Int. rate for ST Investment *ST Investment + Int. rate for LT Debt * LT Debt
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Forecasting (continued) EBT = EBIT – Int. Exp. Net Income = EBT – Taxes Dividend2008
= Dividend2007 * Forecasted Growth Rate
Additions to Retained Earnings = Net Income – Forecasted Total Dividend
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Forecasting the Balance Sheet
Forecasting the operating asset Cash2008 = Sales2008* Cash2007/Sales2007
AR2008 = Sales2008 * AR2007/Sales2007
Inventories = the same as before
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(Continued)
Forecasting the operating current liabilities Accounts payables and Accruals will
increase proportional to sales Notes payable = previous plus “plug” if
needed LTD, Pref. Stk., and Com. Stk are
assumed to be stable. RE 2008= RE2007 + Additions to RE
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AFN Required assets = $2,085.3 Specified financing = $2,200 AFN = 2,200 – 2,085.3 = $114.7
additional financing is needed. We add $114.7 million into notes
payable. The plug approach : specifies the
additional amount of either notes payable or short-term investments, but not both.
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