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Overview of presentation
Manual chapter on validation and guidelines Stages in the validation pathway
Statistical methods guidelines (stage 2)
Modifications for wildlife diseases (stages 1 and 2)
Coherence between terrestrial and aquatics manuals
Further guidance is needed
Experimental challenge studies to estimate DSe/DSp
Principles & Methods of Validation of Diagnostic Assays for Infectious Diseases
Updated chapter – approved May 2013
Identical chapter in both manuals because principles and methods are same
Chapter 1.1.5 – Terrestrial Manual Chapter 1.1.2 – Aquatics Manual
Work in progress!
Does not provide explicit guidance on multiplex assays or new technologies
Study Design
and
Protocol
Assay Validation Pathway
Study Design
and
Protocol
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Study Design
and
Protocol
Assay Validation Pathway
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic characteristics
Assay Validation Pathway
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic
characteristics
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Diagnostic Specificity
Diagnostic Sensitivity
Cut-off Determination Latent class analysis to deal with imperfect reference standard
Traditional approach assuming a perfect reference standard
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic characteristics
Assay Validation Pathway
STAGE 3
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic
characteristics
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Reproducibility
STAGE 3
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Diagnostic Specificity
Diagnostic Sensitivity
Cut-off Determination
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic characteristics
Assay Validation Pathway
STAGE 4
Implementation
STAGE 3
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic
characteristics
STAGE 4
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Reproducibility
STAGE 3
Implementation
STAGE 4
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Diagnostic Specificity
Diagnostic Sensitivity
Cut-off Determination
Deployment to other Labs
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic characteristics
Assay Validation Pathway
STAGE 4
Implementation
STAGE 3
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic
characteristics
STAGE 4
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Reproducibility
STAGE 3
Implementation
STAGE 4
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Diagnostic Specificity
Diagnostic Sensitivity
Cut-off Determination
Deployment to other Labs
International recognition (OIE)
Provisional recognition
Validated for original intended purpose(s)
Adjunct tests validated
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic characteristics
Assay Validation Pathway
STAGE 4
Implementation
STAGE 3
Study Design
and
Protocol
STAGE 2
Diagnostic
characteristics
STAGE 4
STAGE 1
Analytical characteristics
Reproducibility
STAGE 3
Implementation
STAGE 4
Proficiency testing Daily in-house QC
Monitoring and maintenance of validation
criteria
Repeatability and preliminary Reproducibility
Intended Purpose(s) for assay
Essential Prerequisites
Analytical Specificity
Analytical Sensitivity
Diagnostic Specificity
Diagnostic Sensitivity
Cut-off Determination
Deployment to other Labs
Guidelines to complement Manual chapter (7 completed, 1 under study)
Antibody detection assays
Antigen detection assays
Nucleic acid detection assays
Method uncertainty
Statistical approaches to validation
Reference samples and panels
Wildlife (modification of chapter )
Comparability of assays after minor changes in a validated test method (under study) Axel Colling and colleagues at AAHL, Geelong
Yes No
Perfect reference standard
Single binary
candidate test
Single continuous
candidate test
DSe and DSp (95%
exact CI)
DSe and DSp (95% exact
CI) and Area under ROC
curve (95% CI)
Binary candidate and
reference test
DSe and DSp (95% CI or PI)
by latent class methods
DSe and DSp (95% exact
CI) for relevant
subpopulations
DSe and DSp (95%
exact CI) for relevant
subpopulations
Guideline on statistical approaches to validation Stage 2: diagnostic sensitivity (DSe) & specificity (DSp)
Latent class analysis (LCA) for estimation of diagnostic sensitivity & specificity
Challenges in PCR validation
Traditional statistical methods can’t demonstrate
PCR to be more sensitive than an imperfect reference
test (e.g. virus isolation [VI])
LCA solves the problem; allows calculation of
probability that sensitivity of PCR > sensitivity of VI
(and similarly can show specificities are comparable)
Example: African Horse Sickness PCR
(Horse diseases -- parallel session)
Guideline on validation of tests for wildlife diseases
Challenges:
Stage 2: difficulty in obtaining sufficient samples for estimation of DSe and DSp
Experimental infections may be only source of reference samples
Regulations limiting or prohibiting possession and international shipment of samples
Poor sample quality
Limited knowledge of pathogenesis/epidemiology of many diseases
“Sample size credit” for a validated test in a taxonomically-related wildlife species
Provisional recognition (national authorities) at stage 2a for an intended purpose(s)
Validation of tests for wildlife diseases
Effect of reduced sample size
Note: samples must be representative of the target condition of interest (e.g. infected vs diseased) and appropriate for designated purpose
Disease-specific Manual chapters
Questions
Are the approach and terminology similar in reporting of diagnostic characteristics in aquatics and terrestrial manual?
Methods
Manual chapters approved May 2014
Aquatics (all 4)
IHHN (shrimp), infectious salmon anemia and salmon alphavirus (fish), herpesvirus-1 microvariant (oysters)
Multispecies (3/7)
Paratuberculosis, Leishmanosis, Bluetongue
Bluetongue
+++ = recommended method; ++ = suitable method; + = may be used in some situations, but cost,
reliability, or other factors severely limits its application; – = not appropriate for this purpose. Although not all of the tests listed as category +++ or ++ have undergone formal validation, their routine nature and the fact that they have been used widely without dubious results, makes them acceptable.
Infectious salmon anemia virus
a = recommended for reasons of availability, utility, DSe and DSp b = standard method with good DSe and DSp c = method has application in some situations (cost, accuracy and other factors limit its application d = method not recommended for this purpose These are somewhat subjective………. Although not all the tests listed as category a or b have undergone formal standardisation and validation, their routine nature and the fact that they have been used widely without dubious results makes them acceptable
Experimental studies to estimate DSe/DSp
Aquatic animals and wildlife, in particular
Key questions
Is the design appropriate and does it adequately mimic natural exposure/infection?
What are the key elements that should be reported in a peer-reviewed publication to allow that assessment by readers/end-users?
Scenarios needing additional guidance for stage 2 validation
c) Experimentally infected or vaccinated reference animals
“ Samples obtained sequentially from experimentally infected or vaccinated animals are useful for determining kinetics of antibody responses ……. Single time-point sampling of individual experimental animals can be acceptable [for estimation of DSe] (e.g. one sample randomly chosen from each animal). Nevertheless it should be noted that for indirect methods of analyte detection, exposure to organisms under experimental conditions, or vaccination, may elicit antibody responses that are not quantitatively and qualitatively typical of natural infection in the target population (Jacobson, 1998). The strain of organism, dose, and route of administration to experimental animals are examples of variables that may introduce error when extrapolating DSe and DSp estimates to the target population. In cases when the near-impossibility of obtaining suitable reference samples from naturally exposed animals necessitates the use of samples from experimental animals for validation studies, the resulting DSe and DSp measures should be considered as less than ideal estimates of the true DSp and DSe”