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1 Offshore Wind Energy’s Role in Achieving 20% by 2030

Offshore Wind Energy’s Role in Achieving 20% by 2030

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Page 1: Offshore Wind Energy’s Role in Achieving 20% by 2030

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Offshore Wind Energy’s Role in Achieving 20% by 2030

Page 2: Offshore Wind Energy’s Role in Achieving 20% by 2030

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54 GW by 2030

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Can we meet this goal?

• Land-based wind energy has grown at a 30% annual growth rate over the past five years

• Achieving 54 GW by 2030, would require offshore to grow at a 23% annual growth rate (avg. 3,375 MW/year) assuming 2,000 MWs are installed by 2014

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Current Landscape

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US Offshore Wind Projects Proposed

Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico

Cape Wind Associates

Winergy

W.E.S.T. LLC

Hull Municipal

Southern Company

Cuyahoga County

No Offshore Wind Projects

Installed In U.S. Yet

New Jersey

Delaware

Buzzards Bay

US Offshore Wind Initiatives

Project State MW

Capewind MA 468

Hull Municipal MA 15

Buzzards Bay MA 300

Rhode Island (OER) RI 400

Winergy NY 10

New Jersey (BPU) NJ 350

Delmarva DE 450

Southern Company GA 10

W.E.S.T. TX 150

Cuyahoga County OH 20

Total MW 2173

Rhode Island

Project in Federal Waters

Project in State Waters

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The country’s first offshore PPA

• 200MW signed PPA between Bluewater Wind & Delmarva Power• Energy - $98.93/MWh (2007$)• Capacity - $70.23/kW year• RECs - $15.23/MWh• 2.5% annual escalator• $0.70/MWh –average monthly distribution customer cost impact (real levelized 2007$)

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Term Sheet with Delaware Municipal Electric Corporation

• Supply of energy, capacity, and RECs to nine municipally-owned electric distribution utilities

• 20 year agreement• Valued at $200 - $300 million over life of

contract

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Market Drivers

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Supply aligned with demand28% of coastal states use 78% of the electricity in

the U.S.

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Wind resource and proximity to load

• Close proximity to large and growing load centers along eastern seaboard

• Lack of high wind, land-based sites in Northeast

• Strong correlation between production and peak loads

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State and federal policies resulting in higher fossil fuel

costs

• RGGI – 10 states signed MOU– First auction in September

• National cap and trade legislation likely in 2009

• Debate shifting from causes of global climate change to solutions

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Growing state RPS requirements

• Delaware 20% by 2019• Maryland 20% by 2022• New Jersey 22.5% by 2021• Pennsylvania 18% by 2020/2021– Over 20 million MWh’s by 2020 in DE, MD, NJ,

and PA combined• New York 24% by 2013• Rhode Island 16% by 2020

Database of State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency

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Advances in technology

• Larger turbines

• Improved blade designs

• Decreased mfg. costs

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Offshore Wind Technology

CommerciallyProven

TechnologyDemonstration

Phase

Land-based Shallow Water

Transitional Depth

Deepwater Floating

60m-900m1533-GW

Estimated US Resource

0m-30m430-GW

0m-30m430-GW

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Siting Strategies

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Offshore wind park development• Identify site– Wind resource ≥ to 18 mph– Moderate water depths & suitable sea floor

conditions– Minimal conflicts over ocean use– Compatibility with other environmental goals– Access to electric transmission– Ports available for construction and O&M

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Offshore wind park development continued

• Engage the public early and often– Identify all stakeholders– Educate, educate, educate– Honest and transparent communication– Visualizations play a critical role

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Ensuring a Future for Offshore Wind in the U.S.

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What’s needed to advance offshore wind energy in the

U.S.• Federal policies– Short Term - stable production incentive (PTC)– Mid Term - national RPS and transmission legislation– Long Term - effective carbon regulation

• Continued refinement of technology• Fair lease and operating fees for a

nascent industry

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Advancing offshore wind energy continued

• Critical mass of projects required to attract European manufacturers

• Specialized training for offshore wind technicians

• Reduction of installation costs

• Overcome accessibility issues Credit: GE Energy

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For more information on offshore wind energy

• American Wind Energy Assoc. – awea.org• British Wind Energy Assoc. – bwea.org• Windpower.dk• Utility Wind Integration Group – uwig.org• www.ocean.udel.edu/windpower/

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Thank You

For more information contact:Peter Mandelstam

[email protected]