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Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
March 3, 2011March 3, 2011Springfield, MissouriSpringfield, Missouri
Bill ElderBill Elder
Ozarks Chapter of AGA 2011 Membership Professional
Development Seminar
“Understanding and Utilizing Data”
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
• Data Data
• Information Information
• Knowledge Knowledge
• Wisdom Wisdom
“The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.”
-- Kenneth Boulding
Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU
OSEDA…
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Aligning indicators to questions
To know you have asked the “right” questions and produced “useful” answers….focus on decision makers and decision-making. Michael Quinn Patton
Discussion … “New Media…”
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Aligning indicators to questions
To know you have asked the “right” questions and produced “useful” answers….focus on decision makers and decision-making. Michael Quinn Patton
Discussion … “New Media…”
“..No one of us is as good as all of us…”
Dave Steckel
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Many Types of Models or Plans
• Formative– “Improve”– Periodic and timely– Focus on program
activities and outputs– Leads to early
recommendations for program improvement
• Summative– “Prove”– Were resources
committed worthwhile– Focus on outcomes
and impact– Measures value of
program based on impact
* Kellogg logic model development guide
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
New Census information …
World: 6,892,893,953
U.S.: 311,874,651 (9.7%)
Missouri: 5,988,927 (7.0%)
2010 Population Count & Percent Change from 2000
Check out new Censustools at census.gov and OSEDA and….Elsewhere…
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
New Census information …
Complete Count DataAmerican Community Survey (ACS)
“Period Estimates by Size”
Just Google “Census” or “OSEDA” for More information
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
About to Lose the Missouri Ninth…
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Rapid growth and large states
Five states account for 17% of U.S. Growth
Six states account for 54% of U.S. Growth not just fast but .. Big
37 M
25 M
18.8 M
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions
More Regions of growth near regions of decline
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Speaking English Less than “Very Well”
In 2009, the ACS estimated that over 24.5 million persons in the U.S. speak English less than “very well” -- 8.6% of U.S. population over 5 years old.
The corresponding number in Missouri was 118,793 or 2.1%.
The Missouri five year ACS period estimates reflect a distribution of this population among service centers and certain agricultural industries.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Male FemaleMale Female
Population Pyramids of MissouriPercent of Total Population2000 2020
New Pyramids in March
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Quality of Life
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Percent Population Over 65
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Aging in Place in the North Percent 85+
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Quality of Life --- Children
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Married-Couple Families
In 2009, married-couple families comprised less than 50% of Missouri households. (Missouri, US Census, 2009 American Community Survey)
County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Married Couple Families with Children
Missouri married couple families with children declined to 19.4% of households in 2009 -- nearly 29,000 fewer than in 2006 (ACS, 2009)
County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Commuting…..Percent of Working Outside County of Residence, 2005-2009 ACS
County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Household Income
Missouri median household income increase by 5.3% between 2006 and 2009 from $42,841 to $45,229.
Meanwhile, U.S. Median household income rose 3.5% from $48,451 to $50,221.
Not surprisingly, the five year ACS period estimates show higher incomes associated with urban areas and major transportation routes.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Sample ACS Information
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Challenging Times….
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Challenging Times ... Regional Differences
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
High School Completers
The 2009 ACS reported that 1.3 million Missourians 25 and older had a high school education (32.0%).
The corresponding U.S. number is 57.6 million (28.5%).
The ACS five year estimates show relativelylower rates of high school completion in south central Missouri and the “Bootheel.”Regions also associated lower incomelevels and higher poverty rates.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Bachelor’s Degrees
The 2009 ACS reported that nearly a million Missourians 25 and older had completed a bachelor’s degree (25.2%). That is up from 17.8% in 1990 and 21.6% in 2000.
The corresponding U.S. number of persons with a bachelor’s degree in 2009 was 53.3 million (27.9%).
Five-Year period ACS Estimates Shows Missourians with higher education are centered in regional trade and service centers
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Associate Degrees
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Bachelor Degrees
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Using Data Well
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Indicators of Progress
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
March 3, 2011March 3, 2011Springfield, MissouriSpringfield, Missouri
Bill ElderBill Elder
Ozarks Chapter of AGA 2011 Membership Professional
Development Seminar
“Understanding and Utilizing Data”
