Oct 2012 Hawaii Poll Tables

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

HONOLULU STAR ADVERTISER/HAWAII NEWS NOW -- :: HAWAI'I POLL OCTOBER 2012 :: TABLES

Table 1.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Ben Cayetano (O'ahu Respondents)

Table 2.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Kirk Caldwell (O'ahu Respondents)

Table 3.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Colleen Hanabusa (Congressional District 1 Respondents)

Table 4.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Charles Djou (Congressional District 1 Respondents)

Table 5.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Tulsi Gabbard (Congressional District 2 Respondents)

Table 6.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Kawika Crowley (Congressional District 2 Respondents)

Table 7.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Former Athletic Director Jim Donovan

Table 8.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- UH President M.R.C. (Marcy) Greenwood

Table 9.......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- UH Board of Regents

Table 10......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Mazie Hirono

Table 11......Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Linda Lingle

Table 12A/B...Q2. If the General Election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for:

Table 13......Q3. (CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 2 ONLY) Since Mazie Hirono is running for U.S. Senate, her seat in theU.S. House of Representatives will be vacant. If the General Election for the 2nd CongressionalDistrict were held today, who would you vote for:

Table 14......Q4. (CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 1 ONLY) Now please think about the race for U.S. House ofRepresentatives in the 1st Congressional District. If the General Election were held today and thecandidates were Colleen Hanabusa and Charles Djou, who would you vote for:

Table 15......Q5. (O'AHU ONLY) Regarding the mayoral election, what impact will your feelings on rail have onyour vote. Will your feelings on rail have:

Table 16A/B...Q6. (O'AHU ONLY) Now please think about the race for Mayor of the City and County of Honolulu. Ifthe General Election for Mayor were held today, and the candidates were Kirk Caldwell and BenCayetano, who would you vote for:


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Table 17......Q8. Do you generally approve or disapprove of President Barack Obamas job performance?

Table 18......Q9. Do you generally approve or disapprove of Gov. Neil Abercrombies job performance?

Table 19......Q10. Do you have confidence that the University of Hawaii can handle its own affairs well, or doyou believe that more oversight by the State Legislature is needed?

Table 20A/B...Q11. (O'AHU ONLY) Do you think work should proceed on O'ahus rail transit system?

Table 21A/B...Q12a. (O'AHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail project will end up costing a lot more than is currently estimated.

Table 22A/B...Q12b. (O'AHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The jobs created will boost the economy so much that the cost of the project will be worth it.

Table 23A/B...Q12c. (O'AHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail system will result in a noticeable reduction in traffic.

Table 24A/B...Q12d. (O'AHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: Something needs to be done about traffic, but an enhanced bus system is a better choice thanrail.

Table 25......Q13. Which party do you usually find yourself voting with:

Table 26......Q14. How many years have you lived in Hawaii?

Table 27......Q15. What was your age on your last birthday?

Table 28......Q16. What is your ethnic identification?

Table 29......Q17. Do you or does anyone in your household belong to a union?

Table 30......Q18. And was your household income for 2011, before taxes:

Table 31......Q20. Gender.

Table 32......Q. Island.


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Table 1

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Ben Cayetano (Oahu Respondents)

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========TOTAL ISLAND GENDER ETHNICITY AGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME USUALLY VOTE UNION MEMBR===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========

Oahu N.I. Male Fe- Cauca Japan Fili Hawai


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Table 2

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Kirk Caldwell (Oahu Respondents)




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Table 3

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Colleen Hanabusa (Congressional District 1 Respondents)




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Table 4

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Charles Djou (Congressional District 1 Respondents)




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Table 5

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Tulsi Gabbard (Congressional District 2 Respondents)




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Table 6

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Kawika Crowley (Congressional District 2 Respondents)




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Table 7

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Former Athletic Director Jim Donovan




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Table 8

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- UH President M.R.C. (Marcy) Greenwood




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Table 9

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- UH Board of Regents




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Table 10

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Mazie Hirono

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========

TOTAL ISLAND GENDER ETHNICITY AGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME USUALLY VOTE UNION MEMBR===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========



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Table 11

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Linda Lingle

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 12A

Q2. If the General Election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for:

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 12B

Q2. If the General Election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for:

========== =====================

TOTAL CANDIDATE VOTED FORIN SEN. PRIMARY RACE

========== =====================Case Hirono

---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C)

Linda Lingle 35% 43% 9%C

Mazie Hirono 57% 47% 88%B

Other 1% 1% -

Don't know/Refused 7% 9% 3%C

BASE 786 141 276

MARGIN OF ERROR () 3.5 8.3 5.9

Comparison Groups: BCIndependent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for PercentagesUpper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.Ward Research, Inc. - 6107 :: Star-Advertiser/Hawaii News Now - Hawaii Poll :: Oct 2012 ::


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Table 13

Q3. (CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 2 ONLY) Since Mazie Hirono is running for U.S. Senate, her seat in theU.S. House of Representatives will be vacant. If the General Election for the 2nd Congressional

District were held today, who would you vote for:




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Table 14

Q4. (CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 1 ONLY) Now please think about the race for U.S. House ofRepresentatives in the 1st Congressional District. If the General Election were held today and the

candidates were Colleen Hanabusa and Charles Djou, who would you vote for:




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Table 15

Q5. (OAHU ONLY) Regarding the mayoral election, what impact will your feelings on rail have onyour vote. Will your feelings on rail have:




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Table 16A

Q6. (OAHU ONLY) Now please think about the race for Mayor of the City and County of Honolulu. Ifthe General Election for Mayor were held today, and the candidates were Kirk Caldwell and Ben

Cayetano, who would you vote for:




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Table 17

Q8. Do you generally approve or disapprove of President Barack Obamas job performance?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 18

Q9. Do you generally approve or disapprove of Gov. Neil Abercrombies job performance?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 19

Q10. Do you have confidence that the University of Hawaii can handle its own affairs well, or doyou believe that more oversight by the State Legislature is needed?




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Table 20A

Q11. (OAHU ONLY) Do you think work should proceed on Oahus rail transit system?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 20B

Q11. (OAHU ONLY) Do you think work should proceed on Oahus rail transit system?

========== ================================ =====================

TOTAL IMPACT OF RAIL ON YOUR VOTE VOTE FOR MAYOR========== ================================ =====================

Great Some No impact Kirk BenImpact impact Caldwell Cayetano

---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

Yes 50% 46% 57% 49% 82% 10%B F

No 45% 52% 36% 35% 13% 85%CD E

Don't know/Refused 5% 1% 7% 17% 5% 5%B B

BASE 552 302 164 65 292 230

MARGIN OF ERROR () 4.2 5.6 7.7 12.2 5.7 6.5

Comparison Groups: BCD/EFIndependent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for PercentagesUpper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.Ward Research, Inc. - 6107 :: Star-Advertiser/Hawaii News Now - Hawaii Poll :: Oct 2012 ::


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Table 21A

Q12a. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail project will end up costing a lot more than is currently estimated.




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Table 21B

Q12a. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail project will end up costing a lot more than is currently estimated.

========== ================================ =====================TOTAL IMPACT OF RAIL ON YOUR VOTE VOTE FOR MAYOR

========== ================================ =====================Great Some No impact Kirk BenImpact impact Caldwell Cayetano

---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

Strongly agree 62% 66% 61% 55% 42% 87%E

Somewhat agree 25% 20% 32% 31% 39% 7%B F

Somewhat disagree 6% 6% 4% 5% 10% 2%

F

Strongly disagree 4% 5% 1% 6% 5% 3%C

Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2%

BASE 552 302 164 65 292 230

MARGIN OF ERROR () 4.2 5.6 7.7 12.2 5.7 6.5



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Table 22A

Q12b. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The jobs created will boost the economy so much that the cost of the project will be worth it.




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Table 22B

Q12b. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The jobs created will boost the economy so much that the cost of the project will be worth it.



---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

Strongly agree 19% 24% 13% 9% 32% 3%CD F

Somewhat agree 28% 18% 46% 24% 43% 9%BD F


B E

Strongly disagree 32% 41% 19% 29% 9% 63%C E


BASE 552 302 164 65 292 230

MARGIN OF ERROR () 4.2 5.6 7.7 12.2 5.7 6.5



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Table 23A

Q12c. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail system will result in a noticeable reduction in traffic.




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Table 23B

Q12c. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: The rail system will result in a noticeable reduction in traffic.



---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

Strongly agree 20% 27% 15% 9% 33% 5%CD F

Somewhat agree 27% 16% 43% 38% 44% 7%B B F


B E

Strongly disagree 33% 43% 21% 22% 9% 63%CD E


BASE 552 302 164 65 292 230

MARGIN OF ERROR () 4.2 5.6 7.7 12.2 5.7 6.5



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Table 24A

Q12d. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: Something needs to be done about traffic, but an enhanced bus system is a better choice than

rail.




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Table 24B

Q12d. (OAHU ONLY) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagreethat: Something needs to be done about traffic, but an enhanced bus system is a better choice than

rail.



---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

Strongly agree 32% 41% 18% 31% 11% 61%C C E

Somewhat agree 18% 11% 25% 27% 15% 20%B B

Somewhat disagree 23% 16% 33% 28% 31% 10%B B F

Strongly disagree 22% 28% 16% 13% 37% 5%CD F


BASE 552 302 164 65 292 230

MARGIN OF ERROR () 4.2 5.6 7.7 12.2 5.7 6.5



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Table 25

Q13. Which party do you usually find yourself voting with:

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 26

Q14. How many years have you lived in Hawaii?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 27

Q15. What was your age on your last birthday?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 28

Q16. What is your ethnic identification?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 29

Q17. Do you or does anyone in your household belong to a union?

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 30

Q18. And was your household income for 2011, before taxes:

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 31

Q20. Gender.

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========




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Table 32

Q. Island.

===== ========== ============ ======================== ================ ================= ================= ===========



Documents

Oct 2012 Hawaii Poll Tables