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OCLC Online Computer Library Center
Libraries and the Landscape of the Future
Symposium on the Future of Integrated Library Systems
September 13, 2007
Chip Nilges Vice President, Business Development
OCLC, Online Computer Library Ctr.
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Are we there yet?
As seenOn GoogleAs seen
On Google
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Outline
User & resource environment
Customer view
Gaps and trends
Getting into the flow
Integrated resource management
Logistics
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User expectations continue to shift
The network is the library
MySpace and Facebook are the new Google
Customized information
Collaborating at a distance
From “Future Worker 2015: Extreme Individualization,” Gartner (March 2006) & “Search, Aggregation Y Syndication,” 2006 Results (Outsell, Inc. )
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search engines
bibliographicmgmt. service
PDAs
learning management systems
campus portal
Social networkingsites
personal collections
readinglists
Institutional repository
Digital collections
E-reserve CatalogLicensed collections
Aggregations
Virtual reference
CatalogingILL
libraryuser environmentsresource environment
Changing resource environments
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Impact on the ILS
She’s breaking up, captain!
She’s breaking up, captain!
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What do users think?
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Libraries are used heavily
96% have visited a library
57% use libraries frequently
69% say library use is steady or higher
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Libraries are viewed favorably as an information source
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84%
Search Engines
2%
Library Portals
But libraries are not visible to many users on the Web
Q: Where do you typically begin your search for information on a particular topic?
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This gap raises a fundamental question …
How do we deliver our value – collections, services and community …
To the user
On the network
At the point of need?
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3 Industry Trends
1. Getting into the flow2. Integrating resource management3. Outsourced logistics
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Gap 1: Getting into the “flow”
Customer workflows, not products or services, should be the focal point of companies
Customers care about the “jobs” they need to complete, not about products.
Solutions that customers need will vary by task and change over time.
From Outside Innovation, Patricia Seybold (2007)
http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/70778382
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University of Minnesota http://www.lib.umn.edu/about/mellon/KM%20JStor%20Presentation.pps
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Using workflow analysis to improve the library portal
http://www.lib.umn.edu/undergrad
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Another example of designing around user workflow …
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Supporting user workflow on “published” content
Personal bibliographic management services
Refworks
CiteULike
LibraryThing
Shelfari
Google My Library
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Library ELF
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Moving beyond the portal -Getting into the flow on the broader Web
Home Page
Destination or Portal model
Users find relevant content in search engine - start there
Search engine driven model (“bottom-up”)
Home Page
From search engine or external site
AND
Traditional model:
• Start on the home page• Work from the top down• Search only what library offers• Authentication for many resources
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Syndication of library collections into the Web
Home Page
Syndication Model:
• Start outside of library portal• Work from bottom up• Search across larger “collection”• Authenticate only where necessary
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Many library information companies are creating publicly accessible vertical sites to test direct-to-consumer models
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And many others are testing syndication models, as an adjunct to public portals and authenticated services
Driving traffic to library collections
Partnering
Crawling
“Cooperative” Ad campaigns
Web services
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Machine-level syndication:LibraryThing for Libraries
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Growing Importance of “Business Intelligence”
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What about the rest of the library’s capacity?
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Gap 2: Integrated resource management
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The nature of content & collections is changing
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Impact on content strategy & collection development
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Industry Trends: Collections & Platforms
Consolidation as niche players look to broaden their markets
New partnerships emerging in the effort to bring legacy collections online
The focus on integrated platforms among content providers signals need to connect and collect
Bowker & aquabrowser
Gale and Grokker
EBSCO and WebFeat
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Gap 3: Logistics
Supply chain management for “published” library collections is moving on Web
http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/37132571
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Library participation in the supply chain for Published Materials
Library Functions
Identify
Select
Acquire
Accession
Circulate
Deaccession
Eliminate or Preserve
Notable initiatives:
Online selection
Purchase for ILL
Patron-driven acquisition
Home delivery
Print on Demand
North American Storage Trust
Reverse logistics
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The library of the future?
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What do these trends say about the future of libraries?
• Syndication will become a critical component of the library’s discovery infrastructure
• The current delivery & access infrastructure will give way to much more integrated, on demand solutions from much larger players
• The catalog will become a general metadata repository
• Collection development/management will increasingly move “up” to the network level
Libraries will outsource more and more of their physical logistics both through deeper collaboration and commercial outsourcing
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You can't connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever.
- Steve Jobs