Review data on progress in LDCs

over the IPoA period (2011- )

on key goals and targets specified in the IPoA

which are of particular importance

to structural economic transformation.

Objective of the presentation

- Eight priority areas

- Over arching goal: “to overcome the structural challenges faced by the LDCs in order to eradicate poverty, achieve internationally agreed development goals and enable graduation from the LDC category”

- Some specific goals and targets for LDCs and development partners:

- at least 7% economic growth;

- doubling the share of LDCs exports in global exports by 2020;

- significantly increase access to electricity;

- 100 per cent access to the Internet by 2020;

- Donor countries to provide 0.15-0.20 per cent of their GNP as ODA to LDCs;

Istanbul Programme of Action (2011-2020)

Sector Contribution to GDP in LDCs (%)

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of GDP) Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP)

Services, value added (% of GDP) Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP)

Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP)

LDCs

African LDCs

Asia Pacific

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Employment in Industry (%) Employment in Agriculture (%)

Employment in Industry and Agriculture

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

LDCs African LDCs Asia Pacific

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

LDCs African LDCs Asia Pacific

Concentration and Diversification Indexes, LDCs

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Concentration Index

0.62

0.64

0.66

0.68

0.70

0.72

0.74

Diversification Index

A value closer to 1

indicates greater

divergence from the

world pattern

A value closer to 1 indicates a

country's exports or imports

are highly concentrated on a

few products

Primary commodities (food and fuel) exports, percentage of total exports, LDCs

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Access to electricity in LDCs (% of population)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

LDCs African LDCs Asia Pacific

Individuals using the Internet in LDCs (% of population)

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

LDCS AFRICAN LDCS ASIA PACIFIC

4.75

4.395.23

18.31

16.96

21.13

2011 2017

- LDCs economic growth in 2018 - 5%

- Share of LDCs exports in 2017 – 0.97%

- ODA in 2017:

- increased to $42.5 billion, or 29% of total ODA

- 5 donors provided more than 0.15% of GNI as ODA to LDCs

Progress on other IPoA indicators

Rates of growth of real GDP in LDCs (%)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018b

Rates of growth of real GDP

Percentage of LDC exports in world’s total exports

1.031.03

1.04

0.99

0.89 0.89

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

- ODA in 2017:

- increased to $42.5 billion, or 29% of total ODA

- 5 donors provided more than 0.15% of GNI as ODA to LDCs: Denmark, Luxembourg, Norway, Sweden and United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

ODA to LDCs

Upcoming LDC Graduation (5):

2020 – Vanuatu; 2021 – Angola; 2023 – Bhutan; 2024 - São Tomé and Príncipe, Solomon Islands.

LDCs meeting the graduation threshold (7):

Bangladesh, Kiribati, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Nepal, Timor Leste, Tuvalu.

2018 Triennial Review Thresholds

Graduation of LDCs

Gross National Income

(GNI) per capita

Human Assets Index

(HAI)

Economic Vulnerability

Index

(EVI)

GNI per capita: $1,230 or

above

Income-only: $2,460 or

above

66 or above 32 or below

1. Limited structural economic transformation over the IPoA period

2. LDCs are still highly commodity dependent

3. Performance on share of exports is elusive, and dependent on prices

4. Internet and electricity access data show positive trends and can play an important role in transformational change

5. Specific country cases examples will tell us about success stories, and where we can replicate and scale up.

Conclusions for LDCs overall