NVC Feasibility Summary 2012 new

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    HOW TO WRITE A

    FEASIBILITYSUMMARY

    The 16thAnnual Edward L. Kaplan, 71New Venture Challenge 2011-12

    Steve KaplanEllen Rudnick

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    REVIEW NVC TIMELINE

    FEASIBILITY SUMMARY: KEY ELEMENTS

    OUTSIDE - IMPACTS

    DOS & DONTS

    Q&A

    FAST PITCH

    CASUAL NETWORKING

    AFTERWARDS

    PRESENTATION

    AGENDAWORKSHOP

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    Phase 1 FeasibilitySummaries Due

    Phase 11 TeamsAnnounced

    Phase II OrientationHarper Center

    Developing a NewVenture

    (Bus 34104)begins

    JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY

    Full BusinessPlans Due

    TODAY

    FinalistsAnnounced

    NVC FinalsHarperCenter

    Phase I Phase II Finals

    Feb 6

    Feb 23

    Feb 28

    Mar 26

    April 27

    May 21

    May 24

    TIMELINENEW VENTURE CHALLENGE

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    Phase 1 Feasibility

    Summaries Due

    JANUARY FEB

    TODAY

    Phase I

    Feb 6

    WEDNESDAY, JAN 11 4:30-5:30PMPolsky Center Coffee Hour

    TUESDAY, JAN 17 12:00-1:00PMCreating an MVP for the NVC (Avi Stopper)

    WEDNESDAY, JAN 18 4:30-5:30PMPolsky Center Coffee Hour

    TUESDAY, JAN 24 4:45-6:15PMEVC Feasibility Summary Working Session

    WEDNESDAY, JAN 25 4:30-5:30PMPolsky Center Coffee Hour

    WEDNESDAY, FEB 1 4:30-5:30PMPolsky Center Coffee Hour

    DEADLINEBETWEEN NOW & THE

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    COMPANY MISSION MARKET INFORMATION

    PROPRIETARY ASPECTS

    REVENUE MODEL

    OPERATIONS MODEL

    FEASIBILITY SUMMARYKEY ELEMENTS

    MANAGEMENT TEAM

    FINANCIAL INFORMATION

    PROGRESS TO DATE

    BUSINESS RISKS

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    What are you selling?

    What problem are you solving?

    How big is the problem?

    Why should an investor read any further?

    MISSIONKEY ELEMENTS

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    MISSION EXAMPLESKEY ELEMENTS

    The company has developed the SalivaSac, a proprietary semi-permeable membrane that enables the collection in saliva ofbiochemical markers below 12 kilodaltons. The company willfocus on finding those applications which meet this criteria andwhere there is an advantage to collecting a non invasive sample.

    The Companys objective is to develop non invasive medical

    diagnostic tests. The first application is for using a proprietary salivacollection device to measure glucose levels in diabetics.

    ex 1

    ex 2

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    How do you define yourmarket?

    Who is the customer?

    What is the potential market size?

    How much do costumers buy?

    MARKET INFOKEY ELEMENTS

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    Who are current players in the market?

    Who could be your competition in the future?

    What are your competitive (dis)advantages?

    How are you positioned with respect tocompetition?

    COMPETITIONKEY ELEMENTS

    What barriers to entry will protect you?

    o IP, Customer development process, etc.?

    How will you win?

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    Describe technology if there is a key differentiator /element of plan

    Is it proprietary? Are there patents?

    Are there key milestones in terms of development orproduct testing?

    What are the technology risks?

    TECHNOLOGYKEY ELEMENTS

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    What is your revenue model & go to marketstrategy?

    How will you make money?

    Why will the customerbuy your product/service?

    What will the customerpay?

    GO TO MARKETKEY ELEMENTS

    o Why are you sure the customer will pay this?

    o Have you spoken to customers?

    How many customers will you get?

    How will you get to the customer?

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    OPERATION MODELSKEY ELEMENTS

    How will you deliver this product/service?

    Do the costs of providing thisproduct/service provide a sufficientprofit?

    Are there execution risks?

    Outsourced vs. in-house resources?

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    MANAGEMENT TEAMKEY ELEMENTS

    Who makes up your team? Advisors? Partners?

    Who are they?

    Why are they relevant for this business?

    How do you plan on filling these gaps?

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    MANAGEMENT TEAMKEY ELEMENTS

    e.g.Frank Smith, our CTO, has extensive experience in managing and

    building data warehouses. He previously served as Vice President incharge of Thompson Financials database management systems,and worked as a consulting manager with IBM for organizations

    building data warehouses. Frank received a B.S. in computerscience from MIT and an MBA from Chicago Booth with aconcentration in operations.

    e.g.

    We currently are looking for a Director of Sales. We have identifiedseveral individuals in data/information companies also selling to theFortune 500 companies, consulting and investment firms that wouldbe interested once we have secured our financing.

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    PROGRESS UP-TO-DATEKEY ELEMENTS

    Milestones that have been achieved

    Patents, trademarks that have been filed

    Testing your business assumptions:

    Prototypes, MVPs, websites, focus groups,

    beta customers, etc.

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    BUSINESS RISKSKEY ELEMENTS

    What are you worried about?

    What do you plan to do about it?

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    COMPARABLESKEY ELEMENTS

    Are there comparables in the industry or otherindustries that validate your business model?

    Who are they and have they been successful?

    How are they valued and how did they getfunded?

    Have there been successful exits? Multiples? Have similar businesses failed? Why? (look for

    corpses)

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    A FRAMEWORK FOR

    EVALUATING A BUSINESS PLAN

    STEVE KAPLAN

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    How Will Angels and VCs

    Evaluate a Business Plan orOpportunity?

    When I look at an opportunity, I usethe following framework:

    OUTSIDE- IMPACTS

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    Opportunity, Uncertainty, Team,

    Strategy, Investment, Deal, Exit.

    OUTSIDE -IMPACTS

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    (O) Opportunity: Is this a positive present value

    opportunity? (Does it have IMPACTS?)(I) What is the idea / industry?

    (M) Is the target market large enough to support substantialgrowth/valuation?

    (P) Why does the opportunity generate a positive presentvalue? What is unique?

    (A) Acceptance: Will customers in that market accept /buy this new product / service?

    (C) Why won't the value be competed away?

    (T) Why is this a good time to enter?

    (S) Speed? How quickly can this be implemented?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (O) Opportunity: Is this a positive present valueopportunity? (Does it have IMPACTS?)

    (I) What is the idea / industry?

    Explain the idea / opportunity clearly and succinctly What problem does it solve? What is the pain point

    (M) Is the target market large enough to support substantialgrowth/valuation?

    How large is the overall market? How large is the market segment you are targeting?

    Who are the key customers? How many are there? What will they spend? Provide solid support for your analysis.

    Are there additional opportunities?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (O) Opportunity: Is this a positive present valueopportunity? (Does it have IMPACTS?)

    (P) Why does the opportunity generate a positive presentvalue? What is unique? What is differentiating?

    The answer to this should be implicit in other parts of

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS. But, doesnt hurt to be explicit. Why will you make money? How will you make money? What is your edge?

    First-mover advantage?

    Network effect Switching costs Execution

    Technology? Advantage? Defensible?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    Is this a positive present value opportunity? (Does it haveIMPACTS?)

    (A) Acceptance: Will customers in that market accept / buythis new product / service?

    Who is the customer in the target segment? Put yourself in shoes of a

    customer.

    How does the customer spend the day Why will they buy your product / service?

    What do they buy now? Why do they buy what they do now? Why will they switch from their current product?

    How will you get to the customers? Direct Salesforce? Resellers? Distributors?

    How much of each? How quickly? Advertising How much will it cost? Common to underestimate time / cost

    How will you keep customers? How much will it cost?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    Is this a positive present value opportunity? (Does it

    have IMPACTS?)(C) CUSTOMERS, CUSTOMERS, CUSTOMERS

    Get beta sites, beta customers, etc. VC pitches Kathryn Gould

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (C) Why won't the value be competed away? What will existing competitors do? What will other new entrants do? How will you respond?

    (T) Why is this a good time to enter? Why hasn't the opportunity been taken already?

    (S) Speed? How quickly can this be implemented?

    Good opportunities have positive IMPACTS.

    If the opportunity does not have IMPACTS,then it should not be pursued.

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (U) Uncertainties: What are major uncertainties?

    Possible uncertainties: Market size Customer acceptance Customer approach Competition Management team Potential real options

    Which uncertainties can be managed so thatoutcome is more likely to be favorable? Choice of initial customers? Choice of investors?

    How do the answers affect the opportunity?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (T) Team

    Can management team implement opportunity? How does previous experience relate to opportunity? How hungry is the management team?

    If management pieces are missing: What pieces are missing?

    What type of person will you look for to fill them? How will you find that person?

    For VCs, a good team and a good opportunity arenecessities.

    (S) Strategy Is strategy consistent with opportunity, uncertainty, team,and exit?

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    (I) Investment Requirements Forecasts and cash flow requirements Forecasts:

    What do investors look for? Possibility of 10x return

    Credible forecasts Growth, margins, exit value Analogs

    What do investors do? Cut forecasts in , by 2/3

    Push out forecastsWhat should you do? Plausible best-case scenario

    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS

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    OUTSIDE-IMPACTS(D) Deal

    Does deal structure provide appropriate incentives? Is the deal priced attractively? Do key individuals have incentives to do deal? Do key individuals have incentives to make deal

    work? Does deal structure provide / ensure appropriate

    governance? Does deal structure help manage the uncertainties?

    (E) Exit Can investors exit the deal? How?

    Is the deal priced attractively?

    If an investment does not pass theOUTSIDE tests, leave it outside.

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    GrubHub.coma website for finding and ordering from restaurants that deliver.

    have to call every restaurant in city to get menu / ask if and wherethey deliver. Info is hard to collect.

    M - Not a huge market, but large enough.

    Make money off on-line ordering.

    A -Useful for consumers.

    Key issue is whether you can get them economically.

    Restaurants follow once consumers are engaged.

    P -

    First-mover advantage / network effect for consumers.

    Costly and time intensive to get menu / delivery info.

    Consumers have no reason to switch because restaurants pay.

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    BumpiPhone App to exchange contact info.

    Uses unique identification of two phones from:GPS

    Synchronicity of Bump

    A -

    Consumers liked it / found it usefulHuge piece of luck when billionth iPhone App

    P -

    Network effect

    But what is M? I? How do you make money?

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    DOS AND

    DONTS

    DOS & DONTS

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    AVOID CLICHSDO S & DON TS

    We have no competition.

    We are the low cost provider.

    We only need a 5% market share.

    Our numbers are conservative.

    DOS & DONTS

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    AVOID ACRONYMSDO S & DON TS

    Dont assume everyone reading plan

    has your knowledge base

    When you use an acronym, explain it

    TFT (the first time)

    DOS & DONTS

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    NO AUTOPILOTDO S & DON TS

    Make sure the car has a driver.Someone should be the current CEO.

    OK to say you will find a permanent /better one later.

    DOS & DONTS

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    BE CLEAR & BRIEFDO S & DON TS

    Yes:Middleware for wireless networks

    No:Develops and delivers an integrated suite ofpackaged applications for web and wirelessdeployment. Global enterprises use these

    applications to become more competitive andprofitable by establishing and sustaining high-yieldinteractions and transactions with customers,suppliers, and employees.

    DOS & DONTS

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    CAPTURE ATTENTIONDO S & DON TS

    Typical VC will not read past the firstpage

    Should answer the following questions in

    the first page

    - What is the opportunity?

    - Why does anyone care?

    - How will it be achieved?

    - What is your unique differentiator?

    DOS & DONTS

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    EXAMPLES & EXPERIENCESDO S & DON TS

    Provide tangible examples / experiences whereverpossible:

    Reference customerso Actual customers best. Potential customers next best.

    o TALK TO CUSTOMERS. Describe what you discovered.o There is nothing more important than a customer! Focus

    on how you are going to get that first customer.

    Credible partners, suppliers, advisors, etc. Identify comparable businesses or business models

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    IN CLOSING

    NEXT STEPS

    RESOURCES

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    CHICAGONVC.COMRESOURCES

    Link to key dates,

    deadlines, and

    events for the

    2011-1\2 New

    Venture Challenge

    Check here forthe latest news on

    current & former

    NVC Companies

    Link to onlineteam building

    site where

    people can post

    ideas and team

    openings

    Link tosample

    business plans,

    NVC classworkshops,

    sample equity

    agreement

    Link to officialrules and

    regulations,sample

    feasibility

    summaries

    RESOURCES

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    LINKD.IN/NVCIDEASRESOURCES

    Get feedbackon a new

    business idea!

    Find teammembers for

    your NVCEntry!

    Share yourresume &

    expertise to let

    other studentsfind you!

    TONIGHT

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    FAST PITCH & NETWORKINGTONIGHT

    30 mins of pitches

    Casual Networking

    Get food, come back

    o Around the room, 45 sec per pitch

    TONIGHT

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    FAST PITCH & NETWORKINGO G

    Your Name:

    Company name:

    Short Description:

    Needs:

    John Smith

    Banana Hats

    We make hats for monkeys

    Finance Guru, Developer

    In 45 seconds, say: