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Nuclear’s Role in the Clean Energy Mix
The Energy Bar Mid-Year Meeting on Energy Markets, Renewable Energy and Change
Washington, DCDecember 3, 2009
David HeacockPresident and Chief Nuclear Officer, Dominion Nuclear
2
Dominion at a Glance
DominionGeneration
DominionEnergy
DominionVirginia Power
Regulated Generation
Merchant Generation
Gas Distribution
Gas Transmission and Storage
Producer Services
Appalachian E&P
Electric Distribution
Electric Transmission
Unregulated Retail
3
Diverse, Balanced Generation Mix
4
100 Largest U.S. Power Producers(Pounds CO2 per MWh Output)
Source: Natural Resources Defense Council, 2008 Study
Dominion
Low Carbon Intensity
5
Increasing Demand for Energy
6
Peak Demand (Megawatts)
18,000
20,000
16,000
22,000
Current generating capacityProjected Dominion peak demand—PJM Forecast
2009 2019
AdditionalDeficit of
4,600 MWby 2019
Mounting Energy Gap
*Updated 2009 to reflect projected demand growth between 2009 and 2019.
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Additional Usage By Existing Customers 40% of Growth
Added Sq Ft per House Flat Screen TV Home Computer Networks New Appliances Digital Displays
New Usage By New Customers 60% of Growth
Historically, 50,000 Connects 2009: 30,000 Connects Transportation Growth Military Expansion Data Centers
Demand Growth
750000800000
850000900000
9500001000000
1050000
Year
MW
17,00018,00019,00020,00021,00022,00023,00024,000
MW
US Dominion
Dominion 2.2%
US 1.7%
Distribution Growth Drivers
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Ft. Belvoir 22 Projects on Base 19,000 New Residents in 3 Yrs Initial Capacity 56 MVA 230 kV Transmission Supply Eventual Build Out 100 MVA
Ft. Lee 6 Major Facilities 7 million Additional Sq Ft Initial Capacity 15 MVA Eventual Build Out 33 MVA
Military Expansions:Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC)
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New Silver Line Rail Northern Virginia Phase I - 2013; Phase II - 2016 Tyson’s Corner Impact
– 88 million Sq Ft added– 100,000 new jobs– 83,000 residents– Build Out 480-830 MVA
Relocation Work Begins January 2009
Norfolk Light Rail $232 M Project 7.4 miles across Downtown Norfolk 11 Passenger Stations Began 2007; Complete 2010 Transport 6,000–12,000 daily
New Transportation Corridors
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Existing
36 Data Centers
200 MW of Existing Load
3% of Northern Virginia Load
Future (by 2013)
50 Data Centers
700 MW of Future Load
10% of Northern Virginia Load
Data Centers, 2009 and Beyond: 24 / 7 Load Factor
11
Strategy for Meeting Growing Demand
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Conservation will help meet Virginia’s growing energy needs while protecting the environment
Dominion is fully committed to state’s goal of reducing energy consumption by 10 percent by 2022
Conservation: Critical to Virginia’s Future
Dominion is developing portfolio of demand-side management programs and evaluating “smart” technologies
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Demand Response: Reduces peak electricity demand, often by
shifting usage to off-peak hours Improves reliability Easily measured and verified
Conservation: Reduces consumption of electricity Produces environmental benefits Poses new set of challenges:
Requires change in customer behavior Harder to measure and verify
Demand-Side Management: Two Key Elements
14
Key component of Dominion’s Energy Conservation strategy
Customers in Midlothian and Charlottesville participating in smart metering demonstration projects
Customers save through the delivery of more efficient operating voltages to their homes
Other benefits include:– improved outage reporting– new time-sensitive pricing
Smart Metering Technology
15
Trabue Demonstration: 6,700 meters Charlottesville Demonstration: 45,000 meters Initial loss reduction focus areas include
– Conserving off-peak voltage and monitoring through AMI technology
Successful demonstration of project on Trabue Circuit (Midlothian)
– 5% voltage reduction using AMI technology has been demonstrated– Average energy savings per 1% reduction exceeds 0.8%– Trabue test results confirm full deployment savings of 2.34 million MWH
per year or 2.79% of the total system load– Demonstrated energy savings from Voltage Conservation confirms
previously announced customer savings (and have risen to $1.7 billion over 15 years)
Voltage Conservation
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Federal RPS is under development Dominion’s existing utility-owned renewable assets reach 2%
level Dominion is growing its renewable project portfolio To comply with RPS requirements, Dominion needs:
– 4% by 2010– 7% by 2016– 12% by 2022– 15% by 2025 (recently signed by Gov. Kaine)
Evaluating all available options to meet targets:– Existing utility-owned renewable generation– Build new renewable facilities in Virginia– Purchase RECs / renewable energy
Virginia RPS
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Dominion’s Renewable Assets
Biomass
Wind
Hydro
89 MW
282 MW
327 MW
OperatingUnder
Development
217 MW
695 MW
Total
306 MW
977 MW
327 MW
TOTAL RENEWABLE ASSETS: 1610 MW
Bath County: Dominion’s pumped storage facility helps make renewable energy dispatchable.
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Infrastructure Growth PlanExpanding Renewable Generation Portfolio
Facility Status Capacity
<<<<< Biomass >>>>>
Pittsylvania Operating 83 MW
Altavista Operating 6 MW
VCHEC 1 Construction 117 MW
Undisclosed Development 4 100 MW
Biomass Subtotal >>> 306 MW
<<<<< Wind >>>>>
NedPower 2 Operating 132 MW
Fowler Ridge I 2 Operating 150 MW
Fowler Ridge II Development 4 150 MW
Prairie Fork Development 4 300 MW
Virginia Wind 2,3 Development 4 245 MW
Wind Subtotal >>> 977 MW
Total Biomass and Wind 1,283 MW1) Assumes 20% co-firing
2) Dominion’s 50% share
3) Includes Wise County and Tazewell County as well as other undisclosed facilities
4) Development projects are subject to change
Pittsylvania
Altavista
NedPower
Fowler
Ridge I-II
Prairie Fork
VCHEC
Tazewell County/VA WindWise County/VA Wind
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Nuclear - Part of the Solution
20
U.S. Electric Net Generation by Source, 2008
Source: NRC 2009-2010 Information Digest – DOE/EIA
Monthly Energy Review, March 2009
21
Fuel TypeAverage Capacity Factors
(%)
Nuclear 91.5
Coal (Steam Turbine) 70.8
Gas (Combined Cycle) 41.7
Gas (Steam Turbine) 14.6
Oil (Steam Turbine) 12.6
Hydro 27.4
Wind 31.1
Solar 21.1
U.S. Capacity Factors by Fuel Type
Source: NEI - Ventyx Velocity Suite / Energy Information
Administration
Updated: 4/09
22
U.S. Nuclear Industry Capacity Factors (1971 – 2008)
Source: NEI - Energy Information AdministrationUpdated: 4/09
23
U.S. Average Plant Production Expenses $/Mwhr
Source: NRC 2009 – 2010 Information Digest – FERC Form 1
and DOE/EIA Electric Power Annual 2008
24
U.S. Electricity Production Costs 1995-2008, In 2008 cents per kilowatt-hour
Production Costs = Operations and Maintenance Costs + Fuel Costs. Production costs do not include indirect costs and are based on FERC Form 1 filings submitted by regulated utilities. Production costs are modeled for utilities that are not regulated.Source: Ventyx Velocity SuiteUpdated: 5/09
25
Nuclear Economic Benefits
$430 M in sales of goods and services
$40 M in total labor income
Every $1 spent by plant => creates $1.07 in local community
$20 M/yr in state and local tax revenue
$75M/yr in federal tax payments
400-700 permanent jobs at operating units
1,400 – 1,800 during construction
Forward price stability – fuel costs small
Source: NEI
26
Value of Environmental Benefits
Avg nuclear plant avoids
10,000 tons of nitrogen oxides
32,000 tons of sulfur dioxide
Equates to value of $4.7 M/yr
Avg nuclear plant prevents 7 M metric tons of carbon dioxide
Equates to projected value of $130 – 208 M/yr
Currently 20+ new reactors under consideration in U.S.
Investment of $6 – 8 B /per unit, depend on size
Source: NEI
27
Two Ways to Increase Nuclear Slice
UpratesImproved measurement
More efficient turbines
New Build5 Technologies
Least Costly Alternative
Carbon free
Challenge – can they be built in time
28
Uprate Facts
Jan 2009 124 uprates => 5,640 Mwe, equivalent to five new reactors
NRC reviewing or anticipating additional applications totaling 2,333 Mwe
March 2009 nuclear accounts for approximately 19.7% of U.S. net electrcial generation at 806 billion kilowatthours
Source: NRC 2009-2010 Information Digest
29
30
New Nuclear
ESP – Early Site Permit NRC has issue three (including one at the North Anna site)
DC – Design Certifications Issued four Five under review
Combined Operating License Reviewing 13 applications for 22 reactors
Source: NRC 2009-2010 Information Digest
31
Timing – The Real Challenge
1980’s: Worldwide - 218 power reactors, average of one every 17 days U.S. – average of one every 77 days
Today China as of October 2009
11 operable, 8587 MWe 17 under construction, 17,540 MWe 34 planned, 36,380 MWe 90 proposed, 79,000 Mwe
U.S. as of October 2009 104 operable, 101,119 MWe 1 under construction, 1,180 MWe 11 planned, 13,800 MWe 19 proposed, 25,000 Mwe
Act Now
Source: World Nuclear Associationhttp://world-nuclear.org/info/reactors.html
32
Nuclear – Is the Solution
33
34
Positive Trend in Safety Performance
Reactor Scrams Actuations
35
Wise County project meets baseload energy needs and has strong environmental features
Will produce 585 MW of power using DOE-designated clean coal technology
Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center
Complete environmental package:– Protects air quality; minimizes water
use– Uses waste coal and biomass
Sponsoring research at Virginia Tech to determine feasibility of carbon capture and storage technology
Small-scale testing under way near Center
Delete? Or change previous slide
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Uprates add approximately 300 MW of new nuclear generation across our nuclear fleet (except Kewaunee)
North Anna Unit 3 will use advanced nuclear technology with no carbon emissions
– Early Site Permit (ESP) received approval in November 2007; submitted Combined Operating License (COL) application to build and operate in November 2007
– Commercial operation by 2016 / 2017– Third unit would boost Dominion’s percentage of power produced by
nuclear almost 10 percent in about 10 years
Increasing Nuclear Capacity:Uprates and North Anna Unit 3