Nuclear Power Council General Session - Amazon S3 · 2016. 8. 31. · (2006–2007) Scenario Planning (2012–2013) Scenario Planning Refresh ... (co-production –electricity, hydrogen

© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Neil WilmshurstVice President & CNO

Thursday, September 1, 2016

Nuclear Power Council General Session

Date: August 25, 2016

2© 2016 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

NPC Meeting Agenda – Morning SessionThursday, September 1, 2016 – Morning SessionTime Topic Lead

9:00 am Welcome and New Member Introductions T. Rausch, Talen Energy

9:05 am Executive Committee Discussion T. Rausch, Talen Energy

9:15 am Integrated Energy Network A. Mansoor, EPRI

9:45 am Business Update N. Wilmshurst, EPRI

10:00 am Entergy, Gulf Coast Renaissance E. Jimenez, Entergy Corporation

10:15 am Morning Break

10: 30 am Keynote Address D. Prouty, Tri Alpha

11:00 am Continued Viability of Nuclear Power: New Build Panel Discussion

K. Edsinger, EPRIR. Ridenoure, ENECR. Jones, SCANAD. Jones, SNCD. Czufin, TVAR. King, EPRI


NPC Meeting Agenda – Afternoon SessionThursday, September 1, 2016 – Afternoon SessionTime Topic Lead

1:00 pm Viability of Nuclear Power: Advanced Reactors (Continued) EPRI Strategic Program on Advanced Reactors Brief introduction to CAP200

A. Sowder, EPRIQ. Zhongming, SNERDI

1:30 pm

Viability of Nuclear Power: Extended Operation (Continued) Surry – Second License Renewal IAEA Perspective on Safe Long Term Operation Materials Aging and Japanese License Renewal

M. Sartain, DominionP. Vincze, IAEAA. Demma, EPRI and M. Honjin, EPRI

2:30 pm Afternoon Break All

3:00 pm

Viability of Nuclear Power: Optimization Maintenance & Engineering (Continued)

Nuclear Plant Maintenance – the Next 10 Years International Maintenance & Engineering Challenges Wireless Plant Health Monitoring

PM Basis Maintenance Scope

S. Woods, OPGM. Maschi, EDFS. Greenlee, ExelonJ. Heishman, EPRI

4:00 pm Wrap-up and adjourn T. Rausch, Talen Energy


Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity


Arshad MansoorSenior Vice President

Nuclear Power Council General SessionSeptember 1, 2016

Integrated Energy NetworkAligning our R&D Portfolio with a

Technology Vision of the Future


EPRI Scenario Planning Cadence

Align the R&D Portfolio and Business Model with Vision of the Future

• PRISM – Clean Electricity Generation Portfolio• Demo Projects

• Power System Transformation• Integrated Grid

• Energy System Transformation• Integrated Energy Networks

Scenario Planning(2006–2007)

Scenario Planning(2012–2013)

Scenario Planning Refresh(Now)


Our Global Energy Consumption

Coal45

Petroleum155

Electricity70Natural

Gas59

Global Final Consumption of Energy(in Exajoules)

Source: IEA Energy Balance Data, 2013

Bio-energy

47Petroleum 25 billion barrels

Natural Gas 54 trillion cubic feet

Electricity 19,504 billion kWh

Coal 2,162 million short tons

Bioenergy 2,285 million short tons of coal-equivalent


Projected Global CO2 Emissions

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 20500

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Non-Electric Sector CO2

Electric Sector CO2

Billio

ns T

ons

CO

2

Source: EPRI MERGE Baseline Projection for Global CO2 Emissions


Source: EPRI MERGE Baseline Projection for Global CO2 Emissions with Electric Sector 80% Reduction

Challenge: Economy-wide CO2 Emission Reduction

60%

70%

80%

Economy-wide Emission Reduction from Baseline

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Non-Electric Sector CO2

Electric Sector CO2

Billio

ns T

ons

CO

2


Meeting the Global ChallengeThree Evolving Infrastructures

Integrated Energy Network A network of infrastructures that

connects customers with clean energy production and use

Using Cleaner

Energy and Electrification

Producing Cleaner Energy

Integrating Energy

Resources


Transition to Cleaner Electricity Generation ~2030

Ultra Supercritical

Natural Gas Nuclear

Distributed Energy Resources

Renewables

Renewable growth will be global.

Pace and scale of nuclear, coal and

natural gas will vary from region to region.

Renewable growth will be global.

Pace and scale of nuclear, coal and

natural gas will vary from region to region.


Pathway to Cleaner Electricity/Energy Generation ~2050

Generation IV Nuclear(co-production – electricity, hydrogen steam)

High Altitude/Power Wind Gen III Photovoltaic (PV)

Large-Scale Storage

Technology innovation in the next decade will be

key to ensure all options for cleaner energy

production are available in the long term.

Advanced Power Cycles(e.g., Supercritical CO2 Cycle)

Coal and Gas Carbon Capture and Sequestration

300 500 700 900 1100 1300

1800

1200

600

0

Pow

er d

ensi

ty [W

/(m µ

m)]

Si NCsEg=1.95eV

Si NCsEg=1.47eV

Si NCsEg=1.12eV

AM1.5 global


Transition to Using Cleaner Energy ~2030

Electric Vehicles

Industrial Processes Rail Electrification Heat Pumps

Advanced Energy Communities


Coming in Early 2017…Integrated Energy Network: A Pathway to the Future

Highly Connected Customer Energy

Information

More Reliable, Affordable Energy

Growing Energy-Water Interface

Reduced Environmental Footprint

Expanded Customer Choice, Dynamic and Individualized

Engagement

Cleaner, More Diverse Energy Portfolio

Increased Efficient Energy Production and

Customer End-Use

Innovative, Collaborative Thinking




Neil M. WilmshurstVice President & CNO

Nuclear Power Council Advisory MeetingSeptember 1, 2016

Business Update



Nuclear Industry…a US Perspective?

Can the future come fast enough?


Global addition to capacity in 2015 hit 10.2 gigawatts, the highest growth in 25 years

"We have never seen such an increase in nuclear capacity

addition…”

"It shows that with the right policies, nuclear capacity can increase"Fatih Birol, IEA Executive Director

A Global Perspective…


Pathway of Cleaner Electricity/Energy Generation ~2050

Source: Carbon Capture Image – htcco2systems.com; Gen IV Image – KAERI

Generation IV Nuclear(co-production – electricity, hydrogen steam)

High Altitude/Power Wind Gen III Photovoltaic (PV)

Large-Scale Storage

Technology innovation in the next decade will be

key to ensure all options for cleaner energy

production are available in the long term

Advanced Power Cycles(e.g., Supercritical CO2 Cycle)


Depth of Our Collaboration

[ ]Funding and Membership Growth Continues – 2 new full members in 2016

U.S. PARTICIPANTS

>220 reactors

NON U.S. PARTICIPANTS

20 countries

GLOBAL BREADTH & DEPTH

>75%of the world’s commercial

nuclear units

All U.S. nuclear owners/operators

100 reactors


Near Term Viability of Nuclear


Near-Term Viability of Nuclear

Maintain Operational Focus Increase Value Improve Efficiency Safety remains our top priority Advancing safety, reliability is

foundational Fundamental to continued operations

Generate additional revenue Value for unrecognized attributes Electricity market reform Clean Power Plan benefits

Industry-identified focus areas Improve efficiency of industry oversight Evaluate enablers for cost reductions Industry target: 30% cost reduction Companies determine pace/breadth of

reductions

Delivering the Nuclear Promise3 Strategic Focus Areas


Nuclear Sector’s Role in Delivering the Nuclear PromiseEPRI’s Role Focus on strong support of initiative Identification/ communication of current products that contribute to DNP Initiation of new work as needed DO NOT desire to be the public face of DNPTechnical Involvement Steering Committee: Wilmshurst/Tina Taylor Leading Preventive Maintenance Team Supporting other teams as needed (training, procurement,

maintenance, HP, etc.)Going Forward Learn where products can be made more immediately useful/ usable Look even harder for areas where technology can lead to cost reduction Look for global applicability/ communicate globally EPRI R&D program needs to be informed by DNP not driven by DNP


Nuclear Sector’s Role in Delivering the Nuclear Promise


Nuclear Sector… “owning our future”Continued Drive for Efficiency New funding model Reduced internal costs New processes (QMP etc) Consistent prioritization processesSupport viability of existing fleet Delivering the Nuclear Promise (Globally) Supporting extended operation (LTO) Continuing to resolve technical challengesUnderstanding the industry/ global relevance INPO/ NEI/ WANO IAEA OECD DOE and “GAIN”

Increasing engagement with current members Enhanced tech transfer Continually ensuring scope meets needs Direct support of new build programs Major international meetingsSMART growth Move participants to members New members New scope




Gulf Coast Renaissance

Edward Jimenez

For questions or additional information – please contact Amy Vrabely for assistance.

mailto:[email protected]


Keynote Address

Dale Prouty

For questions or additional information – please contact Amy Vrabely for assistance.

mailto:[email protected]


Continued Viabilityof Nuclear Power

Ron KingProgram Manager

Advanced Nuclear TechnologyNuclear Power Council Advisory Meeting

September 1, 2016



New Reactors Online Last 10 YearsData from International Atomic Energy Agency


New Reactor Projects Last 10 YearsData from World Nuclear Association


New Nuclear Projects Today

0/2/3

0/0/2

22/42/136

6/22/21

4/22/23

4/6/36

2/6/15

8/25/23

0/0/8

2/2/10

9/25/38

4/8/24

Data from World Nuclear Association, August 2016

Construction: 61Planned: 170Proposed: 339


New Nuclear Driven by Reliability, Markets, Resources and Uncertainty

FundamentalsBase Load

Capacity FactorFuel DiversityGrid Stability

Low Carbon FootprintPotential Flexibility

PolicyCarbon & Energy Policy

Citizen SupportFuel Cycle Policy

Nuclear Safety RegulationState Support

Utility and Market Regulation

RegionalCitizen SupportEnergy DemandFuel Resources

InfrastructureLand and Water Resources

Regional RegulationsRenewables Integration

EconomicsConstruction CostsCost of Alternatives

Financing CostsFuel Costs

Non-Fuel O&M CostsSchedule


New Nuclear on the Horizon From www.World-Nuclear-News.org


New Nuclear on the Horizon From www.World-Nuclear-News.org



Documents

Nuclear Power Council General Session - Amazon S3 · 2016. 8. 31. · (2006–2007) Scenario Planning (2012–2013) Scenario Planning Refresh ... (co-production –electricity, hydrogen