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20/01/2017 Commercial In Confidence 1 November 2016 Overview Table 1.1 Overview trends for Domestic, Export and Import trade Source: ABS SW = Shipped Weight MAT = Moving Annual Total Graph 1.1: Monthly Australian Pig Slaughtering Trends – 2012 –2016 Domestic Exports Imports Month Slaughter (000’s) Pigmeat (Tonnes) Volume Tonnes SW Value $AUD (Million) Volume Tonnes SW Value $AUD (Million) MAT Nov-16 5,091 386,018 36,314 135.7 161,995 614.0 MAT Nov-16 4,936 372,658 34,048 122.3 171,911 671.6 % Change 3.1% 3.6% 6.7% 10.9% -5.8% -8.6% Nov-16 416 31,641 2,830 11.3 15,104 59.8 Nov-15 390 28,636 2,592 10.2 12,960 51.5 % Change 6.7% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 16.5% 16.2%

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Page 1: November 2016 - Australian Porkaustralianpork.com.au/.../uploads/2017/01/...2016.pdf · November 2016 Overview . Table 1.1 Overview trends for Domestic, Export and Import trade

20/01/2017 Commercial In Confidence 1

November 2016 Overview Table 1.1 Overview trends for Domestic, Export and Import trade

Source: ABS SW = Shipped Weight MAT = Moving Annual Total Graph 1.1: Monthly Australian Pig Slaughtering Trends – 2012 –2016

Domestic Exports Imports

Month Slaughter (000’s)

Pigmeat (Tonnes)

Volume Tonnes

SW

Value $AUD

(Million)

Volume Tonnes

SW

Value $AUD

(Million)

MAT Nov-16 5,091 386,018 36,314

135.7 161,995

614.0

MAT Nov-16 4,936 372,658 34,048 122.3 171,911 671.6

% Change 3.1% 3.6% 6.7% 10.9% -5.8% -8.6%

Nov-16 416 31,641 2,830 11.3 15,104 59.8

Nov-15 390 28,636 2,592 10.2 12,960 51.5

% Change 6.7% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 16.5% 16.2%

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Production

Table 2.1: Australian slaughter and production trends November 2016 and Comparison to November 2015

Graph 2.1: Monthly and MAT Pig Slaughter Numbers November 2011 to November 2016

Graph 2.2: Monthly & MAT Australian Pig Meat Production November 2011 to November 2016

Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Month Monthly (000’s)

MAT (000’s)

Monthly (Tonnes)

MAT (Tonnes)

Monthly kg/head

12 month Avg. kg/head

Nov-16

416 5,091 31,641 386,018 76.1 75.8

Nov-15 390 4,936 28,636 372,658 73.5 75.5

% Change 6.7% 3.1% 10.5% 3.6% 3.5% 0.4%

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Table 2.2: Slaughtering by Type – MAT November 2016 and comparison to MAT November 2015 Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Nov 16 MAT (000s) % Change vs. YA

MAT (Tonnes)

% Change vs. YA

12 Month Avg.

kg/Head

Change vs. YA

(kg/Head)

Porkers 252 -22.8% 13,779 -21.0% 54.6 2.0%

Baconers 4,650 4.6% 352,221 5.8% 75.6 1.1%

Sows 111 0.4% 17,213 0.3% 154.9 0.0%

Other Pigs 77 43.8% 2,815 -46.7% 38.1 -64.8%

Graph 2.3: Australian Sow Slaughtering Trend – November 2011 to November 2016

Table 2.3: Monthly Slaughtering Comparison YOY 2010–2016

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2010 329.9 344.7 415.8 367.5 399.1 406.8 409.0 388.3 404.0 352.1 376.6 422.8

2011 336.8 347.8 411.1 361.3 419.2 413.9 390.8 415.3 396.2 361.9 389.8 418.7

2012 363.3 385.5 404.9 367.0 439.2 399.9 402.0 401.3 366.9 400.9 393.9 403.3

2013 378.5 370.3 391.3 398.1 447.6 391.3 438.7 406.3 385.3 389.4 376.1 404.4

2014 385.6 372.0 397.3 382.4 428.5 412.1 428.2 391.7 413.4 406.5 370.9 422.9

2015 381.1 393.2 441.2 409.1 429.6 436.2 429.6 393.8 419.8 389.4 389.7 444.7

2016 363.2 411.7 435.1 421.8 445.0 455.7 425.9 449.1 426.2 396.3 416.0 0.0

% Chg 10/11 2.1% 0.9% -1.1% -1.7% 5.0% 1.8% -4.5% 7.0% -1.9% 2.8% 3.5% -1.0%

% Chg 11/12 7.9% 10.8% -1.5% 1.6% 4.8% -3.4% 2.9% -3.4% -7.4% 10.8% 1.0% -3.7%

% Chg 12/13 4.2% -3.9% -3.3% 8.5% 1.9% -2.2% 9.1% 1.2% 5.0% -2.9% -4.5% 0.3%

% Chg 13/14 1.9% 0.5% 1.5% -3.9% -4.3% 5.3% -2.4% -3.6% 7.3% 4.4% -1.4% 4.6%

% Chg 14/15 -1.2% 5.7% 11.0% 7.0% 0.3% 5.9% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% -4.2% 5.1% 5.2%

% Chg 15/16 -4.7% 4.7% -1.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% -0.9% 14.0% 1.5% 1.8% 6.7% -100.0%

Monthly Slaughterings (000's)

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Graph 2.4: Slaughtering by State

Table 2.4: Slaughtering by State – MAT November 2016 and comparison to MAT November 2015

Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Nov 16 MAT (000s)

% Change vs. YA

MAT (Tonnes)

% Change vs. YA

12 Month Avg. (kg/Head)

Change vs. YA (kg/Head)

NSW 818 -2.6% 59,771 -1.2% 73.1 1.5%

VIC 1151 1.6% 88,245 1.6% 76.7 -0.1%

QLD 1128 1.5% 88,350 -0.5% 78.3 -1.9%

SA 1264 6.8% 95,950 8.4% 75.9 1.5%

WA 695 9.8% 51,480 12.3% 74.1 2.3%

TAS 35 1.0% 2,229 5.1% 63.3 4.0%

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Exports

Table 3.1: Australian Farmed Pig Exports – November 2016 comparison to November 2015

Graph 3.1: Volume of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – November 2011 to November 2016

Graph 3.2: Value of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – November 2011 to November 2016

Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Month Monthly (000’s)

MAT (000’s)

Monthly (million)

MAT (million)

Monthly $A/kg

12 month Avg. $A/kg

Nov-16 2,830

36,314 11.3 135.7 $3.99 $3.77

Nov-15 2,592 34,048 10.2 122.3 $3.95 $3.61

% Change 9.2% 6.7% 10.3% 10.9% 1.0% 4.6%

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Table 3.2: Australian Pig Exports by Key Export Countries – MAT Nov 2016 comparison to MAT Nov 2015 Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Nov 16 MAT (000’s)

% Change vs. YA

MAT (million)

% Change vs. YA

MAT Avg. $A/KG

% Change vs. YA

Singapore 14,748 8.2% 77.8 22.3% $5.28 12.9%

New Zealand 4,092 -12.4% 13.6 -26.7% $3.45 -19.0%

Hong Kong 3,654 6.5% 12.3 29.6% $3.43 19.7%

Philippines 4,888 48.7% 6.0 52.0% $1.24 3.1%

Papua New Guinea 4,012 -8.1% 10.6 -30.0% $2.77 -21.4%

Graph 3.3: Percentage Volume Share of Farmed Exports by Country – MAT to November 2016

Table 3.3: Farmed Exports by State of Origin – MAT November 2016 Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Nov 16 MAT (000’s)

% Change vs. YA

MAT (000’s)

% Change vs. YA

MAT Avg. $A/kg

% Change vs. YA

NSW 7,893 23.7% 27,396 18.8% $3.47 -4.0%

VIC 7,663 -7.3% 33,795 11.4% $4.41 20.2%

QLD 4,432 -28.2% 11,648 -40.8% $2.63 -17.5%

SA 7,140 67.2% 23,162 82.1% $3.24 8.9%

WA 8,524 14.4% 37,563 14.8% $4.41 0.4%

NT 169.0 -60.6% 423 -39.4% $2.51 53.9%

Re-Export 481 -55.4% 1,680 -45.6% $3.49 21.8%

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Export Breakdown by Month Table 3.4: Exports by Country November 2016 comparison to November 2015

Australian Exports by Destination

Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)

Nov-15 Nov-16

% Change vs. YA Nov-15 Nov-16

% Change vs. YA

Singapore

1,048.1 1,241.5 18% 5,407.5 6,509.6 20%

New Zealand 324.9 229.3 -29% 1,012.7 960.6 -5%

Papua New Guinea 300.2 313.9 5% 1,155.3 939.6 -19%

Hong Kong (Sar of China) 376.7 161.6 -57% 1,065.8 722.5 -32%

Fiji 20.9 55.2 165% 213.4 414.7 94%

Philippines 194.8 314.9 62% 264.0 394.4 49%

Viet Nam 79.7 265.7 234% 107.6 358.7 233%

Japan 54.2 44.2 -18% 259.7 345.9 33%

Malaysia 29.1 57.2 97% 61.2 117.0 91%

Taiwan 0.0 5.1 0.0 96.1

Solomon Islands 5.5 8.8 61% 59.6 78.4 31%

Korea, Republic of 0.6 38.3 5832% 14.9 77.0 415%

New Caledonia 38.6 10.3 -73% 226.3 74.6 -67%

China (excluding SARs and Taiwan) 73.3 47.8 -35% 72.0 50.4 -30%

Kuwait 0.0 8.6 0.0 49.8

Samoa 6.0 19.1 219% 10.0 32.8 228%

Vanuatu 0.5 2.6 428% 3.8 22.6 502%

Norfolk Island 0.2 1.6 722% 2.0 11.0 439%

Nauru 22.4 2.0 -91% 178.3 8.6 -95%

Christmas Island 0.0 0.6 0.0 7.1

Maldives 0.3 0.4 41% 2.7 6.6 148%

Kiribati 2.3 0.5 -78% 13.3 5.5 -59%

Myanmar, Republic of 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7

Saudi Arabia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9

Italy 11.6 0.0 -100% 70.9 0.0 -100%

Bangladesh 1.2 0.0 -100% 17.8 0.0 -100%

Timor-Leste 0.7 0.0 -100% 11.4 0.0 -100%

Sri Lanka 0.4 0.0 -100% 6.1 0.0 -100%

Grand Total 2,592.2 2,829.5 9% 10,236.4 11,286.0 10%

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Imports

Table 4.1: Australian Pig Imports – November 2016 comparison to November 2015

Graph 4.1: Volume of Australian Pork Imports Monthly and MAT – November 2011 to November 2016

Table 4.2: Australian Imports by Key Import Countries – MAT Nov 2016 comparison to MAT Nov 2015 Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Nov-16 MAT (000’s)

% Change vs. YA

MAT (million)

% Change vs. YA

MAT Avg. $A/kg

% Change vs. YA

USA 59,345 10.7% 214.5 3.6% $3.61 -6.4%

Denmark 55,666 -6.7% 209.1 -9.7% $3.76 -3.3%

Canada 18,673 -35.3% 67.4 -34.2% $3.61 1.7%

Netherlands 14,304 -19.9% 47.7 -25.3% $3.34 -6.7%

Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Month Monthly (000’s)

MAT (000’s)

Monthly (million)

MAT (million)

Monthly $A/kg

12 month Avg.

$A/kg

Nov-16

15,104

161,995 59.8 614.0 $3.96 $3.79

Nov-15 12,960 171,911 51.5 671.6 $3.97 $3.91

% Change 16.5% -5.8% 16.2% -8.6% -0.3% -3.0%

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Graph 4.2: Australian Monthly Pork Import Volume Trends – 2012–2016

Graph 4.3: Australian Import Volume Share by Country – Financial Year Comparison

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Import Breakdown by Month

Table 4.3: Imports by Origin November 2016 comparison to November 2015 Australian Imports by Destination

Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)

Nov-15 Nov-16 % Change

vs. YA Nov-15 Nov-16 % Change

vs. YA

United States of America 3469.9 5030.2 45.0% 12997.2 18672.3 43.7%

Denmark 5242.5 6114.8 16.6% 19981.3 23103.5 15.6%

Netherlands 1006.6 883.8 -12.2% 3134.2 3374.5 7.7%

Canada 1360.0 1836.7 35.1% 4824.8 6297.3 30.5%

Italy 113.1 140.3 24.1% 2385.2 2804.1 17.6%

Spain 122.6 164.5 34.2% 2122.1 1671.3 -21.2%

Ireland 1228.4 404.9 -67.0% 4485.5 1588.4 -64.6%

Belgium 355.0 434.5 22.4% 1250.1 1493.1 19.4%

New Zealand 2.1 36.9 1620.9% 31.7 503.6 1488.3%

China (excluding SARs and Taiwan) 30.6 21.9 -28.3% 139.7 99.6 -28.7%

Germany 0.0 18.5 0.0 86.0

Taiwan 1.7 5.4 225.0% 34.1 88.9 160.4%

France 0.0 0.7 0.0 7.9

Korea, Republic of 3.0 0.0 -100.0% 24.8 0.0 -100.0%

Croatia 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.6

Romania 0.0 8.8 0.0 35.5

Grand Total 12959.7 15103.7 16.5% 51492.7 59834.9 16.2%

Disclaimer: The information contained in this report cannot be forwarded to, or used by, any third party without prior written consent from Australian Pork Limited (APL). This information has been collected and processed by APL and has not been prepared for any particular individual or entity. The information contained in the report Octember not be an accurate reflection of market prices or of changes in market prices. The report does not constitute a recommendation by, or opinion of, APL. While APL has no reason to believe that the information contained in this report is inaccurate, APL is unable to guarantee the accuracy of the information at any point in time and, subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, accepts no responsibility for loss suffered as a result of any party’s reliance on the accuracy or currency of the content of this report. The information contained in the report should not be relied upon for any purpose, including as a substitute for professional advice. Nothing within the report constitutes an express or implied warranty, or representation, with respect to any future matter or as to the value of or demand for any good.