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COUNTY OF SANTA CRUZ 0295
PLANNING DEPARTMENT701 OCEAN STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SANTA CRUZ, CA 95060
(831) 454-2580 FAX: (831) 454-2131 TDD: (831) 454-2123
KATHLEEN MOLLOY PREVISICH, PLANNING DIRECTOR
November 17, 2010 AGENDA DATE: December 7,2010
Board of SupervisorsCounty of Santa Cruz701 Ocean StreetSanta Cruz, CA 95060
SUBJECT: Release of AMBAG's Public Review Draft Monterey Bay Regional BlueprintPlan entitled "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area"
Members of the Board:
Over the past several years Association of Monterey Bay Area Governments (AMBAG) hasbeen carrying out a long-range visioning and planning process - the Monterey Bay RegionalBlueprint Program - that identifies potential future land use patterns and transportationnetworks that would lead to reduced future Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT), with a resultingreduction in transportation generated air pollutants, including lower Greenhouse Gas (GHG)emissions. The Blueprint planning process is a statewide effort funded by CalTrans, which hasbeen carried out and completed over the past several years in several other metropolitanregions of the State. In our region it is being carried out by AMBAG.
AMBAG has recently released the Public Review Draft of "Envisioning the Monterey BayArea", the regional "Blueprint" planning document for our area. The document describes along-range land use strategy that would achieve a more environmentally and economicallysustainable future for the three county region consisting of Santa Cruz, Monterey and SanBenito countißs, if implemented as an alternative to the status quo growth pattern that will likelyoccur given the current general plans of the region's cities and counties. The Public ReviewDraft (but not the Technical Appendix) is attached as Attachment 1. It is also available at:http://www.ambag.org/programs/blueprint/blueprint/index.html). Comments on this draftdocument are due to AMBAG on December 15, 2010.
While participation in the regional Blueprint program, and adherence to its recommendations,is voluntary, it is anticipated that the alternative growth scenario presented in this draftBlueprint document will provide the framework for the region's Sustainable CommunityStrategy required under SB 375 "Addressing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from theTransportation Sector via Regional Transportation Plans", which could affect future CountyGeneral Plan updates. See Attachment 2 for a summary of SB 375.
DISCUSSION
The Blueprint planning process and the "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area" document arebased on existing city and county general plans and city spheres of influence, which haveJ ;/1
Release of AMBAG's Draft Regional Blueprint PlanBoard of Supervisors Agenda: December 7,2010Page 2 of 3
-03780296
shaped the regional vision regarding where and how the Monterey Bay region will grow in thecoming decades. County Planning staff has been participating in AMBAG's Blueprint-relatedplanning efforts over the past three years. In 2007, AMBAG collaborated with all 21jurisdictions in Monterey, Santa Cruz and San Benito Counties on the update of the AMBAGregional population, housing and employment forecast out to the year 2035. The 2007 AMBAGforecast was then used as the basis for alternative land use/growth scenarios in the Blueprintplanning process. Three progressively more VMT-reducing alternative scenarios, in addition tothe status quo "Current Growth Pattern" scenario, were computer-modeled and analyzed aspart of this process. After the AMBAG Board of Directors voted, on August 23, 2010, torecommend the State adopt a regional 2020 GHG emission goal (for the transportation sectoronly) of a 0% increase from 2005 per capita emission levels, and a 5% reduction by 2035, itwas determined that only one of the three modeled alternative land use/growth scenarios couldachieve the GHG reduction goal. This scenario, dubbed the "Sustainable Growth Pattern"scenario, was then selected as the scenario presented in the "Envisioning the Monterey BayArea" document to be contrasted against the "Current Growth Pattern" scenario.
Development of the "Sustainable Growth Pattern" scenario involved identification of a variety offuture transportation options and a range of housing choices to support the region's populationand employment growth over the next 25-years. As required by CalTrans, this scenario alsoaddresses other major regional concerns such as agricultural and natural habitat conservationwhile meeting the goal of reducing VMT and GHG emissions.
As part of the Blueprint process, AMBAG conducted a series of workshops in Summer/Fall2009 to gain input from the public and stakeholder groups. The results of surveys taken at theend of these workshops are presented throughout the "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area"document (and especially the Technical Appendices).
Staff has reviewed the draft document and has mostly minor suggestions for changes. ThePlanning Department will transmit its suggested edits and other changes to AMBAG by theDecember 15, 2010 comment deadline.
RECOMMENDATION
It is RECOMMENDED that your Board accept and file this informational report and authorizePlanning Department staff to submit their comments regarding suggested format and textedits, along with any other comments the Board may wish to make, by the December 15, 2010comment deadline.
Sin&kcr Iy, ()
f1. lffì~Kathy M. revisichPlanning Director
~ 31
Release of AMBAG's Draft Regional Blueprint PlanBoard of Supervisors Agenda: December 7,2010Page 3 of 3
~ 0297
Attachments:
1. Public Review Draft of "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area" document (not including
Technical Appendices)
2. Summary of SB 375 prepared by the Calif. State Assoc. of Counties (CSAC)
KP:PL:fb\G:\Board Letters\Pending\Release of Draft AMBAG Blueprint Plan.doc
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PROJECT STAFF
Ran
dy D
esha
zo, P
roje
ct M
anag
er. P
rinc
ipal
Pla
nner
John
Dou
ghty
, Exe
cutiv
e D
irect
or
Bhu
pend
ra P
atel
, PhD
, Sen
ior
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Mod
eler
Ste
pti A
. Nel
son,
Ass
ocia
te P
lann
er
Lin
da M
ecke
l, Pl
anne
r
Ana
is S
chen
k, P
lann
er
Sash
a T
eped
elen
ova,
Pla
nner
Spec
ial T
hank
s to
Mik
e Po
godz
insk
L P
hD, S
an J
ose
Stat
e U
nive
rsity
and
Sar
ah B
land
. Dep
artm
ent o
f Hou
sing
and
Urb
an D
evel
opm
ent
Previous Policy Group & Staff Contributors:
Kat
ie A
xt, A
MB
AG
Dav
id J
olin
ston
. AM
BA
G
Dav
id R
oem
er, A
MB
AG
Tor
n B
urns
, San
ta C
ruz
Cou
nty
Bill
Far
ell,
City
of
Gon
zale
s
Bar
bara
Nel
son,
City
of
Seas
ide
Bob
Ric
helie
u, C
ity o
f Sa
linas
. Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea:
A B
luep
rint t
or S
usta
inal
Je G
row
th a
ndSmart Infrastrtcture was funded by
a gr
ant f
rom
(al
lrans
.
Pub
lic R
elea
se D
RA
FT
Doc
umen
t
EN
VIS
ION
ING
THE MONTEREY BAY AREA
A B
luep
rint
for
Sus
tain
able
Gro
wth
and
Sm
art I
nfra
stru
ctur
e
The
Blu
eprin
t is
(Jr
advi
sory
fact
-fin
ding
doc
umen
t and
is in
dra
ft fo
rm. P
ubtc
com
men
ts a
re w
etco
me
thro
ugh
Dec
embe
r 75
th o
f 20
70. W
ritte
n co
mm
ents
may
be submitted to us through our website, by em
ailin
g in
fo@
o(lb
olJ.
org,
by
mai
ting
or f
axiig
them
to u
s at
:
Blu
epri
nt C
omm
ents
AM
BA
G
PO B
ox 8
09
Marina, CA 93933
Fax
: 837
.883
.755
I ~ ~ ..or
N \Q \Q
RE
GIO
NA
L B
LU
EPR
INT
PO
LIC
Y G
RO
UP
Mar
icru
z A
guila
r, C
ity o
f Kin
g
Fra
nk B
arro
n, S
anta
Cru
z C
ount
y *
Tay
lor
Bat
eman
, City
of S
cotts
Val
ley
Grace Blakeslee, SCCRTC*
Kei
th B
oyle
, City
of W
atso
nvill
e
Eliz
abet
h C
arak
er, C
ity o
f M
onte
rey
Kim
berl
y C
ole,
City
of
Mon
tere
y*
Chr
isti
di lo
rio,
City
of
Mar
ina
George Dondero, SCCRTC
Dav
id F
airc
hild
, MB
UA
PC
D
Dav
id F
oste
r, C
ity o
f C
apito
la
Eric
h F
riedr
ich,
San
ta C
ruz
Met
ro
Mik
e G
alla
nt, M
onte
rey
Salin
as T
rans
it
Jean
Get
chel
l, M
BU
AP
CD
Mar
y G
ilber
t, S
an B
enito
CO
G*
Jam
ie G
olds
tein
, City
of C
apito
la
Deb
bie
Hal
e, T
AM
C
Sar
ah H
ardg
rave
, City
of P
acifi
c G
rove
Susa
n H
ilins
ki, C
ity o
f So
leda
d
Gle
nda
Hill
, San
ta C
ruz
Cou
nty
Tar
a H
ullin
ger,
City
of
Salin
as
Der
ek J
ohns
on, C
ity o
f Cap
itola
Mic
hael
Kel
ly, S
an B
enito
Cou
nty*
Ala
na K
nast
er, M
onte
rey
Cou
nty
Cla
rk L
arso
n, C
ity o
f Sea
side
*
Dor
een
Libe
rto
Bla
nc, C
ity o
f Kin
g
Ste
ve M
atar
azzo
, San
d C
ity
Thomas McCue, LAFCO: Monterey
Kat
e M
cKen
na, L
AF
CO
: Mon
tere
y
Pat McCormick, LAFCO: Santa Cruz
Ste
ve M
cHar
ris, C
ity o
f Sol
edad
Rachel Moriconi, SCCRTC
Tod
d M
uck,
TA
MC
*
Larr
y P
agel
er, U
C S
anta
Cru
z*
Ma
ry P
axto
n, C
ity o
f H
o lli
ster
Kat
hlee
n P
revi
sich
, San
ta C
ruz
Cou
nty
Julia
na R
ebag
liati,
City
of
Sant
a C
ruz
Lisa
Rhe
inhe
imer
, San
Ben
ito C
OG
*
Jam
es S
erra
no, C
ity o
f Sal
inas
Bre
nt S
lam
a, C
ity o
f Gre
enfie
ld
Mat
thew
Sun
dt, C
ity o
f Sa
n Ju
an B
autis
ta
The
resa
Szy
man
is, C
ity o
f Mar
ina
Ken
Tho
mas
, City
of S
anta
Cru
z
Julie
Ure
tsky
, City
of
Paci
fic
Gro
ve
Mar
c W
iene
r, C
ity o
f C
arm
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Les
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anta
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Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
is a
bout
exp
andi
ng h
ousi
ng a
nd
tran
spor
tatio
n ch
oice
s. G
iven
lim
ited
and
shri
nkin
g re
sour
ces,
it is
also
abo
ut m
akin
g tr
ade-
offs
.
Ano
ther
key
fin
ding
fro
m th
e fo
reca
st is
that
, con
sist
ent w
ith n
atio
nal
trends, the population of
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
is a
ging
. Com
poun
ded
with
a p
oten
tially
spr
awlin
g fu
ture
pat
tern
of g
row
th, t
hese
tren
ds w
illin
crea
se c
onge
stio
n an
d gr
eenh
ouse
gas
em
issi
ons
and
the
fisca
l gap
sbe
twee
n in
fras
truc
ture
nee
ds a
nd it
s pr
ovis
ion
will
wid
en.
Building on a series of "what if" kinds of questions and using
soph
istic
ated
mod
elin
g te
chni
ques
, AM
BA
G h
as d
evel
oped
a p
oten
tial
alte
rnat
ive
to th
e fo
reca
sted
cur
rent
gro
wth
pat
tern
, cal
led
the
Sust
aina
ble
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
.
Wha
t doe
s a
mor
e S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rn lo
ok li
ke?
Few
er p
eopl
e w
ould
be
driv
ing
alon
e in
thei
r ca
rs, a
nd s
tuck
on
the
high
way
s. M
ore
peop
le w
ould
be
out o
n th
e st
reet
s w
alki
ng,
biki
ng a
nd ta
king
tran
sit t
o w
ork,
sch
ool a
nd p
lay.
Mor
e ac
tive
neig
hbor
hood
cen
ters
whe
re p
eopl
e ca
n ea
sily
wal
k or
bik
e fr
om h
ome
to r
esta
uran
ts, w
ork,
sch
ool,
com
mun
ityce
nter
s an
d pa
rks.
Sm
arte
r ne
ighb
orho
od d
esig
n th
at fo
cuse
s on
wal
kabl
e, b
ikea
ble
stre
ets
and
com
mer
cial
and
hou
sing
den
sitie
s th
at c
an s
uppo
rthi
gh q
ualit
y tr
ansi
t ser
vice
s.
Bot
h th
e C
urre
nt G
row
th P
atte
rn a
nd th
e Su
stai
nabl
e G
row
th P
atte
rnar
e br
oadl
y co
nsis
tent
with
loca
l Gen
eral
Pla
ns. T
hose
pla
ns a
re f
lexi
ble
enou
gh f
or g
row
th to
occ
ur a
s fo
reca
sted
or
mor
e su
stai
nabl
y. T
hedi
ffere
nce
betw
een
the
two
depe
nds
on a
will
ingn
ess
amon
g th
ere
gion
's c
omm
uniti
es to
pla
n co
llabo
r~tiv
ely
on s
peci
fic
goal
s.
Wor
king
with
loca
l gov
ernm
ents
and
oth
er a
genc
ies,
as
wel
l as
with
the
gene
ral p
ublic
, Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
lays
out
a r
egio
nal
Pop
ulat
ion
vs. V
MT
Gro
wth
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
2005
-203
5; U
nite
d S
tate
s 19
70-2
000
and
1960
-200
7S
ourc
e: A
MB
AG
, Moi
itere
y B
ay A
rea
2008
Reg
iona
l Fo,
ecas
t; A
MB
AG
Reg
iono
l Tra
vel D
eman
d M
odel
; Fed
eml H
ighw
ay
Adm
inis
trat
ion;
US
Cen
sus
Bur
eau
Mon
tere
y . 2
4%B
ayA
tea
2005
-203
5
Uni
ted
Stat
es .
38%
1970
-200
0
Uni
td S
tate
s . 6
7%19
60-2
007_
. Population I Vehicle Miles Traveled
Per
cent
Cha
nge
in D
aily
Per
Cap
ita G
reen
hous
e G
as E
mis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
truc
ks f
rom
200
5 in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
08 R
egio
nal F
orec
ast;
AM
BA
G R
egio
nal T
rave
l Dem
and
Mod
el; C
alifo
mia
Air
Res
ourc
es B
oard
13.7
%
1.1% -
II 2035 Current Growth Patterns
. 2035 Sustainable Growt Patterns
2035
Reg
iona
l GH
G T
arge
t
~
ã Ii ~
7
-5%
..o I.
'Dem
ogra
phic
and
em
ploy
men
t inf
orm
atio
n in
this
doc
umen
t is
draw
n fr
om th
e of
fiial
Mot
erey
Bay
Are
a 20
08 R
egio
nal F
orec
ast,
prod
uced
by
AM
AG
and
ado
pted
by
the
AM
AG
Bor
d of
Dire
ctor
s on
Jun
e 11
, 200
8. ~
~ '-
8 Exew(¡ve Siiiimory
GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
pres
ents
a r
egio
nal v
isio
n fo
r th
e co
mm
uniti
es o
f Mon
tere
y, S
anBenito and Santa Cruz Counties.
It is
a b
luep
rint f
or b
oth
"sm
art g
row
th"
and
"sm
art i
nfra
stru
ctur
e."
o \. o .p
l.. ..
long
-ran
ge s
trat
egy
for
atta
inin
g th
is P
atte
rn o
ver
the
next
twen
ty-
five
year
s. T
his
docu
men
t inc
orpo
rate
s fe
edba
ck fr
om b
oth
the
publ
icse
ctor
and
nea
rly
700
resi
dent
s fr
om a
cros
s th
e re
gion
who
par
ticip
ated
in workshops and on-line surveys over the course of
the
last
yea
r.*
On
Mar
ch 1
1, 2
009,
the
AM
BA
G B
oard
of D
irect
ors
adop
ted
Goa
ls a
ndO
bjec
tives
for
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea.
Tho
se G
oals
and
Obj
ectiv
es a
re s
how
n on
the
left.
Thi
s N
ovem
ber
2010
Pub
lic R
elea
seD
raft
Doc
umen
t of
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
prec
edes
AMBAG Board of
Directors consideration of
the
final
ver
sion
in F
ebru
ary
of 2
011.
Com
men
ts r
ecei
ved
from
the
publ
ic th
roug
hout
the
mon
ths
of
Nov
embe
r an
d D
ecem
ber
will
hel
p co
mpl
ete
the
final
doc
umen
t.
Whi
le E
nvis
ioni
ng th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a is
not
legi
slat
ivel
y bi
ndin
gup
on th
e re
gion
or
loca
l com
mun
ities
, the
Blu
eprin
t doe
s id
entif
y be
stpr
actic
es w
hich
cou
ld b
e va
luab
le to
loca
l gov
ernm
ents
in th
eir
own
loca
l pla
nnin
g ef
fort
s. R
ecen
t Sta
te g
rant
opp
ortu
nitie
s ha
ve r
eque
sted
docu
men
tatio
n re
gard
ing
loca
l pro
posa
l con
sist
ency
with
an
adop
ted
regi
onal
Blu
eprin
t. A
dopt
ing
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
will
mak
e th
e re
gion
mor
e co
mpe
titiv
e fo
r gr
ant f
undi
ng.
Mos
t im
port
antly
, Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
wil
lay
the
foun
datio
n fo
r th
e Su
stai
nabl
e C
omm
uniti
es S
trat
egy
(SC
S) f
or th
eM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a, w
hich
will
be
adop
ted
in la
te 2
012
or 2
013.
Eac
hM
etro
polit
an P
lann
ing
Org
aniz
atio
n (M
PO
) in
Cal
iforn
ia is
res
pons
ible
,pu
rsua
nt to
sta
tute
, for
dev
elop
ing
an S
CS
that
dem
onst
rate
s ho
w,
thro
ugh
mor
e ef
fcie
nt c
oord
inat
ion
of la
nd u
se d
ecis
ions
and
tran
spor
tatio
n in
vest
men
ts, e
ach
regi
on c
an r
educ
e pe
r ca
pita
gree
nhou
se g
as e
mis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
truc
ks.
The
Cal
iforn
ia A
ir R
esou
rces
Boa
rd a
dopt
ed r
egio
nal t
arge
ts fo
r ea
chmetropolitan region on September 30, 2010. The Monterey Bay Area
rece
ived
a f
airl
y m
odes
t tar
get o
f re
duci
ng p
er c
apita
gre
enho
use
emissions levels 5% below 2005
leve
ls b
y 20
35.
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
is th
e sy
nthe
sis
of a
wid
e ar
ray
ofda
ta, a
naly
sis
and
publ
ic in
put t
hat w
ill b
e he
lpfu
l in
prep
arin
g th
eS
CS
. Thi
s st
rate
gy w
ill h
elp
our
regi
on r
educ
e pe
r ca
pita
gre
enho
use
emissions. There will be further opportunities for public participation in
the
deve
lopm
ent o
f th
e SC
S ov
er th
e co
urse
of
the
next
two
year
s as
part
of
the
long
ran
ge tr
ansp
orta
tion
plan
ning
pro
cess
.
ce. ..
'Ful
l sur
vey
resu
lts a
re a
vaila
ble
in T
echn
ical
App
endi
x G
.
9
Pho
to S
ourc
e: A
MB
AG
.
In Ii
iI' s
umm
ei (
Jiid
lali
(112
0 A
iiWA
G u
indl
lUed
colli:'! lept!l)(uk lrom nearly iou
(1.
Who
Res
pond
ed to
AM
BA
G's
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t Sur
vey?
The
maj
ority
of
surv
ey p
artic
ipan
ts d
rive
a lo
ne to
wor
k or
sch
ool e
very
day,
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
010
Reg
iono
l Blu
eprin
t Sur
vey
I do
not h
ave
a jo
b 10
%
Wal
korb
ike
12%
Driv
ealo
ne 6
5%
Publ
ic t
rans
it 1%
~ '~ ê"~~ ,;~ ~ 0 V
o
.. ~
~
10 D
i'hfìi
iiq th
e ts
sun:
Cur
ren(
(;r
oltil
J¡ f\
¡Ju'
!I\
~ l- "In (Owmimi¡Íeslike 011fS, our índl/tiy and job
mii'
t wor
k w
here
we
live
or th
e do
llars
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s
Aio
iiter
ey B
ay4r
ea
The Monterey Bay Area Urban Footprint 2005-2035
Dat
a S
ourc
e: C
A D
ept o
f Con
serv
atio
n F
arm
land
Map
ping
and
MO
nito
ring
Pro
gram
, AM
BA
G 2
010
TO
DA
Y
2035
: CU
RR
EN
T G
RO
WT
H P
AT
TE
RN
S
t. '
..,¡
.. .o V
o o Q\
~..
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
expl
ores
opp
ortu
nitie
sto mitigate the impact of our unsustainable consumption of
limited resources.
As
such
, AM
BA
G fo
reca
sts
that
VM
T in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
will
gro
wne
arly
thre
e tim
es a
s fa
st a
s ou
r po
pula
tion
thro
ugh
2035
. Thi
s tr
end
isla
rgel
y in
fluen
ced
by a
n em
ergi
ng p
oten
tial s
praw
ling
grow
th p
atte
rnin
whi
ch r
esid
entia
l are
as a
re d
evel
oped
far
aw
ay f
rom
em
ploy
men
tce
nter
s an
d ot
her
activ
ities
suc
h as
sho
ppin
g, r
ecre
atio
n an
d hi
gher
educ
atio
n.
Thi
s po
tent
ial g
row
th p
atte
rn th
reat
ens
our
regi
on's
wat
er s
uppl
y, o
pen
spac
e an
d ag
ricu
ltura
l lan
d, r
esul
ts in
con
gest
ion
on o
ur r
oadw
ays,
incr
ease
d gr
eenh
ouse
gas
em
issi
ons
and
a de
clin
e in
pub
lic h
ealth
.
Whe
ther
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
grow
s ju
st a
s re
gion
al f
orec
asts
pred
ict o
r w
heth
er r
esul
ts w
ill v
ary,
AM
BA
G is
cer
tain
that
the
regi
on's
population will grow, that the aging of
the
US
popu
latio
n ha
s pa
rtic
ular
rele
vanc
e to
our
reg
ion,
and
that
pro
vidi
ng li
ving
wag
e jo
bs to
our
resi
dent
s w
ill c
ontin
ue to
be
a ch
alle
nge.
AM
BA
G is
als
o ce
rtai
n th
atth
e re
gion
can
cha
nge
the
way
in w
hich
it is
gro
win
g.
The
se c
halle
nges
are
dis
cuss
ed in
mor
e de
tail
over
the
cour
se o
f th
ene
xt f
ew p
ages
.
Pop
ulat
ion
Tre
nds
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a
Ove
rall,
pop
ulat
ion
grow
th in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
has
been
and
is a
ntic
ipat
ed to
be
slow
to m
oder
ate
whe
n co
mpa
red
to th
e re
stof
Cal
iforn
ia. A
ver
y si
gnifi
cant
em
erge
nt tr
end
is th
e pr
ofou
ndly
impo
rtan
t ris
e in
ret
irem
ent a
ge p
eopl
e liv
ing
in o
ur r
egio
n. N
ot o
nly
does
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
attr
act r
etire
men
t age
peo
ple
from
all
over
the
Uni
ted
Sta
tes,
a v
ery
larg
e pr
opor
tion
of th
e B
aby
Boo
mer
gene
ratio
n in
this
reg
ion
wil
be r
etir
ing
in th
e co
min
g ye
ars.
~ ~
Pop
ulat
ion
VS
. VM
T G
row
thM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
05-2
035
Uni
ted
Stat
es 1
970-
2000
and
196
0-20
07
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
08 R
egio
nal F
orec
ast;
AM
BA
G R
egio
nal T
rave
l Dem
and
Mod
el; F
eder
al H
ighw
ay
Adm
inis
trat
ion;
US
Cen
sus
Bur
eau
Mon
tere
y . 2
4%8a
yAre
a10
0S-1
0JS
Uni
ted
Stat
es .
38%
1970
-100
0
Uni
ted
Stat
es .
67%
1960
-100
7_. Population
Veh
icle
Mile
s T
rave
led
Incr
ease
in P
opul
atio
n 65
yrs
+M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a, 2
005-
2035
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
08 R
egio
nal F
orec
ast
Net
lnae
ase
Per
(ent
IlX
reas
e
1,00 80
0.; § 60
:; ~ 40
200 o
150%
100%
,.. .
50%
__0%
~ :x :a
~
.. :=0
..V
J 0 -i..
- . Pop 65 years of age and over
Pop
unde
r 65
yea
rs o
f ag
e
11
12 D
efjn
inq
,he
Issu
es: C
urlfi
it G
row
th P
OItC
liS
r
~ .4
1,~
,.¡4
HO
USI
NG
CH
OIC
E:
Wha
t Typ
es o
f H
ousi
ng A
re A
vaila
ble
to M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a R
esid
ents
?
2005
Hou
sing
Sto
ckS
ourc
e: C
A D
epar
tmen
t of
Fin
ance
201
0; A
MB
AG
201
0
2005
..in
thou
sand
s of
uni
ts
Agi
ng a
nd it
s Fi
scal
Con
sequ
ence
s fo
r T
rans
port
atio
n In
fras
truc
ture
With
the
agin
g of
the
"Bab
y B
oom
" ge
nera
tion
a w
ave
of n
atio
nal
hous
ehol
d sp
endi
ng a
ctiv
ity th
at b
egan
in th
e la
te 1
940s
is p
eaki
ng.
Afte
r th
e av
erag
e ho
useh
old
age
pass
es th
e m
id-s
ixtie
s, h
ouse
hold
cons
umer
exp
endi
ture
s on
taxe
d re
tail
item
s te
nd to
dec
line.
Les
sco
nsum
er g
oods
con
sum
ptio
n m
eans
less
pub
lic r
even
ue f
rom
sal
esta
x, w
hich
par
tly s
uppo
rts
tran
spor
tatio
n in
fras
truc
ture
and
tran
sit i
nC
alifo
rnia
. Old
er r
esid
ents
of t
he a
rea
will
con
tinue
to d
rive
to s
ervi
ces
such
as
heal
th c
are
and
recr
eatio
n, u
sing
the
road
but
wid
enin
g th
ega
p be
twee
n th
e co
sts
of w
ear-
and-
tear
and
the
reve
nue
need
ed to
fix
road
s.
With
dim
inis
hing
vis
ual c
apac
ity, o
lder
Am
eric
ans
may
nee
d to
rely
mor
e on
spe
cial
ized
or
on-c
all t
rans
it se
rvic
es c
alle
d "p
ara-
tran
sit."
Tog
ethe
r w
ith th
e ne
ed fo
r in
crea
sed
para
-tra
nsit,
and
oth
erin
fras
truc
ture
impr
ovem
ents
incl
udin
g im
prov
ed s
igna
ge a
nd r
oadw
ayim
prov
emen
ts to
hel
p dr
iver
s, th
ere
are
sign
ifica
nt fi
scal
impa
cts
of a
nol
der
popu
latio
n on
tran
spor
tatio
n. W
ith a
n ol
der
popu
latio
n th
ere
will
be n
eeds
for
add
ition
al in
vest
men
t in
tran
spor
tatio
n sa
fety
.
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
The
re a
re s
ever
al w
ays
of c
onsi
deri
ng h
ow th
e pa
ttern
or
dire
ctio
n of
grow
th w
ill in
flue
nce
the
futu
re b
uilt
envi
ronm
ent o
f th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a. In
this
doc
umen
t AM
BA
G fo
cuse
s on
the
impa
ct o
f tw
o im
port
ant
com
pone
nts
of th
ese
tren
ds--
the
type
s of
hou
sing
in th
is r
egio
n, a
ndth
e sp
atia
l dis
trib
utio
n of
that
hou
sing
acr
oss
the
regi
on.
Hou
sing
cho
ices
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a ar
e lim
ited.
In 2
005,
sin
gle
fam
ily d
etac
hed
units
com
pris
ed o
ver
two
thir
ds o
f al
l hou
sing
. The
next
larg
est t
ype
is m
ulti-
fam
ily 5
+ u
nit s
truc
ture
s w
hich
com
pris
e ju
st15
% o
f all
hous
ing.
Cho
ices
for
mul
ti-fa
mily
hou
sing
are
als
o lim
ited
inte
rms
of q
ualit
y an
d de
sign
.
~
o VJ o CD
~
Due
to a
num
ber
of fa
ctor
s in
clud
ing
the
elim
inat
ion
of a
tax
adva
ntag
efo
r in
vest
ors
in m
ulti-
fam
ily d
evel
opm
ent i
n 19
86 a
nd n
early
a d
ecad
eof
con
stru
ctio
n de
fect
litig
atio
n, m
ulti-
fam
ily d
evel
opm
ent i
n C
alifo
rnia
has
plum
met
ed in
the
last
twen
ty y
ears
.
With
out e
noug
h hi
gh q
ualit
y ho
usin
g ch
oice
s av
aila
ble
in e
xist
ing
urba
n ar
eas,
by
2035
, mor
e si
ngle
fam
ily d
etac
hed
hous
ing
wil
bebu
ilt a
t the
urb
an f
ring
e an
d w
ill c
ontr
ibut
e to
spr
awL
. As
such
, mos
tpo
pula
tion
grow
th is
fore
cast
ed to
occ
ur in
the
inla
nd c
omm
uniti
esal
ong
US
101
corr
idor
, with
less
gro
wth
in th
e co
asta
l com
mun
ities
conn
ecte
d by
Hig
hway
1.
Eve
n th
ough
the
coas
tal c
omm
uniti
es a
re n
ot c
urre
ntly
exp
erie
ncin
gsi
gnifi
cant
pop
ulat
ion
grow
th, t
hey
are
chan
ging
as
the
resu
lt of
ash
arp
incr
ease
in r
etir
emen
t age
d po
pula
tion
in th
ose
area
s. W
hile
the
coas
tal c
omm
uniti
es h
ave
alw
ays
been
pop
ular
with
ret
iree
s; th
e la
ckof
hou
sing
opp
ortu
nitie
s fo
r yo
unge
r fa
mile
s in
thos
e co
mm
uniti
esen
sure
that
the
aver
age
age
of h
ouse
hold
ers
in th
ose
area
s w
illco
ntin
ue to
incr
ease
.
Com
mut
e P
atte
rns
In 2
008,
man
y M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a re
side
nts
wor
ked
in a
diff
eren
tco
mm
unity
than
they
res
ide
in. O
ver
one-
third
of a
ll M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
are
side
nts
wor
k ou
tsid
e th
e co
unty
they
live
in a
nd in
San
Ben
ito C
ount
y62
% o
f res
iden
ts w
orke
d ou
tsid
e th
eir
coun
ty. M
ost M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
are
side
nts
com
mut
ing
out o
f co
unty
are
goi
ng to
San
ta C
lara
Cou
nty
for
wor
k. T
here
are
ove
r 35
,000
jobs
in S
anta
Cla
ra C
ount
y al
one
that
are
held
by
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
resi
dent
s.
In th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a, a
bout
40
perc
ent o
f all
jobs
are
loca
ted
in th
eci
ties
of M
onte
rey,
Sal
inas
and
San
ta C
ruz,
acc
ordi
ng to
the
US
Cen
sus.
Nea
rly 7
0 pe
rcen
t of e
mpl
oyee
s in
thos
e th
ree
citie
s ar
e co
mm
utin
gfr
om o
ther
are
as.
~ J-
Peo
ple
Who
Wor
k O
utsi
de th
e C
ount
y T
hey
Live
In
By
Cou
nty,
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
2008
50ur
ce: U
5 (e
mui
Bur
eau
and
Bur
eau
of L
abor
5ta
tiitic
i
-- ~ ~
I- :z u. I. i: u. c.
a 100,000
200,
000
0% 50%
100
. Regional Total
. San Benito County
San
ta C
ruz
Cou
nty
Monterey County
Veh
icle
Mile
s T
rave
led
vs. P
opul
atio
n G
row
th in
the
Uni
ted
Sta
tes
Net
Incr
ease
, 196
0-20
0750
urce
: Tra
nipo
rtat
ion
5tat
iitíc
i Bur
eau
and
U5
Cen
iui
3,50
0
3,00
2,50
0
i 2,00
:i 1,500
1,00 50
0 o
1960
1990
2007
2000
1970
1980
- V
MT
Pop
ulat
ion
13
~ \
~ :; C" =c
~d ~i.'
1I~,
~~ _. ..0I. o \Q
14 ~ 1.!
¡Mining thr issues: Currnt Growth Parr
rils
Whe
re d
o S
alin
as R
esid
ents
Wor
k?
Sour
ce: u
.s. C
ensu
s B
urea
u, B
urea
u of
Lab
or S
tatis
tics,
Loc
al
Em
ploy
men
t Hou
seho
ld D
ynam
ics,
200
8
1 to
2 e
mpl
oyee
s
. 3 to 5 employees
. 6 or more employees
= Limited Access
_ Highway
Major Road
CJ
City
Bou
ndar
ies
County Boundaries
_ Urban and Built-Up Land
Farm
land
_ Local, State and National Parks
Ref
eren
ce M
ap
~o 12.S 2S
50 M
jlf.~
.
../ !~
. \\)ANr" '. y' .
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i ~~
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eiI
eta ks ~. 101.
carmel.by.the.s. ealJ.~." '1.-. , '. ..
y.. .
~r
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-~!.À'. · ~. ~ilt · ~ ~~G~nzaies ..¿
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. . .
.~ .
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CITY OF SALINAS AND SURROUNDING AREAS : 1 ," ¡ : 1 1 1 1'0 Mil" E9"\
\?
i . ~nia
ies
~ :r ,r 0
Soledad '. ,
~l~i
;. ~ .~?
.0
.
. .
. .
~.41
'"
r T
i i I
i I
I i
lj 5 Miles
~.
~ ~:i'.. ~ 0 . \.
-f ~
@0
..
Whi
le s
till n
eces
sary
, bui
ldin
g ro
ads
alon
e w
ill n
ot s
olve
the
cong
estio
npr
oble
m. I
nste
ad, w
e ha
ve to
con
side
r th
e la
rger
pic
ture
of
how
eac
hcommunity in the Monterey Bay Area influences and is influenced by
all
the
othe
r co
mm
uniti
es in
the
regi
on. B
y re
thin
king
how
are
as th
at a
reri
ch in
hou
sing
but
poo
r in
jobs
con
nect
to a
reas
that
are
ric
h in
jobs
but
poor
in h
ousi
ng w
e ca
n be
tter
addr
ess
the
chal
leng
es p
rese
nted
to o
urre
gion
.
Veh
icle
Mile
s T
rave
led
vers
us P
opul
atio
n G
row
th
As
back
grou
nd, i
t is
impo
rtan
t to
unde
rsta
nd w
hy v
ehic
le m
iles
trav
eled
(V
MT
) ha
s gr
own
so fa
st w
ith r
espe
ct to
pop
ulat
ion
grow
th.
Thi
s dr
amat
ic m
ultip
lier
ofV
MT
to p
opul
atio
n gr
owth
occ
urre
d be
caus
eof
two
dist
inct
dem
ogra
phic
tren
ds, b
oth
of w
hich
bec
ame
sign
ifica
ntby
the
1960
s an
d gr
ew m
ore
impo
rtan
t ove
r th
e fo
llow
ing
deca
des.
Firs
t, w
omen
ent
ered
the
labo
r fo
rce
in la
rge
num
bers
, ush
erin
g in
vast
cha
nges
in c
omm
ute
patte
rns,
sch
oolin
g, d
inin
g, a
nd o
ther
activ
ities
, red
raw
ing
the
form
er li
ne b
etw
een
activ
ities
that
hap
pene
dat
hom
e an
d th
ose
that
hap
pene
d ou
tsid
e of
the
hom
e. T
his
chan
geha
s re
shap
ed th
e A
mer
ican
fam
ily, r
aise
d its
inco
me,
its
hous
ehol
dsp
endi
ng a
nd it
s tr
avel
ing
choi
ces.
By
1990
, gro
wth
in a
dditi
onal
fem
ale
part
icip
atio
n in
the
labo
r m
arke
t beg
an to
leve
l off,
and
VM
T g
rew
at
twic
e th
e ra
te o
f th
e po
pula
tion
grow
th th
roug
h 20
07.
..
The
sec
ond
new
tren
d m
ultip
lyin
g V
MT
gro
wth
has
bee
n a
wav
e of
subu
rban
izat
ion
that
fun
dam
enta
lly s
hift
ed o
ur tr
ansp
orta
tion
choi
ces
from
the
pers
onal
aut
omob
ile, t
rans
it, w
alki
ng a
nd b
icyc
ling,
to a
prim
ary
focu
s on
per
sona
l veh
icle
s. W
ith n
ew r
esid
entia
l dev
elop
men
tsse
pera
ted
from
com
mer
cial
dev
elop
men
t and
em
ploy
men
t cen
ters
,th
e su
burb
s ha
ve b
ecom
e m
ore
and
mor
e di
scon
nect
ed fr
omdo
wnt
owns
. Thi
s pa
ttern
of d
isco
nnec
ted
grow
th g
ave
rise
to th
e te
rm"s
praw
l"to
desc
ribe
a la
nd u
se p
atte
rn th
at r
einf
orce
d de
pend
ence
on
pers
onal
veh
icle
s.
cc ~
Ren
deri
ng o
f A
uto-
Dom
inat
ed C
onge
sted
Str
eet i
n 20
35
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
010
Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled
per
Adu
ltM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
05-2
035
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G R
TD
M 2
0 10
I N
ote:
'Mul
t" is
def
ined
as
mob
ile r
esid
ents
15-
84 y
ean
of a
ge; V
MT
exc
lude
s a
port
ion
of
inte
rreg
iona
l tra
vel c
onsi
sten
t with
reg
iona
l GH
G ta
rget
set
tmg
met
hodo
logy
23.8
20.9
2005
II 2035 Current Growt Patterns
15
~
~ ~ :: ~,.~ .i'.-
..',,"
i:~c ~l ..0
VJ
~ ..16 D
C/ÎI
l¡llq
tlie
issu
es: (
unei
it G
iow
tii P
oltC
/lS
Com
mut
e to
Wor
k by
Mod
e by
Cou
nty
Monterey Bay Area
Sour
ce: 2
006-
2008
Am
eric
an C
omm
unity
Sur
vey
Wor
ked
at H
ome
Bic
ycle
/Oth
er I
~,i
U,
Wal
ked
l..~
Public Transport i I
iC
arpo
oled
Dro
ve A
lone
Mon
tere
y
. San Benito
Santa Cruz
o50
200 250
100
150
pers
ons
(in
thou
sand
s)
Ove
r 50
0/0
of a
ll ho
useh
olds
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a ar
ecu
rren
tly lo
cate
d w
ithin
a c
omfo
rtab
le (
8 m
inut
e) w
alk
of a
bus stop
Ove
r 65
% o
f em
ploy
ees
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a cu
rren
tlywork within a comfortable
(8 m
inut
e) w
alk
of a
bus
sto
p
Dat
a S
ouræ
: AM
BA
G, E
SR
I Bus
ines
s A
na/y
st 1
009,
MS
T, S
CM
TD
, SB
TC
OG
In th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a, th
e ov
erw
helm
ing
maj
ority
of
resi
dent
s in
our
regi
on d
rive
alo
ne to
wor
k ev
ery
day,
4%
wal
k to
wor
k, le
ss th
an 3
%bi
ke to
wor
k an
d 3%
take
pub
lic tr
ansp
orta
tion.
Com
pare
d to
the
muc
hhi
gher
per
cent
ages
of h
ouse
hold
s an
d pl
aces
of w
ork
that
are
loca
ted
with
in a
com
fort
able
wal
k of
a b
us s
top
- 50
% a
nd 6
5%, r
espe
ctiv
ely
-th
ese
figu
res
are
part
icul
arly
low
. Sev
eral
loca
l sur
vey
resu
lts h
elp
toex
plai
n w
hy th
is m
ay b
e th
e ca
se:
Bas
ed o
n th
eir
2002
Hou
shol
d T
rave
l Sur
vey,
the
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Age
ncy
of M
onte
rey
Cou
nty
repo
rts
that
the
aver
age
trav
el ti
me
for
trip
s on
pub
lic tr
ansp
orta
tion
is 5
0 m
inut
es, c
ompa
red
to le
ss th
an20
min
utes
for
auto
mob
ile v
ehic
le tr
ips.
In the results from AM
BA
G's
Blu
epri
nt w
orks
hop
surv
eys,
resp
onde
nts
indi
cate
d th
at if
a tr
ip u
sing
pub
lic tr
ansi
t wer
e to
take
twic
e as
long
as
com
pare
d to
driv
ing,
tran
sit i
s on
ly a
ttrac
tive
ifrid
ers
coul
d ge
t eve
ryth
ing
they
nee
d in
one
trip
- a
nd if
it to
ok a
nex
tra
15 m
inut
es to
fin
d pa
rkin
g.
In a 2009 survey conducted by Monterey Salinas
Tra
nsit,
res
pond
ents
who
indi
cate
d th
at th
ey d
idn'
t reg
ular
ly ta
ke th
e bu
s w
ere
aske
dw
hy. O
ver
thre
e-qu
arte
rs in
dica
ted
that
they
hav
e a
vehi
cle
for
pers
onal
use
and
do
not n
eed
to ta
ke th
e bu
s, w
hile
14%
indi
cate
dth
at th
e bu
s do
es n
ot g
o w
here
they
nee
d it
to g
o.
Wha
t the
se n
umbe
rs s
ugge
st is
that
our
cha
lleng
e in
red
ucin
g th
ere
gion
's V
MT
is m
ore
com
plic
ated
than
incr
easi
ng a
cces
s to
the
exis
ting
bus
serv
ices
in th
e re
gion
. Tra
vel t
ime,
rou
te d
irect
ness
and
con
veni
ence
are
maj
or fa
ctor
s fo
r M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a re
side
nts
in c
hoos
ing
to d
rive
to work instead of taking transit. Improving ridership levels need to
incl
ude
an e
ffor
t to
mak
e th
e sy
stem
mor
e re
spon
sive
to n
eeds
and
tobe
mor
e at
trac
tive
to p
oten
tial t
rans
it ri
ders
.
~
~ :: C" :: ~ ." ::_~ --
o \. N
..
~'""
. fI ~ l-
Sprawl Costs (more and more....)
Ann
ually
, all
Am
eric
ans
pay
abou
t $31
bill
ion
for
spra
wL
. Bes
ides
mor
epa
vem
ent,
new
wat
er a
nd s
ewer
hoo
kups
are
20
to 4
0 pe
rcen
t hig
her
than
in m
ore
com
pact
ly d
evel
oped
are
as. M
ore
spra
wle
d se
rvic
e ar
eas
for
polic
e, f
ire
and
scho
ols
rais
e th
e co
sts
of s
ervi
ces
and
infr
astr
uctu
re.
For
mos
t util
ities
Am
eric
ans
pay
on a
n av
erag
e co
st b
asis
. Tha
t mea
nsth
at e
ven
if y
ou li
ve in
tow
n on
an
esta
blis
hed
elec
tric
al g
rid,
you
pay
the
sam
e ra
te a
s so
meo
ne li
ving
far
from
an
esta
blis
hed
com
mun
ity.
The
cos
ts o
f pro
vidi
ng p
ower
to th
at p
erso
n liv
ing
fart
her
away
are
subs
idiz
ed b
y ot
her
user
s, in
clud
ing
you.
The
sam
e pr
inci
ple
appl
ies
to m
any
othe
r in
fras
truc
ture
s ne
eds.
Con
sequ
ently
, urb
an r
esid
ents
subs
idiz
e su
burb
an a
nd r
ural
use
rs o
f the
sam
e in
fras
truc
ture
.
Mak
ing
Tra
de-O
ffs:
Hou
sing
vs
Ope
n Sp
ace
10 H
ousi
ng U
nits
on
S A
aes
of L
and
10 h
ousi
ng u
n~s
+ 4
.8 a
cres
of
open
spa
ce
10 h
ousi
ng u
nits
+ 4
.7 a
cres
of
open
spa
ce
10 h
ousi
ng u
nits
+ 4
.5 a
cres
of
open
spa
ce
10 h
ousi
ng u
nits
+ 4
,2 a
cres
of
open
spa
ce
10 h
ousi
ng u
n~s
+ 0
acr
es o
f op
en s
pace
17
Bui
ldin
g cl
oser
to e
xist
ing
com
mun
ities
, how
ever
, can
dra
mat
ical
ly c
utth
e ri
se in
cos
ts f
rom
add
ition
al d
evel
opm
ent.
For
exam
ple,
acc
ordi
ngto
a r
ecen
t stu
dy, i
f 25
per
cent
of
low
den
sity
gro
wth
shi
fted
to a
mor
eco
mpa
ct p
atte
rn in
the
San
Fra
ncis
co B
ay A
rea,
per
cap
ita s
avin
gs w
ould
be a
bout
$2,
178.
With
far
few
er p
eopl
e to
sha
re m
ajor
infr
astr
uctu
reco
sts
in o
ur r
egio
n, th
e m
ore
the
cost
of s
praw
l is
subs
idiz
ed b
y al
lre
side
nts-
-with
sim
ilar
or e
ven
larg
er s
avin
gs th
an B
ay A
rea
resi
dent
sm
ight
exp
ect.
With
hig
her
fuel
pri
ces
in th
e fu
ture
, tra
nspo
rtat
ion
cost
s w
ill b
esi
gnif
ican
tly h
ighe
r. I
n th
e Su
mm
er o
f 20
08, s
urgi
ng g
asol
ine
pric
esin
curr
ed e
norm
ous
cost
s fo
r co
mm
uter
s in
Cal
ifor
nia.
For
mon
ths
Cal
iforn
ians
with
the
long
est c
omm
utes
pai
d hu
ndre
ds o
f dol
lars
mor
e in
fuel
cos
ts, c
ompo
undi
ng th
e lo
omin
g ho
usin
g cr
isis
in th
ose
area
s w
ithth
e lo
nges
t com
mut
es.
,7 ..
~~,.:
~-H
~,,~
_..,-
,..~_
. ~-~
~-...... ---- --,-~
.",.
' " -
- ,-
' - ~
_ ¡¡
~~~~
,o :-
C",
'"
....,.
... _
_ _~
~' 'r
-.,..
..~~~
_.. .. ..
:;-~-
"--_
.-- ~
Mak
ing
Tra
de,O
ffs:
Lar
ge L
ot H
ousi
ng v
s. O
pen
Spac
eloIs a5\oCioieri wlifi su/Jur!JiIIíZaIWI! and (il!llIlIe !!ore laiid
1f!)
(ller
i .\!
ei; a
i tow
nhnu
ies
aiid
flux
ed u
se A
t ar!we/!;ru !Jiiits in! oUr, 10 lot IUlllf/fiJrlfI II
II iii !It /(/lid
.. Uiiil wlui Ii would i OIìUille 11'1 f1wli Iiind lind
Ii", '""m, 0/1X or "lie'''
'1"" ~ ~
ã :2 ~f::
r;~~
..,.~
,,!!
~
18 D
chni
iiq th
e Is
slie
s: (
urlfl
t Gro
w'ÍI
PQ
rrcm
s
~ ..
Per
Cap
ita G
reen
hous
e G
as E
mis
sion
s F
rom
Car
s an
d Li
ght T
ruck
sM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
05-2
035
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G R
egio
nal T
rave
l Dem
and
Mod
el E
MF
AC
200
7;C
AR
B 2
010
"' .. ã. "' .. ¡¡ a. '" -i i: :: o a.
16.0
14.1
13.4
'" o o N E o .: I 13.7%
41 en i: "' .i .. .. i: 41 i: 41 a.
2005
2035
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s
2035
Reg
iona
l GH
G T
arge
t
-5%
,Sen
ate
Bill
375
is r
ecen
t leg
isla
tion
that
man
date
s re
gion
s su
chas the Monterey Bay Area reduce per capita greenhouse gas
emis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
truc
ks th
roug
h co
ordi
nate
d la
nd u
seand transportation planning.
Hig
her
gaso
line
cost
s al
so in
cent
iviz
e oi
l ref
iner
s to
ref
ine
petr
oleu
mth
at is
usu
ally
use
d in
bui
ldin
g ro
ads
into
gas
olin
e, d
rivin
g up
the
pric
eof
oil
bypr
oduc
ts u
sed
in m
akin
g as
phal
t. A
roun
d $4
a g
allo
n, th
e co
stof
bui
ldin
g a
road
will
be
dram
atic
ally
hig
her
than
at l
ower
pri
ces.
Spr
awl c
osts
us
in th
e sh
ort t
erm
and
in w
ays
that
the
regi
on a
s a
who
leha
s ne
ver
cons
ider
ed.
Con
gest
ion
The
mos
t tan
gibl
e co
nseq
uenc
e of
an
incr
ease
in V
MT
with
out r
oad
capa
city
exp
ansi
on to
mee
t new
dem
and
is tr
affc
con
gest
ion.
Tra
ffcco
nges
tion
is th
e in
crea
se in
trav
el ti
me
dela
y du
e to
an
incr
ease
intr
affc
, slo
wer
veh
icle
spe
eds,
and
que
uing
whe
n ca
rs li
ne u
p to
ente
r a
road
way
. Con
gest
ion
wil
grow
and
shr
ink
in ta
ndem
with
the
econ
omy,
roa
dway
cap
acity
and
indi
vidu
al m
ode
choi
ces
such
as tr
avel
ing
by c
ar, t
rans
it, b
icyc
le o
r w
alki
ng. C
onge
stio
n in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
resu
lts in
loss
es to
com
mut
ers
and
othe
r dr
iver
sfr
om v
ehic
le o
pera
ting
cost
s, e
nvir
onm
enta
l cos
ts, l
ost e
cono
mic
prod
uctiv
ity, a
nd fr
eigh
t unr
elia
bilit
y.
As
of 2
005,
AM
BA
G e
stim
ates
that
ther
e w
ere
49,7
30 d
aily
hou
rs o
fde
lay
due
to c
onge
stio
n. T
he th
ink
tank
RA
ND
est
imat
es th
at e
ach
hour
of
dela
y fo
r pa
ssen
ger
vehi
cles
cos
ts th
e ec
onom
y $
14.6
0, a
nd$7
7 fo
r fr
eigh
t tru
cks.
As
such
, ove
rall
daily
cos
ts to
the
econ
omy
and
to th
e re
gion
's h
ouse
hold
s fr
om c
onge
stio
n in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
aver
age
$ 1
mili
on a
day
. Und
er c
urre
nt g
row
th tr
ends
, dai
ly h
ours
of d
elay
will
incr
ease
to 1
38,0
00 b
y 20
35, n
earl
y tr
iplin
g co
sts
to th
eec
onom
y.
~
~ :: ~ ~ ~a v. .p
..
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Transportation Sector
As
vehi
cle
mile
s tr
avel
ed in
crea
ses,
so
do g
reee
nhou
se g
as (
GH
G)
emis
sion
s fr
om th
e tr
ansp
orta
tion
sect
or. U
nder
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s, c
arbo
n di
oxid
e pe
r ca
pita
em
issi
ons
will
ris
e in
our
reg
ion
from
14.1
dai
ly p
ound
s in
200
5 to
16
daily
pou
nds
by 2
035.
In S
epte
mbe
r of
201
0, th
e C
alifo
rnia
Air
Res
ourc
es B
oard
ado
pted
regi
onal
per
cap
ita g
reen
hous
e ga
s ta
rget
s fo
r ea
ch o
f Cal
iforn
ia's
eigh
teen
met
ropo
litan
pla
nnin
g re
gion
s as
req
uire
d un
der
Sen
ate
Bill
375.
The
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea'
s sp
ecifi
c m
anda
te is
to r
educ
e pe
r ca
pita
gree
nhou
se g
as e
mis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
truc
ks to
200
5 le
vels
by
2020
and
to r
educ
e pe
r ca
pita
leve
ls to
5%
bel
ow 2
005
leve
ls b
y 20
35.
In o
ther
wor
ds o
ur p
er c
apita
GH
G e
mis
sion
s ta
rget
is 1
4.1
poun
ds p
erca
pita
for
2020
and
13.
4 po
unds
per
cap
ita fo
r 20
35.
Und
er S
B 3
75, t
he A
ssoc
iatio
n of
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
Gov
ernm
ents
isre
quire
d to
ado
pt w
hat i
s ca
lled
a "S
usta
inab
le C
omm
uniti
es S
trat
egy"
or S
CS
in th
e ne
xt M
etro
polit
an T
rans
port
atio
n P
lan.
Tha
t Str
ateg
y w
illbu
ild o
n in
form
atio
n de
velo
ped
thro
ugh
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ayA
rea
to id
entif
y ho
w th
roug
h la
nd u
se a
nd tr
ansp
orta
tion
inve
stm
ent
we
can
redu
ce p
er c
apita
gre
enho
use
gas
leve
ls.
While Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area is primarily a fact-finding
docu
men
t and
as
such
is n
ot r
equi
red
to m
eet t
he r
egio
nal G
HG
targ
et, i
t can
pla
ya k
ey r
ole
in m
ovin
g ou
r re
gion
in th
is d
irect
ion.
Thi
sdo
cum
ent l
ays
the
foun
datio
n fo
r th
e de
velo
pmen
t of
the
SCS
over
the
cour
se o
f th
e ne
xt tw
o ye
ars.
Pub
lic H
ealth
Nat
iona
l stu
dies
indi
cate
that
incr
easi
ng th
e tim
e sp
ent w
alki
ng e
ach
day
sign
ifica
ntly
red
uces
obe
sity
rat
es. I
n an
art
icle
app
earin
g in
the
Jour
nal o
f Pr
even
tive
Med
icin
e, r
esea
rche
rs e
xam
ined
the
heal
thbe
nefit
s of
sim
ply
wal
king
to a
tran
sit s
top.
Gen
eral
ly, t
akin
g pu
blic
~ ,.
Rat
es o
f Obe
sity
in th
e U
nite
d S
tate
sPe
rcen
t Inc
reas
e, 1
960-
2006
Sour
ce: l
j,S, D
epar
tmen
t of
Hea
lth a
nd H
uman
Ser
vice
s, C
ente
rs f
or D
isea
se C
ontr
ol a
nd P
reve
ntio
n
- Overweght
Obes - ExtremelyObe
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10% 5% 0%
-'~
--~ 1:~ 1:~ ~ 1i ~a, ~~ ~~
'tYo I' Yo "'Yo £fYo -'~ í" ~ "'~ "'~
" :P
~ :P
c/ ~
,. ~
~ ~
~
~'~
~'."
.'.' ~ -- ..
19
20 Definfny ¡he !ssues: LU!(em G(owth Poucm.s
¡~ .~..
Dai
ly W
ater
Con
sum
ptio
n by
Hou
sing
Typ
e -
Indo
or &
Out
door
Changes in water consumption vary with total
land
scap
ed a
rea
Asi
umpt
ions
bas
ed u
pon
AP
A U
rban
De¡
ign
Sta
ndar
ds a
nd In
dex
Pla
nBui
/der
and
AW
WA
(A
mer
ican
Wat
er W
orks
Ass
ocia
tion)
, US
DA
Sol
/Con
serv
atio
n S
ervi
ce S
tudy
(19
86)
tran
sit v
ersu
s dr
ivin
g al
one
equa
tes
to a
n av
erag
e of
8.3
mor
e m
inut
esa
day
of w
alki
ng. T
he r
esea
rche
rs fo
und
that
ther
e is
an
aver
age
lifet
ime
savi
ngs
of $
5,50
0 pe
r pe
rson
in o
besi
ty m
edic
al r
elat
ed c
osts
by
sim
ply
wal
king
to p
ublic
tran
sit e
ach
day.
Housing Type (dwellng units/acre)
Wat
er U
se p
er U
nit
(gal
lons
/day
)A
part
men
ts/A
part
men
t Bui
ldin
gs (
30+
dus
/ac)
appr
ox,2
20
Sin
gle
Fam
ily A
ttach
ed U
nits
(20
dus
/ac)
appr
ox.2
25
Smal
l lo
t Sin
gle
Fam
ily D
etac
hed
(12
dus/
ac)
appr
ox,
240
Subu
rban
larg
e lo
t (2
dus/
ac)
appr
, 50
0
Rur
al
large lot (OJ dus/ac)
appr
, 20
00
In 2
003,
20%
of C
alifo
rnia
ns w
ere
obes
e. G
iven
this
rat
e, a
nd th
e av
erag
era
te in
crea
se in
obe
sity
see
n na
tiona
lly, b
y 20
35 a
ppro
xim
atel
y 50
% o
fthe the population could be considered obese.
If 8.
3 m
inut
es o
f wal
king
are
adde
d ea
ch d
ay, t
he o
besi
ty r
ate
coul
d dr
op to
aro
und
28%
.
Ris
ks to
Nat
ural
Res
ourc
es in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
Pop
ular
con
cern
s ab
out t
he M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a's
natu
ral r
esou
rces
pivot around water supply and agricultural
land
con
vers
ion.
Wat
er S
uppl
y
Whi
le o
nly
10%
of
the
regi
on's
wat
er s
uppl
y su
ppor
ts u
rban
use
s,w
ith th
e re
mai
nder
sup
port
ing
agri
cultu
ral u
ses,
the
need
to a
ddre
ssw
ater
use
for
our
grow
ing
popu
latio
n st
ands
out
am
ong
othe
r m
ajor
issu
es. W
ith s
ome
wat
er b
asin
s al
read
y in
ove
rdra
ft, a
nd th
e ne
ed to
repl
ace
wat
er o
ther
wis
e dr
awn
from
the
Car
mel
Riv
er to
mee
t a S
tate
orde
r, th
ere
is a
n ur
gent
nee
d to
add
ress
the
regi
on's
wat
er s
uppl
y. T
heju
xtap
ositi
on o
f a
grow
ing
popu
latio
n an
d th
e ne
eds
of th
e ec
onom
yw
ithin
lim
ited
wat
er r
esou
rces
has
eng
ende
red
spir
ited
disc
ussi
ons
acro
ss th
e re
gion
cen
terin
g ar
ound
des
alin
atio
n, w
ater
con
serv
atio
npo
licie
s an
d re
cycl
ed w
ater
use
as
pote
ntia
l sol
utio
ns.
The
issu
e is
fur
ther
com
plic
ated
in tw
o ke
yway
s w
hen
view
ed in
ligh
tof
our
reg
iona
l dev
elop
men
t pat
tern
:
1. G
ener
ally
spe
akin
g, m
ore
com
pact
gro
wth
min
imiz
es th
e de
man
d on
urba
n w
ater
use
s. H
owev
er, d
etac
hed
sing
le fa
mily
hou
sing
com
pris
esth
e la
rge
maj
ority
of
our
hous
ing
stoc
k. T
hese
type
s of
hou
sing
can
use
3= :: ~ll~ ~ r'f,1 ~ --
o VJ
~Q
\t-
240
to 5
00 g
allo
ns o
f wat
er p
er d
ay, c
ompa
red
to 2
20 g
allo
ns p
er d
ayor
less
for
mor
e co
mpa
ct h
ousi
ng ty
pes
such
as
tow
nhou
ses,
dup
lexe
san
d ap
artm
ent b
uild
ings
. '
2. A
t a r
egio
nal l
evel
, pot
entia
l res
iden
tial d
evel
opm
ent i
n jo
b-ri
char
eas
such
as
alon
g th
e M
onte
rey
Pen
insu
la o
r in
the
City
of S
anta
Cruz sometimes face opposition because of the
lack
of e
xist
ing
wat
erre
sour
ces,
and
ther
efor
e, w
hate
ver
grow
th th
ere
is w
ill h
ave
to g
ow
here
ther
e is
eno
ugh
wat
er. I
n re
ality
, the
ent
ire M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
aha
s lim
ited
wat
er r
esou
rces
. Cer
tain
are
as m
ay h
ave
the
pote
ntia
l to
have
mor
e re
adily
ava
ilabl
e po
tabl
e w
ater
in th
e re
gion
, or
to h
ave
itav
aila
ble
at m
ore
effc
ient
rat
es o
f G
HG
em
issi
ons.
For
exam
ple,
usi
ng d
ata
from
the
Paci
fic
Inst
itute
, a w
ater
pol
icy
thin
ktank in Oakland, AM
BAG's estimate is that if the entire increment in
fore
cast
ed p
opul
atio
n gr
owth
ove
r th
e ne
xt 2
5 ye
ars
in th
is r
egio
nis
sup
port
ed b
y de
salin
atio
n, th
e de
salin
atio
n pr
oces
s w
ould
cre
ate
appr
oxim
atel
y 0.
2 po
unds
of
carb
on d
ioxi
de e
mis
sion
s pe
r pe
rson
per
day, compared to 0.03 pounds for groundwater processes and 0.02
poun
ds fo
r re
clai
med
wat
er. *
Whi
le th
is n
eces
sita
tes
cons
ider
atio
n of
wat
er s
uppl
y pr
oces
ses
and
thei
r im
pact
s on
gre
enho
use
gas
emis
sion
s, w
ater
sup
ply
is o
nly
one
of m
any
cent
ral f
acto
rs to
con
side
r in
iden
tifyi
ng a
sus
tain
able
gro
wth
patte
rn fo
r th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a.
For
exa
mpl
e, o
ne o
f AM
BA
G's
cen
tral
str
ateg
ies
for
low
erin
g ve
hicl
em
iles
trav
eled
is to
impr
ove
the
bala
nce
of jo
bs to
hou
sing
in th
ere
gion
in w
hich
ther
e is
eno
ugh
of a
hou
sing
sup
ply
near
jobs
to h
ouse
empl
oyee
s of
thos
e jo
bs. A
s de
scrib
ed in
the
Pre
sent
ing
an A
ltern
ativ
ese
ctio
n, d
oing
so
wil
redu
ce V
MT
, gre
enho
use
gas
emis
sion
s, r
educ
eth
e fi
scal
cos
ts o
ffut
ure
deve
lopm
ent a
nd lo
wer
hou
seho
ld c
omm
utin
gco
sts.
~ ...lWre information on this estimate is the Technical Appendix D
Tot
al L
and
Are
a by
Cla
ssif
icat
ion
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea,
200
6S
ourc
e; C
alifo
rnia
Dep
artm
ent o
fCon
ierv
atio
n, D
epar
tmen
t of F
arm
land
Map
ping
and
Mon
itorin
g P
rogr
am
Gra
zing
Lan
d 1.
7m a
cres
Urb
an a
nd B
uilt
Up
Land
9S
k ac
res
Impo
rtan
t Far
mla
nd 3
27k
acre
s
Water Area 8k acres
Oth
er L
and
1.2m
acr
es
Net
Cha
nge
in U
rban
ized
and
Agr
icul
tura
l Lan
dM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a by
Cou
nty,
198
4-20
06So
urce
; Cal
iorn
ia D
epar
tmen
t ofC
onie
rvat
ion,
Dep
artm
ent o
f Fa
rmla
nd M
appi
ng a
nd M
onito
ring
Pro
gram
Sant
a C
ru
San
Ben
ito
Mon
tere
y
-30
1030
20-2
0-1
0o
thou
sand
s of
aae
s
. Farmland
. Urbanized Land
~
~ -:' ~ c"' -': -~~~ '~~
f::7
~=
= ~
21 a v. -.
22 D
Ctil
lillq
the
Issu
es: C
UIIn
t Gro
wth
Pat
lciis
Urb
aniz
ed a
nd
Agr
icul
tura
l Lan
dM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a 20
06
Sou
rce:
Cal
iforn
ia D
epan
men
t of
Con
serv
atio
n Fa
rmla
nd M
anito
ring
and
Map
ping
Pro
gram
; ES
RI;
AM
BA
G
. ø @Ø
Gra
zing
Lan
d
Agr
icul
tura
l Lan
d
Urb
aniz
ed L
and
City
Bou
ndar
ies
Sphe
res
of I
nflu
ence
Sta
te H
ighw
ay
Inte
rsta
te H
ighw
ay
Pass
enge
r R
ail-
Am
trak
-
~ C" :: ~ r". ~ --o V
J@ ~
CD
..
1 ~ ~ '-
How
ever
, loc
atin
g ad
ditio
nal h
ousi
ng u
nits
whe
re jo
b ce
nter
s cu
rren
tlyex
ist i
n th
is r
egio
n co
uld
nece
ssita
te w
ater
sup
ply
proc
esse
s th
at a
reex
pens
ive
and
have
som
e po
tent
ial e
nvir
onm
enta
l con
sequ
ence
s.
The
com
mun
ities
of
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
will
nee
d to
con
side
rth
ese
trad
e-of
fs. A
s su
ch, d
iffc
ult d
ecis
ions
lie
ahea
d fo
r re
side
nts
and
com
mun
ity le
ader
s as
wel
l as
elec
ted
offc
ials
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a.
Agr
icul
tura
l Lan
d
The
Sal
inas
Val
ley
and
the
Paja
ro V
alle
y ar
e tw
o of
the
mos
t im
port
ant
agric
ultu
ral a
reas
of t
he U
nite
d S
tate
s, w
orth
bill
ions
of d
olla
rs in
vario
us c
omm
oditi
es. W
ith th
e m
ost p
rodu
ctiv
e so
il in
Cal
iforn
ia, t
hese
two
area
s an
d ot
her
agric
ultu
ral a
reas
in th
e re
gion
exp
erie
nced
a n
etga
in in
far
mla
nd b
etw
een
1990
and
200
0, b
ut lo
st a
bout
20,
000
acre
s of
farm
land
bet
wee
n 20
00 a
nd 2
006,
whi
le th
e ur
bani
zed
foot
prin
t of
the
regi
on g
rew
by
31 p
erce
nt.
Som
e of
that
land
was
sim
ply
sim
ply
take
n ou
t of a
gric
ultu
ral
prod
uctio
n. W
hile
not
all
of th
at la
nd w
as c
onve
rted
to u
rban
use
s,m
any
rura
l com
mun
ities
sur
roun
ded
by p
rime
agric
ultu
ral l
and
may
look
to c
onve
rt m
ore
of th
at la
nd to
sup
port
thei
r gr
owin
g po
pula
tions
,es
peci
ally
as
it be
com
es in
crea
sing
ly le
ss b
enef
icia
l for
far
mer
s to
kee
pth
eir
land
pro
tect
ed th
roug
h th
e W
illia
mso
n A
ct.
The Williamson Act provides landowners a lower tax assessment
plac
ed o
n ag
ricu
ltura
l lan
ds in
ret
urn
for
farm
ers
com
mitt
ing
to k
eep
thei
r la
nd u
ndev
elop
ed f
or a
t lea
st te
n ye
ars.
In
exch
ange
, the
Sta
te o
fC
alifo
rnia
has
pro
vide
d th
e C
ount
ies
a su
bven
tion
to m
ake
up a
t lea
st a
port
ion
of th
e di
ffer
ence
in p
rope
rty
taxe
s. H
owev
er, S
tate
bud
get c
uts
have
red
uced
thos
e su
bsid
ies.
Eve
n w
hen
the
prog
ram
was
fun
ded,
as
pres
sure
for
hou
sing
dev
elop
men
t inc
reas
ed, t
he ta
x be
nefi
ts p
rovi
ded
by th
e W
illia
mso
n A
ct is
not
alw
ays
enou
gh o
f an
ince
ntiv
e fo
r so
me
farm
ers
to k
eep
thei
r la
nd u
ndev
elop
ed.
Fully pricing the actual cost of development and on-going
Urb
aniz
ed a
nd A
gric
ultu
ral L
and:
Tot
al A
cres
1984
,200
6 an
d 20
35 C
urre
nt G
row
th P
atte
rns
(CG
P)
Sou
rce;
Col
iforn
ia D
epar
tmen
t ofC
onie
rvat
ion,
Dep
artm
ent o
fFar
mla
nd M
appi
ng a
nd M
onito
ring
Pro
gram
; AM
BA
G
Ana
lysi
s
2035
CG
P
2006
1984 Important Farmland (acres) . Urban and Built-Up Land (acres)
~ ~
23
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=~-
.,"-
~' ~,-
~ù'
.t"-"
~.-: -t li
24 D
eflll
ilig
¡he
Issu
es: i
unen
r G
row
th P
arle
iiS
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s: K
ey C
hara
cter
istic
s
Isol
ated
loca
l eff
orts
for
sm
art g
row
th
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
dom
inat
ed b
y si
ngle
occ
upan
cy v
ehic
les
Futu
re e
mpl
oym
ent c
once
ntra
tions
in e
xist
ing
area
s
Stro
ng f
isca
lizat
ion
of la
nd u
se p
atte
rns
Wid
espr
ead
com
mer
cial
str
ip d
evel
opm
ent
Leap
frog
dev
elop
men
t
Gre
at v
aria
nce
in th
e fi
scal
cap
abili
ties
of lo
cal g
over
nmen
ts
Lack
of c
oord
inat
ion
betw
een
mar
ket r
ate,
wor
kfor
ce a
nd a
fford
able
hou
sing
pro
visi
on
Und
er C
urre
nt G
row
th P
atte
rns,
eve
n as
loca
l jur
isdi
ctio
nsin
depe
nden
tly p
ursu
e m
ixed
-use
pro
ject
s, th
e ex
istin
g ur
ban
foot
prin
t's p
atte
rn o
utw
eigh
s th
e po
sitiv
e ef
fect
s of
mix
ed u
sean
d do
wnt
own
inte
nsif
icat
ion
as a
who
le.
infr
astr
uctu
re c
osts
on
the
urba
n fr
inge
, alo
ng w
ith b
ette
r in
cent
iviz
ing
farm
ers
thro
ugh
revi
sion
s to
the
Will
iam
son
Act
, will
hel
p pr
eser
veth
e re
gion
's im
port
ant f
arm
land
and
ens
ure
cont
inue
d ec
onom
icpr
ospe
rity
thro
ugh
the
agri
cultu
ral s
ecto
r.
In e
ach
Cou
nty,
Loc
al A
rea
For
mat
ion
Com
mis
sion
s (L
AF
CO
s) c
ontin
ueto
be
invo
lved
in d
iscu
ssin
g th
e pr
otec
tion
of a
gric
ultu
ral r
esou
rces
and
in r
egul
atin
g th
e an
nexa
tion
proc
ess.
The
se a
genc
ies
have
suc
cess
fully
play
ed a
n in
stru
men
tal r
ole
in b
alan
cing
the
timin
g an
d ex
pans
ion
ofurban uses and agricultural
land
con
vers
ion.
Con
clus
ion:
A R
egio
nal C
halle
nge
Tod
ay, t
he M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a is
ser
ved
by a
num
ber
of r
egio
nal
agen
cies
, spe
cial
use
dis
tric
ts a
nd lo
cal g
over
nmen
ts th
at h
ave
all
enga
ged
in h
igh
qual
ity p
lann
ing
for
thei
r re
spec
tive
com
mun
ities
.B
alan
cing
com
petin
g in
tere
sts
whi
le r
each
ing
for
the
high
est c
omm
ongood is challenging even under the best of circumstances. The
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
has
achi
eved
a lo
t in
rece
nt d
ecad
es in
ens
urin
gor
derl
y de
velo
pmen
t with
in th
e 21
loca
l gov
ernm
ents
of
Mon
tere
y, S
anB
enito
and
San
ta C
ruz
Cou
ntie
s w
ith th
e di
vers
ity o
f in
tere
sts,
lim
ited
fund
ing,
and
oth
er c
halle
nges
.
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
juris
dict
ions
sup
port
and
impl
emen
t pub
lic p
olic
ies
that
sup
port
hig
her
dens
ity m
ixed
use
dev
elop
men
t with
in d
ownt
own
area
s an
d ot
her
sust
aina
ble
com
pact
str
ateg
ies.
The
se c
omm
uniti
esal
so p
lan
toge
ther
as
with
the
mul
timod
al c
orrid
or li
nkin
g H
ighw
ay 1
thro
ugh
Mar
ina
to S
alin
as. A
ll of
thes
e ef
fort
s ha
ve h
elpe
d m
ake
the
regi
on a
bet
ter
plac
e to
live
than
it w
ould
hav
e be
en w
ithou
t adv
ance
plan
ning
and
pub
lic p
artic
ipat
ion.
Eve
n as
juri
sdic
tions
pla
n fo
r th
eir
indi
vidu
al f
utur
es h
isto
rica
lly th
ere
has
been
less
join
t pla
nnin
g be
twee
n al
l jur
isdi
ctio
ns in
fac
ing
the
futu
rean
d its
cha
lleng
es th
an th
e re
gion
rea
lly n
eeds
. Whe
n on
e co
mm
unity ~~
~ 5; c- ~ -- ~.:S
~;:: ~ zz- -- ..
is jo
bs r
ich,
but
lack
s en
ough
hou
sing
for
thei
r w
orkf
orce
, whi
le a
noth
erco
mm
unity
is jo
bs p
oor,
bot
h co
mm
uniti
es lo
se a
s th
e ro
ads
betw
een
them
bec
ome
inex
tric
ably
con
gest
ed.
In th
e ne
xt s
ectio
n, P
rese
ntin
g an
Alte
rnat
ive,
AM
BA
G p
rese
nts
a m
ore
sustainable vision of
the
futu
re, d
evel
oped
with
inpu
t fro
m th
e pu
blic
at
vario
us w
orks
hops
hel
d by
AM
BA
G a
roun
d th
e th
ree
coun
ty r
egio
n an
din
con
sulta
tion
with
pla
nner
s at
all
loca
l jur
side
tions
. Usi
ng A
MB
AG
'sfo
reca
st o
f po
pula
tion,
hou
sing
and
em
ploy
men
t for
the
year
203
5 w
edr
aw s
ome
conc
lusi
ons
abou
t wha
t an
alte
rnat
ive
futu
re c
ould
look
like
.
ca I-
1711
.,J
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
010
~ ~
25
"'l,H
','\lr
,. . ~ -- --( ~ --" ~ "'~ ~I
!:£
~ ~ li
26 P
fese
nrill
(Jon
Alte
rnat
ive:
Slis
fdjn
oMe
(;,fN
/(i P
O!íi
'!iI
~ )i The Monterey Bay Area Urban Footprint 2005-2035
Dat
a S
ourc
e: A
MB
AG
207
0, C
A D
ept o
fCon
ierv
atio
n F
arm
land
Map
ping
and
Mon
iorin
g P
rogr
am
TO
DA
Y
..~ .~ .¡,
N.
2035
: CU
RR
EN
T G
RO
WT
H P
AT
TE
RN
S
2035: SUSTAINABLE
GR
OW
TH
PA
TT
ER
NS
'-"~,
:'t
~.~
N '
!: il :: æ; ~ ..
Under Sustainable Growth Patterns, the majority of
the region's
forecasted growth occurs within a comfortable walking
dist
ance
of
mix
ed u
se tr
ansi
t and
nei
ghbo
rhoo
d ce
nter
s,
By
focu
sing
dev
elop
men
t in
area
s th
at a
re r
ich
in jo
bs a
nd a
djac
ent
to high quality transit corridors, an increase in transit use, walking,
biki
ng, a
nd c
arpo
olin
g w
ill r
esul
t in
sign
ific
ant d
ecre
ases
in v
ehic
lemiles traveled (VMT). Ongoing efforts to expand van
pool
ing
for
agric
ultu
ral w
orke
rs w
ill h
elp
redu
ce V
MT
and
em
issi
ons
in a
gric
ultu
ral
area
s. E
ven
as th
e m
ajor
ity o
f dr
iver
s co
ntin
ue to
dri
ve th
eir
own
cars
,th
e ov
eral
l dis
tanc
es th
ey h
ave
to d
rive
will
be
shor
ter
than
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s be
caus
e de
stin
atio
ns w
ill b
e m
ore
acce
ssib
le w
hen
all d
evel
opm
ent i
s lo
cate
d cl
oser
toge
ther
.
Blu
epri
nt P
rior
ity A
reas
Tho
se jo
b-ric
h, tr
ansi
t adj
acen
t are
as a
re id
entif
ied
as "
Blu
eprin
tPr
iori
ty A
reas
." M
ore
spec
ific
ally
, Blu
epri
nt P
rior
ity A
reas
are
defi
ned
as a
reas
with
in o
ne h
alf
mile
of
prop
osed
tran
sit s
tops
*fo
r th
e M
onte
rey
Sal
inas
Tra
nsit
futu
re b
us r
apid
tran
sit l
ine
and
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Age
ncy
of M
onte
rey
Cou
nty'
s pr
opos
ed li
ght r
ail
proj
ect;
pote
ntia
l tra
nsit
node
s id
entif
ied
by B
luep
rint P
olic
y G
roup
mem
bers
in S
an B
enito
and
San
ta C
ruz
Cou
ntie
s; a
nd a
reas
iden
tifie
din
City
and
Cou
nty
gene
ral p
lans
as
allo
win
g 15
dw
ellin
g un
its/a
cre
or h
ighe
r, a
s w
ell a
s hi
gher
den
sity
com
mer
cial
and
indu
stri
al a
reas
.
Are
as w
ere
excl
uded
if th
ey fe
ll w
ithin
an
open
spa
ce, a
gric
ultu
ral o
rco
nser
vatio
n ea
sem
ent o
r if
they
did
not
fal
l with
in a
t lea
st o
ne o
fth
e fo
llow
ing:
a tr
ansi
t cor
rido
r, c
ity b
ound
ary,
a s
pher
e of
infl
uenc
eor
in a
pot
entia
l ann
exat
ion
area
.
Tw
o ex
cept
ions
wer
e m
ade,
as
depi
cted
in th
e fo
llow
ing
map
for
the
City
of K
ing
and
Gon
zale
s. T
hese
citi
es a
re in
clud
ing
area
s th
at
~ ... T
rans
it st
op lo
catio
ns a
re p
endi
ng a
ppro
val
AN
AG
def
ines
sus
tain
able
to m
ean
that
com
mun
ities
can
mee
t pre
sent
nee
ds w
ithou
tco
mpr
omis
ing
the
abili
ty o
f suc
cesi
ve g
ener
atio
ns to
mee
t the
ir ne
eds
27
Res
iden
tial N
eigh
borh
ood
With
in W
alki
ng D
ista
nce
of a
Transit/Neighborhood Center
Con
cept
ual
Illu
stra
tion
Cen
ter
min
ute
'-,,~
c,~~ .~~
isou
rce:
AM
BA
G'~
- --
-..
.'.-"
,'_..,
.".."
,'..:3
.':-
':'!:
"-."
.CI
';"--
,.p.,.
,
, .~::i
o v. N v..~
28 P
röllt
mi/
on A
ltern
ativ
e: S
ustO
iliab
fe G
row
th P
allC
/1i
~ ~ IEPRINT PRIORITY AREAS
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
070;
(A
Far
mla
nd M
appi
ng
and
Mon
itori
ng P
rogr
am 2
006
Non
: Arc
as w
iliU
Jntin
lJc
tu h
e ¡')
¡1l
if8t1
(¡T
wu
t8J!
rì
tflOt thesE' oretl\ wUI
meer fiiu;e loco!
0\ the
LE
GE
ND
.. Blueprint Priority Areas
. Major Develpment Nodes &corridors
f Proposed Loco! Projects
..A
gric
ultu
ral L
and
..Urbanized Land
¡¡ C
ity B
ound
arie
s
@J
Sphe
res
of I
nflu
ence
=S
tate
Hig
hway
-In
ters
tate
Hig
hway
-Pa
ssen
ger
Rai
l, A
mtr
ak
tint!
~ ~ :: ~ n ~
nice
r
C9
How
Big
is a
Wal
kabl
e A
rea?
1/3 mile radius
o 8 minute walk
Are
a: 2
20 a
cres
1/2 mile radius
10 m
inut
e w
alk
Area: SOO acres
o \. N .p)i
~
3/4 mile radius
13 m
inut
e w
alk
Area: 11 00 acres
oo
Key
Cha
ract
eris
tics:
Sus
tain
able
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s
are
prop
osed
to b
e an
nexe
d ev
entu
ally
and
dev
elop
ed c
onsi
sten
tw
ith P
rior
ity A
rea
crite
ria.
Coo
rdin
ated
reg
iona
l pla
n fo
r su
stai
nabl
e gr
owth
Med
ium
to h
igh
resi
dent
ial a
nd e
mpl
oym
ent d
ensi
ties
in B
luep
rint P
riorit
y A
reas
whi
le
mai
ntai
ning
exi
stin
g av
erag
e de
nsiti
es a
cros
s th
e re
gion
New
dev
elop
men
t with
mix
of
diff
eren
t lan
d us
es
Mor
e ac
cess
to a
ffor
dabl
e/w
orkf
orce
hou
sing
in c
ities
with
larg
e em
ploy
men
t bas
es
Mul
timod
al f
ocus
ed tr
ansp
orta
tion
(str
eets
for
car
s, b
uses
, rai
L, b
ike
and
pede
stri
ans)
Mos
t em
ploy
men
t gro
wth
take
s pl
aces
in e
xist
ing
empl
oym
ent c
lust
ers
Littl
e le
apfr
og d
evel
opm
ent,
mos
tly c
ompa
ct d
evel
opm
ent
Fis
cal v
aria
nces
are
tem
pere
d by
som
e ta
x ba
se s
harin
g
Can
Blu
eprin
t Prio
rity
Are
as A
ccom
mod
ate
the
Reg
ion'
sG
row
th?
Yes
, and
with
ple
nty
of r
oom
to s
pare
. Blu
epri
nt P
rior
ity A
reas
com
pris
ea
tota
l of
44,0
00 a
cres
- n
earl
y tw
o-th
irds
the
tota
l are
a of
all
exis
ting
inco
rpor
ated
are
as in
the
regi
on. H
owev
er, a
s th
e m
ajor
ity o
f Prio
rity
Are
as a
re a
lrea
dy u
rban
ized
, not
all
of th
at la
nd c
an b
e de
velo
ped.
Acc
omm
odat
ing
the
regi
on's
gro
wth
with
in th
ese
area
s w
ill r
equi
resm
art a
nd c
ompa
ct d
esig
n th
at r
efle
cts
and
enha
nces
the
char
acte
r of
exis
ting
com
mun
ities
.
Wha
t's in
a P
rior
ity A
rea
Dev
elop
men
t Nod
e?
Sho
wn
here
is a
con
cept
ua! l
!!Ii~
lratJ
on o
la A
rea
node
whe
re ¡
/ie r
!is!a
nre
from tiie cenler 10 residentil! iieiqliiorhoods ulii ILL R niiniites.
The !¡¡IISiIlU and tommerCiol densites shown hNe (Cn Irallil
serv
ice
such
as
IIU
Ii r
aíl a
nd /J
IiS
ropi
d tr
amil
whe
ie th
e w
ol!
time
is n
o m
ore
líwn
ISni
iniit
es,
If 10
% o
f Blu
eprin
t Prio
rity
Are
as o
r 4,
400
acre
s of
land
wer
e to
acco
mm
odat
e th
e re
gion
's f
orec
aste
d ho
usin
g gr
owth
of
70,0
00ne
w u
nits
bet
wee
n 20
05 a
nd 2
035,
that
dev
elop
men
t wou
ld h
ave
Prio
rity
Are
a D
evel
opm
ent N
ode:
Con
cept
ual
Ilus
trat
ion
8 m
inut
ew
alk
~ o
iE.
VJ r'"
. ~==
~ ..S
ourc
e: A
MB
AG
, 201
0
29
~. ---I ~ ~,.,-
~-:. ..
30 P
lfStlU
09 0
(/ A
ltem
ntiv
e, S
lisla
/naÍ
Je G
low
rÌi P
atte
iis
~ ..
5%
an a
vera
ge d
ensi
ty o
f 16
dwel
ling
units
per
acre
. Thi
s de
nsity
can
be
achi
eved
with
a m
ixof
sm
all l
ot s
ingl
e fa
mily
hom
es, t
ownh
ouse
san
d m
ixed
use
row
hous
es. C
onsi
sten
t with
this
finding, over two-thirds of Blueprint survey
respondents believe that townhouses or
high
er d
ensi
ty h
ousi
ng is
mos
t nee
ded
in th
eM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a.
Can
the
Reg
ion
Gro
w S
usta
inab
ly w
hile
Acc
omm
odat
ing
Hou
sing
Pre
fere
nces
?B
luep
rint
Sur
vey
Res
pons
es f
or H
ousi
ng P
refe
renc
esM
ore
dera
iled
IUrv
y re
lUlr
i (on
be
foun
d in
Tec
hnìa
l App
endi
r G
Surv
ey Q
uest
ion:
Wha
t Typ
e of
Hou
sing
Do
You
Thi
nk Is
Mos
t
Nee
ded?
Sur
vey
Que
stio
n: W
hat T
ype
of Housing Do You Most
Pref
er?
23%
Whi
le th
ere
are
som
e 44
,000
acr
es o
f B
luep
rint
Prio
rity
Are
a, in
a 2
005
stud
y, th
e St
ate
Department of Housing and Community
Dev
elop
men
t (H
CD
) an
d C
altr
ans
iden
tifie
d3,
800
acre
s of
pot
entia
l inf
ill la
nd in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea.
23%
Whi
le A
MB
AG
has
not
upd
ated
the
HC
DI
Cal
tran
s an
alys
is, t
he in
fill
area
s do
fit
with
inth
e footprint of
the
Blu
eprin
t Prio
rity
Are
as,a
ndth
eir
pote
ntia
l is
cons
ider
ed in
the
follo
win
gse
ctio
n.
3%
(an the Region Grow Sustainably
whi
le A
ccom
mod
atin
g H
ousi
ngPr
efer
ence
s?
Surv
ey Q
uest
ion:
Im
agin
eY
ou a
re R
etire
d. W
hat T
ype
of H
ousi
ng W
ould
You
Mos
t
Pref
er?
32%
19%
12%
10%
17%
Bas
ed u
pon
Blu
epri
nt w
orks
hop
surv
ey r
esul
ts,
yes.
Thr
ough
the
Sum
mer
of 2
010,
AM
BA
Gheld workshops and provided web-based
surv
eys
to a
bout
700
par
ticip
ants
. Res
ults
from
the surveys are incorporated into AMBAG's
anal
ysis
.
If the housing types that Blueprint survey
~ :J e- :: ~ rr ~ --
~~
a v. N 0\
resp
onde
nts
thin
k is
mos
t nee
ded
perf
ectly
ant
icip
ated
mar
ket
deci
sion
s in
the
regi
on's
fut
ure
hous
ing
grow
th, u
nder
4,0
00 a
dditi
onal
acre
s of
land
wou
ld b
e co
nsum
ed b
y 20
35.
Thi
s co
nstit
utes
less
than
10%
of t
he to
tal a
rea
iden
tifie
d w
ithin
Blu
eprin
t Prio
rity
Are
as a
nd c
ould
alm
ost f
it en
tirel
y w
ithin
the
3,80
0ac
res
of in
filli
and
iden
tifie
d in
the
HC
D/C
altr
ans
2005
stu
dy.
Ifth
e ho
usin
g ty
pes
that
sur
vey
resp
onde
nts
mos
t per
sona
lly p
refe
rred
perf
ectly
ant
icip
ated
mar
ket d
ecis
ions
in th
e re
gion
's h
ousi
ng g
row
th,
tota
l lan
d co
nsum
ed w
ould
exc
eed
the
land
ava
ilabl
e w
ithin
Prio
rity
Are
as. T
hat i
s be
caus
e 23
% o
f res
pond
ents
sai
d th
ey m
ost p
refe
rred
larg
e lo
t rur
al h
omes
am
ong
all h
ousi
ng c
hoic
es. H
owev
er, i
f pre
fere
nces
for
rura
l lar
ge lo
t hom
es w
ere
excl
uded
, it w
ould
bri
ng th
e to
tal l
and
cons
umed
to u
nder
8,0
00 a
cres
and
futu
re h
ousi
ng d
eman
d w
ould
easi
ly f
it w
ithin
the
Prio
rity
Are
as.
Wor
ksho
p su
rvey
par
ticip
ants
wer
e th
en a
sked
to im
agin
e th
at th
eyw
ere
retir
ed a
nd to
iden
tify
whi
ch h
ousi
ng p
refe
renc
es th
ey w
ould
pref
er. R
etir
ed p
refe
renc
es w
ere
gene
rally
for
hig
her
dens
ity h
ousi
ngco
mpa
red
to c
urre
nt p
refe
renc
es. T
hese
res
ults
sug
gest
that
ther
e m
aybe
inte
rest
in d
owns
izin
g an
d a
desi
re fo
r m
ore
com
pact
hou
sing
type
sam
ong
a se
gmen
t of r
etire
d re
side
nts.
Whi
le B
luep
rint
wor
ksho
p pa
rtic
ipan
ts a
re n
ot n
eces
sari
ly a
repr
esen
tativ
e sa
mpl
e of
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea,
thes
e fin
ding
s ar
ein
form
ativ
e -
part
icul
arly
so
cons
ider
ing
the
pref
eren
ces
of r
esid
ents
curr
ently
livi
ng in
mul
ti-fa
mily
hou
sing
or
who
cur
rent
ly r
ely
on tr
ansi
tservices. Both groups, while under represented in the
wor
ksho
p su
rvey
s,ex
pres
sed
supp
ort f
or m
ore
com
pact
dev
elop
men
t.
With
thos
e ca
veat
s, th
e su
rvey
res
ults
dem
onst
rate
a c
onsi
dera
ble
degr
ee o
f int
eres
t in
the
kind
of c
ompa
ct d
evel
opm
ent t
hat S
usta
inab
le
~ ,.
Blu
epri
nt P
rior
ity A
rea
Hub
s: M
ixed
Use
Tra
nsit/
Nei
ghbo
rhoo
d C
ente
rsC
once
ptua
l Il
lust
ratio
n
Sour
ce: A
M B
AG
, 201
0
NE
IGH
BO
RH
OO
D P
RE
FER
EN
CE
S
Surv
ey Q
uest
ion:
I w
ould
mos
t pre
fer
to li
ve in
a n
eigh
borh
ood
whe
re:
Sou
rce:
201
0 A
MB
AG
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t Sur
vey
Rei
poni
ei
I ca
n w
alk
to s
tore
s,
libra
ries
&
rest
aura
nts
~. -",,,~,
~'".
r::~ C
",:::
'$:
~s;
::: ~
f..
31 o '- N -i
(:, Ji3
2 Pri'1'1ing on Alternative, Sus
to/n
oMe
Gro
wtÍ
l Pot
1em
s
NE
IGH
BO
RH
OO
D P
RE
FER
EN
CE
S
Sur
vey
Que
stio
n: I
wou
ld m
ost p
refe
r to
live
in a
nei
ghbo
rhoo
d th
at:
Sou
rce:
201
0 A
MB
AG
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t Sur
vey
Rei
poni
ei
Has
mor
e
cars
Has
mor
e
spac
e fo
r
wal
king
&
biki
ng
Sur
vey
Que
sion
: Wha
t is
your
mos
t im
port
ant r
easo
n in
deå
ding
whe
re to
live
?
Sou
rce:
201
0 A
MB
AG
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t Sur
vey
Rei
poni
ei
Bei
ng in
a s
afe
neig
hbor
hood
Bei
ng c
1ose
to s
hops
, art
s,
cultu
re, a
nd r
ecre
atio
n
Livi
ng in
a r
ural
or
natu
ral s
ettin
g
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s ca
lls f
or in
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea.
Cur
rent
hou
sing
data
sug
gest
s th
at th
e m
arke
t alre
ady
supp
orts
wha
t peo
ple
thin
kis needed in this region. Under Sustainable Growth Patterns, the
dist
ribu
tion
of h
ousi
ng w
ould
be
focu
sed
in P
rior
ity A
reas
to in
crea
sene
ighb
orho
od a
nd tr
ansp
orta
tion
choi
ces
as w
elL.
Incr
easi
ng H
ousi
ng, N
eigh
borh
ood
and
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Cho
ices
Sust
aina
ble
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s pr
esen
ts a
n al
tern
ativ
e re
gion
al g
row
thpa
ttern
with
sm
arte
r ne
ighb
orho
od d
esig
n w
hile
mai
ntai
ning
ave
rage
hous
ing
dens
ities
acr
oss
the
regi
on.
By
clus
terin
g ho
usin
g an
d co
mm
erci
al d
evel
opm
ent w
ithin
Prio
rity
Are
as, h
ousi
ng, n
eigh
borh
ood
and
tran
spor
tatio
n ch
oice
s ar
eincreased consistent with preferences identified through Blueprint
publ
ic p
artic
ipat
ion
effo
rts.
Sust
aina
ble
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s cr
eate
s w
alka
ble
neig
hbor
hood
s w
ithin
crea
sed
acce
ss to
des
tinat
ions
, hig
h qu
ality
tran
sit s
ervi
ces,
wel
l-lit
and
wel
l-de
sign
ed s
tree
ts w
ith m
ore
neig
hbor
hood
act
ivity
to e
nsur
esafe communities, and conservation of rural
land
.
As
such
, in
2035
und
er S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns,
res
iden
ts a
re m
ore
likel
y to
opt
to w
alk
beca
use
they
enj
oy th
e st
reet
life
and
find
the
wal
k to
be
plea
sant
and
saf
e. M
ain
stre
ets
act a
s pu
blic
pla
zas
whe
repe
dest
rian
s ta
ke p
rece
denc
e ov
er v
ehic
les.
With
mor
e ey
es o
n th
est
reet
, nei
ghbo
rhoo
ds, v
illag
e ce
nter
s an
d do
wnt
owns
bec
ome
safe
rpl
aces
to b
e.
Add
ition
ally
, man
y pe
ople
opt
to w
alk
or b
ike
beca
use
they
live
with
ina
com
fort
able
wal
king
dis
tanc
e to
wor
k. O
ther
s op
t to
take
ligh
t rai
lfo
r lo
nger
trip
s be
caus
e it
is m
ore
conv
enie
nt th
an d
rivi
ng -
they
can
pick
up
groc
erie
s at
the
shop
nea
r th
e st
atio
n on
the
way
hom
e, a
nd ~
~ ~ C" ::::
:æ::
f""'
~~:
o I. N CX
.-
thei
r ki
ds c
an ta
ke th
e tr
ain
hom
e af
ter
scho
oL. W
ith tr
ansi
t tha
t get
spe
ople
bac
k an
d fo
rth
in le
ss th
an 3
0 m
inut
es, t
rans
it st
atio
ns b
ecom
ebu
stlin
g ce
nter
s of
act
ivity
.
Mor
eove
r, w
ith p
eopl
e liv
e cl
oser
toge
ther
, it i
s ea
sier
to v
anpo
olor
car
pool
- in
clud
ing
agric
ultu
ral w
orke
rs w
ho c
an c
hoos
e to
rid
ein van
pool
s ra
ther
than
rai
tero
s, th
e pr
eval
ent e
xist
ing
info
rmal
agri
cultu
ral c
arpo
ols.
Healthy Environment, Healthy People
Und
er S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns,
the
daily
ave
rage
veh
icle
mile
str
avel
ed p
er a
dult
drop
s to
21
mile
s by
203
5, 3
mile
s le
ss th
an w
hat
Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
s su
gges
t.
As
a re
sult,
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
can
low
er p
er c
apita
gre
enho
use
gas
emis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
s tr
ucks
to 1
4.2
daily
pou
nds
- ju
st a
1 %
incr
ease
fro
m 2
005
leve
ls. W
hile
this
wou
ld n
ot m
eet t
he r
egio
nal
targ
ets
set b
y C
AR
B, i
t is
a si
gnif
ican
t im
prov
emen
t ove
r th
e 13
.7%
incr
ease
und
er C
urre
nt G
row
th P
atte
rns.
Whi
le th
e re
gion
's o
vera
ll gr
eenh
ouse
gas
es w
il co
ntin
ue to
incr
ease
due
to p
opul
atio
n gr
owth
, min
imiz
ing
the
per
capi
ta im
pact
on
the
envi
ronm
ent h
elps
to e
nsur
e th
at th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a is
rei
gnin
g in
its c
arbo
n fo
otpr
int a
nd d
oing
its
part
to m
itiga
te th
e ad
vers
e im
pact
sof
clim
ate
chan
ge.
In terms of agricultural conversion, Sustainable Growth Patterns
min
imiz
es th
e am
ount
of a
gric
ultu
ral l
and
lost
to u
rban
izat
ion,
whi
lelim
iting
the
urba
n fo
otpr
int e
ven
mor
e si
gnif
ican
tly -
20,
000
acre
ssmaller than Current Growth Patterns. Under Sustainable Growth
Pat
tern
s, th
e ne
w la
nd th
at is
con
vert
ed to
urb
an u
ses
is p
rimar
ilygr
azin
g or
iden
tifie
d as
"ot
her;
' rat
her
than
agr
icul
tura
L.
::
33
Ren
derin
g of
a T
ypic
al P
edes
tria
n O
rient
ed S
tree
t in
2035
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
010
Dai
ly V
ehic
le M
iles
Tra
vele
d pe
r A
dult
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
2005
-203
5S
ourc
e: A
MB
AG
RT
DM
201
0 I N
ote:
"A
dult"
is d
efin
ed a
s m
obile
res
iden
ts 7
5-84
yea
rs o
f ag
e; V
MT
exc
lude
s a
port
ion
of
inte
rreg
iona
l tr
avel
con
sist
ent w
ith r
egio
nal G
HG
targ
et s
ettin
g m
etho
dolo
gy
23.8
20.9
~O
C"f
~V
ljè",
-,
~~~
21.0 .
2005
II 2035 Current Growth Patterns
. 2035 Sustainable Growth Patterns
~
~-'S
õl".
..~:-
"-' I l;
P'öm
tinq
on ,A
!ter
natìv
e, S
uslo
/na!
ie G
row
th P
atte
rns
Per
Cap
ita G
reen
hous
e G
as E
mis
sion
s F
rom
Car
s an
d Li
ght T
ruck
sS
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns
VS
. Cur
rent
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
sSo
urce
: AM
BA
G R
egio
nal T
rave
l Dem
ond
Mad
eL, E
MFA
C 2
007;
CA
RB
201
0
.. - Q. ~ ¡¡ I 14.1
Cl '" ~ = :: ,f
16.0
'" o o N E 2113
.7%
- el l: = .. .c '- - = ~ I 1.1%
tl -
By
prev
entin
g th
e ur
bani
zatio
n of
an
addi
tiona
l 20,
000
acre
s of
pro
duct
ive
land
,m
ore
of th
e re
gion
's a
gric
ultu
re a
nd o
pen
spac
e w
ill b
e co
nser
ved,
pre
serv
ing
the
priz
edru
ral c
hara
cter
, nat
ural
bea
uty
and
prim
ary
economic drivers of
the Monterey Bay Area.
The
re a
re a
lso
publ
ic h
ealth
adv
anta
ges
inSu
stai
nabl
e G
row
th P
atte
rns.
. 2035 Currnt Growth Patterns
. 2035 Sustainable Growth Patterns
2035
Reg
iona
l GH
G T
arge
t14
.2 I'"Generally, taking public transit versus driving
alone equates to an average of 8.3 more
minutes a day of walking. Researchers have
found that there is an average lifetime savings
of $
5,50
0 pe
r pe
rson
in o
besi
ty m
edic
al r
elat
edco
sts
by s
impl
y w
alki
ng to
pub
lic tr
ansi
t eac
hda
y. If
8.3
min
utes
of w
alki
ng a
re a
dded
eac
hda
y, th
e ob
esity
rat
e in
203
5 in
CA
cou
ld d
rop
from
50%
to 2
8%.
,5%
Farm
land
and
Urb
aniz
ed L
and
(tot
al a
cres
)S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns
vs C
urre
nt G
row
th P
atte
rns
Sou
rce:
Dep
artm
ent o
fCon
ierv
atio
n, F
arm
land
Map
ping
and
Mon
itorin
g P
rogr
am, 2
010
2035
SG
P
2035 CGP
200
Und
er S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns,
up
to280,000 employees and 180,000 households
wil be located within a comfortable walk of
a hi
gh q
ualit
y tr
ansi
t cor
rido
r or
mix
ed u
sece
nter
by
2035
. As
such
, nea
rly 9
0% o
f the
regi
on's
em
ploy
ees
and
over
hal
f ofth
e re
gion
'sho
useh
olds
will
hav
e th
e da
ily o
ppor
tuni
ty to
incr
ease
thei
r ph
ysic
al f
itnes
s, d
ecre
ase
the
regi
on's
ove
rall
rate
s of
obe
sity
, and
min
imiz
ethe overall financial burden of
poor
com
mun
ityhe
alth
on
the
regi
on's
eco
nom
y.19
84
Impo
rtnt
Far
mla
nd (
acre
s). Urban and Buitt-Up land (acres)
~ ~
o VJ
VJ o
ATACHMEtH i 331~
81
36 Gf'i/¡Y T!im Trom Hm
Get
ting
The
re F
rom
Her
e
"Due to our City's restricted size, in
fil d
evel
opm
ent i
s th
e pr
imar
y
oppo
rtun
ity f
or a
dditi
onal
dev
elop
men
t. E
ven
the
City
's v
acan
t lan
d pl
anne
d
for
new
sho
ppin
g ce
nter
dev
elop
men
t is
plan
ned
as h
ighe
r de
nsity
than
typi
cally
see
n in
his
tori
c tr
ends
. II
Blu
epri
nt P
olic
y G
roup
mem
ber
4"-
~..
o \. I. N
Mar
ket T
rend
s T
hat S
uppo
rt S
usta
inab
le G
row
th
Tre
nds
in th
e H
ousi
ng M
arke
t
Based on an analysis of peer-reviewed published research, AM
BA
G
antic
ipat
es g
reat
er fu
ture
dem
and
for
smal
ler
hous
ing
units
, mor
ere
ntal
opp
ortu
nitie
s, a
nd h
omes
clo
ser
to jo
bs a
nd o
ther
act
iviti
es b
y20
35 in
the
regi
on.
With
hig
her
dem
and
for
smal
ler
deta
ched
hom
es a
nd a
ttach
edho
usin
g, a
nd w
ith h
ousi
ng c
lose
r to
reg
iona
l cen
ters
and
am
eniti
es,
the
regi
on c
an m
ake
prog
ress
tow
ard
the
Sus
tain
able
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
.T
his
pote
ntia
l tre
nd d
oes
not m
ean
that
con
sum
ers
will
no
long
erde
sire
sub
urba
n or
rur
al h
omes
, rat
her,
ther
e w
il be
an
incr
ease
inni
che
mar
ket d
eman
d fo
r m
ore
com
pact
hou
sing
and
tran
sit o
rient
edde
velo
pmen
t.
Whi
le th
ese
assu
mpt
ions
are
dea
lt w
ith in
mor
e de
tail
in T
echn
ical
App
endi
x E
, we
sum
mar
ize
the
maj
or fi
ndin
gs fr
om p
ublis
hed
rese
arch
and
the
appl
icab
ilty
of r
esea
rch
findi
ngs
to th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
abe
low
.
~ ¡.
In a
nat
iona
l stu
dy h
ousi
ng d
emog
raph
ers
fore
cast
ed th
at, a
s sh
own
in th
e fig
ure,
the
agin
g of
the
popu
latio
n an
d th
e in
crea
se n
atio
nwid
eof
chi
ldle
ss c
oupl
es w
il dr
ive
dem
and
for
smal
ler
hous
ing
units
. Jus
tas
the
grow
ing
Bab
y B
oom
er g
ener
atio
n ge
nera
ted
dem
and
for
larg
erho
mes
as
hous
ehol
ds g
rew
with
chi
ldre
n, a
sig
nifi
cant
nic
he s
egm
ent
of th
at s
ame
gene
ratio
n w
il do
wns
ize
as th
eir
child
ren
leav
e ho
me,
alon
g w
ith d
eclin
ing
inte
rest
in m
aint
aini
ng a
larg
er h
ome.
2003
Hou
sing
Sup
ply
vs 2
025
Hou
sing
Dem
and
in th
e U
.S.
Sour
ce: N
elso
n, 1
006,
"L
eade
rshi
p in
a N
ew E
ra"
60,0
0 .
l 50,00-
¿ 40,00.
Æ 3Q,00
g- '~ 20,000.
~',,
'i --
"''''
~l( , ~~
l~L
." ,g
f;~J
2003
. 2025
Net
New
Unk
s N
eede
d
10,0
0 - 0_
Atta
ched
Small Lot
Larg
e Lo
t
A 2
006
anal
yiis
of
the
ur, l
ioiis
iig m
arke
t com
pare
d ex
iting
Ilo
llSilg
sto
cks
ofattached hOIlSliigr small
lot and laige lot liomes to foreUisted (Iemaiid based 011
age
aiid
hou
seho
ld S
IlfS
As
show
n/n
tiie
figu
re. d
eman
d to
r at
tacl
ied
and
smiii
l lot
hom
es r
lpoi
ly e
xcee
d(lr
rpn!
sup
ply,
whi
le d
emai
id fo
r lo
t Ílo
mes
will
fal!
lJel
ow w
iren!
sup
ply. ~ o.
Vo
..V
o \.
37 ~ :J ~ ~ 'i7à
-.l~ .-r
'J~ ~
Get
ting
ílier
e F
rom
Her
, "We have no control over school
loca
tions
, but
in R
anch
o Sa
n Ju
an, w
e re
vise
d th
e pr
ojec
t to
include a school with the intent of limiting
(veh
icle
) tr
ips.
so,
we
may
con
tinue
to d
o th
is
into the
futu
re."
- B
luep
rint
Pol
icy
Gro
up M
embe
r
"Enf
orce
the
law
s w
e ha
ve n
ow, a
nd e
ncou
rage
(am
mon
sen
se g
row
th, t
hat t
akes
the
$ ou
t of
the
equa
tion.
You
can
sav
e a
buck
now
, but
you
wil
have
to p
ay th
ree
late
r fo
r th
e sh
ort s
ight
edne
ss."
- M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a re
side
nt
Compounding these background
demographic trends, a recent Urban Land
Inst
itute
stu
dy b
y Jo
hn M
cilw
ain
on th
ech
angi
ng d
emog
raph
y of
hou
sing
con
clud
esthat the net results of the current recession in
the
shor
t run
and
a s
low
rec
over
y ov
er th
e lo
ngru
n is
that
ther
e w
ill b
e a
subs
tant
ial n
eed
for
rent
al h
ousi
ng o
f all
type
s in
the
futu
re in
the
Uni
ted
Stat
es a
nd le
ss d
eman
d fo
r ne
w "
for
sale
" co
nstr
uctio
n.
Acc
ordi
ng to
the
stud
y, r
efer
ence
d in
Tec
hnic
alA
ppen
dix
E, h
omeo
wne
rshi
p le
vels
ros
eto unsustainable levels before the current
sub
prim
e m
ortg
age
cris
is. T
he c
risi
s cr
eate
da
very
larg
e in
vent
ory
of h
omes
who
sem
ortg
ages
exc
eede
d th
eir
mar
ket v
alue
.O
nly
by li
miti
ng n
ew c
onst
ruct
ion
of "
for
sale
" ho
usin
g ca
n th
e ex
trem
ely
larg
e po
ol o
f'u
nder
wat
er' h
omes
dry
up.
In li
eu o
f tha
t new
"for
sal
e" c
onst
ruct
ion,
hou
sing
mar
kets
nee
dsto
pro
vide
mor
e re
ntal
opp
ortu
ntie
s.
With
sup
port
ing
fede
ral a
nd S
tate
pol
icy,
an
incr
ease
d re
gion
al e
mph
asis
on
rent
al h
ousi
ngca
n m
eet t
hose
hou
sing
nee
ds w
hile
stil
lpr
ovid
ing
ampl
e op
port
unity
for
indi
vidu
als
and
fam
iles
to b
uy h
omes
.
Futu
re d
eman
d fo
r m
ore
rent
al h
ousi
ngm
ay a
lso
supp
ort,
in p
art,
a m
ore
com
pact
deve
lopm
ent p
atte
rn a
s m
ulti-
fam
ily z
onin
gdi
stric
ts a
re o
ften
used
to b
uffe
r si
ngle
-fam
ilyzo
ning
dis
tric
ts f
rom
com
mer
cial
are
as o
rsu
ppor
t a h
igh
leve
l of
mix
ed u
ses
betw
een
com
mer
cial
use
s an
d va
rious
atta
ched
form
sof housing, that are often rental properties,
like apartments and town
hom
es. A
s bu
ffers
betw
een
com
mer
cial
are
as a
nd lo
wer
den
sity
resi
dent
ial a
reas
, mul
ti-fa
mily
and
mix
ed-u
sezo
ning
dis
tric
ts a
re s
trat
egic
ally
pla
ced
near
com
mer
cial
and
oth
er e
mpl
oym
ent a
reas
tore
duce
per
cap
ita V
MT
.
Dur
ing
the
Sum
mer
and
Fal
l of 2
01 0
, clo
se to
700
peop
le p
artic
ipat
ed in
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea'
s pu
blic
wor
ksho
ps a
ndon
line
surv
eys.
Thr
ough
inte
ract
ive
surv
eys
the
publ
ic r
espo
nded
to a
var
iety
of q
uest
ions
abou
t hou
sing
and
nei
ghbo
rhoo
d pr
efer
ence
sth
at h
elpe
d sh
ape
this
doc
umen
t. P
artic
ipan
tsw
ere
aske
d se
vera
l que
stio
ns p
erta
inin
g to
age
and
hous
ing
choi
ce. R
elat
ive
to r
espo
nden
ts'
current preferences for housing--mostly
smal
l lot
det
ache
d ho
mes
--m
ost r
espo
nden
tsbe
lieve
d th
at a
s re
side
nts
age
they
tend
to prefer more compact forms of housing,
eith
er s
mal
l lot
hom
es o
r at
tach
ed h
ousi
ng o
fm
oder
ate
dens
ities
.
At the other end of the age spectrum is
Gen
erat
ion
Y, t
he c
hild
ren
of "
Bab
y B
oom
ers"
born from the mid-1970s onward. This
gene
ratio
n is
com
ing
of a
ge in
a ti
me
of a
maj
orec
onom
ic r
eces
sion
, dec
linin
g ho
useh
old
inco
mes
, and
a la
bor
mar
ket i
ncre
asin
gly
divi
ded
betw
een
man
y lo
w p
ayin
g jo
bs a
ndfew high paying jobs for less experienced
wor
kers
. Tog
ethe
r w
ith a
tend
ency
to m
ove
'~'
'.'..'
~,.,
.. ,-
. --'-
..~ :-
:"C :"
,~ ~ 0'~
:~
roe
o v. v. .¡
mor
e fr
eque
ntly
bet
wee
n jo
bs, G
ener
atio
n Y
may
be
mor
e in
tere
sted
in th
e fle
xibl
e liv
ing
arra
ngem
ents
of r
enta
l pro
pert
y.
While most respondents in the workshop
surveys indicated that they preferred small
lot s
ingl
e fa
mily
hom
es fo
r th
emse
lves
(w
ithru
ral h
omes
and
larg
e lo
t sin
gle
fam
ily tr
ailin
gcl
osel
y), t
hey
also
indi
cate
d ov
erw
helm
ing
supp
ort f
or h
ighe
r de
nsity
hou
sing
for
futu
reresidents of
the area.
In s
um, t
here
will
alw
ays
be d
eman
d fo
r sm
all
deta
ched
hom
es, l
arge
lot h
omes
in s
ubur
ban
area
s an
d ru
ral h
omes
, and
the
Mon
tere
y B
ayA
rea
has
larg
e in
vent
orie
s of
thes
e ki
nds
ofho
usin
g an
d bu
ilder
s w
il co
ntin
ue to
bui
ldth
ese
kind
s of
hou
sing
.
A S
usta
inab
le G
row
th S
trat
egy
wil
depe
ndup
on o
ffer
ing
expa
nded
hou
sing
cho
ices
,es
peci
ally
to e
mer
ging
nic
he m
arke
ts f
or r
enta
lpr
oper
ties
of a
ll ty
pes
and
mul
tifam
ily h
ousi
ngin
par
ticul
ar. I
f fu
ture
dev
elop
men
t pat
tern
sin
clud
e m
oder
atel
y hi
gher
leve
ls o
f mul
ti-family development, the region can house
its f
utur
e po
pula
tion
in a
mor
e su
stai
nabl
epa
ttern
.
Market Trends Influencing Transportation Choices
~ ~
With
hig
her
fuel
pric
es in
the
futu
re,
infrastructure costs wil continue to increase.
In th
e S
umm
er o
f 200
8, s
urgi
ng g
asol
ine
pric
esin
curr
ed e
norm
ous
cost
s fo
r co
mm
uter
s in
Cal
iforn
ia. F
or m
onth
s C
alifo
rnia
ns w
ith th
elo
nges
t com
mut
es p
aid
hund
reds
of d
olla
rsm
ore
in g
asol
ine,
com
poun
ding
the
loom
ing
hous
ing
cris
is in
thos
e ar
eas
with
the
long
est
com
mut
es.
Besides playing a role in the ongoing
mor
tgag
e cr
isis
, hig
her
gaso
line
cost
sincentivized oil refiners to refine oil that is
usua
lly u
sed
in b
uild
ing
road
s in
to g
asol
ine,
driv
ing
up th
e pr
ice
of o
il by
prod
ucts
use
d in
mak
ing
asph
alt.
At a
roun
d $6
a g
allo
n, th
e co
stof
bui
ldin
g a
road
will
be
dram
atic
ally
hig
her
than at lower prices. Sprawl costs us in the
shor
t ter
m, t
he lo
ng te
rm a
nd c
an p
oten
tially
cost
muc
h m
ore
if g
as p
rice
s su
rge
agai
n.
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t sur
vey
resu
lts s
how
that
resi
dent
s ar
e m
ore
likel
y to
take
tran
sit i
f th
em
arke
t pri
ce o
f ga
s w
ere
to in
crea
se to
$8.
00pe
r ga
llon.
Whi
le s
urve
y re
sults
wer
e no
tderived from a scientfically valid sample of
the
popu
latio
n, w
orks
hop
resu
lts a
re c
onsi
sten
tw
ith e
cono
mic
ana
lyse
s of
the
gas
pric
ese
nsiti
vity
of c
omm
uter
s to
cho
osin
g be
twee
nta
king
per
sona
l veh
icle
s an
d ch
oosi
ng tr
ansi
t.In
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea,
it w
il ta
ke m
ajor
mar
ket d
rive
n in
crea
ses
to g
as p
rice
s to
mak
ela
rge
num
bers
of
com
mut
ers
chan
ge to
tran
sit b
ecau
se th
e ov
erw
helm
ing
maj
ority
of
auto
mob
ile o
wne
rs w
il co
nsis
tent
ly c
hoos
e to
driv
e th
eir
car
rath
er th
an r
ide
tran
sit.
Wha
t is
your
Vis
ion
for
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
in 2
035?
Reg
iona
l Blu
eprin
t Wor
ksho
p P
rese
ntat
ion
Boa
rd
Part
icip
ants
em
phas
ized
the
need
for
inte
grat
ing
scho
ols
into
dow
ntow
n ar
eas
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G B
luep
rint W
orks
hops
201
0
,
D
39
t~ ~ ~ ~ --~
~a V
JV
J \.
40 G
ertll
9 T
htl F
rom
Her
~ I- Wha
t is
your
Vis
ion
for
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
in 2
0351
Reg
iona
l Blu
epri
ntW
orks
hop
Pres
enta
tion
Boa
rd
Pol
icie
s to
Impr
ove
Hou
sing
&N
eigh
borh
ood
Cho
ices
Mee
ting
the
need
s of
the
regi
on's
exi
stin
g an
dfu
ture
for
ecas
ted
popu
latio
n in
a s
usta
inab
lew
ay c
alls
for
polic
ies
to b
e en
acte
d at
the
loca
llevel and at the regional leveL. These regional
Bes
t Man
agem
ent P
ract
ices
are
des
crib
edbe
low
.
Firs
t, lo
cal d
evel
opm
ent r
egul
atio
ns s
houl
dco
ntin
ue to
acc
omm
odat
e hi
gher
den
sity
and
inte
nsity
use
s w
ithin
the
exis
ting
urba
nize
dar
ea o
f th
e re
gion
, and
acc
omm
odat
e th
eneeds of an aging population. Second, these
mor
e in
tens
e le
vels
of d
evel
opm
ent s
houl
dbe
des
igne
d in
an
attr
activ
e an
d fu
nctio
nal
way
. Thi
rd, t
here
sho
uld
be o
ngoi
ng p
ublic
invo
lvem
ent a
nd e
duca
tion
dire
ctly
add
ress
ing
public anxiety related to more intense
deve
lopm
ent a
nd th
e m
utua
l ben
efits
of
am
ore
com
pact
urb
an fo
otpr
int.
The
follo
win
gpo
licie
s pr
ovid
e a
glim
pse
into
the
myr
iad
of p
ract
ices
ava
ilabl
e to
ach
ieve
sus
tain
able
obje
ctiv
es.
Impl
emen
t a g
radu
ated
den
sity
bon
us fo
r ¡n
fill
proj
ects
One
of t
he g
reat
est c
halle
nges
for
deve
lope
rsof infill development is land assembly.
Bec
ause
par
cels
in in
fill
area
s ar
e of
ten
smal
lan
d sp
lit a
mon
g m
ultip
le o
wne
rs, n
eigh
bori
ng
land
ow
ners
som
etim
es ta
ke a
dvan
tage
of
are
deve
lopm
ent p
ropo
sal b
y ho
ldin
g ou
t for
high
er p
urch
ase
pric
es.
Don
ald
Sho
up, a
n ec
onom
ist a
t Uni
vers
ityof
Cal
iforn
ia L
os A
ngel
es h
as w
ritte
n ab
out
a st
rate
gy c
alle
d G
radu
ated
Den
sity
, whi
chin
cent
iviz
es la
nd a
ssem
bly
by a
llow
ing
high
erde
nsity
for
site
s as
the
site
s ge
t lar
ger.
As
such
,ho
ldou
ts w
ho a
re le
ft w
ith s
ites
that
can
not b
eco
mbi
ned
with
eno
ugh
cont
iguo
us p
rope
rtie
sto trigger higher density lose a valuable
econ
omic
opp
ortu
nity
.
Impr
ove
com
mer
cial
are
a de
sign
Par
king
lots
and
driv
eway
s no
w o
ccup
y a
sign
ific
ant p
ortio
n of
the
built
env
iron
men
t.Im
prov
ing
pede
stri
an a
cces
s, th
e vi
sual
and
aesthetic elements of commercial design,
and
the
amou
nt o
f and
loca
tion
of p
arki
ngsp
aces
wil
be c
ritic
al to
incr
easi
ng th
e va
lue
ofex
istin
g co
mm
erci
al a
reas
, mak
ing
them
mor
eac
cess
ible
and
enc
oura
ging
new
inve
stm
ent.
Inte
grat
e af
ford
able
, wor
kfor
ce a
nd m
arke
t rat
eho
usin
g
Mix
ing
affo
rdab
le h
ousi
ng w
ith n
ew m
arke
trate housing supports a greater sense
of c
omm
unity
and
als
o su
ppor
ts tr
ansi
tav
aila
bilit
y w
ithin
nei
ghbo
rhoo
ds to
all
resi
dent
s. W
hen
deve
lopm
ents
incl
ude
rent
al
~ ~ ~ "":r
t~~ ;~
"fO
-- VJ V
J 0\
~~
apar
tmen
ts, c
ondo
min
ium
s, li
ve/w
ork
build
ings
, row
hous
es a
nd s
oon
, the
y no
t onl
y pr
ovid
e op
port
uniti
es f
or a
ll m
arke
t lev
els,
but
als
opr
ovid
e ho
usin
g fo
r ol
der
resi
dent
s w
ho w
ish
to to
dow
nsiz
e th
eir
hom
es a
nd c
ontin
ue to
live
in th
eir
own
neig
hbor
hood
s.
Impl
emen
t sch
ool c
ente
red
deve
lopm
ent o
r lo
cate
sch
ools
in d
ense
r ar
eas
Goo
d sc
hool
s an
chor
goo
d ne
ighb
orho
ods.
Whe
n fa
mile
s m
ove
to a
new
are
a, th
ey o
ften
look
at w
hich
sch
ools
off
er th
e hi
ghes
t qua
lity
ofed
ucat
ion,
and
freq
uent
ly d
ecid
e to
mov
e cl
ose
enou
gh to
be
in th
esc
hool
dis
tric
t and
/or
with
in w
alki
ng d
ista
nce
of th
at s
choo
L. S
choo
lsha
ve tr
aditi
onal
ly b
een
the
cent
er o
f a c
omm
unity
. Usi
ng s
choo
ls to
once
aga
in a
ct a
s a
com
mun
ity c
ente
r w
ill in
crea
se n
eigh
borh
ood
iden
tity
and
valu
e.
Polic
ies
to I
mpr
ove
Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Cho
ices
Ove
rall,
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
alre
ady
impl
emen
ts m
any
good
plan
ning
pra
ctic
es th
at r
einf
orce
exi
stin
g co
mm
uniti
es a
nd e
xist
ing
tran
sit.
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
iden
tifie
s th
e ne
ed to
focu
sfu
ture
hou
sing
gro
wth
nea
r jo
bs to
pro
vide
incr
ease
d ac
cess
to s
ocia
L,
envi
ronm
enta
l and
fina
ncia
l res
ourc
es. F
urth
erm
ore,
we
argu
e th
atcl
uste
red
deve
lopm
ent s
uppo
rts
an in
crea
se in
tran
spor
tatio
n ch
oice
sas
wel
l as
hous
ing
choi
ces.
For
exam
ple,
to s
uppo
rt a
thri
ving
, hig
h qu
ality
tran
sit s
yste
m,
thre
shol
ds fo
r ho
usin
g m
ust b
e m
et. A
t lea
st 3
,300
hou
sing
uni
ts w
ithin
a ha
lf m
ile r
adiu
s of
a li
ght r
ail s
top
and
2,75
0 of
a b
us r
apid
tran
sit s
top
are
thre
shol
ds r
ecom
men
ded
by th
e M
etro
polit
an T
rans
port
atio
nC
omm
issi
on fo
r th
e S
an F
ranc
isco
Bay
Are
a. H
ousi
ng ty
pes
such
as
dupl
exes
, tow
nhou
ses,
row
hous
es a
nd a
part
men
t bui
ldin
gs m
eet
tran
sit s
uppo
rtiv
e th
resh
olds
.
The
re a
re a
ran
ge o
f add
ition
al p
olic
ies
that
can
ser
ve to
incr
ease
the
~ ,.
Tra
nsit
Supp
ortiv
e H
ousi
ng T
ypes
Whi
le 1
0% o
f B
luep
rint
sur
vey
resp
onde
nts
pref
er to
wnh
ouse
s an
d ro
who
uses
like
thos
e sh
own
here
, 30%
ant
iCÎta
te th
ey w
ould
pre
fer
them
upo
n re
tirem
ent.
Ove
r ha
lf of
all
surv
ey r
espo
nden
tsthink this type 0 housing is the most needed type of housing in the Monterey Bay Area.
As
of 2
010,
17%
of
all h
ousi
ng in
the
regi
on is
com
pris
ed o
f si
ngle
fam
ily a
ttach
ed h
omes
and
sma
Iler
(2-
4 un
it) m
ulti-
fam
ily h
ousi
ng, a
ccor
ding
to th
e C
A D
epar
tmen
t of
Fina
nce.
2-3
stor
y to
wnh
ouse
s &
mix
ed u
se r
owho
uses
20,3
5 du
s/ac
re
100j
obso
r40
,000
sq
ft o
fretail per city
bloc
k
train arrives
every 20
min
utes
bus
arri
ves
every 1 S
min
utes
,"I'
-\ '-
(onc
eptu
alllu
stra
tion
INFRASTRUCTURE COSTS (Roads, Sewer & Waterl*
$6,5
00 p
er c
ity b
lock
$190
per
hou
sing
uni
t
Sour
ce: A
MB
AG
~ ;; -- ~ ~ .....
''I
*50u
rce:
Fra
nk, M
ura,
Litt
man
; AM
BA
G A
nalY
lil, F
igur
ei r
efer
to n
et p
reie
nt v
alue
of l
ife c
ycle
coi
ts b
aied
on h
ousi
ng d
eniit
y av
erag
es,
41
~~.
.V
o -:
Getfnq ìher From Here
Ado
ptin
g a
Fix
it F
irst P
olic
y fo
r In
fras
truc
ture
Ass
essi
ng C
urre
nt N
eeds
Sour
æ:A
SCE
ASC
EC
AL
IFO
RN
IAB
NR
tAS1
1UJ(
.lJU
REPORT Cl~ 2006
Avi
aon
C
Lev
ees
¡ Fl
ood
Coo
lrol
F
Par
k I O
pen
Spa
D.
Port
sC
.
So Wase
6T
rans
port
tion
D+
Urb Runofl
1)W
aste
wat
erC
'
Wat
erC
+
calif
orni
a's
liict
re G
PAc-
Ann
ual
Inve
sten
Nee
d$3
7 B
illon
tran
spor
tatio
n ch
oice
s av
aila
ble
to M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a re
side
nts.
The
fol
low
ing
are
som
eex
ampl
es o
fthes
e po
licie
s.
Impl
emen
t "sa
fe r
oute
s to
sch
ools
" pr
ogra
m
A c
orne
rsto
ne o
f inc
reas
ing
wal
king
trip
sto
sch
ools
is a
ddre
ssin
g a
grow
ing
if n
otst
atis
tical
ly v
alid
con
cern
that
wal
king
trip
sto
sch
ool a
re n
ot s
afe
beca
use
of tr
affc
and
crim
e. "
Safe
Rou
tes
to S
choo
ls"
is f
unde
d by
the
Fed
eral
Hig
hway
Adm
inis
trat
ion,
and
should continue to be utilzed to improve
acce
ss.
Ado
ptin
g a
"fix
it fi
rst"
pol
icy
for
infr
astr
uctu
re
Public expenditures on capital such as
stre
ets,
hig
hway
s, s
ewer
and
wat
er s
yste
ms,
light
ing,
sch
ools
and
oth
er c
ivic
bui
ldin
gs a
resi
gnif
ican
t, ev
en a
s m
aint
enan
ce o
nly
cost
s.A
n un
coor
dina
ted
land
dev
elop
men
t pro
cess
mea
ns th
at in
vest
men
ts in
new
pub
lic c
apita
lin
fras
truc
ture
are
prio
ritiz
ed o
ver
mai
nten
ance
of e
xist
ing
faci
litie
s.
Use Intellgent Transportation Systems (ITS)
ITS can be used to re-route congested traffc
to le
ss c
onge
sted
roa
ds, m
eter
onr
amps
, and
info
rm d
river
s of
exp
ecte
d tr
avel
tim
es to
dest
inat
ions
. IT
S c
an a
lso
be u
sed
to in
form
tran
sit u
sers
whe
n th
e ne
xt b
us o
r tr
ain
isco
min
g an
d th
ese
syst
ems
can
supp
ort a
wid
e
rang
e of
inte
rsec
tion
man
agem
ent t
ools
as
wel
l to
impr
ove
safe
ty a
nd e
ffcie
ncy.
Enc
oura
ge te
leco
mm
utin
g an
d al
tern
ativ
e w
ork
sche
dule
s
Man
y re
gion
s in
the
Uni
ted
Stat
es e
ncou
rage
alte
rnat
ive
wor
k sc
hedu
les
and
even
wor
king
from
hom
e vi
a te
leco
mm
utin
g as
a w
ayof
eas
ing
peak
-hou
r tr
ips.
Rel
ativ
ely
easy
to im
plem
ent,
part
icip
atio
n is
driv
en b
yem
ploy
ers,
and
by
redu
cing
off
ce w
orke
r tr
ips
once
a w
eek,
biw
eekl
y or
eve
n by
sta
gger
ing
trip
s du
ring
pea
k ho
urs
vehi
cle
volu
mes
and
VM
T a
re lo
wer
ed o
n m
ajor
reg
iona
l roa
ds.
Impl
emen
t and
coo
rdin
ate
use
of e
mpl
oyee
veh
icle
shar
ing
prog
ram
s an
d al
tern
ativ
e m
odes
In r
ural
are
as, m
any
wor
kers
are
em
ploy
ed in
agri
cultu
ral a
ctiv
ities
. Van
pool
ing
is a
saf
eran
d m
ore
relia
ble
mea
ns o
f tr
ansi
t tha
t has
been
wel
l rec
eive
d in
oth
er p
arts
of C
alifo
rnia
.With about 60,000 to 80,000 peak season
farm employees in the Monterey Bay Area,
vanp
oolin
g, b
y ca
ptur
ing
som
e pe
rcen
t of
thes
e tr
ips,
wil
cont
ribu
te to
low
erin
g tr
affc
volu
mes
on
maj
or r
oads
.
Impr
ove
empl
oyer
par
king
man
agem
ent
Typ
ical
ly, p
arki
ng is
sub
sidi
zed
by e
mpl
oyer
sand provided free to the employee. By
taki
ng a
dvan
tage
of p
arki
ng "
cash
out
" an
d
~
~ ;F :: a: ~ .. o v. v. CX
"Com
mut
er C
heck
" pr
ogra
ms,
em
ploy
ers
give
thie
r em
ploy
ees
choi
ces
for
tran
spor
tatio
n an
d m
ore
accu
rate
ly d
emon
stra
te th
e re
al c
ost o
fpa
rkin
g an
d si
ngle
occ
upan
t dri
ving
in th
eir
acco
untin
g pr
oces
ses.
Impl
emen
t veh
icle
sha
ring
pro
gram
s
Car
-sha
ring
is p
ayin
g to
use
a v
ehic
le fo
r a
spec
ified
am
ount
of
time.
Typ
ical
ly th
ese
are
subs
crip
tion
or b
y-us
e ve
hicl
es, a
nd th
eco
st in
clud
es, g
as a
nd in
sura
nce
in a
dditi
on to
a ti
me-
base
d ra
te,
and
redu
ce th
e am
ount
of v
ehic
les
that
are
indi
vidu
ally
ow
ned
in a
com
mun
ity. M
any
peop
le a
re f
amili
ar w
ith a
com
pany
cal
led
Zip
Car
.In the proper circumstances, ZipCar can replace up to 15 personal
vehi
cles
.
Red
ucin
g M
inim
um P
arki
ng R
equi
rem
ents
Par
king
reg
ulat
ions
for
vario
us ty
pes
of d
evel
opm
ent o
ften
resu
lt in
an o
vers
uppl
y of
par
king
spa
ces,
leav
ing
larg
e ar
eas
of u
nder
utili
zed
land in urban areas. Excessive parking requirements can require
unec
essa
ry a
nd e
xpen
sive
str
uctu
red
park
ing.
By
redu
cing
min
imum
park
ing
stan
dard
s, u
rban
are
as c
an m
ake
bette
r us
e of
exi
stin
gpr
oper
ty. B
y re
duci
ng th
e ov
eral
l par
king
sup
ply,
loca
litie
s ca
ninfluence commuter decisions on taking transit or encourage
empl
oyer
s to
com
pens
ate
empl
oyee
s w
ho p
rom
ise
not t
o dr
ive
thei
row
n ca
rs to
wor
k, le
avin
g th
e av
aila
ble
spac
es f
or c
usto
mer
s. S
hare
dpa
rkin
g is
als
o a
polic
y th
at c
an a
llow
res
iden
tial u
ses
to u
tiliz
e sp
aces
that
are
gen
eral
ly u
sed
duri
ng w
orki
ng h
ours
.
~ I-
For
a Se
lect
Few
: 5-8
Sto
ry M
ixed
-Use
Dis
tric
ts
In S
usta
inab
le G
row
th P
atte
rns,
no
city
wou
ld n
eed
to b
uild
to th
is h
eigh
t to
acco
mm
odat
e th
ere
gion
's g
row
th. S
ome
area
s, h
owev
er, m
ay c
hoos
e to
.
Onl
y 1%
of B
luep
rint s
urve
y re
spon
dent
s pr
efer
hou
sing
type
s lik
e th
ose
show
n he
re, J
ust o
ver
7% s
aid
they
wou
ld p
refe
r th
em u
pon
retir
emen
t, an
d 17
% th
ink
the
regi
on n
eeds
this
type
of
housing the most.
As
of 2
010,
ove
r 15
% o
fthe
reg
ion'
s cu
rren
t hou
sing
is c
ompr
ised
of
high
er d
ensi
ty m
ulti-
fam
ilyho
usin
g,
"- trai
n ar
rive
severy 15
min
utes
bus
arri
ves
every 10
min
utes
(onc
eptu
alllu
stra
tion
INFRASTRUCTURE COSTS (Roads, Sewer & Water)*
$6,5
00 p
er c
ity b
lock
$90
per
hous
ing
unit
'Sou
rce:
Fra
nk, M
ura,
Litt
man
; AM
BA
G A
naly
sis.
Fig
ures
ref
er to
net
pre
sent
val
ue o
f life
cyc
le c
osts
bas
ed o
n
hous
ing
dens
ity a
vera
ges.
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 1
010
~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ -- -~
43 o VJ
VJ '"
Gel
log
ììiei
e F
rom
Hm
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
Wili
amso
n A
ct A
crea
geT
otal
Rep
orte
d E
nrol
lmen
t by
Cou
nty,
199
1-20
07S
ourc
e: C
alifo
rnia
Dep
artm
ent o
f C
onse
rvat
ion,
Far
mla
nd M
appi
ng a
nd M
onito
rmg
Prog
ram
, 199
1-20
07
800
~ 600
'" 'l i 400
:I '" o .; 200
584k
-Sal
l'8en
íto
o-S
anta
'Eru
z17
k
~~~~
~~~~
~§8§
§888
8~-
----
---~
~~~~
~~~
Dai
ly W
ater
Con
sum
ptio
n by
Hou
sing
Typ
e -
Indo
or &
Out
door
Changes in water consumption vary with total
land
scap
ed a
rea
Asi
umpt
ions
bas
ed u
pon
AP
A U
rban
Des
ign
Sta
ndar
ds a
nd In
dex
Pla
n B
uild
er a
nd A
WW
A (
Am
eric
an W
ater
Wor
ks
Asi
ocia
tion)
, USD
A S
oil C
onse
rvat
ion
Serv
ice
Stud
y (1
986)
Housing Type (dwellng units/acre)
Wat
er U
se p
er U
nit I
(gal
lons
/day
) I
Apa
rtm
ents
/Apa
rtm
ent B
uild
ings
(30
+ d
us/a
c)ap
pr.2
20
Sin
gle
Fam
ily A
ttach
ed U
nits
(12
-0 d
us/a
c)ap
pr.2
25
Smal
l lot
Sin
gle
Fam
ily D
etac
hed
(12
dus/
ac)
appr
.240
Subu
rban
larg
e lo
t (2
dus/
ac)
appr
.500
Rur
al
larg
e lo
t (3
ac/d
u)ap
pr.2
000
Conserving Natural Resources
Agr
icul
tura
l Lan
d an
d O
pen
Spac
e
The
se p
olic
ies
can
incl
ude
agri
cultu
ral b
uffe
r re
quir
emen
ts f
or n
ewde
velo
pmen
ts a
nd m
itiga
tion
bank
ing
in w
hich
dev
elop
ers
purc
hase
land
and
pla
ce th
em in
to c
onse
rvat
ion.
The Williamson Act provides a lower tax assessment placed on
agri
cultu
ral l
ands
in r
etur
n fo
r fa
rmer
s co
mm
ittin
g to
kee
p th
eir
land
unde
velo
ped
for
at le
ast t
en y
ears
. How
ever
, as
pres
sure
for
hou
sing
deve
lopm
ent i
ncre
ases
, the
tax
bene
fits
pro
vide
d by
the
Will
amso
nA
ct a
re n
ot e
noug
h of
an
ince
ntiv
e fo
r so
me
farm
ers
to k
eep
thei
r la
ndun
deve
lope
d.
As
stat
ed p
revi
ousl
y, s
tart
ing
to fu
lly a
sses
s th
e ac
tual
cos
t of
deve
lopm
ent a
nd o
n-go
ing
infr
astr
uctu
re c
osts
on
the
urba
n fr
inge
,along with better incentivizing farmers through revisions to the
Will
iam
son
Act
, wil
help
pre
serv
e th
e re
gion
's im
port
ant f
arm
land
and
ensu
re c
ontin
ued
econ
omic
pro
sper
ity th
roug
h th
e ag
ricul
tura
l sec
tor.
limite
d W
ater
Res
ourc
es
The
re a
re a
var
iety
of
wat
er c
onse
rvat
ion
polic
ies
that
can
com
e in
topl
ay to
res
pond
to th
e co
ncer
ns a
bou
t wat
er r
esou
rces
.
We
have
man
y op
tions
suc
h as
incr
easi
ng e
ffci
ency
and
con
serv
atio
nof
wat
er, b
ette
r gr
ound
wat
er m
anag
emen
t, re
cycl
ing,
con
junc
tive
use,
ela
bora
te r
egio
nal w
ater
man
agem
ent p
rogr
ams
that
sto
re la
rge
volu
mes
of s
urfa
ce w
ater
bel
ow g
roun
d du
ring
norm
al a
nd h
igh
rain
fall
year
s an
d th
en p
ump
larg
e vo
lum
es o
f gro
undw
ater
from
stor
age
durin
g dr
ough
t yea
rs. F
inal
ly, t
here
is d
esal
inat
ion,
whi
chwhile providing a dependable water source, is
ener
gy in
tens
ive
and
pres
ents
a c
halle
nge
from
the
gree
nhou
se g
as p
ersp
ectiv
e.
:3=
\ ~ -- ~ ::. ~ --o V
I .t o..
m
In te
rms
of in
divi
dual
hou
seho
ld u
se, c
onse
rvat
ion
prac
tices
with
inea
ch h
ouse
hold
can
res
ult i
n a
redu
ctio
n of
5%
of w
ater
use
from
an
aver
age
of 2
18 g
allo
ns/d
ay to
208
gal
lons
/day
.
Furt
herm
ore,
mor
e co
mpa
ct d
evel
opm
ent r
esul
ts in
less
wat
erus
e pe
r ho
usin
g un
it as
sho
wn
in th
e ta
ble
on le
ft. T
his
is d
ueto
the
vari
atio
n in
tota
l lan
dsca
ped
area
ass
ocia
ted
with
eac
hho
usin
g ty
pe. F
or e
xam
ple,
sub
urba
n la
rge
lot u
nits
typi
cally
use
appr
oxim
atel
y 50
0 ga
llons
per
day
for
both
out
door
and
indo
orw
ater
use
whi
le s
ingl
e fa
mily
atta
ched
uni
ts s
uch
as to
wnh
ouse
san
d du
plex
es ty
pica
lly u
se a
ppro
xim
atel
y 22
5 ga
llons
per
day
for
both
out
door
and
indo
or w
ater
use
.
Other water conservation practices include using permeable
surf
aces
to m
itiga
te s
torm
wat
er r
unof
f an
d im
prov
e gr
ound
wat
erre
char
ging
; use
of
xeri
scap
ing
and
hard
scap
ing
in p
lace
of
land
scap
ing
in c
omm
erci
al a
nd m
ixed
use
dev
elop
men
ts a
nd a
long
streetsca pes.
Bal
anci
ng c
ompe
ting
dem
ands
for
shr
inki
ng r
esou
rces
mea
nsm
akin
g tr
ade-
offs
am
ong
regi
onal
pri
oriti
es. I
f th
e co
mm
uniti
esof
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
plan
col
labo
rativ
ely
and
inve
st in
wat
erin
fras
truc
ture
in c
onju
nctio
n w
ith tr
ansp
orta
tion
inve
stm
ent t
here
will
be
less
con
gest
ion,
less
gre
enho
use
gase
s, a
nd m
ore
jobs
. The
trad
e-of
f for
thos
e pr
iorit
ies
may
ulti
mat
ely
incl
ude
inve
stm
ent i
nde
salin
atio
n. O
r w
e ca
n de
fer
on in
vest
men
t, be
caus
e of
its
cost
san
d co
ntro
vers
y no
w, a
nd r
isk
payi
ng m
uch
mor
e, w
ith le
ss e
ffec
t,la
ter
to a
ddre
ss th
e sa
me
issu
es.
c. ..
Sin
gle
Fam
ily A
ttach
ed U
nits
Wat
er C
onsu
mpt
ion
Rat
es V
ary
by H
ousi
ng T
ype
Due
toV
aria
tions
in L
ands
cape
d A
rea
Apa
rtm
ents
/Apa
rtm
ent B
uild
ings
Smal
l Lot
Sin
gle
Fam
ily D
etac
hed
Sou
rce:
AM
BA
G, 2
010
45
~ :p 0
£~ :a ~
rr :a -l .. ~
Get
l/19
The
re F
rom
Her
Reg
iona
lr S
tate
and
Fed
eral
Pol
icie
s
A R
egio
nally
Coo
rdin
ated
Hou
sing
+ T
rans
port
atio
n
Inve
stm
ent P
olic
y
Per
iodi
cally
, the
sta
te H
ousi
ng a
ndC
omm
unity
Dev
elop
men
t dep
artm
ent
provides regional housing goals for each
Cou
ncil
of G
over
nmen
ts in
Cal
iforn
ia to
dist
ribut
e to
loca
l jur
isdi
ctio
ns. I
n ou
r re
gion
,A
MB
AG
is th
e C
ounc
il of
Gov
ernm
ents
for
Mon
tere
y an
d S
anta
Cru
z C
ount
ies.
In th
eup
com
ing
hous
ing
cycl
e, A
MB
AG
, with
loca
lju
risd
ictio
ns, w
il de
vise
a r
egio
nal h
ousi
ngne
eds
allo
catio
n, a
pla
n th
at p
rovi
des
hous
ing
goal
s to
eac
h ju
risdi
ctio
n, th
at im
prov
es th
ejo
bs-h
ousi
ng b
alan
ce b
etw
een
juris
dict
ions
and
poss
ibly
bet
wee
n re
gion
s al
ong
with
prov
idin
g op
port
uniti
es fo
r ho
usin
g of
all
inco
me
leve
ls.
Thr
ough
the
impl
emen
tatio
n of
SB
375
, Sta
tela
w n
ow d
irec
ts tr
ansp
orta
tion
plan
ning
agen
cies
to c
o-in
vest
tran
spor
tatio
nimprovements in communities in ways
to support the Regional Housing Needs
Allocation. With better coordinated
tran
spor
tatio
n an
d ho
usin
g po
licy,
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea
can
prov
ide
wor
kfor
ce a
ndm
arke
t rat
e ho
usin
g an
d en
sure
that
ther
e is
ava
riet
y of
tran
spor
tatio
n ch
oice
s fo
r re
side
nts.
It is
not
inco
ncei
vabl
e th
at f
utur
e pl
ans
wil
ince
ntiv
ize
loca
l gov
ernm
ents
to ta
ke o
n a
high
er h
ousi
ng a
lloca
tion
by p
rovi
ding
mor
etr
ansp
orta
tion
and
othe
r in
fras
truc
ture
dol
lars
.
Def
isca
lizat
ion
of la
nd u
se
State and local government 1inance is
unde
rgoi
ng a
cri
sis.
Sin
ce th
e ad
optio
n of
Pro
posi
tion
13, l
ocal
gov
ernm
ents
and
the
Sta
te h
ave
been
forc
ed to
mee
t ser
vice
, pub
licsafety and infrastructure needs through
fund
ing
sour
ces
othe
r th
an p
rope
rty
taxe
s.Lo
cal g
over
nmen
ts h
ave
been
giv
en a
prim
ary
sour
ce f
or f
undi
ng: s
ales
tax.
Ove
r th
e la
stde
cade
citi
es a
nd c
ount
ies
have
bee
n fo
rced
to fa
vor
reta
il or
sal
es ta
x ge
nera
ting
uses
ove
rho
usin
g an
d em
ploy
men
t use
s. T
his
land
use
plan
ning
bia
s is
cal
led
the
1isc
aliz
atio
n of
land
use.
As
such
, man
y lo
calit
ies
in th
e M
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a ar
e st
rugg
ling
with
pay
ing
for
basi
cse
rvic
es f
or th
eir
resi
dent
s be
caus
e th
eyca
nnot
attr
act e
noug
h re
tail
busi
ness
and
thei
r ac
com
pany
ing
tax
dolla
rs. O
n th
e ot
her
hand
, the
re a
re s
ome
loca
l gov
ernm
ents
that
rece
ive
sign
i1ic
ant r
even
ues
from
ret
ail a
ndtr
ansi
ent o
ccup
ancy
taxe
s.
The
re a
re v
ario
us s
olut
ions
to th
e is
sue,
som
eof which are easy and most of which wil
likel
yha
ve to
occ
ur a
t the
Sta
te le
veL.
Som
e op
tions
incl
ude
reve
nue
shar
ing
and
rest
ruct
urin
gpr
oper
t and
Sta
te s
ales
tax
allo
catio
ns.
Pur
sue
com
mon
legi
slat
ive
goal
s at
the
Sta
te a
nd
fede
ral
leve
ls
With
out f
undi
ng f
or tr
ansi
t, or
oth
er c
apita
limprovements, local governments cannot
impl
emen
t man
y el
emen
ts o
f Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea.
Wor
king
toge
ther
, loc
algovernments, in conjunction with AM
BA
G,
may
see
k le
gisl
ativ
e re
med
ies
to a
ddre
ssim
pedi
men
ts to
sus
tain
able
dev
elop
men
t.
The
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea,
like
eve
ry o
ther
reg
ion
in C
alifo
rnia
, can
not s
usta
in h
igh
qual
itytr
ansi
t unl
ess
the
Sta
te m
akes
tran
sit a
prio
rity.
The
reg
ion
cann
ot m
eet i
nfra
stru
ctur
e ne
eds
with
out 1
inan
ce r
efor
m f
or lo
cal g
over
nmen
tsan
d fo
r th
e S
tate
itse
lf.
A S
mar
t Inf
rast
ruct
ure
stra
tegy
mus
t be
apr
iori
ty f
or th
e St
ate,
in o
rder
for
our
reg
ion
tom
eet g
reen
hous
e ga
s em
issi
on ta
rget
s. T
heSt
ate
mus
t als
o w
eigh
t the
inte
rpla
y be
twee
nin
fras
truc
ture
s, s
uch
as b
etw
een
wat
er, r
oads
,sc
hool
s, s
ervi
ces
and
Sta
te h
ousi
ng m
anda
tes
in w
ays
that
ince
ntiv
ize
grow
th in
pla
ces
that
limit
addi
tiona
l exp
endi
ture
s, a
s op
pose
dto
trea
ting
infr
astr
uctu
res
as in
depe
nden
tco
mpo
nent
s of
dev
elop
men
t.
Acc
ordi
ng to
the
Am
eric
an S
ocie
ty o
f Civ
ilEngineers, California's backlog of infrastructure
need
s co
mes
to $
37 b
illio
n a
year
, $'8
bill
on o
fth
at in
roa
ds. C
altr
ans
has
take
n an
impo
rtan
tstep forward through the Blueprint planning
prog
ram
in r
aisi
ng a
war
enes
s of
thes
e is
sues
,but there needs to be expanded statewide
and
fede
ral i
nves
tmen
t in
infr
astr
uctu
re.
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~.f.
.-..
~tt'
Il~-
'Ir;
;!,'l
~~~'
~'1
~
~oV
J -i N
Con
clus
ion
Ove
r th
e pr
ecee
ding
pag
es w
e ha
ve o
utlin
ed th
e an
ticip
ated
tren
dsaf
fect
ing
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay, t
he c
halle
nges
thos
e tr
ends
pre
sent
and
how
thos
e tr
ends
inte
ract
with
new
sta
te le
gisl
atio
n re
quiri
ng th
at th
eM
onte
rey
Bay
Are
a cu
t its
gre
enho
use
gas
emis
sion
s fr
om c
ars
and
light
truc
ks b
y 20
35.
Using input from the public and from planners from all
loca
l age
ncie
s,w
e ch
art a
n al
tern
ativ
e co
urse
than
pre
sent
tren
ds--
a co
urse
that
ism
ore
sust
aina
ble
thro
ugh
2035
.
Thi
s co
urse
, the
Sus
tain
able
Gro
wth
Pat
tern
, is
cons
iste
nt w
ithlo
ng-t
erm
dem
ogra
phic
tren
ds, w
ith m
uch
of th
e pu
blic
res
pons
eto
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
y B
ay A
rea,
and
fits
with
in th
e br
oad
dire
ctiv
es o
f ex
istin
g lo
cal p
lans
.
Spe
cific
act
ions
that
reg
iona
l age
ncie
s ne
ed to
take
are
wor
king
together on coordinating regional housing needs, regional
tran
spor
tatio
n ne
eds
and
invo
lvin
g lo
cal a
genc
ies
and
the
publ
icth
roug
hout
.
We
look
to lo
cal a
genc
ies
to c
onsi
der
the
polic
ies
disc
usse
d in
the
Bes
t Man
agem
ent P
ract
ices
sec
tion
and
cons
ider
the
chal
leng
es o
fim
plem
entin
g th
ose
polic
ies,
whe
re a
pplic
able
.
Onc
e th
e A
MB
AG
Boa
rd o
f Dire
ctor
s ad
opts
Env
isio
ning
the
Mon
tere
yB
ay A
rea
Blu
eprin
t, A
MB
AG
and
its
part
ner
agen
cies
will
bui
ld o
nth
e B
luep
rint
to d
evel
op th
e ne
w, s
tatu
ator
ily r
equi
red
Sust
aina
ble
Com
mun
ities
Str
ateg
y th
at w
il de
mon
stra
te h
ow o
ur r
egio
n w
illre
duce
per
cap
ita g
reen
hous
e em
issi
ons
by 5
per
cent
by
2035
.
~ ..
47
Thr
ough
the
deve
lopm
ent o
f the
Sus
tain
able
Com
mun
ities
Str
ateg
y, .
as r
equi
red
by 5
B 3
75, A
MB
AG
and
the
Reg
iona
l Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Plan
ning
Age
ncie
s w
ill c
oord
inat
e on
how
fut
ure
tran
spor
tatio
nin
vest
men
ts w
il be
use
d to
sup
port
a jo
b-ce
nter
ed h
ousi
ng p
olic
y.
Regional GHG Targets per 58 375
Percent Reduction from 2005 in Daily Per Capita GHGs
Ado
pted
by
Cal
iforn
ia A
ir R
esou
rces
Boa
rd o
n 9/
23/2
010
2020
.203
5
Mon
tere
Bay
A
rea
Bay
A
rea
San
Joaq
uin
San
Lui
s O
bisp
o
0% I
I-~
iI
-5%
-8% -8%
-10%
-15%
~o
ß I.
- ~ I.
31
0344
n'D'
II1100 K Stiegi
Soile 101
SoiiieiloCQI~ornio
9Sal4
re"916,327500
1(l~n~
916.441.507
0345~ATTACHMfNi 2
California State Association of Counties
58375 (STEINBERG)Addressing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Transportation Sector
via Regional Transporttion PlansCSAC Analvsis
SUMMARY
In 2006, the Legislature passed AB 32 -The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 -which requires the State of California to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 1990levels no later than 2020, According to the CaliforniaAir Resources Board (CARS), in 1990GHG emissions from automobiles and light trucks were 108 millon metric tons, but by 2004these emissions had increased to 135 million metric tons, The transportation sectorcontributes over 40 percent of the GHGs throughout the state. Automobiles and light trucksalone contribute almost 30 percent. AB 32 granted CARB broad authority over any"sourco" of GHG emissions, including the authority to regulate the car and light truck sector.
SS 3ni, by Senator Darrell Steinberg, provides a means for achieving AB 32 goals from
cars arid light trucks. The bill is a monumental step forward in the State's efforts to achievethe global warming goals consistent with AB 32 (Nunez, Chapter488, Statutes of2006), Further, the bill aligns three critical policy areas of importance to local
government: (1) regional long-range transportation plans and investments; (2) regionalallocatiion of the obligation for cities and counties to zone for housing; and (3) a process toachieve greenhouse gas emissions reductions targets for the transportation sector.
State, Regional and Local Role in Setting TargetsThe new law establishes a process for CARB to develop the GHG emissions reductionstargets for each region (as opposed to individual local governments or households). CARBmust take certain factors into account before setting the targets, such as considering thelikely reductions that will resultfrom actions to improve the fuel effciency of the statewidefleet arid regulations related to the carbon content of fuels (low carbon fuels). CARB mustalso convene a Regional Targets Advisory Committee (RTAC), which includesrepresentation from the League of California Cities (League), California State Association ofCounties (CSAC), metropolitan planning organizations, developers, planning organizationsand other stakeholder groups. Furthermore, before setting the targets for each region,CARB is required to exchange technical information with the MPO for that region and withthe affected air district. SB 375 provides that the MPO may recommend a target for itsregion,
Enhanced Regional Planning ProcessSB 375 relies upon regional planning processes already underway in the 17 MetropolitanPlanning Organizations (MPOs) in the state to accomplish its objectives. The provisionsrelated to GHG emissions only apply to the MPOs in the state, which includes 37 of the 58countiElS. Most notably, the measure requires the MPO to prepare a SustainableCommunities Strategy (SCS) within the Regional Transportation Plan (RTP), which setsforth a vision for growth for the region taking into account the transportation, housing,environmental, and economic needs of the region. The SCS is the blueprint by which theregion will meet its GHG emissions reductions target if there is a feasible way to do so.
31
0346Q428
ATTACHMENT I
Requires State Interagency CooperationSB 375 indirectly addresses another longstanding issue: single purpose state agencies,The new law will require the cooperation of CARB, the California TransportationCommission (CTC), the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) and the StateDepartment of Housing and Community Development (HCD). For example, SB 375 takes afirst step to counter this problem by connecting the Regional Housing Needs Allocation(RHNA) to the transportation planning process, While these state agencies will be involvedin setting the targets and adopting new guidelines, local governments and the MPOs willnot only provide input into settng the targets, but will serve as the lead on implementation,Member cities and counties working through their MPOs are tasked with development ofthe new integrated regional planning and transportation strategies designed to meet theGHG targets.
Rural Sustainabilty ComponentSB 375 does include a provision that applies to all regional transportation planningagencies in the state that recognizes the rural contribution towards reducing GHGs. Morespecifically, the bill requires regional transportation agencies to consider financial incentivesfor cities and counties that have resource areas or farmland, for the purposes of, forexample, transportation investments for the preservation and safety of the city street orcounty road system, farm to market, and interconnectivity transportation needs, An MPO orcounty transportation agency shall also consider financial assistance for counties toaddress countywide service responsibilities in counties that contribute towards the GHGemissions reductions targets by implementing policies for growth to occur within their cities.
CEQA IncentiveAdditionally, SB 375 uses California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) streamlining as anincentive to encourage residential projects, which help achieve AB 32 goals to reduce GHGemissions, Cities and counties that find the CEQA streamlining provisions attractive havethe opportunity (but not the obligation) to align their planning decisions with the decisions ofthe region.
Clarity for Achieving GHG Emissions Reductions from Transportation SectorSB 375 provides more certainty for local governments and developers by framing how AB32's reduction goal from transportation for cars and light trucks will be established. It shouldbe noted, however, that SB 375 does not prevent CARB from adopting additionalregulations under its AB 32 authority, However, based on the degree of consensus aroundSB 375 and early indications from CARB, such actions are not anticipated in theforeseeable future.
A more detailed analysis of SB 375 follows this brief summary,
For more information regarding SB 375 and this analysis, please contact:DeAnn Baker, Legislative Representative, (916) 327-7500 ext. 509 or dbaker@counties,orgKiana Buss, Legislative Analyst, (916) 327-7500 ext. 566 or [email protected]
-31 - 2 -
0347 ~;~rr AClHìftf I
i. ACHIEVING GHG EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS IN REGIONALTRANSPORTATION PLANS
Regional transportation plans have long been a part of the transportation planning horizonin California, Federal law requires RTPs to include a land use allocation and requiresMPOs that prepare RTPs to make a conformity finding that the RTP is consistent with therequirements of the federal Clean Air Act. The federal law requires that RTPs, among otherthings, work toward achieving the goals of the Clean Air Act. Some regions have alsoengaged in a regional "blueprint" process to prepare the land use allocation, State lawrequires that an RTP include "clear, concise policy guidance to local and state officials"regarding transportation planning.
One important component of the RTP for federal purposes is an estimate of a likely orrealistic development pattern for the region over the next 20 to 30 years. This estimateinforms the decision-making process for transportation funding. The forecasted growthpattern must be based upon "current planning assumptions" to assure that the airconformity provisions are meaningfuL. If the federal government determines that theprojected growth development pattern is not realistic, it can withhold federal transportationfunding.
Like the federal Clean Air Act, S8 375 requires the growth pattern in the SCS to be basedupon the "most recent planning assumptions considering local general plans and otherfactors." It also requires that the SCS be consistent with the federal regulations that requirea realistic growth development pattern,
WHAT IS A SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES STRATEGY (SCS)?An SCS is an enhanced land use element that will be developed within the RTP that setsforth a growth strategy for the region which strives towards achieving GHG emissionsreductions, if it is feasible to do so, and help meet California's climate change goals,Specifically, an SCS will:
. Identify the general location of uses, residential densities, and building intensities within
the region;
. Identify areas within the region sufficient to house all the population of the region,
including all economic segments of the population, over the course of the planningperiod of the regional transportation plan;
. Identify areas within the region suffcient to house an eight-year projection of the
regional housing need for the region;
. Identify a transportation network to service the transportation needs of the region;
. Gather and consider the best practically available scientific information regardingresource areas and farmland in the region;
. Set forth a forecasted development pattern for the region, which, when integrated with
the transportation network, and other transportation measures and policies, will reduce
-3_3 i
0348
ATTAC HMENT I8430
GHG emissions from automobiles and light trucks to achieve, if there is a feasible wayto do so, the GHG emissions reductions target approved by the state board; and
. Quantify the reduction in GHG emissions projected to be achieved by the SCS and, if
the SCS does not achieve the targeted reductions in GHG emissions, set forth thedifference between the amount that the SCS would reduce GHG emissions and thetarget for the region.
It is important to emphasize that this development pattern must comply with federal law,which requires that any pattern be based upon "current planning assumptions" that includesthe information in local general plans and sphere of influence boundaries.
The SCS will not directly affect local land use decisions, The SCS does not in any waysupersede a local general plan, local specific plan, or local zoning, SB 375 does notrequire that a local general plan, local specific plan, or local zoning be consistent with theSCS.
WHAT REGIONAL AGENCIES ARE REQUIRED TO DEVELOP AN SCS?SB 375 only applies to the 17 federally designated MPOs in the State, which includes 37counties representing 97,7% of the statewide population. The MPOs and counties are:
Metropolitan Planning Organization CountiesAssociation of Monterey Bay Area Monterey, San Benito, Santa CruzGovernmentsButte County Association of Governments ButteCouncil of Fresno County of Governments FresnoKings County Association of Governments KingsKern Council of Governments KernMadera County Transportation Commission MaderaMerced County Association of Governments MercedMetropolitan Transportation Commission/ Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, SanAssociation of Bay Area Governments Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano,
SonomaSacramento Area Council of Governments EI Dorado, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter,
Yolo, YubaSan Diego Association of Governments San Diego
San Joaquin Council of Governments San JoaquinSan Luis Obispo Council of Governments San Luis ObispoSanta Barbara County Association of Santa Barbara
GovernmentsShasta County Regional Transportation ShastaPlanning AgencySouthern California Association of Imperial, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside,Governments San Bernardino, VenturaStanislaus Council of Governments StanislausTulare County Association of Governments Tulare
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WHAT IS THE ALTERNATIVE PLANNING STRATEGY (APS)?
If an SCS is unable to achieve the GHG emissions reductions target set by CARB, an MPOwill need to prepare an Alternative Planning Strategy (APS) to the SCS showing how theGHG emissions target would be achieved through alternative development patterns,infrastructure, or additional transportation measures or policies,
The APS is a separate document from the RTP and therefore does not automatically affectthe distribution of transportation funding, However, the APS may be adopted concurrentlywith the RTP,
The APS must identify the principal impediments to achieving the target within the SCS,The APS must also include a number of measures-such as alternative developmentpatterns, infrastructure, or additional transportation measures or policies-that, takentogether, would achieve the regional target. Specifically, an APS would:
. Identify the principal impediments to achieving the target within the SCS;
. May include an alternative development pattern for the region; and
. Describe how the GHG emissions reductions target would be achieved by the APS,and why the development pattern, measures, and policies in the APS are the mostpracticable choices for achievement of the GHG emissions reductions target.
Like the SCS, the APS does not directly affect or supersede local land use decisions; nordoes it require that a local general plan, local specific plan, or local zoning be consistentwith the APS,
In addition, SB 375 provides that inconsistency of a project with an APS is not aconsideration in determining whether a project may be deemed to have an environmentaleffect for purposes of the CEQA relief, General consistency with a CARB approved plan-whether it's an SCS or APS-allows projects to qualify for the CEQA streamliningprovisions in the bilL.
WHAT IS CARS's ROLE IN ApPROVING THE SCS OR APS?CARB's role in reviewing the SCS or APS is very limited, It can only accept or reject anMPO's determination that the plan would, if implemented, achieve the regional GHGemissions reductions target established by CARB, CARB must complete its review within60 days, It may not issue conditional approvals or otherwise interfere in any way with localdecision-making, It should be noted that SB 375 requires an extended exchange ofinformation between the MPO and CARB about the technical methodology that the regionintends to use to estimate the GHG emissions reduction, thus should reduce the chancethat CARB will find a particular plan does not achieve the regional target.
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COUNTY OF SANTA CRUZ
PLANNING DEPARTMENT701 OCEAN STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SANTA CRUZ, CA 95060
(831) 454-2580 FAX: (831) 454-2131 Too: (831) 454-2123KATHLEEN MOLLOY PREVISICH, PLANNING DIRECTOR
December 10, 2010 AGENDA DATE: December 14, 2010
Board of SupervisorsCounty of Santa Cruz701 Ocean StreetSanta Cruz, CA 95060
SUBJECT: Additional Materials for Agenda Item #31: County Comments on AMBAG'sPublic Review Draft of the Monterey Bay Regional Blueprint Plan
Members of the Board:
As you recall, this itemwas continued to today's Board of Supervisor's meeting from lastweek's Board meeting in order to allow Supervisor Pirie to assist with developing comments onthe Association of Monterey Bay Area Governments (AM BAG's) Public Review Draft of theMonterey Bay Regional Blueprint Plan, entitled "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area". Planningstaff has worked with Supervisor Pirie to draft a proposed comment letter from the CountyBoard of Supervisors for transmittal to AMBAG. Your Board is being requested to considerthis letter (Attachment 1) and to authorize its submittal to AMBAG prior to the December 15,2010 comment deadline.
RECOMMENDATION
It is RECOMMENDED that your Board authorize the Chair of the Board to sign and transmit tothe Chair of the AMBAG Board the attached comment letter on the Public Review DraftRegional Blueprint Plan entitled "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area".
Si~' !J (k1$uKathy M~revisichPlanning Director
~:JSUSAN A. MAURIELLOCounty Administrative Officer
Attachment:1. Proposed comment letter on the Public Review Draft of AMBAG's "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area"
Regional Blueprint planning document
KP:PL:b\G:\Board Letters\Pending\AMBAG Blueprint Comment Letter.doc ~ /
Chair Pat StephensAssociation of Monterey Bay Area Governments (AMBAG)P.O. Box 809Marina, CA 93033
RE: COUNTY OF SANTA CRUZ COMMENTS ON DRAFT OF REGIONAL"BLUEPRINT" PLAN: "ENVISIONING THE MONTEREY BAY AREA"
Dear Chair Stephens:
The County of Santa Cruz appreciates the opportunity to commenton the draft Blueprint Plan entitled "Envisioning the MontereyBay Area" and requests that AMBAG share our comments with theother cities and counties that comprise AMBAG. This letter willdiscuss several "big picture" issues that Santa Cruz County wouldlike to see more fully addressed in the Plan and includes byreference the attached letter from the Santa Cruz County PlanningDepartment. The Planning Department letter (Exhibit A) containsmore detailed comments on the draft Plan.
The underlying premise of the document is that more compactdevelopment served by robust public transportation systems andlocated close to employment centers is the best way forCalifornia and the Monterey Bay area to reduce greenhouse gasesand limit our contribution to climate change. Overall, theCounty agrees with that premise and the people of Santa CruzCounty are very willing to do everything reasonably possible toprevent the production of greenhouse gases. However, we areconcerned that the Plan assumes that a robust public transitsystem will be available in the future when, in reality, publictransi t systems are shrinking. The State of California isfailing to support public transportation in a way that will allowthese systems to be available to serve future residents.
This vision of future development in the Monterey Bay areadepends on the "three-legged stool" of land use planning, publictransportation and employment. Without anyone of thoseelements, the Plan fails. The Plan assumes that many of theresidents of the new areas will use public transportation andtherefore recommends smaller roads and significantly reducedspace for parking. It is critically important that the Planstrongly state that without a strong and healthy publictransportation system, the "compact" development envisioned willbe unsuccessful.
In addition, we would also like to see more full discussion ofthe role of water supply, or lack thereof, in future developmentin the Monterey Bay area. Water supply is a very complex issuein the area and a full evaluation is certainly beyond the scopeof this Plan, but it is such an important factor that it warrantsat least a clear description of the assumptions underlying thesustainable growth pattern scenario.
ltá)
CHAIR PAT STEPHENS, AMBAGPage 2
And finally, since many people will only read the ExecutiveSummary of the Plan, we would like to see a more complete summaryof the contents of the Plan. It is important that a member ofthe public be able to understand the Plan, in at least a generalway, by reading the Executive Summary.
Again, thank you for the opportunity to review and comment on thedraft Blueprint Plan. We hope that these comments and thoseincluded in the attached letter from our Planning Department areuseful to AMBAG staff and Board in reviewing and revising thePlan.
Sincerely,
TONY CAMPOS, ChairpersonBoard of Supervi sors
TC:lgAttachment
cc: John Doughty, Executive Director, AMBAGLes White, General Manager, Santa Cruz Metro
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EXHIBIT A: County of Santa Cruz Comments on Public Review Draft of Regional"Blueprint" Plan Entitled "Envisioning the Monterey Bay Area"
Please see the comments below. A marked up copy of the Envisioning Monterey BayArea document containing additional, more specific edits, comments and formatsuggestions wil be sent under separate cover directly to AMBAG staff.
Overall/General Comments:
· The spiral bound copies that were distributed are too small to comfortably read.The page size should be 8.5"x11" minimum.
. The Executive Summary needs to briefly summarize purpose of document, itsconclusions, how they were reached, and the next steps. The ExecutiveSummary as currently written does none of these but instead is more of an"Introduction" chapter. A Table summarizing and highlighting the attributes of,and differences between, the Current Growth Patterns and Sustainable GrowthPatterns scenarios would be helpful here for those who do not want to (or havetime to) read the whole document.
· The Executive Summary, and document in general, should also make clear that,in addition to accommodating future land use development and investing intransportation improvements in a manner that fosters reduction of greenhousegases, it will also be extremely important to address the very difficult matters offunding transit operations, and supplying water to serve new development.
· Executive Summary should have an introductory statement that outlines theoverall purpose and focus of the document, similar to the following:
"This document, also known as the AMBAG (or regional)"Blueprint", compares two different possible land use patternscenarios for accommodating the region's projected growthbetween 2010 and 2035. The first one is termed the "CurrentGrowth Patterns" scenario, and it assumes no change in the landuse policies contained in the current General Plans of each of theregion's cities and counties. This is the "status quo" or "business-as-usual" scenario that is projected to result in a continuation ofrelatively more spread-out, lower density type of development,which has been occurrng in most parts of the region over the lastseveral decades.
The second is an alternative land use growth option called the"Sustainable Growth Patterns" scenario. This scenario assumes ashift towards greater infill and less growth at the periphery of eachof the region's cities and counties, which would result in newgrowth occurrng in a more compact pattern, especially alongtransit corrdors. This pattern is projected to make use ofalternative modes of transportation more feasible and widely used
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Comments on Public Review Draft of AMBAG BlueprintPage 2 of 4
than they are now. This increased use of bus, bicycle and
pedestrian modes is projected to result in fewer cars on the roadand shorter trips, which would lower the emissions of greenhousegasses and other pollutants as compared what would happen underthe "Current Growth Patterns" scenario."
· Explain/define terms such as "Blueprint", "smart growth", "smart infrastructure","SB 375", etc. which may not be familiar, or only partially familiar, to a layaudience. Consider use of text boxes or sidebars for this purpose.
· Cite all sources, perhaps in footnotes.
· Acknowledge that the AMBAG Forecast is just a best effort to estimate futurelevels of population and employment growth, which that mayor may not come tobe, and that other outcomes could also occur.
Graphics/Maps:
· The graphics are mostly good, but sometimes hard to read, and often include keyinformation that is not in the narrative. The graphics should support the narrative,not the other way around (see Pg. 7 for an example of this).
· Some graphs are not proportional and are therefore misleading. The graphs onPages 15, 18, 33, and 34 are examples of this.
· The Priority Areas map on page 28 should instead be a series of zoomed-inhigher resolution inset maps that allows the reader to see a bit more detail of thelocations and shapes of the Priority Areas under the Sustainable Growth Patternsscenario. There should also be side-by-side comparison inset maps of theconceptual/probable growth footprints under both the Current Growth Patternsand Sustainable Growth Patterns scenarios so the reader can easily see thedifferences between them in a spatial sense.
· The 41st Ave. corridor and especially the 41st Ave./Capitola Road intersectionshould be considered as Priority Areas, but are not shown as such. This isarguably the busiest thoroughfare and intersection, in the heart of the biggestcommercial area, and one of the most important employment centers and transit!transportation hubs in all of Santa Cruz County. There is much potential infill thatcould occur over the existing shopping center parking lots.
Scenarios:
· The Chapter entitled "Defining the Issues: Current Growth Patterns" consistsalmost entirely of background information and contains almost no description ofthe Current Growth Patterns scenario. The background info should either go intoa new "Introduction" chapter, or the chapter should be split into two separatechapters (i.e. a "Defining the Issues" chapter and a "Current Growth Patterns"
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Comments on Public Review Draft of AMBAG BlueprintPage 3 of 4
chapter) with the background information going into the new "Defining the Issues"chapter. In either case, there should be a new chapter called "Current GrowthPatterns" that describes how the region is projected to grow based on the statusquo trend, Le., how much agriculture and other open space land would be lost,how much more land would be urbanized, where the growth would occur, what itmight look like, likely VMT/GHG and congestion increases, etc. This chaptershould include maps, graphs, tables, etc. specific to this scenario.
· The document needs to more explicitly state that a principle that is key to theSustainable Growth Patterns scenario is the idea that the use of public transit isgreatly enhanced by increasing the number of people who live and work withineasy walking distance of convenient (Le., frequent) transit service.
Water Supply Constraints:
· It should be explicitly stated that the Sustainable Growth Patterns scenario couldrequire a major desalinated water supply source to allow more development inthe Monterey Peninsula. The GHG emission ramifications of this highly energyintensive water provision process should be fully explored, quantified andcompared against the lower GHG emissions that would result from more housingbeing built near job sites on the Monterey Peninsula. Are there other locationswhere implementation of the Sustainable Growth Patterns scenario relies uponthe provision of desalinated water? If so, those should also be identified andsimilarly evaluated.
Resource Land Conservation:
· There is not enough discussion of land and resource conservation. The amountsof agricultural land preserved in each scenario was called out, but there shouldbe a differentiation between prime and non-prime agricultural soils, with theamount of prime agricultural land lost to development under each scenarioestimated.
· There is insuffcient discussion of the amounts of other types of resource land(e.g., undeveloped open space, etc.) conserved in each scenario, and how suchresource lands could be protected from development. It may be appropriate tomention efforts such as the Santa Cruz County Blueprint for Conservation andother similar efforts in Monterey and San Benito Counties.
Inter-Regional Connections:
· Include a discussion of the out-of-region commute, what expectations may exist
regarding the SF Bay Area and Silicon Valley and their planning efforts as theypertain to our region's jobs/housing balance and VMT/GHG emissions.
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Comments on Public Review Draft of AMBAG BlueprintPage 4 of 4
Policy "Toolbox" Ideas:
. Add a policy suggestion to encourage Transit-Oriented Development (TOD),
along transit corridors or around transit nodes, through the creation of a zoningdistrict or zoning overlay that could provide more flexibility in allowing higherdensities, mix of uses, reduced parking requirements, etc., perhaps includingdesign criteria to ensure aesthetic development that respects the surroundingurban fabric and promotes walking and bicycling.
. Add a policy suggestion to encourage infil and limit urban sprawl throughadoption of Urban Growth Boundaries.
. Add a policy suggestion for improving bike safety though adding more bike lanes
and dedicated bike-only paths and removal of dangerous conditions (e.g.,parking lanes too close to bike lanes, etc.)
. Add a policy suggestion for enhancing pedestrian connectivity to make walking to
places more direct and distances shorter.
· Consider adding website addresses of appropriate informational websites toeach of the policy idea descriptions, so that readers can get more details if theyare interested.
· Consider identifying measures or efforts that could be pursued to ensurecontinued funding of transit operations, and funding that supports installation ofthe "infrastructure" needed to support safe use of alternative modes of travel bythe public.
A marked-up copy of the Public Review Draft of the Envisioning Monterey Bay AreaBlueprint document containing additional more specific comments, edits and formattingsuggestions will be sent under separate cover. Please contact Frank Barron of theSanta Cruz County Planning Department at (831) 454-2530 if you have questionsregarding the County's comments.
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