Northwest Power and Conservation Council slide 1 6 th Plan Industrial Conservation Potential

Northwest Power and ConservationCouncil

66thth Plan Industrial Plan Industrial Conservation PotentialConservation Potential


Boundary IssuesBoundary Issues Industrial Loads Not Included:Industrial Loads Not Included:

– Aluminum smelting (DSI)Aluminum smelting (DSI)– Sewage or Water TreatmentSewage or Water Treatment– MiningMining– AgricultureAgriculture

Commercial Loads IncludedCommercial Loads Included– Large Refrigerated WarehousesLarge Refrigerated Warehouses

Savings Potential Not IncludedSavings Potential Not Included– Enterprise Server Farms or Large Scale ITEnterprise Server Farms or Large Scale IT


Summary ResultsSummary Results


PNW Non-DSI Industrial Electric Load 2006 PNW Non-DSI Industrial Electric Load 2006 About 4600 MWaAbout 4600 MWa

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600F

oo

d

Hig

h T

ec

h

Lu

mb

er

an

d

Wo

od

Me

tal

Mis

cM

an

ufa

ctu

re

Pu

lp a

nd

Pa

pe

r

Tra

ns

po

rta

tio

nE

qu

ip

Ch

em

ica

l a

nd

Re

fin

ery

MW

a L

oa

d 2

00

6

MT

ID

WA

OR

Sum of SEG2006

Industry

State


Non-DSI Industrial Load Forecast Non-DSI Industrial Load Forecast (January 2009 Version)(January 2009 Version)

Non-DSI Industrial Load Forecast in MWa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Year

MW

a L

oa

d

Misc Manf

Chemical

Fruit Storage

Cold Storage

Refinery

Transportation, Equip

Metal Fab

Hi Tech - Silicon

Hi Tech - Chip Fab

Sugar

Wood - Other

Wood - Panel

Wood - Lumber

Other Food

Frozen Food

Foundries

Paper

Kraft Pulp

Mechanical Pulp


Savings by IndustrySavings by Industry

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Industry

Ach

ieva

ble

Sav

ing

s b

y 20

29 (M

Wa)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Sav

ing

s as

Per

cen

t of I

nd

ust

ry E

lect

rici

ty U

se

Savings MWa

Percent


Supply Curve From ToolSupply Curve From ToolIndustrial Sector Supply Curveand as Percent of Total Sales

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

Levelized Cost, $ per kWh

Av

era

ge

MW

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Technical Potential

AchievablePotential


Industrial Supply CurveIndustrial Supply CurveAchievable Retrofit Conservation Potential - Cumulative by

2029 Base Forecast - Industrial

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

<0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

>200

Cost - TRC Net Levelized Cost in $ per MWh ($2006)

MW

a


Tools & ResourcesTools & Resources Industrial Supply Curve Model (ISC) ReviewIndustrial Supply Curve Model (ISC) Review

– Written overview describes modelWritten overview describes model ISC Tool: Industrial Tool.xlsISC Tool: Industrial Tool.xls

– Savings model from Strategic Energy GroupSavings model from Strategic Energy Group– Measures, savings, costs, documentationMeasures, savings, costs, documentation

System Optimization DetailSystem Optimization Detail– Overview:Overview: Systems Whole Plant Optimization Overview R8.docSystems Whole Plant Optimization Overview R8.doc– Workbook: Systems Optimization R9.1rev.xlsWorkbook: Systems Optimization R9.1rev.xls

PC-Industrial D-10.xlsPC-Industrial D-10.xls– Converts ISC to Council TRC levelized cost methodologyConverts ISC to Council TRC levelized cost methodology

Industrial Data CatalogueIndustrial Data Catalogue– Database of industrial energy studies, assessments, reports, case studies, Database of industrial energy studies, assessments, reports, case studies,

technology reports and guidebookstechnology reports and guidebooks


Where Where to find it to find it

in the in the ISC ISC

modelmodel


Where to Find It in the Data Where to Find It in the Data CatalogueCatalogue

Tier 1

Tier 2

Data

Industrial Supply Curve document catalog.xls

Hyperlinks

Documents

Industrial Supply Curve document catalog