Northamptonshire COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Report

Data up to 5 July 2020

Background

• Northamptonshire’s Public Health team are publishing this data today to help residents have a better understanding of the local picture of COVID-19 cases.

• The publication of this data enables a greater understanding of the local picture and over time, the data will inform advice and guidance to local residents, who may need to adapt or change behaviours in order to reduce rates and minimise the spread of the virus.

• Residents are reminded that should they have symptoms, a new persistent cough, a fever or a loss of taste and smell, to self-isolate and book a test.

Total and Weekly Summary

This graph shows the number of people who have tested positive for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire each week since 13 April 2020. The shape of the graph shows that rates of infection have been steadily decreasing since the middle of May and continue to go down week by week.

A total of 3,156 positive cases have been identified in Northamptonshire up to 5 July 2020, of which 63 were identified in the last week:

• Pillar 1 (testing in hospitals for staff and patients) | 1,711 total | 20 in the last week

• Pillar 2 (testing in the community, including mobile testing units) | 1,445 total | 43 in the last week

Total Cases by Age and Gender

14

25

37

71

97

131

191

335

20

37

75

64

76

74

147

314

400 200 0 200 400

0-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Population pyramid - Pillar 1 cases

Male Female

60

74

113

120

129

52

24

36

62

135

150

153

150

66

32

81

150 100 50 0 50 100 150 200

0-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Population pyramid - Pillar 2 cases

Male Female

These graphs show the number of positive test results for COVID-19 in Northamptonshire by gender and by ten-year age band.Pillar 1 positive tests (left) show cases in hospital settings and amongst NHS front line staff so the age range reflects the ages of patients who are admitted to hospital or who work in a front line NHS setting. Locally we also use Pillar 1 testing for care home staff and residents who are showing symptoms.Pillar 2 positive tests (right) show cases among key workers and the wider general public showing symptoms according to current testing guidelines, so this table shows a more even spread of age ranges.

Total Cases by District and Borough

AreaTotal cases to 5 July

2020 Cases from Pillar 1 Cases from Pillar 2

Northamptonshire* 3,156 1,711 1,445

Corby 300 129 171

Daventry 271 160 111

East Northamptonshire 365 220 145

Kettering 549 270 279

Northampton 1,080 590 490

South Northamptonshire 266 167 99

Wellingborough 324 175 149

This table shows the total number of people who have tested positive for COVID-19 up to 5 July 2020 in each of Northamptonshire’s seven districts and boroughs.

Total Cases by District and Borough

The data in this table shows us what the total positive COVID-19 case numbers for our districts and boroughs would look like if each area had the exact same population (100,000).

This helps us to compare different geographic areas with different sized populations more accurately, and also helps to compare individual areas with local, regional and national averages.

In most cases, district and borough infection rates per 100,000 population are similar or significantly lower than the national average.

*Please note that the word significant in the table is a statistical term which simply means that the research is valid.

* 1 record missing postcode and therefore not counted in district data† England rate from PHE East Midlands Surveillance Pack 5 July 2020

Cumulative cases by district and borough

This graph shows the total number of COVID-19 positive rate of cases added together (cumulative) over time across our seven districts and boroughs.

As the rate of new infections decreases week by week, this is illustrated by a gradual flattening of the curves.

Cumulative cases by community

129

106

81

62

56

55

54

53

53

51

50

49

49

48

47

Kettering Town & West

Cliftonville & Rushmere

Desborough

Burton Latimer, Broughton & Mawsley

Corby Village & Weldon

Wootton & Collingtree

Kettering Central East

Kingsley Park & Racecourse

Victoria & Isebrook

Corby Lodge Park

Blisworth, Roade & Yardley Gobion

Raunds

Central Wellingborough

Higham Ferrers

Snatchill

The chart shows the local communities within Northamptonshire where total COVID-19 infections since the start of the pandemic are highest. Local numbers of confirmed cases for the whole county are illustrated in the colour-coded map.These are total cases throughout the period of the pandemic and new infection rates are continuing to decline across all areas. However, those areas with the highest case numbers help us to know where we should prioritise and focus our support locally.

1189.8

1070.9

890.6

703.4

695.4

674.2

667.6

651.0

599.5

591.7

590.2

582.9

579.4

571.9

546.1

Cliftonville & Rushmere

Kettering Town & West

Kingsley Park & Racecourse

Desborough

Central Wellingborough

Sunnyside

Lodge Farm

Wootton & Collingtree

Queensway

Victoria & Isebrook

Kettering Central East

Ringstead, Woodford & Stanwick

Westone

Corby Lodge Park

Raunds

Cumulative case rates by communityper 100,000 population

These graphics show what total positive COVID-19 case numbers for local communities in Northamptonshire would look like if each community had the exact same population (100,000). The chart highlights local communities where overall infection rates since the start of the pandemic are highest, and the map illustrates overall infection rates per 100,000 population across the whole county.Although new infection rates are continuing to decline across all areas, those with higher overall rates of infection show us where we need to prioritise and focus our support locally.

*Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

Cumulative cases by community – last 28 days

32

14

13

12

11

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

Desborough

Cliftonville & Rushmere

Rushden South

Blisworth, Roade & Yardley Gobion

Long Buckby East & Ravensthorpe

Walgrave & Moulton

Daventry Central

Kettering Central East

Eastfield

Town Centre & Semilong

Delapre

Raunds

Kettering Town & West

Upton & West Hunsbury

Cogenhoe, Hackleton & Denton

The chart shows the local communities within Northamptonshire where total COVID-19 infections over the last 31 days are highest.

Local numbers of confirmed cases for the whole county are illustrated in the colour-coded map.

Areas with the highest case numbers help us to know where we should prioritise and focus our support locally.

277.9

157.1

149.3

129.9

126.7

120.5

117.0

108.6

102.9

99.1

98.4

96.4

95.2

94.5

92.0

Desborough

Cliftonville & Rushmere

Delapre

Eastfield

Rushden South

Cogenhoe, Hackleton & Denton

Long Buckby East & Ravensthorpe

Westone

Boughton

Boothville & Spinney Hill

Kettering Central East

Walgrave & Moulton

Daventry Central

St David's

Town Centre & Semilong

Cumulative case rates by community – last 28 daysper 100,000 population

These graphics show what positive COVID-19 case numbers over the last 31 days would look like if each local community had the exact same population (100,000). The chart highlights local communities where overall infection rates are highest since 8 June 2020, and the map illustrates the 31-day infection rate per 100,000 population across the whole county.Although new infection rates are continuing to decline across all areas, those with higher overall rates of infection show us where we need to prioritise and focus our support locally.

*Please note that the numbers shown on this page represent the best possible estimate we can make from a wider range of numbers, because there is always a margin of error when calculating cases per 100,000 population – particularly where actual case numbers are small.

Ongoing Public Health Actions

• We are tracking the situation daily and based on the intelligence we have, taking action to manage Covid-19 in our communities. Part of this is communicating with you, the residents of Northamptonshire.

• We are now drilling deeper into the data at postcode level to understand the local reasons for increased levels of infection.

• We are developing links with the local communities in these areas with Environmental Health Officers, Health and Safety Officers and local leaders to gather soft intelligence on risk areas and activities and to ensure businesses and workplaces are Covid-Secure.

• Based on the information we collate we will work within specific communities to improve vigilance, raise awareness, encourage testing and reiterate prevention measures.

• The team will continue to work with our communities to take action where it is needed. This may include undertaking any recommended or advanced additional activities in relating to testing and infection control processes using Northamptonshire’s local teams, and where required, Mobile Testing Units.

• We are also ensuring they communicate in a timely manner to update all activity and information to Northamptonshire’s Health Protection and Engagement Board.