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Non-Prime Auto Financing
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Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.Copyright 2013 by Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC. All rights reserved.
Subprime Auto Loan ABS
Trends, Performance, Outlook and Standard & Poors Ratings Services Approach to Rating Subprime Auto Loan ABS
June 7, 201317th Annual Non-Prime Auto Financing ConferenceOmni Fort Worth Hotel
2.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Auto Loan ABS Trends
1) Investor interest remains robust. Many transactions are oversubscribed, others have been upsized, and the subordinate classes with ratings as low as BB and B are being bought
2) Origination and securitization volume continues to grow. Subprime deals represented 31% of the total dollar volume of auto loan ABS issued through May and 48% of the number of deals that have been closed through May
3) Lending standards are weakening and pool credit quality is generally declining
4) Securitization performance remains strong for most issuers, but losses are rising for the segment due to greater issuance from deep subprime lenders. Managed portfolio delinquencies and losses are increasing
5) Ratings upgrades continue to surpass downgrades
3.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Auto Loan ABS Issuance
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
15.0
17.5
20.0
22.5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Through May2012
Through May2013
$ B
illio
ns
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
4.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
U.S. Subprime Auto Loan ABS Volume - Year to Date Through May
2013 - 15 Transactions - $8.1 Billion 2012 - 13 Transactions - $7.2 Billion
ACA, 2%
AmeriCredit, 29%
JD Byrider, 2%
CPS, 2%CAC, 3%
DriveTime, 3%Exeter, 3%
First Investors, 2%
Prestige, 3%
Santander, 50%ACA, 3%
AmeriCredit, 26%
CarFinance, 3%CPS, 2%
CAC, 2%Exeter, 5%
First Investors, 2%Flagship, 3%Prestige, 4%
Santander, 46%
SNAAC, 2%UACC, 2%
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
UACC United Acceptance Credit CorporationCAC Credit Acceptance Corporation CPS Consumer Portfolio ServicesACA - American Credit AcceptanceSNAAC Security National Automobile Acceptance Corporation
5.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Collateral Trends FICO
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
PrimeSubprime
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
6.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Collateral Trends LTV
90.00%
95.00%
100.00%
105.00%
110.00%
115.00%
120.00%
125.00%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Loan
-to-V
alue
%
Year
PrimeSubprime
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
7.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Collateral Trends LT Loans (Original Term > 60 Months)
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%Lo
ng-te
rm L
oan
%
Year
PrimeSubprime
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
8.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Auto Loan Static Index Subprime Cumulative Net Losses
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
2005
2006
2007
2008
20092010
2011Q1-2012Q2-2012
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43
9.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Trend in Weighted Average FICO Score
450
470
490
510
530
550
570
590
610
630
650
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Santander and GM Financial ABS
SCUSA FICO GM FICO
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and company ABS prospectuses.
10.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
GM Financial Proprietary Score
225
230
235
240
245
250
255
260
265
270
275
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
GM Financial Proprietary Score
GM Custom
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and company prospectuses.
11.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Trend in LTV Ratio
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
125%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Santander and GM Financial ABS
SCUSA LTV GM LTV
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and company prospectuses.
12.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Trend in Long-Term Loans (61-72 month original maturity)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Santander and GM Financial ABS
SCUSA 60+ GM 60+
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and company prospectuses..
13.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Securitization Cumulative Net Losses Santander
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43
2007 2010 2011 2012-Q1
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and company prospectuses.
14.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Securitization Cumulative Net Losses GM Financial
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012-Q1
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services and the companys ABS investor website.
15.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Portfolio Net Losses
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mar.31,
2012
Mar.31,
2013
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
16.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Portfolio Delinquencies
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
17.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Historical Ratings Activity U.S. Subprime Auto Loan ABS
Notes :
The upgrades/downgrades do not include those based on rating changes of the bond insurer, if any. All rating actions in the table are credit-related.
Source: Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
Subprime Auto Loan Rating Actions (Long-term Ratings)Year Upgrades Downgrades2004 6 02005 0 02006 4 02007 13 02008 5 02009 29 02010 4 02011 34 02012 50 0
2013 (Through May 31) 36 0Total 181 0
18.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Standard & Poors Ratings Services Auto Loan ABS Outlook
We expect to see some further loosening of credit and softer used vehicle values, which we believe will likely continue to put upward pressure on losses. However, we expect losses for most issuers to remain below what we saw in 2007 and 2008
We expect the trend of upgrades significantly outweighing downgrades to continue. This is due to fast deleveraging of the transactions due their sequential pay structure. In addition, many 2010 and 2011 vintage securitizations continue to perform better than expected
We expect continued growth in subprime auto loan ABS led by further issuance from existing issuers and possibly some new issuers
19.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Standard & Poors Rating Process for New Subprime Auto Issuers
Special and Unique Considerations
Financial performance and funding
Company background, management, and infrastructure
Performance data
Collections (staffing, decentralized or centralized collections, back-up servicer arrangements)
Weakness in the above areas may preclude us from issuing a requested rating or may result in our limiting the top rating well assign to a transaction. For more information, please see Standard & Poors Explains Its Approach To Rating Subprime Auto Loan ABS Transactions, August 29, 2011
20.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2013-2
Priced April 3, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs)
Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (A-1+) 214.70 0.21 0.25 N/A 34.70
Class A-2 (AAA) 382.80 0.99 0.53 20 34.70
Class A-3 (AAA) 183.80 2.22 0.65 24 34.70
Class B (AA+) 84.17 2.94 1.19 70 27.45
Class C (A+) 104.49 3.52 1.79 120 18.45
Class D (BBB+) 102.75 4.28 2.42 175 9.60
Class E (BBB) 27.29 4.83 3.41 275 7.25
Total Rated Debt 1,100.00
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
Our ECNL**
1.46%
10.25% - 10.75%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not include CNL triggers that build C/E.Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
21.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013Santander Drive Automobile Receivables Trust 2013-3
Priced May 06, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (A-1+) 172.0 0.20 0.25 N/A 43.0
Class A-2 (AAA) 383.0 0.95 0.55 26 43.0
Class A-3 (AAA) 222.4 2.02 0.70 34 43.0
Class B (AA) 128.5 2.75 1.19 75 33.25
Class C (A) 158.1 3.46 1.81 125 21.25
Class D (BBB+) 72.5 4.06 2.42 175 15.75
Class E (BB+) 65.9 4.08 3.41 N/A 10.75
Total Rated Debt 1,202.4
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
1.54%
Our ECNL** 13.5% - 14.5%
*Credit Enhancement. Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
22.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013First Investors Auto Owner Trust 2013-1
Priced January 14, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (A-1+) 26.2 0.18 0.32 5 19.9
Class A-2 (AAA) 126.4 1.71 0.90 55 19.9
Class B (AA) 10.0 3.49 1.81 125 14.55
Class C (A) 15.0 3.90 2.02 140 6.53
Class D (BBB) 9.4 3.98 2.53 190 1.50
Total Rated Debt 187.0
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
1.34%
Our ECNL** 8.00% - 8.50%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
23.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013Prestige Auto Receivables Trust 2013-1
Priced April 3, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (A-1+) 36.00 0.20 0.28 19.82
Class A-2 (AAA) 191.00 1.37 1.09 75 19.82
Class A-3 (AAA) 60.00 2.92 1.33 85 19.82
Class B (AA+) 22.00 3.57 1.74 115 13.60
Class C (A+) 21.00 3.90 2.05 140 7.66
Class D (BBB) 20.00 3.93 3.04 240 2.00
Total Rated Debt 350.00
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
Our ECNL**
1.57%
7.10% - 7.40%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not includes CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
24.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013United Auto Credit Securitization Trust 2013-1
Priced May 13, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (A-1+) 38.6 0.26 0.40 N/A 43.5
Class A-2 (AAA) 52.6 0.98 0.95 N/A 43.5
Class B (AA) 15.8 1.64 1.74 N/A 33.35
Class C (A+) 12.2 1.96 2.22 N/A 25.55
Class D (BBB+) 13.0 2.30 2.90 N/A 17.20
Class E (BB) 18.6 3.13 4.40 N/A 5.25
Total Rated Debt 150.8
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
2.48%
Our ECNL** 14.5% - 15.0%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
25.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2013-1
Priced March 20, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs)
Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A (A+) 156.00 1.23 1.45 110 32.37
Class B (A) 12.00 2.88 2.15 165 27.01
Class C (BBB) 19.00 3.32 3.52 295 18.53
Class D (BB) 18.00 3.55 4.94 425 10.50
Total Rated Debt 205.00
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
Our ECNL**
2.52%
21.15% - 21.65%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction includes CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
26.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013CarNow Auto Receivables Trust 2013-1
Priced May 29, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A (AA) 81.9 0.71 1.16 85 40.30
Class B (A) 15.1 1.86 1.97 155 29.05
Class C (BBB) 13.2 2.31 2.98 250 19.15
Class D (BB) 5.2 2.66 4.33 385 15.25
Class E (B) 6.0 2.93 6.41 NA 10.75
Total Rated Debt 121.4
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
2.34%
Our ECNL** 21.75% -22.25%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report.
27.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2013-A
Priced March 11, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A-1 (AA-) 142.0 1.78 1.31 95 24.25
Class B (A) 16.7 2.06 1.89 150 16.00
Class C (BBB) 11.1 2.80 2.79 230 10.00
Class D (BB) 9.3 2.45 4.41 400 5.00
Class E (BB-) 6.0 2.04 6.41 N/A 1.00
Total Rated Debt 185.0
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
1.87%
Our ECNL** 13.0% - 13.5%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
28.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2013-1
Priced May 1, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A (AA) 272.16 1.18 1.29 100 36.00
Class B (A) 44.33 2.90 2.41 200 25.25
Class C (BBB) 50.52 3.63 3.52 300 13.00
Class D (BB) 32.99 4.02 5.05 450 5.00
Total Rated Debt 400.00
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
Our ECNL**
2.66%
17.0% - 18.0%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not includes CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
29.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013Flagship Credit Auto Trust 2013-1
Priced April 08, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs) Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A (A+) 174.0 1.31 1.32 100 25.25
Class B (A) 14.5 3.22 2.76 225 18.85
Class C (BBB) 21.0 3.71 3.59 300 9.58
Class D (BB) 12.7 3.83 5.39 480 4.00
Total Rated Debt 222.2
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
2.47%
Our ECNL** 12.8% - 13.3%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
30.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
Subprime Transactions Issued in 2013SNAAC Auto Receivables Trust 2013-1
Priced April 4, 2013
Class Amount ($Mil.) WA Life (yrs)
Interest Rate (%) Spread (bps) Initial Hard C/E (%)*
Class A (AA) 141.70 1.12 1.14 80 26.94
Class B (A) 18.00 2.82 2.09 160 17.40
Class C (BBB) 16.90 3.36 3.07 250 8.45
Class D (BB) 8.40 3.43 4.56 400 4.00
Total Rated Debt 185.00
Wtd. Avg. Cost of Debt
Our ECNL**
2.01%
10.5% - 11.5%
*Percent of the initial receivables balance. **Expected cumulative net loss at closing.
Transaction does not include CNL triggers that build C/E.
Sources: Prospectus Supplement, Standard & Poors Ratings Services presale report, Asset-Backed Alert.
31.Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poors.
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