NJ CC Poll Topline Results Jan 14, 2013

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    Final Topline ResultsJanuary 14, 2013

    Total: 1,001 adults age 18 and olderMargin of error: Plus or minus 3.7 percentage points

    Interviewing dates: January 10-13, 2013

    LANDLINE INTRO:Hello, my name is ________ and I'm calling for Princeton Survey Research. Were conducting astudy about some important issues today, and would like to include your household.RANDOMIZE RESPONDENT SELECTION - DO NOT RANDOMIZE BY FORM: May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT MALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home? AND May I pleasespeak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home? IF NOMALE/FEMALE ASK: May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE/MALE, age 18 orolder, who is now at home?

    CELL PHONE INTRO:Hello, I am ___ calling for Princeton Survey Research. We are conducting a national study of cell phone users. I know I am calling you on a cell phone. This is not a sales call. (IF R SAYSDRIVING/UNABLE TO TAKE CALL: Thank you. We will try you another time...)

    CELL PHONE SCREENING INTERVIEW:S1. Are you under 18 years old, OR are you 18 or older?1 Under 182 18 or older9 Dont know/Refused

    IF S1=2, CONTINUE WITH MAIN INTERVIEWIF S1=1,9, THANK AND TERMINATE: This study is limited to adults age 18 and over. I wonttake any more of your time...

    READ TO ALL CELL PHONE - INTRODUCTION TO MAIN INTERVIEW: Were interested inlearning more about people with cell phones. If you are now driving a car or doing any activityrequiring your full attention, I need to call you back later. The first question is...

    Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicates values lessthan 0.5%.

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    ASK ALL:CC1. As you may know, Congress recently voted to raise tax rates from 35 to 39.5

    percent on income over $450,000 for families. Which of the followingstatements comes closest to your views [READ; REVERSE ORDER FOR HALFSAMPLE]

    Jan10-132013

    29 Congress should have raised taxes starting at families makingover $250,000, or

    30 Congress was correct in raising taxes starting at familiesmaking over $450,000, or

    12 Congress should have raised taxes starting at families makingover $1 million, or

    23 Congress should not have raised taxes at all.5 (VOL DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused

    CC2. As you may know, when taxes were raised it only covered a small portion of the projected deficit over the next 10 years. Some people say that anyadditional efforts to reduce the deficit should include a mixture of taxincreases and spending cuts. Others say that there should only be spendingcuts. Which comes closer to your views on deficit reduction? [IFNECESSARYreduce the deficit with a mixture of tax increases and spending

    cuts OR just spending cuts?]Jan

    10-132013

    48 Mixture of tax increases and spending cuts49 Just spending cuts4 (VOL DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused

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    READ TO ALL: Now on another topic

    CC3. What do you think is more important to protect the right of Americans toown guns, OR to control gun ownership?

    Protect theright of

    Americansto own guns

    Control gunownership

    Don't know/Refused(VOL.)

    Jan 10-13, 2013 45 51 5Dec 17-19, 2012 1 42 49 9Jul 26-29, 2012 46 47 6Apr 4-15, 2012 49 45 6Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 47 49 5Feb 22-Mar 1, 2011 48 47 6Jan 13-16, 2011 49 46 6Aug 25-Sep 6, 2010 46 50 4Mar 31-Apr 21, 2009 45 49 6Apr 18-22, 2007 32 60 8Feb 11-14, 2004 37 58 5Nov 18-Dec 1, 2003 30 65 5Jun 4-8, 2003 42 54 4May 2-6, 2000 38 57 5Mar 15-19, 2000 29 66 5Jun 9-13, 1999 33 62 5May 12-16, 1999 30 65 5

    Dec 2-5, 1993 34 57 9

    1 All trends from Pew Research Center for the People & the PressSee: http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/20/after-newtown-modest-change-in-opinion-about-gun-control/

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    CC4. Please tell me if you would favor or oppose the following proposals. First,[INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]? What about [NEXT ITEM]? [IF NECESSARY:Would you favor or oppose [ITEM]?

    Favor Oppose

    Don't know/Refused(VOL.)

    a. Banning semi-automaticguns, which automaticallyreload when the trigger ispulled

    Jan 10-13, 2013 46 51 2Dec 17-19, 2012 2 44 49 7

    b. Banning the possession of handguns except by lawenforcement officers

    Jan 10-13, 2013 28 70 2Dec 17-19, 2012 28 67 5

    c. Banning high-capacityammunition clips that canhold more than 10 bullets

    Jan 10-13, 2013 56 41 2Dec 17-19, 2012 53 42 5

    d. Banning bullets thatexplode or are designed topenetrate bullet-proof vests

    Jan 10-13, 2013 58 39 3

    Dec 17-19, 2012 56 36 7CC5. As you may know, federal officials reported recently that 2012 was the

    warmest year in history for the United States. They also reported that the 10warmest years ever have all occurred within the past 15 years. Do you thinkthese records are more likely the result of changes in the climate related tothe burning of fossil fuels OR are more likely the result of factors like randomweather variation?

    Jan10-132013

    39 Changes in the climate related to the burning of fossil fuels

    50 The result of factors like random weather variation11 Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

    11

    2 Trends from Pew Research Center for the People & the Presshttp://www.people-press.org/2012/12/20/after-newtown-modest-change-in-opinion-about-gun-control/

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    I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took part in oursurvey.

    SEX Respondents Sex

    49 Male51 Female

    EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed?

    44 Employed full-time13 Employed part-time42 Not employed1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/ Refused

    PAR Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age?

    28 Yes71 No1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    AGE What is your age?

    20 18 to 2930 30 to 4927 50 to 6415 65 and older

    9 (DO NOT READ) Refused

    EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you havereceived?

    2 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal schooling)4 High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12 with NO diploma)

    35 High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or GED certificate)21 Some college, no degree (includes community college)10 Two year associate degree from a college/university17 Four year college or university degree/Bachelors degree2 Some postgraduate or professional schooling, no postgraduate degree8 Postgraduate or professional degree, including masters, doctorate,

    medical or law degree1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    HISP Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or

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    other Spanish background?

    14 Yes86 No1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IF R SAYSHISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE (Hispanic/Latino) or aBLACK (Hispanic/Latino)?

    66 White non-Hispanic32 Total non-White

    12 Black non-Hispanic14 Hispanic

    4 Asian/Pacific Islander3 Other non-Hispanic

    2 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    INC Last year, that is in 2012, approximately what was your total family income before taxes just tell me when I get to the right category.

    INC1 (IF DONT KNOW OR REFUSED) Keeping in mind that this is a completelyconfidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income BEFORE taxeslast year was over or under $75,000?

    INC2 (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000?INC3 (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000?

    25 $75,000 or more14 $50,000 to under $75,000

    20 $30,000 to under $50,00032 Under $30,0008 Undesignated

    REG Which of these statements best describes you?

    78 Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you areregistered to vote at your current address

    2 Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is achance your registration has lapsed [OR]

    19 Are you NOT registered to vote at your currentaddress?

    1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?

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    23 Republican37 Democrat33 Independent4 No preference (VOL.)

    1 Other party (VOL.)2 Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

    That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. Have a niceday/evening.

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