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NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

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Page 1: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary
Page 2: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

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NIKE

Page 3: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Presentation OutlinePresentation Outline

Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary of

Valuations

Analysts Recommendations

Risk Investment

Recommendations

Page 4: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Snapshot

Sector Consumer Cyclical

Industry Footwear

Market Cap. 21.738 billion

Ticker Symbol NKE

Recent Stock Price $84.11

52wk High $92.43

52wk Low $75.10

Beta .83

Page 5: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Brief Overview NIKE’s principal business activity is the design, development and

worldwide marketing of high quality footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessory product

The largest seller of athletic footwear and athletic apparel in the world

Distributed in over 160 countries around the world Sell under the NIKE brand, wholly owned subsidiary Converse,

Cole Haan, g Series, Bragano, Hurley, NIKE Hockey, and Exeter brands

Main competitors have joined with the recent announced acquisition of Reebok by Adidas

Page 6: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Overview

Nike’s best year was last year. The US accounts for 46% of revenues. Market Cap doubled in 1 year, mostly due to

the growth in US footwear sales. Internet market share makes buying shoes

easy. No such thing as bad publicity.

Page 7: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Financial Statements Sales growth has consistently grown over the last four years

– 4.3% in 02’ 8.1% in 03’ 14.5% in 04’ 12.1% in 05’ Increase in Gross Margin from 39%-45%, however this is not

likely to continue to grow in future years Red Flags…

Page 8: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Industry ComparisonRatio NKE Industry Sector S&P500

P/E 17.09 17.33 17.38 19.63

Beta .64 2.31 1.12 1

Price to Sales 1.61 1.49 1.21 2.76

Current Ratio 1.92 4.07 2.91 1.71

ROA 15.25 14.55 7.45 7.62

ROI 19.98 19.07 9.95 11.46

ROE 24.04 22.71 14.3 18.96

Receivable Turnover 6.26 7.33 6.60 10.39

Inventory Turnover 4.44 4.49 8.53 13.02

Page 9: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Current News England just banned the use of a chemical that

is used in the production of leather shoes. The affects on NIKE have yet to be determined.

Adidas announce its acquisition of Reebok. These are the two biggest competitors, who when combined, will be roughly the size of NIKE.

Page 10: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Technical Analysis• Support level 76 dollars per share

• Resistance level approximately 92 dollars a share

In the last Year…

Last 5 years…• Support level at 39 dollars a share

Page 11: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Technical Analysis Continued…

• In line with its 200 day moving average

• Has tended to less volatility over the last 2-3 years

Page 12: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Trend Analysis

Page 13: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Inventory Trends

Page 14: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Leverage Analysis

Page 15: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Operating Cash Flow

Page 16: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Revenue BreakdownNIKE, Inc.DIVISIONAL REVENUES

Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 YTD FY 05 Q1 06 YTD FY 06 1 Year Quarterly Growth

U.S. Region

Footwear 921.4 680.0 849.6 907.2 24.4% 1,021.1 26.4% 10.8% Apparel 391.3 384.7 345.8 335.9 10.6% 395.5 10.2% 1.1% Equipment 89.0 67.3 72.8 84.3 2.3% 92.3 2.4% 3.7% Total 1,401.7 1,132.0 1,268.2 1,327.4 37.3% 1,508.9 39.1% 7.6%

EMEA Region

Footwear 663.3 531.8 615.3 689.6 18.2% 685.1 17.7% 3.3% Apparel 409.7 370.0 351.3 366.1 10.9% 435.2 11.3% 6.2% Equipment 84.9 59.3 67.3 73.0 2.1% 97.2 2.5% 14.5% Total 1,157.9 961.1 1,033.9 1,128.7 31.2% 1,217.5 31.5% 5.1%

Asia Pacific Region

Footwear 218.6 236.6 237.9 269.8 7.0% 237.4 6.1% 8.6% Apparel 148.8 207.8 188.3 210.6 5.5% 176.5 4.6% 18.6% Equipment 38.6 39.1 46.6 54.6 1.3% 45.7 1.2% 18.4% Total 406.0 483.5 472.8 535.0 13.8% 459.6 11.9% 13.2%

Americas Region

Footwear 114.8 129.8 99.6 134.4 3.5% 156.9 4.1% 36.7% Apparel 35.5 46.9 33.5 53.2 1.2% 40.7 1.1% 14.6% Equipment 11.4 12.6 10.6 13.5 0.4% 16.1 0.4% 41.2% Total 161.7 189.3 143.7 201.1 5.1% 213.7 5.5% 32.2%

3,127.3 2,765.9 2,918.6 3,192.2 87.4% 3,399.7 88.0% 8.7%Other 434.5 382.4 389.6 529.2 12.6% 462.3 12.0% 6.4%

Total NIKE, Inc. revenues3,561.8 3,148.3 3,308.2 3,721.4 100.0% 3,862.0 100.0% 8.4%

Page 17: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

EVal

Page 18: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Summary of Valuations

Page 19: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Analysts Recommendations

Analysts have a price target between 95-110 dollars depending on one or two year return

Consensus recommendation is OUTPERFORM Mean rating is a 1.84, down from a 2.06 two months

ago

Page 20: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

NIKE Risk Risk Grade – 103 (Max 134) Over 3/4 of all stocks available are more risky than NIKE

Page 21: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Risk Cont’d

Page 22: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Portfolio with NIKE

Risk Grade of 60 vs. current risk grade of 62 An analysis of our current portfolio labels consumer

discretionary as the most underweight sector compared to the benchmark

Interesting Facts:– Nike NEVER made an offer to buy Under Armor– They had Nike Shocks well before they were sold

in store but decided to hold sale until Michael Jordon retired and his shoe line lost popularity

Page 23: NIKE Presentation Outline Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary

Investment Recommendations Positive: Company has strong potential if it can tap into the

foreign markets (China and International Soccer). A purchase of 65 shares would account for 4.65% of the portfolio and would have a market value 5,382 dollars.

Negative: – Right now too much stress is put on the strength and growth of the

US Footwear sector.

– The abroad sector that is expected to grow contributes a low percentage of overall revenue. However, this does leave room for rapid growth and expansion.

– The company has doubled its market cap. over the last five years and has seen a very wide trading range between 50 and 90 dollars.