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Nigerian Breweries Plc Beer for the bear market Equity Research Wole Famurewa +234 802 319 3780 [email protected] Temitayo Orekoya +234 708 845 8120 [email protected]

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Page 1: Nigerian Breweries Plc Report - Nigeria’s No1 Economy ... Breweries Plc... · Nigerian Breweries Plc ... Dangote Flour Dangote Sugar Flour mills Nigeria ... largest brewer with

Nigerian Breweries PlcBeer for the bear market

Equity ResearchWole Famurewa

+234 802 319 3780

[email protected]

Temitayo Orekoya

+234 708 845 8120

[email protected]

Page 2: Nigerian Breweries Plc Report - Nigeria’s No1 Economy ... Breweries Plc... · Nigerian Breweries Plc ... Dangote Flour Dangote Sugar Flour mills Nigeria ... largest brewer with

Investment Summary 2

Company Overview

Background 3

Product Brands 4

Distribution Chain 5

Management 6

Shareholder Structure 6

Price Performance 6

Financial Analysis and Forecast 7

Assumptions 8

Valuation 10

Financials 11

Table of Content

Page 3: Nigerian Breweries Plc Report - Nigeria’s No1 Economy ... Breweries Plc... · Nigerian Breweries Plc ... Dangote Flour Dangote Sugar Flour mills Nigeria ... largest brewer with

Report date 18 July 2008

Target Price NGN 65.95

Current Price NGN 51.00

Enterprise Value (DCF) NGN bn 491.6

Common share outstanding 7.6bn

Market Capitalisation NGNbn 387.6

Change from 52-week High -9%

Change from 52-week low 26%

Web www.nbplc.com

Share Price performance

1 Week 0.0%

1 month 2.0%

3 month 0.0%

Year to date 4.1%

Year Revenue EBITDA Net Income EPS DPS Pay out Ratio P/E Div Yield ROE

2006 86.3 22.8 10.90 144.14 120.0 83% 35.4 2.4% 30.1%

2007 111.7 32.6 18.94 250.48 159.0 63% 20.4 3.1% 53.9%

2008E 138.3 43.5 26.35 348.42 243.9 70% 14.6 4.8% 61.2%

2009E 167.5 54.4 34.02 449.87 314.9 70% 11.3 6.2% 63.8%

2010E 198.3 65.9 42.10 556.72 389.7 70% 9.2 7.6% 63.9%

2011E 224.0 74.4 47.48 627.88 439.5 70% 8.1 8.6% 59.2%

2012E 253.2 84.3 53.97 713.61 499.5 70% 7.1 9.8% 56.0%

Nigerian Breweries PlcBeer for the bear market

Investment Summary� In this report, we initiate coverage on

Nigerian Breweries Plc (NB Plc), Nigeria's

largest brewer, attaching a BUY rating to the

stock with a 29% upside potential over the

next 12 months.

� Our bullish view is predicated on NB's

dominant market position and consistent

growth in the light of Nigeria's relatively low

beer consumption per capita. Moreover, the

value of Nigerian Breweries shares have been

relatively stable during the recent bear

market.

� Our fair valuation of NGN65.95 (compared

to its market price of NGN51) is based on free

cash flow (FCF) estimates from 2008 to 2017.

We project FCF to grow from NGN32bn in

2008 to NGN65bn in 2017. We assume that

revenue will double by the year 2017 to

NGN253.2bn from NGN111.7 bn in 2007. We

estimate PAT to grow from NGN18.9bn in

2007 to N54.3bn at the end of 2012 at a 5 year

CAGR of 23.4%.

-40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0%

International Brew

Dangote Flour

Dangote Sugar

Flour mills Nigeria

Guinness Nigeria

PZ Industries

Nigerian Breweries

3 months Stock performance

18th July 2008

2

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Major player in the Nigerian Brewery sector

with strong selling brands

Company Overview

Background

Nigerian Breweries (NB Plc) is a subsidiary of the Dutch

brewer, Heineken. The company is Nigerian’s pioneer and

largest brewer with current annual production capacity

estimated at 10 mn hectolitres. Founded in 1946, NB operates

5 breweries in Nigeria. The first was commissioned in Lagos in

1949 and four others have subsequently been established in

Aba (1957), Kaduna (1963), Ibadan (1982), Enugu (1993) and

Ama (2003), providing a geographical spread across the

country, albeit bias for cities in the southern part of Nigeria.

NB along with Guinness Nigeria constitutes a formidable

oligopoly in the Nigerian beer market, with an 80% combined

market share. Over the years, NB has launched a series of

alcoholic and non alcoholic brands carefully crafted for the

Nigerian consumer these includes Star Lager Beer, the

company’s flagship product. Others include Gulder Larger

Beer, Heineken (Larger), Maltina (Malt drink in four variants -

Maltina Classic, Maltina Strawberry, Maltina Exotic and Maltina

with Pineapple) and Legend Extra Stout.

Listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange in 1990, NB is one of the

most capitalised and actively traded companies outside the

banking and insurance sectors. As at December 2007, the

company had 131,026 shareholders. Heineken N.V. of Holland

has a majority shareholding of 54.1%.

In its resolve to maintain leadership of the beer market, NB

launched the local production of the Heineken brand, an

International high quality premium beer, in 2004. This marked

the highpoint of a two-year process to position Heineken, which

was previously imported into the country, as a locally produced

brand. Currently, the company produces Heineken beer in its

new state of the art brewery in Ama (Enugu State, South-East

Nigeria).

In addition, NB recently introduced MALTINA SIP-IT, a variant of

Maltina in a ‘Handy Pack’. One of the latest additions to NB's

product range is the new Gulder Max - a stronger, darker and

higher gravity brewed variant of the regular Gulder with a 6.5%

alcoholic content. The introduction of GulderMax was designed

to strengthen the existing brands and to increase the beer

options as obtained elsewhere in the world.

Despite its rapid growth in recent years, NB is noted for its

efficient cost management, an effort that contributed to the

liquidation of the company's huge debt profile in 2006 and won

the company an award for the best cost saving company within

the Heineken group.

86.3

111.7

138.3

167.5

198.3

224.0

253.2

10.90 18.94 26.35 34.02 42.10 47.48 53.97

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E

Revenue Net Income

120.0159.0

243.9

314.9

389.7

439.5

499.5

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E

Dividend per share 2006 - 2012E

40

45

50

55

60

Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08

Figure 1 NB Price Performance - Year to date

3

Figure 2

Figure 3

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Company Overview

Product Brands

Star beer has assumed the image and stature of a national

icon. A beer associated with brightness, social fun, high

quality taste and style - a world-class brand brewed by

Nigerian Breweries Plc (NB Plc) .

Star was introduced into the Nigerian market in 1949 as the

first indigenous beer brand. The beer market had hitherto

been dominated exclusively by imported brands. Shortly

after its entry into the market, the beer quickly overcame

the problems of market acceptance.

Star is largely responsible for the growth of the Nigerian

indigenous beer industry. The popularity gave other

prospective investors courage to consider the

establishment of new breweries.

Gulder Lager Beer was introduced in 1970 and then

relaunched in 1972. Gulder was introduced on a platform of

uniqueness and distinction for the confident, socially active

consumer driven by a desire for success. Gulder comes

packaged in a unique brown 60cl bottle (at the time of

launch, the only brown bottle in Nigeria) with 5.2% alcohol

content. The beer is made from malted barley, hops and

water with a distinctively bitter taste. Gulder is available in

many arts of West Africa, specifically Ghana, Republic of

Benin and Togo. It is also exported to the United Kingdom.

Maltina is Nigeria’s premier malt drink is now available in

four varieties (Maltina classic, Maltina strawberry, Maltina

exotic and Maltina with pineapple)

Amstel Malta is a non-alcholic malt beverage, meaning it

is brewed from barley, hops, yeast, and water much like

beer. Corn and caramel color may also be added.

Legend Extra stout brand now re-launched in a brand new

and fashionable packaging. The new Legend Extra Stout

now comes with a new attractive body and neck Label. For

the first time in the brand’s history, a back label has also

been introduced. The back label provides detailed

information about the brand, such as ingredients, alcoholic

contents etc. A unique, bottom-fermenting alcoholic

beverage produced from sorghum malt, sorghum and maize

and flavored with a natural stout aroma compound with

7.4% alcohol content.

4

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The Distribution Chain

Figure 4. Nigerian Breweries Plants across Nigeria

Company Overview

The company delivers its products through 147 key distributors and wholesalers (2006: 149). NB does not own

and is not liable for the logistics related to the distribution of its products. It key distributors are carefully

selected to ensure that the company's products are available across Nigeria.

Aba BreweryEstablished in 1957

Estimated pop: 2.8mn;

2.0% of Total

population.

A new bottle line and

the restart of beer

production

Enugu Brewery and AMA BreweryEstablished in 1993 and

2003 respectively

Estimated pop: 3.3mn;

2.3% of Total

population.

Currently extending the

brewing plant.

Kaduna BreweryEstablished in 1963

Estimated pop: 6.1mn;

4.3% of Total

population.

Currently extending the

brewing plant.

Ibadan BreweryEstablished in 1982

Estimated pop: 5.6mn;

3.9% of Total

population.

Tank room expansion

and Fayrouz

production. Also the

production of Can

STAR

Lagos BreweryEstablished in 1949

Estimated pop: 9.0mn;

6.3% of Total

population.

Currently extending the

brewing plant.

5

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Management

Shareholder structure

Price performance

Company Overview

Nigerian Breweries’s eleven-member board comprises the Chairman, Chief

K.B. Jamodu, the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, M. J.

Herkemij (Dutch) and nine others - O.S. Adebanji, Dr. O. O. Ajayi, Prof.

(Mrs) J.O.Akande, W.Fijnaut (Dutch), E. E. Imoagene, L. Le Couedic

(French), Th. A. de Man (Dutch), E. J. van Willegen (Dutch), I. E. Yamson

(Ghanaian).

Figure 6 Price Performance - Year to date Vs the NSE

Heineken N.V., 54%

Estimated Free

Float

46%

Figure 5.

40

45

50

55

60

Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08

6

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Revenue

Table 1. Revenue growth Chart

2006A 2007A 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E

Nigeria 86.1 111.5 138.3 167.5 198.3 224.0 253.2

Export 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Revenue 86.3 111.7 138.3 167.5 198.3 224.0 253.2

Financial analysis and forecasts

Over the five-year period Dec 2003 to Dec 2007, NB has delivered the

following key financial metrics:

- Revenues have grown from NGN73.6bn at YE03 to NGN111.7bn in 2007, a

CAGR of 8.% over the five-year period.

- EBITDA doubled from NGN15bn at YE03 to NGN32bn in 2007, a CAGR of

11.6% over the five-year period.

- PAT increased from NGN5.1bn at YE03 to NGN18.9bn in 2007, a CAGR of

38% over the five-year period.

In the following section, we summarise the underlying assumptions for

valuation model.

We forecast the group’s total revenue rising at a CAGR of 17.8% (2007-

2012E), from NGN111.7bn in 2007 to NGN253.2bn by 2012E. Our model on NB

only assumes organic growth in Nigeria. The key drivers of these assumptions are

as follows:

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Revenue 86.3220 111.748 138.308 167.460 198.251 224.036 253.173

EBITDA 22.8343 32.6068 43.5046 54.4385 65.9382 74.3501 84.3234

PAT 10.9005 18.9428 26.3617 34.0757 42.2227 47.6861 54.2643

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

Th

ou

san

ds

Figure 7 Nigerian Breweries Revenue, EBITDA and PAT for the years 2006A to 2012E

7

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Margins

Costs

Gross profit

SG&A

Tax

� Beer consumption per capita in Nigeria increases from 8.4 litres in 2007 to

13.2 litres in 2012E (a CAGR of 9.4%)

� Beer consumption in Nigeria rises from 14.0mn hectolitres in 2007 to

24.9mn hectolitres in 2012E (a CAGR of 12.2%)

� NB’s market share remains unchanged at 53.5%

� NB’s output rises from our estimated 7.5mn hectolitres in 2007 to 13.3mn

hectolitres in 2012E (a CAGR of 12.2%)

� We assume that the average price of beer per litre rises from

approximately NGN149 in 2007E to NGN190 in 2012E, representing a price

CAGR of 5.0%.

Assumptions

We do not have a detailed break down on the cost of goods sold relating to

NB business and have therefore made the following assumptions with

regards to gross profit .

NB’s pricing policy has been to pass on raw material price increases to its

customers in order to maintain its margin. Historically, NB has derived a

gross profit margin in excess of 50%. We have assumed that gross profit

margin will remain at historic levels of 50%.

SG&A costs have historically been tightly controlled and risen in line with

inflation (CPI). Given the lack of detail on operating costs we have taken a

conservative approach and assumed that SG &A will rise at a rate of 500

basis point above our forecast inflation rate.

We have assumed a corporate tax rate of 30% and an additional 2%

educational levy into our model from 2008.

NB’s pricing policy is to pass on raw materials increases to its customers.

Demand for beer has been relatively inelastic to minor price increases. We

assume that the company continues to maintain gross margins of 50% and

EBITDA margins greater than 30%.

Our financial forecast is based on the following assumptions

8

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Capex

Assumptions

We forecast total gross profit rising at a CAGR of 16.4% (2007-

2012) from NGN59.2bn in 2007A to NGN126.6bn by 2012E. This

implies that the gross profit margin remains flat at 50%.

EBITDA rises from NGN32.6bn in 2007A to NGN84.3bn by

2012E, a CAGR of 20.9% (2007-2012E), maintaining the EBITDA

margin marginally above 30% throughout the forecast period.

Profit after tax increases from NGN18.9bn in 2007A to

NGN54.3bn by 2012, a CAGR of 23.4%. (2007-2012E).

EPS rises from NGN2.50 in 2007A to NGN7.17 by 2012, a CAGR

of 23.4% (2007-2012E).

We estimate that NB is currently running at 75% of capacity

(7.5mn hectolitres of approximately 10mn hectolitres installed

capacity). Management has announced that it is currently

optimising its facility, which will translate into an additional 20%

capacity (i.e. 12mn hectolitres of estimated installed capacity).

We believe that this will be sufficient under our current growth

assumptions until 2010. NB have not disclosed any plans to

increase installed capacity as yet, but we assume that this

decision will have to be made over the next 18 months.

We have therefore make the following assumptions:

NB increases its installed capacity by 5mn hectolitres in 2011 and

2016. We assume a cost of NGN3.5bn per 1mn hectolitre of

increased capacity at current prices.

Maintenance capex of 4% of sales.

51.36% 52.96%50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00%

26.45%29.18% 31.45% 32.51% 33.26% 33.19% 33.31%

12.63%16.95% 19.06% 20.35% 21.30% 21.29% 21.43%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Gross EBITDA NET

Figure 8 Profitability Margins

9

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Valuation

Working capital is a strong indicator of the efficiency of a firm. The

inventory turnover ratio, is a good instrument for assessing the

effectiveness of working capital management it shows how fast/often

companies are able to get their goods completely off the shelves.

Generally, a high inventory turnover ratio is good for business. In the

BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China), inventory turnover ratio, ITR for

brewery companies ranges between 10x and 12x. NB in 2007 has grown

its ITR to 6.9x from 6.8x in 2006, which compare favourably with its

major competitor, Guinness, which has an ITR of 4.9x. We estimate that

NB Plc will improve its ITR to 10x by 2017.

The company’s trading working capital is positive, as it secures creditor

terms of approximately 65 days, but its trade debtors’ terms are 15 days.

We assume that the dividend payout ratio of 70% is maintained looking

forward.

All capital expenditure needs are met from internally generated funds.

NB maintains a positive cash position and no debt with a closing cash

position.

In its 1Q, 2008 results, in line with estimates, the company increased

turnover 25.93% to NGN32.4 bn from NGN25.5bn over the same period

in 2007. PAT grew 42.38% to NGN6.2bn on the back of increased sales

and an aggressive restructuring of the business, which cut costs

significantly and improved supply lines. NB’s supeiror marketing and

distribution strategy has helped the company maintain its position as a

market leader in Nigeria’s beer industry.

The launch of Heineken, and Amstel Malta in 33cl can, re-launch of

Gulder and Amstel Malta 33cl were some of the high points in 2007. The

number of third party delivery trucks also grew from 500 to 700

units, which enhanced turnaround time. The company hope to challene

Guinness Nigeria's dominance of the stout market, with the repackaging

of its Legend extra stout. Amid growing competition, the parent

company, Heineken N. V has committed significant resources to capacity

improvement projects such as a new bottle line and the restart of beer

production in Aba; tank room extension and Fayrouz production in

Ibadan (South West Nigeria); extension of Lagos brewery plant (brew

house, cellars and logistics master plan); extension of Kaduna brew

house and installation of second line in Ibadan for the production of

canned Star.

Pre-result release expectation

Based on aforementioned assumptions and a given the company’s

expansion projects, we estimate a post-tax profit of NGN12.5bn for the

second quarter results, while we believe revenues should firm up to

NGN65bn. This result is due for release by the third week of July 2008.

30.1%

53.9%61.2% 63.8% 63.9%

59.2% 56.0%

14.4%20.7% 23.6% 24.9% 25.3% 24.0% 23.1%

2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E

ROE ROA

In arriving at a fair value for Nigerian

Breweries Plc we estimated Free Cash Flow

(FCF) and PAT for the period between 2008

and 2017. We project a FCF to grow from

NGN32bn in 2008 to NGN65bn in 2017. We

assume that revenue, will growth at a rate

slightly lower than GDP and double by the

year 2017 to NGN253.2bn from NGN111.7 in

2007. We estimate PAT to grow from

NGN18.9bn in 2007 to N54.3bn at the end of

2017 at a 5 year CAGR of 23.4%.

In our DCF valuation, we assumed a terminal

growth rate of 3.0%. A Weighted Average

Cost of Capital, WACC of 14.8%, which is

estimated using a beta value of 0.8 based on

the 5-year historical returns on the company

share price and the Nigerian Stock Exchange

All Share Index (ASI), coupon rate of 10% on

the 1-year Federal Government (FGN) Bond

issued in the month of June, 2008 as our risk

free rate and a market risk premium of 6%.

We used 7.6bn ordinary Shares in issue at the

date of this valuation. Our Discounted Cash

Flow model values NB at NGN65.9 per share

while the Price to Earnings multiple generates

a NGN61.11 per share. A weighted average of

the two valuation model indicates a

NGN65.00 12 month target price for Nigerian

Breweries. Our forecast DPS for the forecast

period 2008 to 2012 are

NGN2.43, NGN3.14, NGN3.89, NGN4.39 and

NGN4.99 respectively.

We therefore place a BUY recommendation

on Nigerian Breweries with a 29% upside

potential from its current price of NGN51.

Working capital and cash flow

Q1 March 2008 Performance

10

Figure 9

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Table 2. Nigerian Breweries Summary Income Statement (Year Ending December Nbn)

2006A 2007A 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012ECAGR 2007-2012

Total Revenue 86.3 111.7 138.3 167.5 198.3 224.0 253.2 17.8%

Growth y-o-y 7.7% 29.5% 23.8% 21.1% 18.4% 13.0% 0.0%

COGS 42.0 52.6 69.2 83.7 99.1 112.0 126.6 19.2%

Gross Profit 44.3 59.2 69.2 83.7 99.1 112.0 126.6 16.4%

Margin 51.4% 53.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%

Opex costs 21.5 26.6 25.6 29.3 33.2 37.7 42.3 9.7%

EBITDA 22.8 32.6 43.5 54.4 65.9 74.4 84.3 20.9%

Margin 26.5% 29.2% 31.5% 32.5% 33.3% 33.2% 33.3%

D&A 6.0 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.7 7.9 9.1 10.6%

EBIT 16.8 27.1 37.7 48.2 59.2 66.5 75.2 22.6%

Margin 19.5% 24.3% 27.3% 28.8% 29.9% 29.7% 29.7%

Net Financial

Income -0.5 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.9 3.7 4.654.7%

PBT (Norm) 16.4 27.9 38.8 50.1 62.1 70.1 79.8 23.4%

Margin 19.0% 24.9% 28.0% 29.9% 31.3% 31.3% 31.5%

Other Income 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Exceptionals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

PBT 16.4 27.9 38.8 50.1 62.1 70.1 79.8 23.4%

Margin 19.0% 24.9% 28.0% 29.9% 31.3% 31.3% 31.5%

Taxation 5.5 8.9 12.4 16.0 19.9 22.4 25.5 23.4%

ETR 33.7% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%

PAT 10.9 18.9 26.4 34.1 42.2 47.7 54.3 23.4%

Margin 12.6% 17.0% 19.1% 20.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.4%

EPS 144.14 250.48 348.58 450.58 558.31 630.55 717.54 23.4%

% Y-o-Y 32.1% 73.8% 39.2% 29.3% 23.9% 12.9% 13.8%

DPS 120.00 159.00 221.27 286.02 354.40 400.26 455.48 23.4%

% Y-o-Y 0.0% 32.5% 39.2% 29.3% 23.9% 12.9% 13.8%

Financials NGN bn

11

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Table 4. Nigerian Breweries Summary Income Statement (Year Ending December $ mn)

2006A 2007A 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012ECAGR 2007-2012

Nigeria 662.5 878.1 1,265.4 1,584.3 1,782.8 2,000.3 2,260.5 20.8%

Growth y-o-y 0.0% 32.5% 44.1% 25.2% 12.5% 12.2% 13.0%

Total Revenue 664.0 879.9 1,265.4 1,584.3 1,782.8 2,000.3 2,260.5 20.8%

Growth y-o-y 0.0% 32.5% 43.8% 25.2% 12.5% 12.2% 13.0%

COGS 323.0 413.9 632.7 792.2 891.4 1,000.2 1,130.2 22.3%

Gross Profit 341.0 466.0 632.7 792.2 891.4 1,000.2 1,130.2 19.4%

Margin 51.4% 53.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%

Opex costs 165.4 209.3 234.7 277.1 298.5 336.3 377.4 12.5%

EBITDA 175.6 256.7 398.0 515.0 593.0 663.8 752.9 24.0%

Margin 26.5% 29.2% 31.5% 32.5% 33.3% 33.2% 33.3%

D&A 46.2 43.3 53.0 58.9 60.5 70.4 81.4 13.5%

EBIT 129.4 213.4 345.0 456.1 532.4 593.4 671.5 25.8%

Margin 19.5% 24.3% 27.3% 28.8% 29.9% 29.7% 29.7%

Net Financial

Income -3.9 4.1 9.7 17.9 26.0 32.7 41.058.6%

PBT (Norm) 126.4 219.5 354.7 474.1 558.4 626.1 712.5 26.6%

Margin 19.0% 24.9% 28.0% 29.9% 31.3% 31.3% 31.5%

Other Income 0.9 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Exceptionals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

PBT 126.4 219.5 354.7 474.1 558.4 626.1 712.5 26.6%

Margin 19.0% 24.9% 28.0% 29.9% 31.3% 31.3% 31.5%

Taxation 42.6 70.3 113.5 151.7 178.7 200.4 228.0 26.5%

ETR 33.7% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%

PAT 83.9 149.2 241.2 322.4 379.7 425.8 484.5 26.6%

Margin 12.6% 17.0% 19.1% 20.3% 21.3% 21.3% 21.4%

EPS 1.11 1.97 3.19 4.26 5.02 5.63 6.41 26.6%

% Y-o-Y 0.0% 77.9% 61.7% 33.7% 17.8% 12.1% 13.8%

DPS 0.92 1.25 2.02 2.71 3.19 3.57 4.07 26.6%

% Y-o-Y 0.0% 35.6% 61.7% 33.7% 17.8% 12.1% 13.8%

Financials $ mn

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Disclosures

This report has been issued and approved by PHB Asset Management Limited (PAML) and is based on

information from various sources that we believe are reliable. However, no representation is made

that it is accurate or complete. While reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no

responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any opinion expressed herein. This

document is for information purposes only. It does not constitute any offer or solicitation to any

person to enter into any trading transaction. Investments discussed in this report may not be suitable

for all investors. This report is provided solely for the information of PAML clients who are then

expected to make their own investment decisions. PAML conducts designated investment business

with market counter parties and customers and this document is directed only to such persons. PAML

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or its contents. This report is for private circulation only and may not be reproduced, distributed or

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report should bear in mind that investments can fluctuate in price and value. Past performance is not

necessarily a guide to future performance. PAML and/or a connected company may or may not have

a relationship with any of the entities mentioned in this document for which it has received or may

receive in the future fees or other compensation. PAML is regulated by the Securities and Exchange

Commission to conduct investment business in Nigeria.

©PHB Asset Management Limited.

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