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1q Sloan Trends, Inc. www.sloantrend.com 760-741-9611 A. Elizabeth Sloan, Ph.D. Catherine Adams Hutt, Ph.D., R.D., C.F.S. Protein Trends & Technologies Seminar May 3 - 4 2016 Next Generation Protein Opportunities Sustaining the Rush …

Next Generation Protein Opportunities Sustaining the Rush …

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Messaging, Positioning

The Protein Market

Health Markets, Priorities

1234 Watch & Work On…..

Protein Among Largest Healthy Ingredient Market Opportunities, Muscle Gen II

Sloan Trends, Inc. 2016

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Protein Muscle Strength

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Protein Muscle Strength

Commercialization – Level 3

Commercialization – Mega Phase

4

Medical/Nutrition Consumer

Muscle & Strength Ready Markets

Top 10 Best-Selling New F/B 2015

Cheerios protein: 11 g protein with milk

IRI, New Products Pacesetter Report, 4/2016

fairlife: nutrient-rich ultra-filtered milk, 50% more protein,

30% more calcium, half sugars typically in milk, lactose free

Rising Stars 2016-17

Up & Coming Predicted

Next Best-sellers

IRI, 2016 Pacesetter Report, Times & Trends, 4/2016

Good Source

of Protein

7 g. of Protein

9 g. of Protein

~ Half Adults Trying to Get More Protein

Protein-Presence Claims $15.3B ’15, +7%

IFIC Food & Health Survey, 2015; Packaged Facts, Food Formulation & Ingredient Trends: Plant Protein, 2/2016; Food Mktg. Institute, U.S. Grocery

Shopper Trends, 2015; Nielsen, Y/E 11/28/15 Nielsen Perishable Group FreshFacts

Believe Consuming higher Amount

Protein is Esp Beneficial for:

Interest Highest Age 25-39, 18-24

#2, Falls with Age > 39

Hispanics, Asians & Blacks >

Likely Seek Out Protein F/B,

Higher Income

% Make Effort to Consumer More 2015

39% Protein Very Important

Food Label, +5% vs. 2011

47% Households with Kids Make

Effort Get More Protein

Boomers Turn 70, > Half U.S. Age 50+ 2017

Hispanics Age 50+ Up 63% by 2021

Manage 9.5 Conditions:

Treat 3.7, Prevent 5.8

U.S. Census; HealthFocus, 2015; Hartman Group, Health & Wellness, 2015; Packaged Facts, Supplement in the U.S. 2014

50+ Very/Ext Concerned

65+ #1 Supplements, +12% 2020

Protein Falls Out Top 10 Bev Trends/Need

States Per Top Beverages Execs 2016

Beverage Industry ‘s 2016 New Product Development Survey; IRI 2016 New Product Pacesetter Report

2015: High Protein #1 in 2015, Fell to #18 Vit/ Min Fortified

#10 & Probiotic/Prebiotic #6 Fell out of Top 10

Country of Origin #6 Ethnic #8 Cognitive #10 Came In

12% Look for

New Bev

with Protein

2016

Serve Non- Meat/Poultry/Seafood Protein Alternatives Occasionally for Dinner

Frequency of Serving

Meat/Poultry

For Dinner

Falls to 3.7 Times

Per Week

44% Serve

Meatless Protein

Meals

1 - 3 X/week

7% 4 or More

Food Marketing Institute, Power of Meat, 2015/16; 2014 Gallup Study of Nutrition Knowledge & Consumption; NRA What’s Hot Chef Survey, 2016

More Plant Based Eating: 76% HH Serve

Meatless Alternatives Dinner, Soy 14%

17% Some Effort Follow Vegetarian Diet

8% Vegetarian, 2% Vegan, 8% Tried 2015

36% Eating Less Meat/Poultry

Meatless/Vegetarian #8 Main Dish Hot

Culinary Trend 2016, Vegan #9

Vegetarian #3 for Appetizers

47% Ext/Very Interested Replace Meat

/Dairy Ps with Plant-based Ps, Small $

HealthFocus, 2015; IRI, State-of-the-Snack

Food industry, 2016; Mintel, Soyfoods, 2015 36% Ate Alternative Meat Protein Product 2015

$2.7 Billion Opportunity in Plant-based

Dairy Foods Beyond Beverages

Household Penetration of Plant-based Beverages has Doubled in 5 Years to

more than 30% Nielsen, 2/ 2015; Technomic Commercial Foodservice, 2015

Non-Dairy Milk Drinks Doubled

Last 5 Years to More than 30%

More Plant-Based Smoothies F.S.

Prefer Get Most Ingredients Naturally

Hartman Group, Health & Wellness, 2015

64% Think Fortification Nutrients Not as Healthy

Some Major Marketers Dropping Fortification, In the

Name of Natural Nutrition, Clean Label, etc.

1. HealthFocus, 2015; 2. Hartman Group, Health & Wellness, 2015; 3. Pkg. Facts, Functional Food Trends, 2015

Importance of Nutrition Sources

Not New Hasn’t Changed 28 Years

64% adults regularly looked

for F/B with added Vit/min in 2015;

down 9% over past 5 years2

U.S. Dietary Guidelines: 11 Under

Consumed Nutrients, Irresponsible?

Underconsumed

Iron

– for adolescent

and

premenopausal

women

Vitamin A

Vitamin D

Folate

Vitamin C

Calcium

Magnesium

Choline

Potassium

Fiber

OverconsumedSodium

Saturated Fat

Based on Estimated Average Intake

Based on Adequate Intake Requirements

Pose Public

Health Risk:

Vitamin D

Calcium

Potassium

Fiber

Iron (for

premenopausal women)

2015 Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee Report, USDA/DHHS

Clean Behaviors Escalate, Future Strong

Food Marketing Institute, U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends, 2015; IFIC, Food & Health Survey, 2015; Mintel, Free-from Food Trends, 5/2015

I Look for in

Food &

Beverages

Purchase of Clean

Foods & Worry

Over Harmful

Ingredients Skews

to Younger Adults

Generation by Age

18 –

24

70+

Generation by Age

Older

Evolving Values Impact 51% Food Purchases

EV = Nutrient Content, Free-From, Natural, Non-GMO,

Less Processed/Preservatives/Artificial Ingredients

Traditional Drivers: 49%

_______________

__________

___________________________

_________________________

Deloitte, FMI, GMA, Capitalizing on the Shifting Consumer

Food Value Equation, 2015

_________ 51% Evolving

Value Drivers

Messaging & Positioning

It has to work!

Don’t Know How Much Protein They

Need, What’s Your Protein #

Caution Long Term: Protein Industry Must Avoid Potential Issue of Over-

Promotion and Over-Consumption (but these numbers are not excessive)

Moderate Protein Intake 25-30g, 3X/Day

Optimizes Weight /Muscle

Protein Breakfast Super Star Status

Current US Diet Only 10 g. Protein at Breakfast;

Typical Breakfast Foods Toast, Cereals, Low in Protein

Total Protein

90 g

Cata

bo

lism

An

ab

oli

sm

10 g

maximum rate of protein synthesis

15 g 65 g

A skewed daily protein distribution fails

to maximize potential for muscle growth

Recommend Moderate Protein Intake Thru Day

~ 1.3 g/kg/day

Paddon-Jones and Rasmussen 2009

Current U.S. Protein Consumption Pattern

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Amino acids

Consumer

Commercialization – Level 1

Commercialization – Level 2

Commercialization – Level 3

Commercialization – Mega Phase

Spike in the TrendSense™ Curve

Due to Report on Macronutrients

By the Institute of Medicine which

Assigned RDIs for 9 Amino Acids

Requirement - mg. per kg. of body weight

Infant Child Adults

Amino acid3 - 6

mo.

10 - 12

yr.

Histidine 33Not

known

not

known

Isoleucine 80 28 12

Leucine 128 42 16

Lysine 97 44 12

S-containing amino

acids45 22 10

Aromatic amino

acids132 22 16

Threonine 63 28 8

Tryptophan 19 4 3

Valine 89 25 14

Leucine: Stimulates Muscle Synthesis

Awareness Aminos 57% 2014

2014 Gallup Study of Dietary Supplements; Sloan Trends, 2016

IRi, State of Snacking, 4/2016; Hartman Compass Database, 2014; Technomic, 2015, Consumer Snacking Trend Report

New Early Morning Snacking Occasion

49% Meal Occasions are SnacksSnacking: Early AM Top Growth

55% HH at Least 1 Brown

Bagger, 20% Bag BreakfastHealthy Snacks +3.5, Indulgent +3.2

+5% 2015-2016

Breakfast Bakery Low Protein; Where

High Protein Breads, Muffins, Bagels?

NRA, What’s Hot Survey, 2016; Bernstein Analysis Wall St, J. Y/E July, 2014; IFIC, 2013 Breakfast Study

#1 Hot Culinary Breakfast Trend 2016 Ethnic Breakfast Foods & Ingredients

40% Eat Breakfast

Pastry

36% Taster Pastries

30% Muffins

Carbs Protein

Motivators Eat A.M. - Energy, Mental, Weight, Feel Full

Nutrients Tops Wellness Goal in AM

Hartman, Compass Database 2014; FMI, U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends, 2014.

Wellness Relevant Dietary Goals Throughout the Day

Nutrition Bars Far Outpace Sales of

Cereal/Snack Bars – Fortification?

28Packaged Facts, Nutrition & Cereal Bars, 2015

Health Markets

Priorities

Consumer Health Linkages for Protein

• 87% builds muscle

• 81% maintain muscle with aging

• 77% aid exercise recovery

• 73% helps feel full

• 68% helps increase lean body mass

• 64% aids weight loss

• 64% energy throughout the day

• 62% helps maintain energy

• 59% suppress hunger between meals

• 38% soy protein aids weight loss

• 33% boosts metabolism

• 32% hair, skin and nails

Consumer Links Protein

IFIC, Food & Health Survey, 2015; Mintel, Performance Foods U.S., 2014; HealthFocus, 2015; 2014 Gallup Study Nutrition Knowledge /Consumption

Body Toning - Sarcopenia – Immunity

Satiety – Long-Lasting Energy, etc.

Protein: Energy & Sports

Performance

31

HealthFocus, 2015

Energy

Is Top

Consumer

Target

Consumers Say

“Very Interested In/

Affected By”

Global: #1 HealthConcern Age 18-395th 40-49, 9th 50+

Increasing Interest Issues Affect Every

Day Performance; Women, Millennials

Beverage Marketing Corp 3/29/16; Shots - IRI, Y/E 6/14/15; Packaged Facts, 2015 Functional Foods Rpt; NBJ, 3/2015; Mintel Performance Foods, 2015; IRI, State-of-the-Snack Food Industry 4/2016; IRI

Why Use Protein Bev4 All

Gives me energy50

Physical Performance 49

Curb hunger/feel full 48

Exercise recovery 46

1 serving, balanced nutr. 45

Weight Loss Aid 39

U.S. Energy Drink Sales → 2017

Growth 6% → 2017

Energy Shots Fall -2.8% to $1.2B

60% Seek Snacks that Deliver an Energy Boost

Energy New Concern 50+

Drive Incremental Sales of

Bars, Energy/Sports Drinks

Proj. Annual Growth Fx Food

Categories 2014-16

Mintel, Consumer, 11/2015; IRI Aging in America, 2015, HealthFocus, 2015

Cognition/Attention Span

New Global Sports/Energy

Bev Positioning

Global New Sports/Energy Drinks

Brain/Nervous System Claim

Energy Benefits Most Interested in from F/B

54% 50-64,

46% 65+ Very/

Extremely

Concerned Lack

Of Energy

Women > Men

35

Top 3 Benefits Sought from SNP

KEY BENEFITS SOUGHT

Dietary

Supplement

Sports

Nutrition

Products

Energy boost (49%)

Weight management (48%)

Build lean muscle (37%)

Replace nutrients lost during

exercise (37%)

$31B Sports Nutrition Sector Mainstreams;

More Aggressive Claims; Hormel, Post Enter

Market Mainstreams, Splits High

Performance Athletes vs:

Recreational Sports, Gym Workout

Weekend Warriors

Women: Fitness/Weight

Boomers Aging Well

Moms Kids Nutrition Support

Euromonitor, 2014; TABS 2015 Sports Nutrition Survey; Nutrition Business Journal, 4/2014; Gallup 2014 Study of Sports Nutrition

Sports Nutrition Predicted to be

Top Performing Healthcare

Sector Globally

More Men

&

Women

Exercise

Regularly

Pkg. Facts, Weight Report, 2014; NSGA, 2016; NBJ, 7/2105

Exercise Walking

Exercising with Equip.

Aerobic Exercising

Workout at Club

Running/Jogging

58.7

29.4

26.9

18.8

16.9

Age 50+

Increase

Last 5 Years

Engaged in Regular Exercise, 2004 vs. 2014

Workout at gym

Aerobic Exercising

Exercise Walking

Running/Jogging

+14%

+46%

+25%

+87%

Women in

millions

Exercise 1st Choice Some Health

Solutions; Multi-Functional Products

Hartman Group, Health & Wellness, 2015

Sports Nutrition Powders Top $4.4B 2015,

Project Growth of 8% to 2019

Nutrition Business Journal, 7/2015

Sports Nutrition Powders

Sales & Growth 2017

Sports Nutrition Powders

By Protein Source 2014

Hard Core Sports Drinks $599M, +17% to

$806 2019; Pills $239M, +6.1% to $324 2019

Nutrition Business Journal,7/2015

Hardcore Sports Nutrition Drinks

Sales & Growth 2017

Sports Nutrition Pill Supplement

Growth to 2017

37% Are Sports Nutrition Buyers

Protein #1 Sports Supplement 2015

TABS Sports Supplement Survey, 201 Supplement Survey, 2015

High Protein &

Weight Loss

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YearProtein & Weight

Medical Threshold

Medical/Nutrition

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Protein & Weight Low Carb

Consumer

Commercialization – Level 1

Popularization

TrendSense™ Predictive Model: Protein & Weight (Not Kids)

Commercialization – Level 2

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Low Carb

Medical Threshold

Sloan trends Inc. 2016

Mass

Channels,

Weight Loss

Nutritional

Meal

Replacements

$6.0B, 13.6%

IRI Y/E 11/ 2/9/15, total U.S. multi-outlet (supermarkets, drug stores, mass market retailers, military commissaries and select club and dollar retail

chains)

IRI Data MULO

Y/E 11/22/15

Slim Fast, Premier Protein, Top 20

Brands Highest Incremental Sales

IRI for the 52 weeks ended Nov. 29, 2015, across total U.S. multi-outlet (supermarkets, drug stores, mass market retailers, military commissaries

and select club and dollar retail chains)

Ensure Pedia Sure Weight, Atkins Bars

Top Diet, Meal Rplc Bars, Energy Shots

IRI for the 52 weeks ended Nov. 29, 2015, across total U.S. multi-outlet (supermarkets, drug stores, mass market retailers, military commissaries

and select club and dollar retail chains); Bars – IRI, Jan. 2016, Taking Stock of CPG Past & Future

Top 5

Intrinsic

Value

Health Bars

MULO

Men = 69% Growth Weight Sector 5 Years;

Men 18-34 Drive Weight Maintenance +34%

Overweight

Men 80M, 73%

Women 75M, 64%

Obese

Men 37M, 34%

Women 42M 36%

Women Drive New Very

High Weight Loss > 30 lbs.

¼ Women 35-54 20-40 lbs.

%Growth Watching Diet for Weight

Weight Goals All

I would like to lose 5-9 lbs 15

I would like to lose 10-19 lbs 23

I would like to lose 20-49 lbs 19

I would like to lose 50 or more lbs 13

Packaged Facts, Weight Management, U.S. Consumer Mindsets, 8/2015; Am. Heart Assn. Stats, 2015

Men Drive Lose Weight

for Health/Medical, Heart

Women 50-64 #1 Try to Lose Weight, 65+ to

Maintain, Women 55+ #3 Heavy Bar Users

Heavy User: 5+ Nutrition Bars/Month

FMI, U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends, 2015; Packaged Facts, IRI, NPD/CREST, Produce for Better Health, Gallup

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Year

Protein & Satiety Satiety Supress/Curb Hunger

Medical Threshold

Medical/Nutrition

0

200

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800

1000

1200

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1600

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Year

Protein & Satiety Satiety Supress/Curb Hunger

Consumer

Commercialization – Level 1

Popularization

39% Very Interested F/B Feel Full Longer; 31% Supplements; Worry What’s Altered

TrendSense™

Sloan Trend, 2016; HealthFocus, 2015

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Body Fat Body Composition Increase Muscle Tone

Muscle Tone

Consumer

Commercialization – Level 1

Popularization

Commercialization – Level 2

Commercialization – Level 3

Muscle Tone/Health #11 Health Concern

Timing Good: Market Muscle Tone

Loss of Lean Body

Mass Begins in Your 30s

Sloan Trends, Inc. 2016; L'Oréal Image Survey, 2014

• 73% women body shape a 'major concern'

• 20-30% of women considered plastic surgery

Protein: Mobility and

Healthy Aging &

Sarcopenia

Mobility Platform Interest: Very ConcernedUS Canada China Mexico Australia Brazil

Joint 44% 36% 50% 50% 40% 63%

Bone 51% 37% 53% 25% 35% 68%

Mobility/Age 62% 55% 53% 35% 35% 65%

Muscle 44% 39% 35% 36% 52% 54%

HealthFocus International, ;2015; World Health Organization, 2013

52

Q63a. Which, if any, of the following health problems or conditions have you experienced in the past 12 months

30% Adults Mention Age Related Muscle

Loss, 1 in 5 60-75 Clinical Loss Strength

2014 Gallup Study of U.S. Market For Vitamins & Other Dietary Supplements: HHS, 2016

• 65% protein helps prevent muscle loss with aging

• 56% protein helps build/maintain muscle strength

Reduced Muscle Strength

Age 60+ U.S. Clinical HHS

Sarcopenia/Mobility

Sarcopenia: Prevalent Sr. condition – age-related loss of loss of lean body mass, strength & function

Dynapenia: Age related loss of strength

54

Sarcopenia:~ 44% Women Post Menopause

Muscle Strength

• Relatively stable to age 50

• 15% loss per decade age 50-70; age 70 – 80, 30% loss

• Men age 24-80 lose 40% total skeletal muscle mass; 10% 24-50

• Postural muscle, quadriceps & soleus show age related atrophy

• Weakness back muscles disk herniation, chronic low back pain

• Upper body strength accidents, lifting, pushing, pulling

• US: 45% of 65+

• Japan: 20M sarcopenia patients

• Onset age 40, big repercussions ~ 75

• 20’s: muscle up to 60% fat-free mass

• 70’s muscle < 40%

• Loss: 1 - 2% / yr > 50+

• ~ 50% or more by age 60

Janssen I, J American Geriatrics Society 52;1:80-85, 2004.

Aligning Protein & Muscle & Joint Support

Very Big Idea

Dairy Management Inc. Consumer Protein Tracker Update, 2013

Benefits Associated with Protein by Age

Biggest priority as

you age?

Responses

Stay physically strong &

healthy

58%

Keeping my mind sharp 25%

Look good 11%

Live as long as possible 4%

Healthy muscle to support and aid in proper alignment of bones and joints is an important

– and much overlooked - factor in joint health and in current product offerings. aligning

joints with muscle and protein is a very big idea.

Help Protect Joint with Strong

Muscles

Muscle Recovery and Sport Injury Prevention

Protein & Kids

Kid-Specific F/B to $41B by 2018, 1/3

Moms Strong Effort More Protein Kids

Packaged Facts, Kids Food and Beverage Market, 4/2016; HealthFocus, 2015, Acad. Nutr. & Dietetics Sports Practice Survey, 2014

Protein/Muscle and Children

1/3 Moms Trying Increase Kids’ Protein Level

Sloan Trends Inc. 2016; 2014 Gallup Study of Nutrient Knowledge & Composition

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Children & Sports Protein & Children

Medical Threshold

Medical/Nutrition

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02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

YearChildren & Sports Protein & Children

Consumer

Commercialization – Level 2

Commercialization – Level 1

Commercialization – Level 3

Youth Sports in America, Women’s Sports Foundation, 2014; Am.

Acad. Pediatrics; Dietetic Assn. Sports Nutrition Practice Study, 2013

72% Boys, 63% Girls Moderate to Highly

Involved in AthleticsChildren’s Athletic

Participation

> 30 Million Participate In

Organized Sports in the US

Each Year

Parents Aware: Protein/Sports

Performance and Muscle Connection

60% parents believe child should eat

lots of high-protein foods to increase

muscle size

37% said a high-protein diet is best for

fueling a child's athletic performance

Immunity, Beauty

Sleep

Immunity Strong “Sleeper” Linkage Protein

27% Unaided, 54% Surveyed

Packaged Facts, Functional Foods Repot, 2015; 2014 Gallup Study of Dietary Supplements

1/3 Adults Believe Protein Promotes

Hair & Nails, Skin Health, Tissue

RepairTotal Adults

%

Health Benefits (NET) 78

Promotes overall health 54

Strengthens immunity 33

Promotes bone health 32

Promotes healthy hair and nails 32

Promotes skin health and tissue repair 29

Helps control blood sugar levels/reduces diabetes risk 22

Lowers cholesterol 18

Build Muscle/Improve Athletic Performance (NET) 61

Helps build/maintain muscle strength 56

Helps improve athletic performance 29

Weight Loss/Satiety (NET) 59

Keeps you feeling full longer/suppresses appetite 41

Boosts metabolism and aids in fat burning 33

Increases energy level 51

None/Don’t know 11

1 in 5 Blood Sugar Control, Reduce Diabetes Risk

On Average

Consumers

Associate

Health

Benefits

with

Protein

MSI, The 2014 Gallup Study of Protein

New Evidence Protein

Aids Sleep: Big Idea

Athletes Replenish Muscle While Sleeping

Malaysia

Condition Specific

Supplement Sales 2015

Nutrition Business Journal Datasheets, 2015

41% Aware of FDA Heart Healthy

Claim for Soy 2015

United Soybean Board, 2015

To Watch & Work

On…

67

2014 Gallup Study of Nutrient Knowledge & Consumption; Nutrition Business J., 2015: Technomic, Healthy Eating

Consumer Trend Report, 2014; NRA, What’s Hot Chef Survey for 2015? 10/2014.

30% Making a Strong Effort Eat More

Minimally Processed Foods, +8% vs. 2010Consumer

LifestylesFood that is ____ is healthy…

Hot Culinary Themes 2016Proj. Annual Fresh Food Eatings1

+20%

2003-13

Pet Food: Top 10 Largest CPG Categories

More Households have Dogs > Kids, Yeah!

Type of Pet½ Pop. > Age 50 2019

Packaged Facts, U.S. Pet Market Outlook, 2015-16,; Packaged Facts, Pet Treats & Chews in the U.S. 6/2015; IRI Taking Stock of CPG, 1/2016

Proj. U.S. Pet Food Retail Channel Sales $29B → $35B by 2019$108M Yr-One

51% Dog Parents, 44% Cat Buy

Specialty Nutrition Formula

36g protein→

Hispanics Are At Greater Risk for Some

Chronic Disease

Hispanics

Total Population

AGE

18-34 Years

35-49 Years

50+ Years

Multi-Sponsor Surveys’ 2011 Gallup Study of Hispanic Nutrition And Supplement Use, Fielded March 2012; U.S. Census Bureau, 2010

10 Yrs. Younger < Gen. Pop.

Men < 35 1 in 5 Use Sports

Supplements

Suffer disproportionately from:

• High cholesterol #1 Mex. Am. Men

• Arthritis/joint pain, severe

• Diabetes, stroke

• Liver health issues

• Cold/flu

#1 buy nutrition products for kids

#1 Sports & Energy Drinks

#2 Meal Replacement Bev > 65+

#1 Index Baby Food

Beauty, skin, appearance issues

Sleep & mood key lifestyle issues

Botanicals, natural remedies

Sloan Trends, Inc. 20+ Years of Identifying

Emerging Food/Beverage

Opportunities

Dr. A. Elizabeth

Sloan

Trends, Markets,

Predictions

760-822-4321 (cell)

Dr. Catherine

Adams Hutt

Science, Safety,

Regulatory

630-605-3022 (cell)

A Holistic Approach

[email protected]

760-741-9611

www.sloantrend.com

Sally Reynolds

Market Research &

Strategy

870-926-9290 (cell)