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Regime Change Newsletter of the lnstitute of Social Science, University of Tokyo ISSN 1340-7155 Social Science 42 March 2010

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Page 1: Newsletter of the lnstitute of Social Science, University of Tokyo SocialISSN …newslet.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/ssj42/ssj42.pdf · 2010-03-24 · Newsletter of the lnstitute of Social

Regime Change

Newsletter of the lnstitute of Social Science, University of TokyoISSN 1340-7155

SocialScience 42

March 2010

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Page 2 Social Science Japan March 2010Page 2

Published by:Institute of Social ScienceUniversity of Tokyo

Editorial Committee:Hirashima KenjiIshiguro KunikoYamazaki Yukiko

DistributionSocial Science Japan is available onthe World Wide Web at:http://newslet.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp

All inquiries to:Social Science JapanInstitute of Social ScienceUniversity of TokyoHongo 7-3-1, Bunkyo-kuTokyo 113-0033 JAPANTel +81 3 5841 4931Fax +81 3 5841 4905Electronic mail:[email protected]

CoverDemocratic Party of Japan electionposter,"New Hatoyama Poster'Change of Government.'" Repro-duced by permission of the Democ-ratic Party of Japan.

Editorial NotesPersonal Names

All personal names are given inthe customary order in thenative language of the personunless otherwise requested.Hence in Japanese names, thefamily name is given first, e.g.Toyotomi Hideyoshi, and inWestern names the familyname is given second, e.g.George Bush.

Copyright © 2007 by the Institute ofSocial Science, University ofTokyo, except where noted. Allrights reserved.

As of this writing (January 2010), the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) is strug-gling to fend off criticism against its president and prime minister, HatoyamaYukio, and its secretary general, Ozawa Ichiro, over their political fundingscandals. The DPJ’s sweeping victory in the 2009 lower house election seems asif it happened a long time ago, yet it was a truly historic event in Japanese poli-tics when the DPJ came into power after almost 54 years of unbreakable rule bythe Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). This issue of SSJ focuses on Japan's govern-ment change and features four researchers who have tackled this topic.

Iio Jun points out that Japan's 2009 government change was quite significantbecause it indicated that voters had rejected the methods of the traditionalpolitical system and ruling coalition. Iio emphasizes the importance of this elec-toral result and suggests the possibility of further changes to the political struc-ture and social order in the future. Using opinion polling data from 2005 andafterwards, Maeda Yukio details the DPJ’s road to victory. He argues that thegroundwork for the DPJ' s recent victory was in fact completed in the summerof 2007, when the LDP lost the House of Councillors election for the secondtime in a row, which also made it extremely difficult for the LDP coalition tocontrol the agenda in the lower house. Uekami Takayoshi examines DPJ andLDP electoral manifestos and describes the differences between the two. Hefinds overall that differences between the manifestos of the two parties havebeen shrinking over the past six years, but suggests that the DPJ has (so far)been successful in distinguishing itself from the LDP in policy areas such asadministrative reform and welfare. Finally, Hamamoto Shunsuke takes a lookat the relationship between political parties and interest groups before and afterthe 2009 election. He finds that before the election most interest groups contact-ed both major parties despite the LDP's dominance and suggests that interestgroups may continue to show this tendency even after the change of govern-ment. It is hard to tell how the future will unfold, but the DPJ’s victory has defi-nitely left a major mark on the history of this society.

Contents

Regime Change

Iio Jun What will the change of government bring to Japanese politics?.....................................p.3

Maeda Yukio The change of government and public opinion: September 2005 to August 2009 ..................................................................................................p.6

Uekami Takayoshi Electoral Manifestos of the Democratic Party of Japan ................................p.12

Hamamoto Shinsuke Changes among Interest Groups toward the Two-Party System ..............p.16

ISS Research ReportsKomorida Akio ............................................................................................................................p.21

Tanabe Shunsuke........................................................................................................................p.24

Questions and Answers with Visiting ProfessorsHa Jongmoon .............................................................................................................................p.27

Hiroko Takeda.............................................................................................................................p.29

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Iio Jun

Page 3Social Science Japan March 2010

Iio Jun is a Professor at the National Graduate

Institute for Policy Studies

National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies7-22-1 Roppongi, Minato-ku, Tokyo [email protected]

In the lower house general election held onAugust 30, 2009, the Democratic Party of Japan(DPJ) won 308 of 480 seats and secured a signifi-cant majority. With this victory, the Liberal Demo-cratic Party-Komeito coalition government crum-bled and the DPJ-led Hatoyama Yukio cabinetwas inaugurated on September 16. The LDPyielded its long-held reins of power to its oppo-nents.

The significance of the DPJ’s victory lies in thefact that it was essentially the first time in the his-tory of Japanese party politics that a “true changein government” was achieved through an elec-tion. Under the current Japanese constitution, theKatayama Tetsu cabinet of 1947 and theHosokawa Morihiro cabinet of 1993 were alsoformed as the result of seat changes after generalelections. So, in this sense, the Hatoyama cabinetis not the first change in government resultingfrom a general election; but both the Katayamaand Hosokawa cabinets were formed by negotiat-ing coalitions after general elections, and thoseadministration changes may not have taken placeif the coalitions’ negotiations had played out dif-

ferently. In contrast, the recent change in govern-ment occurred due to a fierce two-party competi-tion for power which resulted in a dramatic shiftin the majority in the lower house, and from thispoint of view it can be considered a “true changein government.”

If we examine this further, we can see that theDPJ did not accidentally come into power but thatconditions paved the way for a change in govern-ment. Signs of changes to come were indicated bythe fact that in many opinion polls the approvalratings of the DPJ had outstripped those of theLDP for quite some time—which was an unprece-dented phenomenon—and since the election fol-lowed on this heels of this trend, most voters,including supporters of the ousted LDP, acceptedthe outcome. What’s more, the DPJ had securedthe position of leading party in the 2004 and 2007upper house elections, so this is not the first timethey have become the leading party in a nationalelection.

In other words, the DPJ not only had a securefoundation to work from in the lower house,which serves as the constitutional backbone forthe cabinet, but since it was only a few seats shyof a single-party majority in the upper house, itcooperated with the Social Democratic Party andthe People’s New Party—with which it formed acoalition—to secure a majority in the upper houseand maintain a solid basis for passing legislation.In light of these earlier achievements, the founda-tion for the DPJ government is firm and there issufficient potential for the party to retain poweras long as the lower house is not dissolved mid-way through its four-year term.

Furthermore, in the general election of 2009 thelower house electoral system, which combinessingle-seat districts and proportional-seat repre-sentation, provided important clues indicatingthe potential for changes in government due tomassive seat fluctuations. In the previous lowerhouse general election held in 2005, the LDP

What will the change of government bring toJapanese politics?

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secured a major victory with 296 seats, and itscoalition partner Komeito won 31 seats while theDPJ suffered a major loss by only winning 113seats. In 2009, the election results shifted 180degrees with the LDP and Komeito only holdingon to 119 and 21 seats respectively and the DPJsweeping to victory with 308 seats. The suddenreversal was possible because a mere handful ofJapan’s 300 electoral districts are “safe districts”that reliably vote for a particular party. Thismeans that large-scale seat turnovers such aswhat we have just witnessed will remain possiblein the future. Looking at the two most recent gen-eral elections, one can safely say that party poli-tics in which administration changes are possibleare starting to take root in Japan.

While the DPJ was able to effect a change in gov-ernment, the predominant view is that the elec-tion was less a victory for the DPJ than a loss forthe LDP, which is the correct assessment. Howev-er, one must take care not to infer that a change ingovernment simply means that the ruling partyhas fallen out of favor. In Japan, where changes ingovernment through elections have not been thenorm, the LDP was not simply the leading politi-cal party, it had secured a symbolic presence asthe ruling elite that also held the reins of govern-ment. In this sense, the fact that the LDP lostmeans that Japan’s conventional political systemsand ruling bloc have been rejected by the voters.Additionally, the DPJ is carrying a banner for“ending dependence on bureaucrats” and empha-sizing the “elimination of government waste”precisely because of these kinds of voter trends.Seen in this light, the 2009 change in governmenthas the potential to alter government structuresand transform the social order. Given this poten-tial, what effects will the establishment of a DPJ-led cabinet via a change in government have?

First, the DPJ seeks to change how decisions aremade within the government and has been steadi-ly achieving reforms since coming to power. TheDPJ has presented a clear policy of politician-ledgovernment and has begun to develop systems inwhich ministers and other high-ranking officialsmake their own decisions rather than rely on thebureaucrats under them as they used to. The min-isters together with the already installed vice-ministers and ministerial aides constitute the top

three official posts, and the administration hasestablished that these top officials will make deci-sions in their respective ministries and agencies.In the past some matters used to only be reportedto ministers and agency heads without requestsfor decisions, but with the top three officials nowworking in unison, the number of cases beingdecided by the ministers and agency heads is ris-ing. Cabinet-level decision making, too, has beenreformed. Cabinet meetings in which bureaucratsused to coordinate and fix issues in advance aregiving way to a system of several cabinet commit-tees in which cabinet ministers coordinate policytogether, and this system is gradually starting tokick into gear. These reforms have served to rem-edy the disparity between nominal power andactual power so that those individuals who pos-sess official authority will now make substantivedecisions.

In this context, the standard practice in Japan ofkeeping the government and the governing partyseparate and not having Diet members serve ingovernment positions has been overhauled suchthat members of the ruling party now play majorroles in government decision-making; the rule of“a uniform cabinet stance on policy” has been putinto effect. These reforms will likely serve to grad-ually streamline the decision-making process ofthe Japanese government.

However, since the government is in a transitionphase and coordination among ministers remainsinadequate, disparate remarks by ministers onforeign policy and other issues are starting tomake the administration’s stance appear shaky,but as the ministers and other top officials famil-iarize themselves with the ins and outs of runninga government, these problems will most likelysort themselves out.

Second, a major transformation in the relation-ship between politicians and bureaucrats is immi-nent. As I have already mentioned, the DPJ-ledcabinet has reformed government decision-mak-ing systems to phase out the old practice ofbehind-closed-doors fixing by bureaucrats, andbecause of this, the roles of bureaucrats areundergoing drastic changes. At present, politi-cians tend to object to consulting with bureau-crats on policy in order preserve their autonomy.

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As a result, the overall capacity for governancehas declined somewhat. In any case, the adminis-tration is moving from the old system in whichpoliticians and bureaucrats teamed up to makedecisions to a new division of roles for each campbased on the assumption that politicians’ andbureaucrats’ areas of responsibility should be sep-arated from each other. However, a climate inwhich changes of government are possible meansthat the opposing LDP could once again regain itsgrip on power, so the DPJ has decided that itmust switch to a separate functional relationshipbetween politicians and bureaucrats, instead ofmaintaining the heretofore unchallenged symbi-otic relationship.

Third, these kinds of changes mean that alteringDiet management will be unavoidable. Until nowmaneuvering surrounding the agenda-setting ofthe ruling and opposing parties was the primarywork undertaken by Japan’s Diet. This practicewas based on the assumption that the relation-ship between the two parties was unchanging;however, with role-switching now possible, thistendency towards inefficiency and disregard forreal debate is increasingly becoming a target forreform. For example, one tactic that was oftenused to set agendas was to request the minister offoreign affairs or another minister to attend theDiet, forcing him or her to cancel overseas busi-ness trips in order to have remain in attendanceeven if the opposition parties have no intention ofasking the minister questions, but criticism of thiskind of senseless behavior will probably increase.

Fourth, shifts in party structures will progress. Inaddition to the single-seat electoral system, disci-

pline by party officials is starting to take effect onthe structure of Japan’s political parties. Thistrend is especially strong in the DPJ which is pro-moting the unification of the government and theruling party. For this reason, political parties areexpected to evolve from groups of lawmakers tomore organized entities.

Fifth, relationships between the state and interestgroups will have to change. For instance, as theroles of politicians and bureaucrats are separated,the government and ruling party unify, and polit-ical parties become more organized, the numberof access points to the government and rulingparty, which used to be countless, may be con-fined into routes of expressed social interest.Against this backdrop, the heretofore amalgamat-ed state-society relationship will most likely moveslowly towards a relative decoupling.

Sixth, one can expect a shift in public awarenessstemming from a sense of release. The change inruling systems by way of the change in govern-ment is giving people who were not involved inpolitics in the past a sense of new possibilities.This may raise people’s interest in politics, or itmay provide an escape from an administrativestraitjacket. Increased activity in a heretoforeweak area will boost social mobility, and that inand of itself could hold a certain measure of polit-ical meaning.

At this point in time, many of these predictionsremain mere possibilities, but we must focusattention on the prospect that the impact of thechange in government could be greater thanexpected.

Page 5Social Science Japan March 2010

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Maeda Yukio is an Associate Professor at the

Interfaculty Initiative in Information Studies,

University of Tokyo

Interfaculty Initiative in Information StudiesUniversity of TokyoHongo 7-3-1Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo [email protected]

The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) achieved ahistoric victory in the 45th general election onAugust 30, 2009. No one could have expectedsuch a landslide election result four years ago. Inthe 44th general election on September 11, 2005,the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) won 296 seatswhile the DPJ secured only 113 seats. WithKomeito’s 31 seats, the LDP-led governing coali-tion held a two-thirds majority in the House ofRepresentatives, which enabled the governmentto override decisions by the House of Councillors.However, the legislative balance of power in theDiet is now completely reversed, as the DPJ haswon 308 seats and the LDP only 119 seats. Thepurpose of this essay is to examine the tide ofpublic opinion that brought the first change ofgovernment through an election in Japanese his-tory.

1. Cabinet approval and politics

All national newspapers and nationwide TV net-

works regularly conduct opinion polls to reporthow people respond to the most pressing publicconcerns of the day. For this paper, I mainly relyon the numbers provided by the Jiji Press whichmaintains the longest time series, dating back toJune 1960. However, as the Jiji opinion polls coveronly levels of cabinet approval and party support,I supplement them with polling results publishedby the other newspapers. Figure 1 shows cabinetapproval and party support ratings between Sep-tember 2005 and August 2009. Below I will brieflydescribe the changes in approval ratings for eachcabinet.

The third Koizumi cabinet started with anapproval rating of 53.5%. Koizumi did not experi-ence a large setback during his final year, but hispopularity declined 7% from January 2005 to Feb-ruary 2006 due to a few events that placed hiscabinet on the defensive. Chief among theseevents was the arrest of Horie Takafumi, whocampaigned as an independent ”assassin” candi-date, which seemed to have hurt the image of theKoizumi cabinet and its structural reform poli-cies. However, the cabinet’s popularity did notdecline further due to a blunder by the opposi-tion. The DPJ disgraced itself by mishandling ane-mail, which was later proven to be falsified, thatindicated an inappropriate financial relationshipbetween Horie and the LDP secretary general,Takebe Tsutomu. The last approval rating forKoizumi was 43.2 %, which was unusually highfor a prime minister about to resign.

In contrast, the three successive LDP cabinetsexperienced steep declines in their approval rat-ings in very short time periods. Among them, theyear of the Abe cabinet was most eventful. Afterthe enthusiasm of the LDP presidential election,Abe Shinzo, the youngest prime minister inJapanese postwar history, was very popular withan approval rating of 51.3% in October. However,his approval suddenly went down to 41.9% inDecember, because LDP headquarters permittedDiet members who were expelled from the LDP

Page 6 Social Science Japan March 2010

The change of government and public opinion:September 2005 to August 2009

Maeda Yukio

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for voting against postal reform to rejoin theparty. The Abe cabinet’s approval levels ran fur-ther downhill and seemed to hit bottom at 34.7%in March 2007.

After passing the budget bill for FY 2007 inMarch, Abe aggressively pursued a conservativepolicy agenda including the National Referen-dum Act for the Revision of the Constitution andcivil service reform, which kept Abe’s popularityafloat around 40%. According to the public opin-ion poll conducted by the Asahi Shimbun on May12 and 13, 28% of those interviewed indicatedthat they would vote for the LDP for their propor-tional representation (PR) district, while 21% saidthey would vote for the DPJ (Asahi Shimbun, May16, 2007). After reading a few polling results pub-lished by news organizations, the LDP leadershipgained confidence in the coming House of Coun-cillors election (Yomiuri Shimbun, May 22, 2007).

On the same day that the Yomiuri Shimbun report-ed on the optimism in the LDP, the Committee onHealth, Labor and Welfare in the House of Repre-sentatives heard testimony on missing pensionrecords, which seemed to deal a serious blow tothe Abe cabinet (Kakizaki and Hisae 2007:203-207). Furthermore, about a week after the hear-

ings, Matsuoka Katsutoshi, the Minister of Agri-culture, Forestry and Fisheries, committed sui-cide, which obviously aggravated the situation.All news organizations reported that people’scabinet evaluations deteriorated abruptly. Thecabinet approval ratings reported by Jiji droppedfrom 39.4% in May to 28.8% in June.

Unfortunately, Abe further suffered from carelessremarks and strange behavior by a few other cab-inet members. Boxed into a corner, Abe tried tochange the course of public opinion and the elec-tion campaign by gambling on the argument thatthe House of Councillors election was a choicebetween Abe and the DPJ president, Ozawa Ichi-ro, for the premiership. Notwithstanding Abe’sgamble, the LDP lost by a landslide.

Late in August, after nearly a month-long politi-cal vacuum, Abe reshuffled his cabinet only tosuffer from the resignation of another cabinetmember. After a few days, Abe suddenlyannounced his own resignation due to healthproblems.

After Abe stepped down, Fukuda Yasuo won theLDP presidential election and organized his cabi-net exactly one year after the Abe cabinet was

Page 7Social Science Japan March 2010

Figure 1 Cabinet Approval and Party Support 2005.9-2009.8 Jiji Monthly Poll

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installed. Fukuda’s approval ratings began at44.1%, which was 7.2% lower than Abe’s initialscore. Fukuda at first tried to form a grand coali-tion government between the LDP and the DPJ,but failed because of opposition within the DPJ.While this incident itself had little impact onFukuda’s popularity, he suffered from severalrounds of legislative gridlock with the DPJ whichhad adopted an uncompromising strategy afterthe failed attempt to form a grand coalition.Fukuda’s approval ratings steadily declined as hewas criticized for one issue after another whenthe Diet was in session. Those issues included theextension of legislation authorizing the MaritimeSelf Defense Force’s deployment in the IndianOcean, the appointment of the governor of theBank of Japan, whether to extend the temporaryhigher rate for the gasoline tax, etc. Fukuda’sapproval rating went up slightly after the G8summit meeting in Toyako, Hokkaido in July, andagain after he reshuffled his cabinet early inAugust. However, he suddenly announced hisresignation, which resulted in the third LPD pres-idential election without an incumbent in a littlemore than two years.

Aso Taro won the LDP presidency. The initialapproval rating of the Aso cabinet was 38.6%,which was 5.5% lower than Fukuda’s initial score.This “ordinary” low number was unexpectedsince Aso was believed to be popular among thevoters (similar reasoning was reported in MainichiShimbun, September 26, 2008). It should be alsonoted that each prime minister’s initial approvalscore was lower than his predecessor’s, droppingfurther each time the LDP selected a new primeminister, which indicated that people were dis-mayed by the frequent turnover in the highestpublic office.

Furthermore, Aso’s popularity dropped suddenlyfrom 38.8% in November to 16.7% in December.This is the record for the sharpest decline in thehistory of the Jiji monthly poll. One can only spec-ulate on the reasons for this unprecedenteddecline but it is highly likely that Aso himself wasresponsible for three reasons. First, he postponedthe submission of the second extra budget for FY2008, which appeared contradictory as he hadrepeatedly argued that the economy was moreimportant than the election. Second, Aso’s limited

ability to lead was revealed by his maladroit han-dling of a proposal to include cash payments tofamilies in the economic stimulus package. Final-ly, Aso made several inappropriate remarks andmispronounced words, which undermined hisintegrity and dignity.

Later in the spring of 2009, his popularity recov-ered somewhat and reached around 25%, but thiswas caused by reports of a financial scandalinvolving the DPJ president, Ozawa. AfterHatoyama Yukio replaced Ozawa as the DPJ pres-ident, Aso’s popularity started to flounder again,and was just 16.7% before the 45th general elec-tion.

2. Opinion toward political parties

For party support, only the ratings for the LDP,the DPJ, and nonpartisans are shown in Figure 1.In contrast to cabinet approval ratings, which aresensitive to ongoing political events, party sup-port ratings change gradually. Over a period offour years, the LDP’s support slowly went downfrom its highest point of 31.9% in September 2005and bottomed out at 15.1% in July 2009. Publicsupport for the ruling LDP was naturally linkedto cabinet approval ratings. The correlation coeffi-cients, calculated separately for each cabinet, areroughly between 0.8 and 0.9.

The DPJ’s support, on the other hand, started at14.8% after the 2005 general election. It initiallywent up and down around 10% before the 2007House of Councillors election, but jumped up to19% in a poll taken a week after the election.Afterwards, it stayed around 15%. Different fromthe LDP’s support, the DPJ’s support is not neces-sarily correlated to cabinet approval levels. Infact, DPJ support is positively, though weakly,correlated to both the Koizumi and Fukuda cabi-net approval ratings (around 0.20). However, DPJsupport is negatively and strongly correlated tothe cabinet approval ratings of the Abe (-0.69) andthe Aso (-0.46) cabinets, both of which had anational election during their tenures. It seemsthat (dis)approval of the cabinet does not neces-sarily lead to support for the major oppositionparty. Rather, dissatisfaction with the incumbentgovernment is translated into opposition supportonly when an election is in the foreseeable time

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horizon.

There is another technical reason that mayexplain the tenuous relationship between dissatis-faction with the cabinet and support for the oppo-sition party. As the question for party supportallows respondents to choose “no party to sup-port,” people can simply sidestep the choicebetween the parties. To see the impact of day-to-day national political affairs clearly, I employanother question from the Mainichi Shimbun opin-ion poll that forces people to choose between theLDP and the DPJ (Figure 2). It asked respondents,“Do you want the LDP to win the next House ofCouncillors (House of Representatives) electionor do you want the DPJ to win?” This questionwas first asked when Abe’s popularity recordedits first large decline in December 2006.

Initially, public opinion was evenly dividedbetween the LDP and the DPJ. The DPJ first over-took the LDP in the poll taken in May 2007 justafter the testimony on missing pension records.From then on, the gap between the DPJ and theLDP increased until the 2007 House of Council-lors election. The parties once came close to a tiein September 2007, presumably because of theLDP presidential election and the installation of

the Fukuda cabinet. However, the differencebetween the two parties resurged and registered agap of 26% in May 2008 when the DPJ stronglycriticized the government for the temporary gaso-line tax and the health insurance system for elder-ly people over 75. Before the general election in2009, the LDP got ahead of the DPJ only once inOctober 2008, immediately after the LDP presi-dential election and the installation of the Asocabinet.

To corroborate the analysis above, another ques-tion from Kyodo News regarding the desired par-tisan composition of the cabinet is visually dis-played in Figure 3. It asked respondents, “Do youwant to keep the LDP in power or do you want tosee the DPJ in power?” The LDP had a lead of18% when the question was first asked in Septem-ber 2006, and maintained its advantage over theDPJ until early in May 2007. However, again afterMay, the gap between the LDP and the DPJ disap-peared, and the public was evenly dividedregarding which party they would like to see inpower. Finally, the DPJ surpassed the LDP inDecember 2007 when Fukuda’s popularitydropped sharply for being unable to meet thedeadline for matching missing pension records.After that, the LDP recorded a higher score than

Page 9Social Science Japan March 2010

Figure 2 The party voters want to win in the next Diet election Mainichi Poll

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the DPJ only twice. From December 2007 toMarch 2008, the gap gradually narrowed, proba-bly because people feared the several rounds oflegislative brinkmanship by the DPJ in the Houseof Councillors. The second and the last time theLDP recorded a tie with the DPJ was in early Sep-tember 2008 when Fukuda announced his resig-nation, generating hopes that the LDP couldregain momentum through the next round of thepresidential election. However, Aso himself utter-ly spoiled the LDP’s chance to recover .

3. Discussion

In this essay, I described changes in public opin-ion over the four years. It may appear that idio-syncratic factors in politics, such as ongoing polit-ical events and remarks by cabinet members,have a strong influence on people’s perceptionsand opinions. However, there also seems to be afew structural elements that shape, if not deter-mine, the course of public opinion, which I sum-marize below.

First, Diet sessions provide turning points for thedirection of public opinion. While cabinet mem-bers can be criticized at any time, they can beforced to respond only in the deliberations of theDiet. The opposition parties exploit this opportu-

nity to attack the government. Thus, it is not acoincidence that the cabinets with the greatestdrops in approval ratings also experienced thelongest Diet sessions. The Fukuda cabinet is acase in point. Fukuda assumed the premiershipon September 26, but the 168th extraordinary ses-sion had started on September 10 under the Abecabinet, and concluded on January 15. Then, justthree days later, the 169th regular session startedon January 18 and lasted until June 21. In otherwords, the Fukuda cabinet was incessantly criti-cized by the DPJ on one issue after another fornine straight months. Unfortunately for Fukuda,the expiration of the temporary higher rate for thegasoline tax in April and its re-legislation in Mayconstrained him from pursuing his own agenda,as the tax was indispensable to implementingsome of the policies planned for FY 2008. That iswhy the line for Fukuda’s popularity in Figure 1declined monotonically until June. In contrast,Abe had the luxury of pursuing his own agendaafter passing the budget for FY 2007, which con-tributed to the recovery of his popularity in Apriland May.

The Diet was in session for 192 days for the thirdKoizumi cabinet and 253 days in total for Abebefore he announced his resignation. It was insession for 268 days for Fukuda, and finally 291

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Figure 3: The desired partisan composition of the cabinet Kyodo Poll

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days for the Aso cabinet. The accumulation ofpolitical events and missteps obviously affectedthe cabinets’ approval ratings, but the timing andlength of Diet sessions give a rhythm, if not adirection, to the flow of public opinion.

Second, the presence of the political party in theDiet translates into support rates in the opinionpolls. The support for the DPJ grew higher afterthe 2007 House of Councillors election and didnot return to prior levels . Reading the trajectoriesof three questions that tap into different aspects ofpartisan evaluation, shown in Figure 1-3, it seemsthat the critical period is between May and July in2007. During this time, the testimony on missingpension records impressed the scale and the seri-ousness of the problem upon the public. The DPJcapitalized on the window of opportunity createdby this political situation in the nick of time.Many people, disgusted by the Abe cabinet, casttheir ballots for the DPJ in the House of Council-lors election.

During the long history of the LDP’s reign, peo-ple occasionally registered their dissatisfactionthrough House of Councillors elections, the out-comes of which did not directly influence the sta-tus of the cabinet. However, as the DPJ was alsosuccessful in the 2004 House of Councillors elec-tion, the DPJ became the largest party in theupper house, and, in cooperation with the smallparties, could effectively stall nearly every billsubmitted by the government. The DPJ effectively

employed this legislative advantage to demon-strate their ability and importance to a wide audi-ence by attacking the Fukuda cabinet. The politi-cal clout of the DPJ, elevated through its near-majority status in the House of Councillors, seemsto be responsible for a roughly 5% increase insupport rates after the election.

Finally, people came back to the LDP when itsimportance was highlighted by presidential elec-tions. Media reports on debates among candi-dates during campaigns gave a temporal boost tothe LDP and narrowed its gap with the DPJ, but,once the legislative advantage was in the hands ofthe DPJ, LDP support soon went back to lowerlevels. During its final years as a governing party,the LDP could sustain its energy and supportamong the voters only by changing its president.While the 2009 general election was a final nail inthe coffin, the fate of the LDP seems to have beenalready set in the summer of 2007. The missingpension records provided a crucial springboardfor the DPJ to acquire a critical weapon in theHouse of Councillors to break into the decision-making process and undermine the LDP govern-ment.

Reference

Kakizaki, Meiji and Masahiko Hisae. 2007.Kuhaku no Saisho (The blank prime minis-ter). Tokyo: Kodansha.

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Uekami Takayoshi is an Associate Professor at

the Faculty of Humanities and Economics, Kochi

University

Faculty of Humanities and EconomicsKochi University 2-5-1 Akebono-cho, Kochi [email protected]

For the first time in sixteen years a change in gov-ernment took place in Japan as a result of thelower house general elections in September 2009.The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) secured alandslide victory and the Hatoyama Yukio cabi-net was inaugurated. The Hatoyama administra-tion has made the implementation of its cam-paign manifesto its top priority and is attemptingto enact various new policies. In this article I dis-cuss the importance and the characteristics of theDPJ manifesto, a document which has garneredunprecedented attention.

The manifesto is having a massive impact onJapanese politics, but the history of such docu-ments is relatively recent. While they may becalled by several names, manifestos are typicallyannounced by political parties during nationalelections. The first national election in whichmanifestos were unveiled was the 2003 general

election. At that time, the then governor of MiePrefecture Kitagawa Masayasu emphasized theimplementation of his “Local Manifesto,” afterwhich the use of manifestos in regional elec-tions—primarily gubernatorial elections—beganto spread. The DPJ kicked off this movement bystressing the adoption of British-style electionsand governance.

The image below is the cover of the DPJ’s firstmanifesto from the 2003 general election, and theimage next to it is the cover of Great Britain’sLabour Party manifesto from the 2001 generalelection.

The layout of DPJ manifesto uses a full-cover shotof then-DPJ president Kan Naoto, and the similar-ities with the manifesto of the Tony Blair-ledLabour Party are striking. The slogan on the coverof the DPJ manifesto “Building a strong Japan,”1

also resembles the slogan on the Labour Partymanifesto, “Ambitions for Britain.” Allow me toaddress two questions: How do manifestos inJapan differ from the campaign promises of thepast, and is their format merely copied fromBritish manifestos?

In the past, Japan’s political parties announcedcampaign promises at the outset of national elec-tions. It is generally understood that manifestosdiffer from typical campaign promises in thatmanifestos must clearly indicate numerical tar-gets, deadlines and financial resources. In thissense, one can measure the extent to which mani-festos are fulfilled. The fact that manifestos pro-vide details on how policies will be funded differ-entiates them from conventional campaignpromises which were never more than wish lists.

According to manifesto proponents, it is impor-tant to establish a “manifesto cycle” in which vot-ers cast ballots based on a party’s promises, the

Page 12 Social Science Japan March 2010

Electoral Manifestos of the Democratic Party ofJapan

Uekami Takayoshi

1 Subsequent slogans include “Directly and Single-mindedly” (2004), “Don’t Give up on Japan” (2005), “Putting Peoples’ Lives First” (2007),and “Change in Government” (2009).

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administration strives to fulfill those promisesand the voters reassess the administration basedon its performance. With the change in govern-ment due to the DPJ’s general election victory in2009, the current cycle has entered the secondstage.

What kinds of policies comprise the DPJ mani-festo? Are they different from those of the once-

dominant Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)? Thetable below classifies DPJ and LDP manifestosfrom 2003, 2005 and 2009 into policy areas divid-ed along the jurisdictions of the old ministriesand agencies. Please refer to Shinada (2006) fordetails on how this data was compiled and tabu-lated.

At a glance, one can see that the LDP and the DPJ

Page 13Social Science Japan March 2010

[Manifestos of the DPJ (2003, left) and Great Britain’s Labour Party (2001, right)]

Source: The Democratic Party of Japan Source: The Labour Party (UK)

Table 1 Content Analysis of Policy Area Component Ratios in Manifestos

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focus on different policy areas and that systematicchanges have occurred within each party overtime. All of the manifestos used for this analysismention the policy area of “the cabinet” the most.While it is not included in the table for the sake ofspace, the breakdown for the cabinet categoryreveals frequent references to governmental,administrative and fiscal reforms. The policy areawith the second most mentions is “health andwelfare.” The breakdown for this category showshigh percentages for medicine, pensions, and wel-fare services. Third and fourth places are held by“security and foreign affairs” and “education, sci-ence and technology” respectively. Regarding thelatter category, there is a high percentage of men-tions for [improving] educational infrastructure.“Local government” ranks fifth; there are fre-quent mentions of decentralization, local govern-ment finance and crime prevention.

In the 2003 and 2005 manifestos, the biggest dif-ference in references between the LDP and theDPJ is also in the cabinet policy area. In the 2003manifestos, the LDP mentions governmentreform and administrative and fiscal reform morefrequently than the DPJ, but this trend reversed in2005 and 2009. In the 2009 manifestos, the overalldifferences in the cabinet category diminished,but the LDP made more mentions than the DPJregarding economic measures in this area, offset-ting the scarcity of remarks the LDP made per-taining to government reform.

The policy area where the parties differ the mostin the 2009 manifestos is health and welfare as theDPJ mentioned medicine, pensions, and welfareservices much more often than the LDP.

As we can see, what each party says in its mani-festos differs, but broadly speaking those differ-ences are lessening year after year. By taking theabsolute value of the differences in mention ratesper policy area for each party and totaling themfor each year, the parties’ convergence becomesevident: 44% in 2003, 35.5% in 2005 and 30.2% in2009.

Finally, I examine policies of the Hatoyamaadministration that have garnered particular pub-lic attention, see when they were incorporatedinto the DPJ’s manifestos and check if the party’s

stance on those policies has been consistent. Atthe same time I will also examine the manifestosfrom the upper house elections.

In a nationwide telephone survey conducted bythe Yomiuri Shimbun in October 2009, respondentswere asked if they agreed or disagreed with sev-eral major policies of the Hatoyama administra-tion. Of these, I traced the timeline of DPJ mani-festo content for three major domestic issues:child allowances, highways and the Yamba Dam.Please refer to Jimbo (2009) for details on each ofthese policies.

Disbursement of child allowances. The 2009 DPJmanifesto states, “We will pay a child allowanceof 312,000 yen per annum (26,000 yen per month)for all children until they finish junior highschool.” A characteristic of this policy is that it ispaired with the “elimination of tax deductionsthat benefit earners of relatively high incomes.”According to the Yomiuri survey, 57% of respon-dents agreed with this policy while 39%—anunexpectedly high percentage—disagreed.

These child allowances first appeared in the man-ifesto issued for the 2004 House of Councillorselection. The amounts were not clearly indicated,and the allowance payments were paired with theelimination of the spouse tax deduction and thespouse special tax deduction. An amount (16,000yen) was first listed in the manifesto for the 2005general election which paired allowances with theelimination of the dependents tax deduction inaddition to the spouse tax deduction and thespouse special tax deduction. By the time of the2007 upper house election, the allowance amounthad been upped to the current level of 26,000 yen.In the manifesto for the 2009 general election, theamount did not change but the types of taxdeductions slated for elimination now includedthe dependents tax deduction in addition to thespouse tax deduction. As shown here, theamounts of allowances and types of tax deduc-tions slated for elimination have not been consis-tent.

Elimination of highway tolls. This policy goal hasbeen consistently listed in DPJ manifestos since2003. The 2009 manifesto states: “With the excep-tion of certain major urban areas, all highway

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tolls will be eliminated…to revitalize local com-munities and reduce distribution costs.” Not allhighway tolls would be eliminated at once. Theproposed policy offers to “implement a stepwiseexpansion of toll discounts, and assess their socialimpact.” However, this proposal fared poorly asonly 26% of the public were in agreement com-pared to 69% in opposition.

Discontinuation of construction on the Yamba Dam.The number of people in favor of suspendingconstruction (44%) is roughly equal to the num-ber opposed (36%). The 2003 and 2004 manifestoslisted the Kawabegawa dam, the Yoshinogawamovable dam and the Tokuyama dam as candi-dates for discontinuation. The DPJ declared, “Wewill do away with public works that waste tax-payers' money and damage the environment, has-tening the changeover to new types of publicworks that will restore the environment” (2003Manifesto).

The 2005 manifesto listed the Kawabegawa dam,the Yoshinogawa movable dam and—for the firsttime—the Yamba dam, and the 2009 manifestofollowed suit in listing the Kawabegawa dam andthe Yamba dam. The discontinuation of theYamba dam project was not included in the 2007manifesto because a member of the lower housewho was committed to the issue lost his seat inthe 2005 general election (Yomiuri Shimbun, Sep-tember 22, 2009).

The scope and details of these major policies havenot been entirely consistent over time, but all ofthem have been part of the DPJ’s platform sinceearly time, and this recurrence can be seen as anindication of the existence of a political commit-ment by the DPJ. By analyzing the aggregate dataI have found that the DPJ has successfully distin-guished itself from the LDP with regard to itsgovernment reform and welfare policies. Can the

DPJ continue to win over voters by differentiatingits policies from those of the LDP? How will theparty handle fiscal restrictions? Are there anyproblems associated with a political techniqueoften referred to as “manifesto tyranny”? Theseare some of the many challenges that the Hatoya-ma administration faces and whether or not thisnew style of governance that the DPJ has intro-duced will take hold in Japan depends on its abil-ity to solve these problems.

Acknowledgments

I would like to thank Tsutsumi Hidenori for hiscooperation in compiling the aggregate data usedin this article.

References

The Democratic Party of Japan. 2003. Minshuto noSeiken Koyaku: Manifeto (Manifesto of theDemocratic Party of Japan). Retrieved Sep-tember 15, 2009 (http://www.dpj.or.jp/poli-cy/manifesto/images/Manifesto_2003.pdf).

Jimbo, Tetsuo. 2009. Minshuto ga Yakusokusuru 99no Seisaku de Nihon wa Doukawaruka? (Howwill Japan change under the DemocraticParty’s 99 promised policies?). Tokyo: Dia-mond Inc.

The Labour Party. 2001. Ambition for Britain:Labour’s Manifesto 2001. Retrieved Septem-ber 15, 2009 (http://www.pixunlimited.co.uk/pdf/news/election/labourmani-festo1.pdf).

Shinada, Yutaka. 2006. “Senkyo Koyaku SeisakuDeta nitsuite” (Election Manifesto PolicyData). Nihon Seiji Kenkyu (Japanese PoliticalStudies) 3(2):63-91.

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Hamamoto Shinsuke is a Research Fellow of the

Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

1. Introduction

The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) scored a his-toric victory in the 2009 election, bringing an endto more than fifty years of almost unbroken ruleby the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). This elec-tion marked the first time that power has shiftedbetween the two largest parties in postwar Japan,a watershed event that has influenced the bureau-cracy and interest groups. The purpose of thisarticle is to make inferences regarding the rela-tionships between political parties and interestgroups based on the results of the Japan InterestGroup Survey (JIGS) for the period 2006-2007.

JIGS is a nationwide survey that was conductedby Tsujinaka Yutaka1. The survey was sent to all91,101 non-profit organizations that were listed inthe NTT (Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Cor-poration) telephone directory. 15,791 organiza-tions responded to the survey (a response rate of17.3%), all of which submitted valid responses.

One of the advantages of a nationwide survey is

that it can demonstrate the effects of the partysystem on interest groups at the local level sincethe party system itself varies from prefecture toprefecture. An analysis based on a nationwidesurvey offers a key to understanding interestgroups’ interactions with the two-party systemand allows us to estimate the effect of the powershift on the interest groups themselves.

2. Contact and Endorsement

Several studies have focused on the relationshipbetween political parties and interest groups inJapan. These studies have verified that laborgroups supported only the opposition party andthat other groups (agricultural, economic, etc.)were in contact with and supported only the LDP.The relationship between the political parties andinterest groups has been a divided one (Muramat-su, Ito and Tsujinaka 1986).

What groups are in contact with or endorse theLDP or the DPJ? There are two relevant questionsregarding this point in JIGS:1) When your organization makes a request to a

political party, which party does it approachand how often does it make requests?

2) Did your organization endorse any politicalparties in the 2004 or 2005 general elections?

For question 1, respondents indicated their fre-quency of contact with the LDP, DPJ, Komeito,Social Democratic Party, Communist Party,regional parties and others on a 5-point scale: (5)very frequently, (4) frequently, (3) sometimes, (2)rarely, (1) not at all. For question 2, the respon-dents chose the parties that their organizationendorsed during the 2004 and 2005 elections.Table 1 presents the percentage of organizationsthat contacted and endorsed the LDP and the DPJand includes all groups reporting they contacted

Page 16 Social Science Japan March 2010

Changes among Interest Groups toward the Two-Party System

Hamamoto Shinsuke

1 For the results of this survey, see Tsujinaka and Mori 2010. Tsujinaka and his colleagues have conducted several cross-national surveys (e.g.,Japan, South Korea, the United States, Germany, China, Turkey, Russia, the Philippines, Brazil, Bangladesh, Uzbekistan, Estonia, and Poland)since 1997.

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parties at least “sometimes.”

Table 1 indicates three important points. First, theproportion of interest groups that were in contactwith the LDP was twice as high as those in touchwith the DPJ. The percentage of groups reachingout to the LDP was 31.3%, whereas that for theDPJ was 14.2%. This is a key difference betweenthe two parties. Second, labor organizationsbehaved differently in comparison to other kindsof organizations. Of all the labor organizations,53.2% were in contact with the DPJ, whereas only13.4% were in contact with the LDP. Third, thenumber of groups that endorsed the LDP for the2004 upper house election was four times greaterthan those that endorsed the DPJ. The percentageendorsing the LDP was 31.4% whereas that forthe DPJ was 8.8%. Agricultural, economic, profes-sional, labor, and political organizations are allobserved to be active during election campaigns.As a consequence, the gap between the two par-ties continues to widen even further.

Do similar patterns exist at the prefectural level?Table 2 summarizes the patterns of party contactand endorsement by prefecture, and ranks theprefectures by their level of support for the LDP.Interest groups with a pattern of contacting theLDP and other parties (except for the DPJ) are inthe “LDP” column. Groups that reported contact-ing both the LDP and the DPJ are in the“LDP+DPJ” column and those that contacted the

DPJ and other parties (except for the LDP) areplaced in the “DPJ” column.

Table 2 indicates three additional points. First, thepercentage of groups contacting the LDP variesfrom 79.6% (Ehime Prefecture) to 35.9% (Mie Pre-fecture). It has been reported in studies of interestgroups that the LDP is dominant, but whenviewed across every prefecture, the pattern ofcontacting political parties varies. Second, theaverage percentage of groups contacting the DPJis 13.7% and, at maximum, reaches only 22.1%(Hokkaido). We can conclude that a decrease inthe proportion of groups contacting the LDP doesnot necessarily result in an increase in DPJ con-tacts.

Third, interest groups tend to contact both theLDP and the DPJ. The percentage of groups thatcontacted only the DPJ is 13.7%, whereas that forboth the LDP and the DPJ is 21.8%. Furthermore,the latter exceeds the LDP’s percentage in threeprefectures (Mie, Iwate, and Fukushima). Forinstance, in Mie the percentage of groups thatcontacted only the LDP is 35.9%, whereas 43.5%contacted both main parties.

3. Influence of Party Competition

How do interest groups decide whether to contactand endorse political parties? It is important toverify the effects of competition within the party

Page 17Social Science Japan March 2010

Table 1 The Relationship between Interest Groups and the LDP and the DPJ

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system on interest group activity. The degree ofcompetition within the party system varies inevery prefecture. Interest groups in an area wherethe DPJ holds many seats have less incentive tocontact and endorse only the LDP, assuming thattheir goal is to gain access. In this section, I dis-cuss the DPJ’s seat ratio after the 2003 generalelection in every prefecture.

The importance of organizational structure,resources, ideology, position (whether a govern-ing or opposition party) and so on has been rec-ognized (Franz 2008; Naoi and Krauss 2009).Organizational structure refers to whether theorganization has branches (branch = 1, no branch= 0). Organizational “resources” refers to mem-bership. The distance between the stance of thepolitical party and the organization on policyissues is also important in understanding contactand endorsement. Interest groups find it difficultto endorse a candidate who asserts policies theyare not in agreement with and may thereforeendorse a rival candidate. Although the JIGS sur-vey does not ask about the distance between thepreferences of political parties and interestgroups, there are two sets of questions regardinginterest group leaders’ ideology (7-point scale)and trust in legislators and political parties (5-point scale).

The last variable involves the granting of commis-sions and subsidies. The government party hasaccess to many resources. Organizations thatreceive commissions and subsidies will tend tocontact and endorse the party in power moreoften than not. In view of the effect of these vari-ables, I analyze the effect of competition in theparty system in relation to the activities of interestgroups.

The results of a logistic regression analysis appearin Table 3. The DPJ’s seat ratio in every prefectureis statistically significant in all models. Interestgroups tend not to contact and endorse just theLDP. Instead, as the DPJ’s seat ratio increases,they tend to contact and endorse both parties.Competition in the party system influences therelationship between the political parties andinterest groups.

Interest groups that received commissions or sub-sidies are inclined to contact the LDP and torefrain from endorsing the DPJ. This result is con-sistent with previous studies. Ideology also playsa significant role. The interest groups led by indi-viduals possessing a conservative ideology tend-ed to contact and endorse the LDP. Organization-al structure, membership, and trust in legislatorsand parties are also significant factors in all mod-

Page 18 Social Science Japan March 2010

Table 2 Patterns of Party Contact and Endorsement by Prefecture

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els. Organizations that have branches, large mem-berships, and strong mutual trust tend to contactand endorse political parties.

4. Peak Associations after the Power Shift

How have peak associations responded to thepower shift? Many groups have changed theirrelationships with the LDP. For example, the Cen-tral Union of Agricultural Cooperatives and theJapan Medical Association, which in the past sup-ported only the LDP, have declared their neutrali-ty. Table 4 shows trends in endorsements bymajor peak associations after the power shift.

After the power shift, some peak associations didnot endorse the LDP in special elections or for the

2010 general election. For instance, agriculturaland contractors’ associations that had endorsedLDP candidates did not support the LDP in spe-cial elections in Kanagawa and Shizuoka. TheJapan Dental Federation, which had supportedthe LDP since 1955, withdrew its support from anLDP candidate to endorse a new LDP candidatefor the next general election. Some peak associa-tions have maintained their endorsement of LDPcandidates, whereas others are starting to keeptheir distance.

On the contrary, the DPJ has announced plans todisband the Council on Economic and Fiscal Poli-cy, in which only business interests participated,and has created the “Government RevitalizationUnit” (GRU). Kusano Tadayoshi, secretary-gener-

Page 19Social Science Japan March 2010

Table 3 Logistic Estimates of Contact and Endorsement

Table 4 Peak Associations after the Power Shift

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al of the Japanese Trade Union Confederation(JTUC), is a participant in GRU. In addition, theprime minister is meeting regularly with JTUC.At the regional level, all prefectural DPJ branchesare actively developing ties with local interestgroups and inviting them to roundtable confer-ences.

5. Conclusion

The results of the JIGS survey reveal the extent ofinterest groups’ party contacts and endorsementsand show that their involvement with parties var-ied across prefectures when the LDP was thedominant party. The survey also shows that inter-est groups tended to contact both major parties.Furthermore, various dimensions of the relation-ships between interest groups and the politicalparties were affected by the DPJ’s strength inevery prefecture, its control over governmentresources, and its ideology.

It is likely that the LDP’s share of interest groups’contacts and endorsements will decrease since theparty has lost many seats and its access to gov-ernment resources has diminished as a result ofthe power shift in 2009. The results of other sur-

veys by media organizations on trends inendorsements by peak associations after thepower shift confirm this point. However, it is like-ly that the power shift will result not in the DPJ’sdominance, but rather in a situation where inter-est groups will tend to be in contact with both theLDP and the DPJ but withdraw from the electoralprocess.

References

Franz, Michael M. 2008. Choices and Changes: Inter-est Groups in the Electoral Process. Philadel-phia: Temple University Press.

Muramatsu, Michio, Mitsutoshi Ito, and YutakaTsujinaka. 1986. Sengo Nihon no AtsuryokuDantai (Pressure Groups in Postwar Japan).Tokyo: Toyo Keizai Shinposha.

Naoi, Megumi and Ellis Krauss. 2009. “Who Lob-bies Whom?: Special Interest Politics underAlternative Electoral Systems.” AmericanJournal of Political Science 53:874-892.

Tsujinaka, Yutaka and Hiroki Mori, eds. 2010.Shakai Shudan no Seiji Kino (Political Func-tion of Social Groups in Japan). Tokyo:Bokutakusha.

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Page 21Social Science Japan March 2010

ISS Research Report

Komorida Akio is a Professor of Comparative Law

at the Institute of Social Science, University of

Tokyo

Institute of Social ScienceUniversity of TokyoHongo 7-3-1Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo [email protected]

1. I began my research in 1970 as a graduate stu-dent majoring in Soviet law. I chose to researchSoviet law because I had, so to speak, a “positiveinterest” in socialism as an idea and a societal sys-tem. I say “positive” in the sense that I wanted tofind some suggestions for seeking potential alter-natives to the society in which we lived. Howev-er, this does not mean that I positively assessedthe Soviet system and other examples of “realexisting socialism;” in fact the opposite was true.Based on the premise that “real existing social-ism” harbored myriad problems, I tried to explainwhy a system so full of shortcomings was devel-oped and probed where the potential for itsreform may have lain.

I was part of a generation that turned out a com-paratively large number of researchers who

strived to study socialism. One could say thatthese researchers, for the most part, shared theaforementioned stance on “real existing social-ism.” This interest was not accidental as my gen-eration shouldered the weight of living throughthe late 1960s, symbolized by the “year 1968,” atime of protest movements—student riots, anti-Vietnam war protests, and opposition to theTreaty on Basic Relations between Japan andKorea, which more or less concluded the historyof colonial rule between Japan and only one-halfof the divided Korean peninsula.

2. There are many possible ways to approachsocialism as a societal (socio-economic) system.My approach was to consider “real existingsocialism” from the perspective of workers’ self-management of production. However, the 1970s,which later came to be called the Age of Stagna-tion, was a time when outward signs of changewere far and few between. There was no real sub-stance worth researching from the perspective ofworkers’ self-management, and the signs ofreform were scarce, especially at the beginning ofthe decade. So I tried to retrace the history of theformation of the Soviet-style management ofstate-owned enterprises where the element ofworkers’ self-management was minimized, recre-ating a wealth of disputes and trial-and-errorexperimentation. My first research topic was thetransformation of legal structures in state-ownedenterprise management from the point of view ofworkers’ rights in the period from the OctoberRevolution, through War Communism, to theNew Economic Policy (NEP). In the late 1970s,when I finished my historical research, even theSoviet Union experienced a revival of interest inworkers’ participation in production manage-ment and collective labor relations—issues longforgotten in the USSR. This renewed interestopened up the possibility of linking my afore-

The Soviet Union, Russia and Poland: A Retrospective of My Research

Komorida Akio

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mentioned historical research with an analysis ofthe current state of affairs. Of course I pursuedthese trends with great care.

Meanwhile—in addition to my historicalresearch—my original objective was to chooseanother socialist country and compare it to theSoviet Union in order to relativize the socio-eco-nomic system of the latter. What I had in mindwas not Yugoslavia, which had gained attentionfor its own self-management system, but Poland,which had a rich tradition of sociological researchthat would, I supposed, make empirical studypossible. An opportunity arose for me to take thefirst step toward achieving my goal in 1981. I wasgoing to study in the Soviet Union for ten monthsstarting in the fall of 1980, so I decided to spendforty days in Poland in August and September in1981, after my stay in the Soviet Union. As luckwould have it, this was the peak of the Solidaritymovement. In relation to my field of interest, thedrafts of the new labor union law and theemployees’ self-management law were subject tovigorous debate. The Solidarity movement wastemporarily derailed by martial law, but despitethis, the movement managed to have an impacton the Soviet Union as shown by the USSR’s pro-mulgation of the Work Collective Act, whichincluded an element of a Soviet version ofemployees’ self-management.

By the latter half of the 1980s, in light of experi-ences in the Soviet Union, Poland and Yugoslavia,my research progressed to the point where I couldprovide a theoretical explanation for the potentialcoexistence of two types of labor organizations—the trade union and the workers’ council—andthe division of roles between them. It seemed tome that this framework laid out a policy directionfor reforming “real existing socialism.” However,I must confess that “real existing socialism” inboth the Soviet Union and Poland at that timewas exceeding my expectations: the socialist sys-tem itself had begun to advance along the road tosystemic transformation at a rapid rate.

3. This transformation reached a turning point in1988, around the time that I moved from Hokkai-do University to ISS of the University of Tokyo.For the next few years, I followed the perestroikamovement in the Soviet Union and the process of

negotiated transition in Poland and took a multi-faceted approach to the many legal issues thatarose therefrom. I spent all my time producingmany short articles in an effort to ponder themeaning of these issues. Please allow me to raiseone example each from Polish law and Soviet lawwhich I remember for the difficulties involved inwriting them.

Regarding Polish law, I wrote an article analyzingthe partially free parliamentary elections held inJune 1989. After tracing the process from the cre-ation of a “social contract” with the founding ofthe Solidarity union in 1980 to the rebirth of thisderailed social contract with the April 1989Round Table Agreement, I analyzed the institu-tional framework and results of the election. Hav-ing secured on short notice back issues of GazetaWyborcza, a Solidarity newspaper whose publica-tion was specially approved for the 1989 election,I wrote a paper in early August just before theinauguration of the Mazowiecki administration.While this election holds great significance as theturning point in Poland’s transition, my analysisof subsequent multiparty election systems andelection results comprise one part of my researchinto Polish law.

As for Soviet law, let me mention an article Iwrote immediately after I witnessed the attempt-ed coup d’état in August 1991 and the subsequentdemise of the Soviet Union. I wrote this article aspart of the ISS institute-wide “ContemporaryJapan Studies” project. Based on my understand-ing of the so-called “collapse of the SovietUnion,” I demonstrated how three differentaspects of the breakup—political democratization(de-Sovietization), transition of the socio-econom-ic system (giving up of socialism) and transfor-mation of national statehood (disintegration ofthe Union)—were intertwined with each other inthe actual political process and illustrated thekinds of problems that would remain for post-Soviet Russia. The perspectives and problems Ioutlined in this paper have served as my guide-lines for analyzing systemic transitions in post-Soviet nations including Poland.

4. The awareness of issues that formed the basisof my interest in socialism as a socio-economicsystem in all its various permutations still contin-

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ues to the present day in a slightly modified wayas shown, for example, by my recent research—primarily on Poland—on the selection of privati-zation models for state-owned enterprises and therestructuring of livelihood security systems dur-ing the transition to capitalism.

At the same time, I have undertaken research onanother set of issues, that is, judicial systems,broadly defined. This line of inquiry originatedfrom the awakening to law in action and the soci-ological study of law I experienced when I stayedin the Soviet Union in 1981. At that time I wit-nessed a series of criminal and civil trials atMoscow courtrooms as a member of the publicand drew up my own judicial statistics for onecourthouse over a fixed period of time (so tospeak, mini-statistics) since actual judicial statis-tics were not published at that time. In Poland,where the judicial system was receptive to theoverall Soviet-style institutional framework, I sawjudges, public prosecutors and attorneys stickdoggedly to tradition, unlike in the USSR. Ilearned the important lesson that legal traditionscan be perpetuated despite transformations ofsocietal system through the practices of legalelites, that is, legal practitioners and scholars.From the late 1980s, both Russia and Polandbegan to implement large-scale judicial reformsconcurrently with the transformation of theirsocio-economic systems, and these reforms areongoing today. While their reform agendas have a

lot in common, their actual system designs oftendiffer and these differences are especially appar-ent at the law-in-action level. One of my currentresearch topics is to explore why and how thesedesigns have diverged, keeping in mind the simi-lar judicial reform issues that Japan faces nowbecause it, like Russia, underwent historicalchanges after beginning to develop a modernjudicial system in the latter half of the 19th centu-ry.

5. Since ISS was founded in 1946, the SovietUnion, along with China, was a focal point of ISSresearch. For many years there were three Russ-ian/Soviet specialists on the ISS roster who stud-ied respectively Russian/Soviet history and con-temporary politics, Soviet law, and the Sovieteconomy. But when I retire in March 2010, therewill no longer be any Soviet Union/Russia spe-cialists at ISS. Although this is connected with themajor transformations in defining the objectivesof research and the changes in the social mean-ings of social science research on this region of theworld, I am keenly aware of both my lack of abili-ty and responsibilities. It is my sincere hope thatsomeday ISS will once again conduct research onRussia, our significant neighbor in every aspect,and on Poland and the other East European coun-tries, which underwent two major systemic trans-formations in the 20th century alone, and are nowbringing something new to the European Unionas its youngest members.

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Page 24 Social Science Japan March 2010

ISS Research Report

Tanabe Shunsuke is an Associate Professor of

Sociology at the Institute of Social Science,

University of Tokyo

Institute of Social ScienceUniversity of TokyoHongo 7-3-1Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo [email protected]

1. Japan amidst Globalization

To date I have researched ordinary people’s senseof national identities and perceptions of foreigncountries. After the fall of the Berlin Wall, manypeople thought that the world would “becomeone” through globalization, but the world, in fact,split into many more “nation states” as witnessedby the breakup of the former Yugoslavia. InEurope, where it seemed as if integration hadbeen accomplished with the supranational frame-work of the European Union, extreme right-wingparties grew more powerful through appeals tonationalism and anti-immigration sentiment.These circumstances led me to ask what is meantby the word “nation” and how people perceiveforeign nations; these questions served as thespringboard for my research.

In Japan as well, it is said that nationalism hasgrown stronger under the influence of globaliza-tion. For example, Takahara (2006) argues thatrapid job mobility concurrent with globalizationhas directly affected young adults. Job insecurityengenders a sense of isolation and economic vul-nerability and those emotions are transforminginto nationalism. Takahara calls this kind ofnationalism “personal anxiety-based national-ism.” In relation to this rising nationalism, somescholars point out worsening perceptions of for-eign counties typified by phrases such as “Ken-Kan” (anti-Korean sentiment) and “Ken-Chu”(anti-Chinese sentiment). In fact, one can findnumerous postings on internet bulletin boardswhich express strong anti-Korean and anti-Chi-nese attitudes.

Debates on these issues are vigorous. Surprising-ly, however, the volume of empirical researchgrounded in tangible data remains miniscule,especially for the case of Japan. Some works arelittle more than impressionistic criticisms basedon the authors’ overgeneralization of a handful ofexamples, while others are conceptually elaborat-ed theories with no supporting data. Therefore, Ihave conducted various empirical studies by sta-tistically analyzing survey data both on nationalidentities and perceptions of foreign countries.

2. Japanese National Identities

Almost everyone assumes an identity as a mem-ber of the nation-state to which he or she belongsand is affected by that identity to one degree oranother. I have been conducting secondary analy-ses of International Social Survey Programme(ISSP) data on national identities (Tanabe 2001,2008a, 2010). My findings show that people inJapan, a typical ethnic nation, do not often distin-guish between ascription and achievement as

Japanese National Identities and Perceptions ofForeign Countries

Tanabe Shunsuke

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conditions for deciding who is “truly Japanese.”Unlike civic nations such as the United States orAustralia, in Japan the concept of “citizen” (thecivic element) is not distinguished from the con-cept of “Japanese ethnicity” (the ethnic element). Ialso confirmed the tendency for strong politicalnational pride to correlate closely with nationalparticularism and exclusionism. These findingssuggest that statements of liberal nationalismsuch as “I love my country so I want to open it toforeigners” do not gain approval in Japan withoutdifficulty.

However, the types of national identity in Japandiffer greatly across generations. The elderlyoverwhelmingly displayed what could be called“nationalistic” types of national identity. Mean-while, many young people have wide parametersfor defining “truly Japanese.” They either exhibitnon-exclusionary national identities or nationalidentities of strong cultural pride with weakexclusionary tendencies; few young people exhib-it the exclusionism or self-particularism that isprevalent among the elderly.

3. Japanese Views of Foreign Countries

Japanese people’s views of foreign counties canbe considered the reverse face of their sense ofnational identity, and I have been analyzing andexamining these views with a survey that I con-ducted. Generally speaking, Japanese people tendto hold the countries of Europe and North Ameri-ca in high regard while thinking less of othercountries (Tanabe 2009b). I found that likeabilityratings for Western nations are higher than forother nations. I also discovered that the cognitiveframe Japanese people employ when consideringa foreign country is “Western nations (Japanincluded) vs. non-Western nations (excludingJapan)” (Tanabe 2004, 2008b). However, I alsoshow that people’s classification standards canchange. For example, the degree of focus on the“Western vs. non-Western” standard is weaken-ing for Japanese with overseas travel experienceand for young people.

Additionally, as I examine perceptions of foreigncountries, I use Japanese General Social Surveysdata to explore cognitive maps with a limitedfocus on “Asia” (Tanabe 2009a). My findings

show that in likeability ratings, North Korea isespecially despised and the average likeabilityscore of China is also low. There are also majordivisions between people who liked and dislikedChina and South Korea. On the other hand, overhalf of the responses for the nations of Asia are aneutral “0,” so the majority of respondents are“indifferent” toward those nations. After analyz-ing the cognitive structures, I revealed that whileChina, South Korea and North Korea each exhibita unique presence, the likeability ratings for theother nations of Asia (Taiwan, Mongolia, thePhilippines, Indonesia, Thailand, and India) arehighly correlated. In other words, most Japanesepeople do not differentiate between these nationsby their cultural or geographic proximity butinstead treat them as one group. As I have shownabove, the public is generally neutral towardmost Asian nations while their likeability ratingsfor the nearby nations of China and South Koreaare far from high. In other words, my results indi-cate that public sentiment for the creation of an“East Asian Community” is not favorable undercurrent conditions.

4. Japan is not in “Globalization” but “Interna-tionalization”

I consider that contemporary Japan is not under-going “globalization” in the sense that nation-states’ boundaries and systems are melting away,but that it exists in a state of “internationaliza-tion” in which it remains highly aware of thepresence of national boundaries and nation-states, as my analysis of national identities andperceptions of foreign countries has shown. Forexample, standards for deciding “who is Japan-ese” are not divided into ascriptive dimensions,such as bloodlines, and subjective dimensions,such as self-identification and respect for nationalinstitutions and laws. So it is hard to imagine thatJapan’s legal criteria for naturalization will bemodified or dual citizenship made possiblebecause most Japanese think being “truly Japan-ese” requires not only being a “Japanese citizen”but also having “Japanese ethnicity.” Likewise,Japanese people’s perceptions of the countries ofthe world are organized around the “Western vs.non-Western” standard, so many people seeJapan not as one country in Asia, but as a nationcloser to the West. Simply put, while the stan-

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dards for “Japaneseness” remain solid, the aware-ness of being a “member of East Asia” is weakand emphasis is placed more on Japan’s relation-ship with the West. For this reason, the govern-ment of Japan has not shifted its policy of interna-tionalization based on a strong national aware-ness very much since the 1980s.

However, one can see the beginnings of changeamong the younger generation with regard to thisstate of affairs. Many young people ascribe tonon-exclusionary national identities which can beunderstood as an expression of their intent tomake Japan a more open country. Their cognitivemaps for foreign countries are also changing, andtheir “Western orientation” is on the decline.Keeping this in mind, I think that youth whowere born in an era in which globalization wasthe norm have sufficient potential to dramaticallychange Japanese national identities and percep-tions of foreign countries. Research on the mutualrelationships between Japanese national identitiesand the perceptions of foreign countries is still indevelopment. I am currently conducting a surveyusing a questionnaire that includes both of theseelements, and I hope to shed more light on thesemutual relationships in my future research.

References

Takahara, Motoaki. 2006. Fuanteigata Nashonarizu-mu no Jidai: Nikkanchu no Netto Sedai ga Niku-miau Honto no Riyu (The era of anxiety-based nationalism: The real reason why theNet generation in Japan, South Korea andChina hate each other). Tokyo: Yosensha.

Tanabe, Shunsuke. 2001. “Nihon no Nashonaru・Aidenteitei no Gainen Kozo: 1995 ISSP: Nation-al Identity Deta no Jisshoteki Kentokara (Con-ceptual structure of Japanese National Iden-tity: Analyses of the 1995 ISSP data).”Shakaigaku Hyoron (Japanese SociologicalReview) 52(3):398-412.

------. 2004. “‘Chikai Kuni・To i Kuni’: TajigenShakudo Koseiho niyoru Sekai Ninchi Kozono Kenkyu” (‘Close nations / distantnations’: Multi-dimensional scaling analysesof cognitive maps of nations). Riron to Hoho(Sociological Theory and Methods) 36:235-249.

------. 2008a. “‘Nihonjin’ de Arutowa IkanaruKotoka? ISSP2003 ni Miru Nihon noNashonaru Aidenteitei no Genzai” (What itmeans to be ‘Japanese’?: Japanese nationalidentity today as seen from the ISSP 2003survey). Pp. 287-308 in Bunka Shakaigaku noShiza (Viewpoints on Cultural Sociology),edited by Minamida, Katsuya and IzumiTsuji. Kyoto: Mineruva Shobo.

------. 2008b. “‘Nihonjin’ no Gaikoku Kokando toSono Kozo no Jisshoteki Kento: Ajia Shugi·Tozai Reisen·Gurobarizeshon” (Empiricalassessment of ‘Japanese’ cognition towardvarious nations: Asianism, Cold War, andGlobalization). Shakaigaku Hyoron (JapaneseSociological Review) 59(2):369-387.

------. 2009a. “Japanese perspectives on ‘Asia’:Analyses of JGSS-2006”. Pp. 13-25 in Nihon-ban General Social Surveys Kenkyu Ronbunshu[8] JGSS de Mita Nihonjin no Ishiki to Kodo(Monograph 8: Japanese general social sur-veys: Awareness and behavior of the Japan-ese as seen in the JGSS), edited by JapaneseGeneral Social Surveys (JGSS) ResearchCenter, Osaka University of Commerce andthe Institute of Social Science, the Universityof Tokyo. Osaka: JGSS Research Center,Osaka University of Commerce.

------. 2009b. “An exploratory analysis of nationalprestige scores”. Social Science Japan Jour-nal 12(2):267-275.

------. 2010. Nashonaru·Aidenteitei no Kokusai Hikaku(National Identities in a Comparative Per-spective). Tokyo: Keio University Press.

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Page 27Social Science Japan March 2010

Questions and Answers with Visiting Professors

Professor

College of Social Science

Hanshin University

(Visiting Shaken from June 15 to August 31,

2009)

Q. How did you come to know about Shaken?

I first heard of Shaken twenty years ago when Icame to Japan in 1987 as a research student at theUniversity of Tokyo Graduate School of Letters.After I enrolled in the master’s program, I tookeconomic history seminars—much like ProfessorKazutoshi Kase’s and Professor Akira Hara’sseminars—offered by the Faculty of Economicsevery year. When I was working on my master’sthesis and my doctoral dissertation, I was blessedby the kindness of the Shaken library staff who letme access invaluable materials on labor policy,including string-bound volumes. I also learned awealth of information working on my disserta-tion under the supervision of Professor Kase.Even after I returned home in 1995, every time Ivisited Japan I would go to Professor Kase’s officeto seek his counsel and stop by the Shaken libraryto search for materials. I am very grateful for theopportunity to come back to Japan as a visitingprofessor, and I would like to thank ProfessorKase for his efforts and Director Suehiro andeveryone at Shaken for their support. Shaken willcontinue to be a valued partner for my research.

Q. What are your research interests?

My research can be divided into four areas: Japan-ese labor policy during the war; the emperor sys-tem; wartime mobilization in colonial Korea; andhistorical perceptions and history textbooks.

In my dissertation I analyzed Japan’s wartimelabor mobilization policies and, based on thewartime reorganization of employment agencies,elucidated labor market trends, laws and othersystems for control which contributed to the situ-ation. After returning to Korea, I examinedchanges in labor policy immediately after the war,focusing primarily on the “reorganization” dur-ing the transition from wartime to peacetime. Iam also attempting to reassess the logic behindwartime labor mobilization. For example, whilethe principle of an “imperial work ethic” wastrumpeted, I am trying to show that the “nation-alization” of the workforce and private compa-nies was actually only partially achieved, as seenby the defeat of the Fundamental Labor Law.

I have also been trying to gain an overview ofprewar Japan by linking the emperor system tosocial policy. I examined the process leading up tothe promulgation of the Poor Law in 1931 anddemonstrated that the redefinition of the emperoras a “compassionate ruler” was pivotal to thegovernment’s campaign against democraticreforms during the Taisho era. By continuing tofocus on the difference between “subjects” and“citizens,” I theoretically elaborated upon theemperor system while exploring the politicalimplications of a system which operated andperpetuated itself along a fixed course, asopposed to advancing towards democracythrough regular elections.

Key topics in my research on wartime mobiliza-tion in colonial Korea are the Imperial JapaneseArmy in Korea and “comfort women.” It couldnot have been possible to mobilize “comfortwomen” and build and operate “comfort sta-tions” without the involvement of the JapaneseArmy and the Japanese government. I have

Ha Jongmoon

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shown that the construction of comfort stationswas closely tied to military operations and that“comfort women” were identified as “army civil-ian personnel” or “army subordinates.” I am alsointerested in the close involvement of the Japan-ese Army stationed on the peninsula in the intri-cate details of Japan’s rule of Korea, such as run-ning the conscription program and “mobilizingresources.”

Finally, I am shedding light on the proclivitiesand backgrounds of Japan’s history revisionists—including the Society for History TextbookReform—and the extent of their movement, whileexploring the degree to which Japan, China andKorea can achieve a shared historical perception. Iam also keeping a close watch on discussions ofnationalism in Korea (i.e., the extent of anti-Japanese and anti-North Korean sentiments andthe relationship between the two).

Q. What is the main purpose of your visit?

I came to Japan this time with two research plans.First, keeping in mind the course of developmentand details of the labor policies planned andimplemented immediately after Japan’s defeat inWWII, I want to examine the practical applicationof these policies with a focus on different regions’attitudes towards them. To explore regional atti-tudes, I will narrow down regions into modelcases and look for their respective time-seriesvariations. After verifying whether or not variouswartime policies served to fundamentally trans-form labor policy, I would like to describe howdemobilization occurred in regional areas amidstthe confusion and shifts in central governmentpolicy immediately following the war. Regardingmaterials, I plan to use relevant wartime andimmediate postwar materials, such as the diariesand papers of former Nagano Prefecture officialKitajima Senichi, which are stored at the SaitamaPrefectural Museum of Historical Records (Saita-ma Kenritsu Shiryokan). While I cannot use theShaken Library this time due to earthquake rein-forcement work, I intend to make full use of itsmaterials in the future.

Secondly, I will research how Koreans residing onthe Japanese mainland during the war were mobi-

lized. While there is already a large volume ofresearch on forced Korean labor, the relationshipbetween the wartime mobilization system and“resident Koreans” who had been living in Japansince before the Sino-Japanese War remains almostcompletely unexplained. Based on my ownresearch on labor mobilization polices, I wouldlike to zero in on the reality of resident Koreanmobilization and delve into the “reorganization”of Korea under Japanese rule during the war.

Q. What do you like about Shaken?

I think the most appealing aspect of Shaken lies inthe integrity of its research which covers everyarea of the social sciences. Even today, Shaken’scommitment to the value of integrative social sci-ence research makes it a rare kind of institution.Historically speaking, this is because Shaken hasalways offset the shortcomings of empiricism andquantitative approaches in economics by pursu-ing shared growth instead of adopting a winner-takes-all attitude. When I returned as a visitingprofessor, I re-read the “Reasons for the Establish-ment of the Institute of Social Science” whichhang above the entrance to Shaken. The documentproclaims that Shaken, in order to rebuild post-war Japan as a “democratic and peace-lovingnation,” shall reinvent social science to includethe systems and situations of the world’s nationsin its scope. This proclamation could be thoughtof as the cornerstone of the interdisciplinaryresearch that has become popular at Shaken oflate. I watched this ideal being realized when Imade a presentation at the Shaken Staff Seminar. Iwas caught in a “crossfire”—something I havenever experienced in my study of history—andfelt a sense of happy perplexity.

Given this, I feel that Shaken’s openness is the nat-ural progression of things. While I was unable toenter the Shaken Library this time, the comfort Ihave always felt there is perfect example of thiswelcoming attitude. With its friendly staff andeasily accessible materials, I naturally came tomake use of the Shaken Library. Since I became avisiting professor, I have never once felt isolated.At the beer party in July, before I knew it, I foundI had become part of the “Shaken Family.” I hopemy membership never expires.

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Page 29Social Science Japan March 2010

Questions and Answers with Visiting Professors

Lecturer

School of East Asian Studies, University of Sheffield

National Institute of Japanese Studies, University

of Sheffield

(Visiting Shaken from July 16 to November 15, 2009)

Q. How did you first come to know about Shaken?

The School of East Asian Studies (SEAS), Univer-sity of Sheffield where I completed my PhD andcurrently hold a position as an academic memberof staff has long been collaborating with Shaken.Many Shaken professors have visited and stayedat SEAS, while Shaken, as the heart of social sci-ence research in Japan, has in turn been afavoured destination for SEAS staff and researchstudents. In fact, prior to my stay, one of my PhDstudents, Lisa Nye, spent one year at Shaken as avisiting researcher. It is consequently impossibleto be a student or academic member of the staff atSEAS without knowing the name ‘Shaken’!

Having said this, I first came across the name ofShaken when I was a student in Japan, readingbooks and articles written by Shaken professorsfor my studies. One of the first Shaken publica-tions that I read in the early 1990s was a series ofjournal articles on gender and social policy writ-ten by Professor Osawa Mari, who, also kindlyhosted my stay at the ISS this time round. Aroundthat time, studying gender-related topics was notvery easy in Tokyo and, having read ProfessorOsawa’s articles, I once or twice snuck into her

postgraduate seminar with the help of myfriends. So, years later, when Professor Osawatold me about this opportunity to spend time atthe ISS as a ‘visiting professor ’, I of coursejumped at the chance.

Q. What is the main purpose of this visit?

On an individual level, the main purpose of thisvisit is to develop ideas to compile a researchmonograph on the ‘governing of everyday risk’ inpostwar Japan. Inspired by the governmentalitydiscussion, I have long been interested in examin-ing and analyzing, in a concrete manner, ways inwhich the notion of risk operates to govern indi-viduals. It seems to me that a multitude of dis-courses regarding various risks in everyday life -ageing, misfortune and accidents at home andwork, the death of family members (particularlybreadwinners), food shortages, food safety, neigh-bourhood safety, unemployment, personal finan-cial crises, and divorce/separation to name a few- provide a privileged lens to understand howdirect/indirect links between the state and indi-viduals are formed, how they function, and, mostimportantly, how these links are now being recali-brated in response to changing global and domes-tic politico-economic conditions. At one level,everyday risks are experienced by the individualas a personal matter. Simultaneously however, todifferent degrees in different historical times, gov-ernments also implement a multitude of mea-sures to mediate these risks, as is exemplified bystate social security systems. In this sense, every-day risks are the dynamic interface between indi-viduals’ lives and government policy measures.

In many industrially advanced countries, includ-ing Japan, the reorganization of state governingand policymaking systems in response to global-ization and economic restructuring is an ongoingprocess at the heart of which we can observenegotiations that draw/redraw the boundaries ofindividual and state responsibilities to deal withvarious everyday risks. This is a particularly per-tinent issue in the case of the Japanese state, giventhat the structural reforms of the Koizumi gov-

Hiroko Takeda

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ernment (2001-6) overtly pursued a reduction ofstate functions, while emphasizing the notion ofself-responsibility. In light of this, I hope that thescholarly contributions my planned monographwill make will be twofold. First, the book willgive concrete accounts of recent political andsocial changes with reference to the handling ofvarious everyday risks. Second, it will also pro-vide theoretical insights into discussions over theindividual-state relationship as well as those over‘governmentality’.

There is also an institutional dimension to myvisit. Sheffield has just started a joint PhD pro-gramme in cooperation with a Global COE pro-gramme on Gender Equality and MulticulturalConviviality in which Shaken collaborates alongwith the University of Tohoku. Two of my PhDstudents (Paola Cavalier and Kamila Szczepans-ka), along with a third Sheffield student, are par-ticipating in this scheme and are now staying inSendai. Shaken has kindly offered these joint PhDprogramme students institutional affiliations anda research room. Support such as this from Shakenhas proved very useful for students conductingfieldwork in Tokyo and is crucial to many for thecompletion of their PhDs. During my stay at Shak-en, I visited the University of Tohoku with Shakenscholars and had the opportunity to conversewith my students’ supervisors at the Universityof Tohoku, while both of my students were ableto visit me at Shaken. The felicitous timing of myvisit can therefore be said to have ensured asmooth start to the joint PhD degree programmefor Sheffield students.

Q. What are your current research interests?

As mentioned earlier, I am currently working on aproject that examines the ways in which thenotion of ‘risk’ functions in the process of govern-ing the everyday lives of individuals in Japanthrough exploiting the sense of security/insecuri-ty among its people. Since Ulrich Beck’s book RiskSociety was published and translated into English,risk has become one of the most oft-mentionedtopics in the social sciences. As Australian sociol-ogist Deborah Lupton has noted, severalapproaches have been taken in social scientificresearch on risk. My approach is mainly informedby the ‘governmentality’ school, especially the

work of scholars such as Nikolas Rose, MitchellDean, and Pat O’Malley.

The term ‘governmentality’ is rooted in MichelFoucault’s lectures that are now published andwidely available (Foucault 2007). Studies of gov-ernmentality are concerned with how a governingsystem that exercises ‘disciplinary power’ and‘biopower’, both of which target the national pop-ulation, operates and functions. These studies tryto analyze and diagnose how people are beinggoverned by mobilizing different techniques andsets of knowledge. I first came across Foucault’slecture on governmentality when I was a post-graduate student, and since then, governmentali-ty has been the main source of academic inspira-tion for my research activities. This project on riskis my latest attempt to approach governmentalityin the Japanese context.

I also have a long-term interest in gender andfamily issues, and in fact teach gender issues inJapan and other East Asian countries at Sheffield.My ambition is to add a gender dimension to thediscussion on governmentality by exploring linksbetween national policies and everyday conductat home, be it household finance management,meal preparation or consumption. More concrete-ly, I am working on several papers that examineshifts in the family model appearing in govern-ment documents and changes in Japan’s foodgovernance system including the Shokuiku cam-paign.

Q. What do you like about Shaken?

Needless to say, Shaken has a large body of staffspecializing in many different disciplines, andvery consciously pursues a multi-disciplinaryapproach. This makes Shaken an excellent destina-tion for researchers who work in the anglophoneenvironment of area studies, which is generallymulti-disciplinary. By coming to Shaken, we areable to meet and receive advice from scholarswho are at the forefront of their disciplines, andgarner insight on how they utilize their expertiseto create multi-disciplinary research fora.

In closing, I would really like to express my grati-tude to Shaken‘s flexible, ‘adventurous’ spirit andits decision/willingness to accept someone like

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myself (being at a relatively early stage of my aca-demic career) as a ‘foreign visiting professor’.This opportunity has enabled me, for the firsttime since I started work as a university lecturerin 2001, to stay a good length of time in Japan,refresh my knowledge, conduct interviews andfieldwork, and last but not least, give presenta-tions in Japanese. Thus, the benefits I have

received from Shaken’s visiting professor schemehave been phenomenal, especially consideringthat opportunities of this kind are normally veryrare for younger researchers. I am indeed trulygrateful to Shaken, and at the same time, I am suremy case will encourage many other youngerresearchers in the field!

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Questions and Answers with Visiting Professors

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Page 32 Social Science Japan March 2010

David LehenyHenry Wendt III '55 Professor of East Asian Studies at PrincetonUniversity

The Short, Strange Life of Japan's Values Diplomacy

July 22, 2009

Abstract:As domestic debate raged about whether Prime MinisterKoizumi Junichiro's foreign policy had tipped too fartoward the United States, and whether it needed to bemore "autonomous" or even "pro-Asian," two of his suc-cessors had already started to make the case for a diplo-

matic approach that would embrace and promote free markets, liberal democracy, and the rule oflaw. Although both Abe Shinzo's "Values Diplomacy" and Aso Taro's "Arc of Freedom and Prosper-ity" were implicitly targeted at aligning Japan with the United States, Australia, and India against arising China, these visions displayed the tensions inherent in any articulation of a country's puta-tive values or international stance. This paper examines how these depictions of Japan's diplomacywere exploited both by American analysts arguing for the universalism of American values as wellas by Japanese actors aiming to re-define their country's role in an Asia that had, in some alarmistviews, started to ignore Tokyo. I trace discourses of culture and development, relating them to con-temporary diplomatic themes, particularly that of "soft power," a term associated most frequentlywith Harvard political scientist Joseph Nye, once thought to be the Obama administration's choiceas ambassador to Japan.

ISS Contemporary Japan Group at the Instituteof Social Science, University of TokyoThe ISS Contemporary Japan Group serves as a forum for researchers on Japan to receive criticalfeedback on their work. Researchers visiting Tokyo are invited to contact Professor Ishida Hiroshi([email protected]) for more information if they would like to make a presentation.Meetings are open to everyone. Photos by Takahashi Satsuki (ISS)

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Paul J. ScaliseAdjunct Fellow at the Institute of Contemporary Japanese Stud-ies at Temple University, Japan Campus

The Politics of Restructuring: Agendas and Uncertainty inJapan's Electricity Deregulation

November 25, 2009

Abstract:The 1995 revision of the Electric Power Industry Law(Denki jigyo-ho) was the first comprehensive revision ofthe law governing Japan's electric power industry since1964. Two further revisions would be made to the Law

in 1999 and 2003. Despite little change in real electricity prices since 1995 (the revised law's primaryobjective), restructuring the industry had fallen off the national agenda by 2007. Indeed, what start-ed as an effort to inject competition into the electric power industry through deregulation endedwith an almost equally adamant decision to halt the reform process altogether. How and why did adiffuse public interest like electric power deregulation initially prevail by getting on the nationalagenda in the early 1990s, only then to face a highly unusual degree of skepticism and resistance fif-teen years later? This presentation discusses the politics behind the puzzle. The conventional wis-dom among social scientists regarding the failures of diffuse consumer-oriented policy changepoints to powerful career bureaucrats, self-interested politicians or vested interests “buying up”regulations. In this presentation, I analyze the fine balance between two conflicting images ofJapan’s energy policy subsystem ("security" versus "efficiency") that are actors engaged in structur-al reform. Unlike previous research using power-dependence models, I use heretofore-unexaminedarchival documents, microeconomic data, and qualitative interviews with key actors to test anotherpossible cause of policy change: the infiltration of foreign ideas. Periods of stasis (controlled by neg-ative feedback) in rhetoric, imagery, government-business cooperation, and economic ideas areoccasionally known to be offset by bouts of frenetic institutional change. Variations in deliberationtimetables, shifting voting patterns in committees, sporadic law promulgations, increasingly nega-tive public opinion polls, and fluctuating media attention cycles (the dependent variables) are ana-lyzed by using the ubiquity, consistency, and strength of foreign economic ideas and events (theindependent variables) to explain the transformation of both formal (regulatory/legislative) andinformal (normative) institutions in Japan.

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Gavin H. WhitelawAssociate Professor of Sociocultural Anthropology at the Inter-national Christian University

Shoptalk: Lives and Livelihood from the Epicenter of Conve-nience Culture

January 28, 2010

Abstract:Small shops and family enterprises are topics of ongoinginterest in studies of Japan. Over the last several decades,however, the profile of such businesses has changed sig-nificantly, particularly within the retail sector where con-

venience store franchises, or konbini, now dominate. In certain respects, konbini have re-inventedthe neighborhood corner shop, turning it into a competitive commercial force with global ties andmass appeal. In 2008, konbini sales in Japan topped 7.8 trillion yen, surpassing department storesales for the first time in history. The story behind these numbers is complex. Statistics alone fail toaddress how changing practices and notions of store ownership may be contributing to the expan-sion of this business sector. In this presentation I draw on recent ethnographic research to examinethe meanings of konbini ownership in contemporary society. While earlier studies of small shopculture emphasize the ways that merchants actively craft themselves and create traditionalism inurban neighborhood contexts (Kondo 1990, Bestor 1990), I discuss how konbini proprietors areforging a different kind of identity through their negotiations of the very consumption practicesand standardization processes embodied by the convenience store model.

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Recent Publications by ISS and ISS StaffRecent Publications by ISS and ISS Staff

大瀧雅之(著)�『基礎からまなぶ経済学・入門』�(有斐閣アルマ)2009年8月�

末廣昭(著)�『タイ 中進国の模索』�(岩波新書)2009年8月�

大橋英夫・丸川知雄(著)�『叢書 中国的問題群 6� 中国企業のルネサンス』�(岩波書店)2009年9月�

佐藤博樹(編著)�『叢書 働くということ 第4巻� 人事マネジメント』�(ミネルヴァ書房)2009年9月�

佐藤健二・山田一成(編著)�浅川達人・佐藤香・祐成保志・�田中研之輔・原田豊・宮内泰介�『社会調査論』�(八千代出版)2009年9月�

常松淳(著)�『責任と社会―不法行為責任の� 意味をめぐる争い』�(勁草書房)2009年10月�

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Page 36 Social Science Japan March 2010

Recent Publications by ISS and ISS Staff*For more publications, please visit the ISS Homepage (http://jww.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/, http://www.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/).

Recent Publications by ISS and ISS Staff*For more publications, please visit the ISS Homepage (http://jww.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/, http://www.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/).

Ishida Hiroshi & David H. Slater (eds.) �『Social Class in Contemporary Japan: � Structures, Sorting and Strategies』 � (The Nissan Institute/Routledge � Japanese Studies) 2009年11月�

丸川知雄(著)�『「中国なし」で生活できるか:� 貿易から読み解く日中関係の真実』�(PHP研究所)2009年11月�

岡部恭宣(著)�『通貨金融危機の歴史的起源: 韓国,タイ,� メキシコにおける金融システムの経路依存性』�(木鐸社)2009年12月�

田辺俊介(著) �『ナショナル・アイデンティティの国際比較』�(慶応義塾大学出版会)2010年1月�

今野浩一郎・佐藤博樹(著)�『Management Text 人事管理入門� <第2版>』 � (日本経済新聞出版社) 2009年12月�