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Results of May Measurement Month (MMM) 2017: A Global blood pressure screening campaign. Authors: 1. T Beaney, MRCP, Imperial College London, St Dunstan’s Road, London, W6 8RP 2. A E Schutte, PhD, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2520, South Africa 3. M Tomaszewski, MD, Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, UK 4. C Ariti, MSc, Cardiff University, Centre for Medical Education, Heath Park, Cardiff, CF14 4XN 5. R Castillo, FPCP, Manila Doctors’ Hospital, 667 United Nations Ave. Manilla 1000, Philippines 6. A Damasceno, PhD, Eduardo Mondlane University, Av. Salvador Allende, Maputo 7. R Kruger, PhD, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2520, South Africa 8. P Nilsson, MD, Lund University, Skane University Hospital, Malmo, Sweden 9. D Prabhakaran, DM, Public Health Foundation of India, Plot 47, Sector 44, Haryana, India 10. A Ramirez, MD, Hospital Universitario Fundación Favaloro, Buenos Aires, Argentina 11. M Schlaich, MD, The University of Western Australia, 50 Murray St, Perth WA 6000 12. H Wang, PhD, Nanjing Medical University, Guangzhou Road 300, Nanjing 210029 13. N R Poulter, FMed Sci, Imperial College London, 68 Wood Lane, London, W12 7TA on behalf of the MMM Investigators Corresponding Author: Professor Neil R Poulter, Imperial College London, 68 Wood Lane, London, W12 7TA Tel: 0207 594 3446 Email: [email protected] 1 Total word count: 3502 Summary word count: 298 (Total word count cannot be over 3,500 words)

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Results of May Measurement Month (MMM) 2017: A Global blood pressure screening campaign.

Authors:

1. T Beaney, MRCP, Imperial College London, St Dunstan’s Road, London, W6 8RP2. A E Schutte, PhD, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2520, South Africa3. M Tomaszewski, MD, Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, UK4. C Ariti, MSc, Cardiff University, Centre for Medical Education, Heath Park, Cardiff, CF14 4XN5. R Castillo, FPCP, Manila Doctors’ Hospital, 667 United Nations Ave. Manilla 1000, Philippines6. A Damasceno, PhD, Eduardo Mondlane University, Av. Salvador Allende, Maputo7. R Kruger, PhD, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2520, South Africa8. P Nilsson, MD, Lund University, Skane University Hospital, Malmo, Sweden9. D Prabhakaran, DM, Public Health Foundation of India, Plot 47, Sector 44, Haryana, India10. A Ramirez, MD, Hospital Universitario Fundación Favaloro, Buenos Aires, Argentina11. M Schlaich, MD, The University of Western Australia, 50 Murray St, Perth WA 600012. H Wang, PhD, Nanjing Medical University, Guangzhou Road 300, Nanjing 21002913. N R Poulter, FMed Sci, Imperial College London, 68 Wood Lane, London, W12 7TA

on behalf of the MMM Investigators

Corresponding Author:Professor Neil R Poulter, Imperial College London, 68 Wood Lane, London, W12 7TATel: 0207 594 3446 Email: [email protected]

1

Total word count: 3502

Summary word count: 298

(Total word count cannot be over 3,500 words)

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Summary:

Background:

Raised blood pressure is the biggest contributor to the global burden of disease and mortality. Data

suggest that fewer than half of those with hypertension are aware of it. May Measurement Month

(MMM) was initiated as a pragmatic interim solution to the shortfall in systematic screening

programmes.

Methods:

A cross-sectional survey of volunteers aged >18 years who ideally had not had their blood pressures

measured in the last year was set up. Three blood pressures were measured, and a questionnaire

including demographic, lifestyle and environmental factors administered. The primary objective was

to raise awareness of blood pressure, measured by number of countries involved, number screened

and number identified with untreated or inadequately treated hypertension (systolic >140 mmHg

and/or diastolic >90 mmHg or on antihypertensive medication). Secondary objectives were to

evaluate associations between blood pressure and screenee characteristics and environmental factors.

Multiple imputation was used to impute the mean of the second and third measurements if not

recorded. Measures of association were analysed by multivariable linear regression.

Findings:

Over 100 countries took part and data on 1202940 from 80 countries were analysed. Approximately

one third (34·6%) of screenees were hypertensive, of whom 141272 were untreated and 102603 were

treated but not controlled (to <140 systolic and <90 mmHg diastolic). Significant differences in fully-

2

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adjusted blood pressures and hypertension prevalence were apparent across regions and national

income strata.

Adjusted blood pressure levels were higher among those with diabetes, prevalent cardiovascular

disease, smokers and alcohol drinkers. Blood pressures were higher when measured on the right arm

and at the weekend.

Interpretation:

Inexpensive global screening of blood pressure is achievable using volunteers, and convenience

sampling. Pending the set-up of systematic surveillance systems worldwide, MMM will be repeated

annually to raise awareness of blood pressure.

Funding:

ISH, CDC, Servier Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd

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Research in context

Evidence before this study:

Raised blood pressure remains the biggest cause of global mortality and disease burden despite the

existence of effective treatments. The identification of hypertension remains a major challenge, with

effective blood pressure surveillance systems needed.

Added value of this study:

May Measurement Month (MMM) 2017 is the largest ever synchronised standardised multinational

screening campaign of any cardiovascular risk factor. Data on the blood pressures of 1·2 million

individuals from 80 countries are presented, with two-thirds having three measurements taken. MMM

was the largest ever blood pressure survey carried out in over 33 countries. Of screenees not on anti-

hypertensive treatment, over 140000 individuals were identified with high blood pressure. Of those on

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treatment over 100000 screenees had uncontrolled blood pressure. This study has huge power to

detect associations of blood pressure variation including significant variations by day of the week.

Implications of all the available evidence:

Volunteer screening can be carried out cost-effectively on convenience samples and can identify large

numbers of individuals who may benefit from treatment or enhanced treatment. Pending the

establishment of systematic blood pressure screening systems, MMM is a cost-effective substitute and

raises awareness of hypertension across the world. MMM will be repeated annually for the purposes

of screening and boosting awareness of raised blood pressure.

Introduction:

Raised blood pressure continues to be the biggest contributor to the global burden of disease and to

global mortality, leading to 10·5 million deaths each year.1 This situation is expected to worsen over

the coming decades as the global population increases and ages.

Despite the existence of several major drug classes which are effective at lowering blood pressure and

at reducing the associated risk of adverse cardiovascular events,2 only a small minority of patients

with hypertension have their blood pressures controlled to hitherto generally accepted targets (<140

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mmHg systolic blood pressure and <90 mmHg diastolic blood pressure)3. This is mainly due to the

fact that most people with hypertension are not treated which is largely due to the low rates of

awareness and screening for raised blood pressure.3

Recent reports from the World Heart Federation4 and the Lancet Commission on Hypertension5 highlighted the importance of improving awareness of raised blood pressure as a critical action

needed to address the associated health burden.

Blood pressure measurement is a cheap, simple and non-invasive technique which allows

hypertension to be detected and, assuming effective therapy is supplied, leads to highly cost-effective

protection against death and disability2,5 which usually arises from myocardial infarction,

cerebrovascular disease and renal failure.

Despite this, routine blood pressure screening is not systematically applied in many countries of the

world. Unfortunately, introduction of systematic blood pressure surveillance systems requires

significant funding, governmental support and is unlikely to happen in the near future. Meanwhile,

with over ten million people dying annually due to raised blood pressure,1 urgent action is required.

Hence, as a pragmatic and urgent approach to addressing the problem of insufficient awareness of

hypertension, we expanded World Hypertension Day to become May Measurement Month (MMM)6 –

a month of standardised global blood pressure measurement and data collection.

Methods:

MMM is a cross-sectional survey set up between October 2016 and April 2017 in at least 100

countries worldwide. In each country one or more national leaders were identified. They were

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responsible for obtaining ethical clearance for the survey and for recruiting volunteer staff to set up

screening sites. Sites were set up in a wide range of locations including pharmacies, supermarkets,

places of worship, shopping malls, sports grounds, schools and existing clinics in primary and

secondary care facilities. Target screenees were volunteer adults aged >18 years who ideally had not

had their blood pressures measured in the previous year. The campaign was promoted internationally

by the ISH and the World Hypertension League newsletter and locally by celebrity and government

endorsements, on television, radio and through the media and social media.

Volunteer staff were trained to measure blood pressure via video recordings housed on the bespoke

MMM website.7 Standard methods were recommended including three seated recordings with one-

minute intervals between readings when the pulse rate was recorded. Omron Healthcare donated

20000 blood pressure machines which were distributed to sites as required.

A limited amount of additional data were collected on each screenee via a questionnaire (see

supplementary appendix) and these data were entered, where internet access was available, onto a

study-specific mobile application produced in 6 languages. Alternatively, data were entered on paper

forms and later transferred to spreadsheets.

Hypertension was defined based on the mean of the second and third reading, as a systolic blood

pressure ≥ 140mmHg, and/or a diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90mmHg, or those known to be on anti-

hypertensive treatment. Among those on treatment, controlled blood pressure was defined as a blood

pressure of <140/90 mmHg. Screenees found to have blood pressures in the hypertensive range were

provided, as a minimum, with printed evidence-based dietary and lifestyle advice designed to lower

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blood pressure (see top ten tips in supplementary appendix). Advice for further follow-up tailored to

locally available facilities was also provided.

Cleaning of data was carried out either locally or centrally depending on local capacity. Data cleaning

rules and cut-off ranges were devised and provided to all sites (see rules in supplementary appendix)

For full details of the statistical analysis, see the supplementary appendix. Submitted data were

collated centrally and analysed using Stata version 14.2. Data on 190955 individuals collected by the

Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI) could not be provided at an individual level. Instead these

data were analysed locally, with results submitted and incorporated either using weighted averages or

meta-analysis. Global data were sub-divided into seven regions based on the United Nations

geographic regions with some modifications.8 Information on country income was sourced from the

World Bank classification of economies (as of June 2017).9

Ideally three blood pressures were recorded and crude analyses were performed using the mean of the

second and third blood pressure measurements, where available. For comparisons of mean blood

pressure and of the proportion with hypertension using different combinations of the three readings,

only those individuals with all three readings were analysed.

Multiple imputation was used to impute the mean of the second and third blood pressure readings

when the second and/or third reading were not recorded. Age (as a restricted cubic spline with 5

knots) and gender were included in the imputation model, along with an interaction term. Mean blood

pressures were standardised for age and sex according to the WHO world age-standard population

along with an assumed female:male ratio of 1:1.10,11 Linear regression models were run separately

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for systolic and diastolic blood pressures. In all models, the association of blood pressure with age and

sex was modelled along with an interaction term.

Role of the funding source:

The majority of the study funding was raised at the national level and was used to cover study

expenses (screener travel expenses, printing etc). The majority of the central funding was supplied by

ISH to cover ethics submissions, salaries of the secretariat and travel expenses. Small donations from

CDC and Servier were used to supplement central costs. None of the funding sources influenced the

conduct, analysis and publication of results.

Results:

Over 100 countries took part in MMM but only data from the 80 countries which produced data on at

least 10 screenees were included in analyses. Data from 1202940 screenees were cleaned, collated

centrally and analysed. Of 45 countries surveyed after the study was completed 33 (73%) national

leaders reported that MMM was the largest blood pressure survey ever carried out in their country.

Only approximately 8% of the data were collected onto the bespoke mobile application. Because data

collection was incomplete for some of the variables included on the study questionnaire, numbers

used in different analyses varied.

Table 1 stratifies numbers of screenees included in the database across seven regions and by countries

in each region with mean ages and distribution between men and women provided at the regional

level. Only countries with >1000 screenees are named in Table 1 (a complete list of countries can be

found in Table A1 of the supplementary appendix). The percentages of screenees arising from high,

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upper middle, lower middle, and low income countries were 9·6%, 20·0%, 68·8% and 1·6%

respectively.

More women than men were screened in all regions except in the South Asian and Northern Africa

and Middle East regions. Mean ages ranged from 37·4 years in North Africa and the Middle East to

55·0 years in East Asia. The proportion of screenees on anti-hypertensive medications was 24·2% and

at a regional level varied between 3·3% in Northern Africa and the Middle East and 56·8% in East

Asia (Table 1).

Among screenees overall, 8·6% reported having type 2 diabetes with 3·1% and 1·8% reporting a past

history of a myocardial infarction or stroke, respectively. 11·5% of respondents were current smokers

and 7·5% consumed alcohol once or more per week, while over 7000 women (1·1% of female

respondents) were pregnant. The mean BMI of respondents was 24·6 kg/m² (SD: 4·5) (Table A2 of

the supplementary Appendix).

Among the 818411 respondents with three blood pressures recorded, blood pressures fell on average

by 3·1/1·5 mmHg between the first and third readings (Table 2). Likewise, the prevalence of

hypertension fell on subsequent readings, with a difference of 3.9% in the prevalence of hypertension

between the first and third reading. The mean of the second and third reading generated the lowest

prevalence.

The sensitivity of the first measurement in predicting hypertension (based on the mean of the second

and third) was 0·904 with a specificity of 0·903. The sensitivity of the second reading was higher than

the third (0·949 vs 0·922) but with a lower specificity (0·956 vs 0·970). These results are shown in

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Table A3 of the supplementary appendix. The area under the curve (AUC) was highest for the second

reading (0.952).

Multiple imputation was used to impute the mean of the second and third reading based on any single

reading reported. The value of R2 was 0·83 and 0·74 for systolic and diastolic blood pressure,

respectively, based on a regression against the first reading alone, implying a major proportion of the

variation in the mean of the second and third readings was explained by a single blood pressure

measurement. Five imputations were deemed to be sufficient, with no significant change in

coefficients using further imputations. Each imputed data-set was checked to determine the spread of

values and no major differences were seen. A sensitivity analysis was performed to impute the

difference in blood pressure between a single reading and the mean, rather than the mean value itself,

which found no difference between the methods. A total of 295129 readings were imputed.

Based on the mean of blood pressure readings 2 and 3 (including imputed results) approximately one

third of all screenees (368215 [34·6%]) were found to be hypertensive. Of these, 141272 (16·9%)

were not taking anti-hypertensive medication (Table 3). Among those on treatment for hypertension

102603 (46·3%) were not controlled.

Based on a linear regression model, the global association between age and sex with systolic blood

pressures among those not on anti-hypertensive treatment showed a linear increase, with female blood

pressures overtaking men at 80 years of age. For diastolic blood pressure, the relationship shows an

inverted ‘u’ shape with highest levels occurring between 50-55 years, and with women once again

having lower blood pressures until the age of 80 years (Fig 1).

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The differential distribution in age and sex among those screened in the seven regions demonstrates

the need for standardisation in order to make comparisons between regions. Table 4 shows the age-

and sex- standardised mean blood pressures by region, along with the standardised proportion with

hypertension in those untreated, and the proportion with uncontrolled hypertension in those on

treatment. There is a strong correlation between mean blood pressure and hypertension proportions

(0·84 for systolic and 0·93 for diastolic blood pressure). Both systolic and diastolic pressures and

proportion with hypertension were higher in Sub-Saharan Africa than other regions. Systolic was

lowest in South-East Asia and Australasia, whereas diastolic was lowest in East Asia and the

Americas. The crude measurements, along with the age and sex-standardised blood pressures before

imputation are shown in the supplementary appendix Table A4.

Following adjustment for age and sex (allowing for an interaction), significantly higher levels of

systolic blood pressure were apparent among those on anti-hypertensive treatment. Adjusting for age,

sex and antihypertensive treatment, systolic blood pressure was significantly higher in those with

diabetes and those with a previous history of myocardial infarction or stroke (Fig 2). Diastolic blood

pressures showed the same significant differences except among those with a previous myocardial

infarction. Current smoking, alcohol intake and increasing levels of body mass index (BMI) (Fig 3)

were also associated with significant increases in both systolic and diastolic blood pressures. By

contrast, pregnancy and blood pressures measured on the left arm were significantly reduced (Fig 2).

Further adjustment of smoking for BMI did not affect the results. Coefficients for the regression

analyses are shown in the supplementary appendix (Tables A5-8).

Systolic and diastolic blood pressures varied significantly by day of the week (Fig 4) with the highest

levels recorded on Saturday and Sunday and the lowest levels on Tuesday after adjusting for age, sex

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and anti-hypertensive medication. Adjusting in addition for alcohol levels did not significantly alter

results (results not shown).

Relatively modest differences in systolic and diastolic blood pressures were apparent across the four

strata of national incomes. After multivariable adjustment for other participant characteristics (age,

sex, treatment, BMI, ethnicity, diabetes, previous myocardial infarction or stroke, alcohol intake,

smoking habit and day of the week) and using blood pressure levels in lower-middle income countries

as the referent group, both systolic and diastolic levels were significantly lower in upper middle

countries with significantly lower diastolic pressures in high income countries and higher diastolic

pressures in low income countries (Fig 5).

Discussion:

MMM 2017 is the largest synchronised standardised multinational screening campaign of any

cardiovascular risk factor ever carried out. In at least 33 countries this was the largest blood pressure

survey ever conducted. That 1·2 million adults could be screened in 80 countries during a one-month

period, with only seven months’ preparation, highlights the fact that mass screening is possible and

can greatly enhance blood pressure awareness in large numbers of people.

Because MMM relied heavily on volunteer staff and donations of blood pressure machines plus

locally-raised support and funds, the cost of the campaign was modest, with ISH spending only

approximately USD 0·22 per patient screened. The identification of about 250000 adults whose raised

blood pressure was identified (141272 untreated plus 102603 treated but still raised) for this modest

level of central funding makes the exercise appear cost-effective at approximately USD 1 per

identified case. Pending the establishment of blood pressure surveillance systems around the world

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this inexpensive screening model may help to offset the enormous health burden attributed to raised

blood pressure.

Clinic-based blood pressures are frequently measured in trials by recording three blood pressures and

taking the mean of the second and third readings. This practice is supported by our findings in that

globally, blood pressures decreased significantly with each subsequent reading, with a marked

difference in the proportion with hypertension dependent on which reading is used and the mean of

the second and third readings was most suitable for identifying hypertension if values from only one

set of readings are to be used.

Given the convenience sampling, arising from divergent screening sites and including a wide

spectrum of types of screenees, it is inappropriate to try to compare the variable prevalence rates of

hypertension observed around the world. However, associations with levels of blood pressure in such

large cross-sectional datasets are valid – and of interest. We confirmed lower blood pressure levels

among pregnant women, the ‘usual’ pattern of rising systolic blood pressure whilst diastolic blood

pressures rise and fall with age and that alcohol consumption is associated with higher blood

pressures. The data shown in Figure 2 highlight that those with established hypertension or diabetes or

cardiovascular disease all have less well-controlled blood pressure and emphasises the need for more

assertive treatment in such high-risk patients.

That blood pressure levels were higher when readings were taken from the right arm may be

associated with right handedness being more common than left handedness and hence on average

right upper arms are larger. However, other explanations for higher levels on the right have been

hypothesised, including the anatomy of the aortic arch and its branches.12 The finding of higher blood

14

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pressures among smokers is at odds with several previous studies,13 which may reflect reporting bias

among screenees or the inability to distinguish duration and degree of exposure.

The finding of high blood pressures on Saturday and Sunday with lowest blood pressures on Tuesdays

presumably relates to increased exposure to one or more environmental factor which exerts a pressor

effect. For example, in some cultures, intakes of alcohol are higher over the “weekend” although

adjustment for the crude strata of alcohol intakes we recorded did not affect this finding. However,

alcohol consumption is also likely to be under-reported, and may show regional and cultural

differences in the accuracy of the reported intake. Further interrogation of these data in regions where

alcohol is rarely consumed may shed light on these findings.

The global prevalence of hypertension (including those on treatment) was high at 34·6% but had we

applied the definition espoused in the most recent American Guidelines which redefined stage 1

hypertension as systolic >130mmHg and/or >80 mmHg diastolic14 the proportion almost doubles to

57·3%.

Limitations of these data include that by design, they were not intended to be based on representative

samples of the countries where screening took place. Furthermore, although almost 40% of readings

were taken using OMRON machines and common training materials,7 standardisation of blood

pressure measurement methods around the world was undoubtedly suboptimal. However, by virtue of

having over 800000 screenees with all three recordings we were able to ‘adjust’ submitted data based

on one reading, to the mean of the second and third reading using multiple imputation. The need to

adjust the readings is evident in the decline in mean blood pressure and hypertension across the 3

readings. As in any blood pressure screening taking place on a single occasion, a proportion of false

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positive diagnoses is likely to have arisen. However, healthy diet and lifestyle advice was provided

and appropriate follow up advice was given to all such people. Even if only 50% of hypertension

cases were correctly identified, approximately 125000 adults with truly elevated blood pressure were

identified in MMM 2017 and at worst harmless advice was provided to those who had high normal

rather than truly hypertensive pressures.

The mobile application produced for the campaign caused logistic problems and hence most of the

data were entered onto spreadsheets often having been collected by hand and transferred. This slowed

down data collection and was a frustration both for screenees and for the volunteer staff. Furthermore,

data cleaning was a much more protracted procedure which has delayed generation of this report.

The analyses of mean blood pressures and hypertension rates by which readings are used to define

these outcomes (Table 2) highlight the importance of standardising such data when making

comparisons across populations and when making the diagnosis at an individual level. As expected

there was a strong correlation between higher mean blood pressures and higher rates of hypertension

across regions after adjusting for age and sex. Hence small, albeit highly significant differences in

mean blood pressure levels found for example in Figure 2 also reflect differences in hypertension

rates. There were significant differences across regions in the proportions with hypertension in

untreated populations, and in the control of those on treatment. The significant association of income

level on blood pressure persisted even after adjusting for multiple potential confounders and may

explain some of the regional differences. Region- and country-specific analyses led by national

leaders will help elucidate these questions.

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With valuable lessons learnt, the MMM campaign will be repeated in 2018 with a much improved

data collection system (15) and it is anticipated that at least a similar sized population will be screened

during May 2018 with more complete data. Increased focus on the impact of other variables such as

‘room’ temperature and altitude (at the site of blood pressure measurement) will be investigated more

thoroughly in 2018.

Meanwhile, pending the establishment of systematic blood pressure surveillance systems around the

world, we believe that MMM as a large, inexpensive blood pressure screening campaign based on

convenience sampling represents a useful and reasonably cost-effective tool in helping to raise

awareness among the general population and potentially among health policy makers and thereby to

help to address the burden of disease caused by raised blood pressure. We therefore propose that

MMM should continue on an annual basis as long as significant numbers of people with raised blood

pressure can be identified and until suitable surveillance systems are in place.

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References:

1. Gakidou E, Afshin A, Abajobir AA, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990&#x2013;2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet; 390(10100): 1345-422.

2. Turnbull F, Woodward M, Neal B, Barzi F, Ninomiya T, Chalmers J, Perkovic V, Li N, MacMahon S and the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration. Do men and women respond differently to blood pressure-lowering treatment? Results of prospectively designed overviews of randomized trials. European Heart Journal 2008; 29,2669-2680

3. Chow CK, Teo KK, Rangarajan S, et al, and the PURE (Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology) Study investigators. Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in rural and urban communities in high-, middle-, and low-income countries. JAMA 2013; 310: 959-68.

4. Adler AJ, Prabhakaran D, Bovet P, et al. Reducing cardiovascular mortality through prevention and management of raised blood pressure: a World Heart Federation roadmap. Glob Heart 2015; 10: 111-22.

5. Olsen MH, Angell SY, Asma S, et al. A call to action and a lifecourse strategy to address the global burden of raised blood pressure on current and future generations: The Lancet Commission on hypertension Lancet 2016; 388: 2287-712.

6. NR. Poulter, DT. Lackland. May Measurement Month: a global blood pressure screening campaign. Lancet 2017 Vol 389: 1678-1680

7. MMM 2017 website: http://www.whleague.org/index.php/2014-07-09-22-47-11/may-measurement-month-2017

8. United Nations Statistics Division. Standard country or area codes for statistical use (M49). 1999. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49/ (accessed 20/02/2018 2018).

9. The World Bank. World Bank Country and Lending Groups. 2017. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups (accessed 20/02/2018 2018).

10. Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program. SEER*Stat Database: Standard Populations - Single Ages to 84 and then 85+. 2013. http://www.seer.cancer.gov/ (accessed 20/02/2018 2018).

11. Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program. Standard Populations - Single Ages. 2013. https://seer.cancer.gov/stdpopulations/stdpop.singleages.html (accessed 20/02/2018 2018).

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12. Vasava P, Jalali P, Dabagh M, Kolari PJ. Finite Element Modelling of Pulsatile Blood Flow in Idealized Model of Human Aortic Arch: Study of Hypotension and Hypertension. Comput Math Methods Med 2012; 2012: 14.

13. Primatesta P, Falaschetti E, Gupta S, Marmot MG, Poulter NR. Association between smoking and blood pressure. Evidence from the Health Survey for England. Hypertension 2001;37:187-193.

14. Whelton PK, Carey RM, Aronow WS, et al. 2017 ACC/AHA/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/AGS/APhA/ASH/ASPC/NMA/PCNA Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of High Blood Pressure in Adults. A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinical Practice Guidelines 2017.

15. MMM 2018 Website: www.maymeasure.com

Figure 1: Change in blood pressure with age and gender

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Figure 2: Difference in mean blood pressure according to individual characteristic from linear regression

model (adjusted)

20

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Figure 3: Difference in mean blood pressure according to body mass index from linear regression

(adjusted)

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Figure 4: Difference in mean blood pressure according to day of the week from linear regression

(adjusted)

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Figure 5: Differences in mean blood pressure according to country income from linear regression

(adjusted)

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Table 1: Total participant numbers by region and country with regional age, sex and anti-hypertensive

treatment distributions

Region and country

To

Percentage

Me

Fe

Ma

On treatment

South-east Asia & Australasia

35

29·9%

42

21

13

78973 (22·5%)

Philippines

27

22·6%  

Indonesia

69

5·8%  

Viet Nam

10

0·9%  

Malaysia

41

0·3%  

Australia

38

0·3%        

South Asia

26

21·9%

39

11

14

27691 (15·5%)

India

24

20·0%  

B 11

0  

24

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angladesh

·9%

Nepal

59

0·5%  

Pakistan

53

0·4%        

East Asia

18

15·0%

55

95

82

44843 (56·8%)

China

12

10·4%  

Taiwan

52

4·4%  

Hong Kong

23

0·2%

       

Sub-Saharan Africa

13

10·8%

39

68

58

12109 (9·6%)

Ivory Coast

24

2·0%  

Nigeria

19

1·7%  

Angola

17

1·5%  

Cameroon

16

1·3%

 K

en14

 

25

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ya 2%

Zambia

96

0·8%  

Mozambique

44

0·4%

 

Malawi

40

0·3%  

Congo

38

0·3%  

South Africa

32

0·3%

 C

abo Verde

26

0·2%

 M

auritius

23

0·2%  

Burundi

18

0·2%  

Botswana

16

0·1%  

Others

36

0·3%        

26

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Table 1 (continued)

Region and country

To

Percentage

Me

Fe

Ma

On treatment

Europe

10

9·0%

52

64

43

42354 (43·5%)

Ukraine

45

3·8%

Italy

10

0·8%

Armenia

91

0·8%

Georgia

61

0·5%

Poland

58

0·5%

Russia

56

0·5%

UK

50

0·4%

Hungary

39

0·3%

Spain

38

0·3%

Austria

27

0·2%

Ireland

26

0·2%

Lith

20

27

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uania

2%

Switzerland

11

0·1%

Albania

10

0·1%

Others

41

0·3%        

Americas

10

8·9%

48

64

42

32307 (30·6%)

Argentina

32

2·7%

Colombia

22

1·9%

Venezuela

21

1·8%

Brazil

73

0·6%

Ecuador

69

0·6%

Chile

47

0·4%

Uruguay

24

0·2%

USA

19

0·2%

Paraguay

11

0·1%

Mexico

11

0·1%

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Others

56

0·5%        

Northern Africa and Middle East

53

4·4%

37

19

32

1742 (3·3%)

Sudan

44

3·7%

UAE

61

0·5%

Others

26

0·2%

Total

12

  44

64

54

240019 (24·2%)

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Table 2: Differences in mean blood pressures and numbers with hypertension depending on measurement

used (out of a total of 818411)

  Reading 1 Reading 2 Reading 3 Mean of 1&2 Mean of 2&3Mean systolic blood pressure

(mmHg) 126·6 124·7 123·5 125·7 124·3

Mean diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 79·4 78·5 77·9 79·1 78·3

Total with hypertension 331309 310034 299546 305927 290932

Percentage with hypertension 40·5% 37·9% 36·6% 37·4% 35·5%

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Table 3: Total number with hypertension and by treatment for each region

Region Total with hypertension Percentage Total with hypertension - excluding those on treatment Percentage Total with uncontrolled BP in those

on treatment Percentage

South-East Asia & Australasia 121347 34·0% 42374 15·3% 34090 44·9%

South Asia 36458 26·8% 21843 18·0% 6285 43·0%

East Asia 61518 34·3% 16675 12·4% 15971 35·8%

Sub-Saharan Africa 36024 28·3% 23915 20·8% 6618 56·1%

Europe 59758 55·0% 17404 26·2% 26743 63·6%

Americas 43071 41·3% 10764 15·0% 12142 39·5%

Northern Africa and Middle East 10039 19·0% 8297 16·2% 755 43·8%

Global 368215 34·6% 141272 16·9% 102603 46·3%

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Table 4: Mean blood pressures and percentages with hypertension (in those untreated and on treatment)

after standardising for age and sex distributions

Region Mean blood pressure * Percentage with hypertension - age and sex standardised *

Percentage with uncontrolled BP in those on treatment - age and sex

standardised

South-East Asia & Australasia 118·6 / 77·2 17·0% 39·6%

South Asia 122·4 / 77·8 19·8% 45·0%

East Asia 119·4 / 75·0 9·3% 31·7%

Sub-Saharan Africa 124·7 / 78·4 25·0% 51·2%

Europe 124·0 / 77·5 21·0% 48·7%

Americas 119·8 / 75·0 14·1% 33·5%

Northern Africa and Middle East 120·6 / 76·3 16·1% 38·1%

Total 120·6 / 76·8 16·5% 38·8%

*Excluding those on anti-hypertensive treatment

32