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New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd , 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

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Page 1: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps

Energy Savings and Costs

June 2nd, 2009Regional Technical Forum

1

Page 2: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Background• On March 2nd, 2009, the RTF approved energy savings and

costs for MT Houses with – Zonal Electric, Electric FAF w/ and w/o CAC, and Air Source Heat Pump

heating systems• Savings for cases without PTCS duct sealing range from 3,400 to 7,200 kWh/year

(HZ’s 2 & 3)• Savings for cases with PTCS duct sealing range from 4,800 to 9,500 kWh/year (HZ’s

2 & 3)• Savings assume like pre- and post-heating system types

• Recently, the RTF was requested by Montana utilities to1. Analyze energy savings and costs for MT Houses with GSHP’s,

including “conversions” from electric forced air furnaces to GSHP’s, and

2. Look at the cost-effectiveness for GSHP’s in large homes.

2

Page 3: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Background: MT House Specifications

3

Page 4: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Background: MT House Specifications(continued)

Reminder: Specs were approved at the January 6, 2009 RTF meeting

4

Page 5: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

New MT House Input Assumptions• Energy Savings

– SEEM FAF w/CAC Use adjusted for GSHP COP and SEER• GSHP Heating COP = 3.3 (heating season average)• GSHP SEER = 16 (versus 13 SEER modeled in SEEM)

• Cost:

– Where baseline is Zonal or FAF:• $25 annual O&M (outdoor unit maintenance)• $2,000 every 20 years (component replacement)

• All other savings, cost, and measure life assumptions remain the same as the March 2nd analysis.

5

Unit Size (Tons)

Total GSHP System Cost

Incremental Cost over

ASHP

Incremental Cost over

FAF

Incremental Cost over

Zonal

Post92 Single Family Contruction Geothermal Heat Pump - Zone 2

3.5 15,400$ 10,100$ 15,400$ 18,894$

Post92 Single Family Contruction Geothermal Heat Pump - Zone 3

4 16,900$ 11,300$ 16,900$ 20,394$

Page 6: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Capital Cost – Heating Zone 2

6

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Incr

emen

tal C

apit

al C

ost

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 2, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 7: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Capital Cost – Heating Zone 3

7

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Incr

emen

tal C

apit

al C

ost

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 8: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Energy Savings – HZ 2

8

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Annu

al S

avin

gs (

kWh/

year

)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 2, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 9: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Energy Savings – HZ 3

9

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Annu

al S

avin

gs (

kWh/

year

)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 10: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – B/C – HZ 2

10

-

1.0

2.0

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Socie

tal B

/C (u

sing

5th

Pla

n)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 2, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 11: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – B/C – HZ 3

11

-

1.0

2.0

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Socie

tal B

/C (u

sing

5th

Pla

n)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 12: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Levelized Cost – HZ2

12

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Net

Lev

eliz

ed C

ost (

mill

s/kW

h)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 2, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 13: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Levelized Cost – HZ3

13

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Zonal FAF w/o CAC FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Net

Lev

eliz

ed C

ost (

mill

s/kW

h)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

Page 14: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Inputs for Large Homes• Quick “development” of a new large home prototype:

– Added a second story to the 2688 ft2 basement prototype– Results:

• 4032 ft2

• Doubled window area, wall area, and door area• No change to attic, slab, or basement wall areas

• Quick SEEM Runs– Kalispell weather only– Did not re-run cooling (used results from 2688 basement)– Did not re-run air-source heat pump cases

• Cost:

– Where baseline is Zonal or FAF:• $40 annual O&M (outdoor unit maintenance)• $3,000 every 20 years (component replacement)

– Shell measure costs increased due to increased window, wall, and door areas14

Unit Size (Tons)

Total GSHP System Cost

Incremental Cost over

ASHP

Incremental Cost over

FAF

Incremental Cost over

ZonalLarge House - Heating Zone 3 7 25,900$ 18,800$ 25,900$ 31,142$

Page 15: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Capital Cost – Heating Zone 3

15

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC

FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Incr

emen

tal C

apita

l Cos

t

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

4032 ft2 House (Kalispell)

Page 16: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Energy Savings – HZ 3

16

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Zonal FAF w/o CAC

FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Annu

al S

avin

gs (

kWh/

year

)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

4032 ft2 House (Kalispell)

Page 17: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – B/C – HZ 3

17

-

1.0

2.0

Zonal FAF w/o CAC

FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Socie

tal B

/C (u

sing

5th

Pla

n)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

4032 ft2 House (Kalispell)

Page 18: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Results – Levelized Cost – HZ3

18

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Zonal FAF w/o CAC

FAF w/CAC Heat Pump GSHP

Net

Lev

eliz

ed C

ost

(mill

s/kW

h)

Base-case Heating System Type

New MT House & Convert to GSHPHeating Zone 3, Cooling Zone 1 - w/o PTCS

Basement

Sealed Crawlspace

Slab on Grade

Vented Crawlspace

4032 ft2 House (Kalispell)

Page 19: New MT Houses with Ground Source Heat Pumps Energy Savings and Costs June 2 nd, 2009 Regional Technical Forum 1

Decisions• Approve Savings and Costs for MT House with GSHP GSHP?

• Approve Savings and Costs for MT House with non-GSHP baseline heating systems? (ASHP GSHP; FAF GSHP; and/or Zonal GSHP)

– Issues1. This would be the RTF’s first heating system “conversion” measure for new construction. 2. In a new construction situation, how does a program know what someone would have put in?

– Options1. Disallow heating system “conversions” for new construction measures2. Approve the savings and costs that assume non-GSHP heating systems as the baseline

A. Allow programs to decide what to use as the baseline heating system type on a case-by-case basis, orB. RTF to choose a baseline heating system, orC. RTF to develop a weighted average savings based on an assumed mix of baseline heating equipment

• “Large home” analysis– Issues

1. Would programs be willing/able to screen out participants based on house size? 2. If only large houses are allowed, could be interpreted that the Region supports increased house sizes.

– Options 1. Pursue making a distinction for large house sizes in the savings and cost-effectiveness analysis

A. Refine the large home prototype and associated analysis for GSHP’sa) Put in place a “large home” measure categoryb) Incorporate the large home results by developing an average weighting for the large home prototype

B. Develop a deemed calculator with specific house information as inputs (based on SEEM).2. Continue using the existing method, which incorporates a weighted average house size based on the

current prototypes19