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www.eia.govU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis
New EIA Data Collections andRelevance to System Reliability
For
Working Group on Distribution Reliability
July 29, 2014 | National Harbor, MD
By
Stan Kaplan, Director, Office of Electric, Uranium, and Renewables Statistics
About EIA
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord NationalHarbor, July 29, 2014 2
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) collects,analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energyinformation to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets,and public understanding of energy and its interaction with theeconomy and the environment.
For contact information, please see the last slide.
Overview
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 3
• Modified EIA survey forms, implemented in mid-2014, includenew data collections aimed at reliability-related information:
• Distribution system reliability.
• Dispatch flexibility to account for variable renewable capacity.
• Collection of hourly system load (actual and forecast),generation, and interchange.
New Questions Related to DistributionSystem Reliability
(EIA-861 Survey, Annual ElectricPower Industry Report)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 4
Distribution Reliability Statistics
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 5
• Distribution reliability statistics are usually computed by utilitycompanies. The value of the information is reduced byseveral factors:
– The statistics are hard to find. The main option is to digthrough state public utility commission filings on theInternet.
– The computation methods employed vary from state tostate or from utility to utility – for instance, what timethreshold determines a “momentary” outage.
– Utility service areas differ in many ways, e.g., climate,rural vs urban.
Objective of the data collection
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 6
• Create a central repository of distribution reliability statistics,updated annually, and as comparable as possible in terms ofcalculation method.
• Other comparability factors, such as climate and populationdensity, are beyond the scope of this initial effort.
• Our hope is that making this data readily available will spuradditional work on the interpretation of the statistics.
SAIDI and SAIFI
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 7
• System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI):
– Total number of customer interruptions / Total number ofcustomers served
• System Average Interruption Duration Index
– Sum of customer interruption durations / Total number ofcustomers served
EIA-861 Distribution Reliability Questions (3)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 10
New Questions Related to Fossil UnitOperational Flexibility
(EIA-860 Survey, Annual ElectricGenerator Report)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 11
Impact of variable renewable on dispatch –the California duck
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 12
Source: California ISO
Fossil Unit Flexibility (1)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 13
Combined cycle HRSG bypass
Minimum Standby load
Fossil Unit Flexibility (2)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 14
Cold-start ramping
Non-spinning reserve ramping
Proposed EIA-930 survey
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 17
Balancing authorities (BAs) would be required to…
12 pm 1 pm 2 pm 3 pm 4 pm 5 pm 6 pm
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday
T-2 T-1 T-0
Every hour, post:• Hourly demand of previous hour
Every day before 7 am, post a set of hourly data:
• Demand forecast for current day (T-0)• Hourly demand, net generation, total net interchange for T-1• Net interchange with each connected BA for T-2
POST
POST
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
12 AM 6 AM 12 PM 6 PM
Demand
Forecast demand
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
12 AM 6 AM 12 PM 6 PM
Demand
Net interchange
Generation
Examples of data
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 18
Bonneville Power AdministrationHourly energy balanceMay 30, 2014gigawatts (GW)
California ISOHourly demand & forecastMay 29, 2014gigawatts (GW)
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 19
The immediacy of the data will allow people to experience the data incontext, significantly enhancing understanding.Many possible uses of the data, including:
• To evaluate the impact of renewable power, smart grid, anddemand response programs on the power industry.
• To provide near real-time information on the recovery of theelectric grid in the wake of disturbances (e.g., hurricanes).
• To provide state and local officials deploying demand responseand dynamic pricing programs information on the impact of theseprograms on consumers.
• To allow policy makers, researchers, market participants andentrepreneurs to invest in technologies and programs to takeadvantage of the time-varying nature of electric operations
Uses of the EIA-930 Data
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 20
• All data will be public and will be made available as rapidly aspossible. (Some data for smaller balancing authorities will betemporarily aggregated.)
• Planned beginning of operation/shake-down period isDecember 1, 2014. Full data release will begin one or twomonths later.
• The data would be “as-is” from automated systems,minimizing survey burden.
• “As-is” data quality should still be good enough for statisticsand analysis. We will be able to track data quality.
Survey Plans
Appendix
Instructions for Distribution SystemReliability Questions
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 21
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 22
SCHEDULE 3. PART B. DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMRELIABILITY
INFORMATION - IEEE
If your entity calculates system average interruption
duration index (SAIDI) and system average
interruption frequency index (SAIFI) and determines
Major Event Days in accordance with the IEEE 1366-
2003 or IEEE 1366-2012 standard, answer ‘yes’ to
questions 1 and 2 and complete Part B. If your entity
calculates SAIDI and SAIFI via another method
answer ‘yes’ to question 1 and no to question 2 then
skip Part B and complete Part C. If your entity does
not calculate SAIDI and SAIFI answer ‘no’ to question
1 and go to Schedule 4A. For lines 3 through 6
complete all that you calculate, for example if you only
calculate SAIDI and SAIFI without Major Event Days
included, complete the area under the subtitle
“Excluding Major Events” and do not complete the
area under the subtitle “Including Major Events”
For more information
Stan Kaplan, Gaylord National Harbor,July 29, 2014 24
Stan Kaplan | [email protected]
U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.gov
Survey Forms and Instructions | http://www.eia.gov/survey/
Electric Power Home Page and Publications| www.eia.gov/mer
Electricity Data Browser | http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/
Electric Power Data Files | http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/detail-data.html
EIA Information Center
Our average response time is within threebusiness days.
(202) 586-8800
24-hour automated information line about EIAand frequently asked questions.