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Ronel Nel, Linda Harris and Karien BezuidenhoutNelson Mandela Metropolitan University, South Africa 33°0'0"E
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Fuentes et al 2011
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ZAR
MOZ
MAD
FRA
FRA
FRA
FRA
FRACOM
0 500 1000250 kmK
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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30°0
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33°0
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33°0
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33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
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27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
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30°0
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30°0
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33°0
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33°0
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36°0
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36°0
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33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
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27°0
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33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
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§ Climate Change?
§ SST (Change)
§ Ocean Acidification
§ Storms
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15373071
1
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§§MPA DesignMPA Design……§ Systematic Conservation Planning
§ (Margules & Pressey 2000)
§ Objectives§ Representativeness
§ Persistence
§ Key features§ Complementarity
§ Irreplaceability
I II III IV V
A 1 1 1 0 0
B 1 1 0 0 0
C 0 0 1 1 0
D 0 0 0 1 0
E 1 1 0 0 1
F 1 0 0 0 0
Σ 4 3 2 2 1
Make decisions about the location of conservation areas… and their configuration and management
HS = 4 sp SCP = 6 sp
??
?
?
Sites
Spe
cie
s
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
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21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
Patterns:Patterns:§Turtles (all life history phases)§Habitat
Processes:Processes:§Migratory Corridors§Genetic stocks
Threats:Threats:§Natural§Human Induced
I II III IV V
Cc 1 1 1 0 0
Dc 1 1 0 0 0
Cm 0 0 1 1 0
Lo 0 0 0 1 0
Ei 1 1 0 0 1
Nd 1 0 0 0 0
Σ 4 3 2 2 1
HS = 4 sp SCP = 6 sp
Sites
Spe
cie
s
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
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'0"S
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'0"S
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TARGETS? How many turtlemany turtles…How much habitatmuch habitat……
Turtles Habitat
20% 20%
40% 40%
60% 60%
80% 80%
100% 100%
33°0'0"E
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30°0'0"E
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24°0'0"E
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21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
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33°0
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36°0
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36°0
'0"S
0 500 1000250 kmK
(Data Proxies!)
2
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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27°0
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§ Species Distribution (Presence/Absence)
§ IOSEA data base +
§ Habitat Data
§ Coral Reefs
§ Mangroves
§ Sea grass
§ (Beaches)
§ Sea mounts
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
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36°0
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§ Habitat
§ SST
§ Productivity
§ Species
§ Migration Corridors
§ Genetic splits
33°0'0"E
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30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
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36°0
'0"S
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
∆∆SSTSSTCyclonesCyclones
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
36°0
'0"S
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
33°0
'0"S
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'0"S
§ Habitat Threats –
§ Destructive Demersal Trawling
§ Artificial Lights
§ Bycatch Threats –
§ Pelagic Fishing
§ Artisanal fishing
§ Pollution (3 types)
§ Shipping Lanes
Demersal TrawlingArtificial lightArtisanal FishingPelagic Fishinge.g. Inorganic PollutionShipping Lanes
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
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33°0
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33°0
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33°0'0"E
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27°0'0"E
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24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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27°0
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30°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
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Scenario BLMTarget Habitat
(%)Target Species
(%)1 5 30 302 5 60 603 5 90 904 5 90 305 5 30 906 5 40 10
Low Habitat : Low SpeciesMedium Habitat : Medium SpeciesHigh Habitat : High SpeciesHigh Habitat : Low SpeciesLow Habitat : High Species40% Habitat : 10% Species33°0'0"E
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30°0'0"E
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21°0'0"E
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18°0'0"E
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27°0
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30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
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24°0'0"E
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21°0'0"E
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18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
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'0"S
§§ Large body of spatial data (e.g. LMELarge body of spatial data (e.g. LME’’s)s)
§§ SCP framework availableSCP framework available
Using SCP:Using SCP:
§§ Map Patterns & ProcessesMap Patterns & Processes§§ Include Culture & SocioInclude Culture & Socio--economic Features economic Features §§ Climate Change, Sea level rise (Climate Change, Sea level rise (‘‘ForecastingForecasting’’))
§§ INTEGRATEINTEGRATE§§ Set (Min) TargetsSet (Min) Targets
§§ Identify gaps in knowledge (Identify gaps in knowledge (genetics, feeding groundsgenetics, feeding grounds))§§ Support Site Network? (Support Site Network? (high seas, sea mountshigh seas, sea mounts))
3
33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
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21°0'0"E
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18°0'0"E
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27°0
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30°0
'0"S
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33°0'0"E
33°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
30°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
27°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
24°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
21°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
18°0'0"E
27°0
'0"S
27°0
'0"S
30°0
'0"S
30°0
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33°0
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36°0
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36°0
'0"S
Thank You.
4