13
Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Nebraska Housing UpdateKelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Page 2: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Existing Home Sales

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 2

Data source: National Association of Realtors; Omaha Realtors Association

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Index (2000:Q1 = 100; 3-qtr moving average)

Omaha

U.S.

Page 3: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Months Supply of Homes

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 3

Data source: Omaha Realtors Association

8.1

6.3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

Page 4: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Time on Market

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 4

10.1

12.7

19.0

15.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Damaged REO Move-In Ready REO

Short Sale Non-Distressed

Average Weeks on Market

Page 5: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

DELINQUENCY AND FORECLOSURE SITUATIONNebraska Housing Update

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 5

Page 6: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Future DirectionStatus of Mortgage Pool Nebraska

OmahaMetro

Omaha City

USA

Delinquent 30 days 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.1

Delinquent 60 days 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3

Delinquent 90 days + 1.7 1.8 2.1 3.6

In Foreclosure Process 1.2 1.2 1.3 3.5

SERIOUSLY DELINQUENT 2.9 3.0 3.4 7.2

TOTAL PAST DUE 6.5 6.7 7.4 11.6

Data Source: Lender Processing Services, Inc. (November, 2010 data)

K. Edmiston, FRB KC 6

Page 7: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 7

Nebraska Serious Delinquencies (Nov 2010)

Data source: Lender Processing Services, Inc.

Page 8: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 8

Omaha-Lincoln Serious Delinquencies (Nov 2010)

Dat

a so

urce

: Len

der P

roce

ssin

g Se

rvic

es, I

nc.

Page 9: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Home Prices

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 9Data source: Federal Housing Finance Agency

11.9

-6.5

6.5

5.7

-2.4

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

U.S.

Region

Nebraska

Annualized Percentage Change

Page 10: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Homebuyer Participation

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 10

48.2%

34.4%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Current Homeowner First-Time Homebuyer Investor

Share of Market

Page 11: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Home Prices

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 11Data source: Federal Housing Finance Agency

11.9

-6.5

6.5

5.7

-2.4

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

U.S.

Region

Nebraska

Annualized Percentage Change

Page 12: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Home Price Trends

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 12

$105,900 $116,100

$203,600 $200,300

$217,400 $215,500

$266,800

$281,700

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Damaged REO Move-In Ready REO

Short Sale Non-Distressed

Median Sales Price

Page 13: Nebraska Housing Update Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas CityKelly D. Edmiston, Senior Economist

1 Memorial Drive

Kansas City, MO 64198

(816) 881 – 2004

[email protected]