Narendra Modi's First 100 Days Weren't Bolder_ but Next 100 Could Be Different - Firstpost

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TROUBLE FOR LOSS-MAKING

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Govt wants airlines to

pay for its regional

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100 DAYS IN OFFICE

Here are 12 important

decisions taken by

Modi govt

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modi-govt-in-its-

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PM Modi greets

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Multilingual Mr

Modi PM tweets in

Japanese to Twitter

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Squandered mandate

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PM Modi's first 100 days weren't bolder But

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Narendra Modi's first 100 days weren't bolder: Butnext 100 could be different

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172

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(http://www.firstpost.com/politics/narendra-

Early next week, on 2 September, Narendra Modi

(http://www.firstpost.com/topic/person/narendra-modi-profile-

20711.html)'s government will be completing 100 days in office. Surprisingly or,

perhaps, not so surprisingly, given the media competition to jump the gun even before

the race begins - assessments are gushing in. The pink papers, for example, are

publishing CEO surveys on Modi's 100-day performance (read here

(http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-

company/corporate-trends/india-inc-ceos-cheer-pm-narendra-modi-

but-expect-more-action/articleshow/41032128.cms)and here

(http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/business-

standard-poll-india-inc-s-big-vote-of-confidence-for-modi-

114082701103_1.html)) when we are still on the 95 day.

This quibble out of the way, I must admit that judgment on the 100th day - Modi will

actually be in Japan on that day - is unlikely to be significantly different from what it is

today. For we now have a fair idea of how he handles things. Maybe we will see a slightly

more aggressive reformer after October when some key assembly elections will be out

of the way, but given his 95-day track record and 12 years in Gujarat, one can be sure

he is not going to change his stripes all of a sudden. At best what we may see is a

quickening of decision-making in the months ahead till the next political event slows

things down again.

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PM Modi's maiden I-

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Why the SC must

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next-100-could-be-different-1686473.html)

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View more

(http://www.firstpost.com/author/jagannathan)

(http://www.fakingnews.firstpost.com/2014/08/rajnath-singh-hints-at-friendship-jihad-bjp-members-being-converted-into-congress-agents/?utm_source=fp_cat_widget)

Rajnath Singh hints atFriendship Jihad, BJP members

being converted into Congress

agents(http://www.fakingnews.firstpost.com/2014/08/rajnath-

singh-hints-at-friendship-jihad-bjp-members-being-converted-

into-congress-agents/?utm_source=fp_cat_widget)

Aug 28, 2014

(http://www.firstpost.com/politics/pm-modis-maiden-i-day-5-reasons-why-he-bowled-(http://www.firstpost.com/politics/wont-attend-any-event-with-pm-modi-haryana-cm-

So rather than assess how he

has fared as Prime Minister, I

prefer to assess what he

seems to be about, and what

he may do in the coming 100

days and beyond based on

what we now know.

#1: The first thing to

realise about Modi is that

he is not a doctrinaire

right-winger,

economically speaking,

that is. He is not going to dramatically reform labour laws (but he will make some

improvements), or cut subsidies, or revise the Land Acquisition law beyond a point (ie,

he wont scrap it). Nor is he going to privatise public sector undertakings.

This is why he has disappointed almost all the economists who were his ardent fans

(Bibek Debroy, Arvind Panagariya, Rajiv Kumar, Surjit Bhalla, among them) till now.

While Debroy has assessed Modis performance so far as so-so sau din

(http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opinion/comments-analysis/pm-

narendra-modis-first-100-days-in-office-have-been-

average/articleshow/41029522.cms), Panagariya prefers to now pin his hopes

for bold reforms in states (http://www.business-

standard.com/article/opinion/arvind-panagariya-a-different-kind-of-cm-

114080501856_1.html) (he likes what Vasundhara Raje is doing in Rajasthan).

Bhalla is shaking his head

(http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/in-search-of-modi/)

in disappointment, wondering where the Modi he thought he knew has gone, and Rajiv

Kumar, who hasnt given up hope, believes Modi should now opt for bold reforms.

(http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/toi-edit-page/time-for-bold-

reforms-mr-modi/)

From what we have seen of Modi so far, it is likely that he will not try and do anything

spectacular to earn the applause of fans even after the assembly elections. He will do

reforms incrementally, speeding up when politics is not a constraint, and slowing down

when it is.

Heres what to expect after October onwards: I believe that all changes in FDI

regulations (defence, railways, insurance, etc), and small changes in labour and land

laws, will be pushed through in the October-December period. If the bills get shot down

in the Rajya Sabha, he will call a joint session and get them through. As for subsidy

reforms, I believe diesel will be deregulated in a limited way (oil companies can fix

prices, but change only by 50 paise a month, as now). Kerosene and LPG will move

towards direct cash payments, but only in stages. Gas prices will be raised by a smaller

amount than what the UPA has planned (not $8.4 per mmBtu, but higher than the

current $4.2), and fertiliser and food subsidies will remain largely unreformed for now.

Sale of public sector equity will stop well short of privatisation, but their managements

especially banks - will be strengthened with greater autonomy.

In short, Modi will be bold and decisive in some areas, but not radical, in the next 100

days and beyond. Some of the bolder moves may come in the budget of February

2015, but only if Modi wins all the state assembly polls between now and then.

#2: The second point to realise about Modi is that he is trying to re-invent

his image. He began the process after the 2007 Gujarat elections, when he shifted

focus from Hindutva to development. Now, with Gujarat 2002 fading from public

memory, he is trying to cover his left flank completely before making bolder moves to

his right. Anyone who has listened to Modis speeches after 26 May will note that the

poor are his new focus; his formal agenda has turned soft around the edges: financial

(http://s2.firstpost.in/wp-

content/uploads/2014/08/modi-pm9AFP.jpg)Narendra Modi. AFP.

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Aug. 28

Vaishali-hpHighlight





the-bccis-ultimate-

spin-doctor-

1672919.html)

Who cares about

ALS? In India, the Ice

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about fun

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inclusion, toilets for girls in schools, sanitation, skill-building, e-governance. None of

these is controversial, and each of them will yield economic dividends only after a huge

lag. Attacks from the Congress and the Left are thus falling flat. They are upset that he

has stolen their clothes.

Modi is clearly trying to occupy the centre of Indian politics first before moving Right.

However much this may distress his supporters, politically this is the right thing to do.

You cannot build a long-term political platform in India by being robustly Right-wing.

He is essentially building room for manoeuvre on economic reforms by decisively

looking Left. He is leaving the pro-business talk to Arun Jaitley,

(http://www.firstpost.com/india/we-are-pro-business-jaitley-makes-first-

moves-to-articulate-a-right-wing-economic-philosophy-1625501.html)so

that he has plausible deniability if anything recoils.

In the coming 100 days and beyond, Modi will alternate between his political and

economic agenda. The economic agenda will be prosecuted largely by stealth like

previous governments but at a faster pace. Modi's first priority is to make his

political power impregnable before moving more decisively in the economic and social

spheres. In his view, his hold on power is not yet complete.

#3: Modi himself is pro-business, but not necessarily pro-market. He is

unlikely to favour cronyism either. Being pro-business has come to mean crony

capitalism in India, but Modi contrary to his image - does not encourage cronyism of

any kind. Not among politicians, nor among businessmen. He has not gone out of his way

to befriend any businessmen (though they are trying their damnedest to get close).

Most businessmen and journalists I have spoken to (and who have better ears to the

ground than me on what Modi is about) tell me that he listens to all, but does not let

anyone control his actions. He is a loner who likes control, and does not like being

controlled by anyone.

Modi is pro-business in the sense that he wants to make it easy for all businesses to

work without red tape, not in the sense that he is pro- any particular businessman

(though Adani is on everyones minds, I doubt he dances to Adanis tune). But Modi is

not necessarily pro-market; he may not let the market decide prices, winners, or losers

all the time. He has a limited, but strong, belief in the public sector, to the extent that he

thinks they can be run better. He does not believe that they need to privatised. He will

avoid that as long as it is possible. He may believe in market pricing of goods only to

the extent it does not have to do with his social agenda (hence his emphasis on food

security, LPG and kerosene subsidies for the poor, all anti-market policies). But if he

opts for direct cash subsidies, it would be pro-market.

Modi will focus on reducing red tape and speeding things up for business, not change

the economys basic direction fundamentally. He will be right-wing with a small r.

The big change has has brought in is himself: business knows that he will not do

anything anti-business.

#4: Modi has gotten off to a wrong start with the judiciary. He will have to

cool things down to get his agenda going. The governments initial interactions

and run-ins with the judiciary over the appointment of Gopal Subramanium as

Supreme Court judge, and the enactment of the National Judicial Appointments

Commission Bills have not set the right tone. In many areas from coal block

cancellations to the recomposition of the wildlife board to the setting up of the SIT on

black money the Supreme Court is likely to try and set or influence policy. This is

bound to create executive-judiciary friction, since the government cannot let the

Supreme Court enter the details of policy-making.

In the next 100 days, Modi will have to offer an olive branch to the judiciary even

while asserting its legislative and executive rights. It is not clear if he will do so.


#5: Modi harbours an essential contradiction within himself on

federalism. As a former Chief Minister, he believes in federalism. But as a person he is

a centraliser, someone who likes to hold all the levers of power. This is why the

bureaucracy is more important to him than fellow politicians. His ability to control the

political agenda, both within his own party and outside, depends on only one thing: his

ability to talk directly to the people over the heads of everybody. It is this direct rapport

that is the basis of his power. Not for nothing did Pratap Bhanu Mehta liken him to

Charles de Gaulle, a Republican Monarch of sorts.

(http://www.firstpost.com/politics/meet-narendra-de-gaulle-indias-

republican-monarch-1666973.html)His power and authenticity come from his

plebeian roots and this aids the concentration of power.

In the coming months, Modi will face several contradictions as he tries to bring his social

agenda to the states. True federalism means not imposing an agenda from Delhi; it also

means voluntarily reducing the centres powers in several areas and handing them over

to states. Will he do this? His stand on toilet-building lauded by one and all is no

different from the Gandhi dynastys efforts to push one-size-fits-all schemes like

NREGA and food security down all states throats. Modis schemes will work only if

states buy into them. But Modi made no effort to get that buy-in before announcing the

schemes on Independence Day, nor has he said something to this effect: This is my

priority, but states are free to set their own priorities in this area.

If he is a true federalist, in the coming 100 days Modi will push all central schemes down

to the states, saying here is the money, now do what you need to. He will also tell states

that if you pass any law that conflicts with a central law on the concurrent list, your law

will prevail in your state.

In the next 100 days, we will know whether Modi is a true federalist or a centraliser.

I hope he is the former. His long-term success depends on making India more federal

so that we have an effective centre and effective states even of the latter move at

different speeds.

#6: Modi is clear about Indias place in the world. His has a broad Look East policy,

which means Japan, South-East Asia and China are his inspirations and will be his

foreign policy priorities. This is why his first big foreign trip outside the Indian sub-

continent is to Japan a country he truly admires and with whose current PM, Shinzo

Abe, he has a good equation. He needs Japan both as a counter to China, and as a source

of investment funds for his mega projects including the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial

Corridor, smart cities and bullet trains. He can also source funds from funds-flush China,

but politically the relationship is clothed in mistrust. Relationships with Asean will

improve, with Singapore being a key focal point. The Smart Cities ideas will probably

have Singapore as model.

As for America, Modi will be pragmatic, doing quid-pro-quo deals in defence and other

areas. But the political relationship with the US will be formal, not warm.

In the next 100 days, Modi will definitely strengthen his ties with Japan and (possibly)

Russia, stabilise them with China, and have a business-like relationship with the US.

Japan, US, Russia, and China will be his big power priorities possibly in that order.

On neighbours, despite his initial enthusiasm, we will see only slow progress beyond

Nepal and Bhutan.

Bottomline: in the next 100 days, Modi will move away from the political agenda to the

economic one. But he is likely to be less radical and reformist that what his supporters

expect, but more pro-poor than what his detractors paint him to be.

He will set the agenda on his own terms.

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HKD a day ago

It is critical that before labor and other big-bang reforms he implements so-called leftist

social security plan. In the absence of such cushion for the poor it will be almost

impossible and very unpopular to institute long-overdue and vital but difficult reforms

that are needed to attract investment from home and abroad. He is on the right track.

1

Vissionary a day ago

I wish NDA Govt make a positive impact (where it is much needed) and help transform

TRIPURA.

Lakhs of Educated Youths of TRIPURA (2nd highest populous state in NORTHEAST)

have been languishing in complete frustration for over a decade now (recent news on

Favorite

Share

see more

have been languishing in complete frustration for over a decade now (recent news on

TRIPURA can be refereed for details) due to lack of --> Progressive policies,

Meaningful development, Best of the industries and quality professional employment

opportunities, Best of the class healthcare, Proactiveness in being nationally and

globally competitive.

Is there any ray of hope for TRIPURA ?

Does anyone know why capital AGARTALA is not yet even an inch near to a tier-2 city

like PUNE ?

Does anyone know what TRIPURA have achieved (in terms of giving its educated

youth much needed professional career opportunities at par with other progressive

states) till date by focusing on natural resource (rubber, bamboo, plastic) based

industry, which in progressive states (e.g. Karnataka, Maharashtra) is considered as

1

Padaved Subramaniam a day ago

The first 100 days of Namo govt, taking bold steps to do away with the lethargic ways

of working by the earlier Congress govt. Changed the Planning commission totally.

Appointment of Judges was definitely a good move. Opening bank accounts of 1.5

crore is a master stroke. Media's observation of Bold - means what ? Weren't those

mentioned above aren't bold?

100 % FDI in Railways and relaxed FDI in Defence are such a wonderful decision.

FDI increase in insurance is also a good move.

The Government is moving, acting, changing, reforming,

If the author of this article cannot conginize the efforts of Namo govt - of the first 100

days, then it is not worth reading this article.

Sea of change from the way Corrupt Congress ruled for the past 10 years.

8

vaidyanathan iyer a day ago

First 100 days Mr. Modi's Government was a balanced one, Changing an inherited

legacy of 60 Yrs, with huge burecracy having one set of ideas,, is not a small task, but

Mr. Modi is aware of his commitments & responsibility, even other wise we Indians will

not adjust to rapid changes, we need a slow & permenant changes,Modi couln't satisfy

economists in 100 days, but these 100 days has really reflected his will to bring about

a change in days to come ,

6

drzenda a day ago

R Jagannathan jumping the gun even before the race begins, guess trying to push

hidden agenda

1

RC Sharma a day ago

First 100 too are bold in many respects. For example the streamlining of bureaucracy

is no no small, timid object. It will bear fruits. In fact fruits are appearing, witness

speedy clearance of highway projects and defence purchases. Have patience.

11

Jitendra Desai a day ago

Pl refer to your earlier post about Modi's political agenda.Like all political leaders he too

would want to perpetuate his and his party's rule till 2019,2024 and beyond.To that

extent all political leaders' agenda,programmes and schemes are governed by the

politics - both, power politics and electoral politics.Proof of a good leader is to follow

good policies and then convince his party and his supporters that these good policies

are part of good politics.

Dr_ADS 2 days ago

First the author must define the word "Bolder" instead of wasting space and time (well

he is editor in chief, he is entitled to waste space though).

2

NationFirst 2 days ago

This person with name "AAM AADMI PARTY " , i think he is paid member of AAP, no

understanding just non stop writing, that too most of the time, seems many people

sharing this id

4

Prof. Vijay 2 days ago

Yo FP! Iron Man, Super-Man, Spider-Man, X-men, Hulk do wonders in 2 hours. That is

'Marvel Comics'. This is 'Marvellous Politics'. Don't expect the same from the PM of a

Nation. He is determined to stay, stand & deliver. Let us not rush to comment & market

our 'Psychological Impotence'. Grow up...

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our 'Psychological Impotence'. Grow up...

19

Vikram 2 days ago

Only the author's view on Modi's foreign policy is right.. He will definately be very formal

with US.. and focus mainly on asian countries to tie up with,,

2

seer 2 days ago

do not take literal meaning for 100 days , he means a rapid pace of development, with

remarkable results ... and we shall wait , do not get disheartened so easily , lot more

things need to be undone before starting to do great things

1

Lalu-Nitu-Mino secular brigade 2 days ago

He has to be bolder or in 2019 half of the voters will be Muslims ..

Besides ,he must not repeat the mistake of Bajpai govt.,,

Kaam tum karo, malai Shonia khaye!!!

2

BMK 2 days ago

R Jagannathan is fighting with his own mental bias.

1. He wants to lambast Modi, but does not have a strong case.

2. There are good things worth appreciation which manages to cover up with

imaginary if and but.

Why dont you put up a wish list of what should have been done in 100days and which

other government did what all and how in another comparative 100 day term....can

you, MR. Jagannathan?

Learn to be objective, my dear, else, you will shine for a short while butb then

disappear in oblivion for ever. I do not know whether your sponsors will publish this

comment or not.

God bless you....Wish better sense prevails....

7

ManojKMishra 2 days ago BMK

Please read archives before lambasting @Jaggi. He is the only sane & logical

voice at Firstpost.

11

NationFirst 2 days ago

Did all AAP supporters forgot AK is a looser , he already lost to Modi , see where you

stands

5

Indian 2 days ago

100 Blank Days

3

Shashidhar V 2 days ago Indian

yes if you are middle man for india's defense dept.

change ur name to italian

13

middle man to italy 2 days ago Shashidhar V

Jaitly just lifted the ban on Augusta & Fin mechanic !!!!& will clear

30000 crore deal ...

LoL!!!

2

Shashidhar V 2 days ago middle man to italy

does not mean all italian companies should be banned

2

Indian 2 days ago

"" ......... ,

, .....

1 ""

2 ""

3 " " ,

,

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,

4 " " # 6

1

ManojKMishra 2 days ago Indian

, #BhagodaKejri

, (49 )

2

Indian 2 days ago

100 din me se kisi ek bhakhat ka ek acha din aaya kya

2

Indian 2 days ago

Modi ji 100 din me kitne Din Holiday par Rahe or Kitne Din Work kiya

2

Samb Trishul 2 days ago Indian

bloody indian, keep dreaming. aakhiri nabi ka fartwa hai: fek do videshi arabi

randwa. how jao sanatani, har har mahadev.

1

Indian 2 days ago

Modi has not won 2014 Election ..... 2014 Elections were Anti Congress ..... Modi

Capture that wave with Feku Style ..... he did nothing in 100 Days ..... No Bill he tabled

in parliament ..... he is Feku No. 1

What he did in 100 days is he Capture BJP & in full control of BJP

He has no Ability to do anything for Indians

i am 100 % sure he will not do anything exept Fekna in 57 months Left

3

Shashidhar V 2 days ago Indian

moron judicial bill is not a bill is it ? first check the facts before u start

spamming the discussion here

11

NationFirst 2 days ago Indian

Shame on you, if you can't recognize works done by him, that means you are

old and has taken money from anti national people, any person who loves

country will appraise works done by him, and to tell you truth if there is

something which he could not do so far, that is not because he can't do its

because of people like you, and others who supports congress and AAP, if he

would have got support of all people must have changed picture so far, you are

here on eart to oppose every work done by him.

7

rockyrox 2 days ago Indian

Keep dreaming...It's good for health and let others work for your development

3

sangeeth 2 days ago

Modi has won an election almost single handedly with a majority against all

expectations. This has hurt lot and lot of people who will give their both eyes to hurt

him back. Modi is still an outsider in Delhi throne and he needs to overthrow the

establishment first before beginning to implement his agenda. He cannot do everything

alone and needs a team in place. The establishment will resist him tooth and nail and it

takes time to clear all the old establishment from their entrenched position. He will

need another 100 days to make a foundation from where he can launch himself.

13

NationFirst 2 days ago sangeeth

Actually its AK defeat from varansi which is hurting them most, i wonder how

they forgot that AK has already lost to Modi with a good margin, inspite of all

allegations of AK, people of india opted for Modi. why AAP is crying now

4

Shashidhar V 2 days ago

Passing Judicial Bills, scrapping of planning commision, introducing of bullet trains,

creating bank accounts of 1+ crore in 1 day. talking about toilets and encouraging mps

to spend from their mplad funds and also encouraging corporates to invest in this.

showing Pakistan its place if it wants to talk to all jokers like huriyat. what more

boldness do we need ?

Modi govt had done better what UPA could not for last 2 years of their govt in 100 days

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Modi govt had done better what UPA could not for last 2 years of their govt in 100 days

26

Kejri Paltu 2 days ago Shashidhar V

Plus clearance of infra projects, motivating babu to respect schedule and do

their duty .......... India was on ventilator ---- heart surgery has been done ---

blood is back in arteries ......... India is moving --- 5.5% growth --- 1000 points

increase in Sensex ............... Modi is first PM elected on Merit ----- very good

for India

25

AAM AADMI PARTY 2 days ago

Bhagoda, anarchist, ambitious, naive- these I can live with.

Corrupt, criminal, communal, Dadagiri, VIP- is what gets my goat

ghatothgach 2 days ago AAM AADMI PARTY

Yes Chandra Mohan Sharma of AAP who enacted his death by killing differently

abled person.

12

Shashidhar V 2 days ago AAM AADMI PARTY

AAP allied with corrupt congress so what to ur goat then , u made curry out of it

and ate it is it ?

6

Kejri Paltu 2 days ago AAM AADMI PARTY

topi pehen lae or BTex lagaa lae..... ur goat will improve

2

Pandit 2 days ago

I saw the article title on the front page and knew that it had to be written by the ever so

optimistic Jaggi.

2


There is no provision for secret ballot in state legislature or parliament. Using it would

be against anti-defection (10th schedule).


Secret Ballot in legislative assembly is act of cowardice, totally immoral and outright

against constitutional provision of anti-defection

Kejri Paltu 2 days ago

AAPtards - what happened on below reported breaking NEWS:

Aug 14: :

2


Congress men will vote for bjp in delhi secretly any how both corrupt party does not

want kejriwal as CM he can finish both corrupt party both party aware about aap 49 day

for people if kejriwal stay 5 years he can change delhi then who will vote congress and

bjp

2

ManojKMishra 2 days ago AAM AADMI PARTY

, ??

??

2

Shashidhar V 2 days ago AAM AADMI PARTY

5 years he he he , he cannot run govt for 50 days ,

2


I am willing to bet 10000 bucks ----- Bhagoda will loose from ND constituency if

elections happens this time

8

AAM AADMI PARTY 2 days ago Kejri Paltu

Election se to fatt rahi he bjp ki

1


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Load more comments

PM Modi, Abe meet over dinner, pitch

for robust future in ties

2 comments 16 hours ago

vinz varanasi already is a smart city

after it voted for Modi instead of

khujliwal......

Hindu, Hindi whatever: Give us respite

from this frivolous debate


Vicky Just ask yourself 2 questions.1.

Where will you Hindus [and other Indic

religions] go, when

'Love Jihad': BJP drops it from

agenda, but Sangh affiliates will


mecommunal Ignore the crap, like this,

I did not even read the whole article.This

is the way we can

Delhi BJP threatens legal action

against AAP's Kumar Vishwas


Ashok Mohanty

1.82

ALSO ON FIRSTPOST

AAM AADMI PARTY Kejri Paltu

Kon vijender Gupta hatayega

1


Modi ne ESA konsa kaam kar diya

2


Mummy has an understanding with AK49 --- he is not fighting elections in HR,

MH and JK on her directions ...... YY (aka Salim) is NAC member on deputation

to AAP

3

Kejri Paltu 2 days ago

Mia Arvind Kejriwal khuda ka ek nek banda hai.. he does not only swear

on allah and say shabba khair but also do Namaz 5 times a day.. click on below

link to see it..

muslimmirror(dot)com/eng/ke...

4

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Narendra Modi's First 100 Days Weren't Bolder_ but Next 100 Could Be Different - Firstpost