Mr. Mark CalvoDirector of the Government of Guam Military Buildup Office

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Purpose

To provide an overview of the Guam Buildup

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Outline

• Background

• Initial Forecast of Forces

• Record of Decision – September 2010

• Buildup Structure

• National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) – 2012

• Current Scope of Program

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Background

• US-Japanese Alliance Transformation Realignment Agreement of 2005 & 2006 committed US & Japan to complex policy and strategy initiatives

– Agreements consist of six related major initiatives

• US – GOJ Cost Share Agreement (moving III MEF)– Initial cost estimates = $10.3 Billion– GOJ Funding 60%; US Funding 40%– Challenges

• Construction Capacity on Guam• Guam Infrastructure• Labor

• Federal-GovGuam-Community Partnerships ~ $2.3 Billion est.

• Total expected costs >$20B over the next 10 years (focus is construction)

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US – Japan Agreement

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Background (cont’d)

• DOD directed the establishment of the Joint Guam Program Office (JGPO) – Program Oversight and Management– Strategic Policy Development– Synchronize and Coordinate Efforts– Liaison to Internal and External Organizations – NEPA/EIS Action Proponent– Implementation of Joint Base concepts

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Background (cont’d)

• Population increase from 179,000 up to 250,000 – 2011 to 2014• Timelines for complete relocation of III MEF originally planned for 4 years

• On-island EIS related concerns: • Eminent domain• Sufficient water and sewage infrastructure• Environmental• Cultural• Health Care

• Final Environmental Impact Statement published July 2010. Three major components :

• Relocating Marine units from Okinawa to Guam • Creating a berth for visiting aircraft carrier in Apra Harbor• Placement of an Army Air and Missile Defense Task Force in Guam• Based on Draft EIS comments, GOVGUAM requested an 8 year plan

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Initial Forecast of Forces on Guam

North Ramp:AF ISR/Strike & USMC ACE

Barrigada: Navy Comm/Future Army Lay down

Finegayan:Navy Comm/USMC HQE/GCE/LSE

Ops/Training, USMC QOL

NAVMAG:Navy/USMC Crew-Served Weapons

Training/ Ordnance Storage

Apra:Navy Ops

Transient CVN USMC Embark

Andersen South:USMC Maneuver & MOUT Training

Initial Forecast of Forces on Guam

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Record of Decision

• ROD - Issued in Sep 2010 - summary:– Relocating Marine units from Okinawa to Guam

• Proceed with development and construction of infrastructure• Deferred Decision - Site of live firing range complex

– Creating a berth for visiting aircraft carrier in Apra Harbor• Deferred the selection of a specific site

– Placement of an Army Air and Missile Defense Task Force in Guam

• Deferred decision– Establishes a Civilian Military Coordination Council (CMCC)

• Supplemental RODs to address the deferred items are anticipated at a future date– Supplemental EIS for the Live Fire Training Range Complex was

announced 10 Feb 2012

BUILDUP STRUCTURE(Prior to Calvo-Tenorio Administration)

Evolving Build Up Structure

National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) 2012

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Current Scope of Program

• Facts– Pacific region is poised for increased security posturing– DOD is streamlining – i.e. cuts in programs and personnel

• Global Hawk Block 30 program is unfunded– Force Modernization continues e.g BAMS fielding for USN is on track

• Assumptions– Military realignment / Guam buildup will happen– All components of the ROD will be implemented– Current USMC plan is ≈ 4700 Marines from Okinawa to Guam

• Most likely to be units from the Ground Combat Element • Most likely rotational mix ≈ 50-60%

– Peak construction period most likely ≈ 2017/18– Use adaptive program management to

• Slow construction tempo• Adjust construction sequencing • Slow USMC force flow during peak construction periods

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Current Scope of Program

• Notional Budget (based on assumptions)

– FY13 – $0– FY14 – Ramp-up – $140M +??– FY15 – FY16 $300M – FY17– FY18 and beyond - $500M

• GOJ funding currently being negotiated

• Program reset details expected by end of Summer 2012

Questions?