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MORe Economic FactsWhat’s Being Said About the
Economy and Real Estate Today
National Association of REALTORS®
Total existing home sales
increased 15.2% in from
June 2013
30-year conventional, fixed rate mortgage rose
to 4.07% in June from 3.54% in May and is the
highest since October 2011
Listing inventory
remains 7.6% below a year
ago
National Association of REALTORS®
Distressed homes were 15% of June
sales, down from 18% in May and 26% in
June 2012
Existing home sales in the Midwest were
unchanged in June
at and are 17.5% higher than a year ago
Median time on market in
June was 37 days and is
47% faster than June 2012.
Short sales were on the market for a
median of 68 days
National Association of REALTORS®
"Inventory conditions will continue to broadly favor sellers and contribute to above-normal price growth."
Median existing home price was
$214,300 in June
up 13.5% from June 2012
16 consecutive
months of year-over-year price increases
NAR June Pending Home Sales Report
Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS®.
Illinois Association of REALTORS®
June marks 24 consecutive months of Illinois home sale increases.
Illinois home sales increased 14.9% in June over June 2012; statewide sales totaled 15,268 up 13,286 in June 2012
Median price increased 9.7% to $170,000 from June 2012
Illinois Association of REALTORS®Chicagoland PMSA Info
It took 63 days on average to sell a home down from 84 days in
June 2012.
The sales inventory dropped 37.4% from a year ago to
38,082 unitsHome sales (single-
family and condominiums) in June
totaled 11,103 homes sold, up
18.7% from June 2012
median price in June 2013 was $206,000 in
the Chicago PMSA, up 13.2% from $182,000 in
June 2012
See IAR Talking Points Exclusive to IAR Members
Illinois Association of REALTORS®
See IAR Talking Points Exclusive to IAR Members
"To have this extended run of year-over-year sales gains
shows that the housing market in Illinois is indeed recovering," said Michael Oldenettel, CRS,
GRI, president of IAR.
U of I Housing Price Forecast
"The rising house prices suggest some significant movements
toward a more stable housing market," noted Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, Director of the Regional Economics Applications
Laboratory of the University of Illinois.
"New analysis of the foreclosure process suggests that a return to pre-recession levels should occur early next year, further
enhancing the housing recovery."
Median price for the Chicagoland PMSA
for July-Sept. is expected to rise by 18.3% in
July, 20.3% for Aug. and 20.2% in Sept.
U of I Housing Price Forecast
Sales forecast point to
increases between 20.5% to 27.7% for
Chicago PMSA
For July, August, and September in the Chicagoland PMSA….
Pending sales figure is 209.5,
down 4.8% from
last month and up 31.8% from a
year ago.
In June, 2,181 houses were
newly filed for foreclosures in
Chicago PMSA (65.9% down from a
year ago.)
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
increased to 81.4, the highest level since January
2008
Housing inventory reached its lowest recorded level since 2008, with 65,658 for Illinois and 38,082 for Chicago
PMSA
U of I Housing Price Forecast
Illinois has 5.0 months worth of inventory and
Chicago PMSA has 3.5 months of inventory
Homes between $300k
and $500k required the shortest
time to sale, 50 days for Illinois and 46 days
for Chicago PMSA
Homes priced above
$700k experienced 64 days on market
U of I Housing Price Forecast
Read the full REAL July Report/Forecast:Read the full Second Quarter Forecast:
Mainstreet Organization of REALTORS®
Sales of single-family, detached homes in suburban Chicago increased 17.7% in June (based on year over year stats)
Median sales price for detached homes increased 9.5% from June a year ago
Detached homes under contract increased 36.5% in June
Mainstreet Organization of REALTORS®
"A slow and steady growth in home prices, combined with
more properties coming on the market, is creating ideal conditions for both buyers and sellers," said Tonya Corder, president
of MORe. "Buyers especially should look to act soon to lock in today's low interest rates."
DuPage County
Mainstreet Organization of REALTORS®
Median home sale price was
up 6.5% to $245,000
Lake County
Sales were up 17.2% to 1,062
Median sale price was up
11.9% to $235,000
Sales were up 24.2% to1,495
Cook County
Sales were up 14.8% to 5,938
Median home sale price was up 16.7% to
$210,000June Home Sales
National Association of Home Builders
"Builders are seeing more motivated buyers coming through their doors as the inventory of existing homes for sale
continues to tighten," noted NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe.
National Association of Home Builders
Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family
homes rose 6 points to 57 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for July.
Sales of newly built single-family
homes surged 8.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of
497,000 units
Their fastest pace in the last five years!
Fannie Mae
We are keeping a very close eye on the effect of rising mortgage rates on the housing market and the economy, but our July forecast is little changed from last month," said Fannie Mae
Chief Economist Doug Duncan. "We continue to see growth in housing partly due to an increase
in existing home sales as buyers choose to act while rates remain near historic lows."
May Fannie Mae news release
Potential homebuyers may enter the purchase
market sooner rather than later as more Americans expect mortgage rates and home
prices to climb
Fannie Mae June 2013 National Housing Survey
The share of respondents who say mortgage rates will go up during the next 12 months jumped 11 percentage points to 57%, the highest level in the survey's three-year history
The share of respondents who say home prices will go up in the next year also hit a survey high of 57%
72% say now is a good time to buy and 36% say it is a good time to sell
The share who expect their personal financial situation to improve during the next year climbed to 46%, the highest level since June 2010
Freddie Mac
The blistering pace in house price
appreciation is unlikely to continue, but rather moderate and grow at a
seasonally adjusted rate closer to 3 to 4 percent in the second half of the year,
for a total gain of 8 to 9 percent for the calendar year.
Over the next couple of years,
house price growth should gradually ease until settling in at
around 3 percent a year.
In addition, housing starts fell in June to the slowest pace since
August 2012.
Freddie Mac 30-year fixed mortgages were up a full
percentage point between the start of this year and the middle of May, and it's likely to rise further in the coming year
Through May, home sales were on their best first-half pace since 2007
In the second half of the year, we anticipate more modest growth with sales (new and existing) up an additional 2% and starts up 12% relative to the first half
Freddie Mac
Indications of a slowing in the economic recovery also placed downward pressure on mortgage rates
Consumer sentiment fell to a three month low in July while retail sales in June grew by only 0.4%, which was half of the market consensus forecast