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Module VIUnderstanding Systems
System Behavior
Learning Objectives
• System Behavior and Structure–Why we should care–What system structure is–Strategies to identify system structure
Events-oriented view of the world
Source: Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world (Vol. 19). Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill.
Pattern-oriented view of the world
Source: Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world (Vol. 19). Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill.
More structural view of the world…
Source: Adapted from Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world (Vol. 19). Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill.
Systems view of the world…
Source: Adapted from Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world (Vol. 19). Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill.
The Beehive Metaphor
EventPattern
System
The Beehive Metaphor
What could an individual do differently?
What could the organization do differently?
How can we better understand the changes we’ve made?
System Structure
• System structure is not readily visible• Information is essential to identifying system
structure• Successful change requires system-level
understanding• System structure influences behavior
System Structure
• System structure is not readily visible• Information is essential to identifying system
structure• Successful change requires system-level
understanding• System structure influences behavior
How We See Systems
Mental Models:
Our beliefs about system structure may or may not reflect true system structure.
Act
Observe
Revise Model
Mental Models: Language
The power of language in shaping mental models:
“Pilot” was only supported for a short term trial VS
“Project” implied beginning work that would be sustained
Mental Models
Topic Mental Model Actions Alternative
Mental Model Actions
“Fighting Fires” management style
Putting out “fires” at work makes me feel important – like I have really accomplished something today.
Look for fires. Act in a reactive, rather than proactive manner. Manage day to day rather than strategically. Encourage employees to depend on the manager to solve problems.
If I am constantly putting out “fires”, there must be work or management processes that are not working well.
Prevent problems rather than react to problems in the workplace. Improve work processes rather than continually treat symptoms of process breakdowns. Encourage employees to solve problems and participate in improvement efforts.
Mental Models• “Information is power” • “Teens should abstain from sex” • “Better health technology is the
path to a healthy society”
• “Data are the foundation of performance improvement”
• “Promote safe, protected sexual activity”• “Prevention is the path to a healthy
society”
System Structure
• System structure is not readily visible• Information is essential to identifying system
structure• Successful change requires system-level
understanding• System structure influences behavior
Child Fatality Reviews
• Child fatality reviews are one example of how system structure cannot be identified without information
• Data on child fatalities are collected from multiple sources and reviewed by experts from multiple disciplines
• By dedicating a group of people to review shared data on child fatalities over time, we allow them to develop a memory of system behavior, and to uncover system structure
Mental Models
Focus:Events Actions Focus:
Patterns ActionsFocus: System
StructureActions
Investigate child fatalities, one at a time.
After investigation is complete, determine any “fault” and take appropriate action.
Investigate patterns in child fatalities over time.
If we see a “cluster of events” or increasing trend linked to a certain neighborhood, institution, or race/ethnic group we will figure out how to minimize risk moving forward.
Look for patterns, and attempt to understand events from a systems thinking perspective.
With a much deeper understanding of what underlies avoidable child fatalities, we can bring community stakeholders together to address causes and prevent future events efficiently.
System Structure
• System structure is not readily visible• Information is essential to identifying
systemic structure• Successful change requires system-level
understanding• System structure influences behavior
Going Below the Waterline
• Recognize the power of language• Surface and reframe mental models within and outside
your organization• Recognize the impact of past events on current
circumstances• Reduce silos• Build communication mechanisms across organization
compartments (and outside our organization!)• Make information widely available• Present data in graphs to identify trends and patterns• Remember that systems never stop behaving, and ripple
effects matter!
System Structure
• System structure is not readily visible• Information is essential to identifying system
structure• Successful change requires system-level
understanding• System structure influences behavior
Structure and Behavior
21
Building Blocks
• Variables
• Causal Links/Arrows
• Signs
22
Feedback Loops
System Archetypes
• Limits to Growth• Success to the Successful• Fixes that Fail • Shifting the Burden
Limits to Growth
• A system is increasing consistently• Then suddenly stops growing and might
even crash• An unforeseen limiting factor finally
reigned in the growth; unless the limiting factor is removed the system will not grow past that peak
26
Limits to Growth
Success to the Successful
• Two or more organizations/methods/agents are competing for a limited resource (like funding or time)
• The allocation of that resource is based on past successes
• But success is only possible if you have resources
• Whichever organization initially succeeds will have more and more resources allocated to it
Success to the Successful
Source: Michael R Goodman. "Applying Systems Thinking and Common Archetypes to Organizational Issues”. www.iseesystems.com/Online_training
Fixes that Fail
• Quick-fix solution is applied to a problem• Resolves the problem in the short term• Unintended consequences of the quick fix
make the problem worse in the long term
Intersecting Loops
The Fix that Fails…
31
Shifting the Burden
• Choice between solving a problem by treating the symptoms or applying a fundamental solution (i.e. root cause)
• Symptomatic relief of the problem reduces pressure to apply a fundamental solution
• Over time, side effects of the symptomatic solution undermines the ability to apply the fundamental solution
Shifting the Burden
Lessons Learned
• Break the cycle • Anticipate and prepare for delayed
consequences • Anticipate and manage possible
unintended consequences elsewhere in the system
Learning Objectives
• System Structure– Why we should care– What system structure is– Strategies to identify system structure
• Common and important system structure– Diagramming system structure using causal loop
diagrams– Foundational cycles– System archetypes– Using causal loop diagrams to improve quality