Mobile Health Atk

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    Who Pays?

    MOBILE HEALTH

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    About A.T. Kearney

    A.T. Kearney is a global management consulting

    rm that uses strategic insight, tailored solutions

    and a collaborative working style to help clientsachieve sustainable results. Since 1926, we have

    been trusted advisors on CEO-agenda issues to

    the worlds leading corporations across all major

    industries. A.T. Kearneys oces are located in

    major business centres in 36 countries.

    For further information, please contact

    Jonathan Anscombe

    Partner, A.T. [email protected]

    Aleix Bacardit

    Manager, A.T. Kearney

    [email protected]

    www.atkearney.com

    About the GSMA

    The GSMA represents the interests o the world-

    wide mobile communications industry. Spanning

    219 countries, the GSMA unites nearly 800 o the

    worlds mobile operators, as well as more than

    200 companies in the broader mobile ecosystem,

    including handset makers, sotware companies,

    equipment providers, Internet companies, and

    media and entertainment organizations. TheGSMA is ocused on innovating, incubating, and

    creating new opportunities or its membership,

    all with the end goal o driving the growth o the

    mobile communications industry.

    For further information, please contact

    Jeanine Vos

    Executive Director o Mobile Health, GSMA

    [email protected]

    www.gsma.com

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    Contents

    Introduction ..............................................................................................................................................................................1

    Executive summary ................................................................................................................................................................1

    1. The challenges o healthcare .......................................................................................................................................3

    2. The mobile health promise .........................................................................................................................................6

    3. Who pays or what? ...................................................................................................................................................... 10

    4. Getting reimbursement or mobile health solutions ..................................................................................... 15

    5. Who else buys mobile health solutions? ............................................................................................................. 21

    6. Building a scale mobile health business .............................................................................................................. 25

    7. Inuencing the policy environment ...................................................................................................................... 33

    8. Conclusions ..................................................................................................................................................................... 34

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 1

    Mobile health is big news in the telecoms industry. Although there is little consensus on the size, or even

    scope, o the global market or mobile health, several sources predict a market in the United States on the

    order o $4.5 billion within the next two to three years, and this has been extrapolated to a global market in

    excess o $30 billion. Other estimates are even higher1. However, while mobile health has huge potential to

    both improve healthcare delivery and provide revenue or service providers, achieving broad uptake and

    monetizing this potential has proved dicult to achieve.

    This report, commissioned by the GSMA and delivered by global management consultancy A.T. Kearney,

    seeks to shed light on this critical issue and to dene the steps that operators need to take to build a sustain-

    able mobile health business. The report has been developed through a comprehensive search o available

    literature and interviews with a range o operators rom Europe, the United States and Asia.

    The report starts by describing the challenges aced by both established healthcare systems and lesswell-developed countries, and how mobile health can help address them. It describes the practical dicul-

    ties o gaining reimbursement or mobile health solutions and discusses alternative customers and value

    propositions. The paper discusses potential roles or mobile operators and commercial models, and outlines

    key success actors or building a scale mobile health business. Finally, the paper summarises the trends the

    industry should be seeking to encourage to inuence the creation o a avourable environment or mobile

    health solutions.

    Delivering afordable healthcare is one o the most intractable challenges aced by any government.

    In countries with well-developed health systems, the challenge is to meet the rising expectations o citizens

    while controlling costs to a manageable level. In the developing world, the challenge is to build a health

    inrastructure that is able to deliver an acceptable quality o healthcare to the mass population.

    Mobile health has enormous potential to lower the cost o health interactions all along the patient pathway,

    especially or chronic conditions. Mobile health applications that are able to address conditions such as diabetes,

    respiratory, and cardiac disease, and the risk actors that cause them, are likely to be most popular. Open systemplatorms that can connect multiple remote monitoring devices to address the needs o patients with multiple

    conditions will be especially valuable. However, healthcare is an extremely conservative industry, and the pace

    o uptake o new technologies is very slow when compared to the mobile industry.

    The vast majority o global health spend is incurred in the established health systems o the developed

    world and is reimbursed by healthcare payers, either governments or insurers. I mobile health is to reach its

    ull potential it will have to move into this environment, as it is unlikely that consumers in established markets

    will be major buyers beyond low-cost mobile health services. Reimbursement systems are very complicated

    and not always compatible with mobile health solutions, and operators will need to understand in detail how

    reimbursement systems work in each country and to identiy the most appropriate customers and value propo-

    sitions. At least in the medium term, the greatest opportunities are likely to be in selling to healthcare providers

    Introduction

    Executive summary

    1 Parks Research, CSMG, McKinsey.

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    page 2 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    rather than payers directly. Social care is another substantial market, and in this case customers include both

    government agencies and carers.

    Outside o the major established health systems, the situation varies widely rom the poorest countries

    with only rudimentary health inrastructures to rapidly developing markets which do not yet have mature

    health systems.

    For the poorest countries, the challenge is to provide the general population with access to basic health

    services. Customers o mobile health services are oten non-governmental organisations (NGOs). While reve-

    nues are likely to be small in the short term, in the long term mobile health is more likely to emerge as a main-

    stream consumer health proposition.

    For wealthier countries seeking to build a modern health system, the opportunity is to position mobile

    health as an alternative to investment in more conventional health inrastructure. In these developing systems

    there is higher reliance on sel-pay, and the proessionally recommended consumer segment may emerge as

    an important market.

    To gain signicant revenues, operators will need to move beyond connectivity to providing value-addedservices which might range rom traditional telecom services o security and data management right through

    to clinical services. Solutions will need to be scalable, addressing multiple applications across global markets,

    though these solutions will need to be developed step-by-step as the value o each application is proved.

    Operators will need to understand and manage the regulatory and clinical risks inherent in providing these

    services. Partnering will be absolutely essential to success, and this is likely to take the orm o strategic partner-

    ships at a global level with companies like medical device manuacturers, and local relationships with insurers,

    healthcare companies and pharmacies or clinical services and distribution.

    To communicate the benets o mobile health, operators should show how solutions can address pressing

    health needs. Benets need to be expressed in currencies that will resonate with healthcare payers and health

    providers. Robust proo o ecacy consistent with medical standards will be required.

    There are several paths that operators can ollow to build a substantial healthcare business. Successul

    mobile health businesses will require a dedicated organisation with global product development and local

    commercial exploitation. New capabilities will be required to understand how diseases are treated and how

    each specic healthcare system works. New channels and distribution models will be required, and uptake o

    new technologies will not happen without substantial investment in active marketing and sales, and in local

    proo o ecacy.

    To achieve real growth in this market, it is important that mobile and healthcare industries work toward

    interoperable solutions that enable global scale. Healthcare systems are wary o proprietary platorms and

    expect technology solutions to have a long lie, and the emergence o an open platorm will acceleratewidespread adoption.

    There is also a role or policy makers to stimulate innovation and uptake in this area through adoption

    o international healthcare coding standards and common approaches to management o clinical data

    Reimbursement regimes are currently not designed with mobile health solutions in mind, and should be

    adapted to encourage remote interactions between patients and carers.

    Overall, mobile health is an emerging technology and the next ew years are likely to be dominated

    by experiments and pilots. Over time specic applications will become established into mainstream health-

    care delivery. In the longer term, it is likely that a number o signicant players will emerge to provide mobile

    health platorms, and these companies will need to make long-term commitments to this market. However,

    the eventual prize could be substantial or the winners.

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 3

    Delivering afordable healthcare is one o the most

    intractable challenges aced by any government.

    Worldwide, total healthcare spending exceeds

    $4.2 trillion, consuming an average o 10% o GDP

    in OECD countries and increasing at an average o

    5% every year. However, this spend is highly skewed.

    The top 20 healthcare consuming countries contain

    16% o population, yet spend nearly 90% o every

    one o those $4.2 trillion. The US alone, with 5% o

    the population, spends over 45%. The have-nots, onthe other hand the remaining 84% o the people

    on the planet share 11% o health spending, but

    sufer rom nearly 95% o the diseases while devoting

    around 5% o GDP to health.

    This wide disparity in spend means that chal-

    lenges aced by health systems are somewhat

    diferent in the developing and developed world.

    developed world cHallenges

    In countries with well-established health systems,

    the overwhelming challenge is to meet the rising

    expectations o citizens while controlling costs to a

    manageable level. This situation is made more chal-

    lenging by chronic conditions such as diabetes and

    heart disease, which are increasing in prevalence due

    to an aging population, changes in behaviour, eating

    habits and liestyle (fgure 1).

    Aging populations pose some specic chal-

    lenges to health systems. While an older population

    does not increase medical expenditure directly2, it

    does inuence the ratio o people who are paying

    into the system against those who are consuminghealthcare, so limits afordability o the overall system.

    It also inuences the type o health challenges. While

    medical science has been extremely efective at

    prolonging lie, it has been ar less efective in main-

    taining mental health into old age. A recent report

    in the UK concluded that the true costs o dementia

    total over 23 billion3, equivalent to nearly a quarter

    o the costs o the health system. The rise in the

    number o old, rail and conused individuals, and the

    ailure o past generations to build a su cient nan-

    cial cushion to look ater them, is a problem whose

    dimensions are only now becoming evident.

    1. The challenges o healthcare

    Sources: Health Policy Reform (2005), OECD Health Data, A.T. Kearney analysis

    Developed Countries

    HEALTHCARE

    SYSTEMS

    Expectations demography

    Rising expectations That advanced treatments will be available to all

    Rising costs Increasing usage Technical innovation

    Barriers to reform Citizen objection to rationalisation Entrenched interests

    Access and choice Consumer expectations Need to reduce waiting lists

    Professional power Protection of interests Skills shortage & recruitment

    Rising costs Historical low levels

    Dierential access Private care for wealthy Limited public provision

    Barriers to reform Urban elites protect interests Logistics of rural areas

    Unaordable drugs World market prices

    Professional power Low wages Poaching by high income countries

    Objectives

    Equity/SolidarityCost/Eciency

    Quality/Patient SafetyCitizen Satisfaction

    Change in scope

    Epidemiological transitionfrom communicable diseases

    to diseases of lifestyleand age and mental health

    Developing CountriesCommunicable disease

    Maternal and child mortality

    Figure 1: Challenges o healthcare systems in the developed and developing world

    2 Longevity and Health Care Expenditures: The Real Reasons Older People Spend More, Zhou Yang et al. , Journal of Gerontology: SOCIAL SCIENCES 2003, Vol. 58B, No. 1, S2S10

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    page 4 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    Across the developed world there are also still huge

    issues o inequality o access to healthcare, as it is the

    least well educated and poor who are least able to

    aford healthcare and least engaged with the system

    who most need it. This is causing a widening gap

    in lie expectancy between rich and poor.

    Much o the increase in health expenditure

    has come rom changes in medical practice and

    increases in benets and technology4,5. It seems

    strange that in virtually every other industry, tech-

    nology has reduced costs, yet in health it has had

    the opposite efect. However, traditional laws o

    supply and demand dont work in healthcare. Most

    healthcare is paid through some orm o insurance,and the poor are cross-subsidised by the wealthy, so

    consumers have little incentive to limit consumption.

    New technologies are usually more expensive than

    old ones are and oten add to existing treatments.

    As a result, most health payers put in place

    mechanisms to control consumption. Mobile health

    will need to ensure that it is seen as a cost-efective

    approach which is worthy o unding in preerence

    or in addition to more traditional health services,

    rather than yet another technology or beleaguered

    health payers to try to aford.

    cHallenges of less well-establisHed markets

    Outside o the established healthcare systems o the

    developed world, circumstances vary widely. However,

    a common theme is enormous disparities o health

    provision, and a ar greater role o consumer payment.

    In the poorest countries, the challenge is to

    build health inrastructure that is able to deliver an

    acceptable quality o healthcare to the mass popu-

    lation whilst meeting the growing aspirations o the

    emerging middle class. While the rich generally have

    access to world-class healthcare through sel-pay or

    private insurance, the poor have little or no access

    to services that would be considered a basic human

    right in most developed countries. Against the OECDaverage o 10% o GDP, the bottom third spending

    countries invest an average o 5.6% GDP in health

    and sufer rom poor inrastructures, poorly inormed

    populations and lack o health proessionals, made

    worse by poaching by richer countries (fgure 2).

    For countries with large rural poor populations,

    mobile phones have an important role to play in

    providing access to basic healthcare, including inor-

    mation about avoidance and treatment o contagious

    diseases. Examples here include remote dermatology

    diagnosis, avoidance o inant mortality, reminders

    1

    Figure 2: Comparison health spending and resources selected countries (WHO, Espicom)

    3 Dementia 2010. The economic burden of dementia and associated research funding in the United Kingdom; Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford for the Alzheimers Research Trust;Ramon Luengo-Fernandez, Jose Leal, Alastair Gray

    4 Why Have Health Expenditures as a Share of GDP Risen So Much? Charles I. Jon es, Department of Economics, U.C. Berkeley and NBER; 20045 Whos Going Broke? Comparing Healthcare Costs in 10 OECD Countries, Christian Hagist, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, NBER; 2005

    Source: World Health Organisation, Espicom

    Health Expenditure (% GDP) Health Expenditure (per capita US$)

    Nurses (per 000 population) Doctors (per 000 population)

    UK

    0.11.1 1.1 1.3

    7.9 8.0 8.19.3

    11.4

    Bangladesh Chi na Ke nya India France US Japan Germany UK

    0.1 0.30.6

    1.62.2 2.3

    3.03.5

    6.8

    Ke nya B angla de sh India China Japan US France Ge rmany

    3.5% 3.9%4.6% 4.9%

    9.0% 9.9%11.0% 11.4%

    16.9%

    Bangladesh India China Kenya Japan UK Germany France US

    $19.50 $44.10 $44.50 $164.50

    $3,445.90 $3,590.80$4,524.10

    $4,973.10

    $7,830.10

    Bangladesh Kenya India China UK Japan Germany France US

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 5

    or tuberculosis therapies, and warnings o the

    emergence o diseases such as cholera as a result o

    natural disasters.

    As wealth increases, disease prevalence (epide-

    miology) changes rom diseases o poor sanita-

    tion and education such as tuberculosis, HIV and

    diarrhoea to diseases o the wealthy such as cancer

    and diabetes (fgure 3). For example, in 2000, there

    were estimated to be about 45 million diabetics in

    developed countries, or about 4% o the total popula-

    tion o those countries6. A recent UK study estimates

    that by 2005, prevalence had increased to nearly

    10%7. In India today, there are 35 million diabetics,

    a number that will increase to 80 million by 2030.I India were able to nd a way to manage diabetics

    or a tenth o the cost required in the US today, the

    bill or treating diabetes in 2030 would still be equal

    to the entire Indian healthcare budget or 2009.

    The countries o the Middle East present a

    particular challenge and opportunity. The countries

    o the Gul Cooperation Council (GCC)8 are sufering

    a dramatic rise in chronic disease, with over 40% o

    those over 60 sufering rom diabetes and higher

    rates o cardiovascular disease than Europe or the

    United States. Health systems are developing rapidly

    but have not yet matured. There are enormous

    opportunities or investment in new technologies

    and approaches that address these issues better

    than conventional health system structures do.

    For some less well-developed countries, the

    impact o an aging population is even more severe

    than it is in the developed world. For example,

    China is aging rapidly, and by 2030 will have broadly

    the same age distribution as most Western Euro-pean countries. Despite the act that the Chinese

    save at over our times the rate o the United States,

    with little in the way o any saety net, it is hard to

    see how it will deal with the upcoming wave o rail

    and elderly.

    6 Global Prevalence of Diabetes Estimates for 2000 and Projections for 2030, Diabetes Care Wild et al., volume 27, number 5, May 20047 Trends in the Prevalence and Incidence of Diabetes in the United Kingdom 1995-2005, Gonzales et al., Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health (online February 2009)8 Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Oman, Bahrain and Kuwait

    Source: World Health OrganizationAll income groupsHigh and medium only

    Medium and low onlyLimited to one income group

    High-income

    countries

    Deaths in

    millions

    Deaths in

    millions

    Middle-income

    countries

    Low-income

    countries

    Deaths in

    millions

    Coronary heart disease 1.34

    Stroke and other 0.77cerebrovascular diseases

    Trachea, bronchus 0.46and lung cancers

    Lower respiratory 0.34infections

    Chronic obstructive 0.30pulmonary disease

    Colon and rectum 0.26

    cancers

    Alzheimers and 0.22other dementias

    Diabetes mellitus 0.22

    Breast cancer 0.15

    Stomach cancer 0.14

    Stroke and other 3.02cerebrovascular diseases

    Coronary heart disease 2.77

    Chronic obstructive 1.57pulmonary disease

    Lower respiratory 0.69infection

    HIV/AIDS 0.62

    Perinatal conditions 0.60

    Stomach cancer 0.58

    Trachea, bronchus 0.57and lung cancers

    Road trac accidents 0.55

    Hypertensive heart disease 0.54

    Coronary heart disease 3.10

    Lower respiratory 2.86infections

    HIV/AIDS 2.14

    Perinatal conditions 1.83

    Stroke and other 1.72cerebrovascular diseases

    Diarrhoeal diseases 1.54

    Malaria 1.24

    Tuberculosis 1.10

    Chronic obstructive 0.88pulmonary disease

    Road trac accidents 0.53

    Figure 3: Causes o death, by high- middle- low-income countries

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    page 6 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    tHe advantage of mobile to a HealtH

    system

    Healthcare, unlike many other industries, is almost

    entirely delivered by physical interaction between

    patients and health proessionals. Furthermore, the

    complexity and specialisation o healthcare means

    that many diseases will require multiple proessionals

    to be engaged in diagnosis, treatment and ollow-

    up. This means that either patients have to periodi-

    cally travel to areas where all the health proessionalspractice (hospitals and clinics) or proessionals have

    to travel out to see patients. Both are expensive and

    inconvenient or at least one party.

    This need or co-location is manageable or

    episodic healthcare interactions like surgical opera-

    tions. However, or chronic diseases which require

    constant monitoring, this is not only inconvenient but

    also incredibly expensive in times o scarce proes-

    sionals, which explains why it oten does not take

    place. For example, in the US and UK, only two-thirds

    o cardiac patients received adequate rehabilitation.

    The promise o mobile health is to achieve co-loca-

    tion through technology solutions, allowing patients

    and health proessionals to interact without the need

    to be in the same place. Even when a health proes-

    sional is with the patient, he or she can interact with

    other parts o the health system remotely, accessing

    diagnostic tools, other health proessionals, images

    and prescribing drugs without needing to be in

    a hospital. This has enormous potential to lowerthe cost o health interactions all along the patient

    pathway, and achieve interactions that would other-

    wise be impractical (fgure 4).

    O course, xed internet-based technologies

    can also reach into the patients home, but mobile

    health has several overwhelming advantages.

    Firstly, mobile health is extremely convenient,

    as it ofers a wide range o mechanisms by which

    patients can transact with health proessionals, or

    systems which act as a proxy or health proessionals,

    2. The mobile health promise

    Number of visits tothe Dr/touch pointswith the healthcaresystem

    Early diagnosis

    Number of appointments(or even unnecessarytests)

    Early dischargefrom hospitalmeans bed-daysfreed

    Reducedexacerbations meansfewer emergencyadmissions

    Portable intercon-nected devices suchas heart monitor orcholesterol monitor

    Disease and lifestyleawareness andeducation

    Same portable deviceswith appropriatebackend solution mayallow earlier detectionand diagnosis

    Following intervention(stent, diuretics) andmobile monitoringallows earlierdischarge of patientsfrom hospital

    Remote monitoringsolution

    Treatmentcompliance solutions

    Prevention Diagnosis Treatment Monitoring

    SOLUTION EXAMPLES

    HEALTH VALUE CURRENCY

    Figure 4: Potential applications o mobile health cardiac monitor along heart ailure pathway

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 7

    wherever they are. These interactions can be quite

    sophisticated, remote sensors such as heart

    monitors, smart pill dispensers, RFID tags which

    can sense when a pill has been swallowed, or

    smart pills that can monitor vital signs as they pass

    through the body. They can also be very simple,

    and include voice, video or text-based messages,

    net-based inormation resources, or reminders

    generated by expert systems.

    Secondly, it allows continuous interaction with-

    out restricting the movements o patients, so is a

    powerul technology or conditions where such

    persistence is important, either or diagnosis or

    post-treatment maintenance, such as diabetes,respiratory, and cardiac disease. In these areas, the

    opportunity to ask patients to input data about

    their condition or to connect to remote sensors is

    particularly important.

    Finally, mobile platorms are increasingly ubiqui-

    tous. In the UK there are more mobile phones than

    people. However, this advantage is even greater in

    the developing world, where lack o conventional

    internet technology and health inrastructure

    makes mobile connectivity the only realistic mech-

    anism or citizens to access many services. The

    power o mobile technology to bring new services

    to citizens in the developing world is well illustrated

    by the example o mobile banking in Kenya, where

    the use o bank accounts has tracked the availability

    o mobile phones and achieved ar higher levels o

    penetration than in any Western market(fgure 5).

    wHat are tHe winning applications of

    mobile HealtH?

    For established healthcare systems, the biggest

    opportunities are likely to be in the management ochronic conditions such as diabetes, heart disease,

    respiratory disease and dementia. For all o these,

    the ability to monitor vital signs, visually inspect,

    locate the patient, promote efective administra-

    tion o medicines, and provide remote advice are

    the key interventions that will reduce system costs.

    All o these diseases tend to have the same risk

    actors smoking, diet, exercise so any appli-

    2

    Figure 5: Growth o mobile banking and bank accounts selected countries

    Sources: Wireless Intelligence; Number of depositors (IMF); A.T. Kearney analysis

    Cumulative year-on-year growth (indexed scale)

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    India mobile

    Kenya bank

    Spain bank

    0

    100

    1,100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Spain mobile

    Kenya mobile

    India bank

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    page 8 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    cation which is proven to address these is likely to

    be popular. Another emerging area to watch is the

    use o cognitive therapies to prevent dementia, and

    again devices that are proven to help in this area are

    likely to generate interest rom both health systems

    and consumers. Furthermore, by the age o 70 over

    30% o people in countries like the UK will sufer rom

    multiple chronic diseases, so solutions that are able

    to provide remote monitoring and management

    o multiple co-morbidities are likely to achieve the

    highest use and uptake. All o these applications will

    be directly or indirectly reimbursable.

    Ultimately it is likely that a relatively ew plat-

    orms will emerge which, like the iPhone, willestablish their position not through a killer app

    but through the range o applications available.

    Such platorms will allow secure connection o

    multiple devices to data management and storage

    systems which can be interrogated remotely

    by health proessionals or expert systems. To be

    successul, connectivity will be critical, both at the

    ront end to multiple devices and the back end

    to clinical systems. There is also a strong move in

    healthcare toward open systems, so it is likely that

    these platorms will be built around emergent

    international standards.

    In poorer countries, platorms that provide

    access to primary healthcare and advice stand a

    chance o becoming the predominant mode o

    access to healthcare rom remote locations in the

    same way that mobile nance has largely replaced

    the need or physical banks in Kenya. However,

    the need or exibility to address multiple condi-

    tions rom inectious disease through to advice on

    contraception and reducing inant mortality will be

    key to establishing widespread scale.

    tHe conservatism of HealtHcare

    However, while mobile health undoubtedly has

    huge potential, healthcare is a conservative industry.

    The rate o uptake o innovation is extremely slow

    and very diferent rom that o the mobile industry.

    For example, the average development cycle o a

    new mobile phone is measured in months, while

    the average development time or a new drug is

    around 10-15 years.

    Figure 6: Development cycle o statins compared to mobile telephony

    Bell Labsmakesrst call onmobile phone

    NTTlaunches rstcommercialnetwork

    IBM shows rstSmartphonedemonstrator

    NokiaCommunicatorSmartphone

    First 3G Networklaunched by NTT

    First BlackberrySmartphone

    First GSMnetworklaunchedin Finland

    iPhone

    Study provinglink betweencholesterol andheart disease,but not widelyaccepted

    Research oncholesterollowering drugsstarts in Japan

    Merck launchesZocor (simvastatin)

    Merck launchesMevacor (lovastatin)

    Zocor goeso patent

    Global salesof statinsexceed $25bn

    Key Dates:

    Mobile Telephony

    Key Dates:

    Statin Development

    1973 1979 1984 1987 1991 1992 1994 1996 2000 2002 2006 2007 2009 2012

    Simvastatin proved toreduce heart attacks by 42%

    Lipitor(atorvastatin)o patent

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 9

    2The history o statins, one o the great successstories o post-war medicine, illustrates this devel-

    opment cycle well. Statins are a type o drug

    that control the level o cholesterol in the blood,

    resulting in a dramatic reduction in the incidence o

    heart disease. In the United States alone, 40 million

    patients regularly take statins, and in 2009 total

    global sales topped $25 billion.

    While this is a great success story, despite there

    being overwhelming evidence o efectiveness since

    1994 and ater two decades and billions o dollars

    spent on marketing and sales, only hal o patients

    who would benet rom statins in the United States

    take the drugs.In act, the history o statins goes back to 1973,

    which is the same year as the rst mobile phone

    was demonstrated in Bell Labs (fgure 6). So a tech-

    nology which is both cheap and efective and is as

    old as the entire mobile industry has still not yet

    been ully adopted.

    O the many reasons or this slow uptake o

    technology, an important one is that new technol-

    ogies are literally a matter o lie and death. So the

    burden o proo that something works and is sae

    is very high a burden o proo which has shaped

    the mindset o the industry.

    This conservatism can be rustrating. The prin-

    ciple o build and they will come generally does

    not work, and achieving uptake takes a lot o efort.

    In the rest o this paper, we will explore how opera-

    tors can best navigate the barriers to uptake o

    innovation, in particular the problems o reimburse-ment and commercial viability. We will start with a

    discussion about how nancial ows work in health

    systems, then examine diferent ways in which

    operators can access the market.

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    page 10 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    developed world HealtH e cosystems

    Healthcare ecosystems vary widely between coun-

    tries and are extremely complex, with a wide variety

    o stakeholders and players (fgure 7). While health-

    care systems are all diferent, they all into relatively

    ew archetypes characterised by the way unds are

    distributed by health payers, and their relationship

    to the health providers hospitals, clinics, doctors,

    nurses and therapists.

    Free Market: All healthcare is delivered by pri-vate health insurance companies contracting

    with private or not-or-prot health providers or

    delivery o services. Premiums are paid by citi-

    zens or employers, and in most cases, the state

    subsidises at least some o the poor, old and dis-

    advantaged populations. This system is largely

    conned to the United States as it has proven to

    be di cult to control costs, it is very expensive

    to administer and it results in a high level o ine-

    quality o access, while not delivering particularly

    good health outcomes at a system level9. Many

    developing countries have ree market systems

    or the rich, but this is generally unafordable or

    the poor.

    National Insurance: Multiple, highly regulatedinsurers compete with each other to provide

    standardised coverage, adjusted so that risk is

    equalised across the population. Premiums are

    paid by employers or citizens and oten subsidised

    through general taxation. Participation by citizensis generally compulsory. Both insurers and health

    providers might be not-or-prots or private. The

    rst system o this type was developed in Ger-

    many in the 1890s, so these are oten reerred to

    as Bismarck systems. They are more e cient and

    equitable than ree market systems, but still in-

    cur a signicant cost in administration. Many de-

    veloping countries have national insurance-type

    systems or groups o citizens such as civil serv-

    ants and armed orces.

    3. Who pays or what?

    Figure 7: Players in the health ecosystem

    9 Mirror Mirror o n the Wall; An international update on the comparative performance of American Health Care Commonwealth Health Fund, 2007

    Gover n

    ment

    agenci e

    s

    Employe

    rs

    Insura

    nce

    comp

    anies

    Publicpayers

    Professional

    bodies,

    research,etc.

    Patie

    nt/

    consumer/

    carers

    Primary

    care

    Social

    serv

    ices

    Pharmacy

    Secondarycare

    Med

    ical

    supp

    liers

    HEALTH

    ECOSYSTEM

    INFR

    ASTRUCTURE

    INFRASTRUCT

    URE

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 11

    National Health Systems (NHS): A singlehealth payer system that provides healthcare

    to all its citizens, unded through either general

    taxation or a nominal national insurance pay-

    ment, with the government efectively acting

    as a monopoly insurer. The rst example o this

    system emerged post-war in the UK, so these

    are oten known as Beveridge systems, named

    or the economist who proposed the system.

    Health providers are oten a mixed economy

    o state, not-or-prot and private ownership,

    though the trend is to encourage private sector

    participation. They are the most cost-e cient

    o all systems as total expenditure can easily becontrolled through xed budgets, and with no

    claims to process, administration costs are lower.

    However, they are not as popular with citizens as

    insurance systems as they can be unresponsive

    to customer needs10. Many developing countries

    use a simple NHS type system to deliver basic

    care to the poor, while the rich pay privately.

    Within these three basic types o systems there

    are a bewildering number o hybrids and variants.

    Furthermore, as health systems seek to control costs

    and drive up quality, they tend to borrow mecha-

    nisms rom each other, and, over time, converge in

    terms o how they operate11.

    For mobile health solution providers, the archi-

    tecture o the system is important as it inuences

    who might buy solutions and what health payers

    value (fgure 8). In many but not all insurance-

    based systems, patients pay or healthcare and

    then reclaim rom the insurer, so they are more

    active participants in their choice o healthcare. The

    ocus o health payers is on managing down the

    cost o claims and establishing competitive advan-

    tage against other insurers. As citizens are generally

    ree to change insurers at any time, insurers havelimited incentive to invest in prevention o disease

    or public health.

    In NHS systems, healthcare is usually provided

    ree o charge, so mobile health solutions must be

    sold to health payers or health providers. Patients

    are oten unaware o costs, and may or may not

    be ofered choices o treatment. Payers tend to be

    more ocused on managing system costs, improving

    access and public health.

    The boundaries o health systems are oten

    unclear, in particular with social care. Social care is a

    Figure 8: Healthcare systems by archetype (Source: chartsbin.com, various sources)

    Universal Healthcare

    Single-payer universal healthcareSome form of universal healthcareUniversal healthcare in transitionNo universal healthcare or no data

    10 Bismarck or Beveridge: A beauty contest between dinosaurs Jouke van der Zee and Madelon W. Kroneman11 Healthcare Out of Balance how global forces will reshape the health of nations, A.T. Kearney 2008.

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    page 12 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    substantial and growing area o expenditure, usually

    unded separately rom health, oten through

    regional agencies. O particular interest or mobile

    health is elderly care, where a basic saety net is

    supplemented by unding rom amilies or individual

    savings. The growth in dementia in particular is

    causing a rapid medicalisation o long-term elderly

    care, which most systems are singularly ill-equipped

    to deal with. While social care is unded separately,

    it is closely linked to health services, as ailures in

    social care inevitably end up with the individuals

    being returned to the care o the health system. This

    distinction between health and social care unding

    is critical when considering mobile health applica-tions such as location services or older people.

    There are similar overlaps with education in the

    area o learning disabilities, and with criminal justice

    in areas o mental health and addiction. Under-

    standing exactly which agency pays or what in any

    particular country is critical or gaining reimburse-

    ment or any new technology.

    In looking at where the money gets spent, the

    vast majority o health spend goes to treatment in

    hospitals and clinics, with a signicant expenditure

    on elderly care in residential homes (fgure 9). A

    major cost lever or health payers is to keep patients

    out o these expensive institutions, which means

    that number o admissions and length o stay are

    important currencies in which benets o a health

    solution need to be expressed.

    How HealtHcare is paid for by tHe system

    Whatever the system, the most important eatures

    o mobile health are the way that payments work

    between the citizen, the health payer and the health

    provider, and the reimbursement model.

    Payers, through collection o premiums or taxes

    on citizens, have a risk pool o money rom which

    health and social services need to be paid. However,

    there is an inequality in power between healthpayers and health providers, as health providers

    have ar greater expertise to judge what services

    should be provided to a particular patient. Reim-

    bursement systems are oten based on activity,

    meaning that health providers have ew nancial

    incentives to prevent the need or treatment, or

    to limit how much care is actually delivered. As a

    consequence, in the United States, where there are

    ew incentives or health providers to be conserva-

    tive in treatment, there are double the number o

    MRI and CT scans compared to the average across

    OECD countries, double the number o revasculari-

    Hospitals

    Ambulatory

    care

    Retail sale,other providers

    Public healthadministration, provision

    Nursing/residential

    General healthadministration, insurance

    Other

    HEALTH

    AND

    SOCIAL CARE

    SYSTEMS

    Figure 9: Spend breakdown in health and social care systems (Germany, 2007. Source: WHO)

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 13

    sations and 55% more knee replacements12, many

    o which are interventions o dubious clinical value.

    Payers adopt a range o approaches to address

    the problem. Payers can incentivise citizens to

    use health resources careully by asking them to

    contribute to their care through co-payments. I well

    designed, these can encourage patients to use cost-

    efective technologies, look ater themselves better

    and take medicines properly13. However, they can

    also result in patients putting of treatment, which

    can increase costs in the long term14. Payers can also

    encourage competition and choice between health

    providers, and speciy how care should be delivered.

    However, the main tool to control costs isthe reimbursement system, which unds specic

    treatments or not depending on whether they

    are deemed to be cost-efective, and incentivises

    health providers to control costs and use the most

    efective treatment by transerring at least some o

    the nancial risk to them. There is also a trend to

    align nancial incentives with health outcomes,

    though this proves di cult to achieve in practice.

    Social care systems are usually unded sepa-

    rately and vary widely in their scope and generosity.

    They tend to provide a range o reimbursable serv-

    ices, and vary in the degree to which they are reac-

    tive to need or proactive in preventing problems.

    Social care includes the most mature o all mobile

    health applications in the orm o social alarms or

    the elderly. Uptake varies between countries, withSpain and the UK having the highest penetration in

    Europe at 15% o eligible population, but with ar

    12 Mark Pearson, Health Division, OECD; Why does the US spend so much more than other countries?13 For example: Evidence That Value-Based Insurance Can Be Effective; Michael E. Chernew et al; Health Affairs February 201014 Increased ambulatory care co-payments and hospitalizations amongst the elderly A.N Trivedi et. al New England Journal of Medicine, 2010

    Figure 10:Growth o sel-pay in the developing world

    (1) No separate social security category for Brazils public health expendituresSource: World Health Organization

    In China, health spend is increasinglynanced by private citizens

    In India as well, the already large privatenancing burden has increased

    In Russia, the states historically large health roleis shrinking while individuals nance the gap

    Brazil is the exception, with government healthexpenditure as a share of total on the rise

    3223

    Out-of-Pocket

    Out-of-Pocket

    Out-of-Pocket

    Out-of-Pocket

    Government

    Social Security

    2006

    54

    19

    1995

    46

    18

    24 27

    Other (Insurance)

    Other (Insurance)

    Government

    Social Security

    2006

    30

    7

    36

    1995

    13

    16

    46

    Other (Insurance)

    Government

    Social Security

    2006

    5

    76

    19

    1995

    6

    67

    25

    1 1

    Other (Insurance)

    Government

    2006

    19

    33

    48

    1995

    18

    39

    43(1)

    3 4

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    page 14 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    lower levels o 3% or less in other countries such as

    Germany and France. Most are provided by social

    care or housing services, and unding routes vary

    rom public unds in Germany and Denmark, to

    public nancing with user co-payment across the

    rest o Europe and Japan, and private payment in

    the United States15.

    Any health technology which is to be paid or

    by the health system needs to be compatible with

    this reimbursement system. A technology can be

    directly reimbursed by health payers, or indirectly

    reimbursed by being bought by health providers,

    who are themselves reimbursed by health payers.

    In the next chapter we will look in detail at how thisworks and its implications or mobile health solu-

    tion providers.

    HealtHcare funding in less well-

    establisHed markets

    Outside o the major established health systems,

    there are a wide range o circumstances, rom the

    poorest countries with very little in the way o

    health inrastructure to rapidly developing markets

    which have not yet created mature health systems

    (fgure 10).

    Within the poorest countries, healthcare un--

    ding comes rom individuals, the state and non-

    governmental organisations, and ocuses on basic

    healthcare. For example, in Kenya unding is split

    evenly between households (36%), state (29%) and

    donors (31%).

    As countries become wealthier, they tend to

    spend disproportionately more on health than on

    other consumer items. However, state unding o

    healthcare tends to lag overall consumption, so

    healthcare in developing countries is much more

    oriented toward sel-pay. For example, between

    2000 and 2015, consumer spending on healthcare

    services is orecast to increase 130% in India, nearly

    80% in China, and over 70% in Thailand.

    As state unding increases, developing coun-

    tries start to put in place universal healthcare, either

    modelled on NHS-type systems (such as in Brazil),

    compulsory private insurance (as in the GCC) or low-

    cost social insurance such as that ound in China. At

    the same time, private insurance or wealthy citizens

    unds investment in private hospitals which canoten be state o the art and totally unafordable to

    the general population.

    Providers o mobile health solutions in devel-

    oping countries will need to decide which segment

    o the population they are targeting. The rich will

    have needs similar to those in the developed world.

    For the poor, applications will need to use simple

    technologies (e.g., SMS) to address basic health

    problems, such as tuberculosis diagnosis and treat-

    ment monitoring, or education on preventing

    inant mortality. Many o these programs will be

    paid or by NGOs.

    The needs o the emerging middle class are

    less clear, but perhaps the most exciting. The

    way may be open to establish mobile health as

    a viable alternative to traditional methods o health

    delivery without any o the institutional reluctance

    to adopt innovation ound in more established

    health systems.

    15 ICT and Aging, European Study on Users, Markets and Technologies, European Commission January 2010

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 15

    4. Getting reimbursement or mobilehealth solutions

    As we have described, the vast majority o global

    health spend is ocused on reimbursed healthcare

    within established systems. This chapter ocuses on

    the specic challenges o accessing this market.

    creating value witHin tHe HealtH system

    To achieve widespread uptake within a reimbursed

    system, a mobile health solution must deliver

    healthcare more cost efectively than existing solu-

    tions. It can do this by being a lower cost way odelivering a given health outcome, and in this case it

    is critical to understand who will realise the nancial

    gain. Alternatively, it can provide additional health

    outcomes at an incremental cost, and in this case

    it will need to demonstrate that it is good value in

    health economics terms (fgure 11).

    In practice a number o actors play into the

    decision as to whether a particular technology will

    be unded by payers:

    Willingness to pay: Is this an area where thesystem is prepared to invest? While the theory o

    health economics is that judgements are based

    on rational trade-ofs, in practice every society

    and organisation has belies about what should

    be a priority. For example, air ambulances and

    treatment o many rare diseases have a low eco-

    nomic return, but are oten unded nevertheless.

    Budget constraints: A technology may be costefective, but it will not be unded i there is no

    additional money to pay or it, especially i some

    up-ront payment is required or uture returns.

    This is particularly an issue in budget driven NHS

    type health systems. Pathway considerations: Whether the inter-

    vention is preventative, curative, or designed or

    maintenance will determine how important it is

    seen to be, with investments in treatment typi-

    cally taking priority.

    Innovation value: While health systems are con-servative in uptake o technology, most recognize

    the need or innovation and diferentially und

    experimental technologies, in particular where

    there is no existing proven solution. Some health

    economics valuation methodologies include an

    innovation premium, which can make a big di-

    erence in the decision whether to und or not.

    4

    Figure 11:Type o value created by a mobile health application

    Sources of value creationfrom a mobile health solution

    Mobile health solution uptakedepends on who realises the benets

    Life years

    Morbidity

    Experience

    Resources

    Costs

    Activities

    FINANCIAL OUTCOMES

    Positive

    Negative

    Health Outcome Gain

    FinancialSystem

    Gain

    Neutral Positive

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    page 16 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    Tangible value creation: Value that can bemeasured and realised such as costs or lives

    saved will always have priority over less well

    dened areas such as broader social value. The

    more tangible and short term the measure and

    greater the level o proo, the more likely a tech-

    nology is to be unded.

    Funding fows and reimbursement model:This will determine which party will nancially

    benet rom any potential solution, and there-

    ore who is likely to be interested in buying it.

    O all o these, it is the last two which are both the

    most important and the most complicated andwhich will be investigated in more detail in the

    ollowing sections.

    understanding wHo benefits financially

    Reimbursement systems try to align incentives

    between health payers and health providers to

    provide the most appropriate care to patients in

    the most cost efective way. The problem is that

    each disease has a quite diferent dynamic in how

    it is treated, and optimising payment systems or

    every disease would make reimbursement systems

    impossibly complicated, not least because patients

    oten have more than one disease. A consequence

    o compromises required to build practical reim-

    bursement systems is that the actions o one agency

    oten benet another agency, and sometimes an

    agency will need to act against its own interest to

    benet the patient and system overall.

    For example, rheumatoid arthritis is a di -

    cult disease to recognise, and typically less than

    hal o people with the disease are diagnosed

    correctly. However, both patients and the overall

    system benet rom early intervention. One solu-

    tion is or rheumatologists to train and remotely

    support primary care physicians to recognise theearly stages o disease (an obvious area or mobile

    health), and indeed when they did this in Spain,

    diagnosis rates doubled. However, rheumatologists

    generally practice in hospitals, and are only reim-

    bursed when a patient is severely ill enough to be

    reerred to hospital or treatment a positive disin-

    centive or treatment in primary care.

    At the other end o the disease pathway, mobile

    health can help with early discharge o patients rom

    hospital ater treatment. However, i the hospital

    is paid a sum or each night a patient spends in

    Figure 12: Sources o value

    Numberof patients

    Numberof visits

    (per patient)

    Number ofactivities(per visit)

    Costper activity

    SystemCost/Benet x x x=

    Population Risk Pathway Efficiency

    Delivery

    Efficiency

    Examples of mobile health solutions

    Mobile health solution providespreventive advice which avoidshaving as many citizens goinginto doctors or hospitals

    Mobile health solution allowsremote monitoring of patientsin a particular disease andsubsequently reduces the numberof outpatient appointments

    Mobile health solution allowsinpatients being dischargedearlier from hospitals with aportable device connected to themobile phone

    Mobile health solution improvestreatment compliance of patientswith a particular disease andtherefore reduces the chances ofhaving emergency admissions Mobile health solution provides

    automatic data collection frompatient held devices and passesinformation to doctors, rather

    than patients having toself-read and phone doctors

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 17

    4hospital, the health payer and patient benets, butthe hospital loses revenue.

    There are two key actors that determine who

    potentially benets rom any novel technology;

    how the value is created, and exactly how the reim-

    bursement system distributes risk. Financial value

    can be created by (fgure 12):

    1. Preventing people rom getting illand so reducing the number o patients

    2. Reducing the number o times peopleinteract with the system

    3. Reducing the number o activitieswhich are carried out

    4. Reducing the cost o delivery

    Taking a cardiac disease patient as an example, a

    mobile health application could help people avoid

    disease by giving advice on healthy diet, automati-

    cally log cholesterol levels so avoiding trips to the

    doctor, allowing multiple readings to be carried

    out at the same time (cholesterol, electrocardio-

    gram, blood pressure, heart rate), or allowing early

    discharge ater an operation. Who benets rom

    each o these sources o value will depend on the

    degree to which the reimbursement system asso-

    ciated with that particular disease has passed risk

    rom the health payer to the health provider.

    In the simplest systems, health providers are paid

    retrospectively or the work they do so-called ee-

    or-service provided they use reimbursable proce-

    dures and technologies (fgure 13). This payment

    system is simple to administer, but requires robust

    mechanisms to prevent over-treatment, which

    are oten very unpopular with both providers and

    patients. However, its exibility means that complex

    treatments are oten reimbursed on this basis.

    At the opposite extreme, health payers can pass

    virtually all the risk or treatment to the health

    provider by using a prospective payment such ascapitated payments or global budgets. Payers give

    health providers a xed ee or a group o citizens,

    and the health providers are obliged to treat them

    no matter what is wrong with them, using whatever

    treatment they deem to be most suitable.

    The risk here is one o under-treatment, so

    control mechanisms ocus on measuring quality

    o outcome and care standards, which are di cult

    to measure. Some systems such as those in the UK,

    Germany and France include incentive payments

    or activities such as chronic disease management.

    This type o system is oten used or primary care

    services.

    Figure 13:Transerring risk rom payers to providers

    Where the burden of risk lies in the reimbursement systemPAYER PROVIDER

    Globalbudget/capitation

    Feefor

    service

    Risk at the payer side

    Risk at the provider side

    Simple, easy to administer

    Excessive (uncontrolled)use of resources

    Efficient use of resources

    Potential for patient selection,under-treatment

    A myriadof systemsin between

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    page 18 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    finding tHe rigHt customer

    Determining whether the customer or a mobile

    health solution is a health payer or health provider

    will be driven by who bears the risk. Unortunately,

    there are a wide range o diferent ways to distribute

    risk between the extremes o ee-or-service and

    capitation, and we have used three examples o

    such intermediate arrangements to illustrate how

    value shits (fgure 14):

    Resource Based Tariff is a retrospective systemthat pays an agreed amount to deliver a particu-

    lar type o treatment, described by Health Related

    Groups (HRGs) as used in the UK or Disease Related

    Groups (DRGs) as used in Australia and Germany.The ee is typically calculated on the average cost

    o treating the disease, reset on an annual basis.

    These work best where treatment packages can

    be well dened, such as elective surgical proce-

    dures.

    Normative Tariff is a more sophisticated ap-proach which bases the payment on the cost o

    a best practice treatment (typical top quartile)

    and is limited to treatments where it is easible to

    dene what best practice is.

    Year o Care is a prospective system which isemerging as a payment mechanism or chronic

    diseases. Providers take responsibility or all as-

    pects o care or a group o patients with a par-

    ticular disease or an annual ee per patient. It

    encourages health providers to take a more ho-

    listic approach to management o the patient, but

    requires tight denition o outcomes and disease

    states. This is being experimented with in several

    European countries.

    These two dimensions o source o value and

    reimbursement mechanism will dene who will

    benet rom a specic mobile health application.At either end o the reimbursement continuum it is

    quite simple. Under ee-or-service, health providers

    are paid or what they do, and will not necessarily

    benet rom mobile health applications unless

    specically identied as reimbursable services,

    so the health payer is generally the customer. At

    the other extreme, under capitation systems, risk is

    transerred to the health provider, so they are the

    ones that benet nancially rom any improvements

    in e ciency and efectiveness. However, between

    PopulationRisk

    PathwayEfficiency

    DeliveryEfficiency

    For a particular reimbursement system, who realises the value

    depends on the mobile health value proposition

    Fee forservice

    Globalbudget/

    capitation

    Numberof patients

    Numberof visits

    (per patient)

    Costper activity

    SystemCost/Benet

    x

    x

    =

    For a particularmobile health

    value proposition,who realises the

    value depends onthe reimburse-

    ment system

    Resourcebased tari

    (activity-based)

    Yearof care

    (activity-based)

    PAYER PROPOSITION PROVIDER PROPOSITION

    Risk at the payer sideRisk at the provider side

    Normativetari

    (activity-based)

    Figure 14: Financial beneciaries by type o reimbursement system and source o value

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 19

    4these two extremes o risk transer, it becomes morenuanced with a shit toward a provider proposition

    as risk is transerred.

    To address the limitations o traditional ee or

    service and tarif-based systems, health payers are

    starting to introduce specic tarifs or electronic

    interventions to encourage their uptake. The US is

    taking a lead in this. For example, in May 2010, the

    American Medical Association (AMA) House o Dele-

    gates passed a resolution stating that insurers should

    reimburse or email consultations. There are now 12

    states in the United States that require insurers to

    pay or telehealth consultations. It is likely that more

    and more systems will introduce such tarifs, thoughthe speed o uptake will vary by country.

    In general, the more comprehensive and ex-

    ible the reimbursement system, the easier it will

    be or novel technologies to achieve uptake. It is

    quite noticeable that the largest truly integrated

    health system in the United States, the Veterans

    Administration, has probably the largest and most

    integrated example o telehealth in the world

    through its Care Coordination Telehealth, which

    manages 30,000 citizens with chronic disease. As

    chronic diseases are increasingly recognised as the

    key drivers o health expenditure, reimbursement

    systems are likely to shit more and more risk to

    integrated groups o primary and secondary care

    providers, meaning that in the longer term, mobile

    health is likely to become an increasingly health

    provider-ocused proposition.

    measuring value of a mobile HealtH solution

    Solutions which purport to improve health outcomes

    must prove value or money against existing treat-

    ment approaches. The robustness o this analysis and

    the level o data required varies by country, the type

    o acceptance being sought, and who the customer

    is likely to be (fgure 15).

    I the objective is to get a technology reim-

    bursed directly by health payers, then some orm

    o ormal health economic assessment is very likely.Countries such as the UK have been pioneers in the

    science o Health Technology Assessment (HTA),

    and the UKs National Institute or Clinical Excel-

    lence (NICE) has robust and transparent processes

    to both evaluate the quality o evidence o e cacy,

    and to assess i a technology represents value or

    money. The ultimate measure o efectiveness is

    the cost o providing a Quality Adjusted Lie Year

    (QALY) against existing treatments. Getting a new

    technology through this process is time consuming

    and complex, but results in an appropriate adjust-

    ment o tarifs and treatment guidelines. Any solu-

    tion going through such a process will almost

    certainly be classied as a medical device, so will

    Figure 15: Assessing health value

    The level of evidence required varies per market, as it variesthe threshold at which solutions are considered worthwhile

    Service evaluations,one-o case studies

    and pilots

    Expertopinions

    Multi-centercohort and casecontrol studies

    Not randomizedcontrolled trials

    Randomizedcontrolled trials

    Uncontrolledand multiple time

    series trials

    Effort required to produce evidenceLow High

    Referenceability

    Low

    High

    Dierent types of studies generatedierent types of evidence

    Burdeno

    fproof

    e.g. France

    e.g. Spain, Italy

    e.g. Developing

    markets

    e.g. UK, Australia,

    CanadaHealth Technology

    Assessment

    Clinical and economicoutcomes based negotiations

    Not so standardizedevidence based negotiations

    Negotiations

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    page 20 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    need to overcome all the regulatory hurdles this

    entails. Also, most o the evaluative approaches

    have been developed or pharmaceutical products,

    and these may not be appropriate or non-chemical

    interventions.

    The approach to value evaluation varies by

    country. Germany, through its IQWiG institute, has a

    robust analysis process like the UK, Italys assessment

    is strongly weighted on innovation, France uses

    health economics as an input to a reimbursement

    decision, while Spain is oten characterised by assess-

    ments at both national and regional levels. In the

    United States, HTA is still emergent, and the approach

    taken varies by health plan. In developing countries,such evaluations are usually somewhat inormal.

    However, i the objective is to persuade local

    health payers or health providers to consider the

    technology as part o their overall approach to

    delivering care rather than to getting specic reim-

    bursement, the burden o proo is lower. Pilots and

    demonstrators can be valuable, but it is important

    that the purpose o such pilots is not just to prove the

    technology operates successully, but that the solu-

    tion delivers health outcomes and nancial benets

    in the real world. All such evaluations are best seen

    as support or marketing o the solutions, and will not

    by themselves result in widespread acceptance.

    The burden o proo required to support wide-

    spread uptake o a new technology should not be

    underestimated, and moving rom a pilot to roll-out

    oten proves to be quite challenging. Beore starting

    pilots, it is worth investing time to understand the

    needs o the authorities and customers who will

    determine i a new technology is to be used. It is also

    important to engage appropriate health economics

    experts to ensure the data collection and analysis

    is robust, as methodological weaknesses can easily

    destroy the value o a trial.

    wHetHer to seek reimbursement or not?

    Gaining reimbursement directly rom health payers

    is a complicated and time consuming exercise. It

    needs to be addressed application by application

    and market by market. However, the benets o

    doing so are huge. Gaining ormal reimbursementstatus makes the technology widely available and

    gaining reimbursement in one system makes it

    much easier to achieve in the next.

    However, mobile health solutions do not

    necessarily need to be accepted by health payers

    to achieve success in a reimbursed system.

    Providers will purchase technologies regardless

    o whether they are reimbursable provided they

    make commercial sense. Reimbursement systems

    that are exible and transer high levels o risk to

    health providers are thereore generally benecial

    to mobile health.

    Ultimately, i mobile health is to realise its ull

    potential, then it will need to be accepted by reim-

    bursed health systems as a mainstream technology.

    However, there are other potential customers, and

    these will be discussed in the next chapter.

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 21

    55. Who else buys mobile health solutions?

    otHer customers in tHe developed world

    While the majority o healthcare expenditure in

    the developed world is reimbursed, signicant

    sums are spent outside o the main health system

    (fgure 16).

    Consumers are becoming increasingly engaged

    in taking responsibility or their own health, oten

    encouraged by governments. Some 26% o the

    65 plus population in the US look or health advice

    online, with ~110 million North Americans classed ascyberchondriacs16. As a result, expenditure on well-

    ness related products is growing rapidly (fgure 17).

    When thinking about consumers it is important

    to distinguish between solutions which are true

    consumer services, and those which are proession-

    ally recommended to consumers by health proes-

    sionals; doctors, nurses, therapists, dentists or insur-

    ance companies.

    True consumer solutions in the developed world

    tend to ocus on wellness. Though this seems an

    attractive market or operators who are amiliar

    with consumer marketing and sales, solutions must

    compete or share o wallet against other wellness

    categories, and pricing is increasingly conditioned by

    the ready availability o cheap iPhone apps.

    Probably o more interest is the proessionally

    recommended segment, where solutions are paid

    or by customers on the specic recommendationo health proessionals, oten ocused on people

    who are on the cusp between well and ill. These

    consumer health markets are increasingly being

    targeted by consumer goods companies as growth

    rates and margins are higher than traditional

    consumer products. Opportunities are greatest in

    systems where there are high co-pays, or where

    the scope o services covered by reimbursement

    USA

    W. Europe

    APAC

    ROW

    Sources: 1) Espicom; 2) World Economic Forum; 3) Natural Marketing Institute (NMI), 2002 Harris Poll; PLMA, Planet Retail 2007; 4) Credit Suisse

    Directly attributableto healthcare

    1)

    Where isthe money?

    Indirect spendand costs

    $4,200bn

    (Global)

    2%ofworkforce

    capital

    47%

    28%

    14%

    12%

    ~50% government funded

    Mostly government funded

    Mostly consumer funded

    Workforceproductivity

    2)

    Wellness

    Social care

    Families/carers

    Consumerproducts 3)

    Careprovision

    4)

    $112bn(USA)

    $12+bn

    (USA)

    Consumermarket

    Consumermarket

    Etc.

    Etc.

    Etc.

    Employer/insurer market

    Figure 16: Sources o health spending

    16 Results of Harris Poll conducted in 2002

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    page 22 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    systems is limited. While at the moment in estab-

    lished systems there is still an expectation that the

    system will pay, as governments seek to control

    costs there may be increasing areas where sel-pay

    becomes more prevalent.

    Employers are increasingly recognising the cost

    o poor employee health, with an estimated 2% o

    capital spent on the workorce lost on employee

    disability17 and over 40% o lost work time being

    accounted or by chronic disease and signicant

    lost time and productivity due to stress. As a result,

    around hal o all multinationals ofer some orm o

    wellness program and are potentially prepared to

    pay or mobile health services18

    .In some recent work carried out by A.T. Kearney,

    employers in ve European countries were surveyed

    on their interest in buying a mobile wellness solution

    or their employees, and over two thirds expressed a

    willingness to pay or such a solution, with willing-

    ness to pay increasing with the richness o the solu-

    tion. Employers saw a range o potential benets

    which included the ability to attract employees in a

    competitive market place, as well as more tangible

    impacts to change employee behaviour to reduce ill

    health and absence (fgure 18).

    There are two major benets o targeting employers.

    Firstly, they are oten willing to pay or solutions

    which signicantly reduce their business costs.

    Secondly, they potentially allow access to a large

    number o consumers with a single transaction.

    Against this, complex mobile health solutions are

    likely to be attractive primarily to larger companies,

    and the range o solutions they are interested in is

    likely to be quite specic and ocused on risk actors

    which drive productivity and absence.

    Accessing employers requires quite a distinct

    channel strategy. Most health services are bought

    through insurance companies or benets consul-

    tancies and operators will need to access the HRexecutives who buy health services.

    Pharmaceutical companies are very inter-

    ested in solutions which increase the value o their

    medicines, in particular by helping to diagnose

    patients and by encouraging patients to take their

    medicines. Solutions may be provided to patients

    and healthcare proessionals ree o charge, or to be

    added into service packages with the medicine. A

    brie scan o iPhone applications provided by phar-

    maceutical companies illustrates their interest in

    this space (fgure 19).

    Sales (US in $ billions, growth percentage)

    Functional/Fortied foods/Beverages

    Organic foods/Beverages

    Vitamins, minerals, supplements

    Natural foods/Beverages

    Natural/Organic personal care

    Natural/Organic general merchandise

    5%

    18%

    7%

    4%

    7%

    32%

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2008

    $112

    2007 $50$40$30$20$10$0

    Health and Wellness Industry

    +9%

    Figure 17: Growth in US expenditure on health and wellness consumer products19

    17 Working towards Wellness, accelerating the prevention of Chronic Disease, World Economic Forum18 Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2006. USA Credit Suisse) A.T. Kearney analysis19 Source: Natural Marketing Institute (NMI), 2002 Harris Poll ; , PLMA, Planet Retail 2007, A.T. Kearney Analysis

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 23

    5Partnering with pharmaceutical companies hasthe great advantage that they have access to key

    medical opinions, health payers and doctors, and

    have all the systems in place to ensure patient

    saety. They are also global in reach and amiliar

    with the processes o establishing proo o e cacy.

    However, many pharmaceutical companies are

    ocused on developing their specic therapies, so

    may not be that interested in developing broader

    mobile health applications.

    customers in less well establisHed markets

    Much o the discussion in the previous section

    has been ocused on achieving reimbursementin countries with well established health systems.

    While developing countries account or relatively

    little spend today, they represent the greatest areas

    o spending growth.

    In poorer countries, NGOs are signicant

    customers o mass market mobile health solutions.

    These are usually quite simple SMS based solutions

    addressing basic health needs. While not as directly

    rewarding to shareholders, such projects clearly

    contribute enormously to the health o populations

    and reect well on the corporate responsibility o

    the operators involved. Such projects need a some-

    what diferent commercial approach, and operators

    will need to expect to share the benets to help

    address health inequalities. However, in the longer

    term, they help establish a powerul mobile brand

    and position companies well to play a major role in

    the development o local health systems.

    The role o consumers in countries with less

    well established health systems is potentially more

    signicant than the state dominated health systems

    o the Western World. The emerging middle classhas not been conditioned to expect state payment

    or healthcare, and may well prove more avid

    buyers o consumer health solutions. The proes-

    sionally recommended consumer segment is also

    likely to emerge as a signicant market. However,

    as soon as consumers become wealthy enough to

    aford insurance then the dynamics are likely to shit

    toward those o more established markets.

    Figure 18: Employers assessment o potential impact o a mobile health solution

    Sources of value creation from a mobile health solution

    Staffturnover

    Healthcarecosts

    Productivityrate

    Sicknessrate

    Stresslevel

    Employeesatisfaction

    Corporatebrand image

    Earlyretirement

    rate

    16%

    14%

    5% 5%

    16%

    17%

    20%

    5%

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    page 24 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    Targetaudience

    Healthcarep

    rofessionals

    Patients

    Generalpublic

    General Disease specic Product specic

    Real-time tracking of lab results Information and news

    Prognosis calculator Risk calculator Information Education EKG readings Decision making tools

    Product dosage calculator Prescribing information Risk calculator Disease progression calculator

    Disease awareness Education Patient Diary Treatment tracker Indicators tracker Symptoms tracker Clinical trials locator Specialist search engine Reminders

    Medication tracker, reminders

    and connect to healthcare team

    Source: First World, InPharm, A.T. Kearney analysis

    Johnson & JohnsonJohnson & Johnson Roche

    Johnson & Johnson

    Roche

    Roche

    MERCK Shire

    sano aventis

    sano aventis

    Novartis

    Pzer

    Pzer

    Pzer

    GSK

    Pzer

    MERCK

    GSK

    GSK

    Abbott

    BAYERBAYER

    Novartis

    Novartis

    Novartis

    Educational games Specialist locator Disease awareness News and information Message boards

    Health record / information Food tracker, restaurant locator Vaccination tracker Pharmacy locator

    Johnson & Johnson

    sano aventis

    App scope

    Figure 19: Functionalities o Rx iPhone apps by large pharma companies as o July 2010

    Figure 20: Value propositions tailored to each customer segment

    Heart monitorIllustrative Example

    A roadmap to scaling up mobile health solutions

    CRITICAL

    AT

    RIS

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    LEVELOFFRAGMENTAT

    ION

    LEVELOFFRAGMENTATIONDierent applications

    Dierent value propositions

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    MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS? | page 25

    66. Building a scale mobile health business

    an industry in early development

    Mobile health is still in the early stages o develop-

    ment and it is likely to be years beore the industry

    reaches maturity. Although operators have global

    aspirations or their mobile health businesses, solu-

    tions have not yet reached scale.

    Currently, very ew mobile health solutions are

    directly reimbursed by health payers. Most are

    targeted at health providers or as consumer

    products. Most services are at the pilot stage, or have

    only a ew installations, and ew are ully

    commercially established. Most are limited

    to the home market and have not yet been

    internationalised.

    In the developed world, ew operators provide

    clinical content or services. Where this is the case,

    however, services are simple and ocused on

    wellness and consumer-type propositions.

    In the developing world, more clinically intense

    solutions are being provided. These are generally

    supplied by healthcare company partner

    organisations.

    Taking into consideration all the actors outlined in

    this paper, we believe there are six key actors that

    operators need to consider to build a scale mobile

    health business:

    1. Building scalable solutions

    2. Deciding the role o the operator

    3. Finding the right partners

    4. Developing appropriate distribution andcommercial models

    5. Building the right inrastructure

    6. Dening the right path

    building scalable solutions

    A single mobile health technology can have multiple

    applications, but the approach and commercial

    model varies by application and by country. Each

    application needs a clear value proposition, with

    robust evidence to prove that it works.

    The situation is analogous to that ound in the

    pharmaceutical industry. Core technologies have

    multiple applications called indications. Clinical

    trials need to be carried out to prove each indicationin turn beore it is licensed or use, and pharmaceu-

    tical companies plan to increase the number o indi-

    cations over time, starting with those which have

    the highest demonstrated benet and demand.

    Operators should see mobile health in a similar

    way, as a series o layered solutions, where core

    technologies are linked to a range o applications

    ocused on diferent customer objectives, with a

    specic value proposition tailored to the particular

    customer segment and unding model (fgure 20).

    As the solution moves nearer to the customer,

    it needs to become more specialised and local-

    ised, with a wider range o partners and business

    models.

    While the overall approach to scalability should

    be considered early on, the approach to roll-out

    will typically need to be done application-by-appli-

    cation and country-by-country, ocusing on areas

    where there are the highest unmet health needs

    which are most accessible to operators. Most oper-

    ators we talked to had started with less clinically

    critical applications, and in their home country.

    Each o the applications will need to be sup-

    ported by robust proo o ecacy, demonstrating

    that the technologies can address unmet health

    needs and reduce costs, and operators should pace

    their expansion plans to build this body o evidence.

    The technical robustness o the solutions will be

    an absolute requirement, including the ability tointegrate with a wide range o clinical systems o

    varying levels o sophistication.

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    page 26 | MOBILE HEALTH, WHO PAYS?

    This need or proo and robustness has an

    impact on product liecycles. Healthcare buyers

    are unlikely to be interested in the technology itsel,

    and very wary o cutting-edge technology which

    would usually translate as unproven. Incremental

    innovation of a proven platorm is likely to be the

    most attractive positioning. Common standards

    will be critical to building scalable solutions by

    enabling interoperability o devices and systems

    and common solutions across markets. Health-

    care providers have an expectation o a airly long

    lie rom investment in technology, and are loath

    to make major investments in proprietary tech-

    nology. The uptake o digitised Picture Archivingand Communication Systems (PACS) has been

    accelerated by the introduction o the DICOM

    standard or medical images. Similar standards or

    device connectivity and interaces to core clinical

    systems will be important, and operators should

    ensure that solutions are consistent with emergent

    standards such as HL7 (a messaging standard or

    medical devices), ICD10 (which describe disease

    states) and SNOMED CT (which classies medical

    inormation).

    deciding tHe role of tHe operator

    In discussions with mobile operators questioned

    as research or this pape