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Milk Market Situation
Brussels, 22 October 2015
22 Oct 2015
!!! Data from some Member States are confidential and are NOT included in this table !!!
EU Productions
+ 1,3%+ 2,6% + 3,3%
- 7,0%
+ 1,2% + 1,7%
- 2,0% - 1,9%
+ 0,5%
EU Productions (Jan-Aug 2015 compared to Jan-Aug 2014)
22 Oct 2015
-16% to -12%
-12% to -08%
-08% to -04%
-04% to +00%
+00% to +04%
+04% to +08%
+08% to +12%
+12% to +16%
n/a+2,9
0
+3,8
+1,1
+0,9
-4,3
+9,2
-2,8+1,6
-0,7
-1,7
-5,6
-0,2
+1,0
+6,3
+5,8
+4,0
-1,0
+2,1
+4,7
-8,6
+3,2
+3,0
+1,6
-0,4
+1,5
Source : MS' Communications to Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Reg.479/2010.1(a)1
-2,6
-16% to -12%
-12% to -08%
-08% to -04%
-04% to +00%
+00% to +04%
+04% to +08%
+08% to +12%
+12% to +16%
n/a+6,6
+2,7
+3,9
+2,6
+2,5
-4,4
+12,3
-1,2+3,0
+0,3
-1,9
-3,8
+0,7
+0,3
+9,1
+4,4
+7,7
+0,3
+3,3
+4,3
-9,4+4,1
+3,5
+1,5
-0,3
+2,1
Source : MS' Communications to Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Reg.479/2010.1(a)1
-2,0
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
10
00
To
nn
es
EU - Cows' milk collected
2015
2014
2013
2012
Jan-Aug 2015/14 : +1,3%
Last update : Jan-AugSource : Estat - Newcronos
22 Oct 2015 Source: MS’ communications to Eurostat
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
-0,7% -1,3% -1,7% 1,5% 2,8% 3,8% 2,8% 2,8%
22 Oct 2015
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Jan 0
1
Jan 0
2
Jan 0
3
Jan 0
4
Jan 0
5
Jan 0
6
Jan 0
7
Jan 0
8
Jan 0
9
Jan 1
0
Jan 1
1
Jan 1
2
Jan 1
3
Jan 1
4
Jan 1
5
Jan 1
6
EU
R/
10
0
kg
EU Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to September 2015*)
Weighted EU Average (real fat content)
EU Milk Equivalent Price (based on EUSMP and Butter prices)
Milk Prices (LTO)
Source :MS’ communications under reg. 562/2005 & 479/2010 + LTO : Land- en Tuinbouworganisatie Nederland (http://www.milkprices.nl/)
* : estimated price in running month
29,5
26,3
22 Oct 2015
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420
440
Jan 0
3
Jan 0
4
Jan 0
5
Jan 0
6
Jan 0
7
Jan 0
8
Jan 0
9
Jan 1
0
Jan 1
1
Jan 1
2
Jan 1
3
Jan 1
4
Jan 1
5
in E
UR/1
00 k
g
EU Dairy Quotations
(EU Average Prices based on MS communication and weighted by production)
BUTTER
SMP
WMP
CHEDDAR
Source: MS’ communications under reg. 562/2005 and 479/2010
22 Oct 2015
-20 000
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
SEP 14 OCT 14NOV 14 DEC 14 JAN 15 FEB 15 MAR 15 APR 15MAY 15 JUN 15 JUL 15 AUG 15 SEP 15
Qu
anti
ty in
tonn
es
Private Storage Aid Scheme (2014-2015) - BUTTER
Quantities In
Quantities Out
Quantities offered into private storage
Stocks level (end of month)
22 Oct 2015
-10 000
-5 000
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
55 000
SEP 14 OCT 14NOV 14 DEC 14 JAN 15 FEB 15 MAR 15 APR 15MAY 15 JUN 15 JUL 15 AUG 15 SEP 15
Qua
ntit
y in
tonn
es
Private Storage Aid Scheme (2014-2015) - S.M.P.
Quantities In
Quantities Out
Quantities offered into private storage
Stocks level (end of month)
22 Oct 2015
U3/AG3-1
22 Oct 2015
22 Oct 2015
EU-28 Exports (1/2) Source : Eurostat (COMEXT)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
118 119126
94102 102
120
1000 Tonnes
BUTTER exports
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Aug 2015 exports compared to 2014 : + 9%
BUTTER exports
2014
2015
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
176229
376
515 520
407
647
1000 TonnesSMP exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Aug 2015 exports compared to 2014 : + 10%
SMP exports
2014
2015
22 Oct 2015
EU-28 Exports (2/2)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
547 569
667 673
768 786
721
1000 Tonnes
CHEESE exports
0
100
200
300
400
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
483458 445
388 386 374390
1000 TonnesWMP exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Aug 2015 exports compared to 2014 : - 8%
CHEESE exports
2014
2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Aug 2015 exports compared to 2014 : - 2%
WMP exports
20142015
22 Oct 2015
22 Oct 2015
Main Dairy Importers (Butter + Butteroil 1/2)
0
25
50
75
100
125
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
12098
110 111 114136 139
1000 Tonnes
Russia
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Jul 2015 compared to 2014 : - 42%
20142015
0
25
50
75
100
125
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1328 23
3648 52
80
1000 Tonnes
China
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Aug 2015 compared to 2014 : - 32%
2014
2011
2015
22 Oct 2015
Main Dairy Importers (S.M.P. - 1/2)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
55 70 89130
168
235 253
1000 Tonnes
China
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Aug 2015 compared to 2014 : - 24%
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
105 93 98129 112 120
168
1000 Tonnes
Algeria
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Jun 2015 compared to 2014 : - 17%
2014
2015
Jan-Jun 2015 compared to 2014 : - 17%
22 Oct 2015
Main Dairy Importers (W.M.P. 1/2)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
46
177
326 320406
619 671
1000 Tonnes
China
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Aug 2015 compared to 2014 : - 54%
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
153200
167204 188
142204
1000 Tonnes
Algeria
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Jun 2015 compared to 2014 : + 16%
2014
2014
Jan-Jun 2015 compared to 2014 : + 16%
2015
22 Oct 2015
