Miles Keeping - Green Investment, An Asset Value

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    Green investment an asset value?

    Miles Keeping

    Director

    Downloadable from www.greenleases-uk.com

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    AgendaMaking office buildings greener:

    How is it an issue?

    Why is it an issue?

    What are the effects of this on value?

    How can landlords capture the benefits of greener

    offices?

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    Is on the agenda or is atleast an issue

    Is a new risk factor

    Why is this so?

    And

    How is this evident?

    Environmental sustainability in the built

    environment

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    The evidence.. Number of BREEAM offices

    assessments 1999 - 2007

    2468

    2468

    999 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7

    Source: BRE 23/11/2007

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    Breakdown of the 156 BREEAM Offices

    assessments undertaken during 2007*

    103

    3317

    3

    xcellentVery GoodGoodPass

    Source: BRE 23/11/2007

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    How is the market responding?

    What is really happening on the ground?

    Government departments?

    Corporate Occupiers?

    What are developers doing? - Speculative

    development

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    Government market evidenceRed Kite House,

    Wallingford -BREEAM

    Excellent Green features:

    Natural ventilation and

    nocturnal cooling

    Photo-voltaic cells and solarpanels

    Rainwater harvesting

    25% less CO2 and 40% lower

    water demands than current

    eco-friendly offices

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    Government market evidence

    Civil Justice Centre, Manchester

    Winner of multiple green awards

    Green features:

    Low energy building

    Natural ventilation

    Groundwater cooling

    High day-lighting levels

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    How important is government demand?

    Require BREEAM excellent for new build or very good forrefurbishments

    Public sector take up to the twelve months to September 2007was 16% across the UK.

    Representing 1.8m ft2

    But what about the 6.5m ft2 acquired by financial businessservices?

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    Floor space transacted by sector, %

    (12 months to September 2007)

    57

    16

    10

    2

    5

    2 2

    5

    F&BS

    Public Sector

    TMT

    Construction

    Industrial

    Serviced Office

    Retail

    Others, Transport,Charity, NGO

    Source: King Sturge

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    Corporate market evidenceHBOS, Bristol Harbourside Project Green

    BREEAM Excellent

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    Corporate market evidence

    KPMG, Snow Hill

    Birmingham BREEAM Excellent

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    Corporate market evidence

    7 More London

    PriceWaterhouseCoopers

    BREEAM Excellent

    450,000 ft2

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    HOW IS THE UKS SPECULATIVE OFFICE

    MARKET RESPONDING?

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    London the next generation1 Merchant Square

    (Paddington Basin), W2

    BREEAM Excellent257,000ft

    Tri-generator on site (power,

    heating and cooling)

    Biofuel and PV cells Rainwater harvesting

    Exceeds all current energy

    codes and London

    renewables benchmark

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    Birmingham the next generation

    11 Brindley Place

    BREEAM Excellent

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    Bristol the next generation

    Temple Back BREEAM

    Excellent

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    Leeds the next generation

    Latitude BREEAM

    Excellent

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    Manchester the next generation

    Piccadilly Place

    BREEAM Excellent

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    Edinburgh the next generation

    Interpoint,

    Haymarket BREEAM

    Excellent

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    Summary. Not all markets are the same

    Location is still king

    New stock is only about 2% of market

    But, greener stock will be the market norm in future

    Legislation may have the final say.

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    So, why are these & other buildings green?

    Environmental necessity

    Regulatory change

    Market demand

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    Where do demands for change come

    from?

    Governmental

    bodies

    Governmental

    bodies

    Activ ists/ Opinion

    formers

    Activists/ Opinion

    formers

    CommunityCommunity

    NGOsNGOsBusiness partners/

    Suppliers

    Business partners/

    Suppliers

    EmployeesEmployees

    Customers/

    Policyholders

    Customers/

    Policyholders

    Investors/

    Shareholders

    Investors/

    Shareholders

    TenantsTenants

    Property

    owners

    Property

    owners

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    M

    illionMetric

    To

    nsofCarbon

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    1970 1990 2000

    Industry

    Transportation

    Buildings

    CO2 & Property meta trends

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    Environmental Standards

    Num

    bersofbu

    ildings

    Re

    gulatoryminimum

    High Quality Sector

    Exemplars

    BREEAM

    High Quality Sector

    Exemplars

    BREEAM

    Environmental Standards

    Num

    bersofb

    uildings

    Regulations are tightening

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    For existing property

    Energy Performance of BuildingsDirective (EPBD)

    Energy Performance Certification

    required on buildings at point of sale,rent or following major refurbishment

    from April 2008

    Will affect UK & European buildings Impact of Asset Rating will affect the

    market

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    20 reduction

    20-28 reduction20 reduction

    Building Regs (Part L)

    bnEmison

    2002 2006 2010 2015

    and for new build (& refurb) projects

    Energy codes will reduce carbon intensity in new UK

    building stock by 50% in 13 years

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    In other words, this is a lifecycle issue for all

    property stakeholders

    TransactionAsset LifeDevelopment

    Carbon in practice

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    Key property players have bought into it

    Hermes believes that a

    comprehensive and clearly

    articulated approach to

    Responsible Property

    Investment is an essential

    step to addressing the

    growing CSR changes that

    exist within the property

    investment market.

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    business practices that are economically, sociallyand environmentally sustainable

    put sustainability at the heart of the developmentprocess

    committed to minimising the environmentalimpacts of our business operations

    We have developed a strategy to reduce our

    energy use & limit our impact on climate change

    What some other organisations say

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    CoreNet Green Buildings White Paper :

    occupiers have bought into sustainability

    72% of property occupier directors believe their

    business suffers financially from buildings

    environmental inefficiency

    Carbon Disclosure Project: Cost of carbon may

    erode FT Global 500 companies annual net

    income by up to 45%

    Do organisations want a sustainable

    approach to business?

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    So what is the business case for greener

    buildings?Adding Value for a Low Carbon Future

    Differentiation

    Increased building value

    Lower energy bills

    Enhanced building visibility

    Meeting CSR agenda

    Market demand

    Attraction and retention of employees

    Faster planning approval

    Tax and regulatory incentives

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    What are the effects of this on value?

    Will rents be higher for green offices?

    Will capital values be higher?

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    The questions all landlords want

    answered

    Will tenants pay more?.....

    Is the wrong question to ask

    More importantly

    .Will you let it more quickly?

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    SOME WILL PAY

    Aztec 500 WS Atkins

    BREEAM Very Good

    Green features/spec are

    Active chilled beam

    Ground source heat

    pumps Grey water recycling

    Natural night cooling

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    SOME WILL LET MORE QUICKLY

    THINK, 160 Tooley Street, Southwark

    BREEAM Excellent

    Green features:

    Low energy cooling

    Modularisation and prefabrication

    Recycled aggregates in cladding Hollow column air ducting

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    What landlords should expect from

    green buildings

    Better tenant retention and shorter void periods

    Lower operation and maintenance costs Grants, subsidies, tax breaks to reduce CO2

    emissions

    Improving business productivity for occupants

    Higher values and stronger growth

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    Implications for investment value

    Occupiers and investors will expect market-

    leading property to possess strong

    sustainability credentials

    Definition of prime property will include green

    characteristics

    Lower grades of property will be viewed asdiscountable

    There will be an impact

    on investment yields

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    What are sustainable investments worth?

    If anything affects the risk premium, rental growthprospects and possibili ty for depreciation, capital

    value will be affected

    Green properties are likely to have:

    Lower total occupation costs (utilities; tax)

    Higher rental growth rates (occupier preference) Reduced risk premia (increased liquidity)

    Smaller capital injections (to meet regulations).

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    The bottom line certainly matters

    Energy (Certification)

    Green value: Tieredmarket?

    Building performance

    Future proofing: Reducing

    obsolescence risk.

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    but sustainability benefits are not

    just about money

    Landlords can align their own CSR aspirations &

    attract occupiers with strong CSR policies

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    How can the benefits of green buildings

    be captured by landlords?

    Key questions:

    What do tenants want?

    How are these likely to change?

    How can these requirements be addressed?

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    Some of the key questions from

    potential tenants

    What are the carbon footprint & energy cost of this building?

    What is the BREEAM rating of this building?

    How secure is the energy supply to this building?

    What attitudes does the landlord have to environmentalimprovement?

    Will they work with us to help us improve our environmentalperformance?

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    Emerging Themes

    Landlord / Tenant Relations

    Off Grid Buildings

    New Services Partnerships

    Getting the product right

    Ensuring property doesn't become a depreciating

    liability but an appreciating asset

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    .. And some responses to these

    Think about the key green lease terms

    You can future-proof buildings against changingrequirements and regulations

    The cost and value implications of BREEAM ratings need to

    be considered very early

    Green property funds can be set up to create good returns

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    CONCLUSIONS

    This is a reality!

    Early adopters will benefit most

    Regulations are rapidly changing

    Tenant demand on a steep upward curve

    Value implications will make the case for providing

    green offices more and more compelling

    Cost implications need careful thought

    Dont need to be prohibitive.

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    Green investment an asset value?

    Miles Keeping

    Director