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PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 0
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF
MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA
SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
MAY 2019
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 1
Content
AREA CERTIFIED FOR EXPORT TO USA BY MUNICIPALITY IN THE STATE OF MICHOACAN APPLIED
IN THIS STUDY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT ............................................................................................. 2
DISTRIBUTION OF HECTARES – ACRES AND ORCHARDS BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL .......... 3
DISTRIBUTION OF SURFACE AND ORCHARDS BY STRATUM ............................................................. 4
DISTRIBUTION OF STRATA BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL (HECTARES)..................................... 5
DISTRIBUTION OF STRATA BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL (ACRES) ........................................... 6
ESTIMATION OF PRODUCTION 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES) .................................................. 7
ESTIMATION OF PRODUCTION 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT (POUNDS) ................................................. 8
BALANCE OF PRODUCTION TRENDS BY MUNICIPALITY CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES) ............................. 9
TRENDS IN PRODUCTION BY MUNICIPALITY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT GRAPH OF TONNES .......... 10
BALANCE OF PRODUCTION TRENDS BY MUNICIPALITY (POUNDS) ................................................. 11
TRENDS IN PRODUCTION BY MUNICIPALITY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT GRAPH OF POUNDS .......... 12
TRENDS OF PRODUCTION BY STRATUM CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES – POUNDS) ................................. 13
TRENDS IN PERFORMANCE BY METERS ABOVE THE LEVEL OF THE SEA CRAZY FRUIT ................... 14
DENSITY OF TREES PER HECTARE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION ...................................................... 15
DENSITY OF TREES PER HECTARE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION (GRAPHIC) .................................... 16
DENSITY OF TREES PER ACRE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION ............................................................. 17
DENSITY OF TREES PER ACRE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION (GRAPHIC) .......................................... 18
PROFILES OF THE ORCHARD .............................................................................................................. 19
PICTURES OF TRAINING TO EQUIPMENT TO THE SAMPLING .......................................................... 24
PICTURES OF FIELD SAMPLING ......................................................................................................... 25
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 2
AREA CERTIFIED FOR EXPORT TO USA BY MUNICIPALITY IN THE STATE OF MICHOACAN APPLIED IN THIS STUDY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT
MUNICIPALITY SURFACE
HECTARES SURFACE
ACRES
ACUITZIO 1,741.64 4,303.69
APATZINGÁN-NUEVO URECHO 1,386.67 3,426.54
ARIO DE ROSALES 16,658.67 41,164.47
COTIJA DE LA PAZ 2,502.53 6,183.89
ERONGARICUARO-PATZCUARO-HUIRAMBA-QUIROGA-TZINTZUNTZAN
1,739.32 4,297.95
LOS REYES 6,522.70 16,117.94
MORELIA - MORELOS 764.18 1,888.33
NUEVO PARANGARICUTIRO 6,580.62 16,261.07
HIDALGO-TUXPAN-IRIMBO-CHARO-ZITÁCUARO 887.78 2,193.75
PARÁCUARO 1,004.19 2,481.41
PERIBÁN-CHARAPAN 8,850.65 21,870.43
PUREPERO-ZACAPU-TLAZAZALCA-JIMÉNEZ 2,429.71 6,003.94
SALVADOR ESCALANTE 14,658.91 36,222.96
TACÁMBARO 10,025.51 24,773.57
TANCÍTARO 23,643.09 58,423.35
TANGAMANDAPIO 2,433.61 6,013.58
TANGANCICUARO 956.04 2,362.43
TARETAN 1,217.90 3,009.50
TINGAMBATO 3,126.79 7,726.47
TINGÜINDÍN-TOCUMBO 5,386.94 13,311.42
TURICATO 4,783.59 11,820.51
URUAPAN 15,248.84 37,680.70
VILLA MADERO 1,259.93 3,113.35
ZIRACUARETIRO 3,968.91 9,807.39
TOTAL 137,778.72 340,458.63
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 3
DISTRIBUTION OF HECTARES – ACRES AND ORCHARDS BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL
M A. S. L. HECTARES ACRES ORCHARDS
LESS THAN 1600 12,101.05 29,902.35 4,329
1601-1700 10,881.76 26,889.41 3,786
1701-1800 12,506.41 30,904.01 4,429
1801-1900 15,378.93 38,002.16 5,049
1901-2000 17,063.02 42,163.64 5,366
2001-2100 18,685.09 46,171.86 5,551
2101-2200 18,133.47 44,808.78 5,105
2201-2300 17,214.98 42,539.14 5,004
2301 OR MORE 15,814.01 39,077.27 3,421
TOTAL 137,778.72 340,458.63 42,040
0.00
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
35,000.00
40,000.00
45,000.00
50,000.00
LESSTHAN1600
1601-1700
1701-1800
1801-1900
1901-2000
2001-2100
2101-2200
2201-2300
2301 ORMORE
HECTARES 12,101.05 10,881.76 12,506.41 15,378.93 17,063.02 18,685.09 18,133.47 17,214.98 15,814.01
ACRES 29,902.35 26,889.41 30,904.01 38,002.16 42,163.64 46,171.86 44,808.78 42,539.14 39,077.27
ORCHARDS 4,329 3,786 4,429 5,049 5,366 5,551 5,105 5,004 3,421
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 4
DISTRIBUTION OF SURFACE AND ORCHARDS BY STRATUM
STRATUM (1) SURFACE BY STRATUM HECTARES
SURFACE BY STRATUM
ACRES PERCENTAGE
ORCHARD NUMBER
STRATUM 1 40,222.50 99,391.96 29% 29,990
STRATUM 2 51,685.59 127,717.87 38% 9,611
STRATUM 3 35,008.26 86,507.29 25% 2,185
STRATUM 4 10,862.37 26,841.50 8% 254
TOTAL 137,778.72 340,458.63 100% 42,040
(1)
STRATUM 1: ORCHARDS WITH LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 7.41316 ACRES.
STRATUM 2: SURFACE ORCHARDS WITH MORE THAN 7.41316 ACRES TO 24.7105 ACRES.
STRATUM 3: SURFACE ORCHARDS WITH MORE THAN 24.7105 ACRES TO 74.1316 ACRES.
STRATUM 4: ORCHARDS WITH MORE THAN 74.1316 ACRES.
0.00
20,000.00
40,000.00
60,000.00
80,000.00
100,000.00
120,000.00
140,000.00
STRATUM 1 STRATUM 2 STRATUM 3 STRATUM 4
SURFACE BY STRATUM HECTARES 40,222.50 51,685.59 35,008.26 10,862.37
SURFACE BY STRATUM ACRES 99,391.96 127,717.87 86,507.29 26,841.50
ORCHARD NUMBER 29,990 9,611 2,185 254
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 5
DISTRIBUTION OF STRATA BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL (HECTARES)
M A.S.L. SURFACE STRATUM
1
SURFACE STRATUM
2
SURFACE STRATUM
3
SURFACE STRATUM
4 SURFACE
LESS THAN 1600 4,242.37 4,603.17 2,812.93 442.58 12,101.05
1601-1700 3,647.69 4,656.47 2,153.68 423.92 10,881.76
1701-1800 4,305.15 5,239.05 2,159.28 802.93 12,506.41
1801-1900 4,817.02 6,085.43 3,389.49 1,086.99 15,378.93
1901-2000 5,026.96 6,674.61 3,960.71 1,400.74 17,063.02
2001-2100 5,296.92 6,898.80 5,200.73 1,288.64 18,685.09
2101-2200 4,877.98 6,234.26 5,243.09 1,778.14 18,133.47
2201-2300 4,906.11 5,812.45 4,692.99 1,803.43 17,214.98
2301 OR MORE 3,102.30 5,481.35 5,395.36 1,835.00 15,814.01
TOTAL 40,222.50 51,685.59 35,008.26 10,862.37 137,778.72
0.00
1,000.00
2,000.00
3,000.00
4,000.00
5,000.00
6,000.00
7,000.00
SURFACE STRATUM 1 SURFACE STRATUM 2
SURFACE STRATUM 3 SURFACE STRATUM 4
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 6
DISTRIBUTION OF STRATA BY METERS ABOVE THE SEA LEVEL (ACRES)
M A.S.L. SURFACE STRATUM
1
SURFACE STRATUM
2
SURFACE STRATUM
3
SURFACE STRATUM
4 SURFACE
LESS THAN 1600 10,483.12 11,374.68 6,950.90 1,093.64 29,902.35
1601-1700 9,013.64 11,506.39 5,321.86 1,047.53 26,889.41
1701-1800 10,638.26 12,945.97 5,335.70 1,984.08 30,904.01
1801-1900 11,903.12 15,037.43 8,375.61 2,686.01 38,002.16
1901-2000 12,421.89 16,493.32 9,787.13 3,461.30 42,163.64
2001-2100 13,088.97 17,047.31 12,851.28 3,184.30 46,171.86
2101-2200 12,053.75 15,405.19 12,955.96 4,393.88 44,808.78
2201-2300 12,123.26 14,362.88 11,596.63 4,456.37 42,539.14
2301 OR MORE 7,665.95 13,544.71 13,332.22 4,534.38 39,077.27
TOTAL 99,391.96 127,717.87 86,507.29 26,841.50 340,458.63
0.00
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
14,000.00
16,000.00
18,000.00
SURFACE STRATUM 1 SURFACE STRATUM 2
SURFACE STRATUM 3 SURFACE STRATUM 4
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 7
ESTIMATION OF PRODUCTION 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES)
ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO
PRODUCTION CERTIFIED AREA TO
USA SEASON 2018–2019 3rd STAGE
CRAZY FRUIT
(TONNES)
197,135.74TONNES
210,021.11TONNES
184,250.36TONNES
LOWER LIMIT UPPER LIMIT
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 8
ESTIMATION OF PRODUCTION 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT (POUNDS)
ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO
PRODUCTION CERTIFIED AREA TO
USA SEASON 2018–2019 3rd STAGE
CRAZY FRUIT
(POUNDS)
434,609,903.16POUNDS
463,017,294.04POUNDS
406,202,512.27
POUNDS
LOWER LIMIT UPPER LIMIT
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 9
BALANCE OF PRODUCTION TRENDS BY MUNICIPALITY CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES)
MUNICIPALITY SURFACE
HECTARES
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION
TONNES
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION
TONNES/ HECTARES
ACUITZIO 1,741.64 2,970.73 1.71
APATZINGÁN-NUEVO URECHO 1,386.67 2,327.36 1.68
ARIO DE ROSALES 16,658.67 21,280.61 1.28
COTIJA DE LA PAZ 2,502.53 3,577.07 1.43
ERONGARICUARO-PATZCUARO-HUIRAMBA-QUIROGA-TZINTZUNTZAN
1,739.32 2,818.48 1.62
LOS REYES 6,522.70 9,232.55 1.42
MORELIA - MORELOS 764.18 1,093.40 1.43
NUEVO PARANGARICUTIRO 6,580.62 7,046.56 1.07
HIDALGO-TUXPAN-IRIMBO-CHARO-ZITACUARO
887.78 983.08 1.11
PARÁCUARO 1,004.19 1,711.42 1.70
PERIBÁN-CHARAPAN 8,850.65 17,449.60 1.97
PUREPERO-ZACAPU-TLAZAZALCA-JIMÉNEZ 2,429.71 3,122.37 1.29
SALVADOR ESCALANTE 14,658.91 21,376.71 1.46
TACÁMBARO 10,025.51 12,114.62 1.21
TANCÍTARO 23,643.09 34,706.51 1.47
TANGAMANDAPIO 2,433.61 2,906.29 1.19
TANGANCICUARO 956.04 1,401.67 1.47
TARETAN 1,217.90 2,124.10 1.74
TINGAMBATO 3,126.79 4,539.37 1.45
TINGÜINDÍN-TOCUMBO 5,386.94 7,913.80 1.47
TURICATO 4,783.59 6,975.52 1.46
URUAPAN 15,248.84 23,049.32 1.51
VILLA MADERO 1,259.93 1,977.30 1.57
ZIRACUARETIRO 3,968.91 4,437.30 1.12
TOTAL 137,778.72 197,135.74 1.43
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 10
TRENDS IN PRODUCTION BY MUNICIPALITY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT GRAPH OF TONNES
0.00
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
35,000.00
SURFACE HECTARES
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION TONNES
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 11
BALANCE OF PRODUCTION TRENDS BY MUNICIPALITY (POUNDS AND
POUNDS/ACRE)
MUNICIPALITY SURFACE
ACRES
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION
POUNDS
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION
POUNDS /ACRE
ACUITZIO 4,303.69 6,549,338.59 1,521.80
APATZINGÁN-NUEVO URECHO 3,426.54 5,130,955.33 1,497.42
ARIO DE ROSALES 41,164.47 46,915,714.42 1,139.71
COTIJA DE LA PAZ 6,183.89 7,886,089.48 1,275.26
ERONGARICUARO-PATZCUARO-HUIRAMBA-QUIROGA-TZINTZUNTZAN
4,297.95 6,213,679.56 1,445.73
LOS REYES 16,117.94 20,354,288.68 1,262.83
MORELIA - MORELOS 1,888.33 2,410,534.39 1,276.54
NUEVO PARANGARICUTIRO 16,261.07 15,535,005.65 955.35
HIDALGO-TUXPAN-IRIMBO-CHARO-ZITACUARO 2,193.75 2,167,320.42 987.95
PARÁCUARO 2,481.41 3,773,035.26 1,520.52
PERIBÁN-CHARAPAN 21,870.43 38,469,783.07 1,758.99
PUREPERO-ZACAPU-TLAZAZALCA-JIMÉNEZ 6,003.94 6,883,647.57 1,146.52
SALVADOR ESCALANTE 36,222.96 47,127,578.66 1,301.04
TACÁMBARO 24,773.57 26,708,165.70 1,078.09
TANCÍTARO 58,423.35 76,514,757.51 1,309.66
TANGAMANDAPIO 6,013.58 6,407,272.71 1,065.47
TANGANCICUARO 2,362.43 3,090,153.40 1,308.04
TARETAN 3,009.50 4,682,828.24 1,556.02
TINGAMBATO 7,726.47 10,007,597.84 1,295.24
TINGÜINDÍN-TOCUMBO 13,311.42 17,446,942.58 1,310.67
TURICATO 11,820.51 15,378,389.26 1,300.99
URUAPAN 37,680.70 50,815,052.52 1,348.57
VILLA MADERO 3,113.35 4,359,200.33 1,400.16
ZIRACUARETIRO 9,807.39 9,782,572.00 997.47
TOTAL 340,458.63 434,609,903.16 1,276.54
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 12
TRENDS IN PRODUCTION OF POUNDS/ACRE BY MUNICIPALITY 3rd STAGE CRAZY FRUIT (GRAPH)
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1,600.00
1,800.00
TREND MEDIA PRODUCTION POUNDS /ACRE
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 13
TRENDS OF PRODUCTION BY STRATUM CRAZY FRUIT (TONNES – POUNDS)
STRATUM SURFACE BY
STRATUM (HA.)
TRENDS OF PRODUCTION
(TONNES)
TONNES PER HECTARES
STRATUM 1 40,222.50 85,505.21 2.13
STRATUM 2 51,685.59 46,543.38 0.90
STRATUM 3 35,008.26 57,287.19 1.64
STRATUM 4 10,862.37 7,799.95 0.72
TOTAL 137,778.72 197,135.74 1.43
STRATUM SURFACE BY
STRATUM (ACRES)
TRENDS OF PRODUCTION
(POUNDS)
POUNDS PER ACRE
STRATUM 1 99,391.96 188,506,722.90 1,896.60
STRATUM 2 127,717.87 102,610,595.00 803.42
STRATUM 3 86,507.29 126,296,632.70 1,459.95
STRATUM 4 26,841.50 17,195,952.56 640.65
TOTAL 340,458.63 434,609,903.16 1,276.54
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
STRATUM1
STRATUM2
STRATUM3
STRATUM4
TONNES PER HECTARES 2.13 0.90 1.64 0.72
0.00
500.00
1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
STRATUM 1 STRATUM 2 STRATUM 3 STRATUM 4
POUNDS PER ACRE 1,896.60 803.42 1,459.95 640.65
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 14
TRENDS IN PERFORMANCE BY METERS ABOVE THE LEVEL OF THE SEA CRAZY FRUIT
M A.S.L. YIELD IN POUNDS
PER ACRE YIELD IN TONNES
PER HECTARES
LESS THAN 1600 1,739.70 1.95
1601- 1700 2,907.03 3.26
1701- 1800 2,103.22 2.36
1801- 1900 1,099.34 1.23
1901- 2000 1,205.87 1.35
2001- 2100 1,355.80 1.52
2101- 2200 694.05 0.78
2201- 2300 577.36 0.65
2301 OR MORE 730.41 0.82
- 500.00
1,000.00 1,500.00 2,000.00 2,500.00 3,000.00
LESSTHAN1600
1601-1700
1701-1800
1801-1900
1901-2000
2001-2100
2101-2200
2201-2300
2301OR
MORE
YIELD IN POUNDS PER ACRE 1,739.7 2,907.0 2,103.2 1,099.3 1,205.8 1,355.8 694.05 577.36 730.41
- 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
LESSTHAN1600
1601-1700
1701-1800
1801-1900
1901-2000
2001-2100
2101-2200
2201-2300
2301OR
MORE
YIELD IN TONNES PER HECTARES 1.95 3.26 2.36 1.23 1.35 1.52 0.78 0.65 0.82
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 15
DENSITY OF TREES PER HECTARE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION
MUNICIPALITY SURFACE HECTARE
AVERAGE OF TREES IN HECTARE
AVERAGE OF TREES IN
PRODUCTION BY HECTARE
ACUITZIO 1,741.64 157.86 153.36
APATZINGÁN-NUEVO URECHO 1,386.67 159.05 147.73
ARIO DE ROSALES 16,658.67 182.14 162.39
COTIJA DE LA PAZ 2,502.53 181.51 162.75
ERONGARICUARO-PATZCUARO-HUIRAMBA-QUIROGA-TZINTZUNTZAN
1,739.32 184.23 164.34
LOS REYES 6,522.70 178.79 162.41
MORELIA - MORELOS 764.18 151.24 141.49
NUEVO PARANGARICUTIRO 6,580.62 164.84 151.90
HIDALGO-TUXPAN-IRIMBO-CHARO-ZITÁCUARO 887.78 171.93 156.58
PARÁCUARO 1,004.19 164.51 151.63
PERIBÁN-CHARAPAN 8,850.65 160.49 147.89
PUREPERO-ZACAPU-TLAZAZALCA-JIMÉNEZ 2,429.71 160.14 148.14
SALVADOR ESCALANTE 14,658.91 162.22 151.52
TACÁMBARO 10,025.51 156.85 147.69
TANCÍTARO 23,643.09 147.60 139.04
TANGAMANDAPIO 2,433.61 147.60 138.94
TANGANCICUARO 956.04 149.37 139.58
TARETAN 1,217.90 148.26 139.63
TINGAMBATO 3,126.79 148.19 139.54
TINGÜINDÍN-TOCUMBO 5,386.94 148.21 139.74
TURICATO 4,783.59 147.23 138.89
URUAPAN 15,248.84 150.74 142.62
VILLA MADERO 1,259.93 174.01 160.42
ZIRACUARETIRO 3,968.91 154.26 143.67
TOTAL 137,778.72 166.38 148.69
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 16
DENSITY OF TREES PER HECTARE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION (GRAPHIC)
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.00
AVERAGE OF TREES IN HECTARE
AVERAGE OF TREES IN PRODUCTION BYHECTARE
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 17
DENSITY OF TREES PER ACRE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION
MUNICIPALITY SURFACE
ACRES
AVERAGE TREES
PER ACRE
TREE AVERAGE PRODUCTION
PER ACRE
ACUITZIO 4,303.69 63.88 62.06
APATZINGÁN-NUEVO URECHO 3,426.54 64.37 59.78
ARIO DE ROSALES 41,164.47 73.71 65.72
COTIJA DE LA PAZ 6,183.89 73.45 65.86
ERONGARICUARO-PATZCUARO-HUIRAMBA-QUIROGA-TZINTZUNTZAN
4,297.95 74.55 66.51
LOS REYES 16,117.94 72.35 65.73
MORELIA - MORELOS 1,888.33 61.21 57.26
NUEVO PARANGARICUTIRO 16,261.07 66.71 61.47
HIDALGO-TUXPAN-IRIMBO-CHARO-ZITÁCUARO 2,193.75 69.58 63.37
PARÁCUARO 2,481.41 66.58 61.36
PERIBÁN-CHARAPAN 21,870.43 64.95 59.85
PUREPERO-ZACAPU-TLAZAZALCA-JIMÉNEZ 6,003.94 64.81 59.95
SALVADOR ESCALANTE 36,222.96 65.65 61.32
TACÁMBARO 24,773.57 63.47 59.77
TANCÍTARO 58,423.35 59.73 56.27
TANGAMANDAPIO 6,013.58 59.73 56.23
TANGANCICUARO 2,362.43 60.45 56.49
TARETAN 3,009.50 60.00 56.51
TINGAMBATO 7,726.47 59.97 56.47
TINGÜINDÍN-TOCUMBO 13,311.42 59.98 56.55
TURICATO 11,820.51 59.58 56.21
URUAPAN 37,680.70 61.00 57.72
VILLA MADERO 3,113.35 70.42 64.92
ZIRACUARETIRO 9,807.39 62.43 58.14
TOTAL 340,458.63 67.33 60.17
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 18
DENSITY OF TREES PER ACRE AND TREES IN PRODUCTION (GRAPHIC)
-
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
AVERAGE TREES PER ACRE
TREE AVERAGE PRODUCTION PERACRE
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 19
PROFILES OF THE ORCHARD
HUMIDITY SOURCE PERCENTAGE
IRRIGATION 40%
TEMPORAL 60%
TOTAL 100%
TYPE OF IRRIGATION PERCENTAGE
DRIP 30%
MICRO SPRINKLING 63%
ROLL IRRIGATION 3%
OTHER 4%
TOTAL 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
IRRIGATION TEMPORAL
PERCENTAGE 40% 60%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
DRIP MICROSPRINKLING
ROLLIRRIGATION
OTHER
PERCENTAGE 30% 63% 3% 4%
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 20
WATER SOURCE PERCENTAGE
PERFORATION 14%
CANAL 6%
CARCAMO 4%
WATER POT 57%
OTHER 19%
TOTAL 100%
PRUNING EVIDENCE PERCENTAGE
REJUVENATED 5%
CLARIFY 27%
NO PRUNING 68%
TOTAL 100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
PERFORATION CANAL CARCAMO WATER POT OTHER
PERCENTAGE 14% 6% 4% 57% 19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
REJUVENATED CLARIFY NO PRUNING
PERCENTAGE 5% 27% 68%
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 21
FIELD TOPOGRAPHY PERCENTAGE
STRONG SLOPE > 45° 5%
MODERATE SLOPE >25° <45° 34%
FLAT GROUND 46%
IRREGULAR TERRAIN 15%
TOTAL 100%
PLANTATION SISTEM PERCENTAGE
REAL SQUARE 56%
TRIANGLE 44%
TOTAL 100%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
STRONG SLOPE >45°
MODERATESLOPE >25° <45°
FLAT GROUND IRREGULARTERRAIN
PERCENTAGE 5% 34% 46% 15%
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
REAL SQUARE TRIANGLE
PERCENTAGE 56% 44%
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 22
CROP TYPE PERCENTAGE
ORGANIC 8%
CONVENTIONAL 92%
TOTAL 100.00%
DISASTERS PERCENTAGE
FROST 11%
HAIL 16%
STRONG WINDS 6%
WITHOUT DISASTERS 67%
TOTAL 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
ORGANIC CONVENTIONAL
PERCENTAGE 8% 92%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
FROST HAIL STRONGWINDS
WITHOUTDISASTERS
PERCENTAGE 11% 16% 6% 67%
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 23
PERCENTAGE OF TREES IN PRODUCTION
(RANGE) PERCENTAGE OF
ORCHARDS
LESS THAN 50% 2%
51 a 70% 2%
71 a 80% 3%
81 a 85% 2%
86 a 90% 5%
91 a 95% 9%
96 a 100% 77%
TOTAL 100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
LESSTHAN50%
51 a70%
71 a80%
81 a85%
86 a90%
91 a95%
96 a100%
PERCENTAGE OF ORCHARDS 2% 2% 3% 2% 5% 9% 77%
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 24
PICTURES OF TRAINING TO EQUIPMENT TO THE SAMPLING
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 25
PICTURES OF FIELD SAMPLING
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF HASS AVOCADO PRODUCTION IN THE AREA OF THE STATE OF MICHOACAN CERTIFIED TO EXPORT TO THE USA SEASON 2018-2019 3rd STAGE - CRAZY FRUIT
JESUS JASSO AGUILAR - BACHELOR OF STATISTIC 26