MGMT104 Fall 2010 Lecture 03

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 1

    Management104

    IndustrialRelationsandHumanResourceManagement

    ProfessorIwanBarankay

    Lecture3

    RecapofWorksheet1

    Worksheet2

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 2

    Arecapfromlastlecture

    ThePrincipalAgentmodelhasthefollowingcomponents

    1) Thetechnologyofproductionconsistingoftheoutput,

    theactionstakenbytheagenttoproducetheoutput,and

    theeventsthataffectoutputthatareoutsidethecontrolof

    theagent.

    2) Thesetoffeasiblecontracts

    3) Thepayofftotheparties

    4) Thetimingofevents

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 3

    Eventsoutsideofcontrol

    exogeneousshockstoproductivity(weather,

    technologicalfailure,lawsuits)

    unanticipatedchangesindemandforfinalgoods

    (financialcrisis)orsupplyofinputs(bankruptcyofsupplier)

    fromtheagentsperspective:tosomeextendactionsby

    theprincipal

    fromtheprincipalsperspective:tosomeextendactions

    bytheagent

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 4

    Contractscantakeonmanyforms

    FixedWage/Compensation

    Linearcontracts,e.g.piecerates($percrateorkgoffruit

    pickedsubjecttoachievingapredefinedqualitylevel)

    Nonlinearcontract,e.g.compensationaboveandbelowa

    threshold

    Bonusschemes

    RetentionTournaments

    LinkedtoCompanylevelperformance(e.g.stockoptions)

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 5

    Contractscanbecompleteorincomplete

    Completecontractsdescribeacourseofactionand

    compensationinallcontingencies

    Incomplete

    contracts

    staydeliberatelysilentonactionsandcompensationinsome

    situations

    or

    itmaybeimpossibleortoocostlytodescribeactionsand

    compensationinallcontingencies

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 6

    Assumptionsweneededtomakewhendiscussingwhich

    contractsmightbeused

    Whocanobserveactions?

    Ifonlytheworkercanseetheactionsthenworkersmight

    haveamoralhazardtoengageinactionstheprincipalwouldnotfindoptimal.Iftheactionsmapdirectlytoproductivityandagentsare

    riskneutral

    (the

    case

    we

    consider

    this

    week)

    then

    we

    can

    stillimplementagoodoutcomefromtheprincipals

    perspective.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 7

    WorkerHeterogeneity

    Somepeoplemightbemoreable(ortalentedetc.)than

    others.Weoftenrefertothatasagentstypes.

    Whenemployeesworkundercomparableconditionsand

    somearemoreproductivethanothersthencontractscanbe

    usedtoeffectivelysortagentsbyability.

    Underthesamecontract,peoplewithhigherabilitywillbemoreproductive.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 8

    PerformanceTargets

    Thesecanhavetheundesirableeffectthatthosewhoknow

    theycantordontwanttoachievethemwillgiveup.

    Thosewhodontknowtheirabilitytypewillexperimentand

    learntheirabilityeitherbyobservingtheiroutputdirectlyor

    throughfeedbackfromtheprincipal.Wewillreturntothe

    questionoffeedbacklaterinthecourse.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 9

    Payoffs:

    Bythiswemeanwhattheprincipalandtheagentintheend

    wanttohavethemostof.

    Hereisacommonexampleofapayoffforaprincipal

    Principal:profit=output wages

    Whatelsemightaprincipalcareabout?

    Workersatisfaction,orthepayoffacrossworkers(e.g.equal

    payforall;ensuringaminimumwage;capping

    compensationatthetop)

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 10

    Agentspayoff

    Theagentwantstomaximizewhateconomistsrefertoas

    utility.

    Example:U(compensation,costofeffort)

    Whatelse,insteadofowncompensationmightaworkercare

    about?

    Theprincipalspayoff(e.g.inafamilybusiness)

    Thepayoffofthefinalconsumerofoutput(e.g.inacharity)

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 11

    Outsideoption

    Opportunitycostisthevalueofwhatyouarewillingtopass

    onastheresultofmakingadecision.(goingtothebeach,

    party,another

    job

    etc.)

    Itisvery(!)importanttobeawareofthelevelandthe

    changeinoutsideoptions.

    Thiswilldetermineifpeoplewillacceptorrejectcontracts

    Outsideoptionscanalsochangewhenthedemandforlabor

    changes

    (Note:

    Companies

    demand

    labor

    and

    workers

    supply

    labor)

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 12

    Theselectioneffectofcontractswhetherpeopleaccepta

    contract isoftenjustasimportantastheincentiveeffect

    howmuchefforttheyputin.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 13

    TheCostFunctionofEffort

    Itisintuitivetoassumethecostfunctionofefforttohave

    thefollowingproperties:

    (i) puttinginmoreeffortisalwaysmorecostlythanputtinginless,and(Ifnotworkerwouldbewillingto

    payforbeingallowedtoworke.g.altruisticpeople,

    those enrollingineducationetc.(ii) initiallyitisreallyeasytoputinmoreeffortbuteach

    additionalamountofeffortgetsharderandharder.

    (whatifnot?Thenundersomeconditionsworkers

    wouldputinendlesseffort,e.g.whenthemarginal

    costiszero)

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 14

    Q7)Agentisbeingofferedalinearcontract

    w=a+b*y

    wisthewage,

    aisafixedpayment(e.g.$5000),

    bisapiecerate(e.g.$0.50)

    y=e+ isoutput(e.g.kgoffruitpicked)determinedbytheeffortoftheemployee,e,andsomerandomshock beyond

    thecontroloftheagent.

    Theoutsideoptionandthedegreeofriskaversionwill

    determineifthesizeandthesignofthefixedpartof

    compensationa.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 15

    Whatistheimplicationofalargepieceratebforthe

    principal?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 16

    Whatistheimplicationofalargepieceratebforthe

    principal?

    Theimplicationfortheprincipalhingesuponwhatitwilldotoprofits.Thefarmerfacesthefollowingtradeoff:ahigher

    piecerateinducestheworkertopickmorefruitbutthenthe

    principalalsohastospendmoremoneyonwages.Inthenextworksheetweshowthatgiventhistradeoffhowthe

    principalshouldchoosethepiecerate.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 17

    Supposenowthatthepiecerateislargebutalso the

    randomshockislarge:Howandwhenwillalarge affectthe

    actionsoftheagent?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 18

    Supposenowthatthepiecerateislargebutalso the

    randomshockislarge:Howandwhenwillalarge affectthe

    actionsoftheagent?

    Alargeerrortermmatterswhentheworkercaresaboutrisk.

    Whentheworkerisriskaverse,thenhewillchoosealower

    levelofeffortthanwhenhewouldberiskneutral.Theintuitionisthatariskaversepersondoesnotlikethatthe

    returntoeffortisuncertain,thereforehefeelsthereturnto

    effortislower.(Thisisdifferentwhenpeoplesetthemselvesincometargets.Inthatcasetheywillworkhardertoensure

    theyreachtheincometarget.)

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    Worksheet2

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 20

    Letsthinkofthefarmerandthefruitpickeragain.

    Assumptions

    Productiontechnology:Norandomshocksi.e. =0.

    (alternativelywecouldassumetheworkersareriskneutral)

    Contracts:Thefarmeroffersalinearcontractw=a+b*yPayoffs:Thefarmerwantstomaximizeprofit=output

    wages.

    Thepickerwantstomaximizeutility=wagecostofeffort

    Letsassumethatcostofeffort=0.5e2

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 21

    Timingofevents:

    Theprincipaloffersthecontractwhichtheagentaccepts;

    theagentthenchooseshowmuchefforttoexertbutthe

    principal

    cant

    see

    the

    effort;

    as

    the

    agent

    implements

    his

    effortchoicetherandomshockoccursresultinginthe

    output;theoutputisobservedbytheprincipalandtheagent

    getspaid.

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    Howhardwillthepickerworki.e.howmuchfruitwillshe

    pickwhensheisofferedthiscontract

    w=$5+$1*y

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    Howhardwillthepickerworki.e.howmuchfruitwillshe

    pickwhensheisofferedthiscontract

    w=$5+$1*y

    recallourassumptionaboutthepickerspayoff

    u =wc

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 24

    Howhardwillthepickerworki.e.howmuchfruitwillshe

    pickwhensheisofferedthiscontract

    w=$5+$1*y

    recallourassumptionaboutthepickerspayoff

    andrecallthaty=e

    u(e) =wc

    =$5+$1*e0.5*e2

    ee

    u

    1

    setting0

    e

    u

    yields e=1

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 25

    Sounderthiscontractthepickerwillpick1kgoffruit.

    Supposeinsteadof

    w=$5+$1*y

    sheisbeingoffered

    w=$10+$1*y

    or

    w=$5+$2*y

    howmuchfruitwillshepicknow?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 26

    Howmuchfruitwillshepicknow?

    u(e) =wc

    =$a+$b*e0.5*e2

    Now

    ,sosetting

    yields

    Aworkerwillworkuntilthemarginalrewardforeffort

    equalsthemarginalcostofeffort.Sowhataboutthe$5additionalfixedwages?

    Whataboutthehigherpiecerate?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 27

    Changinga,thefixedwagecomponentdoesnotaffectthe

    amountoffruitpickedhere.

    Changingthepieceratebdoes.

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    Solvingthegeneralcase

    Letusnowfindoutwhatpieceratethefarmershouldset

    givenourassumptions.

    Iwillsolvethegeneralcaseandwecanlaterreplacethevariableswithnumbers.

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    Thetechnologyofproductionissuchthatefforttranslates

    directlyintooutput,y=e.

    Nowrecallthatthepickerwillmaximizeutility,whichis

    compensationminusthecostofeffort:

    Now

    ,sosetting

    yields

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    Giventhetermsofthecompensationpackage,theworker

    willpick

    (1)

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    Thefarmersprofitmaximizationproblem

    Letusnotturntothefarmersproblem.Weassumedthat

    thefarmerwantstomaximizeprofits.

    Thequestionis:whatshouldbethepieceratetomaximizeprofits?

    Inourcase:

    Nowthefarmerknowsthatthepickerwillchooseeffortsuch

    that Replacingthiswehavethat

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    Tofindtheoptimalpiecerateheneedstoset:

    (2)

    Theprofitmaximizingpiecerateisrelatedtothemarginal

    product.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 33

    Againthisresultisintuitive.Whenthereisalotofmoneyto

    bemadebysellingfruit,thefarmerwantstoenticethe

    pickertopickmorefruit.

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    Nowwearereadytocalculatethefarmersprofits,given

    prices:

    (3)

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    Sofinallywecanalsosaywhatthemaximumlevelofthe

    fixedwagecomponent,a,isthatthefarmershouldofferthe

    picker.Lookatequation(3)onthepreviouspage.Inorderto

    makeanyprofitandsotostayinbusinesshecanonlyoffera

    fixedwagecomponentsuchthat

    asotherwisehewouldmakealoss.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 36

    Tosummarizethewholeissuecanbesummarizedintothree

    equations:

    Theprofitmaximizingpiecerateis

    ;

    Theworkerseffortwillbe

    Andthefarmersprofitgiventhat

    .

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 37

    Example:

    Iftheprizeofferedtothefarmerbythesupermarketis

    $2/kg,hewillofferapiecerateof$1/kgtotheworker.The

    workerwillpick1kg.Toavoidmakingaloss,thefarmerhas

    tosetthefixedwagecomponentsuchthat

    or .

    Iftheworkerdemandsafixedwagecomponentofa=$5,

    thenthefarmerwouldmakealossof$4.Soheshouldeither

    lowerato$1orbeloworheshouldquitthefruitharvesting

    business.

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    Bonusquestion1:

    Whataboutthefixedwagecomponenta?Whatistheprofit

    maximizinglevelofa?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 39

    Bonusquestion1:

    Whataboutthefixedwagecomponenta?Whatistheprofit

    maximizinglevelofa?

    Recallourdiscussionabouttheroleofthefixedwage

    component.Inmanysituationsitwillrespondtotheoutside

    optionoftheworker.

    Giventhatawillnotaffecttheamountoffruitpickedinour

    modelwithriskneutralagents,thefarmershouldsetaas

    lowaspossible.Why?Asotherwiseitwilleatintohisprofits.

    Seetheprecedingslidesforthecalculations.

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    Recallthat

    u(e) =wc

    =$a+$b*e0.5**e2

    ebeu

    setting

    0

    eu

    yields

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 42

    Nowthefarmercontinuestomaximizeprofits:

    ** beape

    Butnowe*=b/.So:

    2

    **bapbbeape

    Nowhesets

    .0

    b

    ,

    bp

    b

    2

    sotheprofitmaximizingpiecerateisstill 2*

    pb

    .

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 43

    Hangonaminute.

    Didnothingchange?

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    Notethataworkerwillworkuntilthemarginalrewardfor

    effortequalsthemarginalcostofeffort.

    Youcanseethishere: 0

    eu

    yields

    Thismeansthatpickerswithdifferentcostfunctionswillpick

    differentamountsoffruit!Thisisintuitive.Fasterpickerstireoutlessquicklysowillpickmorefruituntilthemarginalcost

    ofeffortisequaltothemarginalbenefitthepiecerateb.

    Whatelseischanging?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 45

    Whatelseischanging?

    Theprofit:

    ebapbbeape2

    **

    Notethat isinthedenominator.Soalargermarginalcost

    willmakethosefractionssmallerandthiswillmakeprofits

    smaller.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 46

    Drawafigurewiththepieceratebonthehorizontalandprofit ontheverticalaxis.

    Whatdoestherelationshipbetweenpiecerateandprofit

    looklike?

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 47

    Finalquestion:Outsideoption

    Asbeforeassumethatthepriceofstrawberriesis$2.

    Andthatinitiallythefarmeroffersthiscontract:

    w=b*y=y(i.e.nofixedwageandthepiecerateissetto

    maximizeprofits,inthiscasep=1).

    Supposethatthetherearetwoworkers.

    Fastworker =1:costofeffort=0.5e2

    Slowworker =2:costofeffort=0.52e2=e

    2

    Supposenowthatbothofthemareofferedajobata

    differentcompanywithafixedwageof$0.45.

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    Management1042010ProfessorIwanBarankay 48

    Whatwillhappen?

    Whowillleaveandwhowillstayatthefarm?

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    Whatwillhappen?

    Rememberthattheworkerwillpicksothat

    0

    e

    u

    whichyields

    Theutilityofworkersatthefarmare:

    forthefastpicker, =1,u=w c=e* .5e*2=$.5

    fortheslowpicker, =2,u=w c=e* .5*2*e*2=$0.25

    Theslowpickerwillleaveandthefastpickerwillstay.

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    Hereisagraphthatlinksthepieceratetoprofits(tomake

    thegraphsimplerIseta=0).

    fast

    picker

    slow

    picker

    0

    b

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    Readingfornextweek

    Worksheet3Tournament(Netflix)

    FixingBankersPay,byLucianBebchukappearedinThe

    EconomistsVoice,

    December

    2009.

    ShouldBankerPayBeRegulated?byStevenN.Kaplan

    appearedonTheEconomistsVoice,December2009.