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Metsä Board January June 2018 Half-Year Financial Report 2 August 2018

Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

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Page 1: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Metsä Board

January–June 2018Half-Year Financial Report

2 August 2018

Page 2: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

• Total delivery volumes of paperboards were at record

high levels – 489,000 tonnes

• Paperboard price levels were stable or slightly rising

• Pulp market remained strong

• Several planned maintenance shutdowns in Finnish

mills

• Increased prices of imported wood from Baltics to

Sweden and freight costs in US had a negative impact

on operating result

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report2

Q2 2018 in brief

Page 3: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Total paperboard delivery volumes at an all-time-

high in Q2 2018

227 250 266 245 265304 299 276 297 328

142148 148

143163

173 170152

171161

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

1,0

00 tonnes

3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report

1-12 2016

1,568,000 tonnes1-12 2017

1,802,000 tonnes

Annual global

demand growth

for folding

boxboard and

white kraftliners

is estimated to

be

3–4%

Source: Metsä Board’s

own research

1-6 2017

906,000 tonnes1-6 2018

957,000 tonnes+6%

+15%

Page 4: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Higher delivery volumes and rising prices increased

sales

SalesEUR million

445 474 479 451 492 5190

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

45 44 50 54 69 59

10,2 %9,2 %

10,5 %

12,0 %

14,0 %

11,4 %

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

0

20

40

60

80

Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report4

Comparable operating resultEUR million and % of sales

EU

R m

illio

n

EU

R m

illio

n

1-12 2017:

€ 1,849 million

1-6 2017:

€ 919 million

1-6 2018:

€ 1,011 million

1-12 2017:

€ 194 million

1-6 2017:

€ 89 million1-6 2018:

€ 128 million

Page 5: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

Softwood (NBSK) Hardwood (NBHK)

Source: Foex Indexes Ltd

USD

Pulp market remained strong – prices are at a

record high in Europe

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report5

USD

Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe• Metsä Board’s pulp balance is over

500,000 t/a long, including Metsä

Fibre’s share

• Current market drivers in pulp:

• Limited new capacity in the

coming years

• Restrictions on recycled paper

imports in China

Page 6: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Wood26 %

Logistics16 %

Chemicals, pigments and fillers

14 %

Energy12 %

Other variables

3 %

Personnel14 %

Other fixed15 %

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report6

Wood costs continued to rise in Q2 2018

• Cost increase relates mainly to wood

imported from Baltics to Sweden

• Metsä Board‘s wood costs are

estimated to be EUR 30 million higher

in 2018 vs. 2017

• Metsä Board‘s total wood sourcing in

2017 was 5.4 million m3

• Sweden 40%, Finland 32%, Baltic

countries 17%, Russia 11%

Metsä Board’s cost split in 2017

total €1.6 billion

Page 7: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

• Impacts of FX rate changes including hedges:

– Q2 2018 vs. Q1 2018: Neutral

– H1 2018 vs. H1 2017: €28 million negative

• Q3 2018 will have the biggest negative impact compared to other quarters

Impacts from FX rate changes including hedges were

neutral in Q2 vs. Q1

55 %

36 %

7 % 2 %USD

SEK

GBP

Othercurrencies

12 month transaction exposure

EUR 1.1 billion FX sensitivities excluding hedges

10% strengthening of foreign currency vs. EUR will have

an impact on Metsä Board’s EBIT of

Currency Next 12 months

USD, $ EUR +64 million

SEK EUR -42 million

GBP, £ EUR +8 million

7 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report

Page 8: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18

Comparable ROCE-%, Quarterly

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report8

ROCE is above its target level of 12%12 month rolling ROCE was 13.8%

Target >12%

Q2/18:

13.9%

Page 9: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

-22 -22

6755

2637

68

106

30 36

-76 -72

49

17 725

5979

20 23

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18

Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly

Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months

EU

R m

illio

n

9 1-6/2018 Half-Year ReportFree cash flow = Cash flow from operations - investments

Cash flow from operations EUR 240 million(Rolling 12 months)

Page 10: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

541 488 464 458 495 437 358 335 388

2,1 2,12,0

1,92,0

1,7

1,21,1

1,2

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

6/2016 9/2016 12/2016 3/2017 6/2017 9/2017 12/2017 3/2018 6/2018

Net debt, EUR million Net debt to comparable EBITDA (12 months)

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report10

Strong financial position, leverage at 1.2x

Net debt / EBITDA target level <2.5

EU

R m

illio

n

Page 11: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report11

Metsä Board receives EcoVadis Gold

rating for corporate environmental

and social responsibility

• Gold level rating for the second consecutive year

• Metsä Board was ranked in the top 1% of suppliers

across all categories

EcoVadis operates a platform allowing companies to assess the environmental and social performance of its suppliers on a

global basis. The criteria include four themes; the environment, labour practices, sustainable procurement and fair business

practices. The methodology and criteria used are in line with international Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) standards

including the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), UN Global Compact, and ISO 26000.

Page 12: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report12

Near-term outlook

• Good demand for fresh fibre paperboards, market

prices are expected to be stable

• Total paperboard delivery volumes in Q3 2018 are

expected to stay at the same level as in Q2

• Planned shutdowns in H2 2018

– Kemi integrate in Q3 and Husum integrate in Q3–Q4

• Some additional headwind from FX in Q3 vs. Q2

• Wood costs EUR 30 million higher in 2018 compared

to 2017

Page 13: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Metsä Board’s comparable operating

result in the third quarter of 2018 is

expected to remain roughly at the

same level as in the second quarter of

2018.

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report13

Result guidance for

July–September 2018

Page 14: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

• Higher paperboard delivery volumes

together with rising price levels

increased sales in Q2

• Pulp market continued to be strong

• Rising wood costs impact the full

year’s profitability

• Good demand in ecological fresh fibre

paperboards is expected to continue

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report14

Summary

Page 15: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Metsä Board’s

Capital Markets Day 2018November 14, 2018

Venue: Haberdashers’ Hall in London

Page 16: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Appendix

Page 17: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report17

Key financials

Q2/18 Q1/18Change

Q2/18

vs. Q1/18H1/18 H1/17

Change

H1/18

vs H1/17

FY

2017

Sales EUR, m 519 492 +5 % 1,011 919 +10 % 1,849

EBITDA* EUR, m 84 94 -11 % 178 136 +31 % 289

Operating result* EUR, m 59 69 -14 % 128 89 +45 % 194

% of sales % 11.4 14.0 12.7 9.7 10.5

Result before taxes* EUR, m 53 61 -12 % 114 77 +49 % 157

Earnings per share EUR 0.12 0.15 -20 % 0.27 0.19 +42 % 0.42

ROCE* % 13.9 15.8 15.1 10.3 11.2

Capex EUR, m 15 10 +46 % 26 31 -18 % 65

Cash flow from operations EUR, m 36 30 +20 % 67 63 +6 % 236

IB Net debt, at end of period EUR, m 388 335 +16 % 388 495 +22 % 358

*comparable

Page 18: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Paperboard delivery split in H1 2018

Folding boxboard deliveries in H1/18 (H1/17) 1,000 tonnes

EMEA433 (397)

Americas127 (112)

APAC 64(59)

EMEA237 (229)

Americas93 (98)

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report18

White kraftliner deliveries in H1/18 (H1/17)1,000 tonnes

70%

20%

10%

72%

28%

Total FBB deliveries

grew by 10%

Total WKL deliveries

decreased by 1%

Page 19: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Financial targets and actuals

Comparable ROCE, %

9,1

11,3

8,1

11,2

15,1

2014 2015 2016 2017 H1/18

1,8

1,2

2,0

1,2 1,2

2014 2015 2016 2017 H1/18

Net debt / comparable EBITDA, %

10%

13%12%

15%

6%

2014 2015 2016 2017 H1/18

Annual growth in total paperboard deliveries, %

Target is to

exceed

relevant

market

growth,

3-4%/a

Dividend policy: Metsä Board aims to distribute at least 50% of its result for

the financial period in annual dividends to its shareholders

Target: >12%

Target: <2.5

19 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report19

Page 20: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Estimated capex for 2018 is EUR 70 millionH1 2018 capex was EUR 26 million

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E

Maintenance capex Growth capex Depreciation

EUR million

20 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report

Main growth in capex in 2015−2016: Husum investment programme, extrusion coating line

and equity investment in Metsä Fibre’s bioproduct mill

Page 21: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

0

50

100

150

200

250

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022–26 2027

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Other loans

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report21

Debt and its’ maturity30 June 2018

Interest-bearing debt maturity profile 30 June 2018

EU

R m

illio

n

• Total interest-bearing debt on 30 June was EUR 483

million (31.3.2018: EUR 617 million)

• On 27 April Metsä Board made an early repayment of

EUR 100 million of its existing loan and increased the size

of its undrawn credit facility by EUR 50 million

Rating agency Rating and

outlook

Last update

Standard &

Poor‘s

BBB-

stable

02/2018

Upgrade from BB+

Moody‘s Ba1

positive

04/2018

Upgrade from

stable outlook

Metsä Board’s credit ratings

Company has an undrawn revolving credit facility of EUR 150 million maturing in 2020

Page 22: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report22

Net financial costs January–June 2018

39 32 31 3614

4,2

3,8

3,3 3,3 3,3

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

5,0

0

10

20

30

40

50

2014 2015 2016 2017 H1/2018

Net financial costs, EUR million

Average interest rate at the end of period, %

EUR million % Net financial costs (including

foreign exchange rate differences)

in 1–6/2018 were EUR 14 million

(1–6/2017: EUR 12 million)

Page 23: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Debt structure and liquidity on 30 June 2018

30864

79

1121

Bonds

Loans from financialinstitutions

Pension loans

Finance leases andother loans

Other short-termloans

92

150

134

Cash and cashequivalents

Revolving creditfacility

Unraised pensionloans

Interest-bearing debt

EUR 483 million

(31 March 2018: EUR 617

million)

Available liquidity

EUR 376 million

(31 March 2018: EUR 513

million)

Average maturity of long-term loans on 30 June 2018 was 5.8 years. 23 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report

* Of which EUR 248 million due 2027

and EUR 60 million due 2019

*

Page 24: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

Market cap and foreign owners30 June 2018

Ownership distribution30 June 2018

Market cap and ownership distributionMetsä Board shares (METSB, METSA) are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6/2018

Market cap, EUR million

Share of foreign owners, %

41 %

19 %

17 %

23 %

MetsäliittoCooperative

Domesticinstitutionalinvestors

Domestic privateinvestors

Foreign owners

EUR million

* Metsäliitto Cooperative has 62% of voting rights

*

24

%

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report

Page 25: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Folding Boxboard White-top kraftliner

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report25

Market price development in folding boxboard

and white-top kraftliner in Europe

EUR/ tn

Sources: RISI, Inc. & FOEX Indexes Ltd

Page 26: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated

External recognitions and commitments in sustainability

Metsä Board was awarded

“Prime” status in Oekom

corporate responsibility rating in

May 2018.

Metsä Board scored the highest

recognition level “Gold” in

EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2018,

and is included in the top 1% of

suppliers assessed across all

categories.

Metsä Board is included in CDP’s Climate A list

and Water A list as well as in Supplier Climate A

list and Supplier Water A list. In addition, Metsä

Board achieved the Leadership status (A-) in

CDP Forest programme in 2017.

Metsä Board as a part of Metsä

Group is committed to the UN

Global Compact corporate

responsibility initiative and its

principles in the areas of human

rights, labour, environment and

anti-corruption.

Metsä Board is committed to

Science Based Targets to

reduce its GHG emissions in line

with the goal of the Paris

Agreement.

As a member of Pack2Go Europe Metsä

Board is committed to the environmental,

health and safety aspects within the on-the-

go food and beverage packaging industry.

Metsä Board received a rating of

AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in

the MSCI ESG Ratings

assessment in June 2018.

Metsä Board has an overall ESG

score of 86/100 and is

considered a Leader in

Sustainalytics’ assessment in

May 2018.

1-6/2018 Half-Year Report26

Page 27: Metsä Board · 3 1-6/2018 Half-Year Report 1-12 2016 1,568,000 tonnes-12 2017 1,802,000 tonnes Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliners is estimated