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MERALCO: CORPORATE STRATEGY ANALYSIS Jesselyn Rochelle Rodriguez Malimata European Joint Masters in Management and Engineering of Environment and Energy Universidad Politécnica de Madrid For the course: Introduction to Organizations and Corporate Strategy Under Prof. Carlos Rodriguez Monroy, Ph.D. January 7, 2016

Meralco - Strategy Analysis · Figure 1. Brief history of Meralco (Meralco, 2016) In 2009, two other major conglomerates – PLDT Corporation and San Miguel Corporation, bought majority

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Page 1: Meralco - Strategy Analysis · Figure 1. Brief history of Meralco (Meralco, 2016) In 2009, two other major conglomerates – PLDT Corporation and San Miguel Corporation, bought majority

MERALCO:CORPORATESTRATEGYANALYSIS

JesselynRochelleRodriguezMalimataEuropeanJointMastersinManagementandEngineeringofEnvironmentandEnergy

UniversidadPolitécnicadeMadrid

Forthecourse:IntroductiontoOrganizationsandCorporateStrategy

UnderProf.CarlosRodriguezMonroy,Ph.D.January7,2016

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TABLEOFCONTENTS

ABSTRACT..........................................................................................................................................4

I.INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................................4A. HISTORY..........................................................................................................................................4B. VISION,MISSION,ANDCORPORATEGOALS.......................................................................................6C.SCOPEANDLIMITATION........................................................................................................................7

III.ENVIRONMENTALANALYSIS......................................................................................................8A. GENERALEVALUATION.....................................................................................................................8B. DEGREEOFTURBULENCE..................................................................................................................8C. PESTELANALYSIS.........................................................................................................................10Demographics.................................................................................................................................10PoliticalandSociological..............................................................................................................10Economic..........................................................................................................................................11Legal.................................................................................................................................................12Technological..................................................................................................................................14

D. KEYFACTORSFORSUCCESS............................................................................................................14Corporation:InfrastructureandCapital....................................................................................14Competition:SizeandMarketDominance..................................................................................15Customers:PayingCapacity..........................................................................................................15

E. GROWTHANDLIFECYCLEANALYSIS...............................................................................................16F. FIVEFORCESANALYSIS...................................................................................................................17Suppliers..........................................................................................................................................17Customers........................................................................................................................................17NewEntrants...................................................................................................................................18Substitutes.......................................................................................................................................18ExistingRivalry...............................................................................................................................18

G. FOURLINKSANALYSIS....................................................................................................................19InformalCooperativeLinksandNetworks.................................................................................19FormalCooperativeLinksandNetworks....................................................................................19Complementors...............................................................................................................................19GovernmentLinksandNetworks.................................................................................................20

H. CUSTOMERANALYSIS......................................................................................................................20

V.CONCLUSIONS..............................................................................................................................21

VI.REFERENCES...............................................................................................................................21

TABLEOFFIGURES

Figure1.BriefhistoryofMeralco(Meralco,2016)........................................................................5Figure2.Meralcoownership(Meralco,2016)...............................................................................5Figure3.Meralcosubsidiaries(Meralco,2016).............................................................................6Figure4.2015Philippines'electricitymarketsharebyregisteredcapacity(PhilippineElectricity

MarketCorporation,2015)....................................................................................................7

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Figure5.[Left]Sincetheretailelectricitysectorstartedin2013,theconsumptionofcontestablecustomers(orange)hasbeenincreasing,and[Right]Marketsharefortheretailelectricitysuppliers(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016)..................................................7

Figure6.Meralcoenergysales(inGWh)persector(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015)......................................................................................................................................8

Figure7.DegreeofturbulenceofMeralco'senvironment(Lynch,2015).....................................9Figure8.SegregationofFilipinofamiliesbyincomeclass(Rappler,2015)..................................10Figure9.[Left]ThegrowingPhilippineeconomy(Schnabel,2016)accompaniedby[Right]

growingelectricitydemand(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016)...................12Figure10.TheelectricitysupplychainbeforeandafterEPIRA(PhilippineElectricityMarket

Corporation,2016)...............................................................................................................13Figure11.Meralco'soperationalperformance(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015)14Figure12.2015PovertyincidenceinthePhilippines,showingMetroManilawiththeleast

incidence(PhilippineStatisticsAuthority,2015)..................................................................16Figure13.LifecycleanalysisforMeralco’sdistributionbusiness................................................16Figure14.FiveForcesAnalysisofMeralco...................................................................................17Figure15.FourlinksanalysisofMeralco.....................................................................................19Figure16.ThenumberofMeralcocustomerspersector(left)andenergyconsumptionper

sector(right)in2015(Meralco,2016).................................................................................21

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ABSTRACT

Meralco is a Filipino electricity distribution utility (DU), operatingmainly in MetroManila. It wasfounded116yearsagobyAmericans,butwassubsequentlysoldtothebiggestFilipinoconglomerates.ItsfirstentrantadvantagemadeitthelargestDUinthecountry,intherichestpartofthePhilippines.Its sizegives it strongbargainingpowerwith its suppliers. Itsownershipgives itworkingcapital toinvest inand improve its infrastructureand services.Being theoldestandoneof themost valuablecompanies in thePhilippinesgiveMeralco implicitalliancesacross the industry.These factorsallowMeralcotothriveinthechangingbusinessenvironment.Thepowerindustryisbeingrestructuredbythe Electric Power Industry Reform Act (EPIRA), the Philippines’ economy is growing rapidly, anddistributed generation technologies are improving. From being just a DU, Meralco has verticallyintegratedacrossthepowersectorandhasdiversifiedtocomplementaryandevenunrelatedbusinesses.Thecompanydominatesboththedistributionandretail sectors,and isalsoenteringthegenerationsectorwiththreecoalpowerplantsinthepipeline.Italsousesitssubsidiariestoaddresschangingusers’needsandcustomizeitsservices.

I.Introduction

A. History

In1903,whenthePhilippineswasacolonyoftheUnitedStatesofAmerica,ManilaElectricRailroad andLight company (Meralco)was established. Itwas aprivately ownedAmericancompany,whobuilttramways,distributedelectricity,andprovidedlightingacrossMetro Manila. The railway system was heavily damaged in World War II, thus Meralcoconcentratedonitselectricitybusiness.Thecompanyhelpedinthecountry’srehabilitationaftergainingitsindependencefromtheUnitedStatesin1946.In1961,MeralcobecamethefirstAmericancompanytobe“filipinized”whenitwasacquiredbytheLopezfamily.Thenewownerssignificantlyimprovedthecompany’sinfrastructurethroughinvestorsandcreditorsincludingtheBankoftheUnitedStates,BankofJapan,InternationalFinanceCorporation,andvarioussuppliers.In1969,Meralcobecamethefirstbillion-pesoFilipinocompanywithoutgovernment aid. In 1970, a new government policy required allmajor power generationfacilitiestobeturnedovertothestate-ownedcompany,NationalPowerCorporation.Meralcowasthenleftwithelectricitydistributionasitscorebusiness.Followingthis,thecompanyexpandedtoprovincialcustomersoutsideMetroManila(Meralco,2016).

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Figure1.BriefhistoryofMeralco(Meralco,2016)

In 2009, two other major conglomerates – PLDT Corporation and San MiguelCorporation,boughtmajoritystocksfromtheLopezfamily.Sincethen,theownershipofthecompanyhasevolved(Meralco,2016).Asof2015,themajorshareholdersofthecompanyare:BeaconElectricAssetHoldings,JGSummitHoldings,Inc.,MetroPacificInvestments,FirstPhilippinesHoldings,andinstitutionalinvestorsandpublicshares(Meralco,2016).

Figure2.Meralcoownership(Meralco,2016)

Metro Pacific Investments Corporation is a Philippine-based and publicly-listed company,withother investments inwaterutilities, tollwayshospitals,andrailways inMetroManila(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015).ItsparentcompanyistheHong-KongbasedFirstPacificCompanyLimited.BeaconElectricAssetHoldings,Inc.isajointventurebetweenMetroPacificInvestmentsCorporationandPLDTCommunicationsandEnergyVentures,Inc.,bothownedbyFirstPacificCo.Ltd.Itisaspecial-purposevehicle,sinceforeignownershipinutilitiesinthePhilippinesislimitedto40%bylaw(Bloomberg,2017)(FirstPacific,2017)(DulayPagunsanandTyLawOffices,2011).JGSummitHoldingsisoneofthelargestFilipino

1903Manila Electric

Railroad and Light Company

1946World War II

1961Lopez

Acquisition

1969First billion-peso company in the

Philippines

1970Generating Facilities’

Turnover to National Power

Corporation

2009Partnership with PLDT and San Miguel Groups

BriefHistory

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conglomerateswithmajorsharesinrealestate,foodandbeverage,banking,petrochemicals,and air transportation (JG SummitHoldings, Inc., 2015). Finally, First PhilippineHoldings(FPH)isalsoamajorconglomerateinthePhilippines,withbusinessesinenergy,realestate,manufacturing,andconstruction(FirstPhilippineHoldings,2015).

Meralcohasalsodiversifiedfromitscoredistributionbusiness,tobusinessesacrossthe electricity supply chain (generation and retail supply) and other related (insurance,construction,metering)andevenunrelated(informationtechnology,realestate)businesses(Meralco,2016).

Figure3.Meralcosubsidiaries(Meralco,2016)

B. Vision,Mission,andCorporateGoals

Meralco’svisionis“tobeaworld-classcompanyandtheserviceproviderofchoice”,while its mission is “to provide our customers the best value in energy, products andservices”.Itscorporateobjectivesareto:(i)Strengthencoredistributionbusiness,(ii)buildthepowergenerationportfolio,(iii)participateintheretailelectricitysupply,(iv)growtheelectricdistributionservicearea,and(v)drivetheexpansionofsubsidiaries(Meralco,2015).

Currently, the company is in linewith its goals. As awhole,Meralco is one of thebiggestcompaniesinthePhilippines.ItisoneofthecompaniesdeterminingthePhilippineStockExchangeindex,andisthe#7publicly-listedcompanyasof2015.Itisalsoincludedinthetop50ASEANpublicly-listedcompaniesthatyear.MeralcohasamarketcapitalizationofUS$7.7billion,andhasaStandardandPoor’screditratingofBB++(Meralco,2016)(Rivera,2016)(ASEANUp,2016).

Meralco is the largest and most “powerful” electric distribution company in thePhilippinescovering36citiesand75municipalities,includingMetroManila.Theirfranchisearea covers 9,337 km2, serving 5.8 million customers – including the most important

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industrial, commercial, and political centers (Meralco, 2016). Its power generation arm,MGen,hascurrentlyno installedcapacity.However, threeplantsare inconstruction:600-MWRPEnergyCoal,460-MWSanBuenaventuraCoal,and1,200-MWAtimonanCoal,totalingto2,260MWofnew capacity to goonlineby2021 (MGen, 2017) (Department ofEnergy(Philippines),2016).ThePhilippines’currentregisteredcapacityisaround15,662MW,andMGenissettobethesecondlargestpowergenerationcompanyinthePhilippinesuponthecompletion of its generation projects. Currently, the power generation in the country isdominatedbymajorPhilippine conglomerates (PhilippineElectricityMarket Corporation,2016).

Figure4.2015Philippines'electricitymarketsharebyregisteredcapacity(PhilippineElectricityMarket

Corporation,2015)

Merlaco’sretailelectricitysupplybusiness,MPower,isalsoleadingwith50%ofthemarket as of March 2016, since the retail market started in 2013. This market is evenexpected to grow further in the coming years (Philippine ElectricityMarket Corporation,2016).

Figure5.[Left]Sincetheretailelectricitysectorstartedin2013,theconsumptionofcontestablecustomers(orange)

hasbeenincreasing,and[Right]Marketsharefortheretailelectricitysuppliers(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016)

C.ScopeandLimitation

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ThispaperanalyzeshowMeralcoisabletoattainitsgoals–throughananalysisoftheenvironmentitoperatesin.Inthediscussion,focuswillbegivenonitscorebusiness–electricity distribution. No competitor analysis is done because Meralco has a naturalmonopolyoveritsmarket,asshownintheFiveForcesAnalysis(SectionII.F).

II.EnvironmentalAnalysis

A. GeneralEvaluation

Meralco’scoreproductiselectricitydistribution,deliveringpowerfromgeneratorstoend-users,andgettingitsincomefromthedistributioncharge.Meralcohasthreemajorcustomer segments, which will be discussed in detail later – (1) regular customers, (2)businesses,and(3)corporations.Forbusinessandcorporations,asidefromjustdeliveringelectricity, Meralco provides additional services through its many subsidiaries likeconsultancy, energy-saving technologies, and most importantly, specialized rates(MeralcoBizPartners,2017)(MeralcoCorporatePartners,2017).Meralco’smarketsize isdirectly related toMetroManila’selectricitydemand,which is in turnproportional to thecountry’seconomy.InthePESTELAnalysislater(SectionII.C),itwillbeshownthatboththecountry’s economy and energy demand is increasing. This presents an opportunity forMeralcotostrengthenitsbusiness,especiallyforcommercialandindustrialcustomers,whomakesupmostofitsenergysales(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015).

Figure6.Meralcoenergysales(inGWh)persector(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015)

B. DegreeofTurbulence

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000

2012 2013 2014 2015

EnergySales(inGWh)

Residential Commercial Industrial

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Figure7.DegreeofturbulenceofMeralco'senvironment(Lynch,2015)

Theelectricitysupplychainisstatic,inasensethattheflowofpowerfromgenerators

tosubstations,powerlines,andfinallytheend-usersisdonethroughmaturetechnologiesandalreadyestablishedinfrastructure.Althoughtherearetechnologicaladvancessuchassmartgridsanddistributedgeneration(tobediscussedinthePESTELanalysisinSectionII.C),thebasicstructurewillnotchange.Despitethis,thechangeabilityofthePhilippinepowersectorishigh.Thisisbecauseofthreemajorfactors:(1)TheElectricPowerIndustryReformActof2001 (EPIRA) (See Section II.C), is still in the process of being fully implemented. Thisestablishedthespotandretailelectricitymarkets.Andsincethesemarketsarenotyetfullydeveloped,therulesandregulationsgoverningthemarestillchanging.(2)ThePhilippines’economy isgrowing fast,whichaffects theenergyconsumption,and thebalancebetweenelectricitysupplyanddemand.(3)Thereisagreaterpushforrenewableenergy.Althoughthecountrystillreliesmainlyoncoaltomeetitsincreasingenergydemand,policiessuchasthe Feed-in-Tariff have been put in place to support renewables. This directly affectselectricitypricesinthePhilippines(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016)(Lynch,2015).

Thepredictabilityofchangesintheindustryismoderatetohigh.TheprovisionsofEPIRA are already determined. It is the execution schedule and market details that arevariable. Andwhenever revisions aremade tomarket rules, they first go through publicconsultation. The Philippines’ economy is forecasted by several agencies like theBangkoSentralngPilipinas(CentralBankofthePhilippines),WorldBank,AsianDevelopmentBank,etc.Finally,anydevelopment intechnologyiscloselymonitoredbycompaniesbothinthePhilippinesandabroad.Ofcourse,allofthesearesubjecttothecountry’spoliticalstability,whichisalsoratedbyagenciessuchasTheEconomistIntelligenceUnit.

Giventhese,thedegreeofturbulenceoftheenvironmentisconcludedtobemoderate.

There is high changeability, but this is accompanied by high predictability. Meralco’scorporate strategy is a mix of prescriptive and emergent. Prescriptive, because the corebusinessisessentiallythesameasitwas100yearsago.Thus,itcontinuesusingthe“formula”

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thathasbeenworking for it.At thesame time, thecompanymustbeable toadapt to thechangingpolicies,economy,andtechnology.Strategiesmustbeputinplacetomakethemostoutofthegrowingeconomy,whileprotectingthecompany’sdominanceinthemarket.

C. PESTELAnalysis

Demographics

Meralco operates in the Philippines, a relatively small, densely-populated,developing,archipelagiccountryinSoutheastAsia.Thecountryhasalandareaof300,000km2,butapopulationof92millionpeople,andwithaGDP(incurrentUS$,asof2014)of285billion,growingat6.1%.MajorityofMeralco’scustomersareinMetroManila,thecountry’scapital.AlthoughtheNationalCapitalRegiononlyaccounts for0.2%of thecountry’s totallandmass,ithouses13%ofthecountry’spopulationandcontributes36%ofthecountry’sGDP(2.1percentagepointsoutof its6.1%GDPgrowthrate).Comparedwithdistributionutilities in other parts of the country, Meralco’s clientele have more purchasing power(PhilippinesStatisticsAuthority,2016).

PoliticalandSociological

Figure8.SegregationofFilipinofamiliesbyincomeclass(Rappler,2015)

$ 16,697

$ 1,352

$ 397

$ 277

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Thefigureaboveshowsthecountry’ssocio-economicstructureasof2015(Albert,Gaspar, & Raymundo, 2015). The Philippines is low- and middle-class heavy, with highdisparitybetweeneachsocialclass.Asof2012,itsGINI(ameasureofinequality;theclosertozero,themoreeconomicallyequalthecountryis)is43,the14thhighestintheworld(WorldBank,2016).Meanwhile,21%ofthecountrystillhasnoaccesstoelectricity(InternationalEnergyAgency,2015).Meralcoisownedbythebiggestconglomeratesinthecountry,andnaturally,hastheeconomicandpoliticalpower.Itscustomers,however,arefromthemiddle-andlower-classes.Thus, itsservicemustbemadeaffordableforeveryone.Otherwise, thiscan result to power pilferage by Filipinos who can’t afford to pay electric bills. Already,Meralco allots 6.5% system loss charge for these losses (Metro Pacific InvestmentsCorporation,2015).

Economic

ThePhilippinesdefiedglobaltrends,withaGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)growthof5.8%in2015,makingitoneofthefastest-growingdevelopingcountriesinAsiatogetherwithIndia,China,andVietnam.Despitebeinglowerthan2014’s6.1%GDPgrowthandthetargetgrowth of 7%-8%, this performance is decent, given the environment: a global economicdecline,aggravatedbylocalconcernslikeElNiño.Thecountrywasabletoovercomethesechallenges through high government spending aided by robust private investments,encouragingfavorableratingsfromtopcreditratingagencies:

• Standard&Poor’sreaffirmedthePhilippines’BBBStablerating, thehighestratingeverrecordedinthecountry’shistory

• FitchRatingsratedthePhilippinesaBBB-PositiveInvestmentGraderating• Moody’sratedthePhilippineswithaBAA2StableInvestmentGraderating

DespitethedeclineingrowthofremittancesfromOverseasFilipinoWorkers(OFWs),severalfactorssuchasthecontinuedgrowthoftheBusinessProcessOutsourcing(BPO)industryandtheServicessectorledtomorepositiveresults:

• Record-lowunemploymentrateat5.6%• Record-lowinflationrateat1.4%• 6.2%growthinhouseholdconsumption• HighestConsumerConfidenceIndexinSoutheastAsia

Agrowingeconomyresultstogrowingelectricitydemand, thussignifyinga largergrowthpotentialforMeralco(Meralco,2016).

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Figure9.[Left]ThegrowingPhilippineeconomy(Schnabel,2016)accompaniedby[Right]growingelectricitydemand

(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016)

Legal

Aswithanypublicutility,theelectricitysectorishighlyregulatedbythegovernmentthroughtheEnergyRegulatoryCommission(ERC),anindependentquasi-judicialregulatorybody. Its main responsibilities are to ensure consumer education and protection, and topromote the competitive operations in the electricity market (Energy RegulatoryCommission, 2017). The commission approves prices of bilateral contracts betweenelectricity suppliersandretail customers,andalsomonitors theelectricitybill charged toend-users.

Feed-in-Tariff(FIT)

Pursuant to theRenewableEnergyActof2008 (RepublicActNo.9513),TheERCissuedaresolutionadoptingFITrulesin2010.TheFITsystemisapolicyguaranteeingafixedpaymentperkilowatt-hourforwind,solar,ocean,run-of-river,andbiomassgenerators.Tosupport thisprogram,ERCapproved the collectionofaFIT-Allowance (FIT-All) chargeofPhP0.0406perkWhfromallconsumersnationwide,inadditiontotheregularelectricitybills.This fee is collected through distribution utilities like Meralco, and is passed on to theRenewableEnergyproducers(Meralco,2016).

ElectricPowerIndustryReformAct(EPIRA)

Themostimportantlegislation,however,thatrestructuredtheelectricitysectorwastheElectricPowerIndustryReformActof2001(RepublicActNo.9136).Itsmaingoalswere:

• To ensure and accelerate the total electrification of the country, by encouragingprivateinvestmentintheindustry

• To ensure affordability of electricity, by encouraging free and fair competitionthrough the establishment of thewholesale and retail electricitymarkets and theEnergy Regulatory Commission (Senate and House of Representatives of thePhilippines,2001)

PhilippineElectricitySupplyChain

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BeforeEPIRA,allpowergenerationand transmission facilitieswereownedby the

state-owned National Power Corporation (NPC). Meralco, a distribution utility, thus onlysourceditselectricityfromthegovernment.Allend-users(residentialhomesandindustrialfacilitiesalike)sourcedtheirpower fromtheir localelectriccooperativesanddistributionutilities.Inthiscase,allelectricityconsumersinsideMeralco’sfranchisearea(MetroManila)gottheirpowerfromMeralco.

ThroughEPIRA,(i)powerplantswereprivatizedbyauctioningthemtothehighestbidders;(ii)thecompany’spowertransmissionnetworkwasfranchisedtotheNationalGridCorporation of the Philippines (NGCP) – a consortium comprised of Monte Oro GridResourcesCorporation(ownedbyaFilipinoconglomerate)andtheStateGridCorporationofChina (National Grid Corporation of the Philippines, 2016); (iii) the Philippine ElectricityMarket Corporation, a company supervised by the country’s Energy Secretary, wasestablishedin2006to(iv)operatetheWholesaleElectricitySpotMarket,whichstartedin2010 and (v) the Retail Competition and Open Access (RCOA) in 2013 – through whichconsumerswith anaverage loadof1MWof greater are free topurchase electricity fromelectricity suppliers aside from their local providers (Philippine Electricity MarketCorporation,2016).

ForMeralco,thisopenedtheopportunitytoverticallyintegratewithotherpartsofthesupplychain.Asstatedearlier,itspowergenerationarm,MGen,iscurrentlyconstructingthreegenerationfacilities.Itsretailarm,MPower,hashalfthemarketshare.EPIRAalsogaveMeralcothelibertytosourceitspowerfromavarietyofprivategenerators,andevenfromthemarket –whatever suits its strategy. The establishment of RCOA expandedMeralco’scustomer reach as it cannowprovide power to contestable customers (mostly industrialfacilitieswhichusemorethan1MWofelectricity)outsideMetroManila.

Figure10.TheelectricitysupplychainbeforeandafterEPIRA(PhilippineElectricityMarket

Corporation,2016)

�Monopoly in distribution

� Single supplier

� Captive customers

�Many suppliers

� Venture in power generation

� Venture in retail electricity supply

� Captive customers

� Contestable customers

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Technological

In2013,theERC,themaingovernmentbodyinchargeofregulatingtheelectricgrid,approved the standards enabling net-metering of renewable energy for customers withdistributedgeneration.Distributedgenerationrefers to smallgenerationentitieswhocansupplydirectly to thegridwithamaximumcapacityof100kW.Net-meteringmeans thatconsumerswhohave installed capacities (e.g. solar panels) and generatemore electricitythantheyconsumecansellthisextrapowertothegrid.TheRenewableEnergyActof2008pioneeredthisnet-meteringconcept,withthegoalofencouragingend-userstoparticipateinrenewableenergygeneration(DepartmentofEnergy(Philippines),2008).

Since the technology for solar photovoltaics is quitemature, solar providers have

beenofferingthesupplyandinstallationofrooftopsolarpanelsforaslowasUS$3,800(SolarPhilippines, 2017). Meralco mitigates this risk by investing heavily in infrastructure toimproveefficienciestothepointofmakingself-generationuneconomical.In2015,Meralco’scapital expenditure amounted to aroundUS$228million,mostofwhichwasdedicated toelectriccapitalprojects likesubstationsandtransmission lines.Asaresult, thecompany’ssystemlossandinterruptionindexeshaveconsistentlybeendecreasinginthepastfiveyears(Meralco,2016).

Figure11.Meralco'soperationalperformance(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015)

D. KeyFactorsforSuccess

Three major factors are identified to thrive as an electricity distributor –

infrastructure,size,andcustomers.Corporation:InfrastructureandCapital

Distributionlinesareinfrastructurethatareimpracticaltobuildinparallel–becausethey are costly and logisticallydifficult tomanage. Settingup thepower lines first in anyregiongivesthecompanyanobviouscompetitiveadvantage.ThiswasthecaseforMeralco.ItwasthefirstcompanytoelectrifyMetroManila,andsothecompanywasabletocaptureallelectricityconsumersinMetroManilaforover100years.Connectedtothisisthecapitaltodevelopinfrastructure.Thefranchiseareacannotbeexpandedwithoutthemoneytobuild

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andmaintain the power lines.Meralco, being ownedby the biggest conglomerates in thecountry,alsohasthisadvantage.Competition:SizeandMarketDominance

Thebiggerthefranchisearea,thebiggerthebargainingpowerofadistributionutilityis.ThisisthereasonwhysmallerelectriccooperativesintheruralpartsofthePhilippinesareaggregatingwhensecuringpowersupplyagreements.Theyareabletobuypowerfromgenerators at lower prices or at more flexible terms, compared to when they negotiateindividually. On the other hand, generators are competing to obtain power supplyagreements with Meralco, because of its huge demand. In 2015, Meralco’s peak demandreached6,298MW(60%ofthewholecountry’speakdemandforthesameyear).Securingacontract with Meralco meant securing the company’s income for a long period of time(Meralco,2016)(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016).

Size also increases the lobbying power of a company. Various organizations(Independent PowerProducers’ Association, Retail Electricity Suppliers’ Association, etc.)protect the interestofdifferentplayers in thepower sector. Larger companies,whohavegreaterpoliticalpowerintheseorganizations,canensurethattheorganizations’positionsareintheirbestinterest.

Sizealsopertainstothepositionoccupiedinthevaluechain(vertical integration).Owning a bigger part of the chainmeans greater control of the prices and income of thecompany,asinthecaseforMeralco.Customers:PayingCapacity

Customersofdistributionutilitiesarecaptive–meaningtheyhavenochoicebutto

sourcetheirpowerfromthepowerlinesalreadyexistingintheirarea.Althoughthequalityandreliabilityofelectricityisimportantforeconomicgrowthandeverydayliving,end-usershave little control over this. Consumer groupsmay lobby formore stable or sustainablepower,butintheend,nationalpoliciesandeconomicgrowthwilldictatethis.

However, what is very important for customers is the price of electricity. As

mentionedearlier,thePhilippinesismiddle-andlower-classheavy,andpowermustbemadeaffordable for them. Illegal connections are very rampant. There are even electriccooperativesthatrunoutofbusinesssimplybecausetheircustomerswon’tpay.Comparedtotherestofthecountrythough,theNationalCapitalRegion,whereMeralcooperates,hasthelowestpovertyincidenceamongfamiliesat2.7%,whilePhilippinesisat16.5%in2015(PhilippineStatisticsAuthority,2015).Meralcostillemploysmeasuresthough,tomakeitsservice affordable for all customers (ex. prepaid electricity, consumption calculator, etc.).Additionally,sinceelectricityisautility,consumergroupssuchastheNationalAssociationofElectricity Consumers (Nasecore) closely monitor Meralco. This is why Meralco is as

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transparentaspossiblewithregardstoitselectricitycharges.Monthlytelevisionandradioadvisoriesarereleasedandthebreakdownofelectricbillsareavailabletothepublicviathecompanywebsite(Meralco,2016).

Figure12.2015PovertyincidenceinthePhilippines,showingMetroManilawiththeleastincidence(PhilippineStatistics

Authority,2015)

E. GrowthandLifeCycleAnalysis

Figure13.LifecycleanalysisforMeralco’sdistributionbusiness

Initially,Meralcoand theelectricpower industryhavebeen inmaturity.Althoughdemandwasincreasing,theservicesusedtodeliverpowerhavebeenstagnant.But,giventherapidly environment (EPIRA, RCOA, FIT-All, distributed generation, and the increasingcommercialandindustrialneedsofthecountry)–andaddtothistheincreasingresourcesatMeralco’s disposal (its subsidiaries in generation, retail market, engineering andconstruction,insurance,paymentcenters,etc.)–itcanbesaidthatMeralcoisinanewgrowth

SALES

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phase.ThisisevidentinitsincreasingsalesasshowninFigure6.Meralcoenergysales(inGWh)persector(MetroPacificInvestmentsCorporation,2015).Newproductsandservices(otherthanjustpowerdistribution)arebeingofferedmyMeralco,tosuitthechangingneedsofitscustomers.SectionII.Hshowsamoredetailedcustomeranalysis,andanoverviewofthenewproductsMeralcooffers. ItshouldalsobenotedthatMeralcowasthefirstentranttothedistributionbusiness,whichisalsothemainreasonwhyitwasabletomaintainitsgrowth/maturityphaseforaverylongtime.ThiswillbediscussedfurtherinthenextsectionontheFiveForcesAnalysis.

F. FiveForcesAnalysis

Figure14.FiveForcesAnalysisofMeralco

Suppliers

The suppliers of Meralco are the power generation companies. They have lowbargainingpowerbecausetherearemanyofthem,andtheproducttheyoffer,electricity,isnon-differentiable.Also,althoughgenerationcostscomprisealargepartofMeralco’sover-allcosts,thesearesimplypassedthroughtotheend-users.Meralcohasthebiggestload,andgenerators compete tohaveMeralco as their customerby arrangingpayment and supplytermsaccordingtoMeralco’swants.Ontheotherhand,along-termpowersupplycontractwith Meralco eliminates major risks in the power producer’s business. Finally, with thecompletionofMGen’sthreenewpowerplantsby2021,Meralco’ssupplierswillhaveanevenweakerbargainingpowersinceMeralcocansourcemostofitsdemandfromitssubsidiary.

Customers

Theend-usersofMeralco’sproductsaretheFilipinopeople.Meralco’sbusinessisofpublicinterest,whichiswhyitishighlyregulated.TheEnergyRegulatoryCommissionhasto

New Entrants

Substitutes

CustomersExisting Rivalry

Suppliers

Low bargaining power

Public interest –Highly-regulated

Self-consumption

High barrier to entry

Monopolistic

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approveallpowersupplyagreementswithgenerators.Furthermore,Meralcoisrequiredtorelease abreakdownof its charges everymonth. Several consumergroupsmonitor theseelectricity prices. In extreme caseswhen prices are deemed to be unfair,Meralco can bedemandedtogiverefundstoitscustomers.ThishappenedinNovemberandDecember2013whenelectricitypricesinthespotmarketspikedduetothesimultaneousoutageofseveralpowerplants. SinceMeralco sourcedaround8.6%of itspower from thespotmarket, theelectric bill of end-users also jumped (Meralco, 2013). The power plants on outagewereaccused of collusion by consumer groups. Eventually, ERC imposed a standard bywhichmarket prices will be recalculated for those two months, and the excess of which wasreturnedtotheconsumers(Salaverria,Olchondra,&Burgonio,2014).

NewEntrants

Asstatedearlier,powerdistributioniscapital-intensive(bothintermsofindustriesofscaleandtechnicalandmarketexpertise)becauseitrequiresspecializedandlogisticallynon-duplicableinfrastructure.Inadditiontothat,theswitchingcostsforcustomersmaybeveryhigh(asthiswillinvolveelectricalre-wiring,etc.).Thus,thebarriertoentryisveryhigh.In fact, in the last6years,only6newdistributionutilitiesenteredthemarket(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2011)(PhilippineElectricityMarketCorporation,2016).

Substitutes

ThemainsubstituteforMeralcoisbackwardintegrationorself-consumption,intheformofdistributedgenerationandalternativeenergysources.Distributedgenerationmainlyrefers to the rise in solar photovoltaic installations in the country. As part of its risk-managementstrategy,Meralcois improvingefficienciessuchthatself-generationbecomesuneconomical(Meralco,2016).Alternativeenergysourcesincludetheuseofnaturalgas,orprimary fossil fuels likewood or coal, instead of electricity for cooking. The use of solarheatingforbathingwaterisalsoincreasing.However,self-consumptionisnotexpectedtodisruptMeralco’sbusinessintheshort-term.Theincreaseinenergydemandinthecountryisfast,andthefastestandcheapesttechnologytoaddressthisisstillcoal.AsofNovember2016, 59% (9,890 MW) of the indicative and committed private-sector initiated powerprojectsarefueledbycoal(DepartmentofEnergy(Philippines),2016).

ExistingRivalry

Given the industry and environment Meralco operates in, it can be said that thecompanyhasanaturalmonopolyinelectricitydistributioninMetroManila.Itisalsothemostpowerfuldistributionutilityinthecountry.Ithasbeenservingthecapitalforover100years,andanynewentrantcanonlytrulycompetewithMeralcoincaseofaseveredisruptionintechnology or an extreme natural calamity –which is highly unlikely. For example, if anearthquakeor floodwipesout thepower systemof the countryandeverythinghas toberestarted.RegulationssuchastheopeningofRetailCompetitionandOpenAccess,however,

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can change customers from captive to contestable; and in the retail electricity business,Meralco(throughMPower)canfacecompetitioninthefuture.

G. FourLinksAnalysis

Figure15.FourlinksanalysisofMeralco

InformalCooperativeLinksandNetworks

GiventhatMeralcoisownedbythebiggestconglomeratesinthecountry,ithasstronginformal cooperative links both inside and outside the power industry, through its sistercompanies.Thisisparticularlyusefulforsecuringcustomers.Forexample,chemicalplantsownedbyJGSummitHoldingswillmostprobablygetelectricityfromMPower.Almostanycustomer thatMeralcowants to tap, italreadyhas its foot in thedoor.Compare thiswithforeign-ownedgenerators,whosesolebusiness isproducingelectricity.Theywillhavenopreviousconnectionswithpotentialcustomers,andalmostallmarketingeffortswillhavetobedonefromscratch.ThesheerageofMeralcoalsogivesitanadvantage.Ithasbeenapartof several business associations for a long time, and the network resulting from these isenormous.

FormalCooperativeLinksandNetworks

Meralcohassecuredlong-termcontractswithitsgenerators.Asexplainedpreviously,Meralco’ssizegivesitstrongbargainingpowersuchthatitssuppliersusuallygiveMeralcothelowestprices,andaccordingtoMeralco’sterms.

Complementors

Formal Cooperative

Links and Networks

Informal Cooperative

Links and Networks

Comple-mentors

Meralcosubsidiaries

Long relationship but changing

policies

Long-standing contracts

Sister companies & Business associations

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Meralcoisverticallyintegratedintheelectricitysupplychain.Italsohassubsidiariesinrelatedbusinesseslikeengineering,metering,insurance,informationtechnology,andevenfinancing.Meralcovirtuallyownsallcomplementorstoitscoredistributionbusiness.

GovernmentLinksandNetworks

Meralcoisolderthananyothercompanyorentityinthepowerindustry.Itpredatesthe electricity market, the Energy Regulatory Commission, and even the Department ofEnergy.Becauseofitsageandmarketdominance,itimplicitlyyieldsgreatinfluencetopolicy-making.On theotherhand, alsobecauseof its size, anyenergy-relatedpolicy isbound toaffectthecompanyonewayoranother.Andagain,thepowerindustryiscurrentlystillinthephaseofreformation,coupledwitheconomicandtechnologicaldevelopment–willyieldtocorrespondingchangesinenergypolicies.

H. CustomerAnalysis

Meralco,asadistributioncompany,hascaptivecustomers.Theseareend-userswho

simply get their power from Meralco (and from whichever power plant Meralco hascontractedwith).AsmentionedintheGeneralEvaluation(SectionII.A),thesecustomersaresegmented into regular customers, businesses, and corporations. (1) Regular customersinclude residential, commercial, and industrial consumers who only avail of powerdistributionservicesfromMeralco.Distributionchargesdifferdependingonthelocationofthe customers. Commercial areas have a generally higher rate than residential areas. (2)Businesscustomers,dubbedas“MeralcoBizpartners”,aregivendifferentgenerationchargesfor peak and off-peak hours, so that they can get up to 37% savings if they shift theiroperationstothecheaperoff-peakhours.Prepaidelectricityoptionsandelectricity-savingconsultancyservicesarealsooffered.Thesecustomersincludesmallandmediumenterprisessuchasrestaurantsandstart-ups.Itispositionedto“helpFilipinosexpandtheirbusinessforthefutureoftheirfamilies”(MeralcoBizPartners,2017)(3)“MeralcoCorporatePartners”,ontheotherhand,targetspublicandprivatecustomerswithacapacityofatleast500kW.Theseconsumersrepresentthetop10,000Philippinecorporationsandconglomerates.Thisbusiness isdone throughRelationshipManagers (RMs),whoare technical and regulatoryexpertscomingfromdifferentindustries.Theyactasenergyconsultantswhohelpfromtheinitial planning stages, the service application process, until the actual connection to thepower grid, and power quality and energy efficiency management. (Meralco CorporatePartners, 2017). As observed, Meralco offers additional customized services for biggercustomers who have special needs. This is a part of Meralco’s strategy to becomemorecustomer-focusedbyleveragingonitsvarioussubsidiaries(Meralco,2016).

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Figure16.ThenumberofMeralcocustomerspersector(left)andenergyconsumptionpersector(right)in2015

(Meralco,2016)

Almostall (92%)ofMeralco’scustomersare fromtheresidential sector,however70%ofenergyconsumptioncomesfromthecommercialandindustrialcustomers.It isthusmorestrategicforMeralcotoconcentrateitseffortsonthis8%(Meralco,2016).

Meanwhile, Meralco as a retail electricity supplier, MPower, has contestable

customers. These are facilities which have a consumption of 1MW or higher. These aremostly industrial plants, or establishments with high aggregated demand such as bigshoppingmallsorhospitals.TheysourcetheirelectricityfromretailelectricitysupplierssuchasMPower,whointurngettheelectricityfromthegenerators.

V.Conclusions Meralcoisavertically-integratedpowercompanyinthePhilippines,whosecorebusinessisdistributingelectricityinMetroManila.Itdominatesinthedistributionandretailsupplysectors,andsooninthegeneratingsectoraswell.Itisabletodosobecauseoftherightmixofitsenvironmentandresources.Meralcohasthefirstentryadvantage,givingitmonopolyinMetroManila,therichestregion in the country. Add to this the growing Philippine economy,which givesMeralco greateropportunities.Ontheresourcesside,Meralcohasgreateconomicandpoliticalmusclebyvirtueofitsownership.Beingownedby thebiggest conglomerates in thePhilippines, ithas implicit alliancesacross different industries. Because of its size, it has strong bargaining power to get favorablecontractsfromitssuppliers. However, thepower industry is changing–due to the implementationofEPIRA, growingeconomy,anddevelopingtechnologies.Meralco’sstrategyisthusamixofprescriptiveandemergent.Itcontinuesitsprovenstrategiesofimprovingefficiencyandbeingcustomer-focused,whileseizingthenewopportunitiesthroughverticalintegrationanddiversification.

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