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MELMAC Peer Learning Understanding the Redesigned SAT ® , its Impact in Maine, and Validity March 7, 2017

MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

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Page 1: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

MELMACPeer Learning

Understanding the Redesigned SAT®, its Impact

in Maine, and Validity

March 7, 2017

Page 2: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

• SAT Suite of Assessments

• Impact of SAT Suite of Assessments

• Preliminary Validity StudyAgenda

Page 3: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

The SAT Suite of Assessments

Readiness

Baseline

Check-in

and Focus

Connect to

College

Page 4: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

200-800 points

About the Redesigned SAT®

200-800 points

Math Essay

(separate scores)

3 Hours 50 Minutes

Evidence-Based

Reading and Writing

200-800 points

4

Page 5: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Scores and Score Structures

Page 6: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

SAT® Essay Scores

The SAT Essay reports scores on three dimensions:

Reading2–8 Scale

Analysis2–8 Scale

Writing2–8 Scale

6

Page 7: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Longitudinal Progress Monitoring

7

► Section Scores will be placed on a vertical scale.

This same concept will hold true for the Test and Cross-

Test Scores as well as Total Score.

Page 8: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Vertical Score Scale

Total scores, section scores, test scores, and cross-test scoresare vertically scaled.

► Improved scores demonstrate growth from assessment to assessment.

► Vertical scaling allows educators to monitor growth across grades.

Subscores are not vertically scaled.

► Subscores provide information allowing students to pinpoint areas for improvement.

► Improved scores do not demonstrate growth from assessment to assessmentat the subscore level.

8

Page 9: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Scores Across the SAT®

Suite of Assessments

The redesigned SAT will be the anchor of a vertically aligned SAT Suite of Assessments.

ERW 480MATH 530

Page 10: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

► Working together, the tests in the SAT® Suite of Assessments provide college and career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedbackfor measuring student progress.

► Benchmarks indicating college and career readiness are determined usingSAT Suite data and first-year college performance data.

► The benchmark indicates that students who earn that score or higher have a 75% likelihood of earning a C or better in a first semester, credit-bearing course in the same subject area.

► The PSATTM 8/9 will provide benchmarks and norms for both 8th and 9th grades.

► PSATTM 10 will provide benchmarks and norms for 10th grade.

► The PSAT/NMSQT® will provide benchmarks and norms for 10th-and 11th-graders.

10

College and Career Readiness Benchmarks

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11

Set at section level.

Grade-level benchmarks are based on expected student growth toward the SAT Benchmarks:

Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 SAT

Section Level390 410 430 460 480 ERW

430 450 480 510 530 MATH

Page 12: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

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(Pre-Redesigned) SAT Benchmarks SAT Benchmarks

Based on data obtained from four-year institutions Based on data from two- and four-year institutions

Based on an average of course outcomes (GPA) Based on course outcomes from related content areas

Includes coursework in first year Includes coursework in first semester

All coursework included Coursework is related to the relevant SAT section

All coursework included Only non-remedial coursework included

All coursework included Only introductory (100-level) coursework included

The percent college ready is based on achieving the composite

score

The percent college ready is based on achieving both section

benchmarks (Evidence-Based Reading and Writing and Math)

Calculated based on a 65% probability of earning at least a 2.67 (B-

) in the first year of college

Calculated separately based on a 75% probability of earning at least

a C in related first semester courses

Page 13: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

• Assess only what students are already learning in the classroom, and onlythose things students will use over and over again to be successful.

• Ensure all students claim the opportunities they've earned.

• Assessments must earn students and their families something worthwhile.

• The only things that change performance are productive practice and great courses.

Assessment without Opportunity is DOA: Four Rules for Assessment

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Student Report (Paper/PDF Version)

14

Page 15: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

• The SAT Suite of Assessments creates a multi-

year trajectory, allowing students to see how

they’re progressing throughout high school

• “SAT vocabulary words” are gone

• No penalty for guessing

• Focused on math that matters most

• Reflects what students learn in class

• Free test practice for all

• 2.5 million students are using Official SAT

Practice with Khan Academy®

• At roughly equal rates across all income

levels, races, and ethnicities

Making Excellence Easier: The New SAT

Page 16: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Steps to Link College Boardand Khan Academy Accounts

Step 1Log in or create a Khan Academy account at

satpractice.org

Step 2When prompted, students can agree to link their Khan

Academy and College Board accounts.

Step 3Students sign in or create a College Board account

Step 4When prompted, students click “Send” to authorize the

account linking

Step 5Students start practicing on Official SAT Practice on

Khan Academy!

Page 17: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for
Page 18: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

• 12,065 Maine Juniors (3rd year high school students) took the SAT in April (91% of ME public school students)

• 1,800+ more students have SAT scores in the graduating class of 2017

• Maine Dept. of Ed. opted to administer the SAT with Essay to all of its students

• Thousands of students and families were connected to opportunities as part of the Maine DOE state assessment system; above and beyond the school accountability results

Maine’s 2016 SAT School Day Administration Overview

Page 19: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

ConcordanceTables on

Three Levels

• Total to Total

• 1600 to 1600

• 2400 to 1600

• Section to Section

• CR+W to ERW

• Math to Math

• Section to Test (or Test to Section)

• Critical Reading to Reading Test

• Writing to Writing and Language

Test

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In addition to the tables themselves, threetools will be available

Smartphone Apps

iPhone and Android apps — provide

the same functionality as the old score

conversion slider.

Web

Provides the same functionality as

the apps, enabling users to make

score-to-score conversions.

Large-Scale Concordance

Higher education institutions may also

need tools to convert large numbers of

scores quickly.

Page 21: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Redesigned SAT Pilot Predictive Validity Study

• As part of the redesign of the SAT, the College Board conducted a pilot study to examine the predictive validity of redesigned SAT scores with college outcomes

• Fifteen four-year institutions administered a pilot form of the redesigned SAT to a sample of first-year, first-time college students very early in the fall semester of 2014

• The participating institutions varied by size, selectivity, public/private, and region

• 2,050 students were included in the final sample, and varied by race/ethnicity, best language, parental education, and parental income level

21

Page 22: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Key Findings • The redesigned SAT covers the content and skills that research shows matter most for college readiness – and it remains as predictive of college success as the old SAT

• Redesigned SAT scores improve the ability to predict college performance above high school GPA alone

• There is a strong, positive relationship between redesigned SAT section scores and grades in matching college course domains, suggesting that the redesigned SAT is sensitive to instruction in English language arts, math, science, and history/social studies

Page 23: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Interpreting Correlation Coefficients

Small correlation has an absolute value of approximately 0.1

Medium correlation has an absolute value of approximately 0.3

Large correlation has an absolute value of

approximately 0.5 or higher

Cohen, J. (1988). Statistical power analysis for behavioral sciences (2nd ed.). Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Page 24: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Mean FYGPA by SAT Total Score Band

2.682.89

3.143.33

3.58

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

600-790(n=41)

800-990(n=219)

1000-1190(n=435)

1200-1390(n=764)

1400-1600(n=589)

FYG

PA

SAT Total Score Band

(graphical depiction of the multiple correlation of SAT with FYGPA of 0.53)

Note: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported (e.g., score band 400–590, n = 2).

Page 25: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

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(graphical depiction of 0.10 incremental validity added by SAT above HSGPA to predict FYGPA)

Incremental Validity of the SAT

2.81 2.783.032.95

3.213.03

3.363.313.59

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

B A

FYG

PA

HSGPA

600-790 800-990 1000-1190 1200-1390 1400-1600

Note: HSGPA ranges are defined as follows: “A” range: 4.33 (A+), 4.00 (A), and 3.67 (A-); “B” range: 3.33 (B+), 3.00 (B), and 2.67 (B-). Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported. Not reported are all of the C or lower HSGPA group, HSGPA B: 400–590 SAT score band, and HSGPA A: 400–590 and 600–790 SAT score bands.

Page 26: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Relationship Between SATEvidence-Based Reading and Writing Scores and Course Grades in the Same Domain

Note: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported (e.g., score band 200–290, n = 1). Average English course grade includes

first-semester courses that are reading and writing intensive (excluding foreign and classical languages).

2.64

2.89

3.13

3.43

3.65

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

300-390(n=31)

400-490(n=163)

500-590(n=321)

600-690(n=505)

700-800(n=363)A

ve

rag

e C

ou

rse

Gra

de

in

En

gli

sh

SAT EBRW Section Score Band

Page 27: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Relationship Between SAT Math Section Scoresand Course Grades in the Same Domain

27

2.09

2.502.59

2.95

3.27

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

300-390(n=29)

400-490(n=71)

500-590(n=175)

600-690(n=368)

700-800(n=429)

Ave

rag

e C

ou

rse

Gra

de

in

M

ath

em

ati

cs

SAT Math Section Score Band

Note: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported (e.g., score band 200–290, n = 1). Average math course grade

includes first-semester course work in algebra, precalculus, calculus, and statistics.

Page 28: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Relationship Between Analysis in Science Cross-Test Scores and Course Grades in the Same Domain

2.48

2.702.83

3.12

3.43

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

15-19(n=26)

20-24(n=139)

25-29(n=276)

30-34(n=543)

35-40(n=402)

Ave

rage

Co

urs

e G

rad

e in

Sci

en

ce

SAT® Analysis in Science Cross-Test Score BandNote: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported (e.g., score band 10–14, n = 0). Average science course grade includes first-semester course work in natural sciences, health sciences, and engineering.

Page 29: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Relationship Between Analysis in History/Social StudiesCross-Test Scores and Course Grades in the Same Domain

2.54

2.983.14

3.443.62

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

15-19(n=38)

20-24(n=125)

25-29(n=313)

30-34(n=401)

35-40(n=372)

Ave

rage

Co

urs

e G

rad

e in

His

tory

/So

cial

Stu

die

s

SAT® Analysis in History/Social Studies Cross-Test Score BandNote: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported (e.g., score band 10–14, n = 3). Average history/social studies course grade includes first-semester course work in history and social sciences.

Page 30: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

• Retention information was available for 1,991 of the original 2,050 students from the National Student Clearinghouse.

• 1,879 students were retained to the second year

• 112 students were not retained to the second year

• 59 students were missing retention information

• The following figures describe the relationship between redesigned SAT scores and retention to the second year for the 1,991 students with retention information.

30

Retention to the Second Year

Page 31: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

89%86%

88%92% 93%91%

97%93%

97%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

B A

Pe

rce

nt

of

Stu

de

nts

Re

tain

ed

to

th

e

Se

co

nd

Ye

ar

HSGPA

600-790 800-990 1000-1190 1200-1390 1400-1600Incremental Validity of the SAT: Retention to the Second Yearby SAT Total Score Band, Controlling for HSGPA

Note: Results based on fewer than 15 cases are not reported. Sample sizes within each band

include both retained and non-retained students. For students with a HSGPA of A and an SAT

score of 1400-1600, the average second year retention rate was 0.9749 which rounds to 97%.

Page 32: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

National Validity Study of the Redesigned SAT

• The College Board will launch a more comprehensive, longitudinal national SAT validity study in partnership with colleges and universities

• This study will examine the relationship between SAT scores and important college outcomes such as GPA, course grades, persistence, and completion

• Institutions interested in participating in the upcoming national validity study of the redesigned SAT should contact [email protected] prior to September 2018

• Initial findings from this large-scale study will be available in 2019

Page 33: MELMAC Peer Learning Doyle-Presenta… · Analysis 2–8 Scale Writing 2–8 Scale 6. Longitudinal Progress Monitoring 7 ... career readiness benchmarks and consistent feedback for

Questions? Pat Doyle

Director State and District Partnerships

[email protected]