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Matt Pinto shares his trends of Catholicism. The Catholic Church maintains a strong presence throughout the world, comprising more than 17 percent of the global population. As our world changes, there will be changes in the life of the Church, and the changes in the life of the Church will certainly affect changes within the global community. As Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI stated, “The Church is not a manufactured item. She is the living seed of God that must be allowed to grow and ripen.” To be effective leaders and evangelizers, Catholics must understand how such growth and ripening is taking place, both globally and locally. From November 9-13, Matthew Pinto, founder and president of Ascension Press and a New York Times best-selling author, will be delivering a series of fast-paced and highly informative presentations titled, “Where Catholicism Is Headed: Seven Trends that Will Affect Your Parish, Ministry, and Personal Faith.” In his presentation, Matthew will examine key ways the Church has developed and changed over the past fifty years, specifically in the Western developed nations, and he will speculate about what the Church will experience over the next two decades. “Because of the nature of our work, my team and I have had unique access to people and events, which has allowed us see and monitor over time what we describe as trends,” said Pinto. “Some of these trends may be global in nature, but many trends have a degree of impact at the local level. There are also trends that don’t manifest at the global level but are certainly present within a particular country or region.” The goal of Pinto’s speaking tour is to share his findings about trends in the Church—drawn from twenty-five years in apostolic ministry along with recent qualitative and quantitative research—to help the laity and Church leaders confidently determine where to direct their attention and resources. As to what the future holds, Pinto says, “We are people of hope. There are many wonderful things happening in the Church, particularly with the youth. But, it is important for us to be aware of both the hopeful and the more disquieting trends that have potential to shape the future of the Church. It is only by being aware of these forces that we can respond effectively.”
Citation preview
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Hello
: )
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Where Catholicism is Headed:Seven Trends that Will A!ect
Your Parish, Ministry and Personal Faith
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The Plan for Our Time
Together
! Our plan
!
7 Global trends! Break:
! Trends in England
! Two Resources for Your Parish
!Q&A
! For my notes: [email protected]
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The Church is not a
manufactured item. She is
the living seed of God that
must be allowed to grow
and ripen.
Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI
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A Few Disclaimers
! I speak from an American perspective,however
! This is very much a conversation
! Some of this will be bad news; Some will be goodnews; All will be interesting
! Catholics should always ultimately have hope
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Sources
PewResearchCenter
!"#%&&'(')*()!"%*'(+',#(!%,-
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Sources
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Survey: Country! We administered a survey to over 740 Catholics
throughout the UK
England &Wales
75%
Scotland
17%
NorthernIreland
8%
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Survey: Age
13-24 years
25-34 years old
35-44 years old
45-54 years old
55-64 years old
65-74 years old
75 years or
older
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Interview Process
! We interviewed 24 people throughout the UK whohave varying perspectives and backgrounds within
the Church:
! 1 bishop
! 2 religious
! 1 parish priest
! 1 deacon
! 1 consecrated layperson
! 2 Catholic reporters
! 2 religion think tank
researchers
! 4 Catholic scholars
! 5 lay diocesan
employees! 4 involved in various
ministries
! A partridge in a pear
tree
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Trend #1:
Shifting Demographics
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Shifting Demographics
General World Trends:! Populations of countries will
continue to shift:
! Immigration
! Birth rates! Refugee situations
! X-factors?
!
As the Church is global, theseshifts will have great implicationsfor the life of the Church
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Shifting Demographics (contd)
Source: The Wisdom Years, data taken from the U.S Census Bureau (2008)
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Shifting Demographics
In 2050 Europe:
Catholic populationwill be 5 percentsmaller than it is
today-CARA
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Shifting Demographics (contd)
The Demographics of the Church Are Shifting
! The global Catholic population has grown by 57%
since 1980 (CARA)
! Europe +6%
! Africa +238% (CARA)
! Gaining/holding ground: Africa, China, Philippines
! Losing ground: Europe, Middle East, Latin America (WSJ)
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Shifting Demographics (contd)
! More dioceses = more bishops
! 2015: 13 of the 20 new cardinals:
Latin America, Africa, or Asia (WSJ).
!
1914-1922, Benedict XV:1 non-European cardinal out of 32(National Geographic)
The Demography of Church Hierarchy Is Shifting
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Shifting Demographics (contd)
! a future in which the South [does not] simplyreplace the North, but rather one in which ideas,
movements, and controversies radiate out from
multiple centers in both North and South
-John Allen (emphasis added)
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Shifting Demographics (contd)
Source: Christianity Today, June 2015
54% drop
46% drop
38% drop
60% drop
Confirmations
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In 2000, there were more Catholic baptisms in thePhilippines alone than in France, Spain, Italy, and
Poland combined
-Allen
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! The Faith is Europe,and Europe is the
Faith
-Hilaire Belloc
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How do shifting demographics
affect! Your parish?
! Shifts will save some parishes, but not others. Dioceses"tough decisions to make.
!
Your ministry?! Make tough investments in producing resources in other
languages
! Your faith life?
! Be open to other cultural expressions of Catholicism
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Trend #2:
.Francis Effect
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The "Francis Effect
! The Divine Plan
! Philosopher St. John Paul II
! TheologianBenedict XVI
!
PastorPope Francis! Why?" Wawa
! Pastoral Approach
! Lead with love/Jesus
! The Theology of Encounter
! Mercy
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Examples
With whom isthis most
associated?
Discussing and resolvingissues concerning theinternal life of the Church
Primarily
concernedwith
-Womens ordination-Biblical criticism
- Relationship withIslam/anti-conversionlaws
-Poverty or tribalgenocide
Engaging the broaderreligious and socialquestions outside of the
Church.
Global North Global South
Ad Intra (from within) Ad Extra (from a boundary)
-The Future Church
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The Francis Effect on
Church Hierarchy
! Pope Francis hasappointed:
! 26% of the votingmembers of theCollege of Cardinals
! Southern
hemisphere popes?
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Southern Catholicism: robustlyorthodox
-Allen
The Net Result! For the Progressives
! For the Orthodox
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! Unique combination of orthodoxy witha social justice emphasis
The "Francis Effect
Doctrinal clarity
Outreach
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How does the Francis Effect
affect! Your parish?
! Increased focus on welcoming those onperipheries
! Challenge for clergy to walk more closely withflock
! Your ministry?!
Dynamic orthodoxy
! Your faith life?
! Left and right called out of their comfort zones toa more integrated Catholicism
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Trend #3:
Rise of Islam
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Rise of Islam (contd)
%
%
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Rise of Islam (contd)!
Muslims 6% of the European population. By 2050,Muslims will make up 10% of the overall Europeanpopulation
-Pew, CARA
!
Median age:! European Christians 42
! European Muslims 32
-Pew
! The religious zeal of many Muslims also holds up anuncomfortable mirror for Western Christians,revealing the extent to which their own spiritualforce may have been sapped by secularization
-Allen
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Islam is attractivebecause of its
simplicity. It is stark andstrong like the desert
from which it came. AMuslim thinks he knowsexactly where he stands
in relation to Godthusthe growth rate.
-Fundamentals of the Faith
Peter Kreeft on Islam:
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How does the growth of
Islam affect! Your parish?
! Increase in theological and apologetical
understanding of Islam (seminars, pamphlets, etc.)
! Your ministry?
! Possible social collaboration with more moderateMuslims
! Your faith life
! Dont be afraid to share with Muslims your faith in
Jesus
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Trend # 4:
Rise of Evangelical Catholicism
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1) A clear embrace of traditional Catholic
thought, speech, and practice, the usual wordfor which is orthodoxy.
2) Faith seen as a matter ofpersonal choice ratherthan cultural inheritance
The Rise of Evangelical
Catholicism (cont'd)
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The Rise of EvangelicalCatholicism (contd)
Intentional Discipleship
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Beginning with the election ofJohn Paul II in 1978
Catholicism has becomesteadily more evangelical.
-John Allen
The Rise of Evangelical
Catholicism (contd)
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The Rise of EvangelicalCatholicism (contd)
! Weigel:! Evangelical Catholicism
moves the Church out of
the stagnant shallows ofinstitutional management to dynamic, intentionalChristian discipleship and
proclamation.
! For Parishes"
maintenance to mission
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How does evangelical
Catholicism affect
! Your parish
! Dont be afraid of more intentional Catholics
! Your ministry?
! Ministries are being infused with new vision, hope,
and success
! Need to be careful to avoid us vs. them mentality
within ministries
! Your faith life?
! Challenges our own commitment to the Faith.
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Trend #5:
New Evangelization
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! New ardor, new approaches, and newmethods for the sake of a New Evangelization
! Bottom up, top down
! Diocese o!ces now dedicated to the
New Evangelization
New Evangelization
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How does the New Evangelization
affect! Your parish?
! The Churchs foundational identity is missionary
! Promote a should do and can do mentality to yourstaff and parishioners
! Your ministry?
! All ministries need to have an underlying posture of mission
! Ground your ministries in prayer
! Your faith life?! Your baptismal call means you are called to bear fruit
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Trend #6:
New Savvy
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New Savvy
! People from business world, converts, and the
young
! The people of this world Lk 16:8
! New boldness, new creativity because
secularism is winning the day
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New Savvy (cont'd)
! Bishop Barrons
Catholicism
! Catholics ComeHome
! Chosen
! Altaration
! Rebuilt
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New Savvy (cont'd)
Our ady of
Walsingham
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How does the New Savvy affect
!
Your parish?! Look for people within parish who have secular skillsets
(financial, marketing, etc.)
! Invest in updating website; Use social media to connect withparishioners
! Your ministry?
! Fight the tendency to do things the ways ministries havebeen done
! Your faith life?
! Pray about what gifts you possess and bring your talents andideas to the powers-that-be
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Trend #7
A Big Picture Trend?
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A Snapshot of the Church in the West
1965 2014
The Discerningand Hopeful Church
(1960 1970)
The UncertainChurch
(1965 1980)
The SecularizedChurch(1970 2000 to Present)The RisingChurch
(1990 Present)
The SmallerBut More Intentional
Church?
The InternallySolidifying Church
(1980 Present)
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UK Church Trends
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Trend #1:
Increased Lay Involvement
! We will see more lay involvement in
parishes as a result of the priest shortageand the call to the New Evangelization
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Trend #2:
A Leaner Church
! Continued decrease in Mass attendance
and numbers of Catholics, but increasedclarity and commitment of those whoidentify as Catholic
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Trend #3:
Changes in Transmission of Faith
! The transmission of the faith will be harder toaccomplish in Catholic schools" growing
pressure to transmit faith through parishes
! There has been a push against faith schools who are actively
trying to transmit the faith. The government is concerned aboutradicalization and indoctrination in certain Muslim schools...
! They cannot just target Muslim schools, so they may beapplying more restrictions to Catholic schools in the future, as
well.
-Director of a think tank that researches the intersection of religion and society
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Trend #3:
Changes in Transmission of Faith(contd)
!
Parents will need to be catechized totake on a more active role in
transmitting the faith
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Trend # 4:
Increasing Tension with Culture
! If identity of Catholic Church in the UK sharpens,UK Catholicism will likely become more hightension more pronounced friction between the
Church and mainstream UK culture
! This may result in growth
I think that many practicing Catholics have a sense that itwill become increasingly difficult for them to practice theirfaith within mainstream society in the coming years. I dont
think that sentiment was present twenty or thirty years ago.
-A Catholic journalist in the UK
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Trend #5:
Immigrant Catholics
! Immigrant Catholics will play large role inlife of the UK Church.
! A Polish parish in West London: up toseven Sunday masses " 5000 people
wishing to worship
! Parish risked closing" given to Syro
Malabar Indian Catholic community
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Micro Trends
! Small increases in vocations to priesthoodand religious life
! Increase in Eucharistic adoration andMarian devotions
! Attraction to religious movements and laycommunities
! Growth in ministries led by and directed
towards young adults
! Rising interest in the Traditionalist Latin Mass
! Some increase in homeschooling
! Push for parish-renewal (e.g. parish cells)
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Some concludingthoughts
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Hope is the Essential Word
! Why I am here:
! Heritage, heroism, and hope
!Momentary amnesia
can it be cured?! Secular humanism vs. Christian humanism
! God is making a tapestry
! Begin with Ecclesia in Europa
! More pain in wider culture, more turning toChristianity to heal the pain
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!For my notes:[email protected]