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Mass Measurements for Microlens Planets with WFIRST/AFTA Jennifer C. Yee Sagan Fellow Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics

Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

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Page 1: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Mass  Measurements  for  Microlens  Planets  with  

WFIRST/AFTA  

Jennifer  C.  Yee  Sagan  Fellow  

Harvard-Smithsonian

Center for Astrophysics

Page 2: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Planet  mass  is  not  the  primary  observable  

Technique   Primary  Observable  Radial  Velocity   mpsini  Transits   rp/Rstar  Direct  Imaging   Flux  Microlensing   mp/Mstar  

Page 3: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Mass  RaHo  is  the  Primary  Observable  

q  =  mp/Mstar  Observable  

Page 4: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Mass  RaHo  is  the  Primary  Observable  

q  =  mp/Mstar  Observable  

We  must  measure  the  mass  of  the  lens  star  to  measure  the  mass  of  the  planet.  

Page 5: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Most  planetary  microlensing  events  give  a  mass-­‐distance  relaHon  

θE2  =  κMstar/Drel  

κ  =  constant  Observable  

Page 6: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

3  Ways  WFIRST  will  Measure  Lens  Masses  

1. Lens  Flux  2. Microlens  Parallax  3. Astrometric  Microlensing  

Page 7: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

BaHsta  et  al.  2014,  ApJ,  780,  54  

Jennifer C. Yee Research Statement

significance of the result can only be evaluated with a full detection efficiency/sensitivityanalysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report thefrequency of planets and claim that a typical lens star mass is 0.5 M⊙, but the lens starmasses are measured for only six of their 13 microlensing events, and these show a varietyof masses including several K dwarfs.

For three of the Gould et al. (2010) events without mass measurements, no estimate of thehost mass is possible, and the masses of the other four are estimated using a Bayesian estimatebased on the observed microlensing properties and a Galactic model prior, which tends tofavor M dwarfs since they are the most common stars. We implicitly assume that all starsare equally likely to host a planet at a given separation, even though core-accretion theoryand RV studies indicate that the probability of having a planet should depend on stellarmass. In the case of MOA-2011-BLG-293, I found the Bayesian probability distribution forthe lens mass peaks at 0.4 M⊙, but there is a significant probability for the lens star to bemore massive (Yee et al. 2012). Since the mass ratio in that event is large (q ∼ 0.005), onecould argue for an additional Bayesian prior giving preference to larger stellar masses sincethe planet is so massive. Hence, because the results of a Bayesian analysis depend on theinput priors, actually measuring the masses of the lenses is vitally important to confirmingthat they are M dwarfs and for using the frequency of microlensing planets to distinguishbetween planet formation by core accretion and formation by gravitational instability.

The mass of the host star is usually well-estimated for transit and RV surveys, but inmicrolensing we often have very little information about the lens stars. By definition, when amicrolensing event occurs, the source and lens are superposed. During the event, the sourceis magnified and contributes the majority of the light. Even when the source is unmagnified,since microlensing observations are conducted in very crowded fields, other, unrelated starsoften fall within the seeing-limited PSF, which is at best FWHM∼1′′. Figure 4 comparesseeing-limited and AO observations of MOA-2011-BLG-293, showing the high density ofstars. Thus, the light from the lens stars cannot be isolated with normal, seeing-limitedobservations, so the lens masses are generally unknown.

Figure 4: CTIO H-band images of MOA-2011-BLG-293 showing the magnified (left) andunmagnified (center) target. The red box matches the area of the baseline image from Keck(right), which reveals many stars of similar brightness to the unmagnified target.

Measuring the Frequency of Planets Around M Dwarfs

I will solve the problem of lens star masses using AO images from a large telescope. Theincreased resolution allows the combined light from the source and lens star to be isolatedfrom any blended stars. The source flux is measured from the microlensing fit, and then any

6

Keck AO 1.  Lens  Flux  

Page 8: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Luminosity

 

BaHsta  et  al.  2014,  ApJ,  780,  54  Distance  

1.  Lens  Flux  

Page 9: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Luminosity

 

BaHsta  et  al.  2014,  ApJ,  780,  54  Distance  

1.  Lens  Flux  

Page 10: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Luminosity

 

BaHsta  et  al.  2014,  ApJ,  780,  54  Distance  

1.  Lens  Flux  

Page 11: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

– 9 –

Time (years)

Mag

nific

atio

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−2 0 20

5

10

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20

Lightcurve from EarthLightcurve from Sun

Δ E

clip

tic L

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de (m

as)

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Lens (from Earth)Lens (from Sun)

Source

Relative Motion

−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Δ E

clip

tic L

atitu

de (m

as)

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

Page 12: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

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Time (years)

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−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

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.2

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Lens (from Earth)Lens (from Sun)

Source

Relative Motion

−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Δ E

clip

tic L

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de (m

as)

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

Page 13: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

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Time (years)

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Lightcurve from EarthLightcurve from Sun

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Source

Relative Motion

−1 0 1

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1Einstein radii

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Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

Page 14: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Mstar=  θE/(κπE)  

κ  =  constant  

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

Page 15: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

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Time (years)

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Lightcurve from EarthLightcurve from Sun

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Source

Relative Motion

−1 0 1

−1

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Δ E

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Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

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Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

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.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

πE  

πE,E  

πE,N  

Microlens  parallax  is  a  vector.      

Page 16: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Component  PARALLEL  to  Sun  è ASYMMETRIC  DistorHon  

Page 17: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Component  PERPENDICULAR  to  the  Sun  è  SYMMETRIC  DistorHon  

Page 18: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

2.  Microlens  Parallax  

Gould  2013,  ApJL,  763,  35  

The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 763:L35 (4pp), 2013 February 1 Gould

πE,E

π E,N

.2 .1 0 −.1 −.2−.2

−.1

0

.1

.2

Geosynch−Only

Earth−Only

Geo−Only (β < 0)(∆χ2=11)

Figure 3. Error ellipses (1 σ ) for the event shown in Figure 2 using Earth-orbit-only (green), geosynchronous-only (red), and combined (black) information.The lightcurve asymmetry (Figure 2) due to Earth’s orbit yields only 1-Dparallax information, but this serves as a critical check on the accuracy ofthe geosynchronous-orbit parallax. The secondary minimum at πE,N ∼ −0.07is due to (β → −β) degeneracy. In this example, it is disfavored by ∆χ2 = 11based on geosynchronous data and by 15 based on all data. The analytic errorestimate (based on infinite data) is shown in cyan.(A color version of this figure is available in the online journal.)

high-magnification events (and infinite observations) is

σ (πE,⊙,∥) =!

3N

σ0

Fs

"tE

58 day

#−2

η−1, (16)

where 58 days is one radian of Earth’s orbit and η is theprojected Earth–Sun separation in AU at time t0. Since η ∼ 1for bulge observations made during the equinoxes, the ratio ofgeosynchronous-to-Earth parallax errors is

σ (πE)geosynch

σ (πE,⊙,∥)Earth≃ 20

"tE

20 day

#2β

0.05= tE

1 dayβtE

1 day. (17)

Since the effective βtE ! P = 1 day, this implies that the Earth-orbit parallax will essentially always yield a precise check onthe geosynchronous parallax in one direction.

6. DISCUSSION

The derivation underlying Equation (15) breaks down forteff " P : the errors continue to decline with falling β, but nolonger linearly. They also become dependent on the orientationand phase of the orbit in a much more complicated way. From

the present perspective, the main point is that the formula withβ → P/tE provides an upper limit on the errors for events withyet higher peak magnification.

Next, the errors derived here assume a point-lens event.However, since the observations would be near-continuous, itis likely that caustic crossings or near approaches would becaptured. As pointed out by Honma (1999), such caustic effectscan significantly enhance the signal.

Another feature of these (and most) parallax measurements isthat they work better at low mass, simply because πE ∝ M−1/2

is bigger. Space-based microlensing measurements have thepotential to directly detect the lens when it is more massive(so, typically, brighter). For example, as the lens and sourceseparate after (or before) the event, their joint light becomesextended and the centroids of the blue and red light separate (ifthe source and lens are different colors). These effects allowedBennett et al. (2006) and Dong et al. (2009) to measure thehost masses in two different planetary events using follow-upHST data. Because geosynchronous parallax works better atlow mass, while photometric/astrometric methods work betterat high mass, they are complementary.

Finally, I note that such parallaxes would be of great interest innon-planetary events as well. Without θE, such measurements donot yield masses and distances, but they do serve as importantinputs into Bayesian estimates of these quantities. Moreover,since the direction of πE is the same as that of the lens-sourcerelative proper motion µrel, a parallax measurement provides animportant constraint when trying to detect/measure the source-lens displacement away from the event. If the magnitude µrelcan be measured from these data, then so can θE = µreltE, whichin turn yields the mass and distance.

This work was supported by NSF grant AST 1103471 andNASA grant NNX12AB99G.

REFERENCES

Bennett, D. P., Anderson, J., Bond, I. A., Udalski, A., & Gould, A. 2006, ApJL,647, 171

Bensby, T., Yee, J. C., Feltzing, S., et al. 2013, A&A, 549, A147Committee for a Decadal Survey in Astronomy and Astrophysics 2010, New

Worlds, New Horizons (Washington, DC: National Academies Press)Dong, S., Gould, A., Udalski, A., et al. 2009, ApJ, 695, 970Einstein, A. 1936, Sci, 84, 506Gould, A. 1992, ApJ, 392, 442Gould, A. 2004, ApJ, 606, 319Gould, A., & Loeb, A. 1992, ApJ, 396, 104Gould, A., Miralda-Escude, J., & Bahcall, J. N. 1994, ApJL, 423, 105Gould, A., & Yee, J. C. 2012, ApJL, 755, 17Gould, A., Yee, J. C., Bond, I. A., et al. 2013, ApJ, 763, 141Gaudi, B. S., & Gould, A. 1997, ApJ, 477, 152Honma, M. 1999, ApJL, 517, 35McQuillan, A., Algrain, S., & Roberts, S. 2012, A&A, 539, A137Refsdal, S. 1966, MNRAS, 134, 315Smith, M., Mao, S., & Paczynski, B. 2003, MNRAS, 339, 925

4

π E,N  

πE,E  

πE,E  is  much  beeer  measured  than  πE,N.  

   

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Source

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−1 0 1

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Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

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Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

0

1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

πE  

πE,E  

πE,N  

πE,E  is  much  beeer  measured  than  πE,N.  

   

Page 20: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

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Δ E

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Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

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.4

Lens app. motionSource app. motion(From Earth)

Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

5

10

15

20

−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

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.2

.4−1 0 1

−1

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1Einstein radii

Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

−.2

0

.2

.4

Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Gould  &  Horne  2013,  ApJ,  779,  28  

πE  

πE,E  

πE,N  

πE,E  is  much  beeer  measured  than  πE,N.  

   

^    πE  =  μrel  ^  

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3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Source  

Lens  

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\  3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Source  Images  

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\  3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Source  Images  

Light  Centroid  

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3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

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3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Size  è  θE  

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3.  Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

DirecHon  è  μrel  ^  

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Three  Techniques  to  Measure  Mass  

Jennifer C. Yee Research Statement

significance of the result can only be evaluated with a full detection efficiency/sensitivityanalysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report thefrequency of planets and claim that a typical lens star mass is 0.5 M⊙, but the lens starmasses are measured for only six of their 13 microlensing events, and these show a varietyof masses including several K dwarfs.

For three of the Gould et al. (2010) events without mass measurements, no estimate of thehost mass is possible, and the masses of the other four are estimated using a Bayesian estimatebased on the observed microlensing properties and a Galactic model prior, which tends tofavor M dwarfs since they are the most common stars. We implicitly assume that all starsare equally likely to host a planet at a given separation, even though core-accretion theoryand RV studies indicate that the probability of having a planet should depend on stellarmass. In the case of MOA-2011-BLG-293, I found the Bayesian probability distribution forthe lens mass peaks at 0.4 M⊙, but there is a significant probability for the lens star to bemore massive (Yee et al. 2012). Since the mass ratio in that event is large (q ∼ 0.005), onecould argue for an additional Bayesian prior giving preference to larger stellar masses sincethe planet is so massive. Hence, because the results of a Bayesian analysis depend on theinput priors, actually measuring the masses of the lenses is vitally important to confirmingthat they are M dwarfs and for using the frequency of microlensing planets to distinguishbetween planet formation by core accretion and formation by gravitational instability.

The mass of the host star is usually well-estimated for transit and RV surveys, but inmicrolensing we often have very little information about the lens stars. By definition, when amicrolensing event occurs, the source and lens are superposed. During the event, the sourceis magnified and contributes the majority of the light. Even when the source is unmagnified,since microlensing observations are conducted in very crowded fields, other, unrelated starsoften fall within the seeing-limited PSF, which is at best FWHM∼1′′. Figure 4 comparesseeing-limited and AO observations of MOA-2011-BLG-293, showing the high density ofstars. Thus, the light from the lens stars cannot be isolated with normal, seeing-limitedobservations, so the lens masses are generally unknown.

Figure 4: CTIO H-band images of MOA-2011-BLG-293 showing the magnified (left) andunmagnified (center) target. The red box matches the area of the baseline image from Keck(right), which reveals many stars of similar brightness to the unmagnified target.

Measuring the Frequency of Planets Around M Dwarfs

I will solve the problem of lens star masses using AO images from a large telescope. Theincreased resolution allows the combined light from the source and lens star to be isolatedfrom any blended stars. The source flux is measured from the microlensing fit, and then any

6

Lens  Flux  

Parallax  – 9 –

Time (years)

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nific

atio

n

−2 0 20

5

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Lightcurve from EarthLightcurve from Sun

Δ E

clip

tic L

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−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

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Lens (from Earth)Lens (from Sun)

Source

Relative Motion

−1 0 1

−1

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1Einstein radii

Δ E

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Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

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Absolute Astrometry

Time (years)0 .1 .2 .3

0

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−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

−.4

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Einstein radii

Δ Ecliptic Longitude (mas)−.4 −.2 0 .2 .4

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Fig. 1.— Parallax effect for illustrative (left) and realistic (right) microlensing events. Bot-tom: absolute trigonometric parallax and proper motion (ppm). Middle: relative trigonomet-ric (lower/left labels) and microlensing (upper/right labels) ppm. Top: resulting lightcurves

from Earth (blue) and Sun (green).

Astrometric  Microlensing  

-2 -1 0 1 2-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Page 28: Mass$Measurements$for$ Microlens$Planets$with$ … · analysis including events with no known planets. Second, Gould et al. (2010) report the frequency of planets and claim that a

Uses  for  Lens  Mass  Measurements  

•  Measuring  true  planet  masses  •  Measuring  masses  for  faint  or  dark  objects  (e.g.  brown  dwarfs  and  black  holes)  

•  Measuring  the  galacHc  distribuHon  of  planets  (measured  lens  masses  also  give  distances  to  the  lens  systems)