Massachusetts Health Policy Commission 2013 Preliminary Cost Trends Report

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    Health Policy Commission | 0

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    Health Policy Commission | 1

    What is the role of the Health Policy Commission?

    Chapter 224 sets the ambitious goal of bringing health care spending growth in line with growth inChapter 224 sets the ambitious goal of bringing health care spending growth in line with growth inChapter 224 sets the ambitious goal of bringing health care spending growth in line with growth inChapter 224 sets the ambitious goal of bringing health care spending growth in line with growth in

    the states oerall economy! "he Commission is wor#ing to adance this goal by$the states oerall economy! "he Commission is wor#ing to adance this goal by$the states oerall economy! "he Commission is wor#ing to adance this goal by$the states oerall economy! "he Commission is wor#ing to adance this goal by$

    %ostering reforms to the health care payment system that aim to reward &uality care' improe

    health outcomes' and more efficiently spend health care dollars

    Promoting innoatie deliery models that will enhance care coordination' adance integration

    of behaioral and physical health serices' and encourage effectie patient(centered care

    )nesting in community hospitals and other proiders to support the transition to new payment

    methods and care deliery models

    )ncreasing the transparency of proider organi*ations and assessing the impact of health care

    mar#et changes on the cost' &uality' and access of health care serices in +assachusetts

    ,naly*ing and reporting of cost trend through data e-amination and an annual public hearing

    process to proide accountability of the health care cost(containment goals set forth by Chapter

    224

    .aluating the prealence and performance of initiaties aimed at health system transformation

    .ngaging consumers and businesses on health care cost and &uality initiaties

    Partnering with a wide range of sta#eholders to promote informed dialogue' recommend

    eidence(based policies' and identify collaboratie solutions

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    Health Policy Commission | 2

    /oals for our annual report

    "he Commission releases an annual cost trends report' intended to proide$"he Commission releases an annual cost trends report' intended to proide$"he Commission releases an annual cost trends report' intended to proide$"he Commission releases an annual cost trends report' intended to proide$

    , profile of the +assachusetts health care deliery system

    ,n eidence(based discussion of trends in +assachusetts health care costs' leeraging new

    data sets such as the ,ll(Payer Claims atabase

    ,nalysis of driers of growth' including factors leading the states growth to be aboe or

    below the benchmar# set by Chapter 224

    , fact base to inform the other actiities of the Commission' as well as the broader policy

    discussion in +assachusetts

    eep dies into specific cost driers in +assachusetts' including$

    "opics of #nown importance that can be addressed with new or state(specific data

    "opics that hae been insufficiently studied or ealuated

    "opics where a comprehensie discussion integrating eidence from multiple sourcescan better inform policy dialogue

    Thisyearsannualreportdoesnotmeasurecostgrowthagainstthebenchmarkestablishedin

    Chapter224.Thebenchmarkwillbereviewedbeginningin2014.

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    Health Policy Commission |

    "opics in the 201 cost trends report

    201 cost201 cost201 cost201 cost

    trends reporttrends reporttrends reporttrends report

    "rends in

    spending

    "he +,

    deliery

    system

    uality

    and

    access

    3eels of

    spending

    Profile ofProfile ofProfile ofProfile of

    +assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts

    eepeepeepeep((((diesdiesdiesdies Hospital

    operating

    e-penses

    Wasteful

    spending

    High(cost

    patients

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    Health Policy Commission | 4

    Hospital

    operating

    e-penses

    Wasteful

    spending

    High(cost

    patients

    eepeepeepeep((((diesdiesdiesdies

    "opics in the 201 cost trends report

    "rends in

    spending

    "he +,

    deliery

    system

    uality

    and

    access

    3eels of

    spending

    201 cost201 cost201 cost201 cost

    trends reporttrends reporttrends reporttrends report

    Profile ofProfile ofProfile ofProfile of

    +assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts

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    Health care spending as a proportion of the +assachusetts economy

    rose oer the last decade' but declined from 2005(2012

    6 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    9999 +easured as gross domestic product 7/P8 for the :!;! and gross state product 7/;P8 for +assachusetts

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    1@!AB 1@!@B

    1!1B

    11!B

    10B

    11B

    12B

    1B

    14B

    1B

    1@B

    1CB

    1AB

    15B

    20B

    1550 1552 1554 155@ 155A 2000 2002 2004 200@ 200A 2010 2012

    1!2B

    12!B

    12!AB12!5B

    Profile of +assachusetts health care spending1111 2222

    4444

    1111

    3eels of spending$3eels of spending$3eels of spending$3eels of spending$ what e-plains the

    difference in +assachusetts spending

    relatie to the :!;! aerage?

    2222

    "rends in spending"rends in spending"rends in spending"rends in spending$$$$ what contributed to

    the growth in +assachusetts health care

    spending oer the past two decades?

    "he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system$$$$ how do

    characteristics of the states deliery systemcontribute to spending leels and trends?

    4444

    uality and accessuality and accessuality and accessuality and access$$$$ how does

    +assachusetts perform compared to the:!;! on measures of &uality and access?

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    Profile of +assachusetts health care spending

    1111

    3eels of spending$3eels of spending$3eels of spending$3eels of spending$ what e-plains the

    difference in +assachusetts spending

    relatie to the :!;! aerage?

    1111 2222

    4444

    1@!AB1@!AB1@!AB1@!AB 1@!@B

    1!1B

    11!B

    10B

    11B

    12B

    1B

    14B

    1B

    1@B

    1CB

    1AB

    15B

    20B

    1550 1552 1554 155@ 155A 2000 2002 2004 200@ 200A 2010 2012

    1!2B1!2B1!2B1!2B

    12!B

    12!AB12!5B

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    Per capita health care spending in +assachusetts is the highest of

    any state

    D'524D@'2A

    D@'C@DC'0C@

    DC'C0

    DA'41

    D5'2CA

    D@'A1

    +,+,+,+, =E=E=E=E )3)3)3)3FHFHFHFHP,P,P,P,:!;!:!;!:!;!:!;! "G"G"G"GC,C,C,C,

    ;tate ran# 1 @ 10 1A 2A 42 4

    "otaled 1@!A percent1@!A percent1@!A percent1@!A percent

    of the +assachusettseconomy in 2005

    "otaled 1!21!21!21!2

    percentpercentpercentpercent of the :!;!

    economy in 2005

    6666 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    ;ource;ource;ource;ource$$$$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> HPC analysis

    Per capita personal health care e-penditures6Per capita dollars' 2005

    1111 2222

    4444

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    %actor%actor%actor%actor+, compared+, compared+, compared+, compared

    to :!;!to :!;!to :!;!to :!;!

    .ffect on.ffect on.ffect on.ffect on

    spendingspendingspendingspending

    ,ge Flder

    Coerage and

    access

    roader

    insurance

    coerage

    )nput costs9Higher

    input costs

    ;pending differs significantly between +assachusetts and the :!;!'

    een after adusting for certain factors

    20B

    ifference in per capita

    spending between +, and :!;!

    1@B

    .stimated

    contribution of

    certain factors

    Iemaining

    difference in

    spending

    between +, and:!;! )ncrease

    )ncrease

    )ncrease

    6 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    9999 ased on the +edicare /eographic ,dustment %actor 7/,%8' which adusts for wages' office rents' supplies' and medical malpractice insurance premiums!

    ;ource;ource;ource;ource$$$$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> +edical .-penditure Panel ;urey> Census ureau> ;mith ;' =ewhouse JP' %reeland +;!Health!!airs! 2005> Hadley

    J' Holahan J! Health!!airs! 200> HPC analysis

    ifference in per capita personal health care e-penditures between +assachusetts and the :!;!6Percent of :!;! per capita personal health care spending' 2005 dollars

    1111 2222

    4444

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    Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$ +assachusetts spends more than the :!;! aerage across

    all categories' but especially in hospital care and long(term care

    Professional

    serices HPC analysis

    per capita

    difference

    Per capita personal health care e-penditures6ollars' 2005

    1111 2222

    4444

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    +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare$ all +assachusetts spending aboe the :!;! aerage is in

    hospital care and long(term care

    (D45(D21

    (D15

    Hospital care

    KDA20

    +edical durablesrugs and other

    medical non(

    durables

    Professional

    serices HPC analysis

    Per beneficiary personal health care e-penditures6ollars' 2005

    1111 2222

    4444

    per beneficiary

    difference

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    Health Policy Commission | 14

    higher

    "actorse#plainingdi!!erenceinclude$

    ifferences in demographics and income

    roader categories of eligibility

    +edicaid$+edicaid$+edicaid$+edicaid$ differences in spending are drien by breadth of benefits'

    reimbursement leels' and enrollment

    6 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    9 %igure is based on 200A data for +edicaid fee(for(serice 7%%;8 programs> "ennessee e-cluded from analysis since the state does not hae a +edicaid %%; program!

    Comparable figure for 2012 is 21B!

    ;ource;ource;ource;ource$$$$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> Maiser %amily %oundation> "he :rban )nstitute> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

    1@!B

    +,:!;!

    20!B

    Iesidents enrolled in +edicaidPercent of population' 2005

    +,

    D@'A2@ DA'2A

    :!;!higher

    "actorse#plainingdi!!erenceinclude$

    Health status of enrollees

    readth of benefits

    Higher +assHealth reimbursement ratesrelatie to national +edicaid aerage 7e!g!' 0B

    higher on physician serices98

    .-penditures per +edicaid enrollee6

    ollars' 2005

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    Health Policy Commission | 1

    Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$ hospital utili*ation is higher in +assachusetts than the :!;!

    aerage' especially for outpatient serices

    +,+,+,+, :!;!:!;!:!;!:!;! ifference 7B8ifference 7B8ifference 7B8ifference 7B8

    Hospitalinpatient

    )npatient admissions 7inde-ed to :!;!' age(adusted8 1!10 1!00 10B10B10B10B

    )npatient aerage length(of(stay !0 !4 (B

    )npatient days @1 @00 B

    )npatient surgeries6 2 2 0B

    Hospitaloutpatient9

    .mergency department 7.8 isits 4@A 41 1B

    Futpatient isits' e-cluding . 2'50 1'@51 2B2B2B2B

    Futpatient surgeries6 1 @ 2B

    6666 %igures for inpatient and outpatient surgeries are from 2010

    9999 Futpatient hospital isits include all clinic isits' referred isits' obseration serices' outpatient surgeries' and emergency department isits

    ;ource;ource;ource;ource$$$$ Maiser %amily %oundation> ,merican Hospital ,ssociation> +edical .-penditure Panel ;urey> HPC analysis

    +easures of hospital serice utili*ationPer 1'000 population' 2011 e-cept where noted

    1111 2222

    4444

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    Health Policy Commission | 1@

    Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$Ferall$ in addition to higher utili*ation' +assachusetts has higher

    prices than the :!;! aerage across all payer types

    /enerally' price differences/enerally' price differences/enerally' price differences/enerally' price differences

    may include two factors$may include two factors$may include two factors$may include two factors$

    :nit prices:nit prices:nit prices:nit prices$ the fee

    schedules established

    between payers and

    proiders

    Proider mi-Proider mi-Proider mi-Proider mi-$ whether

    consumers choose to

    receie their care in

    higher(price or lower(

    price settings

    +assachusetts prices relatie to :!;! aeragePrice inde-' 200(05

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> Maiser %amily %oundation> "he :rban )nstitute> ,nalysis by Chapin White of a report from the 155(2005 "ruen

    Health ,nalytics +ar#et;canN Commercial Claims and .ncounters atabase 7copyright O 2011 "ruen Health ,nalytics' all rights resered8> Harard :niersity

    research conducted for )nstitute of +edicine> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

    .stimate.stimate.stimate.stimate of priceof priceof priceof price

    relatie to :!;!relatie to :!;!relatie to :!;!relatie to :!;! ,ailable,ailable,ailable,ailable eidenceeidenceeidenceeidence

    +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare ,boe :!;! aerage

    ,nalysis by C+; using standardi*ed prices

    +ethod includes the effect of both unit prices and

    proider mi-

    ata for 2005

    +assHealth+assHealth+assHealth+assHealth ,boe :!;! aerage

    ,nalysis by M%% based on surey of state

    reimbursement leels for physician serices

    +ethod only includes the effect of unit prices

    ata for 200A

    CommercialCommercialCommercialCommercial ,boe :!;! aerage

    ,nalysis by researchers on national commercial

    data from large' multi(state employers

    +ethod includes the effect of both unit prices andproider mi-

    ata for 200(2005

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    Health Policy Commission | 1

    oth utili*ation differences and price differences factor into

    +assachusetts spending aboe the :!;! aerage

    3eels of spending3eels of spending3eels of spending3eels of spending

    PePePePer capitar capitar capitar capita

    sssspendingpendingpendingpending

    @B higher than national aeragehigher than national aeragehigher than national aeragehigher than national aerage

    :tili*ation:tili*ation:tili*ation:tili*ation

    Higher utili*ationHigher utili*ationHigher utili*ationHigher utili*ation for state as a whole$

    - )npatient 7age(adusted8$ 10B higher

    - Hospital outpatient$ 2B higher

    FerallFerallFerallFerall +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare utili*ation comparableutili*ation comparableutili*ation comparableutili*ation comparable to

    national aerage' although differences may

    e-ist for particular categories of serice

    PricePricePricePrice

    =ational claims data sets suggest ccccommercialommercialommercialommercial

    pricespricespricesprices are higherhigherhigherhigher than national aerages

    +edicare prices+edicare prices+edicare prices+edicare prices are A percent higherhigherhigherhigher' drienby wage and teaching adustments

    +edicaid unit prices+edicaid unit prices+edicaid unit prices+edicaid unit prices for physician serices are

    0 percent higherhigherhigherhigher than national aerages

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ,merican Hospital ,ssociation> Maiser %amily %oundation> "he :rban )nstitute> ,nalysis by Chapin White of a report

    from the 155(2005 "ruen Health ,nalytics +ar#et;canN Commercial Claims and .ncounters atabase 7copyright O 2011 "ruen Health ,nalytics' all rights

    resered8> Harard :niersity research conducted for )nstitute of +edicine> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

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    Health Policy Commission | 1A

    Profile of +assachusetts health care spending

    "rends in spending"rends in spending"rends in spending"rends in spending$$$$ what contributed to

    the growth in +assachusetts health care

    spending oer the past two decades?

    2222

    1111 2222

    4444

    1@!AB1@!AB1@!AB1@!AB 1@!@B1@!@B1@!@B1@!@B

    1!1B

    11!B

    10B

    11B

    12B

    1B

    14B

    1B

    1@B

    1CB

    1AB

    15B

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    1550 1552 1554 155@ 155A 2000 2002 2004 200@ 200A 2010 2012

    12!AB12!AB12!AB12!AB

    1!2B

    12!B

    12!5B

    11 22

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    Health Policy Commission | 15

    (@ pp

    (4 pp

    (2 pp

    0 pp

    2 pp

    4 pp

    @ pp

    A pp

    11(12

    05(10

    0(0A

    0(0@

    0(04

    01(02

    55(00

    5(5A

    5(5@

    5(54

    51(52

    ;lower health care growth in the 1550s was followed by faster

    growth in the 2000s

    Health care spending grew

    slower than the economy

    Health care spending grewfaster than the economy

    :!;!

    +, 7estimated8 ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> HPC analysis

    =i-on .-ecutie

    Frder free*ing

    prices and wages

    Health care industry

    oluntary effort on

    cost containment

    )ntroduction of

    +edicare I/

    payment system

    Iise of

    managed care

    plans

    1111 2222

    4444

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 21

    %rom 2001 to 2005' the difference between +assachusetts and

    the :!;! grew

    D0

    D2'000

    D4'000

    D@'000

    DA'000

    D10'000

    2005200200200200115551551551551551

    +, per

    capita PHC

    :!;! per

    capita PHC

    differencedifferencedifferencedifference

    in 2001in 2001in 2001in 2001

    differencedifferencedifferencedifference

    in 2005in 2005in 2005in 2005

    percentage point growth in gappercentage point growth in gappercentage point growth in gappercentage point growth in gap

    between +, and :!;! 701between +, and :!;! 701between +, and :!;! 701between +, and :!;! 701((((058058058058

    ifference between +assachusetts and :!;! per capita personal health care e-penditures6Percent difference from national aerage

    6 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> +assHealth> Census ureau> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 22

    Commercial prices were the primary drier of the increased

    difference from the :!;! aerage

    3eels of spending "rend from 2001 to 2005"rend from 2001 to 2005"rend from 2001 to 2005"rend from 2001 to 2005

    PePePePer capitar capitar capitar capita

    sssspendingpendingpendingpending

    @B higher than national aerage ifference between +assachusetts and the

    national aerage grew by 10 percentage pointsgrew by 10 percentage pointsgrew by 10 percentage pointsgrew by 10 percentage points

    :tili*ation:tili*ation:tili*ation:tili*ation

    Higher utili*ation for state as a whole$

    - )npatient 7age(adusted8$ 10B higher

    - Hospital outpatient$ 2B higher

    Ferall +edicare utili*ation comparable to

    national aerage' although differences may

    e-ist for particular categories of serice

    Hospital utili*ation grew at appro-imately the

    same rate as national aeragesame rate as national aeragesame rate as national aeragesame rate as national aerage

    PricePricePricePrice

    =ational claims data sets suggest commercial

    prices are higher than national aerages

    +edicare prices are A percent higher' drienby wage and teaching adustments

    +edicaid unit prices for physician serices are

    0 percent higher than national aerages

    Commercial hospitalCommercial hospitalCommercial hospitalCommercial hospital inpatientinpatientinpatientinpatient pricespricespricesprices grew 10

    percentage points relatie to national aeragerelatie to national aeragerelatie to national aeragerelatie to national aerage

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ,merican Hospital ,ssociation> Maiser %amily %oundation> "he :rban )nstitute> ,nalysis by Chapin White of a report

    from the 155(2005 "ruen Health ,nalytics +ar#et;canN Commercial Claims and .ncounters atabase 7copyright O 2011 "ruen Health ,nalytics' all rights

    resered8> Harard :niersity research conducted for )nstitute of +edicine> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 2

    %rom 2005 to 2012' growth rates slowed in line with the :!;!

    /rowth in personal health care e-penditures relatie to growth in economy6Per capita compound annual growth rate

    @!B

    !B

    2!5B2!AB

    :!;! +,

    /;P/P growth

    Personal health care e-penditure growth

    !1B!1B

    !CB

    !2B

    +,:!;!

    2001200120012001 (((( 2005200520052005 2005200520052005 (((( 2012 7estimated82012 7estimated82012 7estimated82012 7estimated8 9999

    1111 2222

    4444

    6 Personal health care e-penditures 7PHC8 are a subset of national health e-penditures! PHC e-cludes administration and the net cost of priate insurance' public health

    actiity' and inestment in research' structures and e&uipment!

    9999 C+; state(leel personal health care e-penditure data hae only been published through 2005! 2010(2012 +, figures were estimated based on 2005(2012 e-penditure

    data proided by C+; for +edicare' ,=% budget information statements and e-penditure data from +assHealth' and CH), "+. reports for commercial payers!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> +assHealth> Census ureau> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 24

    Fur focus is on statewide' per capita growth

    What is the benchmar#What is the benchmar#What is the benchmar#What is the benchmar#

    measured against?measured against?measured against?measured against?

    .stimates of per capita per.stimates of per capita per.stimates of per capita per.stimates of per capita per

    member medical trendmember medical trendmember medical trendmember medical trend6666

    in 2005in 2005in 2005in 2005((((12121212

    +edicare

    +assHealth

    Commercial

    ;tatewide%igure is higher

    than for any

    indiidual payer

    enchmar# is measured

    against statewide' per capitahealth care growth

    ,ggregate statewide health,ggregate statewide health,ggregate statewide health,ggregate statewide health

    care e-penditurescare e-penditurescare e-penditurescare e-penditures

    Population of +assachusettsPopulation of +assachusettsPopulation of +assachusettsPopulation of +assachusetts

    1111 2222

    4444

    6666 +edical trend is one component of total health care e-penditures' but does not capture the entire measure! "he measure that will be compared to the Chapter 224

    benchmar# also includes the net cost of priate health insurance!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> +assHealth> Census ureau> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 2

    ,ccounting for shifts in payer mi- is important when trac#ing

    statewide growth

    D12

    D10DA

    D@

    D4

    D2

    D12

    D10

    DA

    D@

    D4

    D2

    Payer 1Payer 1Payer 1Payer 1 Payer 2Payer 2Payer 2Payer 2 ;tatewide;tatewide;tatewide;tatewide

    )llustratie e-amplePer member per year spending

    ;tatewide growth of 0B0B0B0B

    D12

    D10

    DA

    D@

    DAD10

    D12

    D4

    D2Eear2

    ,g$ D4

    ,g$ D

    ,g$ D10

    ,g$ D

    ,g$ D

    Payer 1 growth

    of ((((2B2B2B2B

    ,g$ D5

    D@

    D4

    D2Eear1

    Fne member

    changes plans

    Eear1

    Eear2

    Payer 2 growth

    of ((((10B10B10B10B

    Payer 1Payer 1Payer 1Payer 1 Payer 2Payer 2Payer 2Payer 2 ;tatewide;tatewide;tatewide;tatewide

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 2@

    PayerPayerPayerPayer .nrollment.nrollment.nrollment.nrollment

    Per personPer personPer personPer person

    e-penditurese-penditurese-penditurese-penditures

    +edicare 2!B !@B

    +assHealth 4!B !@B

    Commercial (1!0B !@B

    +assachusetts Q total population 0!2B !0B!0B!0B!0B!0B!0B!0B!0B

    .nrollment shifts from 2005(2012 affected total +assachusetts

    e-penditure growth

    PayerPayerPayerPayer .nrollment.nrollment.nrollment.nrollment

    Per personPer personPer personPer person

    e-penditurese-penditurese-penditurese-penditures

    +edicare 2!B 1!B

    +assHealth 4!B 0!AB

    Commercial (1!0B 2!AB

    +assachusetts Q total population 0!2B !1B!1B!1B!1B

    6 C+; state(leel personal health care e-penditure data hae only been published through 2005! 2010(2012 +, figures were estimated based on 2005(2012 e-penditure

    data proided by C+; for +edicare' ,=% budget information statements and e-penditure data from +assHealth' and CH), "+. reports for commercial payers!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for +edicare and +edicaid ;erices> ureau of .conomic ,nalysis> Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> +assHealth> Census ureau> HPC analysis

    .stimated.stimated.stimated.stimated6

    growthgrowthgrowthgrowth

    )llustratie)llustratie)llustratie)llustratie

    e-ample$e-ample$e-ample$e-ample$statewide growth

    at hypothetical

    payer growth rates

    with same

    enrollment shifts

    !2B!2B!2B!2B

    1111 2222

    4444

    +assachusetts health care cost trends' 2005 ( 2012Compound annual growth rate

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    Health Policy Commission | 2

    Price has drien recent commercial e-penditure growth' while

    utili*ation has drien +edicare e-penditure growth

    riers ofriers ofriers ofriers ofe-pendituree-pendituree-pendituree-penditure

    growthgrowthgrowthgrowth

    1111 2222

    4444

    econstruction of e-penditure growth in the commercial and +edicare mar#ets/rowth of drier relatie to oerall growth' 2005(2011

    6666 +edicare fee(for(serice unit prices are set according to a fee schedule established by the Centers for +edicare L +edicaid ;erices 7C+;8' which is adusted to reflect

    input cost differences due to geography and teaching status! Cost growth attributable to price may occur if C+; updates fee schedules or if +edicare beneficiaries

    choose to receie care in settings with higher input costs!

    ;ource;ource;ource;ource$$$$ ,ll(Payer Claims atabase> HPC analysis

    rierrierrierrier escriptionescriptionescriptionescription

    CommercialCommercialCommercialCommercial

    changechangechangechange

    2005200520052005((((2011201120112011

    +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare

    changechangechangechange

    2005200520052005((((2011201120112011

    Iis# Changes in aerage health status across all

    members

    :tili*ation

    Changes in the &uantity of serices used'

    adusted for changes in aerage health

    status

    Price

    Changes in unit prices$ the fee schedules

    established between payers and proiders

    Changes in proider mi-$ whether

    consumers choose to receie their care in

    higher(price or lower(price settings

    3imited change

    3imited change

    3imited change

    3imited change6)ncrease

    )ncrease

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    Health Policy Commission | 2A

    Profile of +assachusetts health care spending1111 2222

    4444

    1@!AB 1@!@B

    1!1B

    11!B

    10B

    11B

    12B

    1B

    14B

    1B

    1@B

    1CB

    1AB

    15B

    20B

    1550 1552 1554 155@ 155A 2000 2002 2004 200@ 200A 2010 2012

    12!AB12!5B1!2B

    12!B

    "he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system"he +assachusetts deliery system$$$$ how do

    characteristics of the states deliery systemcontribute to spending leels and trends?

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    Health Policy Commission | 25

    "he +assachusetts deliery system uses maor teaching hospitals

    for far more of its inpatient care than the national aerage

    1C21

    40 2

    20129999

    100

    4

    2002

    100

    4

    Fther hospitals not in systems with maor teaching hospitals

    +aor teaching hospitals

    Fther hospitals in systems with maor teaching hospitals

    6666 +aor teaching hospitals are defined as those with at least 2 residents per 100 beds!

    9999 ased on systems in 2012! oes not include impact of seeral transactions 7Cooley ic#inson Hospital' Jordan Hospital8 completed in 201!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> +edicare Payment ,disory Commission> HPC analysis

    1111 2222

    4444

    of +edicare discharges inof +edicare discharges inof +edicare discharges inof +edicare discharges in

    +assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts are in maor

    teaching hospitals6

    of +edicare dischargesof +edicare dischargesof +edicare dischargesof +edicare discharges

    nationwidenationwidenationwidenationwide are in maorteaching hospitals6

    Percent of discharges in

    maor teaching hospitals

    across all payers

    ,ll(payer discharges in systems with maor teaching hospitals 6

    Percent of total statewide discharges

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    Health Policy Commission | 0

    Profile of +assachusetts health care spending 4444

    1@!AB 1@!@B

    1!1B

    11!B

    10B11B

    12B

    1B

    14B

    1B

    1@B

    1CB

    1AB

    15B

    20B

    1550 1552 1554 155@ 155A 2000 2002 2004 200@ 200A 2010 2012

    1!2B12!5B

    12!B

    12!AB

    uality and accessuality and accessuality and accessuality and access$$$$ how does

    +assachusetts perform compared to the:!;! on measures of &uality and access?4444

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    "he +assachusetts population has relatiely low chronic disease

    prealence' although asthma rates are high

    4444

    Prealence of common chronic diseasesPercent of population

    =ote$=ote$=ote$=ote$ +easures aboe were collected through the ehaioral Iis# %actor ;ureillance ;ystem and are defined as follows$

    iabetes$ Iesponded REesS to R7.er told8 you hae diabetes? S

    ,ngina coronary heart disease$ Iesponded REesS to R7.er told8 you had angina or coronary heart disease?S

    Cancer$ Iesponded REesS to R7.er told8 you had s#in cancer?S or to R7.er told8 you had any other types of cancer? R

    epression$ Iesponded REesS to R7.er told8 you hae a depressie disorder' including depression' maor depression'

    dysthymia' or minor depression?S

    ,sthma$ Iesponded REesS to R7.er told8 you had asthma?S

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ Centers for isease Control and Preention> HPC analysis

    Healthiest &uartile of states

    2nd &uartile of states

    rd &uartile of states

    3east healthy &uartile of states

    +,+,+,+, :!;!:!;!:!;!:!;! +, uartile+, uartile+, uartile+, uartile

    iabetes A!0B 5!B

    ,ngina coronary heart disease !AB 4!1B

    Cancer 12!0B 12!4B

    epression 1@!B 1!B

    ,sthma 1!4B 1!@B

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    Health Policy Commission | 2

    isease prealence aries greatly by region within the state 4444

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ ,ll(Payer Claims atabase> HPC analysis

    Fer 2@!B prealence

    etween 21!B and 2@!B prealence

    elow 21!B prealence

    etween !B and !B prealence

    Fer !B prealence elow !B prealence

    ;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence of

    diabetes within +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare

    ;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence;tatewide prealence of

    diabetes within commercialcommercialcommercialcommercial

    CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3+.)C,I.+.)C,I.+.)C,I.+.)C,I.

    iabetes prealence by regionPayer(specific prealence rate

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission |

    6 ,dmissions for asthma per 100'000 population' age 1A and oer> =% measure counts all discharges of age greater than 1A and less than 40 years old

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ +assachusetts Health uality Partners> Maiser %amily %oundation> ,gency for Healthcare Iesearch and uality> +assachusetts )mmuni*ation ,ction

    Partnership> Centers for isease Control and Preention> Center for Health )nformation and ,nalysis> HPC analysis

    +assachusetts outperforms national aerages on many &uality

    measures' but often falls short of a 50th percentile benchmar#

    :!;!:!;!:!;!:!;! +,+,+,+, Ielatie performanceIelatie performanceIelatie performanceIelatie performance

    Preention andPreention andPreention andPreention and population healthpopulation healthpopulation healthpopulation health

    Childhood immuni*ation status @1B @B

    3ow birth weight rate A!1B !B

    Iate of older adults receiing flu shots 0B B

    Iate of female adolescents receiing HPT accine 24B 41B

    Chronic careChronic careChronic careChronic care

    Iate of cholesterol management for patients with

    cardioascular conditionsA5B 52B

    Iate of controlling high blood pressure @B 1B

    Iate of diabetes short(term complications admissions 7adult8 A per 100'000 4A per 100'000

    =umber of admissions for CH% A per 100'000 4 per 100'000

    =umber of adults admitted for asthma6 114 per 100'000 140 per 100'000

    =umber of CFP admissions 155 per 100'000 24 per 100'000

    Patient safetyPatient safetyPatient safetyPatient safety

    Iate of iatrogenic pneumothora- 7ris#(adusted8 0!42 per 1'000 0!41 per 1'000 =,

    Iate of postoperatie respiratory failure A! per 1'000 @!@ per 1'000 =,

    Iate of central enous catheter(related blood stream infections 0!5 per 1'000 0!2A per 1'000 =,

    etter than 50th percentile etween aerage and 50th percentile elow aerage

    4444

    Condition and procedure &uality measures:nits ary by measure

    1111 2222

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    Health Policy Commission | 4

    Conclusion for profile of +assachusetts health care spending

    ;pending in +assachusetts is the highest of any state in the :!;!' crowding out other;pending in +assachusetts is the highest of any state in the :!;!' crowding out other;pending in +assachusetts is the highest of any state in the :!;!' crowding out other;pending in +assachusetts is the highest of any state in the :!;!' crowding out otherpriorities for consumers' businesses' and goernmentpriorities for consumers' businesses' and goernmentpriorities for consumers' businesses' and goernmentpriorities for consumers' businesses' and goernment

    Fer the past decade' +assachusetts health care spending has grown much fasterthan the national aerage' drien primarily by faster growth in commercial prices

    +assachusetts residents continue to use health care serices at a higher rate than

    the nation' especially in hospital care and long(term care' although the differencebetween +assachusetts and the :!;! aerage has been stable oer the past

    decade

    While spending growth in +assachusetts since 2005 has slowed in line with slowerWhile spending growth in +assachusetts since 2005 has slowed in line with slowerWhile spending growth in +assachusetts since 2005 has slowed in line with slowerWhile spending growth in +assachusetts since 2005 has slowed in line with slower

    national growth' sustaining lower growth rates will re&uire effortnational growth' sustaining lower growth rates will re&uire effortnational growth' sustaining lower growth rates will re&uire effortnational growth' sustaining lower growth rates will re&uire effort

    Past periods of slow health care growth in +assachusetts' such as the 1550s' haebeen followed by sustained periods of higher growth

    While obsered growth rates for indiidual payers are low' the statewide growthrate is higher' drien by enrollment shifts between payers due to trends such as

    the aging of the population

    4444

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    Health Policy Commission |

    Profile ofProfile ofProfile ofProfile of

    +assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts+assachusetts

    "opics in the 201 cost trends report

    Hospital

    operating

    e-penses

    Wasteful

    spending

    High(cost

    patients

    "rends in

    spending

    "he +,

    deliery

    system

    uality

    and

    access

    3eels of

    spending

    eepeepeepeep((((diesdiesdiesdies

    201 cost201 cost201 cost201 cost

    trends reporttrends reporttrends reporttrends report

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    Health Policy Commission | @

    )n the commercial and +edicare mar#ets' persistence within the high(

    cost patients is 25 percent

    ,naly*ing persistence of high(cost 7top B by e-penditures8 patient status6Percent of medical e-penditures 7e-cludes drug spending8 in 2010 and 2011

    6666 "he sample for analysis was limited to patients who had continuous enrollment from 112010 Q 1212011 and costs of at least D1 in each year! %igures do not capture

    pharmacy costs' payments outside the claims system' +edicare cost(sharing' or end(of(life care for patients who died in 2010 or 2011!

    ;ource$;ource$;ource$;ource$ ,ll(Payer Claims atabase> HPC analysis

    CommercialCommercialCommercialCommercial

    +edicare+edicare+edicare+edicare

    of patients remained topof patients remained topof patients remained topof patients remained topB in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011

    of patients remained topof patients remained topof patients remained topof patients remained top

    B in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011B in cost in 2011

    Ff patients who were top BFf patients who were top BFf patients who were top BFf patients who were top Bin cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010U

    Ff patients who were top BFf patients who were top BFf patients who were top BFf patients who were top B

    in cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010Uin cost in 2010U

    CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3CF++.IC),3

    +.)C,I.+.)C,I.+.)C,I.+.)C,I.

    UUUU

    UUUU

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    Patients with behaioral health and chronic conditions hae

    significantly higher medical e-penditures

    6 "he sample for analysis was limited to patients who had continuous enrollment from 112010 Q 1212011 and costs of at least D1 in each year! %igures do not capturepharmacy costs' payments outside the claims system' +edicare cost(sharing' or end(of(life care for patients who died in 2010 or 2011!

    9999 ehaioral health comorbidity includes child psychology' seere and persistent mental illness' mental health' psychiatry' and substance abuse