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Implementing EU Integrated Climate Change & Energy Policy up to 2020 – Sharing the Efforts 7th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting on Renewable Energy. Martin SCHÖPE Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety Berlin, 5th October 2007. Renewable Energy: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Implementing EU Integrated Climate Change & Energy Policy up to 2020 – Sharing the Efforts
7th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting on Renewable Energy
Martin SCHÖPEFederal Ministry for the Environment,
Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety
Berlin, 5th October 2007
Renewable Energy: Developments and Perspectives
2
• Climate change: limit temperature increase to 2°C>-30% GHG emissions / at least -20% GHG
• Energy security: reduce import dependence
• Competitiveness: innovative industries > 20 % Renewable Energy (2005: 6.5 %) > Saving 20% of EU’s energy consumption
EUROPEAN COUNCIL 2007Historical decision up to 2020: -30/-20% / + 20% / + 20%
3
RE development in Germany
RE future targets and perspectives in Germany
Some elements for the new EU Directive for RE
Contribution of renewable energy sources to energy supply in Germany 2000 - 2006
6.3
3.9
0.4
3.8
6.6
8.0
2.6
6.0**5.8
12.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Share of RE in total PEC Share of RE in total grosselectricity consumption
Share of RE in total FEC forheat
Share of RE in fuelconsumption for road
traffic
Share of RE in total FEC(electricity, heat, fuels)
[%]
2000 2001 2002 2003
2004* 2005* 2006*
RE - renewable energies, PEC - primary energy consumption, FEC - final energy consumption* All figures provisional** From 2003, new data from the Energy Statistics ACT (EnStatG) incorporatedSource: BMU-Brochure " Renewable energy sources in figures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007
Contribution of renewable energy sources to energy supply in Germany 2000 - 2006
6.3
3.9
0.4
3.8
6.6
8.0
2.6
6.0**5.8
12.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Share of RE in total PEC Share of RE in total grosselectricity consumption
Share of RE in total FEC forheat
Share of RE in fuelconsumption for road
traffic
Share of RE in total FEC(electricity, heat, fuels)
[%]
2000 2001 2002 2003
2004* 2005* 2006*
RE - renewable energies, PEC - primary energy consumption, FEC - final energy consumption* All figures provisional** From 2003, new data from the Energy Statistics ACT (EnStatG) incorporatedSource: BMU-Brochure " Renewable energy sources in figures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007
6
Electricity Generation from RE
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
[GW
h/a]
Hydropower Wind energy Biomass* Photovoltaic Geothermal energyElectricity generation from::
7
• Priority access for RE to the power grid• Priority transmission and distribution • Obligation of grid operators to purchase
the electricity produced from RE• Fixed price (“tariff”) for every kilowatt
hour produced from RE for 20 years
The Instrument:Feed in Tariff System: EEG (I)
8
EEG (II)• Equalisation of additional costs for electricity
from RE between all grid operators and electricity suppliers
• All different types of RE are considered and tariffs are differentiated by source and size of the plant
• Annual decrease (-1,5% - -6,5%) due to technical development (degression)
Contribution of renewable energy sources to energy supply in Germany 2000 - 2006
6.3
3.9
0.4
3.8
6.6
8.0
2.6
6.0**5.8
12.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Share of RE in total PEC Share of RE in total grosselectricity consumption
Share of RE in total FEC forheat
Share of RE in fuelconsumption for road
traffic
Share of RE in total FEC(electricity, heat, fuels)
[%]
2000 2001 2002 2003
2004* 2005* 2006*
RE - renewable energies, PEC - primary energy consumption, FEC - final energy consumption* All figures provisional** From 2003, new data from the Energy Statistics ACT (EnStatG) incorporatedSource: BMU-Brochure " Renewable energy sources in figures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007
10
Heat supply from RE
51.613 50.951 54.314
72.259 76.01483.900
2.960
3.400
70.34654.62655.326
1.2791.037857
1.626 1.955
2.465 2.573
2.000
1.586
1.384
1.5581.532
1.4831.4471.4331.429
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
100.000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
[GW
h/a]
Biomass(inl.biogenic waste) Solar thermal Geothermal energy
11
The Instrument: The Market Incentive Program (MAP)
Supports of 2000-2006:
• Investment grants and loans for 2000- 2006: 827 Mio. €
• Investment volumes of the promoted measures: 6,5 Billion €
Balance of 2006:
• conveyances: about 160 Mio. €
• Investment volumes: about 1,6 Billion €
Contribution of renewable energy sources to energy supply in Germany 2000 - 2006
6.3
3.9
0.4
3.8
6.6
8.0
2.6
6.0**5.8
12.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Share of RE in total PEC Share of RE in total grosselectricity consumption
Share of RE in total FEC forheat
Share of RE in fuelconsumption for road
traffic
Share of RE in total FEC(electricity, heat, fuels)
[%]
2000 2001 2002 2003
2004* 2005* 2006*
RE - renewable energies, PEC - primary energy consumption, FEC - final energy consumption* All figures provisional** From 2003, new data from the Energy Statistics ACT (EnStatG) incorporatedSource: BMU-Brochure " Renewable energy sources in figures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007
Contribution of renewable energy sources to fuel supply in Germany 1991 - 2006
28,9
33
18,6
00
10,8
50
8,26
7
5,68
3
3,6172,583
2 52 103 258 310 517 827 1,033 1,343
3,573
1,936
484
2,047
7,416
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
[GW
h]
Biodiesel Bioethanol Vegetable oil
Sources: BMU-Brochure " Renew able energy sources in f igures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007provisional f igures
14
Biofuels: Fiscal regulations
• Until 31.7.2006 all biofuels were exempted from energy taxation
• High value of energy tax exemption: - tax rate on diesel fuel: 47 Ct/l - tax rate gasoline: 65 Ct/l
• Driver for change of support system were tax expenditure losses
• System change from 1.1.2007 from price regulation (by tax exemption)to quantity regulation (by quota system)
15
Quota on biofuels
• quota system starts 1.1.2007• based on energy content• sub-quotas - remain valid also after 2009• current share is more than doubled until 2015:
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Diesel fuel 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4%
Gasoline 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
Total quota 6.25% 6.75% 7.0% 7.25% 7.5% 7.75% 8.0%
16
Emissions avoided through the useof renewable energy sources in Germany in 2006
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Fuels
Heat
Electricity
CO2 reduction [m t]
Hydropower Wind energy Biomass Photovoltaics Geothermal energy Solar thermal energy Biofuels
68.1 m t
12.7 m t
20.7 m t
total: 101.5 m t
Sources: BMU-Brochure " Renew able energy sources in figures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007provisional f igures
Results of RE (I): Saved CO2 emissions
Total turnover with renewable energy sources
in Germany in 2006 Total: approx. € 22.9 billion
Biomass;€ 9,100 m; 39.8%
Wind energy;€ 5,650 m; 24.7%
Hydropower;€ 1,280 m; 5.6%
Geothermal energy; € 590 m; 2.6%
Solar energy;€ 6,240 m;
27.3%
Sources: BMU-Brochure " Renew able energy sources in f igures – national and international development-" Version: June 2007provisional f igures
Results of RE (II): New industry
18
Results of RE (III): Employment
1.800
9.500
25.000
56.700
64.000
4.100
9.200
35.000
91.900
73.800
0 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 100.000
Geothermal energy
Hydropower
Solar energy
Biomass
Wind energy
2006: ca. 214,000 employees
2004: ca. 157,000 employees
19
RE future targets and perspectives
Comprehensive energy and climate change programme(Meseberg, August 2007)
Objectives for RE for 2020 • Electricity generation: 25-30% EEG continues• Heating: 14% Incentives + obligation• Biofuels: 17% Quota / Blending
RE Target 2020: 18-19% (FEC)
20
German RE-Electricity Production 1990-2030
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Stro
mer
zeug
ung
[TW
h/a]
Wass er EEG-relevant Wind Land Wind of fshore Biomasse Solarenergie Geothermie nicht EEG-relevant
Wind Land
32%
Biomasse
22%
nicht EEG-
relevant
16%
Wasser EEG
3%
Wind offshore
19%
Geothermie
2%
Solarenergie
6%Wind Land42%
Wind offshore0%
Biomasse22%
nicht EEG-relevant
27%
Wasser EEG6%
Solarenergie3%
Ge othermie0%
2020
2006
19
37
74
92
156
249
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Stro
mer
zeug
ung
[TW
h/a]
Wass er EEG-relevant Wind Land Wind of fshore Biomasse Solarenergie Geothermie nicht EEG-relevant
Wind Land
32%
Biomasse
22%
nicht EEG-
relevant
16%
Wasser EEG
3%
Wind offshore
19%
Geothermie
2%
Solarenergie
6%Wind Land42%
Wind offshore0%
Biomasse22%
nicht EEG-relevant
27%
Wasser EEG6%
Solarenergie3%
Ge othermie0%
2020
2006
19
37
74
92
156
249
Source: EEG-EB, BMU Entwurf, Stand Juni 2007
21
Additional EEG-Costs 1990-2030
Entwicklung der erwarteten Differenzkosten und der EEG-Umlage für Haushalte (pro Person* und Monat)
Preisbasis 2007
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
EE
G-U
mla
ge [€
je M
onat
]
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
EE
G-D
iffer
enzk
oste
n [M
rd. €
]
Wasserkraft Wind Land Wind offshorePhotovoltaik Biomasse Geothermie
EEG-Umlage und Differenzkosten für
"Hauptvariante"
EEG-Umlage und Differenzkosten für
Variante "ext. Kosten"
* Haushalts -St ro mverb rauch p ro Kop f ca. 1.700 kWh / Jahr Quelle: AG Energ ieb ilanzen, EWI-Prog nos 2 0 07
Development of the estimated differential costs and the additional EEG-Costs for households ( per person and month, basis 2007)
22
Benefits of RE
Example of Germany, 2006:• 5 bn EURO: Lower Wholesale price for
electricity• 0.9 bn EURO: Savings of Fuel imports• 3.4 bn EURO: Avoided damage from
climate change and air pollution
23
Starting points for EU-Policy
1. RE-Share 2020: 20%!
2. All Member States have to exploit their potentials, all technologies are required
3. New Directive has to be compatible with successful MS policies and instruments
4. No disruption of markets
24
How do we get there?
Green X balanced scenario projection of renewable energy growth (GW h, EU25)
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Biofuels
Solar thermal heating
Wind offshore
Wind onshore
Tide & wave
Solar thermal electricity
Photovolta ics
Geothermal heat & heatpumps
Geothermal electricity
B iomass, biogas,biowaste - H
B iomass, biogas,biowaste - E
Hydro
Source: COM Communication on RE-Roadmap
25
Additional RES-E penetration 1997 - 2005
Source: Fraunhofer ISI
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
AT BE DK FI FR DE GR IE IT LU NL PT ES SE UK CY CZ EE HU LA LT MT PL SK SI BG RO
Add
ition
al R
ES-E
gen
erat
ion
1997
-200
5 as
sha
re o
f gro
ss e
lect
ricity
dem
and
in 2
005
[%]
Feed-in systems
Quota Systems
Tax Incentives
26
Policies for the three sectors
• Biofuels: based on consumption („placing on the market“ through blending / quota obligation)
• Heating/Cooling: based on production• Electricity: based on production
• Additional consumption element “Compensation”/”Trade”/”Balancing”
27
“Mandatory” Trade (1)
• RE producer can sell their GC/GoO to any other market actor or Member State:
– Phyical RE power has to be integrated in the „exporting“ MS system
– RE share is counted against the „importing“ MS target
28
„Mandatory Trade“ (2)
1. Mandatory Trade of GC/GoO destroys Feed-in Tariffs when applicable in parallel
2. Countries with low cost potentials/ technologies will lose that potential
3. Additional costs• Case of Germany:
~ 4 Billion €/α 2020 for Germany > Trade ~ 40% more expensive> Loss of public acceptance
• EU-wide: 100 Billion € up to 2020
29
„Mandatory“ trade (3)
30
“Voluntary” Trade
• Pending on Government agreement and criteria:(similar to the existing RES-E Directive)> Trade after the national target is reached
(interim targets)> time period for the purchase (life time?)> Technology differentiation
• Compatible with existing national policies
31
“Balancing Model” Financial Equalisation/Compensation
Idea:Equal sharing of the additional costs in all MS
1. MS with strong RE increase receive a compensation (according to the average of the additional costs)
2. MS with slow RE increase participate in the additional costs and benefit in accounting for their target by the amount of financial participation
> Separation of RE generation from additional costs(Example: EEG)
32
Balancing (2): Lowest Costs Balancing of costs on the basis of a harmonised premium: 15 € / MWh (for all RES-E sources)•corresponds approximately to 1/3 of the total transfer costs •good approximation for the ratio of national and international benefits
Example for new RES-E generation in the EU-27 until 2015:Total Payments: 43 bn € ./. 480 TWh (RE) = ca. 9
ct/kWhEU Transfer: 7.2 bn € = ca. 1.5 ct/kWh
(=„premium“)
7.2 bn € ./. 3500 TWh (total Power) = ca. 0.2 ct/kWh (add. costs for each consumer)
33
“Balancing Model” (3)Benefits:
1. Compatible with existing policies in MS2. Encourages allocation at the best locations3. Starts immediately 4. This model complies with the internal
market rules5. New EU Agricultural Policy ?
NO! Introduce a degression rate
34
Essential elements of the new EU RE
Make (national) instruments strong!• Sector targets, interim targets• Priority connection for RE - electricity • Sustainability criteria for bioenergy• Sufficient level of support• Streamlining planning procedures• Sanctions for non-compliance
35
Conclusions (1)
• Balancing Model and „voluntary“ trade with MS agreement can complement existing policies– Both can be combined (interim targets)
• Balancing Model redistributes imediately• GC/GoO exchange will start later
36
Conclusions (2)
• Interrelation of RE expansion with GHG reduction policy:
– Consideration of RE share within calculation of EU ETS
– But separate policy instruments:CO2 price is not sufficient for 20 % RE target
37Thank you for your attention !
Porto
20%
7%
Together we can make it. The future is promising!