Market Risk Final

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    What is Market Risk?

    Risk Management Organization Structure

    Policy Framework

    Types of Market Risk

    Value at Risk

    Stress Test

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    Market Risk is defined as the possibility ofloss to a bank caused by changes in themarket variables.

    BIS defines market risk as the risk thatthe value of on-or off-balance-sheet

    positions will be adversely affected bymovements in equity and interest ratemarkets, currency exchange rates andcommodity prices

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    RBI provided guidance note on

    1.Liqudity Risk Management

    2.Market Risk Management

    i)Interest Rate Risk

    ii) Foreign exchange risk

    iii)Commodity price risk

    iv)Equity price risk

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    The Board of Directors -

    The Risk ManagementCommittee

    The Asset-Liability ManagementCommittee (ALCO)

    Market Risk Group

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    The responsibilities of Risk Managementcommittee Setting policies and guidelines for Market risk

    measurement, Management and reporting

    Reviewing and approving market risk limits,including triggers or stop losses.

    Appointment of qualified and competent staffto calculate market risk.

    Appointment of independent market riskmanager

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    The responsibilities of Market RiskManager Ensuring that traders and Operations are

    properly applying all policies and procedurew.r.t market risk

    Immediately advising to line management; if

    procedure or policy curtaining business.

    Ensuring the usage of risk limits accuratelyreflects current and expected market condition

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    Risk Identification All Risk Taking Units must operate within an

    approved, current Market Risk Product program;this should define procedures, limits and controlsfor all aspects of the product.

    The final product transaction program shouldinclude market risk measurement at anindividual product and aggregate portfoliolevel.

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    Limits and Triggers Risk Taking Units must have procedures that monitor

    activity to ensure that they remain within approvedlimits at all times.

    Mandatory market risk limits are required for FactorSensitivities and Value at Risk for mark to markettrading and appropriate limits.

    Approved Management Action Triggers or Stop-loss

    are required for all mark to market risk takingactivities.

    Risk Taking Units are expected to apply additional,appropriate market risk limit, including limits for basisrisk, to the products involved.

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    Risk Monitoring A rate reasonability process is required to ensure

    that all transactions are executed and revaluedat prevailing market rates.

    Financial Models used for revaluations forincome recognition purposes or to measure ormonitor Price Risk must be independently tested

    and certified.

    Stress tests must be performed at least quarterlyfor both trading and accrual portfolios.

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    Risk Reporting

    Senior management reports should

    be timely

    be reasonably accurate

    highlight portfolio risk concentrations

    include written commentary

    be concise

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    The Risk that bank may suffer a lossesas a result of adverse exchange ratemovement during a period in which ithas an open position in an individualforeign currency.

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    Three Important issues that need to beaddressed

    Nature and Magnitude of exchange risk The strategy to be adopted for hedging or

    managing exchange risk.

    The tools of Managing exchange risk.

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    The tools of Managing exchange risk.

    Foreign exchange Forward contracts

    Currency option Future and forward

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    Bank needs to Lay out clear and unambiguous performance

    measurement criteria

    Accountability norms and financial limits

    Management must specify in operational termsthe goals of exchange risk management.

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    Interest rate risk is the risk where changesin market interest rates might adverselyaffect a bank s financial condition.

    Immediate impact -Net Interest Income (NII)

    Long term impact - the Bank s net worth(Economic Value Perspective) .Present value offuture cash flows (and in some cases, the cashflows themselves) change when interest rateschange.

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    In a well functioning risk managementsystem, banks broadly position their

    balance sheet into

    Trading Books

    Banking Books

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    Trading Book Held primarily for generating profit on short-term

    differences in prices/yields

    Price risk is the prime concern of banks in tradingbook

    Should ideally be marked to market on a dailybasis

    Estimation through internally developed Value atRisk (VaR) models.

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    Banking Book Main Focus on economic value changes

    Held to Maturity Variety of techniques that incorporate assumptions

    on behavioral pattern of assets, liabilities & caneasily capture the full range of exposures againstbasis risk, embedded option risk, yield curve risk,etc.

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    Sources of Interest Rate Risk Repricing risk - Arises from timing differences in the

    maturity (for fixed rate) and repricing (for floatingrate) of bank assets, liabilities

    Yield curve risk - Repricing mismatches can alsoexpose a bank to changes in the slope and shapeof the yield curve.

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    VaR is defined as an estimate ofpotential loss in a position or asset/liability

    or portfolio of assets/liabilities over agiven holding period at a given level ofcertainty.

    VaR is an estimate of the loss likely to

    suffer, not the actual loss at certain levelof confidence

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    Generic term describing varioustechniques used by banks to gauge their

    potential vulnerability to exceptional, butplausible, events.

    Stress testing addresses the large movesin key market variables of that kind thatlie beyond day to day risk monitoring butthat could potentially occur.

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    Process

    Identifying the potential movements

    Identifying market variables to stress

    Deciding how much to stress them

    Deciding Time frame for stress analysis

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    RBI - Guidance Note on Market RiskManagement

    RBI - Risk Management Systems in Banks

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    Thank You

    M d O t b 29 2012M k t Ri k 28