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MARKET ANALYSIS FOR BEM- BAKERY PROJECT BEMBEKE PARISH-DEDZA DIOCESE MALAWI DECEMBER 2014

MARKET ANALYSIS FOR BEM- BAKERY PROJECT ......Bem-bakery should avoid ‘one size fits all marketing principle.’ iii) Distribute its products widely through retailers to places such

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Page 1: MARKET ANALYSIS FOR BEM- BAKERY PROJECT ......Bem-bakery should avoid ‘one size fits all marketing principle.’ iii) Distribute its products widely through retailers to places such

MARKET ANALYSIS

FOR

BEM- BAKERY PROJECT

BEMBEKE PARISH-DEDZA DIOCESE

MALAWI

DECEMBER 2014

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1

CLM

CONSULTANCY

The Market Analysis was conducted by CLM Consultancy

CLM Consultancy

LILONGWE

MALAWI.

AFRICA.

[email protected]

Mobile number: +265991059694

Contact Person: Annie Banda

Lead Consultant

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Contents Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 4

1.0. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 5

1.1. Background of Bem-bakery Project .............................................................................................. 5

1.2. Rationale for undertaking market analysis ................................................................................... 5

1.3. Conduction of the market analysis ............................................................................................... 6

2.0. Demographic characteristics of potential retailer and consumer respondents ............................... 6

2.1. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by age ............................................ 6

2.2. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by gender......................................... 7

2.3. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by educational levels ........................ 8

2.4. Distribution of the potential retailers and consumers by occupation ............................................... 9

3.0. Potential market for Bem-bakery products .................................................................................... 10

3.1. Description of the potential market for Bem-bakery products .................................................. 10

3.2. Characteristics of the potential market for Bem-bakery products ............................................. 11

4.0. Potential retailer and consumer respondents buying behaviours ................................................. 11

4.1. Where the potential retailer and consumer respondents get confectionary products ............. 11

4.2. Quantity of confectionaries ordered and sold per week by retailers ......................................... 13

4.3. Frequency of ordering ................................................................................................................. 13

4.4. Factors that can influence potential retailers and consumers to switch to new

suppliers/products .................................................................................................................................. 14

4.5. Expectations of retailers and consumers on price of products .................................................. 16

4.6. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ price sensitivity ................................................. 17

4.7. Decision making in purchasing of confectionaries ..................................................................... 18

4.8. Needs of the potential retailers and consumer respondents ..................................................... 18

5.0. Competition Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 19

5.1. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ satisfaction levels with supplier products and

services .................................................................................................................................................... 19

5.2. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ dissatisfaction levels with supplier products and

services .................................................................................................................................................... 21

5.3. Summary of strengths and weaknesses of existing confectionary suppliers ............................. 22

5.4. Prices of Competitors’ products ................................................................................................. 23

5.5. Price differences that potential customers are willing to pay for another suppliers’ products . 23

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5.6. Competitive advantage and market positioning for BEM-bakery ................................................... 24

6.0. Reactions to adverts and promotions of existing suppliers of confectionary products ................. 24

7.0. Threats of Substitutes Products ...................................................................................................... 25

8.0. Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) Analysis for BEM-bakery project ...... 27

8.1. Strengths ..................................................................................................................................... 27

8.2. Weaknesses ................................................................................................................................ 27

8.3. Opportunities .............................................................................................................................. 28

8.4. Threats ........................................................................................................................................ 28

9.0. Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................... 29

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Executive Summary The market analysis report presents a detailed analysis of issues revealed by the market analysis

exercise conducted in Bembeke area in Dedza, Malawi. However, this section provides a

summary of key issues.

There is untapped market within Bembeke area that Bem-bakery would have to take

advantage of. Such market comprises: Roughly 600-800 students of Bembeke Teachers’

College; Approximately 150 employees of service facilities around Bembeke; Catholic

educational institutions such as St Kizito seminary, Mtendere and Marist secondary; 14

other educational institutions within the parish; Approximately 50,000 catholic faithful

within Bembeke parish and community members around Bembeke parish. A part from

this potential market, there exist other markets beyond Bembeke such as Dedza central

business point and Ntcheu.

The confectionary industry has a fast growing market as people’s consumption habits are

changing. They are going for fast foods due to busy life styles.

Currently, there are three competitors within Bembeke and the surrounding area, one of

which is a major competitor while the other two are not.

Bem-bakery needs to do certain things right to gain a competitive advantage and

penetrate the market. Such things include:

i) Produce superior quality products that would meet the needs of consumers in the targeted

market. Superior products in this case are defined as tasty, soft and fresh confectionaries.

ii) Produce varied products within a particular product line that would go at different prices.

Bem-bakery should avoid ‘one size fits all marketing principle.’

iii) Distribute its products widely through retailers to places such as Bembeke trading,

Bembeke Turn off and to 17 educational institutions within its vicinity.

iv) Deliver products to retailers and collect money later on the same day on return from other

distribution points.

v) Build a sales team that is conscious of customer service-‘Customer is king principle’.

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1.0. Introduction

1.1. Background of Bem-bakery Project Bembeke Parish which is under Dedza Diocese in Malawi intends to establish a bakery project

under the name “Bem-bakery project”. The idea of starting Bem-bakery project was hatched by a

Dutch couple, Eline and Dominic Hendriks-Houwing who belong to the Dutch NGO People 2

People. This was after meeting wheat farmers in Tsangano area in Ntcheu, Malawi in the

company of Fr. Isaac Mwazambumba of Dedza Diocese. During the meeting, one of the things

that came out clearly was that there exists the need for bread.

It is envisioned that the proposed Bem-bakery project will:

Economically empower community members especially vulnerable women and orphans

through the proceeds that will be made from the sales of the project’s products. The

women will have a source of income to sustain their families. The orphans will have the

opportunity to go back to school as the community will be in a position to support them.

Create employment to community members as some will find job opportunities within

the project.

Transform the lives of community members who will be involved in production of wheat

that will be purchased by the project as raw material for the production of

confectionaries.

Ease problems of access to quality confectionaries faced by boarding students of

Bembeke Teachers’ Training College and other secondary schools and Bembeke

community.

1.2. Rationale for undertaking market analysis The market analysis presents information about the market in which a Bem-Bakery project will

operate the purchasing habits of potential customers in that market and information about

competitors. Before launching a new product or a new business, it is important to conduct a

thorough market analysis to understand the potential market. Doing so helps to minimize risks

and enhance the likelihood of project success. Market analysis allows evaluation of the viability

of the potential market and helps to analyse the competition before making any long-term

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investment decisions. It empowers management and funders to make new choices and

alternatives.

1.3. Conduction of the market analysis The conduction of the market analysis involved collection of secondary and primary data. The

primary data was collected right from Bembeke area. The participants in the market analysis

exercise included members of Bembeke parish council who are the owners of the proposed

project and potential retailers and consumers, who are potential customers of the proposed Bem-

bakery project products. Data was collected from the members of the parish council through a

focus group discussion. As for the potential retailers and consumers, data was collected through

face to face interviews using a semi-structured questionnaire. A total of 13 retailers and 23

consumers were interviewed. These were identified through firstly cluster sampling and within a

particular cluster, convenience sampling technique was used to identify the respondents.

2.0. Demographic characteristics of potential retailer and consumer

respondents

2.1. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by age Regarding the age distribution of the potential retailers that participated in the market analysis

exercise, 15% were aged between 20 and 29, 54% were between 30 and 39 and 31% were

between 40 and 49. As for the potential consumers, 35% were between 20 and 29, 43% were

between 30 and 39 and 22% were between 40 and 49. This means that Bem-bakery apart from

those in the educational institutions will be dealing with mature population that is capable of

making rational decisions. In addition, Bem-bakery will be dealing with a population that is very

youthful, economically productive and also risky taking. This kind of population can easily

switch from one product to another if not satisfied or for the sake of satisfying their curiosity.

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2.2. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by gender Looking at the gender of the potential retailer respondents, 85% were males and 15% were

females. As for the potential consumer respondents, 57% were females and 43% were males.

The findings entail that Bem-bakery should be prepared to deal with more male retailers than

females and more female buyers than males on the consumer side. This says a lot about the

culture of Malawians and particularly the culture of the areas where Bem-bakery will be

operating. Males are expected to be involved in income generating activities such as running a

shop and females are expected to play an active role in reproductive and maintenance roles of

which buying food stuff is one of them.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

20 - < 30 30 - < 40 40 - < 50

Distribution of potential retailer respondents by age

% of respondents

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

20 - < 30 30 - < 40 40 - < 50

Distribution of potential consumers by age

% of respondents

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2.3. Distribution of potential retailer and consumer respondents by

educational levels In terms of educational levels, 15% of the potential retailer respondents had no formal education, 77%

had Primary School Leaving Certification (PSLC) and or anything below and 8% had Junior Certificate

(JC) and Malawi school Certificate of Education (MSCE). As for the potential consumer respondents,

22% had no formal education, 26% had PSLC and or anything below and 39% had JC and MSCE and

13% had degrees. In marketing, it is crucial to appreciate the educational levels of the customers as it may

impacts on preferences, buying decisions and switching patterns. For instance, those with degrees are

prone to seeking superior quality and value for money, and have the ability to get what they want from

distant shops.

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Male

Female

Distribution of potential retailer respondents by gender

% of respondents

43%

57%

Distribution of potential consumer respondents by gender

Male

Female

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2.4. Distribution of the potential retailers and consumers by occupation

All the retailers were business people. Regarding the consumers, 44% were civil servants

working with the education sector, the agricultural sector and the health sector, 39% were

business people and 17% were subsistence farmers. The information on the consumers is very

important as it provides an insight into the buying power of the consumers and possibly their

preferences. For example, civil servants and business people have some buying power as

compared to subsistence farmers. Similarly, civil servants and business people because of the

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

None PSLC and below JC and MSCE Degree

Distribution of potential retail respondents by educational qualifications

% of respondents

0 5

10 15 20 25 30 35 40

None PSLC and below

JC and MSCE Degree

Distribution of potential consumer respondnets by educational levels

% 0f respondents

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nature of their occupation lead a fast life hence are prone to going for confectionaries than

subsistence farmers.

3.0. Potential market for Bem-bakery products

3.1. Description of the potential market for Bem-bakery products The results of the focus group discussion with some members of Bembeke Parish council

revealed that there is untapped market within Bembeke area that Bem-bakery would have to take

advantage of. The market comprises:

Roughly 600-800 students of Bembeke Teachers’ College

Approximately 150 employees of service facilities around Bembeke

Catholic educational institutions such as St Kizito seminary, Mtendere and Marist

secondary and other 17 educational institutions within the parish

Approximately 50,000 catholic faithful within Bembeke parish and

Other community members around Bembeke parish

A part from this potential market, there exist other markets beyond Bembeke such as Dedza

central business point and Ntcheu.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Civil servant Business Subsistence farmer

Distribution of consumers by occupation

% 0f respondents

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3.2. Characteristics of the potential market for Bem-bakery products The Malawi bakery sector is still growing. There is strong evidence that the market is still

expanding at a rapid pace. This implies that there is still room for new players to enter the

vibrant market. However, the immediate potential market for Bem-bakery products can be

described as a slow growing market in that there is no threat of entry of new competitors in the

immediate future. In terms of demand for confectionary products, it is a fast growing market as

people’s consumption habits are changing. They are going for fast foods due to busy life styles.

“The confectionary market in this area is fast growing because of the fast-paced life of the people here. People now

do not have much time for cooking breakfast stuff so they go for fast foods like bread, buns etc”-Bembeke College

Tutor.

The market has both the affluent and the low income earning population. Some people are viable

economically and they have money to dispose as they are either engaged in small scale

businesses, are a working class or are doing farming for both substance and income generating.

This therefore increases their capacity to buy. The other category of people (the low income

population) has limited money to dispose as they are subsistence farmers. This means that they

can only afford something that is comparatively cheap. Under such a market environment, Bem-

bakery should consider segmenting its market as follows:

i) the affluent few (the working class and business people)

ii) the price sensitive many (students, peasant farmers)

4.0. Potential retailer and consumer respondents buying behaviours

4.1. Where the potential retailer and consumer respondents get

confectionary products The retailers at Bembeke Turn off and Bembeke Trading get confectionary products right at their

shops at Bembeke Turn off and Bembeke Trading respectively. As for consumer respondents

from the area close to Bembeke parish, they get the confectionary products from Bembeke

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Trading, Bembeke Turn off and Dedza Metro. Potential consumers from Bembeke Turn off area

get their confectionaries mainly from Bembeke Turn off and Dedza Metro.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Bembeke trading Centre

Bembeke Turn-off Dedza Metro

Frequency at which consumers around Bembeke parish get confectionary products from Bembeke Trading, Bembeke Turn off and Dedza Metro

% of frequency

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Bembeke Turn Off Dedza Metro

Frequency at which consumers at Bembeke Turn off get confectionaries from Bembeke Turn off and Dedza Metro

% of frequency

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4.2. Quantity of confectionaries ordered and sold per week by retailers The market analysis established that the retailer respondents order and sell a total of 1,045 loaves

of bread per week (on average 150 loaves of bread a day), 2,090 Bin Laden per week (on average

300 a day), 690 buns per week (on average 100 a day) and 380 doughnuts per week (on average

55 a day). It can be appreciated that Bin Laden is the product line that is ordered and sold in high

quantity, seconded by bread. This implies that Bem-bakery should consider prioritizing the

production of Bin Laden and Bread.

4.3. Frequency of ordering In terms of frequency of ordering, 62% of the retailers order twice a week particularly on the two

market days, Mondays and Thursdays, 30% order daily and 8% order once a week. Based on this

revelation, Bem-bakery should ensure that its products are at all cost distributed to its retailers

twice a week specifically on the market days and if opportunities be on every day of the week to

some few retailers.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Bread Bin Laden Buns Doughnuts

Quantity ordered by potential retailer respondents per week

Qty of products

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As for the consumer respondents, which exclude students from Bembeke Teachers’ College and

the 17 educational institutions, the analysis shows that 57% buy confectionaries over two times a

week, 22% twice a week, 17% once a week and 4% on a daily basis. This entails that there is

potential market for confectionaries in the locality that Bem-bakery intends to establish itself.

4.4. Factors that can influence potential retailers and consumers to switch to

new suppliers/products The market analysis revealed that much as the retailers or consumers are used to ordering from a

particular supplier or buying particular products, they can easily switch to another supplier or

product. From the retailers’ perspective, the factors that can influence their decisions to switch to

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

not a single time

once a week twice over 2 times every day

Frequency of ordering per week by potential retailer respondents

% 0f respondents

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

not a single time

once a week twice over 2 times every day

Frequency of buying confectionaries per week by potentail consumer respondents

% of respondents

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another supplier included convenience (distribution right at the shop) and was mentioned by all

the retailer respondents, quality of products (mentioned by all respondents), quality of customer

service mentioned by 85% of respondents and price of products mentioned by 46% of

respondents. From the consumers’ perspective, the factors that can influence their decisions to

switch to another product included quality of product (83% of respondents), price of product

(78% of respondents), convenience-product availability within their location (57% of

respondents) and packaging (4% of respondents).

The implication of the findings is that for Bem-bakery to have customers at retail and consumer

level, there is need to make retailers and consumers switch from their loyal brand to a new brand.

To achieve this, Bem-bakery should focus on quality of products, convenience and price for both

the retailer and the consumer and customer service particularly for the retailer.

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

Price

Quality of Product

Quality of Service

Convinience

Factors that can influence potential retailer respondents' to switch to ordering from another supplier

% 0f respondents

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

price quality convenience packaging

Factors that can make potential consumers to switch to new products

% of the respondents

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4.5. Expectations of retailers and consumers on price of products Both retailers and consumer respondents expressed their expectations on the price of products for

them to be motivated to buy. On the part of the retailers, the expectations included varied price

that is dependent on size and quality (31% of respondents), value for money (15% of

respondents), standard price among suppliers (31% of respondents) and affordability (23% of

respondents). As for the consumers, 61% expected affordability and 39% value for money.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Varied price - size and quality

Value for money

Standard price among

suppliers

Affordable price

Expectations of potential retailer respondents on price of products

% 0f respondents

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Value for money

Affordable

Expectations of potential consumer respondents on price of products

% 0f respondents

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4.6. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ price sensitivity Further, the potential retailer and consumer respondents were at different levels in terms of price

sensitivity. Some were very sensitive (8% of retailer and 30% of consumer respondents), others

were somehow sensitive (46% of retailer and 57% of consumer respondents) and another

category was not sensitive (46% of retailer and 13% of consumer respondents). Marketing

penetration of Bem-bakery will depend on how it will take care of these categories of retailers

and consumers. The best way is to produce products for a segmented market such as superior

quality products at high price for the price in-sensitive category and high quality products at low

price for the price sensitive category.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

very sensitive somehow sensitive not sensitive

Potential Retailer Respondents' Price Sensitivity

% 0f respondents

30%

57%

13%

Potential consumer respondents' price sensitivity

very sensitive

somehow sensitive

not sensitive

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4.7. Decision making in purchasing of confectionaries The analysis shows that all the potential retailer respondents were decision makers in relation to

deciding what and from what supplier to order. As for the potential consumer respondents, 87%

were decision makers and 13% were not when it comes to buying of confectionary products.

This means that the market analysis collected information mainly from decision makers when it

comes to ordering or buying decisions regarding confectionary products and listening to their

needs would be of importance to the success of Bem-bakery.

4.8. Needs of the potential retailers and consumer respondents It was interesting to note that all the retailer respondents indicated similar needs. The needs were:

quality products, quality customer service, delivery right at the shop, product lines of varied sizes

and prices, deliver and collect money later on the same day and deliver in the morning hours. As

for the consumers, their needs were mainly quality products in terms of tastiness, softness and

freshness (all the respondents), affordable products (87% of respondents), product lines of varied

sizes and prices (78% of respondents) and products being available at convenient points (all

respondents).

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Yes No

Whether consumer respondents are decision makers

% respondents

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The success of Bem-bakery in the proposed market depends on its ability to meet the specified

needs of the retailers and consumers. Bem-bakery can take advantage of this and build its

business around the needs of the potential retailers and consumers.

5.0. Competition Analysis The market analysis revealed that there are currently three suppliers of confectionary products

for the area that Bem-bakery intends to introduce its products. The suppliers are Nyika, Baker’s

Pride and Metro.

5.1. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ satisfaction levels with

supplier products and services The potential retailers and consumers indicated high levels of satisfaction with Nyika and Dedza

Metro products and customer service. Consumers who manage to get bread from Dedza Metro

also expressed high levels of satisfaction with Metro bread and customer service.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Quality products

Affordability products of varied sizes and

prices

Available at a convenient

point

Needs of consumer respondents

% of respondents

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

quality of product

(Tasty, soft and fresh)

Distribution/ delivery

customer care shelf life deliver in morning and get money

later

% of respondents

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

quality of product (Tasty, soft, freshness) Packaging

Reasons for potentail consumer respondents' satisfaction with some of the suppliers products

% of the respondents

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5.2. Potential retailer and consumer respondents’ dissatisfaction levels with

supplier products and services All the retailer and consumer respondents demonstrated high levels of dissatisfaction with

Baker’s Pride products and customer services. Retailers and consumers at Bembeke Trading

mentioned that they buy Baker’s Pride products because they do not have another alternative

since it is only Bakers’ Pride that distributes at Bembeke Trading. Dissatisfaction with Baker’s

Pride products and customer service is the sole reason that all the retailers at Bembeke Turn off

stock only Nyika products.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

nothing

tasteless and very hard

not fresh

poor customer service

unclean trays

unstable pricing

Reasons for potential retailer respondents' dissatisfaction with some suppliers products and services

% 0f respondents

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

nothing tasteless not fresh not soft poorly baked

limited variety

Reasons for potential consumer respondents' dissatisfaction with some of existing suppliers' products

% of the respondents

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5.3. Summary of strengths and weaknesses of existing confectionary

suppliers Supplier Distribution point Strengths from

retailer perspective

Strengths from consumer perspective

Weaknesses from retailer perspective

Weaknesses from consumer perspective

Nyika

Bembeke Turn off Quality products

(tasty, soft and

fresh)

Quality products

(tasty, soft and

fresh)

Un clean trays No varied sizes and

prices for products of

a specific line

Deliver right at

retailer’s shop

Good packaging Do not distribute

at Bembeke

Trading

Products not

available at Bembeke

Trading

Deliver in the

morning and

collect money

later in the day

Quality

customer service

Variety of

products-bread,

buns, Bin Laden

and doughnuts

Long shelf life

Baker’s Pride Bembeke Trading

(Used to distribute at

Bembeke Turn off but

lost market due to

poor customer

service)

Deliver right at

the retailer’s

shop

Poor customer

service

Poor quality

products (tasteless,

hard and not fresh,

poorly done

“We buy because we

do not have an

alternative”

Limited product lines

Dedza Metro Only available in

their shop at Dedza

Central business point

Quality products

(tasty, soft and

fresh)

Quality products

(tasty, soft and

fresh)

Do not use

retailers-only

sale at their shop

Limited product lines

Quality

customer service

Buy at wholesale

price

Long shelf life

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5.4. Prices of Competitors’ products It was difficult to compare the prices for all the confectionary products available on the market

from the three competitors because some competitors do not supply certain products. However,

comparison was made on prices of bread and found that two suppliers (Nyika and Baker’s Pride)

had a standard price while Metro bread was MK20 less. In addition, Nyika and Baker’s Pride had

standard price on buns.

Type of product Nyika Bakers’ Pride Metro

Bread MK280 MK280 MK260

Bin Laden MK100 Do not produce Do not produce

Doughnuts MK30 Do not produce Do not produce

Buns MK50 MK50 Do not produce

5.5. Price differences that potential customers are willing to pay for another

suppliers’ products The market analysis showed that 87% of the potential customers are willing to pay for a product

at a 10-20 Kwacha (3.6% and 7.2%) difference, 9% at a 21-39 kwacha difference and 4% at a

40-59 kwacha difference lower or higher than the current price of confectionary products. For

the start, setting the price of Bem-bakery products at 10-20 Kwacha lower will be the best way to

go.

87%

9% 4%

10-20 Kwacha

21-39 Kwacha

40-59 Kwacha

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5.6. Competitive advantage and market positioning for BEM-bakery Considering the strengths and weaknesses of the existing suppliers of confectionary products in

the areas that Bem-bakery will be operating, it is important for Bem-bakery to build on the

strengths of the existing suppliers and take advantage of the weaknesses of the existing suppliers

if it is to successfully penetrate the market. To do this, Bem-bakery should consider:

Producing products of superior quality in terms of tasty, softness and freshness.

Producing varied products within a particular product line that should fetch different

prices. For instance, bread can be in full size and half size. Bem-bakery should avoid ‘one

size fits all marketing principle.’

Distributing its products widely through retailers to places such as Bembeke trading,

Bembeke Turn off, Dedza central business point and to 17 educational institutions within

its vicinity.

Working out better terms of payment after supplying to retailers-Deliver and collect the

money later on the same day on return from other distribution points.

Building a sales team that is conscious of customer service-‘Customer is king principle’.

6.0. Reactions to adverts and promotions of existing suppliers of

confectionary products When asked how the potential retailers and consumers respond to adverts and promotions of

existing suppliers of confectionary products, all the potential retailer and consumer respondents

mentioned that their buying decisions are not influenced by adverts and promotions of suppliers.

They elaborated that the existing suppliers (Nyika, Baker’s Pride and Metro) do not undertake

any advertising and promotional activities. They introduce the products to the market through

distribution to retail shops. The consumers are introduced to the new products by the retailers

and normally are prone to buy as a trial. When the consumers are convinced with the quality of

the confectionaries, they maintain customer loyalty.

The retailers’ information corresponds with what the potential customer respondents indicated on

how they react to advertisements and promotions in relation to their buying habits. All the

potential customer respondents pointed out that they have never seen or heard an advert or

promotion on confectionaries. However, they buy newly introduced confectionary products as

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part of trial and when they like the quality in terms of taste, freshness and softness and the price

of the product is within the competitive range, they continue going for that product.

“We are satisfied with the products from Nyika. But we are open to new suppliers. Quality and price are what

determines our choice of products.”

With these revelations, Bem-bakery should start marketing its products within Bembeke area and

expand to surrounding areas (Dedza central business point and Ntcheu) possibly in the next three

to five years. Within Bembeke area, Bem-bakery should penetrate the market by distributing its

confectionaries widely to retailers such as those in Bembeke Trading, Bembeke Turn off, other

market points and educational institutions. To succeed in this, Bem-Bakery would need

distribution vehicles (vans) and distribution staff (sales representatives) that are good at customer

service.

In terms of promotions and adverts, in the first years of business, Bem-Bakery will have to rely

more on word -of -mouth marketing strategy. However, great market share would be realized if

the products will be of superior quality (tasty, soft and fresh) and the prices are competitive.

Regarding the nature of competition, the market does not have a fierce competition. Currently,

there are three suppliers of confectionary products who almost hold a 100% share of the market

in which they operate. Under such a competition, Bem-bakery has a great chance of gaining a

good market share as long as its products are of superior quality, customer service is good and

distribution facilities are available.

7.0. Threats of Substitutes Products Both the potential retailer respondents and potential consumer respondents agreed that there are a

number of products that can substitute confectionary products in their localities and or homes.

Such products include: Irish potatoes, sweet potatoes, cassava and home-made doughnuts and

banana fritters. However, the respondents pointed out that despite the existence of substitute

products, confectionary products have their own place. People continue to use the confectionary

products due to a number of reasons. The reasons that were presented by the potential retailer

and consumer respondents are presented below:

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Irish potatoes and sweet potatoes are mostly grown for sale

Since the households produce the irish and sweet potatoes themselves, they like to eat

something different (go for confectionaries for a change)

Confectionaries are mostly used by those who are in transit or away from home for

example, business people mostly take confectionaries as snacks and also as lunch.

Confectionaries are fast foods for busy people like the employed, those doing business,

students and so on.

Children love confectionaries than the substitutes

Substitutes are sometimes expensive than confectionaries especially when they are out of

season

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

0

78%

100% 100%

86%

100% 100%

0

76%

100% 100%

60%

100% 100%

% of consumer respondnets % of retailer respondents

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The evidence shows that despite the fact that Bembeke area produces a lot of irish and sweet

potatoes which are direct substitutes of confectionaries and apart from the availability of

other substitute products like cassava and home-made doughnuts and banana flitters, there is

still potential market for confectionary products in areas surrounding Bembeke.

8.0. Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) Analysis

for BEM-bakery project

In an effort to understand the viability of the proposed Bem-bakery project, one of the tools used

was the SWOT Analysis. The analysis revealed that the proposed bakery project has strengths,

weaknesses, opportunities and threats as elaborated in the follow up sections. As regards the

weaknesses, the analysis surfaced possible solutions.

8.1. Strengths 1. The project will be managed by the community

2. The project will be established on existing structures-Bembeke Parish under Dedza

Diocese

3. Unquestionable project sustainability

4. Wheat which is the main raw material will be produced locally and some will be sourced

from the neighbouring district (location)-Tsangano. The community has experience and

history in wheat farming

5. Strong community interest in the proposed project

6. Great capacity for generation of power at the project site

7. Project site already identified

8.2. Weaknesses Weakness Possible Solution

1 Lack of capacity (knowledge and skills) in

confectionery production, running of business and

Provision of Training in confectionery production,

running of business and modern wheat farming

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modern farming of wheat.

2 Lack of modern machinery for quality

production of confectioneries.

Provision of modern machinery

3 Lack of vehicles (vans) for distribution of

confectioneries

Procurement of vehicles (vans) for distribution

of confectioneries

4 Water problem Drill boreholes or install pump water as

alternative source of water of Water Board

Water source

8.3. Opportunities 1. Availability of market for the confectioneries

2. Availability of land for wheat production

3. Favourable climate conditions for wheat production

4. Change of consumption patterns-people preferring fast foods like confectionaries than

substitutes such as cassava, sweet and irish potatoes due to busy life

5. Good road network which allow distribution of produced bakery products

8.4. Threats

Threat Strategies for averting the threat

1 Wheat production may surpass the demands of the

proposed bakery project.

Regulating wheat production

2 Existence of substitute products Quality confectionary products, in varied sizes and

prices can help to avert this risk

3 Confectioneries not staple food for Malawians Sensitizing communities on the need for food

diversification

4 Malawi moving towards plastic free environment

which may affect the packaging of confectioneries

By being adaptable to change when that time comes

5 climate change as a global threat which may affect

wheat production

Sensitizing the community on the need to embark on

activities that will mitigate climate change such as

tree planting

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9.0. Conclusion The report has presented the results of the market analysis for the proposed Bem-bakery

to be planted in Bembeke parish in Dedza Malawi. Areas of focus included:

Demographic characteristics of potential retailers and consumers; Potential market for

Bem-bakery products; Potential retailer and consumer buying behaviours; Competition

analysis; Competitive advantage and market positioning for Bem-bakery; Retailer and

consumer reactions to adverts and promotion; Threats of substitute products and SWOT

analysis for Bem-bakery project. Overview, the market analysis has revealed that there is

untapped market for Bem-bakery products. However, Bem-Bakery needs to do certain

things right in order to penetrate the market